WORKING DRAFT Last Modified 4/1/2016 5:10 PM Central Europe Standard Time Printed
Bank of the Future
Discussion on the latest banking and digital trends and their implications
April 11-12, 2016
Bank of the Future Discussion on the latest banking and digital - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
WORKING DRAFT Last Modified 4/1/2016 5:10 PM Central Europe Standard Time Printed Bank of the Future Discussion on the latest banking and digital trends and their implications April 11-12, 2016 In the next decade, we will see the emergence
WORKING DRAFT Last Modified 4/1/2016 5:10 PM Central Europe Standard Time Printed
April 11-12, 2016
McKinsey & Company 2
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SOURCE: McKinsey
In the next decade, we will see the emergence of a unified mobile ecosystem of 24 trn, most of the world's customers
Banking Data companies
DATA COMPANIES
Data Customer ownership Talent pool Difficult to monetize Limited emotional connection with customers
TELCO
Owns the channel No emotional connection with customers
BANKING
Data Trust Regulation Slow reaction
RETAIL
Data on customers’ buying habits and spending Lack of daily customer contact
McKinsey & Company 3
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SOURCE: McKinsey
Primarily front end Full Primarily back end
Value chain
Niche player
Narrow spectrum Typical broad banking spectrum
Offering
Broader than banking
Ecosystem
White-label back-office
In the new ecosystem banks will have to fundamentally rethink their business model and they have three strategic options to go after
Fully digitized universal bank
ILLUSTRATIVE
McKinsey & Company 4
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An option is to become an ecosystem owner bank
ILLUSTRATIVE
SOURCE: McKinsey
Niche player Ecosystem
White-label back-office
Fully digitized universal bank
McKinsey & Company 5
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An option is to become an ecosystem owner bank
ILLUSTRATIVE
SOURCE: McKinsey Panorama
McKinsey & Company 6
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Banks need to proactively follow innovative ideas from inside and outside banking, including ideas from thousands of FinTech startups
SOURCE: McKinsey Panorama
Retail Institutional
RETAIL ASSET GATHERING C/A B2C PAYMENTS LENDING CAPITAL MARKETS AND AM CASH MANAGEMENT LENDING B2B PAYMENTS SELF-LEARNING EFFICIENT OPERATIONS E2E PROCESSES INNOVATIVE ORGANIZATION AND CULTURE DISTRIBUTION MARKETING DIGITIZED ADMIN AND SUPPORT NEXT GENERATION RISK AND PRICING 2-SPEED IT CUSTOMER SERVICE
McKinsey & Company 7
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RETAIL ASSET GATHERING C/A B2C PAYMENTS SELF-LEARNING EFFICIENT OPERATIONS E2E PROCESSES LENDING INNOVATIVE ORGANIZATION AND CULTURE DISTRIBUTION MARKETING CAPITAL MARKETS AND AM DIGITIZED ADMIN AND SUPPORT NEXT GENERATION RISK AND PRICING CASH MANAGEMENT LENDING 2-SPEED IT B2B PAYMENTS CUSTOMER SERVICEBanks need to proactively follow innovative ideas from inside and outside banking, including ideas from thousands of FinTech startups
SOURCE: McKinsey Panorama
ILLUSTRATIVE
OUTSOURCE CED/ D/ SAAS SERVIC ICES ES CRYPT PTO-CURR URREN ENCY MARK RKETIN ING G AND LOYALTY SOLUT UTIO IONS FOR SMEs E-COMMERC RCE E / E-TRA RAIL ILER ER DIGIT GITAL PRODU ODUCT AND IN-APP PP PURCH RCHASES ES ADVERT ERTISEM ISEMENTS AND DISCOUN OUNTS SOCIA IALIZ IZING G FINANCE E AND USER ER GENERA RATED D CONTENT GAMBLIN ING G AND GAMIN ING INNOV OVATIVE IVE LENDI DING G PLATFOR FORMS (P2P P AND CROWD OWDSOU SOURC RCIN ING) PERSONAL FINANCIA IAL MANAGE GEMEN ENT BIG G DATA DRIVEN IVEN SCOR ORIN ING G AND LENDI DING NEXT XT GEN ENERA ERATION ION INSUR URANCE CLOUD OUD BASED ED SERVIC VICES B2B SERVIC ICE PROV OVID IDIN ING FINANCIAL MANAGE GEMEN ENT AND LENDI DING
Link Like Love
E2E SERVIC VICE IN SELEC ECTED ED VERTIC ICALS REIN INVENTED ED REMIT EMITTANCE CROW OWD D INVES ESTMENT AND ADVIS ISOR ORY NEXT XT GENERA RATIO ION PAYMENTS P2P PAYMEN ENTS FINANCIAL INCLUSION USION
McKinsey & Company 8
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Digital players in China are at the forefront of creating such ecosystems by expanding their core capabilities
SOURCE: McKinsey
e-Commerce Online search Social media Ad union IM payment Security
Entertainment Smart devices O2O ads Yu’e Bao: AuM
Sesame Credit: credit score for
Alipay: 800+ million Number of registered accounts Ant Micro Loans: SME loans
WeBank: Total loan credit line for SMEs: $300+ million WeChat: Social and mobile wallet app with
McKinsey & Company 9
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Several core elements of the new business model are visible across the value chain, but it’s not easy for banks to adapt
SOURCE: McKinsey
Control the retail value chain One-stop Shop for Corporates Robo-advisory Emerging post-trade services in CMIB Self-learning e-operations Big data-based real-time risk management Augmented reality-based servicing Fully personalized and automated customer servicing
McKinsey & Company 10
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Fintechs have six markers of success which make them easy to achieve this transformation, well ahead of banks
SOURCE: McKinsey
Advantaged modes of customer acquisition Fintech attackers need to find ways to attract customers cost-effectively, e.g. via partnerships and distribution agreements, an alternative way payments POS attacker Poynt is increasing its scale Step-function reduction in the cost to serve The erosion of the advantages of physical distribution make this a distinctive marker for the disruptive FinTech attackers, e.g. FinTech lenders have up to 400 bps cost advantage over banks Innovative uses of data Big Data and advanced analytics allow Fintechs to experiment with new credit scoring approaches and to understand customer needs or “next best actions”, e.g. by leveraging social media data Segment specific propositions Successful Fintech attackers will cherry pick from banking products and excel only in that segment, e.g. Wealthfront targets fee-averse Millenials who favor automated service over human advisors Leveraging existing infrastructure Fintech attackers embrace “co-opetition” and find ways to engage with existing ecosystem of banks, e.g. Lending Club’s credit supplier is Web Bank, PayPal’s merchant acquirer is Wells Fargo Managing risk and regulatory stakeholders Regulation is a key swing factor in how Fintech disruption could play out as once these attackers reach scale they will attract more regulatory attention and the ones lacking the required capabilities could easily fail
McKinsey & Company 11
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Financial attackers can choose from three different strategic directions
SOURCE: McKinsey
Compete with and disrupt the banks Disintermediate the customer
Cooperate and partner with banks 5-10 20-30 60-75
% Share of fintechs
1
3
2
McKinsey & Company 12
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True transformation and innovation in banking can only be achieved through banks partnering with Fintechs along three pillars
Customer acquisition and retention – banks bring large, established customer bases, while non-banks give access to ‘sticky’ and innovative products to increase involvement Regulatory and risk management – banking players have sophisticated practices, which non-banks will likely need going forward entering the financial services option space Refining and scaling new tech – collaboration provides an opportunity to pressure test innovations and expand to new markets or demographics
NOT EXHAUSTIVE
SOURCE: McKinsey
McKinsey & Company 13
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Partnerships between start-ups and banks take many different forms
SOURCE: McKinsey
Degree of affiliation High Low Access to technology – e.g., PayPal Sandbox allowing developers to test PayPal application components; Metro Bank agreement to use Zopa’s P2P platform to expand lending services to its clients Investment in products – e.g., Santander agreement to purchase up to 25% of Lending Club’s total
Alliances – e.g., Santander and Funding Circle partnership agreement to transfer leads of loans that Santander is not able to finance Funding – e.g., Credit Suisse led $165 M Series D financing for Prosper based on a $1.9 B valuation Acquisition – e.g., BBVA purchase of Simple and Holvi
McKinsey & Company 14
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2015 global net profits by industry, USD trillion
Banking and asset management
Printing & publishing
The financial industry has a much larger profit pool than recently disrupted industries
This business transformation heralds the largest industry transformation in history and provides a great opportunity for innovation
SOURCE: World Industry Service 1 Excluding motor vehicles 2 Transmission of sound, images, data or other information via cables, broadcasting, relay or satellite
Communi- cations2
Retail sector1