NOVEMBER 2011 PRESENTATION
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Cautionary Statement Forward-Looking Statements This presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
N OVEMBER 2011 P RESENTATION 1 Cautionary Statement Forward-Looking Statements This presentation may contain certain information that may constitute forward looking information and forward-looking statements within the meaning of
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Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation may contain certain information that may constitute “forward looking information” and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws and United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act 1995, respectively. Forward-looking statements may include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to future events or future performance, management’s expectations regarding Franco-Nevada’s growth, results of operations, estimated future revenues, requirements for additional capital, future demand for and prices of commodities, expected mining sequences, business prospects and opportunities. Such forward looking statements reflect management’s current beliefs and are based on information currently available to management. Often, but not always, forward looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “predicts”, “projects”, “intends”, “targets”, “aims”, “anticipates” or “believes” or variations (including negative variations) of such words and phrases or may be identified by statements to the effect that certain actions “may”, “could”, “should”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved. Forward looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Franco-Nevada to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward looking statements. A number of factors could cause actual events or results to differ materially from any forward looking statement, including, without limitation: fluctuations in the prices of the primary commodities that drive the Franco-Nevada’s royalty and stream revenue (gold, platinum group metals, copper, nickel, uranium, silver and oil and gas); fluctuations in the value of the Canadian and Australian dollar, Mexican peso, and any other currency in which Franco-Nevada generates revenue, relative to the U.S. dollar; changes in national and local government legislation, including permitting and licensing regimes and taxation policies; regulations and political or economic developments in any of the countries where properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest are located; influence of macro-economic developments; business
the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest; excessive cost escalation as well as development, permitting, infrastructure, operating or technical difficulties on any of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest; rate and timing of production differences from resource estimates; risks and hazards associated with the business of development and mining on any of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest, including, but not limited to unusual or unexpected geological and metallurgical conditions, slope failures
management believes to be reasonable, including, without limitation: the ongoing operation of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest by the owners or operators of such properties in a manner consistent with past practice; the accuracy of public statements and disclosures made by the owners or operators of such underlying properties; no material adverse change in the market price of the commodities that underlie the asset portfolio; no adverse development in respect of any significant property in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest; the accuracy of publicly disclosed expectations for the development of the underlying properties that are not yet in production; integration of acquired assets; and the absence of any other factors that could accuracy of publicly disclosed expectations for the development of the underlying properties that are not yet in production; integration of acquired assets; and the absence of any other factors that could cause actions, events or results to differ from those anticipated, estimated or intended. However, there can be no assurance that forward looking statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Readers are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. Franco-Nevada cannot assure readers that actual results will be consistent with these forward looking statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty
securities regulatory authorities on SEDAR at www.sedar.com, our most recent Form 40-F filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on EDGAR at www.sec.gov, as well as our most recent annual and interim MD&As. The forward looking statements herein are made as of the date of this presentation only and Franco-Nevada does not assume any obligation to update or revise them to reflect new information, estimates or opinions, future events or results or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. 1. EBITDA is defined by the Company as Net Income excluding income tax expense, finance costs, finance income and depletion and depreciation.
Non-IFRS Measures
Adjusted Net Income, EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA are intended to provide additional information only and do not have any standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. These measures are not necessarily indicative of operating profit or cash flow from operations as determined under IFRS. Other companies may calculate these measures differently. For a reconciliation of these measures to various IFRS measures, please see the end of this presentation or the Company’s current MD&A disclosure found on the Company’s website and with Canadian securities regulatory authorities on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and with the Securities and Exchange Commission on EDGAR at www.sec.gov.
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y p y g p , , p p 2. Adjusted EBITDA is defined by the Company as Net Income excluding income tax expense, finance costs and income, foreign exchange gains /losses, gains /losses on the sale of investments, income/losses from equity investees, depletion and depreciation and impairment charges related to royalty, stream and working interests. 3. Adjusted Net Income is defined by the Company as Net Income excluding foreign exchange gains /losses, gains /losses on the sale of investments, impairment charges related to royalties, streams, working interests and investments; unusual non-recurring items; and the impact of taxes on these items.
40 45 32
Logarithmic Scale
30 35 16
g
20 25 8 DOW/Gold 10 15 2 4 5 1
Arithmetic Scale
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marejo
Palm rike
> 70% expected revenue growth in 2011*
Goldstr
World class discoveries >$500M available capital
1.3% yield
Tasiast
1.3% yield 60% dividend increase in 2011 Increases in each of past 4 years R lt d t d l
Sudbury
Royalty and stream model Secure and diversified portfolio Protected from inflationary costs
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S
*Based on the mid-range of August 2011 revenue guidance
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*Revenue royalties & streams
280% 320%
200% 240% 120% 160%
80% 120%
FNV IPO: Dec 2007
0% 40%
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*FNV and S&P/TSX Global Gold Index converted to USD
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*Does not include Franco-Nevada’s 135 oil & gas assets and 157 undeveloped oil & gas interests
Goldstrike B ld M t i
Palmarejo Bald Mountain Hemlo Gold Quarry S bik j Mesquite Cerro San Pedro Hollo a Subika Marigold Musselwhite Holloway Hislop Holt D t L k Stillwater East Boulder Tasiast Detour Lake Duketon Garden Well
Marigold ‐ Goldcorp Goldstrike ‐ Barrick Tasiast ‐ Kinross Detour – Detour Gold
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Australia 3% Other 3%
Base Metals & Other
US 27% South Africa 17% Palmarejo 23% Stillwater (PGM) Sudbury (PGM) 9% 1% O & G, 8% Canada M i % Goldstrike - NPI 8% Gold Other (PGM) 5% 25% Mexico 25% Goldstrike - NSR 5% MWS 10% Ezulwini 7% 19%
7% Gold Quarry 5%
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* Q3 2011 Revenue
100 120 80 100 ) 40 60 (US$ Millions) OTHER
91% precious metals in Q3 2011
Reflects year end i i
20 40 GOLD PGM
Q
minimum payments
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Tasiast ‐ Mauritania
Detour Lake ‐ Ontario
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* Tasiast based on press release dated Aug 10, 2011 from Kinross ; Detour based on press release dated Jan 31, 2011 from Detour Gold and Feb 3, 2011 from Trade Winds Block A ** Based on press release dated March 28, 2011 from Kinross Gold. Detour potential based on February 2, 2011 BMO analyst projections. *** Assuming $1500/oz gold price and existing resource mined
New mines:
Edikan
Perseus Mining
1.5% NSR
P j t F l d X t t 4 1% it Project restarts:
Royalties reaching hurdles:
NPI’s pending payout:
NPI s pending payout: Hemlo
Barrick Gold
50% NPI
Permitting projects:
Pre-feasibility stage:
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* Note: Certain royalties do not cover the entire resource or are rounded. See Annual Information Form for further details.
Sudbury Basin – Ontario
Canadian Malartic ‐ Quebec Edikan/Central Ashanti ‐ Ghana
13 Subika‐ Ghana Edikan/Central Ashanti Ghana
500
** 2012-13E includes: Excludes:
300 400 s)
adjusted
70%
projects such as New Prosperity, Rosemont and Perama Hill 200 US$ (Millions
48% * 2011E includes:
100 Start of Tasiast
2008A 2009A 2010A 2011E* 2012-2013**
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* Represents mid-range of 2011 August revenue guidance at $1,500/oz Au, $1,700/oz Pt, $750/oz Pd, $90/bbl Oil. ** Incremental revenue calculation based on operator guidance and $1,500/oz Au. Represents revenue from new assets and an estimate for depletion of existing assets.
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240% 280% 320%
FNV
120% 160% 200%
GOLD
40% 80% 120%
FNV IPO: Dec 2007
S&P/TSX Global Gold Index
0%
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Goldstrike ‐ Barrick Palmarejo ‐ Coeur Detour – Detour Gold Mesquite – New Gold Tasiast ‐ Kinross MWS – First Uranium East Boulder ‐ Stillwater Weyburn ‐ Cenovus Sudbury – Quadra FNX
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(US $ millions except per share and %) Q3 ’11 Q3 ’10 VAR % Change Revenue $113 3 $55 0 $58 3 106% Revenue $113.3 $55.0 $58.3 106% Precious Metals Revenue $103.3 46.5 56.8 122% Cost of Sales 16.2 7.9 8.3 105% Net Income 44 1 8 1 36 0 444% Net Income 44.1 8.1 36.0 444% Earnings Per Share $0.35 $0.07 $0.28 400% EBITDA (1) 97.2 36.4 60.8 167% Adj t d EBITDA(2) 92 2 43 0 49 2 114% Adjusted EBITDA(2) 92.2 43.0 49.2 114% Adjusted EBITDA(2) Per Share $0.73 $0.38 $0.35 92% Adjusted Net Income(3) 39.8 13.8 26.0 188%
(3)
$ $ $ Adjusted Net Income(3) per share $0.31 $0.12 $0.19 158%
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1. EBITDA is defined by the Company as Net Income excluding income tax expense, finance costs, finance income and depletion and depreciation. 2. Adjusted EBITDA is defined by the Company as Net Income excluding income tax expense, finance costs and income, foreign exchange gains /losses, gains /losses on the sale of investments, income/losses from equity investees, depletion and depreciation and impairment charges related to royalty, stream and working interests. 3. Adjusted Net Income is defined by the Company as Net Income excluding foreign exchange gains /losses, gains /losses on the sale of investments, impairment charges related to royalties, streams, working interests and investments; unusual non-recurring items; and the impact of taxes on these items.. *Quantitative reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures to Net Income can be found on slide 19 of this presentation
Three months ended Sept 30, Nine months ended Sept 30, (Expressed in millions except per share amounts) 2011 2010 2011 2010
Net Income $44.1 $8.1 $98.6 $45.4 Income tax expense 19.5 8.7 41.4 31.3 Finance costs 0 2 0 6 2 1 1 6 Finance costs 0.2 0.6 2.1 1.6 Finance income (1.3) (0.7) (2.9) (2.9) Depletion and depreciation 34.7 19.7 97.4 61.8 EBITDA $97.2 36.4 236.6 $137.2 Basic Weighted Average Shares Outstanding 127.1 114.1 123.4 114.0 EBITDA per share $0.76 $0.32 $1.92 $1.20 Net Income $44.1 8.1 98.6 $45.4 Income tax expense 19.5 8.7 41.4 31.3 Finance costs 0.2 0.6 2.1 1.6 Finance income (1.3) (0.7) (2.9) (2.9) Depletion and depreciation 34.7 19.7 97.4 61.8 Foreign exchange gains/losses and other expenses 1 2 9 0 6 7 6 0 Foreign exchange gains/losses and other expenses 1.2 9.0 6.7 6.0 Loss from equity investee
(6.2) (2.4) (11.9) (24.6) Adjusted EBITDA $92.2 $43.0 $233.1 $118.6 Adjusted EBITDA per share $0.73 $0.38 $1.89 $1.04 Net income $44.1 $8.1 $98.6 $45.4 Foreign exchange loss and other expenses, net of income tax (0.6) 7.7 3.2 4.4 Gain on acquisition of Gold Wheaton/sale of investments, net of income tax (5.4) (2.0) (17.0) (21.1) Mark-to-market changes on derivative 1.7
dit f ilit t itt ff t f i t
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Credit facility costs written off, net of income tax
$39.8 $13.8 $94.3 $28.7 Adjusted Net Income per share $0.31 $0.12 $0.76 $0.25
H2: Expected
Ashanti
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* Excludes Oil and Gas
140% 160% 180%
3)
M&I Resource Inferred Resource
100% 120% 140% s Growth (1,2,
P&P Reserve
Further growth in 2011 expected from:
S db B i +4% +16% +27%
40% 60% 80% ecious Metals
0% 20% 40% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Pre
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
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(1) Based on publicly reported reserves and resources by operators. Non-public reserve and resource information has not been included and some royalties do not cover all of reported ounces. Prosperity project not included until permitted. (2) Operators have varying economic assumptions and effective dates vary from June 30, 2010 to Dec. 31, 2010. Adjustments made so all resources are reported exclusive of reserves. (3) Au + Pt + Pd oz, included, Ag oz excluded.
600% 700%
$86.9 million
400% 500% 200% 300% 0% 100%
$12.2 million $934/oz $1,620/oz
Q1'08 Q3'08 Q1'09 Q3'09 Q1'10 Q3'10 Q1'11 Q3'11
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* Q2 2011 vs. Q2 2010
Pierre Lassonde Director, Chairman David Harquail Director, President & CEO Derek Evans(1) Director – CEO, Pengrowth Energy Corporation Graham Farquharson(2) Director – President , Strathcona Mineral Services L i Gi
(1)
Di t F CEO C bi I Louis Gignac(1) Director – Former CEO, Cambior Inc Randall Oliphant(1) Director – Former CEO, Barrick Gold Corporation
Director – Former Premier of Ontario
David Harquail President & CEO Sandip Rana Chief Financial Officer Jacqueline Jones Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary Geoff Waterman Chief Operating Officer Paul Brink SVP, Business Development Steve Alfers Chief of U S Operations 23
(1) Member of the Audit and Risk Committee (2) Member of the Compensation and Corporate Governance Committee
Steve Alfers Chief of U.S. Operations
Capital Structure (as of Nov 8, 2011) Shares Outstanding (FNV on TSX & NYSE) 127.74m 2012 Warrants (C$32 exercise price) 5.72m Analyst Coverage BMO Capital Markets David Haughton BOA/Merrill Lynch Mike Jalonen 2013 Warrants(1) (C$64.27 exercise price) 4.05m 2014 Warrants(1) (C$32.14 exercise price) 2.08m 2017 Warrants (C$75 exercise price) 7.75m CIBC Capital Markets Cosmos Chiu Credit Suisse Anita Soni GMP Securities Craig West National Bank Paolo Lostritto Options & other 2.89m 150.23m Share Price Range (2) C$47.24 - $27.75 M k t C it li ti $5 35B Paradigm Capital Don MacLean RBC Capital Markets Stephen Walker Scotia Capital Tanya Jakusconek TD Securities Greg Barnes Market Capitalization $5.35B Working Capital + Marketable Investments(4) $453m Available Credit Facilities $175m Debt or Hedges Nil UBS Securities Brian MacArthur Major Shareholders Debt or Hedges Nil Current Annualized Dividend(3) $0.48/share Management Ownership 4.5% (5.5% diluted) Major Shareholders Fidelity US BlackRock Europe
US 24
(1) Warrants now of Franco-Nevada GLW Holdings Corp. that upon exercise will entitle the holder thereof, at its election, to receive either 0.1556 of a Franco-Nevada common share or C$5.20 in cash, per warrant. Former $10 GLW warrants each still exercisable at $10/warrant. To acquire one whole FNV share, approximately 6.43 warrants need to be exercised (i.e. $64.27/FNV share). Former $5 GLW warrants each still exercisable at $5/warrant. To acquire one whole FNV share, approximately 6.43 warrants need to be exercised (i.e. $32.14/FNV share). (2) Previous 52 weeks. (3) Year starting July 1. 2011 with current shares outstanding. (4) As of Sept 30, 2011