beRgoneday - elak Ca cna ! - "#!$%&'(&)#!*+##,! - elak - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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beRgoneday - elak Ca cna ! - "#!$%&'(&)#!*+##,! - elak - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • elak Ca cnßa !
  • "#!$%&'(&)#!*+##,!
  • elak Es b‘unelg
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Typical relationship between stream discharge and recurrence interval

0 2 5 10 20 50 100

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SLIDE 138

Bar graphs of annual flow for the River Severn (UK), 1945-95.

What is the Recurrence Interval for a 60 m3s-1 flood? T = (n+1) / r

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SLIDE 139

Bar graphs of annual flow for the River Severn (UK), 1945-95.

Recurrence Interval, T = (n+1) / r = (50+1) / 27 = 1.9 = 53%

Meaning ... There is a 1 in 1.9 (53%) chance that a flood of this magnitude will occur in any year. Also, on average, one such flood will occur every 1.9 years.!

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SLIDE 140

Bar graphs of annual flow for the River Severn (UK), 1945-95.

What is the Recurrence Interval for a 70 m3s-1 flood? T = (n+1) / r

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SLIDE 141

Recurrence Interval, T = (n+1) / r = (50+1) / 12 = 4.25 = 24%

Meaning ... There is a 1 in 4.25 (24%) chance that a flood of this magnitude will occur in any year. Also, on average, one such flood will occur every 4.25 years.! Bar graphs of annual flow for the River Severn (UK), 1945-95.

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