prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
BTS Group Holdings PCL
2Q 15/16 earnings presentation
SET Opportunity Day
2Q 15/16 earnings presentation
23 November 2015
U Sathorn Hotel Bangkok
BTS Group Holdings PCL SET Opportunity Day 2Q 15/16 earnings - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
BTS Group Holdings PCL SET Opportunity Day 2Q 15/16 earnings presentation 23 November 2015 U Sathorn Hotel Bangkok 2Q 15/16 earnings presentation prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL Disclaimer Investment involves
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
2Q 15/16 earnings presentation
23 November 2015
U Sathorn Hotel Bangkok
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Investment involves risk. Prospective should understand the characteristics of Securities and study information about BTS Group Holdings Public Company Limited (the “Company”) before making a decision to invest in Securities. This presentation is for information purposes only and is intended only for the initial direct attendee of the presentation. It may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. It shall not and does not constitute either an offer to purchase or buy or a solicitation to purchase or buy or an offer to sell or exchange
inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of this presentation, nor the fact of its existence, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein. This presentation is not to be relied upon in any manner as legal, tax or any other advice and shall not be used in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment and each person made aware of the information set-forth hereof shall be responsible for conducting its own investigation and analysis of the information contained herein. Except where otherwise indicated, the information provided in this presentation is based on matters as they exist as of the date stated or, if no date is stated, as of the date of preparation and not as of any future date, and the information and opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. None of the Company nor any of its subsidiaries accepts any obligation to update
Company or any of its subsidiaries or any of their respective directors, officers, employees or agents shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation and any and all such liability is expressly disclaimed. The information contained herein must be kept strictly confidential and may not be reproduced or redistributed in any format without the express written approval of the Company. Some statements made in this presentation are forward-looking statements, which are subject to various risks and uncertainties. These include statements with respect to the Company’s corporate plans, strategies and beliefs and other statement that are not historical facts. These statement can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may”, “will”, “expect” , “intend”, “estimate”, “continue”, “plan” or other similar words. The statements are based on the assumptions and beliefs of the Company’s management in light of the information currently available to the Company. These assumptions involve risks and uncertainties which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Nothing in this Presentation is, or should be relied
2 2Q 15/16 earnings presentation
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Section
BTSG 2Q 15/16 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Section
Section
BUSINESS UPDATES BTSGIF 2Q 15/16 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE (separate presentation)
APPENDICES
3 2Q 15/16 earnings presentation
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
CORE BUSINESS PROFITABILITY STILL IMPROVING
from a reduction in interest income and share of losses from property JVs/associates.
excluding these impacts:
BTS DAILY TRADED VALUE (LTM) (as of 10 Nov 2015) THB 330.1mn (USD 9.8mn) NEW CORE RIDERSHIP RECORD: 58.5MN TRIPS (increased +7.1% YoY) BTS DIVIDEND YIELD (LTM)** 6.21% SET50 DIVIDEND YIELD (LTM)*** 3.34%
4 2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 15/16 Financial Performance
BALANCE SHEET STRENGTH
* Excess cash and liquid investments exclude sinking fund and include cash balance of THB 1.54bn (includes cash from an associate of THB 0.04bn), current investments of THB 6.90bn (includes current investments from an associate of THB 0.09bn), long term investments of THB 9.18bn and restricted deposits of THB 1.15bn
RESILIENT MASS TRANSIT-RELATED REVENUES: Net farebox revenue +10.1% YoY BTS-related Media revenue +5.7% YoY
** Dividend yield based on share price as of date prior to Board of Directors’ approval of relevant dividend payment *** Sum of the gross DPS that have gone ex-dividend over the past 12 months, divided by stock price as of 10 Nov 2015
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
1,871 1,671 8 (260) (0) 51 2Q 14/15 Mass transit Media Property Services 2Q 15/16 1%
(THB mn)
0% 35%
OPERATING REVENUE COMPARISON (YoY)
Income Statement (THB mn) 2Q 15/16 2Q 14/15 % YoY 1Q 15/16 % QoQ 1H 15/16 1H 14/15 % YoY Operating Revenues1 1,671 1,871 (10.7%) 1,538 8.6% 3,209 3,616 (11.2%) Gross operating profits 969 1,046 (7.4%) 888 9.1% 1,856 1,990 (6.7%) Operating EBITDA2 707 739 (4.3%) 631 12.1% 1,338 1,428 (6.3%) Recurring net profit – before MI 421 762 (44.7%) 508 (17.1%) 944 1,531 (38.3%) Accounting EBITDA3 834 1,172 (28.9%) 4,314 (80.7%) 5,148 2,380 116.3% Net income (loss)4 474 633 (25.2%) 3,016 (84.3%) 3,490 1,284 171.9% Gross operating profit margin (%) 58.0% 55.9% 57.7% 57.8% 55.0% EBITDA margin (%) 42.3% 50.3% 82.9% 71.8% 51.0% Recurring net profit margin (%) 25.3% 32.9% 29.5% 27.8% 33.3% Operating EBITDA margin (%) 42.3% 39.5% 41.0% 41.7% 39.5%
P&L SNAPSHOT
37% Mass Transit 32% Media 20% Property 11% Services
2Q 15/16 OPERATING REVENUE BREAKDOWN
1 operating revenue of 4 BUs & share of net profit from BTSGIF 2 excluding interest income 3 including profit from discontinued operation 4to equity holders of the parent
5 2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 15/16 Financial Performance
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
270 271 322 283 288 308 379 379 392 386 392 394 395 1,238 1,259 1,263 208
174 157 157 166 217 194 147 208 223
2Q 12/13 3Q 12/13 4Q 12/13 1Q 13/14 2Q 13/14 3Q 13/14 4Q 13/14 1Q 14/15 2Q 14/15 3Q 14/15 4Q 14/15 1Q 15/16 2Q 15/16
O&M (THB mn) Farebox (THB mn) Share of NP in BTSGIF (THB mn)
6
HISTORICAL OPERATING REVENUE (THB mn)
KEY FACTORS
contractually agreed increase in operating fee of the Sukhumvit extension and Silom extension
from the increase in core network performance
costs remained flat YoY whilst operating revenue increased
2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 15/16 Financial Performance
OPERATING REVENUE BREAKDOWN OPERATING PERFORMANCE
Mass transit (THB mn) 2Q 15/16 2Q 14/15 YoY 1Q 15/16 QoQ 1H 15/16 1H 14/15 YoY Revenue 617 609 1% 602 2% 1,220 1,154 6% O&M revenue 395 392 1% 394 0% 789 771 2% Share in BTSGIF 223 217 2% 208 7% 431 384 12% Costs of revenue 207 206 1% 209 (1%) 416 414 0% Gross profit 410 404 2% 394 4% 804 740 9% Operating EBITDA 415 407 2% 398 4% 813 747 9% Gross margin (%) 66.4% 66.3% 65.4% 65.9% 64.1% Operating EBITDA margin (%) 67.2% 66.8% 66.1% 66.7% 64.7%
64% O&M Share in BTSGIF 36%
2Q 14/15 2Q 15/16
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
7
HISTORICAL AVERAGE FARE & % GROWTH (YOY) HISTORICAL RIDERSHIP & % GROWTH (YOY)
2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 15/16 Financial Performance
54.6 56.4 56.4 55.9 58.5 2.1% 4.7%
9.0% 7.1%
50.0 55.0 60.0
2Q 14/15 3Q 14/15 4Q 14/15 1Q 15/16 2Q 15/16
Ridership (mn trips) Passenger Growth (YoY), RHS
26.6 26.9 26.9 26.9 27.4 0.5% 0.4%
2.8%
20.0 25.0 30.02Q 14/15 3Q 14/15 4Q 14/15 1Q 15/16 2Q 15/16
Average Fare (THB/trip) Average Fare Growth (YoY), RHS
*compared to THB 26.86/ trip (FY 14/15 avg fare)
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
8
HISTORICAL OPERATING REVENUE (THB mn)
KEY FACTORS
discontinuation of Modern Trade Media
Revenue grew 5.7% YoY and 7.0% QoQ to THB 466.8mn from increase in occupancy of on-station (both static & digital) and digital media in-train as well as revenue from 7 new extensions stations
Revenue decreased 100.0% YoY to THB 0.0mn from the termination
Revenue rose 49.4% YoY to THB 60.6mn from additional contracts
from lower contribution of lower margin Modern Trade business
2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 15/16 Financial Performance
11% Office Buildings & Others 89% BTS - Related
Media (THB mn) 2Q 15/16 2Q 14/15 YoY 1Q 15/16 QoQ 1H 15/16 1H 14/15 YoY Revenue 527 787 (33%) 539 (2%) 1,067 1,541 (31%) Costs of revenue 147 328 (55%) 178 (17%) 325 638 (49%) Gross profit 380 459 (17%) 362 5% 742 902 (18%) Operating EBITDA 333 390 (14%) 317 5% 650 768 (15%) Gross margin (%) 72.1% 58.3% 67.1% 69.5% 58.6% Operating EBITDA margin (%) 63.2% 49.5% 58.8% 61.0% 49.9%
2Q 15/16
725 749 683 844 847 798 632 754 787 780 605 539 527 2Q 12/13 3Q 12/13 4Q 12/13 1Q 13/14 2Q 13/14 3Q 13/14 4Q 13/14 1Q 14/15 2Q 14/15 3Q 14/15 4Q 14/15 1Q 15/16 2Q 15/16
OPERATING REVENUE BREAKDOWN OPERATING PERFORMANCE
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
179 401 710 950 863 686 436 319 331 341 364 233 331 1,643 1,849 554 1,411 9,469
2Q 12/13 3Q 12/13 4Q 12/13 1Q 13/14 2Q 13/14 3Q 13/14 4Q 13/14 1Q 14/15 2Q 14/15 3Q 14/15 4Q 14/15 1Q 15/16 2Q 15/16
Operating revenue Proceeds from land sale
THB 9,469 Sale of assets to U City
9
HISTORICAL OPERATING REVENUE (THB mn)
KEY FACTORS
increase in transferred units condominium, offset with the reduction in commercial property (from EGS divestment to U City)
mainly from higher sales of Abstracts Phahonyothin Park
EGS following the disposal of EGS to U City on 20 Apr 2015
JVs of THB 87.8mn in 2Q 15/16
from costs and expenses related to transferred units
THB 1,849 Nana land THB 1,411 Mo Chit land THB 554 Sale of non-core land
2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 15/16 Financial Performance
64% Residential Commercial & Others 36%
OPERATING REVENUE BREAKDOWN OPERATING PERFORMANCE
Property (THB mn) 2Q 15/16 2Q 14/15 YoY 1Q 15/16 QoQ 1H 15/16 1H 14/15 YoY Operating Revenue 331 331 0% 233 42% 564 650 (13%) Costs of revenue 205 193 6% 140 46% 345 383 (10%) Gross profit 126 138 (9%) 93 35% 219 267 (18%) Operating EBITDA 46 46 0% 14 232% 60 85 (30%) Gross margin (%) 38.1% 41.7% 39.9% 38.9% 41.0% Operating EBITDA margin (%) 13.9% 13.9% 5.9% 10.6% 13.1%
2Q 14/15 2Q 15/16
THB 1,643 Kamala
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
10
HISTORICAL OPERATING REVENUE (THB mn)
KEY FACTORS
Revenue increased by 35.3% YoY to THB 195.1mn from i) increase in revenue from HHT construction of THB 37.6mn YoY and ii) increase in revenue from ChefMan Restaurants of THB 15.9mn or 18.9% YoY to THB 99.9mn
Costs increased by 44.0% YoY or THB 43.7mn to THB 142.9mn. SG&A rose by 30.8% YoY to THB 52.5mn. Key costs and SG&A items were mainly from staff costs, food & beverage cost at ChefMan Restaurants
2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 15/16 Financial Performance
HHT Construction 18% 51% ChefMan Rabbit 27% Others 3%
OPERATING REVENUE BREAKDOWN OPERATING PERFORMANCE
Services (THB mn) 2Q 15/16 2Q 14/15 YoY 1Q 15/16 QoQ 1H 15/16 1H 14/15 YoY Revenue 195 144 35% 164 19% 359 270 33% Costs of revenue 143 99 44% 125 15% 268 189 41% Gross profit 52 45 16% 39 33% 91 80 13% Operating EBITDA 24 27 (11%) 19 26% 42 51 (17%) Gross margin (%) 26.7% 31.2% 23.9% 25.4% 29.8% Operating EBITDA margin (%) 12.1% 18.4% 11.4% 11.8% 18.8%
2Q 14/15 2Q 15/16
24 45 46 78 104 107 108 126 144 138 139 164 195
2Q 12/13 3Q 12/13 4Q 12/13 1Q 13/14 2Q 13/14 3Q 13/14 4Q 13/14 1Q 14/15 2Q 14/15 3Q 14/15 4Q 14/15 1Q 15/16 2Q 15/16
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
40,808 49,097 26,003 14,321 31-มี.ค.-15 30-ก.ย.-15
Total current assets Total non-current assets
66,811 63,418 52,012 50,016 8,004 5,918 6,795 7,484 31-มี.ค.-15 30-ก.ย.-15
Total current liabilities Total non-current liabilities Total shareholders' equity
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY BREAKDOWN (THB MN) ASSET BREAKDOWN (THB MN) KEY RATIOS
61% 39% 23% 77% 12% 79% 9% 78% 10% 12%
2Q 15/16:
0.03x
2Q 14/15: (0.03)x
Net Debt to Equity Net Debt to Operating EBITDA
2Q 15/16:
0.62x
2Q 14/15: (0.61)x 2Q 15/16: 10.17x 2Q 14/15: 6.60x
Interest Coverage
2Q 15/16:1.91x 2Q 14/15: 4.88x
Current Ratio
11 2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 2Q 15/16 Financial Performance
66,811 63,418
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Section
BTSG 2Q 15/16 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Section
Section
BUSINESS UPDATES BTSGIF 2Q 15/16 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE (separate presentation)
APPENDICES
12 2Q 15/16 earnings presentation
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
19.43 20.19 19.25 19.07 19.75 12.4% 11.3% 4.6% 5.3% 4.3%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.50 17.50 18.50 19.50 20.50 21.50 22.50Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Ridership (mn trips) % YoY ridership growth OCT 2015:
13 2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
OCT 15 RIDERSHIP UPDATE
YTD (Apr – Oct) 15/16:
*compared to THB 26.86 / trip (FY 14/15 avg fare)
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
82.9% 85.0% 74.9% 63.0% 81.8% 81.7% 85.1% 78.9% 86.1% 2Q 13/14 3Q 13/14 4Q 13/14 1Q 14/15 2Q 14/15 3Q 14/15 4Q 14/15 1Q 15/16 2Q 15/16
Land bank THB 2.1bn Residential* THB 1.8bn
PROPERTY BOOK VALUE BREAKDOWN COMMERCIAL PROPERTY COMMERCIAL PROPERTY REVENUE BREAKDOWN
2Q 15/16 REVPAR AND OCCUPANCY
14
HISTORICAL HOTEL OCCUPANCY
Others 26% 2Q 15/16 Commercial Property Revenue:
THB 120mn
U-Hotels 40% Thana City Golf 34%
2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
24.1% 48.0% 27.9%
Total Book Value as of 30 Sep 15:
THB 7.4bn
Commercial THB 3.5bn
*Includes assets reclassified as “held for sale” of THB 1.4bn from Nuvo Line transaction 2,409.9 1,608.7 2,247.0 1,778.1 2,154.4
88.7% 81.7% 88.3% 76.2% 86.1%
40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% 500.0 1,000.0 1,500.0 2,000.0 2,500.0 3,000.0U Chiang Mai U Inchantree Eastin Grand Sathorn* U Sathorn Blended RevPar (THB per Night) Occupancy rate * Eastin Grand Hotel Sathorn (EGS) was divested to U City since 20 Apr 2015
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
15
(located at U-Sathorn Hotel)
2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
U Sathorn Hotel Bangkok (ballroom) U Sathorn Hotel Bangkok (deluxe garden) J’AIME Restaurant U Sathorn Hotel Bangkok (deluxe) U Sathorn Hotel Bangkok (exterior) U Sathorn Hotel Bangkok (lobby)
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Project Name THE LINE Jatujak - Mochit THE LINE Sukhumvit 71 THE LINE Ratchathewi Distance from mass transit station 300m from BTS Mo chit 400m from BTS Prakanong 220m from BTS Ratchathewi Project value THB 5.8bn THB 2.0bn THB 2.9bn*
841 (43 floors) 291 (28 floors) 231 (38 floors)
THB 179k THB169k; fully furnished THB 265k* Land Area (Rai) 4-2-95.7 1-3-54.4 1-2-12
Construction Starts Construction Completion
Aug 2015 May 2015 Nov 2016 Dec 2016 Feb 2017
Transfer Starts Transfer Completion
Oct 2015 Jan 2016 Apr 2018 May 2019 Jul 2019 May 2015 Mar 2015 Jan 2018 Feb 2018 Jun 2018
16
“Strategic Alliance Framework Agreement”
*Approximate figures
2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Section
BTSG 2Q 15/16 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Section
Section
BUSINESS UPDATES BTSGIF 2Q 15/16 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE (separate presentation)
APPENDICES
17 2Q 15/16 earnings presentation
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
*See Appendix 2 for
details of CAPEX requirements
18
NEW CONTRACTS
‘PPP GROSS COST BASIS’
works with repayment from government
contract
PINK LINE
DARK GREEN NORTH LINE
GREY LINE
Phase I: Watcharaphol – Thong Lo (16.3km)
LIGHT RAIL TRANSIT (LRT)
DARK GREEN SOUTH LINE
Sources: Office of Transport and Traffic Policy and Planning, Mass Rapid Transit Authority of Thailand, Bangkok Metropolitan Administration, Ministry of Transport
LIGHT GREEN LINE
2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Appendix: Targeted Lines
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Source :
* http://www.ryt9.com/s/prg/2290234 ** http://www.bangkokpost.com/news/politics/754836/enterprises-face-revamp
19 2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Appendix: PPP vs PPP Fast Track Timeline
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Shares on Investments in Joint Ventures % Effective Holding (9 Oct 2015) Amount (THB mn) Amount per FS (THB mn) BTS-SIRI JV projects 50.00% (87.8) Share of income from investments in associates 168.6 Total (87.8) Total share of net income in JV/Asso 80.8 Shares on Investments in Associates % Effective Holding (9 Oct 2015) Amount (THB mn) Amount per IR Pack (THB mn) BTSGIF 33.33% 222.6 Shares of net income in BTSGIF (including in Mass Transit operating revenue) 222.6 MACO 18.22% 11.2 Shares of net loss in Associates/ JV (excluding shares in BTSGIF) (141.8) U CITY 35.64% (67.7) Total share of net income in JV/Asso 80.8 AHS 50.00% 2.4 Total 168.6 Shares on Investments in Subsidiary %% Effective Holding (9 Oct 2015) Amount (THB mn) VGI 73.00% N.A.
20 2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Appendix: Breakdown of Share of Income (Loss) from Investments
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
21 2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Appendix: Nuvo Line Transaction Summary
BTS
Nuvo Line Agency Co., Ltd.
100%
Property
i.e. Abstracts Condo
Before
BTS
50%
After
BTS’s wholly owned subsidiary
Nuvo Line Agency Co., Ltd. i.e. Abstracts Condo
BTS’s joint venture
Property SIRI
50%
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
GLAND), won the auction for a land plot at Phaholyothin Road.
certain conditions.
framework with SIRI.
2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Appendix: Bayswater Transaction Summary
Land price THB 7,350mn Ownership Freehold Area 48 – 2 – 96.8 Rai (200m from N10, future station)
Land Details
22
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Pre-sale period: 31 Oct-1 Nov 2015 Foreign participation: 15%
23
2Q 15/16 earnings presentation Appendix: The Line Ratchathewi Presale Update
Project Name THE LINE Ratchathewi Distance from mass transit station 220m from BTS Ratchathewi Project value THB 2.9bn*
231 (38 floors)
THB 265k* Land Area (Rai) 1-2-12
Domestic Presales Construction Starts Construction Completion Transfer Starts Transfer Completion Oct 2015 Jan 2016 Apr 2018 May 2019 Jul 2019
TIMELINE
*Approximate figures
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Address: BTS Group Holdings PCL IR Department 15th Floor, TST Tower, 21 Soi Choei Phuang, Viphavadi-Rangsit Rd., Chomphon, Chatuchak, Bangkok, Thailand 10900 Telephone: +66(0) 2273 8611-15 Email: ir@btsgroup.co.th Fax: +66(0) 2273 8610 Website: www.btsgroup.co.th
24 2Q 15/16 earnings presentation