YIT – More life in sustainable cities
Roadshow Lisbon March 9, 2017 Hanna Jaakkola, VP, Investor Relationsyitgroup.com
cities Roadshow Lisbon March 9, 2017 yitgroup.com Hanna Jaakkola, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
YIT More life in sustainable cities Roadshow Lisbon March 9, 2017 yitgroup.com Hanna Jaakkola, VP, Investor Relations Contents 1 YIT in brief 3 2 Strategy and business model 8 3 Latest highlights 14 4 Housing Finland and CEE 19 5
YIT – More life in sustainable cities
Roadshow Lisbon March 9, 2017 Hanna Jaakkola, VP, Investor Relationsyitgroup.com
Contents
1 YIT in brief 3 2 Strategy and business model 8 3 Latest highlights 14 4 Housing Finland and CEE 19 5 Housing Russia 29 6 Business Premises and Infrastructure35 7 Key financials 43 8 Looking ahead and conclusions 51 9 Why invest in YIT? 54 10 Appendices 58YIT in brief
Over 100 years in Finland, over 50 in Russia, growing presence in CEE
1912 1960’s 1961 1980’s 1995 2000’s 2013 2006 Allmänna Ingeniörsbyrån Ab (AIB) establishesA real estate developer and construction company with solid track record
Figures based on segment reporting (POC) *%-shares excluding other items Revenue by segment*, EUR 1.8 bn Adjusted operating profit by segment, EUR 80 million Revenue by geographical area 74% 15% 11% Finland Russia The CEE countriesBalanced business portfolio
HOUSING FINLAND AND CEE HOUSING RUSSIA BUSINESS PREMISES AND INFRASTRUCTUREOur vision – More life in sustainable cities
OUR VISION OUR GROWTH ENGINE OUR DNA OUR MISSIONMore life in sustainable cities
Urban development involving partners Result-Strategy
Revenue growth and healthy profitability through economic cycles
1,149 1,144 1,028 1,102 1,227 1,329 483 487 356 471 489 600 656 727 778 728 496 474 266 268 689 599 616 797 743 828 1,112 1,399 1,143 1,296 1,448 1,632 1,631 1,384 1,573 1,716 1,929 1,841 1,800 1,660 1,793 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Business Premises and Infrastructure Housing Russia Housing Finland and CEE International Construction Services Construction Services Finland Construction Services 5.7% CAGR Revenue development (EUR million) by business segment Adjusted operating profit (EBIT) development (EUR million) by business segment, excluding group costs Note: Segment level figures (POC), i.e. sum of Construction Services related segment figures in YIT financial reporting and thus excluding effect of other items.Focus on reforming our operations
Improve capital efficiency Provide easy-to-use services Reduce construction costs Coach, encourage and train people Build true partnerships Improve internal agility
More life in sustainable cities
ANNUAL GROWTH 5–10% Higher value-add for customers e.g. hybrids, big infra, alliances INNOVATOR FOR LIVING in Housing INNOVATIVE PARTNER in Business Premises & Infrastructure Solutions for urban living e.g. affordable apartments GROWTH Living services Renovation services Performance leapWe are making a difference
CARE FOR CUSTOMERS VISIONARY URBAN DEVELOPMENT PASSIONATE EXECUTION INSPIRING LEADERSHIPFinancial targets
Long-term financial target Target level Outcome 2016 Revenue growth 5–10% annually on average 8%, 9% at comp. fx Return on investment 15% 4.7% Operating cash flow after investments Sufficient for dividend payout EUR -43.1 million Equity ratio 40% 35.1% Dividend payout 40 to 60% of net profit for the period 373.3%* (95.3%)** All figures according to segment reporting (POC) *The Board of Director’s proposal to Annual General Meeting **Calculated with adjusted EPSLatest highlights
Key messages in Q4/2016
Group: Revenue grew and profitability improved in Q4
EBIT-bridge Q4/2015–Q4/2016
28.7 16.6Several successes recently
Housing Finland and CEE
Revenue, adjusted operating profit and ROI in Q4
Profitability started to improve in 2016
* Excluding adjustments. Note: The historical figures for 2008-2012 are calculated for illustrative purposes and are not completely comparable with YIT´s segment structure. The main difference is in the division of fixed costs, which in the historical figures are weighted according to revenue and in the official figures are more accurately allocated according to each segments estimated true share of the fixed costs. CAGR +5%Operating environment in Finland in Q4
Sales and start-ups in Finland
Operating environment in the CEE countries in Q4
Sales and start-ups in the CEE countries
The production volume (units) continued to grow in Q4
Impact of the mix in Finnish housing
Smartti concept launched and nine projects started in 2016
Housing Russia
Revenue, adjusted operating profit and ROI in Q4
Profitability burdened by lower projects margins in 2016
*Excluding adjustments Note: The historical figures for 2008-2012 are calculated for illustrative purposes and are not completely comparable with YIT´s segment structure. The main difference is in the division of fixed costs, which in the historical figures are weighted according to revenue and in the official figures are more accurately allocated according to each segments estimated true share of the fixed costs. CAGROperating environment in Q4
Sales and start-ups in Q4
Apartment inventory decreased due to high completions
Business Premises and Infrastructure
Revenue, adjusted operating profit and ROI in Q4
Revenue grew clearly in 2016
* Excluding adjustments Note: The historical figures for 2008-2012 are calculated for illustrative purposes and are not completely comparable with YIT´s segment structure. The main difference is in the division of fixed costs, which in the historical figures are weighted according to revenue and in the official figures are more accurately allocated according to each segments estimated true share of the fixed costs. CAGR 0%Operating environment in Q4
Tripla project: Pasila in the future
Tripla project supports growth in the coming years
Tripla project in briefMall of Tripla in a nutshell
What has been achieved so far?The largest ongoing projects in the segment
Project, location Value, EUR million Project type Completion rate, % Estimated completion Sold/ for sale Leasable area, sq.m. Mall of Tripla, Helsinki ~600 Retail 23% 2019 YIT’s ownership 38,75% 85,000 Kasarmikatu 21, Helsinki n/a Office 36% 12/17 YIT’s ownership 40% 16,000 Dixi II, Tikkurila Railway Station, Vantaa n/a Office 87% 4/17 Sold 8,900 Extension of Business Park Rantatie, Helsinki ~25 Office 49% 11/17 Sold 6,000 The largest ongoing self-developed business premises projects Project Value, EUR million Project type Completion rate, % Estimated completion E18 Hamina-Vaalimaa motorway ~260 Infra 66% 12/18 Tampere light railway ~110 Other 0% 12/21 Myllypuro Campus, Metropolia ~70 Infra 0% 8/19 Helsinki Central Library ~50 Other 5% 9/18 Naantali CHP power plant ~40 Infra 86% 9/17 The largest ongoing business premises and infrastructure contractsKey financials
Key figures
EUR million 10–12/2016 10–12/2015 Change 1–12/2016 1–12/2015 Change Revenue 513.7 468.5 10% 1,783.6 1,651.2 8% Operating profit 28.7 16.6 72% 52.9 65.7EBIT-bridge 2015 – 2016
Adjusted operating profit (EUR million), change 2015 – 2016: 5%Cash flow and invested capital
Operating cash flow after investments(EUR million) Invested capital and ROI (EUR million, %) 1,344 1,308 1,196 1,132 1,141 1,103 1,131 1,175 7.5% 6.4% 5.1% 5.3% 4.7% 5.0% 3.6% 4.7% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016 Invested capital ROI 15 113 12 43Negative cash flow led to increase in net debt
Despite the improvement, financial key ratios still on an unsatisfactory level
Ruble strengthened in Q4
Proposal to AGM: Dividend of EUR 0.22
Dividend / share (EUR) Note: Historical figures prior to 2013 are YIT Group pre demergerLooking ahead and conclusions
Market outlook, expectations for 2017
FinlandGuidance for 2017 (segment reporting, POC)
The Group revenue is estimated to grow by 0%-10%. The adjusted operating profit1 is estimated to be in the range of EUR 90-105 million. In addition to the market outlook, the 2017 guidance is based on the following factors:Why invest in YIT?
Trends and drivers provide long-term growth opportunities
Growing need for new apartments, services and infrastructure New business opportunities Megatrends driving market development Our answers We focus on growth centres in all of ourStrong market position in all markets
The Czech Republic: 25,400 start-ups 32,900 residential start-ups Infra construction EUR 6,5 bn Business premises EUR 11,4 bn The Baltics, total: 17,100 residential completions Business premises EUR 3,6 bn 19,000 residential start-ups Business premises EUR 2.2 bn 170,000 residential start-ups 25,700 residential start-ups 1,100,000 residential completions;YIT’s competitive edges
High-quality brand and reputation as a reliable company Innovative concepts and effective design management Strong plot reserve and development capabilities Broad special expertise and strong references Ability to construct demanding projects that combine housing, business premises and infrastructure Broad partner network and excellent cooperation with stakeholders “Best developer in Finland”, Euromoney Real Estate Survey 2015 “Developer of the year 2014” in the Czech Republic ”Real estate developerAppendices
Appendices
Wilhelm Helsinki, FinlandAdditional financial information
Solid plot portfolio, a basis for growth and financial flexibility
Housing Finland and CEE 60 Finland 35 The CEE countries 25 Housing Russia*** 21 Business Premises and Infrastructure 11 Use of plot reserves in 2016, EUR 91 million 1Includes Gorelovo industrial park 2In Finnish housing, several projects are being constructed on rental plots, thus the balance sheet value and use of plot reserves in the balance sheet don’t give accurate picture of the usable plot reserves. 3Calculated at the 12/2016 EUR/RUB exchange rate: 64.30 130 93 59 60 58 91 96 88 45 65 79 135 51 32 13 35 39 79 70 63 13 10 37 15 7 3 5 17 13 11 60 16 302 158 98 73 95 135 192 171 119 138 105 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Finland Russia The CEE countries Cash flow of plot investments 2006-2016 (EUR million) Plot reserves in the balance sheet 12/2016, EUR 621 million Plot reserve in thousand floor sq. m 12/2016 Housing Finland and CEE 2,529 Finland** 2,044 The CEE countries 485 Housing Russia* 2,115 Business Premises and Infrastructure 686 105 2391 1542 124 277 Business Premises and Infrastructure Housing Russia Housing Finland and CEE Finland The CEE countriesConsolidated balance sheet
December 31, 2016 (EUR million) 900 (52%) 621 (36%) 172 (10%) 54 (3%) WIP Land areas and plot owning companies Shares in completed housing and real estate companies Other 1,678 66 242 1,747 229 2,284 12/16 12/16 Note: Figures based on Group reporting (IFRS) * Last 12 months ** Includes deferred tax liabilities, pension obligations, provisions and other liabilities Assets - Inventories, WIP in particular, account for a major share Equity and liabilities Revenue* Non-current assets Inventories Trade and other receivables Cash and cash equivalents 2,036 Other liabilities** Trade and other liabilities Advances received Current borrowings Non-current borrowings Equity (33%)YIT’s cost base in 2016
External services account for a major share of YIT’s costs 856 (60%) 264 (18%) *) Adjusted for interest expenses included in operating profit **) Includes: Other operating expenses, share of results in associated companies and production for own use NOTE: Figures based on Group reporting (IFRS) IFRS, EUR million (% of cost base before EBITDA) Margin on EBIT-level Fixed costs and marketing Labour Materials Design and project management Plot and infra 15-20% ~10% 35-45% 10-15% <10% 10-15% Indicative cost structure of a Finnish residential project Total cost base of EUR 1,388 millionConstruction stage financing
Financing of construction in a typical residential development project in Finland:Business model in self-developed housing varies between countries
Housing indicators
Start-ups expected to decrease slightly in 2017
Consumers’ views on economic situation in one year’s time (balance) Volume of new mortgages and average interest rate (EUR million, %) Residential start-ups (units) Prices of new dwellings (index 2010=100) Sources: Residential start-ups: 2006-2014 Statistics Finland; 2015 – 2018F Euroconstruct, December 2016, Consumer confidence: Statistics Finland, Residential prices: Statistics Finland, Loans and Interest rates: Bank of Finland %Housing indicators have improved slightly
Unsold completed units: Confederation of Finnish Construction Industries RT, Residential building permits, Start-ups and completions: Confederation of Finnish Construction Industries RT, Construction cost index: Statistics Finland, Construction confidence: Confederation of Finnish Industries EK Construction confidence (balance) Unsold completed units (residential development projects) Construction cost index (2005=100)Residential construction is expected to level off
New residential construction volume (EUR million) Residential completions in Lithuania (units) Residential completions in Latvia (units) Residential completions in Estonia (units) Source: Forecon, December 2016 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F Lithuania Estonia Latvia 4,200 2,000 1,500 1,208 1,120 1,113 1,780 2,699 3,100 3,400 3,200 1,100 1,000 800 710 870 966 976 1,270 1,400 1,300 1,200 5,300 3,000 2,300 1,918 1,990 2,079 2,756 3,969 4,500 4,700 4,400 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F 2018F Block of flats Single family houses 6,100 2,400 400 1,640 716 861 1,239 1,106 900 800 900 2,000 1,800 1,500 1,022 1,371 1,376 1,392 1,136 1,000 1,000 1,100 8,100 4,200 1,900 2,662 2,087 2,237 2,631 2,242 1,900 1,800 2,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F 2018F Block of flats Single family housesStart-ups forecasted to grow in the Czech Republic and Poland
Residential start-ups in Slovakia (units) New residential construction volume (EUR million) Residential start-ups in the Czech Republic (units) Residential start-ups in Poland (units) Source: Euroconstruct, December 2016 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F 2018F Czech Republic Slovakia Poland, right axisHousing indicators
New residential construction volume (EUR billion*) Consumer confidence House prices in primary markets (thousand RUB per sq. m.)Business premises and infrastructure construction indicators
New non-residential construction forecasted to pick up slightly in the Baltic countries in 2017
Sources: Euroconstruct and Forecon, December 2016 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F 2018F Office buildings Commercial buildings Industrial buildings 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F 2018F Office buildings Commercial buildings Industrial buildings New non-residential construction in Slovakia (EUR million) New non-residential construction in the Baltic countries (EUR million) 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F 2018F Estonia Latvia Lithuania New non-residential construction in Finland (EUR million) New non-residential construction volumes (index 2012=100) 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F 2018F Finland Estonia Latvia Lithuania SlovakiaPrime yields expected to decrease slightly
Prime yields in Helsinki Metropolitan Area (%) Rental levels of office premises (excl. VAT), new agreements (EUR / sq. m. / year) Vacant office space and the vacancy rate Q2/2016 (thousand sq.m, %) Vacancy rates in Helsinki Metropolitan Area (%) Source: Catella Finland Market Indicator, September 2016Yields are expected decrease slightly
Prime office yields in the Baltic countries (%) Prime office rents in the Baltic countries, (%, EUR / sq. m. / year) Prime retail rents in the Baltic countries, (%, EUR / sq. m. / year) Prime retail yields in the Baltic countries (%) Source: Newsec Property Outlook, October 2016Market expected to remain stable in 2017
Infrastructure market in Finland (EUR million) Infrastructure sectors in Finland (2016) 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E 2018E New Renovation Sources: Euroconstruct, December 2016 Roads 36% Railways 12% Other transport 4% Telecom- munications 11% Energy & water works 26% Other 11%Ownership
YIT’s major shareholders
Shareholder Shares % of share capital 1. Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Company 12,000,000 9.43 2. Herlin Antti 4,710,180 3.70 3. OP Funds 4,581,157 3.60 4. Elo Mutual Pension Insurance Company 3,335,468 2.62 5. The State Pension Fund 2,875,000 2.26 6. Danske Invest funds 2,263,205 1.78 7. Nordea funds 1,905,256 1.50 8. YIT Corporation 1,646,767 1.29 9. Etera Mutual Pension Insurance Company 1,410,000 1.11 10. Aktia funds 1,257,930 0.99 Ten largest total 35,984,963 28.28 Nominee registered shares 32,105,231 25.24 Other shareholders 49,444,730 38,86 Total 127,223,422 100.00 February 28, 2017 4,928 7,456 9,368 14,364 15,265 25,515 29,678 32,476 36,547 36,064 43,752 44,312 41,944 40,016 41,292 22.1% 27.9% 39.9% 45.9% 52.9% 36.5% 38.7% 37.9% 32.2% 34.8% 33.8% 29.3% 26.3% 29.5% 25.9% 12/2003 12/2004 12/2005 12/2006 12/2007 12/2008 12/2009 12/2010 12/2011 12/2012 12/2013 12/2014 12/2015 12/2016 2/2017 Number of shareholders Non-Finnish ownership, % of share capital Number of shareholders and share of non-Finnish ownership, January 31, 2017Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by, and the information contained herein (unless otherwise indicated) has been provided by YIT Corporation (the “Company”). By attending the meeting where this presentation is made, or by reading the presentation slides, you agree to be bound by the following