CK POWER PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED JANUARY 2016
CK POWER PU B LIC COMPANY LIMITED JANUARY 2016 Agenda Our Group - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CK POWER PU B LIC COMPANY LIMITED JANUARY 2016 Agenda Our Group - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CK POWER PU B LIC COMPANY LIMITED JANUARY 2016 Agenda Our Group Our Portfolio Business Overview Significant Events in 2015 Financial Performance Financial Highlights Industry Outlook CKP Outlooks CKP in the Next
- Business Overview
- Financial Performance
- CKP Outlooks
- Xayaburi Acquisition
1
- Our Group
- Our Portfolio
- Significant Events in 2015
- Financial Highlights
- Industry Outlook
- CKP in the Next 5 Years
- Looking Forward
- CKP Snap Shot
Agenda
Page 2
Remark : Shareholding percentage as of June 25, 2015
Our Group: Infrastructure Oriented
Bangkok Expressway and Metro Public Company Limited (BEM) TTW Public Company Limited (TTW)
- Ch. Karnchang
Public Company Limited (CK)
Public
CKP
30.2480% 19.4023% 25.3140% 25.0357% 27.47% 19.04%
Hydro – 1,900 MW Cogeneration – 238 MW Solar – 22 MW
SouthEast Asia Energy Company Limited (SEAN) Bangpa-in Cogeneration Company Limited (BIC)
- BIC Phase 1
- BIC Phase 2
Nam Ngum 2 Company Limited (NN2)
Bangkhenchai Company Limited(BKC) Chiangrai Solar CompanyLimited (CRS) Nakorn Ratchasima Solar Company Limited (NRS) 75% 65% 100% 30% 30%
Xayaburi Power Company Limited (XPCL)
56% 30%
- Infrastructure Oriented
- Transportation System
- Tap Water Supply
- Electricity Supply
- Ultimate Parent Company
as the EPC contactor
Page 3
CKP Hydro – 1,900 MW Cogeneration – 238 MW Solar – 22 MW
- BIC Phase 1
- BIC Phase 2
NN2
Our Portfolio: Diversified Portfolio
XPCL BIC 1 BIC 2 BKC CRS NRS
Operation Jan 2013 42%1/ 615 258 Construction Oct 2019 30% 1,285 385 Operation Jun 2013 65% 118 76 Construction Jun 2017 65% 120 78 Aug 2012 100% 8 8 Operation Mar 2013 30% 8 2 Mar 2012 30% 6 2 COD/SCOD CKP’s shares Capacity MW Equity MW
Remark : 1/ CKP owns 56% in SEAN which holds 75% in NN2.
Total Capacity MW = 2,160 MW Total Equity MW = 810 MW
Page 4
NN2HPP: Storage Dam
Project Summary Initial Operation Date (IOD) March 2011 Commercial Operation Date (COD) January 2013 Concession Period 25 years from COD with the GOL Power Purchase Agreement
- 615 MW with EGAT
- Take or Pay
- 25 years from COD
Shareholders
- SEAN 75%
- EdL-Gen 25%
Shareholders of SEAN
- CKP 56%
- RATCH 33%
- Other 11%
Thai-Lao Border Transmission Line
NN2
Page 5
1,971 2,218 2,314 2,218 2,153 154 92 95 16 41 654 101 151 88
- 3,802
3,838 4,097 3,967 3,883 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500
- 500
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000
2011(Mar-Dec) 2012 2013 2014 2015(F)
PE SE EE Revenue (Secondary Axis)
GWh
Electricity Sold and Revenue
IOD period 0.02475 0.963 1.253 1.060 IOD period = Mar 26, 2011 to Dec 31, 2012 COD = Jan 1, 2013 Year PE Tariff SE Tariff EE Tariff USD / kwh THB / kwh THB / kwh THB / kwh
Power Generation
- Installed Capacity 615 MW
(3x205 MW)
- Annual Supply Target 2,310 GWh
plus Excess Energy
- PE 2,218 GWh per year
- SE 92 GWh per year
Tariff Structure
COD + 6 years after COD 0.02475 0.965 1.255 1.062 Thereafter 0.02668 1.041 1.353 1.062
MB
NN2HPP: Operating Highlights
Page 6
- 200
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800
- 50
100 150 200 250 300 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2014-Production 2015-Production 2014-Inflow (Secondary Axis) 2015-Inflow (Secondary Axis)
Monthly Electricity Production and Reservoir Level
GWh MCM
* Water level as at end of 2015 = +372.45 m.asl.
NN2HPP: Operating Highlights
Page 7
Project Summary Scheduled COD October 2019 Concession Period 29 years from COD Power Purchase Agreement
- 1,220 MW with EGAT
- 60 MW with EDL
- Take or Pay
Shareholders of XPCL
- CKP
30.0%
- Natee Synergy 25.0%
(PTT Group)
- EDL 20.0%
- EGCO
12.5%
- BEM
7.5%
- PT Sole
5.0% Power Generation
- Installed Capacity 1,285 MW
- EGAT: 7 x 175 MW via 500 kV
- EDL: 1 x 60 MW via 115 kV
- Annual Supply Target
- EGAT: 5,709 GWh plus EE
(Levelized tariff 2.159 THB/kWh with fx = 34 THB/USD)
- EDL: 343 GWh
(Levelized tariff 2.173 THB/kWh with fx = 34 THB/USD)
Xayaburi HPP: Run-of-River
Page 8
Xayaburi HPP: On Schedule
Work Progress as of December 2015 = 56%
1 2 3 4 5 6
Navigation Lock Spillway Intermediate Block Powerhouse Fish Migration Transmission Line
Phase 1 Phase 2
Source: www.xayaburi.com
Page 9
BIC 1 & 2: Gas-fired Cogeneration
Project Summary COD-BIC 1 SCOD-BIC 2
- June 2013
- June 2017
Concession Period 25 years from COD Power Purchase Agreement
- 90 MW with EGAT
(Min. Take or Pay with gas price pass-through mechanism)
- Selling the rest of
electricity and steam to industrial estate users Shareholders of BIC
- CKP 65%
- GPSC 25%
- Other 10%
Installed Capacity BIC 1
- 118 MW of electricity
- 20 tons per hour of
steam BIC 2
- 120 MW of electricity
- 20 tons per hour of
steam
Bangpa-in Industrial Estate
BIC 2 BIC 1 BIC 2
Page 10
BIC 1: Operating Highlights
- 1,000
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000
- 10
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2014-Electricity 2015-Electricity 2014-Steam 2015-Steam
Monthly Electricity and Steam Production
GWh Ton
332 647 636 44 114 123 1,289 2,716 2,578
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000
- 100
200 300 400 500 600 700 800
2013(Jun-Dec) 2014 2015(F)
EGAT Ius Revenue (Secondary Axis)
Electricity and Steam Production
GWh MB
24,442 94,328 97,312 21 80 77
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
- 20,000
40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000
2013(Jun-Dec) 2014 2015(F)
Steam Revenue (Secondary Axis)
Ton MB.
Page 11
BIC 2: On Schedule
Work Progress as of December 2015 = 19%
Page 12
BKC: Ground-mounted Solar Farm
BIC 1 BIC 2 Project Summary COD August 2012 Concession Period 5 years from COD with automatic renewal Power Purchase Agreement
- Provincial Electricity
Authority (PEA)
- Adder: 8 Baht / kWh for
10 years from COD Shareholders of BIC CKP 100% Capacity 8 MW BKC
Nakhon Ratchasima Province
Page 13
BKC: Operating Highlights
- 1
2 3 4 5 6 7
- 200
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2014-Electricity 2015-Electricity 2014-Irradiation 2015-Irradiation
MWh kWh/m2
Monthly Electricity Production and Irradiation
5,665 14,001 14,077 13,979 65 160 163 158
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
- 2,000
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000
2012(Aug-Dec) 2013 2014 2015(F)
Electricity Production
MWh
- Avg. Tariff 11.4740 11.4278 11.6482 11.4537
(THB/kWh)
MB
Page 14
CKP: Significant Events in 2015
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
- 2. First Dividend
Dividend payment: THB 0.10 per share Payment date: 27-Apr-2015
- 4. XPCL Acquisition
Acquisition: 30% of XPCL’s registered capital Total shares: 805,830,000 shares Total value: approx. THB 4,344 Million Transaction date: 10-Jun-2015
- 1. Par Value change
Old par value: THB 5 per share New par value: THB 1 per share Transaction Date: 20-Apr-2015
- 3. Capital increase
Total new shares: 1,870 Million shares Right Offering price: THB 3 per share Total capital increase: THB 5,610 Million Register date: 29-May-2015
Issuing CKP-W1
Total units: 1,870 Million units Register date: 29-May-2015
AGM approvals on 9-Apr-2015
Page 15
Hydro 56% Cogeneration 41% Solar 3% Electricity Sales by sector 9M 2015
1,765 1,548 1,730 1,968 1,661 1,676 1,508 5,043 4,845
- 1,000
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 9M 2014 9M 2015
Revenue exc. Fx
MB
1,018 793 955 1,198 902 962 774 2,767 2,639
- 500
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 9M 2014 9M 2015
EBITDA exc. Fx
MB
- Diversified portfolio
- Stable revenue stream with
long-term contracts
- Healthy margin
- Rainfall delay in 2014-2015
57.7% 51.2% 55.2% 60.8% 54.3% 57.4% 51.4% 54.9% 54.5% EBITDA Margin
9M 2015 – CKP Performance
CKP: Financial Highlights
Page 16
Including $ 152M
9M 2015 – Finance Costs
480 16,268 3,925 746 518 September 30, 2015 (MB) CKP NN2 BIC1 BIC2 BKC Including $ 140M Cost of debt 5.07% DE Ratio = 0.89x Cost of debt 4.83% DE Ratio = 0.72x 485 17,514 3,987 569 December 31, 2014 (MB) CKP NN2 BIC1 BKC
- Low gearing ratio at 0.72 times
- 9-Month finance costs reduced by 9% due to loan repayment and interest rate reduction
- Natural hedge on USD loan and USD revenue
- NN2 Refinance is in process
CKP: Financial Highlights
Page 17
2016 Highlights
- To enhance electricity sales through water level monitoring
- To optimize O&M activities for quality and cost control
- To finalize NN2’s refinance in Q1 2016
- Construction progress of BIC2 and XPCL
CKP: Financial Highlights
Page 18
Industry Outlook: Domestic
- Thailand’s current installed capacity
Source: Thailand’s Power Development Plan 2015 41% 35% 12% 6% 6% 64% 20% 8% 7% 1% EGAT IPP SPP Imported & Exchange
TOTAL 37,612 MW
Power Generation by Producers
Natural Gas Clean Coal Renewable Energy Imported Hydro Diesel / Fuel Oil
Power Generation by Fuel Type
VSPP
- Thailand’s planned installed capacity at the
end of PDP 2015
Unit: MW PDP2015 Installed capacity at the end of 2014 37,612 New installed capacity 57,459 Retired (24,736)
Installed capacity at the end of 2036 70,335
PDP2015 Fuel Type Sep 2014 (percentage) Sep 2026 (percentage) Sep 2036 (percentage) Imported Hydro 7 10-15 15-20 Clean Coal (including Lignite) 20 20-25 20-25 Renewable 8 10-20 15-20 Natural Gas 64 45-50 30-40 Nuclear
- 0-5
Diesel/Fuel Oil 1
- TOTAL
100 100 100
- Target fuel mix at the end of PDP 2015
Year Solar Wind Hydro Waste Biomass Biogas Energy Total Crops 2014 1,299 225 3,048 66 2,542 312 - 7,490 2036 6,000 3,002 3,282 500 5,570 600 680 19,634
Page 19
Neighboring Countries in Focus: Lao PDR
- Lao PDR to be “the battery of Asia”
- A theoretical hydroelectric potential of about
26,500 MW excluding the mainstream Mekong 1/
- MOU 7,000 MW with Thailand 2/
Status Project Type Contracted Capacity (MW) In Operation Theun-Hinboun HPP Hydro 434 Houy Ho HPP Hydro 126 Nam Theun 2 HPP Hydro 948 Nam Ngum 2 HPP Hydro 597 Hongsa 1-2 Lignite 2 x 491 Under Construction Hongsa 3 (2016) Lignite 491 Nam Ngiep 1 (2019) Hydro 269 Xe Pian Xe Namnoy (2019) Hydro 354 Xayaburi (2019) Hydro 1,220 MOU Stage Nam Theun 1 HPP Hydro 525
Total 5,946
Source:1/ http://www.poweringprogress.org/ Department of Energy Business 2/ under negotiation to increase to 10,000 MW
Page 20
- Abundant water resource on the mainstream Mekong River
Source: http://www.poweringprogress.org/
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Project
Capacity (MW) Construction Planned
- 1. Pak Beng
1,230
- 2. Luang Prabang
1,410
- 3. Xayaburi
1,285
- 4. Pak Lay
1,320
- 5. Sanakham
570
- 6. Pak Chom
1,079
- 7. Ban Khoum
2,000
- 8. Lat Sua
800
- 9. Don Sahong
360
- 10. Stung Treng
980
- 11. Sambor
460 Total 1,285 10,209
Neighboring Countries in Focus: Lao PDR
Page 21
Neighboring Countries in Focus: Myanmar
- Existing Electricity (2014 Statistics)
- Max. demand
2,370 MW Peak load 2,100 MW
- No. of consumers 2.9 millions
Electrification ratio 32%
- Demand Forecast
- Power Supply Planning
Source: Department of Hydropower Implementation, MOEP, Myanmar
- A hydroelectric potential of about
108,000 MW
- MOU 1,500 MW with Thailand
Page 22
Industry Outlook: Myanmar
- Abundant water resource in the Major River Basins
River Basins Developed capacity (MW) Under construction (MW) Under processing (MW) Potential future projects (MW) Total of each basins (MW)
Ayeyarwady Upper Ayeyarwady Lower Ayeyarwady 1,870 149 2,056 150 15,200
- 6,000
- 25,126
299 Chindwin
- 380
1,860 2,240 Sittaung 810
- 260
- 1,070
Thanlwin 302 81 15,395 765 16,543 Others 20 111 521 1,512 2,164 Total 3,151 2,398 21,756 10,137 47,442 Source: Department of Hydropower Implementation, Myanmar
Chindwin River
Thanlwin River
Page 23
- XPCL: on time COD and in
budget while taking into accounts the valid concerns from stakeholders
- Additional concessions:
large-scale hydroelectric power projects
CKP in the Next 5 Years
- BIC-2: on time COD and in
budget
- PDP2015: more renewable
power projects, especially the ground-mounted solar power projects (at least new 100MW)
- In-depth understanding:
country and associated risks
- Materialization of new
projects: focusing on hydroelectric power projects.
Thailand Lao PDR Myanmar
Page 24
- Our AMBITIONS
To own 5,000 MW of installed capacity within the next 10 years
Looking Forward
- Commitment to Our SHAREHOLDERS
A fair return A sustainable growth A good corporate citizen A social & environmental friendly corporation
In Operation 2015
- NN2 615 MW
- BIC 1 118 MW
- Solar 22 MW
Under Construction 2015
- XPCL 1,285 MW
- BIC 2 128 MW
- 1,000
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000
2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025
MW Page 25
CKP Snap Shot: A True Developer
CKP
Expertise in Hydro & In-depth experience in other technology Ability to Raise Funds (Hold Co., Project Co, and Support from major shareholders) Relationship with Government Entities (Thailand and Lao PDR) CK as an EPC Contractor (>40 yrs experience) Page 26
Disclaimer These presentations and/or other documents have been written and presented by CK Power Plc. CK Power Plc. is solely responsible for the accuracy and completeness of the contents of such presentations and/or other documents. J.P. Morgan does not have any responsibility for or control over the contents of such presentations and/or other
- documents. No endorsement is intended or implied notwithstanding the distribution of the presentations and/or
- ther documents at J.P. Morgan’s Thailand CEO-CFO Conference 2016. The materials and information in the
presentations and other documents are for informational purposes only, and are not an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any securities or financial instruments or to provide any investment service or investment advice.
IR Contact T el: 0 2691 9720 Fax: 0 2691 9723 Email: ir@ckpower.co.th Website: http://www.ckpower.co.th
Maintenance plan 2016: NN2PC
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Routine Maintenance X X X X X X X X X X X X use 9 hours/month for 3 units Yearly Check up
- Unit 1
X 6 days, 12/11/16 - 18/11/16
- Unit 2
X 6 days, 18/11/16 - 24/11/16
- Unit 3
X 6 days, 6/11/16 - 12/11/16 Annual Test
- Unit 1
X 13 hours
- Unit 2
X 13 hours
- Unit 3
X X 13 hours Maintenance Plan 2016 Remark
Maintenance plan 2016: BIC
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec GT1 Borescope inspection @24000hr X GT2 Borescope inspection @24000hr X GT1, STG, HRSG Minor inspection @25000hr X GT2,HRSG Minor inspection @25000hr X GT1 Borescope inspection @28000hr X GT2 Borescope inspection @28000hr X Maintenance Plan 2016
Maintenance plan 2016: BKC
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yearly Preventive Maintenance X
- Power transformer & Station service transformer
X
- 22 kV. Power circuit breaker
X
- 22 kV. Current transformer
X
- 22 kV. Voltage transformer
X
- Protection relay
X
- Energy meter & Meter
X
- Busbar
X
- Battery charger & Battery
X
- Power Cable
X Yearly Calibration
- Digital Meter
X
- PEA Meter
X CCTV System X Fire Alarm System X Lighting System X X X X Water Treatment System X X X X X X X X X X X X Air Condition System X X X X Computer Set X X X X Maintenance Plan 2016