BIENNIAL REVENUE ESTIMATE REVENUE VOLATILITY January 2017 Glenn - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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BIENNIAL REVENUE ESTIMATE REVENUE VOLATILITY January 2017 Glenn - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

BIENNIAL REVENUE ESTIMATE REVENUE VOLATILITY January 2017 Glenn Hegar Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts Revenue Available for REVENUE VOLATILITY General Purpose Spending BIENNIAL REVENUE ESTIMATE 2018-19 2016-17 General Revenue-Related


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SLIDE 1

REVENUE VOLATILITY

Glenn Hegar Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts

BIENNIAL REVENUE ESTIMATE

January 2017

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SLIDE 2

REVENUE VOLATILITY

General Revenue-Related (GR-R) Revenues from Sales Taxes (Before allocation to State Highway Fund) Sales Taxes Allocated to State Highway Fund Net GR-R Revenues from Sales Taxes Other GR-R Revenues Total GR-R Revenues Beginning Fund Balances Total GR-R Revenue & Fund Balances Revenue Reserved for Transfers to the Economic Stabilization and State Highway Funds Total Revenue Available for General Purpose Spending

$61.97 $4.71 $57.26 $49.21 $106.47 $1.53 $108.00 $3.13

$104.87

$56.83 $0.0 $56.83 $45.61 $102.45 $7.29 $109.73 $2.0 $107.73

SUBTOTAL SUBTOTAL SUBTOTAL

TOTAL

2016-17

2018-19

+ – = + = + = – =

In Billions of Dollars

In 2015, voters approved Proposition 7, which requires the Comptroller to direct some tax revenues to the State Highway Fund starting in fiscal 2018.

Glenn Hegar Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts

Revenue Available for General Purpose Spending BIENNIAL REVENUE ESTIMATE

Note: Totals may not sum due to rounding.

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SLIDE 3

Sales Taxes

9.3% 4.4% 5.6% 1.6% 1.8% 10.5% 13.0%

Motor Vehicle Sales & Rental Taxes Oil Production Tax Franchise Tax Natural Gas Production Tax Motor Fuel Taxes Fees, Investments & Other Non-Tax Revenue All Other State Taxes

53.8%

STATE TAX REVENUES OTHER REVENUES

Sources of General Revenue-Related Revenues for 2018-19

BIENNIAL REVENUE ESTIMATE

Glenn Hegar Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts

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SLIDE 4

$0 $4 $8 $12 $16 $20 $24 $28 $32 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004

Projected

All Funds General Revenue-Related Funds

Annual Net Sales Tax Collections

BIENNIAL REVENUE ESTIMATE

In Billions of Dollars

Glenn Hegar Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts

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SLIDE 5

$0 $4 $8 $12 $16 $20 $24 $28 $32 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004

Projected

All Funds General Revenue-Related Funds

Annual Net Sales Tax Collections

BIENNIAL REVENUE ESTIMATE

In Billions of Dollars

Glenn Hegar Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts

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SLIDE 6

$0 $0.2 $0.4 $0.6 $0.8 $1.0 $1.2 $1.4 $1.6 $1.8 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004

$.81 $1.76 $1.80 $1.64 $1.64 $1.04 $.60 $.77 $.85 $.68 $.48 $.29 $.21 In Billions of Dollars

Annual Net Sales Tax Collections / Mining

BIENNIAL REVENUE ESTIMATE

Glenn Hegar Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts