Chapter 11 Categorical Data Analysis Categorical Data and the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Chapter 11 Categorical Data Analysis Categorical Data and the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Chapter 11 Categorical Data Analysis Categorical Data and the Multinomial Distribution Properties of the Multinomial Experiment 1. Experiment has n identical trials 2. There are k possible outcomes to each trial, called classes, categories or
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Categorical Data and the Multinomial Distribution
Properties of the Multinomial Experiment
1. Experiment has n identical trials 2. There are k possible outcomes to each trial, called classes, categories or cells 3. Probabilities of the k outcomes remain constant from trial to trial 4. Trials are independent 5. Variables of interest are the cell counts, n1, n2…nk, the number of observations that fall into each of the k classes
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Testing Category Probabilities: One-Way Table
In a multinomial experiment with categorical data from a single qualitative variable, we summarize data in a one-way table.
Schema for one-way table for an experiment with k outcomes
k1 k2 … k n1 n2 … nk
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Testing Category Probabilities: One-Way Table
Hypothesis Testing for a One-Way Table
- Based on the 2 statistic, which allows comparison
between the observed distribution of counts and an expected distribution of counts across the k classes
- Expected distribution = E(nk)=npk, where n is the total
number of trials, and pk is the hypothesized probability of being in class k according to H0
- The test statistic, 2, is calculated as
and the rejection region is determined by the 2 distribution using k-1 df and the desired
2 2 1
( )
k i i i i
n E n E n
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Testing Category Probabilities: One-Way Table
Hypothesis Testing for a One-Way Table
- The null hypothesis is often formulated as a no difference,
where H0: p1=p2=p3=…=pk=1/k, but can be formulated with non-equivalent probabilities
- Alternate hypothesis states that Ha: at least one of the
multinomial probabilities does not equal its hypothesized value
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Testing Category Probabilities: One-Way Table
Hypothesis Testing for a One-Way Table
- The null hypothesis is often formulated as a no
difference, where H0: p1=p2=p3=…=pk=1/k, but can be formulated with non-equivalent probabilities
- Alternate hypothesis states that Ha: at least one of
the multinomial probabilities does not equal its hypothesized value
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Testing Category Probabilities: One-Way Table
One-Way Tables: an example
H0: pnone=.10, pStandard=.65, pMerit=.25 Ha: At least 2 proportions differ from proposed plan Rejection region with =.01, df = k-1 = 2 is 9.21034 Since the test statistic falls in the rejection region, we reject H0
=Total x p
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Testing Category Probabilities: One-Way Table
Conditions Required for a valid 2 Test
- Multinomial experiment has been
conducted
- Sample size is large, with E(ni) at least 5 for
every cell
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Testing Category Probabilities: Two-Way (Contingency) Table
Used when classifying with two qualitative variables H0: The two classifications are independent Ha: The two classifications are dependent Test Statistic: Rejection region:2>2
, where 2 has (r-1)(c-1) df
General r x c Contingency Table Column 1 2 … c Row Totals 1 n11 n12 … n1c R1 2 n21 n22 n2c R2 Row … … … … … … r nr1 nr2 … nrc Rr Column Totals C1 C2 … Cc n
2 2 ij ij i j ij ij
n E R C w h e re E E n
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Testing Category Probabilities:
Two-Way (Contingency) Table
Conditions Required for a valid 2 Test
- N observed counts are a random sample
from the population of interest
- Sample size is large, with E(ni) at least 5 for
every cell
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Testing Category Probabilities:
Two-Way (Contingency) Table
Sample Statistical package output
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A Word of Caution about Chi-Square Tests
- When an expected cell count is less than 5,
2 probability distribution should not be used
- If H0 is not rejected, do not accept H0 that
the classifications are independent, due to the implications of a Type II error.
- Do not infer causality when H0 is rejected.