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Boosting value creation
Luciano Siani, CFO September 19, 2012
Boosting value creation Luciano Siani, CFO September 19, 2012 1 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Boosting value creation Luciano Siani, CFO September 19, 2012 1 1 Disclaimer This presentation may include declarations about Vale's expectations regarding future events or results. All declarations based upon future expectations, rather
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Luciano Siani, CFO September 19, 2012
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“This presentation may include declarations about Vale's expectations regarding future events or results. All declarations based upon future expectations, rather than historical facts, are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Vale cannot guarantee that such declarations will prove to be correct. These risks and uncertainties include factors related to the following: (a) the countries where Vale
(d) the mining and metals businesses and their dependence upon global industrial production, which is cyclical by nature; and (e) the high degree of global competition in the markets in which Vale operates. To obtain further information on factors that may give rise to results different from those forecast by Vale, please consult the reports filed with the Brazilian Comissão de Valores Mobiliários (CVM), the French Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF), and with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including Vale’s most recent Annual Report on Form 20F and its reports on Form 6K.”
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10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Per capita GDP/US per capita GDP
%
Sources: Penn World Tables and Vale
India China Japan Korea Taiwan
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¹ PPP, 2005 prices. ² Steel intensity measured by tons per USD of GDP.
7 7 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Brazil Korea China I ndia
Urbanization rate
%
Source: UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, “World Urbanization Prospects: the 2009 revision”.
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
China W orld
8 8 Source: Demographia World Urban Areas, July 2012
Cities by population and population density
5 10 15 20 25 30 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Density, ‘000 people per sq km Millions of people
Population Population density
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0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2000 2010 2020E
Source: McKinsey Global Institute.
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11 11 Source: GaveKal
million Urban households Housing stock, units Forecast Housing shortage
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Chinese car production
¹ Steel represents around 70% of light vehicle weight and only 2% of its cost. Sources: CEIC and Haver Analytics
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Million units
Passenger cars per 1,000 people 2010
Source: World Bank
3 6 1 3 2 1 5 8 1 6 7 2 0 5 2 4 8 3 2 5 4 5 1 4 8 7 World Brazil Mexico Russia Korea Japan United States European Union China
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Machinery and transport equipment 51% Garment 3% Textile, rubber and metal 17% Food & live animals 3% Others 25% Non-food raw materials 1%
Source: Datastream
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¹ Use of scrap is limited to about 20% of the charge, given the need to balance mass and heat.
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¹ Average IODEX for January-August 2012. ² Non-traditional suppliers: suppliers from countries other than Australia, Brazil, India and South Africa.
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Capacity Mpty Capex US$ billion Estimated start-up Conceição Itabiritos 12 1.2 2H13 Vargem Grande Itabiritos 10 1.6 1H14 Conceição Itabiritos II 19 1.2 2H14 Cauê Itabiritos 24 1.5 2H15
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¹ Additional plants: Conceição Itabiritos and Vargem Grande Itabiritos. ² Adaptation of existing plants: Conceição Itabiritos II and Cauê Itabiritos.
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20.4 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.1 21.1 23.1 23.1 23.1
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Mt
Project Location Capacity Start-up Total Capex US$ million Capex / t US$ ∆ capacity 2012-2017 Conceição Itabiritos Southeastern System 12 Mtpy 2H13 1,174 98 2.7 Mt Conceição Conceição Itabiritos SF PF SF PF Fe 64.7% 68.5%
SiO2 6.3% 1.2%
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20.4 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.1 10.1 12.0 12.0 12.0 21.2 27.0 27.0 27.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Mt
Project Location Capacity Start-up Total Capex US$ million Capex / t US$ ∆ capacity 2012-2017 Conceição Itabiritos II Southeastern System 19 Mtpy1 2H14 1,189 63 6.6 Mt Conceição Conceição Itabiritos Conceição Itabiritos II SF PF SF PF SF PF Fe 64.7% 68.5%
66,5% 68.8% SiO2 6.3% 1.2%
3,8% 0.9%
1 31.6% SF, 68.4% PF.
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20.0 20.0 20.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0
31.0 31.0 31.0 31.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Mt
Project Location Capacity Start-up Total Capex US$ million Capex / t US$ ∆ capacity 2012-2018 Vargem Grande Itabiritos Southern System 10 Mtpy 1H14 1,645 165 10.0 Mt Vargem Grande Vargem Grande Itabiritos SF PF SF PF Fe 66.1% 65.9%
SiO2 2.8% 2.8%
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Mt
Project Location Capacity Start-up Total Capex US$ million Capex / t US$ ∆ capacity 2012-2018 Cauê Itabiritos Southeastern System 24 Mtpy1 2H15 1,504 63 5.1 Mt Cauê Cauê Itabiritos SF PF SF PF Fe 63.6% 66.8% 65.3% 68.6% SiO2 7.0% 3.5% 4.4% 1.0%
1 29.2% SF, 70.8% PF.
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Tubarão PDM
Teluk Rubiah Oman
Guaíba & Itaguaí
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Capacity Mpty Capex US$ billion Estimated start-up Serra Leste 6 0.5 1H13 Additional 40 Mtpy¹ 40 3.0 2H13 Serra Sul S11D¹ 90 8.0 2H16
¹ Only mine and plant.
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¹ Vale is rated investment grade since July 2005. Current credit ratings: A- S&P, BBB+ Fitch, BBB (High) DBRS and Baa2 Moody’s. According to Moody’s KMV EDF implied rating is A1.
Lucio Cavalli September 19, 2012
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Reserves¹ Mt % Fe Southern System 4,210 47.8 Southeastern System 3,508 49.4 Midwestern System 35 62.2 Average without Northern System 7,753 48.6 S11 4,240 66.7 N5 1,025 67.1 Northern System – other mines 2,118 66.5 Northern System 7,383 66.7 Total 15,136 57.4
¹ Tonnage is stated in millions of metric tons of wet run-of-mine.
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S11D
N5 South
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Northern System’s ROM
Carajás current
Mill
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 N5S
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Pit Waste Rock Piles Plant All of S11D’s industrial facilities will be built on previously deforested areas. Waste rock piles
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67% 66% 64% 62% Cut-off (%Fe) Operational Flexibility Billion tons 65% 63% Significant reserves can be added by decreasing Fe cut-off grade.
Annual production of 90 Mt
Fe (%) Si02 (%) Al203 (%) P (%) Mn (%) LOI (%) 66.4 1.2 0.48 0.042 0.055 3.17
Illustrative
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S11D Vale
(without S11D)
~ 50% lower Operational costs Truckless system
Dry processing
Katsuo Homma September 19, 2012
São Luis Railway - 892 km Ponta da Madeira Carajás mining site Carajás
Existing railway - 892 km
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110
230 1985 2011 S11D operating at full capacity
230 109.8 1
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SERRA SUL Extension: 120 km Area: 48,000 ha
SERRA NORTE (IRON BODY) SERRA LESTE (IRON BODY)
Carajás National Forest
S11D Extension: 9.5 km Area: 1,400 ha
(IRON BODY)
S11 BODY
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The CLN S11D logistics expansion builds on CLN 150’ s infrastructure
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Executed capex – Mine and plant1 US$ 1.3 billion Executed capex – Logistics infrastructure1 US$ 344 million
1 Executed capex as of 30 June 2012
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Mine Beneficiation plant
Project Layout
Overland belt Conveyor system
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Number of packages
Value of capex
In progress To start Contracted
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Beneficiation Plant Load bins Product yard Stock yard Secondary crushing Tertiary crushing Secondary screening
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ISSUED 1H13 1H16
Execution of infrastructure works and equipment purchase Start-up of processing plant construction Start-up of mine and processing plant Preliminary license Installation license Operation license
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Pit Plant Canga dump Waste dump
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Belt-wagon use for top bench mining Belt-wagon use for bottom bench mining Final position
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Mine and plant Detailed engineering Access road Pre-assembly Civil Works Assembly Commissioning
2H16 2H17
Start-up Conclusão
Conclusion Start-up
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M odules 3D design M odules assembling at yard M odules transportation to site M odules assembling at site
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Araras river bridge
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Access road
Accumulated estimated Accumulated performed 1st line startup
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25.33% 41.14% 59.18% 80.32% 91.45% 98.11% 100.00%
954 2,220 3,429 4,760 6,564 9,129 5,363 499 Pico 2010 Pico 2011 Pico 2012 PICO 2013 PICO 2014 PICO 2015 PICO 2016 PICO 2017
# of workers
Peak 2010 Peak 2011 Peak 2012 Peak 2013 Peak 2014 Peak 2015 Peak 2016 Peak 2017
Vale has specific initiatives to meet that challenge. Professional training Specific project career
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10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
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São Luís
Rosário Açailândia Parauapebas
Carajás M ine
Santa Inês Marabá
PA MA TO PI
Santa Rita Alto Alegre do Pindaré Bom Jesus da Selva Cidelândia Curionópolis Ponta da Madeira maritime terminal
Serra Leste
Northern logistics capacity expansion CLN 150 Mtpa Northern logistics capacity expansion CLN S11D
42 duplicated railway section
2 CDs 2 Yards 2 Rec 1 Stacker 2 CDs 4 Yards 2 Rec 1 Stacker 2 SRs Pier IV - SB Pier IV - NB
S11D
Serra Norte
Carajás Railway
11 duplicated railway section
CD: car dumper Rec: reclaimer SR: stacker reclaimer SB: South berth NB: North berth
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¹Including wagons and locomotives
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CLN 150 Mtpy railway
CLN 150 Mtpy
CLN 150 Mtpy
CLN 150 Mtpy PM rail terminal
CLN 150 Mtpy
¹Including wagons and locomotives
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ISSUED
Sep/2009
1H13 Installation license Operation license Package 1 2H10 Package 2 1H13 2013 - 2014 ISSUED
Oct/2009
1H13 ISSUED
Jul/2009
1H13 CLN 150 Mtpy railway CLN 150 Mtpy PM rail terminal CLN 150 Mtpy
CLN 150 Mtpy
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Double tracking of 11 sections (125 km railway). 5 new bridges. 2 road bridges and 1 railway
1 underpass. Construction of new machine shop in Açailândia (MA) and empowerment of the machine shop in Maraba (PA).
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Construction of 73.9 km new lines. Construction of rail loop to passenger train. Access line to the car dumpers (5 and 6). New facility buildings.
Line and rail spur - earthmoving of loading yard
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2 car dumpers. 2 stock yards. 1 stacker. 2 iron ore reclaimers. Conveyor belts.
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Aerial view of construction of car dumpers
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Construction of South berth. Access bridge (1,600 m). Loading line (16,000 t/h). Ship loader (16,000 t/h). Berthing and mooring system and environmental monitoring. Tugboat pier.
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2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H
CLN 150 EEFC PM rail terminal ‘ ONSHORE OFFSHORE
IL EEFC (5 sections) Start-up Start-up Last start-up
RAILWAY PORT
Project approval IL EEFC (6 sections) First start-up Start-up Start-up
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Investment: US$ 11.4 billion¹. Capacity target: 80 Mtpy. Workers for construction: 19,472 (peak), 10,555 (average). Railway track: 937 km. Bridges and overpasses: 81. Power transmission lines: 918 km.
¹ Including wagons and locomotives
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CLN S11D rail spur
CLN S11D railway
CLN S11D PM rail terminal
CLN S11D
CLN S11D
¹ Including wagons and locomotives
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100% 100% 100% 72% 100% 5% 100% 44% 100% 100% 100% 5% 100% 100% 100% 80% 100% 1% 100% 21% 100% 18% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% Basic Detailed Basic Detailed Basic Detailed Basic Detailed Basic Detailed Basic Detailed Basic Detailed Basic Detailed Basic Detailed Basic Detailed Basic Detailed Lines and Spurs Fixes Inst. Signlalization Lines and Spurs Special art works Signlalization Lines and Spurs Special art works Signlalization Civil works Civil works TFPM EEFC Rail Spur On Shore Off Shore
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Construção de novas linhas, totalizando 120 km. Construção de pera ferroviária exclusiva para Trem de Passageiros. Novas oficinas e estruturas de apoio. Obras já licenciadas, iniciadas em 2010.
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Construção de novas linhas, totalizando 120 km. Construção de pera ferroviária exclusiva para Trem de Passageiros. Novas oficinas e estruturas de apoio. Obras já licenciadas, iniciadas em 2010.
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NA 1H13 2014 - 2018 Preliminary license Installation license1 Operation license1 ISSUED May/2012 1H13 1H16 NA ISSUED Dec/2009 1H15 NA ISSUED Dec/2009 2H15 NA ISSUED Dec/2009 2H16
CLN S11D rail spur CLN S11D railway CLN S11D PM rail terminal CLN S11D
CLN S11D
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1 Expected.
Rail spur with 101 km from S11D stock yard to EFC railway. Loading yard. 2 intersection yards. 1 maintenance yard. 9 bridges and overpasses. 4 tunnels. 8 facility buildings.
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42 double trackings (504 km). 55 remodelings (226 km). 43 bridges (railway). 31 overpasses (roads). 68 facility buildings. 17 overpasses (community). Replacement and expansion: signaling system electrical energy telecommunication
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Northern System: mine, railway and port
CARAJÁS CARAJÁS SÃO LUI S SÃO LUI S AÇAI LÂNDI A AÇAI LÂNDI A MARABÁ MARABÁ
57 56 55 54 53 52 51 50 49 48 47 46 45 44 43 42 41 40 39 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 58
Bridge over Tocantins river Norte Sul railway CLN 150: 11 sectors CLN S11D: 42 sectors 5 non-duplicated sectors
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Car dumpers lines CD7 e CD8. Checkpoint and supplying station
Wagon wheels replacement and maintenance site. Maintenance yard. Construction overpass F – modules 06 e 07. 35 km railway lines. Signaling and lighting lines.
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FACILITY BUILDINGS – 122 million m2 CLASSIFICATION YARD – 28.2 km FORMATION YARD – 6.4 km
Medical Office TANKS MAINTENANCE YARD AND GLL RAIL CTR & CMR Passengers rail looping 66
2 car dumpers (CD7 e CD8). 2 discharge conveyors. 4 stockyards. 5 yard machines (1 stacker, 2 reclaimers and 2 stacker/reclaimers). 1 loading line.
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Yard R Yard S Yard T Yard O, P and Q
CLN 150 CLN S11D
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Yard O Yard P Yard Q Yard T
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Pier IV (North berth). 1 shiploader. 1 transfer line for shipment (6th line).
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2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H
PORT CLN S11D EEFC PM rail terminal ‘ RAIL SPUR ONSHORE OFFSHORE
IL Start-up Start-up Start-up IL Start-up Start-up Last start-up First start-up
RAILWAY RAIL SPUR
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162 13,299 19,472 17,984 7,612 3,904 1,150 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 EEFC PM rail terminal Rail spur Onshore Offshore # of workers
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