prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
BTS Group Holdings PCL
1Q 14/15 earnings presentation
14 August 2014
1Q 14/15 earnings presentation
BTS Group Holdings PCL 1Q 14/15 earnings presentation 14 August - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
BTS Group Holdings PCL 1Q 14/15 earnings presentation 14 August 2014 1Q 14/15 earnings presentation prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL Disclaimer Investment involves risk. Prospective should understand the
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
14 August 2014
1Q 14/15 earnings presentation
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Investment involves risk. Prospective should understand the characteristics of Securities and study information about BTS Group Holdings Public Company Limited (the “Company”) before making a decision to invest in Securities. This presentation is for information purposes only and is intended only for the initial direct attendee of the presentation. It may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. It shall not and does not constitute either an offer to purchase or buy or a solicitation to purchase or buy or an offer to sell or exchange
inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of this presentation, nor the fact of its existence, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein. This presentation is not to be relied upon in any manner as legal, tax or any other advice and shall not be used in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment and each person made aware of the information set-forth hereof shall be responsible for conducting its own investigation and analysis of the information contained herein. Except where otherwise indicated, the information provided in this presentation is based on matters as they exist as of the date stated or, if no date is stated, as of the date of preparation and not as of any future date, and the information and opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. None of the Company nor any of its subsidiaries accepts any obligation to update
Company or any of its subsidiaries or any of their respective directors, officers, employees or agents shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation and any and all such liability is expressly disclaimed. The information contained herein must be kept strictly confidential and may not be reproduced or redistributed in any format without the express written approval of the Company. Some statements made in this presentation are forward-looking statements, which are subject to various risks and uncertainties. These include statements with respect to the Company’s corporate plans, strategies and beliefs and other statement that are not historical facts. These statement can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may”, “will”, “expect” , “intend”, “estimate”, “continue”, “plan” or other similar words. The statements are based on the assumptions and beliefs of the Company’s management in light of the information currently available to the Company. These assumptions involve risks and uncertainties which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Nothing in this Presentation is, or should be relied
2 1Q 14/15 earnings presentation
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Section
BTSG 1Q 14/15 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Section
Section
BUSINESS UPDATES BTSGIF 1Q 14/15 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE (separate presentation)
APPENDICES
3 1Q 14/15 earnings presentation
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
IMPROVED PROFITABILITY
margin rose to 33.7% (22.2% in 1Q 13/14)
gain from BTSGIF transaction
BTS DAILY TRADED VALUE (LTM) (as of 7 Aug 2014) THB 521.7mn (USD 16.2mn) MEDIA BUSINESS PROFITABILITY REBOUND QoQ Net profit +33% QoQ
(against Thai adex spending increase of 7.5%)
NEW CORE REVENUE RECORD: AVERAGE FARE (increased +6.8% YoY) FAREBOX REVENUE (increased +8.9% YoY) BTS DIVIDEND YIELD (LTM)** 6.97% SET50 DIVIDEND YIELD (LTM) 3.09%
4 1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 1Q 14/15 Financial Performance
** Sum of the gross DPS that have gone ex-dividend over the past 12 months, divided by stock price as of 7 Aug 2014
COMMITTED MINIMUM DIVIDEND OF: THB 7BN IN FY 14/15 & THB 8BN IN FY 15/16
BALANCE SHEET STRENGTH
* Excess cash and liquid investments exclude sinking fund and include cash balance
3.29bn and restricted deposits of THB 1.15bn
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
2,486 1,744 (70) (90) (630) 48 1Q 13/14 Mass transit Media Property Services 1Q 14/15
(THB mn)
61%
OPERATING REVENUE COMPARISON (YoY)
Income Statement (THB mn) 1Q 14/15 1Q 13/14 % YoY 4Q 13/14 % QoQ Operating Revenues1 1,744 2,486 (29.9%) 1,713 1.8% Gross operating profits 974 1,248 (21.9%) 892 9.2% Operating EBITDA2 690 898 (23.2%) 567 21.6% Recurring net profit – before MI 769 627 22.7% 634 21.3% Accounting EBITDA3 1,220 14,671 (91.7%) 926 31.8% Net income (loss)4 650 10,808 (94.0%) 404 60.9% Gross operating profit margin (%) 55.9% 50.2% 52.1% EBITDA margin (%) 52.1% 89.0% 46.2% Recurring net profit margin (%) 33.7% 22.2% 29.8% Operating EBITDA margin (%) 39.5% 36.1% 33.1%
P&L SNAPSHOT
31% Mass Transit 43% Media 18% Property 7% Services
1Q 14/15 OPERATING REVENUE BREAKDOWN
1 operating revenue of 4 BUs & share of net profit from BTSGIF 2 excluding interest income 3 including profit from discontinued operation 4 to equity holders of the parent
5 1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 1Q 14/15 Financial Performance
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Loans from financial institutions 8,669 7,469* 354 (2,714) 1,159 Beginning cash (31/3/14) CFO CFI CFF Ending cash (30/6/14)
(THB mn)
* excluding BTSC sinking fund and THB 31.8bn liquid investments
6
Increase in VGI stake, MACO investment, Treasury investment
1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 1Q 14/15 Financial Performance
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
46.4 49.4 50.3 51.1 50.3 53.5 53.9 57.1 51.3 24.5 25.1 25.0 24.7 25.3 26.5 26.8 27.0 27.0
1Q 12/13 2Q 12/13 3Q 12/13 4Q 12/13 1Q 13/14 2Q 13/14 3Q 13/14 4Q 13/14 1Q 14/15
Ridership (mn trips) Average fare (THB/trip)
82 238 270 291 258 270 271 322 283 344 367 379 379 956 1,088 1,076 1,177 1,135 1,238 1,259 1,263 1,273 1,417 1,443 1,544 1,387 1Q 11/12 2Q 11/12 3Q 11/12 4Q 11/12 1Q 12/13 2Q 12/13 3Q 12/13 4Q 12/13 1Q 13/14 2Q 13/14 3Q 13/14 4Q 13/14 1Q 14/15
O&M (THB mn) Farebox (THB mn)
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HISTORICAL OPERATING REVENUE
HISTORICAL AVG FARE AND RIDERSHIP
KEY FACTORS OPERATING PERFORMANCE
stations of the Silom line (Bang Wa) extension and iii) new carriages into service (all 4-car trains across the network)
additional service income from the Silom line extension which
in i) payroll expenses and ii) selling & marketing expenses
as revenue grew and costs and SG&A decreased
Mass transit (THB mn) 1Q 14/15 1Q 13/14 YoY 4Q 13/14 QoQ Revenue 1,766 1,556 13% 1,922 (8%) Fare-box revenue 1,387 1,273 9% 1,544 (10%) Other revenue 379 283 34% 379 0% Costs of revenue 883 877 1% 1,008 (12%) Gross profit 883 679 30% 914 (3%) Operating EBITDA 1,171 928 26% 1,230 (5%) Gross margin (%) 50.0% 43.7% 47.6% Operating EBITDA margin (%) 66.3% 59.6% 64.0% * Includes 100% of fare-box revenue and O&M
1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 1Q 14/15 Financial Performance
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
467 523 503 465 637 725 749 683 844 847 798 632 754 1Q 11/12 2Q 11/12 3Q 11/12 4Q 11/12 1Q 12/13 2Q 12/13 3Q 12/13 4Q 12/13 1Q 13/14 2Q 13/14 3Q 13/14 4Q 13/14 1Q 14/15
5% Office Buildings & Others 38% Modern Trade 57% BTS - Related
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seasonal low period in 4Q 13/14 and ii) improving economy
Revenue increased 4.3% YoY to THB 427.9mn from i) increase in capacity from new products, ii) increase in rent for long-term contracts of merchandising space and iii) increase in occupancy of small rental shops on the stations.
Revenue decreased 26.4% YoY to THB 286.4mn from i) weakened consumer spending and ii) political disruptions
Revenue decreased 10.4% YoY to THB 39.6mn, driven by i) consumption slowdown and ii) political instabilities
OPERATING REVENUE BREAKDOWN OPERATING PERFORMANCE
Media (THB mn) 1Q 14/15 1Q 13/14 YoY 4Q 13/14 QoQ Revenue 754 844 (11%) 632 19% Costs of revenue 310 399 (9%) 290 7% Gross profit 444 504 (12%) 342 30% Operating EBITDA 379 423 (11%) 271 40% Gross margin (%) 58.8% 59.8% 54.1% Operating EBITDA margin (%) 50.2% 50.2% 42.8%
HISTORICAL OPERATING REVENUE (THB mn)
KEY FACTORS
1Q 14/15
1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 1Q 14/15 Financial Performance
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
154 152 111 210 155 179 401 710 950 863 685 436 319
1,643 1,849 554
1Q 11/12 2Q 11/12 3Q 11/12 4Q 11/12 1Q 12/13 2Q 12/13 3Q 12/13 4Q 12/13 1Q 13/14 2Q 13/14 3Q 13/14 4Q 13/14 1Q 14/15
41% Residential Commercial & Others 59%
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OPERATING REVENUE* BREAKDOWN OPERATING PERFORMANCE
Property* (THB mn) 1Q 14/15 1Q 13/14 YoY 4Q 13/14 QoQ Operating Revenue 319 950 (66%) 436 (27%) Costs of revenue 191 575 (67%) 255 (25%) Gross profit 129 375 (66%) 181 (29%) Operating EBITDA 39 230 (83%) 64 (39%) Gross margin (%) 40.3% 39.5% 41.5% Operating EBITDA margin (%) 12.3% 24.2% 14.7%
HISTORICAL OPERATING REVENUE* (THB mn)
KEY FACTORS
1Q 14/15
from Residential Property
132.4mn mainly from decline in sales of Abstracts Phahonyothin Park (42 units transferred this quarter vs 225 units in 1Q 13/14)
slowdown in tourism industry
THB 190.6mn from costs and expenses related to transferred units
Eastin Grand Hotel
THB 1,643 Proceeds from sale of Kamala
* Transactions related to ChefMan Restaurants were reclassified from Property business to Services business in 4Q 13/14 and applied retrospectively since 2Q 12/13
THB 1,849 Proceeds from sale of Nana THB 554 Proceeds from sale of non-core land
1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 1Q 14/15 Financial Performance
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL 33 33 36 1 6 24 45 46 78 104 109 108 126
1Q 11/12 2Q 11/12 3Q 11/12 4Q 11/12 1Q 12/13 2Q 12/13 3Q 12/13 4Q 12/13 1Q 13/14 2Q 13/14 3Q 13/14 4Q 13/14 1Q 14/15
HHT 1% rabbit 39% Carrot 8% 52% ChefMan
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OPERATING REVENUE* BREAKDOWN OPERATING PERFORMANCE
Services* (THB mn) 1Q 14/15 1Q 13/14 YoY 4Q 13/14 QoQ Revenue 126 78 61% 108 16% Costs of revenue 61 41 48% 64 (6%) Gross profit 65 037 76% 44 48% Operating EBITDA 24 12 98% (11) N/A Gross margin (%) 51.9% 47.5% 40.8% Operating EBITDA margin (%) 19.3% 15.7% N/A
HISTORICAL OPERATING REVENUE* (THB mn)
KEY FACTORS
1Q 14/15
Revenue increased by THB 48mn YoY to THB 126mn from i) revenue from ChefMan Restaurants of THB 28mn and ii) the growth in royalty fee from the co-branded rabbit cards between the Company and business partner of THB 4mn
Costs & SGA increased by 52.2% YoY to THB 123mn (cost THB 61mn and SG&A THB 62mn). Key items were mainly from staff costs, food & beverage cost at ChefMan Restaurants and depreciation expenses for hardware, software and machines.
* Transactions related to ChefMan Restaurants were reclassified from Property business to Services business in 4Q 13/14 and applied retrospectively since 2Q 12/13
1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 1Q 14/15 Financial Performance
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
59,542.2 58,860.5 8,638.7 9,593.4 8,530.2 8,671.1 31-Mar-14 30-Jun-14 39,368.0 40,705.4 37,343.1 36,419.6 31-Mar-14 30-Jun-14
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY BREAKDOWN (THB MN) ASSET BREAKDOWN (THB MN) KEY RATIOS
Non-current assets Current assets 51% 49% 47% 53% 76,711 77,125 Non-current liabilities Current liabilities Equity 10% 78% 12% 76,711 77,125 78% 11% 11%
1Q 14/15: 0.01x 1Q 13/14*: 0.05x
Net Debt to Equity Net Debt to Operating EBITDA
1Q 14/15: 0.12x 1Q 13/14*: 1.66x 1Q 14/15: 5.16x 1Q 13/14*: 5.07x
Interest Coverage
1Q 14/15: 4.20x 1Q 13/14*: 5.94x
Current Ratio
11 1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 1: BTSG 1Q 14/15 Financial Performance
* 1Q 13/14 ratios have not been restated to reflect the effects of TFRIC4 and TFRIC12
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Section
BTSG 1Q 14/15 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Section
Section
BUSINESS UPDATES BTSGIF 1Q 14/15 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE (separate presentation)
APPENDICES
12 1Q 14/15 earnings presentation
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
PROGRAM SIZE
PURCHASE PERIOD August 25, 2014 to February 24, 2015 PURCHASE PRICE Not more than 115% of the “average closing price” of 5 days prior to purchase LOCK UP ON SALE 6 months from the end of the PURCHASE PERIOD PERMITTED RESALE PERIOD Can commence after the lock up period Any shares remaining unsold 3 years after the end of the purchase period must be cancelled RESALE PRICE Not less than 85% of the “average closing price” of 5 days prior to sale date
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PROGRAM DETAILS
RATIONALE
1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
JULY 2014 RIDERSHIP
GREEN LINE EXTENSIONS NEW LIGHT GREEN LINE EXTENSION
14 1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
BEARING-SAMUT PRAKARN:
expected end of 2014
(per NCPO)
1
MO CHIT-SAPHAN MAI-KU KHOT:
expected end of 2014
to early 2019 (per NCPO)
2
1 2
Source: National Council for Peace and Order (NCPO) BANG WA BOROMMARATCHACHONNANI
BANG WA – BOROMMARATCHACHONNANI
(6 stations)
consultant for EIA and feasibility study
18.53 16.75 17.25 17.28 18.14
4.1% 1.4% 0.7% 2.7%
Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Ridership (mn trips) % YoY ridership growth
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
SECOND TRANSACTION
FIRST TRANSACTION
15 1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
raising a total of THB 2,383mn
TH EXISTING SHAREHOLDERS
27.06% 4.23% 25.1% 8.73%
VGI AQUA KYAVATANAKIJ FAMILY
34.88%
OTHER PP SUBSCRIBERS TH Newspaper
19.00%
TH EXISTING SHAREHOLDERS
27.06% 4.23% 25.1% 8.73%
VGI AQUA KYAVATANAKIJ FAMILY
34.88%
OTHER PP SUBSCRIBERS TH Newspaper
19.00% 74.0%
AQUA AD
Management service agreement
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
KEY BUSINESS OF THE TARGET
16 1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
RATIONALE
314 337 357 121
44% 51% 51% 40%
0% 20% 40% 60%
50 150 250 350 450 550
2011 2012 2013 5M' 2014 Revenue (THB mn) Gross Profit Margin
Aqua Ad’s Financial Performance (Pro Forma)
2011 2012 2013 Jun 2014 Billboard* 134 165 162 156 LED/LCD 128 128 128 128 Trolley in airport 1,271 1,171 140 140 39 33 18 11 95 132 144 145
2011 2012 2013 Jun '14 Rented Company's
Media Portfolio Owned vs Rented Billboards and Occupancy
in the Market* MACO 170 BNO 212 Aqua Ad 156 Hello Bangkok 200 Total 326 S.Thana 138 Co-Mass 109 Plan B 28 Total 687
Midas / MACO acquisitions
the outdoor sector
* Large size static media only
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Others 15%
RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY
1Q 14/15 Commercial Property Revenue:
THB 185mn
COMMERCIAL PROPERTY
Eastin Grand Sathorn 52% U-Hotels 8% Thana City Golf 25% Presold (as of 30 Jun 14): 89%
LOCATION: 250M FROM NEW BTS STATION SITE AREA: 33,420 SQM (20-3-55 RAI) LAND TENURE: FREEHOLD AVERAGE SALE PRICE: THB 76,400 PER SQM TDC: THB 2,527MN TRANSFERRED: 84% (as of 30 Jun 14)
ABSTRACTS PROJECT – PHAHONYOTHIN PARK
COMMERCIAL PROPERTY REVENUE BREAKDOWN
Opened: Oct 12 1Q 14/15 average occupancy rate: 62%
LOCATION: SATHORN, BANGKOK SITE AREA: 16-0-81 RAI LAND TENURE: LEASEHOLD, 30 YEARS LEASE CONTRACT WITH TREASURY DEPT. SIZE: 3 FLR, 86 ROOMS CONSTRUCTION PROGRESS: 73.6% (as of 30 Jun 14) EXPECTED OPENING: NOV 2014 TDC: THB 690MN LOCATION: SATHORN, BANGKOK, DIRECT ACCESS TO BTS SURASAK SITE AREA: 3,828 SQM (2-1-57 RAI) LAND TENURE: FREEHOLD SIZE: 33 FLR, 396 ROOMS TYPE: Business/Leisure Grand Hotel TOTAL NLA: 17,561 SQM
EASTIN GRAND SATHORN – 4 Stars U SATHORN HOTEL – 4 Stars
17 1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
>1.0 >1.2 >1.5 >1.8 >2.1 >2.5 >2.8 DEC 12 MAY 13 JUL 13 OCT 13 DEC 13 MAR 14 JUN 14
CENTRAL CLEARING HOUSE (CCH) PROJECT
NUMBER OF RABBIT CARDS MINI BIG C PROJECT
Bangkok Metropolitan area
cash coupon with minimum usage of THB 100 at Mini Big C through Mini Big C rabbit card
million cards
design and implementation of CCH system for common ticketing system
September 2014
department store’s food court starting September 2014
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SIAM PARAGON FOOD COURT PROJECT
1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
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companies in relation to infrastructure assets
stock’ by BTSC for the public sector entity
public sector entity controls significant residual interest of the infrastructure
concession agreement”
agreement”
IMPACT TO F/S
1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Same amount of revenue over 30 years “BEFORE” and “AFTER” TFRIC12
20
4,000.0 6,000.0 8,000.0 10,000.0 12,000.0 14,000.0
Before TFRIC12
O&M revenue
THB mn
4,000.0 6,000.0 8,000.0 10,000.0 12,000.0 14,000.0
After TFRIC12
Interest income Train procurement revenue O&M revenue
THB mn
1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Section 2: Business Updates
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Section
BTSG 1Q 14/15 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Section
Section
BUSINESS UPDATES BTSGIF 1Q 14/15 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE (separate presentation)
APPENDICES
21 1Q 14/15 earnings presentation
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
200 600 1,000 190 10 Mass transit Media Property* Services BTS Group
1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Appendix 1: 2014/15 BTS Group Targets and CAPEX 22
BTS GROUP CAPEX (THB mn) BTS GROUP TARGETS
FY 14/15 TOTAL CAPEX*: THB 2,000MN
* excludes real estate development cost
MASS TRANSIT MEDIA
5 – 8% Ridership Growth 1% Effective Fare Increase 13 – 17% Revenue Growth
PROPERTY
THB 800mn Residential Property Revenue THB 1,000mn Commercial Property Revenue
SERVICES
3.5mn Rabbit Cards 17% O&M Revenue Growth 2014/15 BTSGIF CAPEX is expected to be approx. THB 180mn (not included in BTS Group CAPEX)
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
IMPACT BEFORE AFTER Total contract value (30 years, excl. VAT) THB 174,899 mn Same O&M “Revenue” in Income Statement Recorded as “Service Income” THB 1,635 mn Recorded as 3 separate line items:-
132 mn “Cost” of O&M in Income Statement
included in “Cost of O&M services”
Rolling Stock Capex Not shown in Income Statement Shown as “Train procurement service income under concession agreement” PP&E on Balance Sheet: Rolling stock included in PP&E Rolling stock included as ‘Receivable under concession agreement’
23 1Q 14/15 earnings presentation Appendix 2: TRFIC12 - Service Concession Arrangements
IMPACT TO F/S
prepared by Investor Relations department BTS Group Holdings PCL
Address: BTS Group Holdings PCL IR Department 15th Floor, TST Tower, 21 Soi Choei Phuang, Viphavadi-Rangsit Rd., Chomphon, Chatuchak, Bangkok, Thailand 10900 Telephone: +66(0) 2273 8611-15 Email: ir@btsgroup.co.th Fax: +66(0) 2273 8610 Website: www.btsgroup.co.th
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