CFSR Reviews - Measures Center for State Child Welfare Data Chapin - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

CFSR Reviews - Measures and Methods

Center for State Child Welfare Data Chapin Hall Center for Children University of Chicago

University of Chicago Chapin Hall Center for Children Center for State Child Welfare Data APHSA Casey Family Programs Annie E. Casey

Brought to you by . . .

• APHSA and NAPCWA

Annie E. Casey Foundation Casey Family Programs State Data Center Members

University of Chicago Chapin Hall Center for Children Center for State Child Welfare Data APHSA Casey Family Programs Annie E. Casey

Background

• Goals for today
• Discuss new measures
• Propose options for state response
• Examine how the national standards look
• Role of the Data Center - independent source

University of Chicago Chapin Hall Center for Children Center for State Child Welfare Data APHSA Casey Family Programs Annie E. Casey

High Level View of Changes

• Better alignment with best practices
• Domains remain the same
• Maltreatment in foster care includes all perpetrators with better exposure
• Recurrence is now re-reporting
• Permanency in 12 months rolls up the various permanency options and includes all admissions
• Permanency in 12 months for the children in care over 2 years
• Stability based on days of care provided
• Reentry based on exits to permanency - entry to permanency to re-entry
• No composites
• Better method for establishing national standards
• Baselines and targets are still vague

University of Chicago Chapin Hall Center for Children Center for State Child Welfare Data APHSA Casey Family Programs Annie E. Casey

Bumps

• Baselines and Targets
• Better description/conceptualization of the problem
• Science undeveloped
• Sampling past performance poses conceptual challenges

0.000# 0.100# 0.200# 0.300# 0.400# 0.500# 0.600# 0.700# 0.800# 0.900# 1.000# 0# 5# 10# 15# 20#

Predic'on*Intervals*for*Reunifica'on*Rate*by*State*

University of Chicago Chapin Hall Center for Children Center for State Child Welfare Data APHSA Casey Family Programs Annie E. Casey

New Ideas

• Risk adjustment
• Major shortcoming in prior rounds
• Room here to assess the options
• Age, placement rate, care type, reentry rate, policy context
• Parsimony
• New theory of how states differ
• Goes by different names
• Used widely in schools and health care
• Highly adaptable
• Very powerful

University of Chicago Chapin Hall Center for Children Center for State Child Welfare Data APHSA Casey Family Programs Annie E. Casey

Data Center Members
 Ranked Using CFSR Approach

!1# !0.8# !0.6# !0.4# !0.2# 0# 0.2# 0.4# 0.6# 0.8# A# B# C# D# E# F# G# H# I# J# K# L# M# N# O# P# Q# R# S# T# U# V# W# EB#!## EB#+# EB#

University of Chicago Chapin Hall Center for Children Center for State Child Welfare Data APHSA Casey Family Programs Annie E. Casey

State A

!0.6% !0.4% !0.2% 0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% County%77% County%33% County%83% County%53% County%89% County%15% County%19% County%75% County%23% County%97% County%113% County%107% County%71% County%57% County%1% County%7% County%105% County%63% County%17% County%37% County%79% County%73% County%95% County%31% County%109% County%59% County%91% County%27% County%81% County%21% County%55% County%87% County%111% County%51% County%101% County%99% County%13% County%25% County%65% County%41% County%69% County%29% County%93% County%67% County%5% County%45% County%43% County%39% County%35% County%47% County%9% County%115% County%85% County%103% County%61% County%49% County%11%

Random'Effects/Confidence'Limits'for'Permanency'Exit:'State'A'

University of Chicago Chapin Hall Center for Children Center for State Child Welfare Data APHSA Casey Family Programs Annie E. Casey

State B

!0.8% !0.6% !0.4% !0.2% 0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1% 1.2% County%7% County%149% County%147% County%55% County%123% County%137% County%47% County%103% County%99% County%81% County%13% County%39% County%27% County%93% County%15% County%83% County%33% County%69% County%79% County%67% County%25% County%17% County%37% County%51% County%65% County%151% County%95% County%11% County%91% County%143% County%19% County%107% County%53% County%121% County%133% County%75% County%87% County%3% County%57% County%109% County%5% County%63% County%135% County%21% County%127% County%85% County%125% County%61% County%145% County%97% County%111% County%77% County%29% County%31% County%117% County%113% County%141% County%131% County%35% County%89% County%101% County%49% County%45% County%41% County%119% County%1% County%9% County%129% County%153% County%105% County%71% County%43% County%139% County%23% County%73% County%59% County%115%

Random'Effects/Confidence'Limits'for'Permanency'Exits:'State''B'

University of Chicago Chapin Hall Center for Children Center for State Child Welfare Data APHSA Casey Family Programs Annie E. Casey

State C

!0.8% !0.6% !0.4% !0.2% 0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% County%67% County%201% County%163% County%105% County%133% County%143% County%5% County%37% County%97% County%107% County%57% County%195% County%169% County%199% County%59% County%75% County%1% County%153% County%7% County%135% County%175% County%83% County%15% County%155% County%77% County%63% County%189% County%115% County%183% County%127% County%145% County%117% County%19% County%9% County%25% County%181% County%109% County%69% County%65% County%173% County%113% County%45% County%157% County%93% County%147% County%35% County%87% County%191% County%85% County%39% County%29%

Random'Effects/Confidence'Limits'for'Permanency'Exit:'State'C'

University of Chicago Chapin Hall Center for Children Center for State Child Welfare Data APHSA Casey Family Programs Annie E. Casey

Providers Nested W/in Counties

University of Chicago Chapin Hall Center for Children Center for State Child Welfare Data APHSA Casey Family Programs Annie E. Casey

Placement Rate Maps