Cementos Argos S.A
Corporate presentation – 2015
Argos Innovation Center, EAFIT University, Medellin, Colombia
Cementos Argos S.A Corporate presentation 2015 New presentation of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Argos Innovation Center, EAFIT University, Medellin, Colombia Cementos Argos S.A Corporate presentation 2015 New presentation of grey and white cement of 1kg in Colombia This document contains forward-looking statements and information
Corporate presentation – 2015
Argos Innovation Center, EAFIT University, Medellin, Colombia
2
DISCLAIMER DISCLAIMER
This document contains forward-looking statements and information related to Cementos Argos S.A. and its subsidiaries (together referred to as “Argos”) that are based on the knowledge of current facts, expectations and projections, circumstances and assumptions of future events. Various factors may cause Argos’ actual future results, performance or accomplishments to differ from those expressed or assumed herein. If an unexpected situation presents itself or if any of the premises or of the company’s estimations turn out to be incorrect, future results may differ significantly from the ones that are mentioned herein. The forward-looking statements are made to date and Argos does not assume any obligation to update said statements in the future as a result of new information, future events or any other factors.
New presentation of grey and white cement of 1kg in Colombia
3
37.8% 42.9% 18.8% 0.5%
53% 46% 1%
Revenues by product 9M15
20 M MT
Installed cement capacity Installed ready-mix capacity
18 M m3
Regional Divisions
Countries
Leading pure cement player in our core geography…
13
Cement plants
9
Grinding stations
~390
RMX plants
Other Cement RMX
Market Leadership:
Colombia
Market leader
Caribbean & Central America USA
1 out of 2
leading producers
47%
share of the seaborne trade market for cement and clinker
2nd
largest cement producer in the Southeast
2nd
largest RMX producer in USA
Emerging Major: 5th largest producer in Latam
Revenues by geography 9M15
* 1 trillion (Tn) = 1,000,000,000,000 - FX as of December 31st, 2014 : COP 2,392.46 / USD: as of March 31st, 2015: COP 2,576.05 / USDRevenues EBITDA
9M15
USD 2,191 M
COP 784 Bn
vs 9M14 ∆ -1%
vs 9M14 ∆ +41% vs 9M14 ∆ +35%**
COP 4.3 Tn*
vs 9M14 ∆ +4%
USD 404 M
Colombia USA Caribbean & Central America Other
2014
USD 2,908 M
COP 1.1 Tn
vs 2013 ∆ +9%
vs 2013 ∆ +8% vs 2013 ∆ +17%
COP 5.8 Tn*
vs 2013 ∆ +2%
USD 534 M
** Comparative vs 1Q14 IFRS figures Cementos Argos S.A. has a presence in Venezuela through its subsidiary Corporación de Cemento Andino C.A., which is currently a party to a legal proceeding regarding the expropriation by the Venezuelan government of its plant located in the state of Trujillo, Venezuela. Any compensation to which Cementos Argos S.A. or its subsidiary Compañía de Cemento Andino C.A. may be entitled to is subject to the decisions of the relevant courts in the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela. Cementos Argos S.A. has written-down to zero its investment in the plant.4
…in more than 70 years of profitable and continuous growth
Successful
share issuance
Acquisition
Honduras
Included in
DJSI
Spin-off of
non core assets to Grupo Argos
Merger of 3
ready-mix concrete companies
Commenced operations
at Cartagena plant
Expanded operations in
Suriname
2009 2007 2010
Merger of
8 cement companies
Acquired
Southern Star Concrete Company
Acquired
RMCC in US
Acquired
Cementos Andino
1934:
Compañía de Cementos Argos (currently Grupo Argos) was founded
1944:
Cementos del Caribe (currently Cementos Argos) was founded
2011
Duty free zone
is created in Cartagena
2008 2012 2006 2005 1934 1944
Acquired
Holcim’s interest in a Caribbean JV and Caricement Antilles
Divested non-
core coal asset to Vale
2013 2014
Acquired
assets from Vulcan in Florida – USA
Acquired
assets in French Guiana
New
dispatch center in Cartagena plant in Colombia
Acquired
assets from Lafarge in USA
Source: Cementos Argos Ongoingexpansion projects in Colombia:
Ongoing
Harleyville expansion
2015
Acquired
cement terminal in Puerto Rico
5
Investment drivers for Cementos Argos
Clear Corporate strategy Competitive advantages Experienced management with a proven track record Financial flexibility to grow
Ability to seize the unique growth
6
Clear Corporate strategy…
1
Continue to focus
business and consolidate market leadership in our existing markets Provide our customers with the best value proposition
1
Continue enhancing distribution & logistics network
2
Improve
efficiencies and reduce production costs
3
Selectively pursue attractive
4
Maintain emphasis
people & sustainable development
5
7
…focused on the advantages of three contiguous regions
1
Logistics synergies given our geographic area, port infrastructure and maritime know-how Countries with consumption per capita growth potential Economies with different market cycles. Balance between developed & emerging economies
8
Competitive Advantages: Vertically integrated
2
Limestone Clinker Aggregates Cement RMC Transport & logistics Energy
Colombia Regional Division Caribbean & Central America Regional Division
Vertical integration and interconnectivity boosted by our geographic footprint
USA Regional Division
9
Competitive advantages: Strategically located assets and a broad logistics and distribution network enhances flexibility
2
Source: Cementos Argos
24
~70
~2.800
Dispatch facilities & warehouses Ports / Terminals Mixers
13
Cement Plants
~390 9
RMX Plants Grinding Stations
Enhanced flexibility and coverage capabilities to supply local and regional markets
Strategically located assets Well established distribution network
both rail and sea
markets via exports from the port in Mobile, Alabama
Low cost cement production & Export Potential
USA plants provide additional flexibility
Currently supplied from Cartagena Potential supply
Cartagena plant enhances regional linkages
State of the art facility
MTPA of cement
access to a dedicated port
exemptions secured to 2028
Newberry Roberta Harleyville Cartagena
10
Competitive advantages: Our value proposition, tailor-made business model for each customer segment
2
With proven results: Satisfaction and loyalty levels above industry averages Increasing market share in infrastructure
Promote our customers’ business growth Develop initiatives to create demand Proximity and ease of access to our products Recognition and use of our brand
Tailor-made concrete solutions based on a unique understanding of each project Access to technology and equipment (on-site plants, placement equipment) Specialized technical assistance: Durability, concrete technologies Lead time optimization
Our cement can be more than a commodity One High-value brand Differential service Commercial assistance Technical assistance Technological platform For retail customers
Value propositions offered include…
For industrial customers
Value propositions offered include…
11
Experienced management with proven track record
3
Senior management Jorge Mario Velásquez CEO Since 1983 at Argos Board of Directors
7 Members 5 Independent*
José Alberto Vélez Chairman
Acquisitions
Examples:
USD 245 M
+ 20
years of average experience in the industry
Completed organic growth
Examples:+
+ USD 3.5 Bn Funded & invested during the last 10 years
Focus & reorganization
Examples:
companies in Colombia
assets
assets
+
With a proven track record
18%
CAGR Revenues 2010-2014
18%
CAGR EBITDA 2010-2014
Caribbean & CA Regional DivisionMauricio Ossa
Since 1996 at Argos USA Regional DivisionEric Flesch
Since 1979 at Argos Legal and Institutional AffairsJuan Luis Múnera
Since 2005 at Argos Talent and Organizational ArchitectureJorge I Acevedo
Since 2005 at Argos TechnicalVictor Lizarralde
Since 1982 at Argos InnovationCamilo Restrepo
Since 2005 at Argos SustainabilityMaría Isabel Echeverry
Since 1997 at Argos Finance and Shared ServicesCarlos Yusty
Since 1996 at Argos Colombia Regional DivisionTomás Restrepo
Since 2007 at Argos Source: Cementos Argos * Two out of five independent members are certified following regulation related to BoD in Colombia12
Financial flexibility to grow organically and to selectively pursue strategic acquisitions
4
Strong operating cash flow generation
+ + +
Track record of accessing capital markets Proceeds from dispositions Current investment portfolio
Defined core geography Synergies targeted from: Vertical integration Market growth Cost optimization
Planned organic growth
Our flexibility has been maintained by our operational strength and prudent management
Source: Cementos ArgosPotential growth
+
Funds from preferred shares issuance
at Sogamoso plant located in Boyaca-Colombia :
3 cement plants in Colombia (Rioclaro, Nare and Cairo)
capacity
capacity from 1.0 mm to 1.5 mm MTPA
cementitious materials
Preparation for the USA comeback
Inorganic growth strategy
Other Initiatives
Expansion in attractive markets:
Antioquia Sogamoso
13
Three regions, One interconnected strategic area
Cementos Argos S.A. has a presence in Venezuela through its subsidiary Corporación de Cemento Andino C.A., which is currently a party to a legal proceeding regarding the expropriation by the Venezuelan government14 13 40 50 69 75 80 103 105 106 108 120 135 Spain Panama Chile Mexico Suriname Uruguay Costa Rica Peru Honduras Colombia Brazil Venezuela
Colombia: Leader company in an attractive market
Leading market position Competitive advantages Market share as of Sep 2015
Cement sales volume RMX sales volume
Source: DANE – Cementos Argosall major population centers
dedicated port facilities for exports
final consumers
infrastructure projects in areas with difficult access
Best positioned to capture the opportunity
Residential and commercial construction
USD 72 Bn*
~1.7% of GDP Government investment
USD 66 Bn
~1.6% of GDP Private investments
0.6 M units
Quantitative deficit
1.1 M units
+60%
below 35 years old
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0
0-4 10-14 20-24 30-34 40-44 50-54 60-64 70-74 80 + mm inhabitants2020E 2012
class
Growing and young population Infrastructure and housing plans 2014-2024 Housing deficit
(as of 2012)Commercial need
1= best
Infrastructure deficit
Infrastructure development
Source: Global Competitiveness Report 2014-2015 (analysis of 144 countries) / ANIF, Infrastructure Commission, DNP, Ministry of Transportation.Otros 57%
#1 43%
Otros 53%
#1 47%
* Calculated in 2014 with FX Rate of COP 1,920 / USDFinancial results 2011 2012 2013 2014 9M15
Cement volume sold (M MTPA) 5.0 5.1 5.4 5.5 4.6 RMC volume sold (M m³) 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.5 2.8 Revenues (USD M) 1,087 1,272 1,364 1,205 823 y-o-y Growth (y-o-y) 29% 17% 7%
EBITDA (USD M) 351 449 484 391 235 EBITDA Margin 34% 35% 35% 32% 29%
Qualitative deficit
15
58 tunnels
4G’s 1st and 2nd waves already awarded: 18 projects = COP$22.8 tn* (~USD 8bn) 3.080kms
3 2 4 1 5 7 9 6 8 8 6 4 7 9 1 3 5 2
1st wave 2nd wave Argos’ Plants
6 projects with financial closing 3 projects under pre-construction / initiation signed 7 projects under pre-construction / initiation signed 2 projects with contracts signed
7 projects in
Antioquia
Future budgets assigned to 12 projects (COP 19tn); COP 29tn pending 310 bridges 29 tunnels 253 bridges
1st wave Capex Kms
1 Conexión Pacifico 2 1.3 98 2 Honda - Girardot - Puerto Salgar 1.0 190 3 Conexión Pacífico 1 1.8 37 4 Cartagena - Barranquilla 1.0 147 5 Conexión Pacifico 3 1.3 231 6 Perimetral del Oriente de Cundinamarca 1.1 153 7 Autopistas Conexión Norte 1.0 146 8 Mulaló – Loboguerrero 1.2 84 9 Autopista Rio Magdalena 2 1.3 150 Total - COP tn 10.8 1,236
2nd wave Capex Kms
1 Pasto - Rumichaca 1.6 80 2 Villavicencio - Yopal 1.9 264 3 Puerta de Hierro - Palmar de Varela 0.5 203 4 Santana - Mocoa - Neiva 1.5 447 5 Santander de Quilichao - Popayán 1.2 76 6 Bucaramanga - Barrancabermeja 1.8 212 7 Transversal del Sisga 0.5 137 8 Autopista al Mar 2 1.5 245 9 Autopista al Mar 1 1.5 180 Total - COP tn 12.0 1,844
FC FC FC FC FC FC FC * 1 billion = 1,000,000,000 - 1 trillion = 1,000,000,000,000 Source: ANI - DNP16
COP$11.2tn*
7 projects awarded = COP$7 tn
PPP from private initiative advancing successfully
Private Initiave PPP
Private Initiave PPP Capex Kms
1 Ibagué - Cajamarca 1.0 225 2 Chirajara - Villavicencio 1.9 86 3 Malla vial del Meta 1.3 325 4 Cesar - Guajira 0.4 350 5 Cambao - Manizales 1.3 256 6 Antioquia - Bolívar 1.1 491 7 Tercer Carril Bgt -Girardot 2.4 151 8 Neiva - Girardot 0.7 193 9 Vías del Nus 1.1 158 Total - COP tn 11.2 2,235
1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 7
6 projects under pre-construction / initiation signed 1 project award 2 projects under study and awarding process
(~USD$4.8 bn) 319 Private initiatives presented
14% Under feasibility study 53% Under pre-feasibility study 30% Rejected 3% Approved and advancing
PPP scope
Argos’ Plants
* 1 billion = 1,000,000,000 - 1 trillion = 1,000,000,000,000 Source: ANI - DNP17
Infrastructure developments moving forward
Source: ANI, INVIASNew national roads program “Vías de la equidad”
Projects
COP 4.8 Tn
will be invested in:
433
KM of Primary Roads
543
KM of secondary Roads
Future Budget assigned:
Airports under renovation
2016: $0.6 Tn 2017 :$1.1 Tn 2018: $1.1 Tn 2019: $1.0 Tn 2020: $0.7 Tn Boosting transport infrastructure in the short term
COP 2.8 Tn
to be invested in 2014 - 2018 Main projects under development / bidding
Airport infrastructure a priority to improve competitiveness
18
Housing and infrastructure programs underway
Source: ANI, FDN, Minvivienda – Camacol6
4G Program
First & Second wave awarded
Projects approved COP 11.2 Tn
Projects with financial closing
10
Pre-construction process
2
Financial sources materializing ~COP 36 Tn
COP 17 Tn Local Banks COP 7 Tn Private equity Funds COP 2 Tn Multilateral banks COP 6 Tn Government (FDN) COP 4 Tn Foreign Banks
announced COP 3 Tn initially to total COP 4.5 Tn
balanced among parties involved
possible “AA+” rating by Fitch Contracts signed
PPP – Private initiative
A reality under execution
7
Under bidding process
44
Projects under feasibility study
New Housing programs are just beginning
(+4.5%), Social housing (VIS) will rebound in the coming months as the hosing programs take place
11%
4.5%
50.2% for housing, 34% No VIS and 100.6% VIS
process in sept/2015
in 2016 and 69k in 2017
forward with land acquisitions. The first 100k free homes were all granted in Nov/2015
New home sales (Und)
Awarded 2
120,931 50,378 70,553 126,432 48,210 78,222 Total VIS No VIS sep-14 sep-15
19
USA: Vertically integrated operations in attractive regions
USA installed capacity ~ 110 MTPA
Cement Plants RMC Areas Grinding Facilities Ports/Terminals
Leading position with vertically integrated operations
the Southeastern region1
the US (#1 or #2 player in most RMC areas served)
network (sea, land and railway)
M MTPA Cement consumption (M MTPA) Share of cement consumption (%)2
States where we are present**
…and an increasing share of national cement consumption
Source: U.S. Census Bureau ¹ Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, FloridaPopulation annual growth
…we have operations in some of the most attractive US States
With superior demographics…
USA cement market is poised for rapid recovery… Ready for the US comeback
** Texas, Arkansas, Alabama, NC, SC, Virginia, Georgia , Florida0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 2012E 2014E 2016E 2018E 2020E 2022E Southeast U.S. states¹ U.S. total
Source: PCA - Fall 2015 Forecast2013 2014
26.1 29.5 33% 34%
Financial results 2011 2012 2013 2014 9M15
Cement volume sold (M MTPA) 0.6 1.6 1.8 2.8 2.5 RMC volume sold (M m³) 4 5.1 5.4 7.1 5.6 Revenues (USD M) 475 664 748 1,092 933 Growth 9% 40% 13% 46% 16% EBITDA (USD M)
14 68 86 EBITDA Margin 1.9% 6.2% 9.3%
128 128 117 97 71 68 70 76 80 86 90 94 99 105 111 117
20
US market fundamentals remain strong
Source: Bloomberg - US Census BureauLabor market - indicator of a healthy economy Building permits – Signs of positive dynamics
Long term average : 1,190 Building permits (000)
Unemployment rate %
in south states reaching 587k permits.
Nonresidential Construction activity strong in the south states
Sept, above the USA average (53), remaining over 50 points so far this year
Transport infrastructure getting ready for a new start
USD 300 billion in transportation and infrastructure programs to address the nation’s deteriorating roads and bridges
21
Caribbean & Central America: High growth prospects and strategic interconnection of all regions
47%
CemexRMX
Geographic footprint
Other 5%48%
Growth drivers
Profitable and growing interconnectivity
Honduras - Market share
Cement 53% 47%
cement and RMC
vessels gives unparalleled access to mainland and island markets
market for cement and clinker
Cement volume sold
Haiti DR Suriname Panama Trading
Breakdown as of 9M15
and Honduras, markets with great potential
and Suriname
Honduras Otros
Panamá - Market share
Other 72%28%
Honduras Panama
including USD 680 M in road infrastructure
improvements.
Expected to include the 1st underground transportation system in Central America and additional highways
Haití Dominican Republic
Rest of Caribbean
Haitian government, the UN, and the international community
including:
Santiago
continue to rebound following the global economic crisis Cement
Source: Cementos Argos, INDESA, Contraloría General de la República de Panamá, and ADOCEM ¹ Estimates based on public information from maritime and customs agencies from the CaribbeanFinancial results 2011 2012 2013 2014 9M15
Cement volume sold (MMTPA) 2.3 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.0 RMC volume sold (M m³) 0.46 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 Revenues (USD M) 335 398 448 543 409 Growth 5% 19% 12% 21%
EBITDA (USD M) 87 89 103 165 133 EBITDA Margin 26% 22% 23% 30% 33%
22% 23% 13% 10% 2% 7% 23%
CCA markets continue showing positives dynamics
Panama
Outlook for the coming years remains positive
Honduras
Government economic initiatives are being effective
sector in 2015 and 2016, mainly in San Pedro and Tegucigalpa area
public sector with focus on airports and roads
dynamics in infrastructure
GDP expectations USD bn
in 2015 are signs of a better sector performance in 2016
government revenues by 20%
expected to start in 1Q16 (44 months of execution)
construction
GDP expectations USD bn
Source: Co-alianza Honduras – Contraloría de Panama6.2% 6.4% 6.8% 6.5% 5.4% 6.0% 6.1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8%
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020ENomial GDP, USDbn Real GDP growth 3.1% 4.1% 3.6% 3.6% 3.3% 3.1% 3.2% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5%
5 10 15 20 25 30 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020ENomial GDP, USDbn Real GDP growth
1,124k
1,263k
+12%
Increased of cement volumes YTD – Sept/2015
Concrete placement in project “Reserva del Río”, Medellín, Colombia
24
Consolidated financial highlights
Cement volume1 (mm MTPA) RMC volume (mm m³) Revenues (COP$ bn) EBITDA (COP$ bn)
Source: Cementos Argos 1 Cement volume includes exports7.3 5.3 5.9 7.0 8.5 9.4 11.1 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 3,805 3,449 3,023 3,668 4,380 4,968 5,803 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
USD$ M 2,152 1,951 1,710 2,075 2,437 2,656 2,908 335 369 305 385 447 524 USD$ M 534
591 651 539 682 791 978 1,060 15.6% 18.9% 17.8% 18.6% 18.1% 19.7% 18.3% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0%
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 EBITDA Margen EBITDA
8.9 8.1 7.8 9.3 10.8 11.6 12.6 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
25
Consolidated financial highlights (cont.)
Consolidated ratios Dividends per ordinary share* (COP$) Capex
Source: Cementos Argos * 2015 Annual dividend based on proposal approved at 2015 General Shareholders´Meeting; Yield: Calculated as annual declared dividend / stock price at the end of the previous year; The dividend of the preferred share is COP 231 / share, as defined in the prospectus of preferred shares issuance of May 2013. According to this dividend and the value of the preferred share as of December 31, 2014 (COP $9.650 per preferred share), the Yield of this species is 2.4%939 505 491 253 291 436 456 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Strategic Maintenance 3.7x 3.6x 3.9x 4.2x 3.5x 1.9x 3.8x 2.3x 2.3x 3.0x 3.7x 3.8x 6.0x 5.9x 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Neta Debt / (EBITDA + Dividends) EBITDA / Financial expenses 112 121 126 132 140 154 166 178 1.2% 1.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5%
100 150 200 250 300 350 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Dividend Ordinary Share Yield
Facade of the Argos Innovation Center, simulating the pages of books
27 1,305 1,653 1,453 1,826 1,500 2,268 1,550
2014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T
Revenues
COP billion
EBITDA
COP billion
Net Income
COP billion
EBITDA Margin
%
Net Margin
%
261 307 256 371 268 432 2552014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T76 79 46 142 106 151 74
2014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T
5,808 5,747 1,039 1,110 302 372
27% 18% 3% 26%
11% 3% 3% 10%
21%
80%
5%
132%
45% 211%
35%
784
41% 63% 228
Note: 1Q14, 2Q14, 3Q14 and 2015 figures under IFRS; all other figures in ColGAAP2014 2015 Var (bps) 1Q 5.9 4.8
2Q 3.1 7.8 464 3Q 7.1 6.7
2014 2015 Var (bps) 1Q 20.0 18.6
2Q 17.6 20.3 268 3Q 17.9 19.0 120
3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q24%
51% 61%
17%
6%
43%
61% growth in EBITDA and 43% in Net Income result from focus on ROE improvement coming mainly from:
3Q15: Positive trends levered by a strong corporate strategy result in record figures
28
32% 37% 27% 4% 43% 23% 28% 6% 44% 22% 27% 7%
Consolidated volume
2,740 3,238
3,286 3,605
3,338 3,843 3,213
2014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T
2,376 2,538
2,892 2,923
3,001 3,224 2,782
2014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T
Cement*
Ton 000
Concrete
m3 000
20% 2%
11% 18% 10% 7% 1% 22% 4%
15% 33% 34% 28% 5%
12,576 10,685
Colombia CCA USA Exports Colombia USA – South Central USA - Southeast CCA
2014 2015 2014 2015
11,051 8,685
(*) Includes grey cement, oil-well cement, white cement and cementitious products9,363
14%
8,269
5%
3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q7% 10%
15% 7%
29 1,252 1,484 1,301 1,434 1,486 1,687 1,498
2014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T
Cement*
Ton 000
Concrete
m3 000
Colombia: Continuing positive trend with market share gains
856 796 866 909 903 1,063 828
2014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T
5,537 4,606 3,453 2,767
19%
4% 14% 1%
1% 4%
10%
14%
5%
(*) Includes grey cement, oil-well cement, white cement and cementitious products4,039
14%
2,625
5%
3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q18%
14%
17%
18%
northwest
30
Colombia: EBITDA expansion with positive outlook
238 192 181 198 186 232 172
2014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T590 658 593 678 598 838 621
2014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4TRevenues
COP Billion
EBITDA
COP Billion
EBITDA Margin
%
40 29 31 29 31 28 28 2014 2015
4T 3T 2T 1T
2,403
2,174
778
621
11%
1% 1% 4%
3%
3% 14%
3%
9%
1,782 606 22% 3%
Note: 2015 figures under IFRS; 2014 figures under ColGAAP 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q29% 34%
40% 25%
23% 17%
31
Regional USA: Positive market trends despite weather conditions
Cement
ratifies positive trend despite adverse weather
market through our terminals in Houston and Mobile RMX
better weather conditions in the South center
zone increased by 10% y-o-y
1,382 1,631 1,899 1,910 1,956 2,050 1,844
2014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T
455 635 811 910 806 958 727
2014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T
2,799 2,502 7,081 5,591
Cement
Ton 000
Concrete
m3 000
39% 18%
78%
37% 3%
43%
12%
17%
1%
5,238
7% 21%
2,073
(*) Source: USGS; Argos’s states include shipments in : Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q19% 5%
5%
7%
32
1.8 14.1 24.0 34.7 26.5 37.5 15.82014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4TRegional USA: Continuous recovery drives margin improvement
Joaquin, specially in the Carolinas
improvements to our port facility in Houston, TX
202 264 295 321 308 348 2882014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T1,092 933
0.9 5.4 8.1 10.8 8.6 10.8 5.5
2014 2015
4T 3T 2T 1T68.2 86.3
31% 671% 46% 4%
1210% 10%
22%
9% 44% 146%
Revenues
USD$ Million
EBITDA
USD$ Million
EBITDA Margin
%
804
16%
52.4
65%
Note: 2015 figures under IFRS; 2014 figures under ColGAAP 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q6.5% 9.3%
3%
13% 8% 41%
8%
33
Cement
volume growth
2016 pending infrastructure developments currently on hold
139 112 126 105 141 110 110
2014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T
826 951 898 1,104 791 943 754
2014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T
3,269 2,998 516 327
Cement
Ton 000
Concrete
m3 000
15%
9%
12%
16%
23%
Caribbean and Central America: Diversification supports positive cement volume trend
3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q2,515
19%
407
3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q19%
5%
34
28 32 30 35 31 31 33 2014 2015
4T 3T 2T 1T 135 134 141 138 141 136 1272014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T 37 43 42 48 44 43 422014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T543 409 165 133
0% 15%
this highly efficient operation and offsets lower volumes in Panama.
4% 0%
13% 5%
3%
11%
14%
Revenues
USD$ Million
EBITDA
USD$ Million
EBITDA Margin
%
Caribbean and Central America: Cash generation remains strong
417
123
8%
Note: 2015 figures under IFRS; 2014 figures under ColGAAP 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q 3Q 1Q 2Q 4Q29.5% 32.6%
2%
35
Strong balance sheet to maximize growth opportunities
16% 9% 54% 21% 12% 20% 27% 29% 12%
Assets Liabilities
Current Deferred and intangible PP&E
Permanent investments
Bonds LT financial obligations Other LT ST financial obligations Other ST
COP trillion* COP trillion
17.1 8.7
Figures as of September 30th, 2015
17.1 8.4 8.7 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 Assets
COP Trillion Assets Shareholders' Equity Liabilities
* For the purposes of this presentation 1 billion = 1,000,000,000 and 1 trillion = 1,000,000,000,00036
36% 64% COP USD 79% 21% LT ST
Adequate indebtedness level and profile
Debt as of September 30th, 2015
Consolidated cost of debt
Net Debt EBITDA + Dividends EBITDA Financial expenses
Total gross debt = USD 1,842 million
7.3% 7.4% 7.7% 7.8% 8.1% 8.4% 8.3% 8.7% 9.0% 9.0% 8.9% 8.7% 3.0% 2.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.9% 2.8% 2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 COP USD
Net Debt Shareholder’ equity
* Note: For ratio Net debt to EBITDA + Dividends, Net debt and EBITDA are calculated with the same FX rate (since 1Q15)= 3.45x = 4.78x = 64%
36%
COP 2,070 billion
64%
USD 1,179 million
37
Short-term:
USD million
Long-term:
USD million 378 1,463
Adequate indebtedness level and profile (cont.)
Debt as of September 30th, 2015
82 172 29 1 16 1 1 1 9 1 1 1 50 100 150 200 250 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Bank Loans Bonds Infraestructure leasing 39 24 24 324 309 31 188 31 23 96 135 97 100 2 6 7 6 7 7 8 150 300 450 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 Bank Loans Bonds Infraestructure leasing 26 37
38
Consolidated cash flow
COP Billion – as September 30th, 2015
445
+ 3
+ 103
+ 1110 533 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 Cash Flow at Sept 2015 Exchange rate effect Acquisitions Net Financial Op. Net Other Non-Operating Net Dividends Net Financial Expenses Taxes Strategic CAPEX Maintenance CAPEX Net Op. Working Capital EBITDA Cash Flow at Jan. 2015 EBITDA 1,109,656 (+) Working Capital Var. (150,481) (-) Maintenance Capex 188,547 (-) Strategic Capex
230,842
(-) Taxes
236,684
Total Free Cash Flow
303,102
Financial Cash Flow (+) Financial Contribution
(214,428)
(-) Net Dividends
(196,414)
(+) Net Other Operating
2,516
(+) Net Financial Op.
(54,787)
(+) Capitalization
(2,259)
(+) Acquisitions
(28,293)
(+) Divestitures
6,761
Total Financial Cash Flow (486,902) Total Cash Flow for the Period (183,800) (+) Initial Cash Flow 532,838 (+) Exchange rate effect 95,814 Final Cash Flow 444,852 Total Cash flow (COP Mill)
39
4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 01/14 03/14 05/14 07/14 09/14 11/14 01/15 03/15 05/15 07/15 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 01/14 03/14 05/14 07/14 09/14 11/14 01/15 03/15 05/15 07/15% YTD – Sept/2015
Vs.
% YTD – Sept/2015 +18.5% since issuance (May 2013)
Investment portfolio improves the company´s financial flexibility
67.1% 32.2% 0.7%
Grupo Sura Bancolombia Cartón Colombia
Ordinary Share
CEMARGOS Preferred Share
PFCEMARGOS
Price (COP)
Company
% Stake Price per Share (COP) Value (COP$ million)* Value (US$ million)* Grupo Suramericana 6.0% 35,880 1,011,215 324 Bancolombia 4.0% 23,720 484,769 155 Cartón Colombia 2.1% 4,600 10,621 3
Total 1,506,606 483
* FX Rate as of September 30th, 2015: COP 3,121.94 / USD
9,760
Price (COP)
9,130
APPENDIX
SUMMARY PER REGIONAL DIVISION / OTHER BUSINESSES/ OPERATING PROFIT AND EBITDA (IN COP AND USD) / EXPORTS
Improving mobility in Colombian cities with Argos’ value added products and services
41
COP billion 2015 2014 Var (%) 2015 Mgn (%) 2014 Mgn (%) Var (%) 2,174 1,866 16.5 621 28.6 580 31.1 7.2 2,463 1,566 57.3 228 9.3 99 6.3 130.2 1,079 805 34.0 352 32.6 238 29.6 48.1 5,716 4,236 34.9 1,201 21.0 916 21.6 31.1
N/A
N/A
N/A 10.1 32 25 30.1 11 34.8
439.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A
N/A N/A 5,747 4,258 35.0 1,110 19.3 784 18.4 41.5 USD million 823 960
235 28.6 298 31.1
933 806 15.8 86 9.3 51 6.3 69.7 409 414
133 32.6 122 29.6 9.0 12 11 5.1
42.7 N/A N/A N/A N/A
N/A N/A 2,176 2,191
420 19.3 404 18.4 4.1 Subtotal Revenues EBITDA Colombia USA Caribbean & CA
Consolidated Result USD Corporate Other Businesses Consolidated Result Colombia USA Caribbean & CA Florida closing expenses Florida closing expenses
Appendix
Summary per regional division / other businesses
Note: All figures under IFRS42
Appendix
Operating profit and EBITDA (COP and USD)
USD
million
COP
billion
2015 2014
Var (%)
2015 2014
Var (%)
3Q YTD
Ingresos 2,268 1,500 51 5,747 4,258 35 Costos y gastos 1,965 1,323 49 5,037 3,780 33
285 175 63 691 465 49 EBITDA 432 268 61 1,110 784 41 Margen EBITDA % 19.0% 17.9% 19.3% 18.4% Ingresos 775 785 (1) 2,176 2,191 (1) Costos y gastos 671 692 (3) 1,907 1,945 (2)
97 92 6 262 239 9 EBITDA 147 140 5 420 404 4 Margen EBITDA % 19.0% 17.9% 19.3% 18.4% Revenues Costs and expenses Operating profit EBITDA EBITDA margin (%) Revenues Costs and expenses Operating profit EBITDA EBITDA margin (%)
Note: Figures under IFRS43
207 168 277 157 254 255 234
2014 2015
1T 2T 3T 4T
Cement and clinker
Ton 000
971 580
Appendix
Exports
62%
737
0% 62%
44
13.1 14.8 16.0 17.7 18.9 23.0 25.0 26.3 26.3 28.9 30.0 31.8 34.9 40.9 44.4 290 297 308 325 340 388 402 408 425 453 471 491 514 532 552 4.5% 5.0% 5.2% 5.4% 5.6% 5.9% 6.2% 6.4% 6.19% 6.39% 6.36% 6.47% 6.80% 6.84% 6.84% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0%
200.0 300.0 400.0 500.0 600.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016E
Colombia: Growth potential with improving fundamentals
Total and construction GDP
Baa2/BBB/BBB**
Investment grade since 2011
4.6% GDP 2014
2015E – 3.0%
48 M
inhabitants
2013 2020
8%
Population growth
660 390 316 278 271 267 248 245 245 229 227 225 213 205 205 200 135 105 Panama Ecuador Mexico Venezuela Brazil Costa Rica Peru Puerto Rico Chile Argentina Bolivia Colombia Honduras Guatemala El Salvador Uruguay Paraguay NicaraguaLatin America cement consumption per capita - 2012 (Kg / capita)
Colombia’s cement consumption per capita is low and leaves room for growth
Source: Cementos Argos’ estimates ** Rating Colombia: Moody´s / S&P / FitchCOP Trillion * GDP Construction GDP / GDP
* 1 trillion (Tn) = 1,000,000,000,000Construction GDP
45
Competitive Advantages: Vertically integrated operations
Sourcing Colombia USA Panama and the Caribbean & CA
Limestone / clay
40 years of proven and probable reserves 75 years of proven and probable reserves 570 years of proven and probable reserves
Clinker (for grinding units
N/A N/A Panama Rest of the Caribbean From own plants, trading network, 3rd parties
Aggregates (for RMC
49% from own quarries From 3rd parties Panama Rest of the Caribbean From 3rd parties
Cement for our RMC
100% from own plants From own plants in SE 100% from own plants
Electricity
89% generation from own sources From 3rd parties From 3rd parties + own backup generation
Fuel / Alternative fuels
From 3rd parties
Transport via shipping and trading
Fleet of vessels for trading and raw materials flow Largest logistic network in Colombia Terminals and rail road network in the US
Source: Cementos Argos
42% from own plants 35% from own plants
CONTACT INFORMATION
GUSTAVO URIBE
IRO guribe@argos.com.co
CARLOS YUSTY
CFO cyusty@argos.com.co
www.argos.co/ir
This recognition, called Reconocimiento Emisores – IR is given by the Colombian Stock Exchange, Bolsa de Valores de Colombia S.A. It is not a recognition that certifies the quality of registered stock , nor does it guarantee the solvency of the issuer.