Congressional Budget Office December 3, 2013 The Distribution of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Congressional Budget Office December 3, 2013 The Distribution of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Congressional Budget Office December 3, 2013 The Distribution of Federal Spending and Taxes in 2006 Molly Dahl, Microeconomic Studies Division Kevin Perese, Tax Analysis Division Overview Extends prior CBO distributional analyses by including


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Congressional Budget Office The Distribution of Federal Spending and Taxes in 2006

December 3, 2013

Molly Dahl, Microeconomic Studies Division Kevin Perese, Tax Analysis Division

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Overview

Extends prior CBO distributional analyses by including spending Snapshot of a single year: calendar year 2006

Not a lifetime analysis

Household types

Elderly Nonelderly with children Nonelderly without children

Income groups among the nonelderly

Market income quintiles

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Federal Spending and Revenues, 2006

Federal Spending $2.4 Trillion $2.7 Trillion Federal Revenues

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Allocated Federal Spending and Revenues, 2006

Federal Spending $2.4 Trillion $2.3 Trillion Federal Revenues

Analyzed the distribution of most federal spending (88 percent), and virtually all federal taxes (98 percent) in calendar year 2006

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Categories of Federal Spending, 2006

Cash and Near-Cash Transfers

$785 Billion

Cash Transfers Social Security Refundable Tax Credits SSI UI TANF Means-Tested Veterans’ Benefits Black Lung Disability Near-cash Transfers SNAP Housing Assistance Pell Grants Child Nutrition Programs WIC LIHEAP

Social Security

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Categories of Federal Spending, 2006

Cash and Near-Cash Transfers Health Care Transfers

$785 Billion $481 Billion

Medicare Medicaid and CHIP Means-Tested Veterans’ Health Benefits

Social Security Medicare

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Categories of Federal Spending, 2006

Cash and Near-Cash Transfers Health Care Transfers Other Goods and Services

$785 Billion $481 Billion $1,080 Billion

National Defense Other HHS Education OPM Transportation Other Veterans Affairs Agriculture Justice Energy Other

National Defense Social Security Medicare

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Categories of Federal Spending, 2006

Unallocated Spending Cash and Near-Cash Transfers Health Care Transfers Other Goods and Services

Social Security National Defense Medicare Interest on Debt $785 Billion $481 Billion $1,080 Billion $312 Billion Total Spending: $2.7 Trillion Interest On Debt

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Spending on Cash and Near-Cash Transfers, by Type of Household, 2006

100 200 300 400 500

Other

(Billions of dollars)

Elderly Social Security Nonelderly Without Children Nonelderly With Children

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Spending on Health Care Transfers, by Type of Household, 2006

100 200 300 400 500 (Billions of dollars)

Elderly Medicare Medicaid and Other Nonelderly Without Children Nonelderly With Children

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Federal Taxes, by Type of Household, 2006

400 800 1,200 (Billions of dollars)

Elderly Nonelderly Without Children Nonelderly With Children

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Average Transfers, Taxes, and Transfers Minus Taxes, by Type of Household, 2006

  • 20,000
  • 10,000

10,000 20,000 30,000 (Dollars per household)

Elderly Nonelderly without Children Nonelderly with Children Transfers minus Taxes Taxes Transfers

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Federal Spending, 2006

Unallocated Spending Cash and Near-Cash Transfers Health Care Transfers Other Goods and Services

$785 Billion $481 Billion $1,080 Billion $312 Billion Total Spending: $2.7 Trillion

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Federal Spending on Other Goods and Services, by Type of Household, 2006

200 400 600 (Billions of dollars)

Elderly Nonelderly without Children Nonelderly with Children Allocated by Share

  • f

Population Allocated by Share

  • f

Market Income

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Average Spending Minus Taxes, by Type of Household, 2006

  • 20,000
  • 10,000

10,000 20,000 30,000 (Dollars per household)

Elderly Nonelderly without Children Nonelderly with Children Transfers plus Other G&S (by Share of Population) minus Taxes Transfers plus Other G&S (by Share of Market Income) minus Taxes Transfers minus Taxes

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Spending and Revenues Allocated to Nonelderly Households

Federal Spending $2.4 Trillion $2.7 Trillion Federal Revenues $1.5 Trillion $2 Trillion

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Spending on Nonelderly Households

$1.5 Trillion Cash and Near-Cash $175 Billion Other Goods and Services $375 Billion Health Care $920 Billion

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Spending on Cash and Near-Cash Transfers for Nonelderly Households

Cash and Near-Cash Transfers By Income Group $375 Billion Lowest Quintile

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Spending on Cash and Near-Cash Transfers for Nonelderly Households, by Income Group and Transfer

100 200 (Billions of dollars)

Lowest Quintile Highest Quintile Middle Quintile Social Security Other Cash Transfers Near- Cash Transfers

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Spending on Health Care Transfers for Nonelderly Households

Health Care Transfers By Income Group $175 Billion Lowest Quintile

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Spending on Health Care Transfers for Nonelderly Households, by Income Group and Transfer

100 (Billions of dollars)

Lowest Quintile Highest Quintile Middle Quintile Medicare Medicaid and Other

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Spending on Transfers for Nonelderly Households, by Income Group

100 200 300 (Billions of dollars)

Lowest Quintile Highest Quintile Middle Quintile

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Taxes Paid by Nonelderly Households

$2 Trillion Highest Quintile

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Average Market Income Plus Transfers Minus Taxes for Nonelderly Households

50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 (Dollars per household)

Lowest Quintile Highest Quintile Middle Quintile

UP 101% DOWN 14% DOWN 27%

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Federal Spending on Other Goods and Services for Nonelderly Households

Other Goods and Services $920 Billion Lowest Quintile Allocated by Share of Population Allocated by Share of Market Income

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Average Spending Minus Taxes for Nonelderly Households

  • 75,000
  • 50,000
  • 25,000

25,000

Transfers minus Taxes

(Dollars per household)

Lowest Quintile Highest Quintile Middle Quintile Transfers plus Other G&S (by Share of Population) minus Taxes Transfers plus Other G&S (by Share of Market Income) minus Taxes

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C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E

Recap

Extends prior CBO distributional analyses by including spending More spending on elderly households than taxes paid by those households in 2006; the opposite was true for nonelderly households Among the nonelderly, more spending on lower income households than taxes paid by those households in 2006; the opposite was true for higher income households