BUILDING ON EXPERIENCE, SHAPING THE FUTURE
RioCan Investor Presentation – Third Quarter 2019 November 2019
BUILDING ON EXPERIENCE, SHAPING THE FUTURE RioCan Investor - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
BUILDING ON EXPERIENCE, SHAPING THE FUTURE RioCan Investor Presentation Third Quarter 2019 November 2019 NON-GAAP MEASURES RioCans consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance with IFRS. Consistent with RioCans
RioCan Investor Presentation – Third Quarter 2019 November 2019
RioCan’s consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance with IFRS. Consistent with RioCan’s management framework, management uses certain financial measures to assess RioCan’s financial performance, which are not generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) under IFRS. The following measures, Funds From Operations (“FFO”), Net Operating Income (“NOI”), Adjusted Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (“Adjusted EBITDA”), Debt to Adjusted EBITDA, Same Property NOI, Interest Coverage, Debt Service Coverage, Fixed Charge Coverage, and Total Enterprise Value as well as other measures discussed in this presentation, do not have a standardized definition prescribed by IFRS and are, therefore, unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other reporting issuers. Non-GAAP measures should not be considered as alternatives to net earnings or comparable metrics determined in accordance with IFRS as indicators of RioCan’s performance, liquidity, cash flow, and profitability. For a full definition of these measures, please refer to the “Non-GAAP Measures” in RioCan’s Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the quarter ended September 30, 2019. RioCan uses these measures to better assess the Trust’s underlying performance and provides these additional measures so that investors may do the same.
NON-GAAP MEASURES
RioCan data and statistics are based on the quarter ended September 30, 2019 information. Certain slides contain a peer comparison that is based on the respective issuer’s reported information as at September 30, 2019. Peer group includes: First Capital Realty Corp. (FCR), SmartCentres REIT (SRU), Choice Properties REIT (CHP), CT REIT (CRT), and Crombie REIT (CRR). All information presented is at RioCan’s interest unless otherwise noted. CAGR refers to compound annual growth rate of a specific metric over a period of time.
PEER DATA PRESENTATION
Certain information included in this presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws including, among others, statements concerning our objectives, our strategies to achieve those objectives, as well as statements with respect to management's beliefs, plans, estimates, and intentions, and similar statements concerning anticipated future events, results, circumstances, performance or expectations that are not historical facts. Certain material factors, estimates or assumptions were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in these statements and actual results could differ materially from such conclusions, forecasts or projections. The forward looking information contained in this presentation is made as of the date hereof. Additional information on the material risks that could cause our actual results to differ materially from the conclusions, forecast or projections in these statements and the material factors, estimates or assumptions that were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information can be found in our most recent annual information form and annual report that are available on our website and at www.sedar.com. Except as required by applicable law, RioCan undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
FORWARD LOOKING INFORMATION
QUICK FACTS – Q3 2019 Enterprise Value $14.9 B Number of Properties 225 Net Leasable Area (NLA) (M sf) 39.3 Major Market Same Property NOI (SPNOI) 2.3%2 Total Portfolio SPNOI 2.1%2 Major Market Committed Occupancy - Commercial 97.7% Committed Occupancy - Commercial 97.2% Blended New and Renewal Leasing Spread 6.3% Renewal Retention Rate 86.5% Greater Toronto Area (GTA) Focus % of Annualized Revenue
49.5% 24.9%
BC
focused on the ownership, management and development of high-quality, mixed-use properties with strategic positioning in Canada’s six major markets
adding value with a highly experienced and deep management team
service-focused tenant mix
13.3M sf or 48.7% already with zoning approvals. 2,700 residential rental units recently completed or under construction with additional 2,100 units underway by 20211
and BBB (high) with stable trend by DBRS
Growth driven by strategic insight
1. At 100% of project 2. If completed properties under development are included and the disclaimed Bombay/Bowring and Payless Shoes leases are excluded, SPNOI increased by 4.9% and 4.4% for its major market portfolio and total portfolio, respectively, when compared to the same period in 2018 3. Peer group includes: FCR, CHP, and CRT (CRR and SRU do not disclose this information) Investor Presentation | RioCan | 03
Calgary Edmonton Vancouver Toronto Montreal Ottawa 12 12.4% 4% 10.3% 6.4% 5.1% 49 49.5% 5% ANNUALIZED REVENUE FROM SIX MAJOR MARKETS: 88.7% 5.0%
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Provide unitholders with a reliable and growing cash flow while building and creating value
Key Differentiators
25 years of REIT leadership Leading major market portfolio Robust development pipeline Strong balance sheet
Sustaining success and long term value
Edward Sonshine O.Ont, Q.C Chief Executive Officer Jonathan Gitlin President & Chief Operating Officer Qi Tang Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer John Ballantyne Senior Vice President, Asset Management Jeff Ross Senior Vice President, Leasing & Tenant Coordination Andrew Duncan Senior Vice President, Development Jennifer Suess Senior Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Extensive industry knowledge and unparalleled experience
Oliver Harrison Senior Vice President, Operations
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Metric 2013 Q3 2019 Total Improvement
Major Market Presence (% of Revenue) 71.7% 88.7% +17.0% GTA Presence (% of Revenue) 41.6% 49.5% +7.9% Same Property NOI growth 1 1.3% 2.1% 3 +0.8% Average Net Rent PSF 1 $16.63 $19.49 +17.2% Occupancy 1,2 96.9% 97.2% +0.3% Development Costs on the Balance Sheet $583M $1,328M 4 +$745M Debt to Adjusted EBITDA 7.56x 8.07x +0.51x Unencumbered Assets $2,068M $8,882M +$6,814M Leverage 44.0% 43.6% 5
FFO Payout Ratio 90.4% 77.4%
Net Book Value Per Unit $23.01 $26.01 +13.0% Debt Service Coverage 2.10x 2.95x +0.85x Unsecured Debt as % of Total Debt 24.3% 60.9% +36.6%
Operating metrics are producing high quality income and are supported by an improved balance sheet
Investor Presentation | RioCan | 06 1. Includes only Canadian operations 2. Committed occupancy 3. If completed properties under development are included and the disclaimed Bombay/Bowring and Payless Shoes leases are excluded, SPNOI increased by 4.4% when compared to the same period in 2018 4. Includes $99M of Residential Inventory 5. Primarily due to the timing of strategic acquisitions in Q3 2019 totaling approximately $500 million. Applying the $220.4 million net proceeds from the recent equity offering to pay down debt, the Trust’s debt to total assets would be in the mid-42% range, while holding everything else constant as of September 30, 2019
Consistently delivering high-quality, growing income High occupancy and strong net rent growth (Canadian commercial only)
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Drive Organic Growth
Strong same property NOI growth in the major market portfolio Net rent CAGR since 2015 ─ 3.5%
94.0% 95.6% 96.6% 97.1% 97.2% $17.11 $17.59 $17.75 $19.07 $19.49 $14.00 $16.00 $18.00 $20.00 90.0% 95.0% 100.0% 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019
Total Portfolio Same Property NOI Guidance for 2020
Strategic insights drive long-term growth and high-quality returns
The increasing strength and quality
result of growth in necessity-based and service-oriented tenants within our portfolio No single tenant represents >5% of annualized rental revenue
Grocery / Pharmacy / Liquor / Restaurants 28.0% Personal Services 21.8% Value Retailers 13.6% Specialty Retailers 10.7% Furniture & Home 9.9% Department Stores & Apparel 8.4% Movie Theatres 4.5% Entertainment & Hobby 3.1%
RENT BREAKDOWN Q3 2019
4% since 2007 6% since 2007 8% since 2007
74.1% OF RENT FROM NECESSITY-BASED AND SERVICE-ORIENTED TENANTS
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per capita vs 23.5 sf per capita in the U.S.)
population growth within the OEDC countries
there are fewer players within each category which means retailers within each category are more viable
stores (Walmart and Hudson’s Bay Company) and has already gone through the dislocation of Target and Sears exiting the market
challenging eCommerce environment in Canada
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Retail market differences
Historical Background and Stronger Demand for Yield
shorter history and face higher investor demand for yield
lower institutional ownership (~32% in Canada vs. ~87% in the U.S.)
Stronger Retail Operating Environment More Significant Barriers to Entry
limited land supply due to environmental and government restrictions including, development regulations and municipal bylaws
higher proportion of secured financing in Canada vs. U.S. non-recourse borrowing and heavier reliance on unsecured financing, which leads to less retail development
Concentrate in Major Markets
1. Excludes 14 active properties under development 2. If completed properties under development are included and the disclaimed Bombay/Bowring and Payless Shoes leases are excluded, SPNOI increased by 4.9% when compared to the same period in 2018 3. Excludes 10 active properties under development
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177 assets 1 31.3M SF 88.7% of annualized revenue 13M+ SF zoned for development 2.3% SPNOI growth 2 97.7% committed
KEY METRICS IN CANADA’S SIX MAJOR MARKETS
Calgary Edmonton Vancouver Toronto Montreal Ottawa
7 assets 1.8M SF 12 assets 2.0M SF 14 assets 3.4M SF 20 assets 3.0M SF 35 assets 4.7M SF 89 assets3 16.4M SF
62% 88.7% >90%
Peer Average
25% 49.5% >50%
Concentrate in Major Markets
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% of Revenue in Major Markets % of Revenue in GTA
RioCan Vision RioCan Q3 2019 Peer Average RioCan Vision RioCan Q3 2019
Disposition Progress as of November 5, 2019
Transaction type Value (M)
encompasses 83 properties
Closed and Firm $1,556 Conditional / LOI $ 61 Total to Date $1,617 Weighted Average Cap Rate 6.83%
1. Peer group includes: FCR, CHP, and CRT (CRR and SRU do not disclose this information)
The Trust has recognized $287.7M of cumulative fair value gains in connection with the 4.2M sf of PUD projects in this category which are substantially completed, near completion, or under construction
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Unlock Intrinsic Value
High percentage of development pipeline zoned, enabling strong incremental NLA increase
~49% or 13.3M sf with zoning approved, 100% located in the six major markets ~98% of projects are mixed-use residential totaling 26.8M sf 10 year head start in the zoning approval process is key competitive advantage in today’s more challenging regulatory environment 2,700 residential units recently completed or under construction with additional 2,100 units underway by 2021
Future est. density, 6.9M sf, 25% Application submitted, 7.1M sf, 26% Zoning approved, 13.3M sf, 49%
Total Pipeline by Zoning Status (27.4M sf)
Zoning approved and active with cost estimates in progress, 8.8M sf Zoning approved and active with detailed cost estimates, 4.5M sf1 No significant fair value gains yet recognized for excess density despite approved zoning No significant fair value gains yet recognized for excess density
1. Includes 4.2M sf for properties under development (PUD) and 0.3M sf of residential inventory
Under Development: 4.7M sf Completed Development: 0.2M sf Future Development Potential: 4.0M sf Total (at RioCan’s Interest): 13.6M sf 1.3M sf 0.8M sf 11.5M sf
RioCan’s selected developments mapped to Toronto’s rapid transit system
Legend
Demographics, 3km radius
Average population1: 230k Average household income1: $130k+ Post-secondary education: 65%+
Investor Presentation | RioCan | 13 Billy Bishop Toronto City Airport CN Tower
Toronto Pearson International Airport
Union Station
TTC – Existing TTC – Under Development TTC – Station Planned Rapid Transit Line
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1. Maximum permitted is 15%. RioCan targets this metric to be no more than 10% (except for short-term fluctuations as large projects are completed)
As at September 30, 2019 Target
Properties Under Development (“PUD”) & Residential Inventory $1.3B N/A PUD and Residential Inventory as % of Gross Assets – Per Line of Credit and Credit Facilities Agreements 8.8% ~ 10%1 Investment in Greenfield Development and Residential Inventory as % of Unitholder Equity - Per Declaration of Trust 4.0% N/A
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Prudent approach to development
Current PUD and Inventory Balance Annual Development Spend Annual Development Completions Target PUD and Inventory Balance * $1.3B $400M-$500M < $1.5B $300M-$600M
RioCan plans to self fund development as much as possible
Manage Risk Effectively
43 potential residential projects 20,000 potential units 1 2,100 additional units underway by 2021 1 2,700 units recently completed
construction 1 100% located in Canada’s major markets Delivering best-in-class purpose-built rental units and condos along Canada’s most prominent transit corridors, RioCan Living shapes the communities where Canadians shop, live and work.
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1. At 100% of project
2018
2019 2020+
Yonge Eglinton Northeast Corner (ePlace) Brentwood Village (Brio) Bathurst College Centre Gloucester Phase I (Frontier) Dupont Street (Litho) College & Manning (Strada) King Portland Centre (Kingly) 491 College St
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Mixed-use development in high growth, high population, transit-oriented major markets
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Yonge Sheppard Centre and Pivot, Toronto, ON Scrivener Square, Toronto, ON 11 YV (Yorkville), Toronto, ON RioCan Hall, Toronto, ON
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$573.3M Total Estimated Net Project Costs 1 $32.3M Estimated Stabilized NOI $784.6M Estimated Future Stabilized Value 2 5.6% Estimated Yield on Total Costs $236.5M Total Estimated Incremental Value Creation3
King and Portland Centre, Toronto ePlace, Toronto Frontier, Ottawa Bathurst College Centre, Toronto Sage Hill, Calgary
1. RioCan acquired the remaining 50% co-ownership interest in the residential rental component, eCentral, the retail component and 70 commercial parking stalls of the ePlace mixed-use development in Q3 2019. Upon closing, RioCan now owns 100% of these respective components and the net project costs have included the purchase price of this remaining 50% interest 2. Excludes condo gains 3. Includes $25.2M of condo gains. Of the total estimated incremental value creation of $236.5M, $227.4M has been recognized through property fair market values, applicable interim and fee income and applicable condo gains
1. Primarily due to the timing of strategic acquisitions in Q3 2019 totaling approximately $500 million. Applying the $220.4 million net proceeds from the recent equity offering to pay down debt, the Trust’s debt to total assets would be in the mid-42% range, while holding everything else constant as of September 30, 2019
EBITDA, leverage and coverage ratios relative to peers
debt to manage interest rate risk
availability on credit facilities and an $8.9B unencumbered assets pool, generating 58.9% of annualized NOI
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Conservative capital structure provides financial strength and flexibility
condominium / townhouse developments
RioCan Peer Average 8.1x 8.2x
Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA
43.6% 45.2%
Leverage
3.0x 2.4x
Debt Service
3.5x 3.1x
Interest Coverage
Manage Risk Effectively 1
8.2x
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Manage Risk Effectively
Systematically embed environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations
are female Habitat for Humanity
$100,000 donation made and 140 employees volunteered their time in Build Days
Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions Verified
in accordance with ISO 14064-3
BOMA BEST certified
26 properties certified, as
spending is from Canadian suppliers Sustainability Policies
Community, Employee Volunteering, Procurement, Business Ethics
Environmental Management System and Utility Data Management System
aligned to ISO 14001
Tenant Engagement Survey
First ever survey of our top 20 tenants in major markets 77% of respondents would recommend RioCan
GRESB Score
Improved Public Disclosure Score and achieved a 16-point increase in survey score compared to prior year
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Ownership
100% On August 30, 2019, RioCan acquired from KingSett its non-managing, 50% interest for approximately $357.7M1. As part of the transaction, KingSett took an equity position in RioCan through an investment of $100M in RioCan units with a one-year lock-up agreement
NLA on Completion (at 100%) ~1.0M sf Leasing Status 86% (retail) 100% (office) Major Tenants LA Fitness, Longo’s, and Cactus Club Cafe (Q1 2020)
Demographics within 3km radius: Population: 155,957 Average income: $122,015
access to the Yonge and Sheppard subway lines
space, 259k sf of retail space, and 279k sf of residential space (361 units) upon completion (at 100%)
the property is near completion (2019)
CASE STUDY | CREATING COMPELLING MIXED-USED CENTRES
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1. Net of certain working capital adjustments
Yonge Sheppard Centre & Pivot
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possession in 2019)
CASE STUDY | ePLACE (eCENTRAL & eCONDOS)
1. RioCan acquired the remaining 50% co-ownership interest in the residential rental component, eCentral, the retail component and 70 commercial parking stalls of the ePlace mixed-use development in Q3 2019. Upon closing, RioCan now owns 100% of these respective components and the net project costs have included the purchase price of this remaining 50% interest
Ownership 100% Construction Start 2015 Construction Completion 2019 Total Cost1 $219.6M Stabilized Value $324.0M Value Creation ($M) $104.4M Value Creation (%) 47.5% Condo Sale Gains (@ 50%) $14.0M Total Project - Value Creation $118.4M Stabilized NOI $11.3M
Estimated $118.4M of value creation
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Demographics within 3km radius: Population: 191,024 Average income: $207,478
Ownership
50% JV with Killam REIT
Construction Start 2018 Construction Completion 2019 Total Cost 1 $33.6M Stabilized Value $52.3M Value Creation ($M) $18.7M Value Creation (%) 55.7% Stabilized NOI $2.0M
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Frontier rental residential phase I:
building
per square foot averaging $2.50, as
2019
RioCan’s Gloucester Silver City Shopping Centre
LRT line at the Blair Station in Ottawa
a geothermal energy system
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CASE STUDY | FRONTIER (PHASE I)
Zoning has been approved for four residential towers on the site with up to 840 units RioCan Gloucester Silver City shopping centre tenant mix is strong and diverse: Cineplex theatre, Chapters, Goodlife and numerous restaurants
Estimated $18.7M of value creation
1. Total costs are net of applicable interim and fee income during the development period Phase 1
Estimated $52.3M of value creation
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CASE STUDY | KING & PORTLAND & KINGLY CONDOS
Unlocking value through urban mixed-use development
frontage on King St
urban intensification joint venture.
including Kingly, a 132-unit condominium building Ownership
50% JV with Allied Properties REIT
Construction Start 2016 Construction Completion 2019 Total Cost1 $88.8M Stabilized Value $129.9M Value Creation ($M) 2 $41.1M Value Creation (%) 2 46.3% Condo Sale Gains $11.2M Total Project - Value Creation $52.3M Stabilized NOI $5.5M
1. Total cost includes the total project costs of the commercial component of the project net of applicable interim and fee income during the development period 2. Since acquisition date 3. Source: Environics Analytics Data Stats 2018 – assumes a 1km trade area for downtown Toronto
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Newly constructed office space is fully leased to Shopify (183k sf) and Indigo (79k sf). Targeted LEED platinum Existing 55k sf of previously existing adjacent office space is fully leased with significant rent upside potential ~18k sf of retail space fully leased to restaurant and food service curated to suit a dense, growing and desirable demographic Demographics within 3km radius: Population: 298,329 Average income: $110,425 Kingly Condos: 132 condominium units sold out, exceeding price
by purchasers commenced in Q3 2019 with the remaining possessions scheduled to take place in Q4 2019
Proposed
Located in downtown Toronto’s west side, The Well is a ~3.0M sf of net leasable area (at 100%), first-of-its kind take on urban mixed-use in Canada.
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CASE STUDY | TRANSFORMING TORONTO’S WEST SIDE
The Well
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station and the Eglinton Crosstown LRT
traditional retail/office space into a vibrant mixed- use destination centre: ˗ Full redevelopment and expansion of the retail space ˗ Office tower renovation and façade improvements ˗ Addition of digital screens to drive ancillary revenue
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CASE STUDY | TRANSFORMING AN ICONIC LOCATION
Yonge Eglinton Centre
Driving value through demand in an iconic location: 65.8% increase in office rent since acquisition Driving growth through strategic
Cineplex VIP Cinemas, Winners and multiple national food service operators 66% or $9.66 growth in net rent psf since acquisition Perfectly positioned through location & tenant mix to serve a high growth, desirable demographic3 Population: 191,024 Average income: $207,478
1. Total cost includes purchase price and revenue enhancing capital expenditures since acquisition but does not include maintenance capital expenditures 2. Since acquisition date 3. Source: Environics Analytics Data Stats 2018 – assumes a 3km trade area for mid-town Toronto
Acquisition Date 2007 Total GLA 1,058,752 sf Ownership 100% Total Costs 1 $333.0M Valuation Q3 2019 $667.1M Value Creation2 ($M) $334.1M Value Creation
2 (%)
100.3% Value Creation CAGR
2
6.1% NOI growth CAGR
2
8.1%
Estimated $334.1M of value creation since acquisition
Drive Organic Growth
2300 Yonge Street. P.O. Box 2386. Toronto, ON. M4P 1E4 | Email: ir@riocan.com | (T) 1-800-465-2733 or (416) 866-3033