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1
cas;Cag 60 ‘A’ cas;Cag 60
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cas;Cag 60 ‘A’ cas;Cag 60
3
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4
ekµgCag 34 ‘B’, ekµgCag 30 ‘C’, cas;Cag 20 ‘D’ Gayu 20-30
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SLIDE 138 Bar graphs of annual flow for the River Severn (UK), 1945-95.
What is the Recurrence Interval for a 60 m3s-1 flood? T = (n+1) / r
SLIDE 139 Bar graphs of annual flow for the River Severn (UK), 1945-95.
Recurrence Interval, T = (n+1) / r = (50+1) / 27 = 1.9 = 53%
Meaning ... There is a 1 in 1.9 (53%) chance that a flood of this magnitude will occur in any year. Also, on average, one such flood will occur every 1.9 years.!
SLIDE 140 Bar graphs of annual flow for the River Severn (UK), 1945-95.
What is the Recurrence Interval for a 70 m3s-1 flood? T = (n+1) / r
SLIDE 141 Recurrence Interval, T = (n+1) / r = (50+1) / 12 = 4.25 = 24%
Meaning ... There is a 1 in 4.25 (24%) chance that a flood of this magnitude will occur in any year. Also, on average, one such flood will occur every 4.25 years.! Bar graphs of annual flow for the River Severn (UK), 1945-95.
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