Finnair Capital Market Day, 3 Dec 2012 1
Building A New Silk Road
– Capacity Planning and Selecting Markets
Greg Kaldahl SVP Resource Managem ent
Building A New Silk Road Capacity Planning and Selecting Markets - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Building A New Silk Road Capacity Planning and Selecting Markets Greg Kaldahl SVP Resource Managem ent 1 Finnair Capital Market Day, 3 Dec 2012 The Airline I ndustry I s I n A State Of Constant Change Market cap (bn) as of 1 Jan 1999
Finnair Capital Market Day, 3 Dec 2012 1
Greg Kaldahl SVP Resource Managem ent
2.9 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.8 4.9 6.1 6.4 6.4 Market cap (€bn) as of 1 Jan 1999 6.5 8 6 4 2 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.9 7.0 9.3 2.1 2.5 2.7 10
Note: AMR is parent company of American Airlines, Sairgroup of swissair Sources: Capital IQ, Bloomberg, Datastream, Analyst Reports, ECB
1.5
NA/ EU Rest of world
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0.7 3.9 3.7 4.7 4.2 4.0 6.3 1.0 Market cap (€bn) as of 1 Jan 2005 6 8 10 3.6 0.7 9.4 4.0 1.3 4 2 1.5 0.7 Bankruptcy process Bankruptcy process Acquired by LH Acquired by DL Merged with AF
Sources: Capital IQ, Bloomberg, Datastream, Analyst Reports, ECB
NA/ EU Rest of world
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1.1 Market cap (€bn) as of 1 Jan 2012 6 4 2 10 8 Acquired by LH Acquired by DL Merged with DL Merged with AF Merged with UA Bankruptcy process BA merged with IB Bankruptcy process Merged with CO 5.1 4.2 5.1 0.6 7.1 5.4 5.2 1.2 2.6
Sources: Capital IQ, Bloomberg, Datastream, Analyst Reports, ECB
NA/ EU Rest of world
Finnair Capital Market Day, 3 Dec 2012 28
Market cap (€bn) as of 1 Jan 2012 10 6 4 2 8 7.1 5.4 5.2 5.1 5.1 4.2 2.6
9.1 6.3 5.3 5.2 4.6 3.3 2.5 2.2 2.1
Note: Market value of Emirates estimated, LAN/ TAM shown as combined entity Sources: Capital IQ, Bloomberg, Datastream, Analyst Reports, ECB
4.8 New in top 20 2.0 2.0
8.4
NA/ EU Rest of world
Finnair Capital Market Day, 3 Dec 2012 29
– Nine aircraft removed from service – Renegotiated leases with multiple Airbus lessors – Total savings in excess of 10M€
– New network forecasting and fleet planning tools – Narrowbody utilization up almost two hours and over 9 hrs/day
– FlyBe Finland provides lower cost base for turboprops and small jets
– Fewer excess aircraft = more lease in opportunities
Finnair Capital Market Day, 3 Dec 2012 6
Finnair Capital Market Day, 3 Dec 2012 7
SHORT HAUL Nordic Cham pion LONG HAUL Top-3 in Europe – Asia
To: BJS
From: GOT
CPH
0% HAM
0% BRU
0% BCN + 1%
0% Nordics Above alps South Europe
GOT CPH HAM BCN
North Asia South Asia
Distance advantage to LH and EK Neutral: No significant distance advantage
BRU
Distance disadvantage
BJS
Finnair Capital Market Day, 3 Dec 2012 8
To: TYO
From: GOT
CPH
0% HAM
0% BRU
0% BCN 0%
0% Nordics Above alps South Europe
TYO GOT CPH HAM BCN
North Asia South Asia
Distance advantage to LH and EK Neutral: No significant distance advantage
BRU
Distance disadvantage
Finnair Capital Market Day, 3 Dec 2012 9
To: HKG
From: GOT
CPH
+ 1% HAM
+ 1% BRU
+ 1% BCN + 3%
0% Nordics Above alps South Europe
HKG GOT CPH HAM BCN
North Asia South Asia
Distance advantage to LH and EK Neutral: No significant distance advantage
BRU
Distance disadvantage
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11
2012 Destinations: 13 Frequencies: 90
Osaka 7 New York 7 Tokyo 10 Nagoya 7 Seoul 7 Beijing 7 Hong Kong 9 Chongqing 4 Bangkok 7 Delhi 6 Toronto 5 Singapore 7 Shanghai 7
Finnair Capital Market Day, 3 Dec 2012
A H B G C F E D A B C E D
Results
Four aircraft Four markets One market per aircraft
Results
Four aircraft Ten markets 2.5 markets per aircraft
12 Finnair Capital Market Day, 3 Dec 2012
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route unserved by Finnair
1 2 3 Traffic Flows Competitive Capacity Fare Levels
4 Trip Cost; Unit Cost
Finnair Capital Market Day, 3 Dec 2012 14
1 2 3 Traffic Flows Competitive Capacity Fare Levels 4 Trip Cost; Unit Cost
Finnair Capital Market Day, 3 Dec 2012 15
‐2000000 ‐1000000 1000000 2000000 3000000 4000000 Jun 2011 Jul 2011 Aug 2011 Sep 2011 Oct 2011 Nov 2011 Dec 2011 Jan 2012 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 Apr 2012 May 2012 Jun 2012 Jul 2012 Aug 2012 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 Nov 2012 Dec 2012 Jan 2013 Feb 2013 Mar 2013 Apr 2013 May 2013 Jun 2013 Jul 2013 Aug 2013 Sep 2013 Oct 2013 Nov 2013 Dec 2013
Original forecast Actual performance
to Finnair’s success
ruthlessly decrease costs → leading to improved profitability
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