China China Reform and Opening- -up up Reform and Opening & - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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China China Reform and Opening- -up up Reform and Opening & - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

China China Reform and Opening- -up up Reform and Opening & Economic Development & Economic Development Guoqing Zhang Zhang Guoqing Deputy Director- -General General Deputy Director Policy Research Department Policy Research


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SLIDE 1

China China Reform and Opening Reform and Opening-

  • up

up & Economic Development & Economic Development

Guoqing Guoqing Zhang Zhang Deputy Director Deputy Director-

  • General

General Policy Research Department Policy Research Department Ministry of Commerce Ministry of Commerce China China

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SLIDE 2

Overview: Overview: China China’ ’s Economic Development & s Economic Development & Reform and Opening Reform and Opening-

  • up

up

  • The structure and size of China

The structure and size of China’ ’s economy s economy

  • The evolutions and achievements of China

The evolutions and achievements of China’ ’s economy s economy

  • China

China’ ’s experience in economic development s experience in economic development

  • The challenges ahead of China

The challenges ahead of China’ ’s economy s economy

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SLIDE 3

Structure and Size of Structure and Size of China China’ ’s Economy s Economy

Figures in 2005 Figures in 2005

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SLIDE 4

Population and Employment Population and Employment

  • Total population of 1.3 billion with 16 million

Total population of 1.3 billion with 16 million newborn every year newborn every year

  • Total employment of 758 million

Total employment of 758 million

  • - 273 million in urban areas

273 million in urban areas

  • - 9.7 million newly employed

9.7 million newly employed

  • - the registered unemployment ratio is 4.2% in

the registered unemployment ratio is 4.2% in rural areas by the end of 2005 rural areas by the end of 2005

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SLIDE 5

The Output of Major Industrial Products The Output of Major Industrial Products

  • 14.4 million tons of voile, 47 billion meters fabric, and 16.18 million tons

chemical fiber

  • 82.83 million color TV sets, 29.86 million household refrigerates and 67.65

million air-conditioners

  • 2.19 billion tons of coal, 29.86 million tons of crude oil, 2474.7 billion

kilowatts of electricity, 35.2 billion tons of crude steel, 39.6 billion tons of rolled steel, 8.51 million tons of aluminum oxide

  • 1.06 billion tons of cement, 7.56 million tons of ethene, 52.2 million tons of

chemical fertilizer

  • 5.7 million vehicles, including 2.77 million cars, 162 thousand medium-

large tractors

  • 26.6 billion integrated circus, 77.21 million program control switchers, 30.3

billion mobile phones, 80.84 million micro-electronic computers

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SLIDE 6

Gross Domestic Product Gross Domestic Product

GDP、各产业增加值以及增长率 40000 80000 120000 160000 200000 G G D D P P 第 第 一 一 产 产 业 业 第 第 二 二 产 产 业 业 第 第 三 三 产 产 业 业 亿元 0% 5% 10% 15% 产值 增长率 各产业占GDP的比重 第二 产业 47 3% 第三 产业 40.3% 第一 产业 12.5%

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SLIDE 7

Industrial added Industrial added-

  • value

value

  • Total year

Total year-

  • around industrial added value reaches

around industrial added value reaches RMB 7,619 billion, up 11.4% RMB 7,619 billion, up 11.4%

  • Large

Large-

  • scale industrial added value adds up to RMB

scale industrial added value adds up to RMB 6642.5 billion, up 16.4% 6642.5 billion, up 16.4%

  • The outputs of program control switcher, mobile

The outputs of program control switcher, mobile-

  • phone and micro

phone and micro-

  • electronic computer have increased

electronic computer have increased by 1.3% to 35.3% by 1.3% to 35.3%

  • A rise of 12.9% of integrated circus, 1.3% of

A rise of 12.9% of integrated circus, 1.3% of program program-

  • control switcher, 6.4% of mobile phone, and

control switcher, 6.4% of mobile phone, and 35.3% of micro 35.3% of micro-

  • electronic computer

electronic computer

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SLIDE 8

Grain output Grain output

3.1%

  • 9.8%

0.4%

  • 0.2%
  • 10%
  • 5%

0% 5%

粮食 棉花 油料 糖料

产量增长率

  • Total grain output accounts for 484.01 million tons year-

around, 14.54 million tons or 3.1% increase; including 5.7 million tons cotton; 30.78 million tons oil plant; and 95.51 million tons sugar

  • A steady increase in output and variety of vegetable & fruit

with good-quality

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SLIDE 9

Total Fixed Assets Investment Total Fixed Assets Investment

25.7% 27.3% 18.0% 19.8% 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 全 全 社 社 会 会 投 投 资 资 城 城 镇 镇 投 投 资 资 农 农 村 村 投 投 资 资 房 房 地 地 产 产 开 开 发 发 投 投 资 资 商 商 品 品 房 房 销 销 售 售 额 额 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 金额 增长率

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SLIDE 10

Total retail sales of consumers goods Total retail sales of consumers goods

22082 45095 67177 13.60% 11.50% 12.90%

20000 40000 60000 80000 社会消费品零售总额 城市消费品零售额 县及县以下消费品零售额 10% 11% 12% 13% 14%

金额 增长率

消费增长最快的十二类产品

文 化 办 公 用 品 类 日 用 品 类 家 具 类 食 品 、 饮 料 、 烟 酒 类 金 银 珠 宝 类 家 用 电 器 和 音 像 器 材 类 汽 车 类 化 妆 品 类 服 装 鞋 帽 、 针 、 纺 织 品 类 通 讯 器 材 类 建 筑 及 装 潢 材 料 类 石 油 及 制 品 类

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

石 油 及 制 品 类
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SLIDE 11

Foreign trade and investment Foreign trade and investment

  • Total value of export and import accounts for US$1422.1

Total value of export and import accounts for US$1422.1 billion, up 23.2% and a surplus of US$ 101.9 billion billion, up 23.2% and a surplus of US$ 101.9 billion

  • Total number of Firms from FDI set

Total number of Firms from FDI set-

  • up is 44,001, up 0.8%.

up is 44,001, up 0.8%. Total actual use of DFI accounts for US$ 60.3 billion, decline Total actual use of DFI accounts for US$ 60.3 billion, decline by 0.5% by 0.5%

  • Total external direct investment (excluding financial part)

Total external direct investment (excluding financial part) adds up to US$6.9 billion, up 25.8% adds up to US$6.9 billion, up 25.8%

  • Total turnover of external contracting project amounts for

Total turnover of external contracting project amounts for US$21.8 billion, up 24.6% US$21.8 billion, up 24.6%

  • Total turnover of external labor collaboration adds up to

Total turnover of external labor collaboration adds up to US$4.8 billion, rise by 27.5% US$4.8 billion, rise by 27.5%

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SLIDE 12

Tax Income and Industrial Profit Tax Income and Industrial Profit

  • Total revenue accounts for RMB 3088.6 billion

Total revenue accounts for RMB 3088.6 billion (excluding tariff and agricultural tax), an increase (excluding tariff and agricultural tax), an increase

  • f RMB 514.8 billion or 20% up.
  • f RMB 514.8 billion or 20% up.
  • Total profit of National large

Total profit of National large-

  • scale industrial

scale industrial enterprises adds up to RMB 1436.2 billion, up enterprises adds up to RMB 1436.2 billion, up 22.6% 22.6%

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SLIDE 13

Foreign Exchange Reserve Foreign Exchange Reserve and Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate

  • By the end of 2005, national foreign exchange reserve

By the end of 2005, national foreign exchange reserve had totaled US$ 818.9 billion, an increase of US$208.9 had totaled US$ 818.9 billion, an increase of US$208.9 billion than that of 2004 billion than that of 2004

  • On July 21, 2005, China announced reform on the

On July 21, 2005, China announced reform on the formation system of exchange rate of RMB. By the end of formation system of exchange rate of RMB. By the end of 2005, the RMB is traded at a rate of 8.0702 for the US 2005, the RMB is traded at a rate of 8.0702 for the US dollar, 2.56 points higher than the same period of previous dollar, 2.56 points higher than the same period of previous year year

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SLIDE 14

Evolution and Achievement of China’s Economy

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SLIDE 15

Expansion of Economy Size Expansion of Economy Size

  • China

China’ ’s GDP has grown to RMB18.2 trillion in 2005 s GDP has grown to RMB18.2 trillion in 2005 up from RMB 362.4 billion in 1978, with an average up from RMB 362.4 billion in 1978, with an average annual growth rate over 9% and top annual growth rate over 9% and top-

  • ranked world

ranked world-

  • wide

wide

  • Economy Size fourth

Economy Size fourth-

  • ranked world

ranked world-

  • wide

wide

  • The output of major industrial and agricultural

The output of major industrial and agricultural products ranked among the world products ranked among the world’ ’s top. s top.

  • The biggest country of fixed

The biggest country of fixed-

  • telephone/mobile phone

telephone/mobile phone user in the world user in the world

  • In 1995 and 1997, both GDP and GNP quadrupled

In 1995 and 1997, both GDP and GNP quadrupled those of 1980 those of 1980

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SLIDE 16

End End-

  • up of

up of Shortage Economy

Shortage Economy

  • Phenomenal changes in Marketability
  • China was experiencing an economy of shortage in 1978
  • In 2005, the supply of 428 commodities, or 71.3% of total,

exceeds demand; the supply of 172 commodities, or 28.7% of total, equals to demand

  • Since 1998, demand has never exceeded supply.
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SLIDE 17

Considerable Improvement in Considerable Improvement in Science and Technology (S&T) Science and Technology (S&T)

  • China

China’ ’s overall S&T development is among the modest world s overall S&T development is among the modest world-

  • wide

wide

  • Certain S&T innovation capacity is among international frontie

Certain S&T innovation capacity is among international frontier. r.

  • By the end of 2005, technicians and engineers add up to 27.2

By the end of 2005, technicians and engineers add up to 27.2 million in state million in state-

  • owned enterprises/ institutions
  • wned enterprises/ institutions
  • With 15.62 million students studying in colleges in 2005, the

With 15.62 million students studying in colleges in 2005, the high education with the largest scale came into existence in the high education with the largest scale came into existence in the world . world .

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SLIDE 18

Financial Strength Has Been Financial Strength Has Been considerably Enhanced considerably Enhanced

Financial revenue has been increased from RMB113.2 Financial revenue has been increased from RMB113.2 billion in 1978 to RMB 3088.6 billion in 2005, 27 times billion in 1978 to RMB 3088.6 billion in 2005, 27 times increase, or an average annual growth of 12.5% above increase, or an average annual growth of 12.5% above National foreign exchange reserve has increased from National foreign exchange reserve has increased from US$167 million in 1978 to US$818.9 billion, up to 4000 US$167 million in 1978 to US$818.9 billion, up to 4000 times than that of past. The foreign exchange reserve has times than that of past. The foreign exchange reserve has increased to US$875.1 billion, ranking the top in the world increased to US$875.1 billion, ranking the top in the world

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SLIDE 19

Mechanism Reform Develops Further Mechanism Reform Develops Further

  • Socialist market

Socialist market-

  • oriented economic system has been
  • riented economic system has been

established, and market now is playing a fundamental role in established, and market now is playing a fundamental role in resources allocation. resources allocation.

  • The role of government in economic activities has been

The role of government in economic activities has been transformed continually, In most areas, administrative transformed continually, In most areas, administrative examination and approval are replaced by administrative examination and approval are replaced by administrative license, and governmental intervention decrease license, and governmental intervention decrease

  • System with joint development of multiple economies of

System with joint development of multiple economies of

  • wnership was generally established
  • wnership was generally established
  • Administrative system of state

Administrative system of state-

  • owned assets is
  • wned assets is

continuously improved continuously improved

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SLIDE 20

Relative Advantages Relative Advantages Forged Forged

  • Market with largest potential in the world

Market with largest potential in the world

  • sufficient high

sufficient high-

  • quality, low

quality, low-

  • cost human resources

cost human resources

  • political & social stability, fast economic growth

political & social stability, fast economic growth

  • strong industrial base with intensive competitive

strong industrial base with intensive competitive capacity capacity

  • well

well-

  • established infrastructure

established infrastructure

  • improved legislation environment

improved legislation environment

  • foreseeable political system

foreseeable political system

  • open
  • pen-
  • mind setting

mind setting

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SLIDE 21

Concentrate on Harmonious Society Building Concentrate on Harmonious Society Building

  • Strive for a notion of development with human

Strive for a notion of development with human-

  • centered,

centered, all all-

  • round, coordinative and sustainable approach, and

round, coordinative and sustainable approach, and promote holistic development of economy,society and human promote holistic development of economy,society and human

  • Develop a coordinative regional economy

Develop a coordinative regional economy

  • Rebalance the relationship between nature and human

Rebalance the relationship between nature and human-

  • being

being

  • Income/wealth distribution system to be improved step by

Income/wealth distribution system to be improved step by step, including pension program, insurance covering labor step, including pension program, insurance covering labor and medical , social aid and low income threshold and social and medical , social aid and low income threshold and social security etc. security etc.

  • Pay more attention to job creation, vulnerable group

Pay more attention to job creation, vulnerable group protection and stable social development protection and stable social development

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SLIDE 22

China China’ ’s experience in s experience in economic development economic development

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SLIDE 23

An opening An opening-

  • up approach to

up approach to Development Development

  • China

China’ ’s 27 years of Reform, opening s 27 years of Reform, opening-

  • up, and

up, and modernization modernization

  • China

China’ ’s experience is recognized and appreciated by the s experience is recognized and appreciated by the world world

  • US <International Herald Tribune Timeline > : <China

US <International Herald Tribune Timeline > : <China change in own way> change in own way>

  • UK <guardian>

UK <guardian>: :<China <China’ ’s experience in poverty s experience in poverty reduction> reduction>

  • Mexico <

Mexico <La Jornada La Jornada>: <China >: <China: :the Asian horizon> the Asian horizon>

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SLIDE 24

An opening An opening-

  • up approach to

up approach to development development

  • London Foreign Policy Center published the report <

London Foreign Policy Center published the report <The Beijing The Beijing Consensus Consensus>, which considered that: >, which considered that:

  • The China

The China’ ’s Mode is a developing approach to pursue fair and s Mode is a developing approach to pursue fair and high high-

  • quality improvement which accords with China status,

quality improvement which accords with China status, social demand social demand

  • The China

The China’ ’s mode of economy development not only suits for s mode of economy development not only suits for China, but also be suitable for other developing countries which China, but also be suitable for other developing countries which seek economic development and improving the people seek economic development and improving the people’ ’s life. s life.

“The Beijing Consensus The Beijing Consensus” ” is successful, and the is successful, and the “ “Washington Washington Consensus Consensus” ” is failing, which was popular in the West for 20 is failing, which was popular in the West for 20 years. years.

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SLIDE 25
  • pening
  • pening-
  • up and reform for

up and reform for development development

  • Opening

Opening-

  • up is the fundamental policy and a must

up is the fundamental policy and a must-

  • do choice

do choice for China for China

  • Domestic development is the objective of opening

Domestic development is the objective of opening-

  • up, while

up, while

  • pening
  • pening-
  • up is mean to realize the domestic development

up is mean to realize the domestic development

  • Opening

Opening-

  • up without domestic development makes no sense

up without domestic development makes no sense and even be dangerous. and even be dangerous.

  • Domestic development can not be achieved without opening

Domestic development can not be achieved without opening-

  • up.

up.

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SLIDE 26

Reform and development Reform and development for opening for opening-

  • up

up

  • Through 27 years of persistent opening

Through 27 years of persistent opening-

  • up, China has

up, China has removed structural obstacles of opening removed structural obstacles of opening-

  • up step by

up step by step step

  • After accession to WTO, China integrates domestic

After accession to WTO, China integrates domestic economic system with international market, rules and economic system with international market, rules and regulations, therefore deepens opening regulations, therefore deepens opening-

  • up in all

up in all-

  • dimension

dimension

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SLIDE 27

Sizing Opportunities Sizing Opportunities for development for development

  • Sizing opportunities, widen the opening

Sizing opportunities, widen the opening-

  • up in

up in right time by right measures, promoting the right time by right measures, promoting the domestic development domestic development

  • 1980

1980’ ’s: global labor s: global labor-

  • intensive industry transferred to

intensive industry transferred to developing countries developing countries

  • 1990

1990’ ’s: international industries re s: international industries re-

  • structure

structure

  • First 3 years in 21

First 3 years in 21th

th century: after WTO accession, re

century: after WTO accession, re-

  • define

define the role in global supply chain of manufacturing and hi the role in global supply chain of manufacturing and hi-

  • tech

tech

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SLIDE 28

Active involvement Active involvement the global economy the global economy

  • With the development of economical globalization, the

With the development of economical globalization, the continuation of fast growth of China continuation of fast growth of China’ ’s economy s economy depends on both inner and external environment depends on both inner and external environment

  • China is actively involving in global economy,

China is actively involving in global economy,

  • - national interest top

national interest top-

  • principled

principled

  • - equal rights and obligations

equal rights and obligations

  • - keep a balance in regulations application and

keep a balance in regulations application and compliance compliance

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SLIDE 29

Enhance the vitality of Enhance the vitality of national economy national economy

  • Competition is the source of vitality in market

Competition is the source of vitality in market economy economy

  • A domestic market of huge

A domestic market of huge-

  • size is favorable

size is favorable advantage to domestic development advantage to domestic development

  • Opening

Opening-

  • up not only means taking into China, but

up not only means taking into China, but also means walking out of China also means walking out of China

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SLIDE 30

China China’ ’s Economy s Economy The challenges ahead The challenges ahead

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SLIDE 31

concerns concerns

  • Large population of the poor

Large population of the poor

  • The natural resource per person is inadequate

The natural resource per person is inadequate

  • Disparities in development between the East and

Disparities in development between the East and the West the West

  • Lack of advanced human resource

Lack of advanced human resource

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SLIDE 32

Challenges Challenges

  • Through 15

Through 15-

  • year negotiation, China became a

year negotiation, China became a member of WTO on Dec. 11th of 2001 member of WTO on Dec. 11th of 2001

  • China is in the post

China is in the post-

  • interim period after 3

interim period after 3-

  • year

year interim of WTO membership interim of WTO membership

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SLIDE 33

Key industries in post Key industries in post-

  • interim

interim

  • The average customs tariff has reduced to 10.1% in

The average customs tariff has reduced to 10.1% in 2005, and all the non 2005, and all the non-

  • tariff measures will be

tariff measures will be removed soon removed soon

  • Major service sections will further open the market

Major service sections will further open the market after interim period after interim period

  • China

China’ ’s economy is under free trade pressure during s economy is under free trade pressure during the post the post-

  • interim of WTO accession, such as auto

interim of WTO accession, such as auto industry, agricultural industry and service industry. industry, agricultural industry and service industry.

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SLIDE 34

P Preparations reparations to do to do

  • Actively involved in the new

Actively involved in the new-

  • round negotiation of WTO, as

round negotiation of WTO, as well as the new multi well as the new multi-

  • lateral trading rules formulation, so as

lateral trading rules formulation, so as to to safeguard safeguardding national benefit and rights ding national benefit and rights

  • Improving the competitiveness of agriculture.

Improving the competitiveness of agriculture.

  • Accelerating the adjustment and restructure of manufacturing

Accelerating the adjustment and restructure of manufacturing

  • Deepen the opening up of service industry

Deepen the opening up of service industry

  • Transforming governmental function, and improving the

Transforming governmental function, and improving the administration according to the law administration according to the law

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SLIDE 35

Thank You Thank You