Bank of Cyprus Group
Investor presentation January 2017
Bank of Cyprus Group Investor presentation January 2017 Key - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Bank of Cyprus Group Investor presentation January 2017 Key messages GDP growth in Cyprus BOC is the largest bank in Cyprus 2.8% 2.2% 1.7% Dominant position in a recovering Cypriot economy Strong market 2015 2016E 2017E position
Investor presentation January 2017
Key messages
expansion of UK operations
Significant progress achieved in normalising the Bank Strong market position with a clear strategy going forward
11.4 0.0 Apr 2013 Jan 2017
ELA (€ bn) GDP growth in Cyprus CET1 ratio Asset quality (€ bn)
12.7 14.8 8.8 11.9 90+DPD NPE 14.6% 13.5% BOC Peer avg² 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 2015 2016E 2017E
Market share in Cyprus1
41.1% 30.1% Loans Deposits Peak
Strong leadership
Source: IMF, MOF (1) As of October 2016 (2) Based on EBA Risk Dashboard Report, data as at 30 June 2016 (3) 90+DPD: defined as loans past-due for more than 90 days and those that are impaired (impaired loans are those which are not considered fully collectable and for which a provision for impairment has been recognised on an individual basis or for which incurred losses exist at their initial recognition or customers in Debt Recovery)
Jun 2015 Sep 2016 13.8% 13.0% BOC Peer avg² Transitional Fully loaded
2
Decisive actions and deleveraging have put the Bank on a firm path to normalisation
March 2013:
Sep 2013:
election of new BoD Nov 2013:
Nov 2015:
CEO appointment Dec 2014:
in Cyprus and Greece Sep 2014:
share capital increase Nov 2014:
new BoD Mar 2016:
list on the LSE Dec 2015:
provisioning assumptions leading to enhanced coverage Sep 2015:
Uniastrum and other Russian assets Jun 2014:
integration completion Sep 2014:
various Romanian assets May 2014:
Serbian exposure Apr 2015:
95% stake in Marfin Diversified Strategy Fund Apr 2014:
Ukrainian
stake in Banca Transilvania Oct 2013:
Kyprou Asset Management
2013 2014 2015 2016
Jan 2015:
increase: completion of Retail Offer Feb 2015:
Offer Shares and commencement of trading Oct 2015:
becomes eligible asset for Eurosystem credit
reduced to €4,5 bn Oct 2014:
passes the 2014 ECB CA1
(1) ECB Comprehensive Assessment (2) Ex Laiki UK Loan portfolio (3) Total VEP amounted to 429 (1st VEP: 75, 2nd VEP: 354)
Jun 2016:
exit plan for 354 personnel3 Aug 2016:
Government Guaranteed Bonds Jun 2016:
Kermia Hotels Ltd and adjacent land for €26,5 mn March 2013:
Resolution: – absorption of Laiki Bank (including €9,1 bn of ELA) – bail-in of uninsured depositors
trading on CSE and ATHEX Nov 2014:
loan book2 November 2016:
the Bank is applying for a standard listing
Shareholder circular and prospectus relating to the transaction Jan 2017:
repaid Dec 2016:
resolutions in relation to creation of new holding company
scheme of arrangement sanctioned by court
2017 4
Current shareholding of BOC (Oct-2016) Current Board composition
9.9% 9.6% 5.2% 5.0% 1.6% 55.4% 13.2% Lamesa Holding S.A. (an affiliate of Renova Group) Cyprus Popular Bank Public Co Ltd TD Asset Management S.A. EBRD WL Ross Other: Institutional investors and legal persons Other: Individuals
Name Designation
Chairman Independent
Vice Chairman Independent1
Vice Chairman Non Executive
CEO Executive
Deputy CEO and COO Executive
Board member Independent
Board member Independent
Board member Senior Independent
Board member Independent
Board member Independent
Board member Independent2
Share capital increase in 2014 attracted reputed international investors and a world class Board
(1) On 30 Nov 2016, representatives of the President-elect of the United States of America, Donald Trump, announced that the President-elect intends to nominate Wilbur L. Ross, Jr. to serve as United States Secretary of Commerce. Such nomination would be subject to confirmation by the Senate of United States of America. If such nomination and confirmation were to take place, Mr. Ross would be expected to be appointed United States Secretary of Commerce on 20 January 2017. In that event Mr. Ross may be required to resign from his current positions as a director and vice-chairman of BOCH and the Bank (2) Subject to ECB approval
5
Strengthened capital position due to reduction in RWAs c.€8 bn (or c.25%) balance sheet deleveraging since 2013 Improving funding structure; moving closer to a self-funded franchise
Turnaround of the bank since 2014 has translated into improving financial indicators
(1) Ratio of ELA as a % of total assets for Dec 2016 is based on total assets as at 30 Sep 2016 (2) Mainly attributable to loan restructuring activity and slower formation of new problem loans (3) Leverage ratio defined as tangible equity over total assets (4) CET1 ratio includes positive impact of €1 bn capital increase; FL ratio as reported, transitional ratio estimated as 11,3% (reported) + 1,7% impact due to capital increase (5) Based on EBA Risk Dashboard Report, data as at 30 June 2016
30.3 28.6 26.8 25.4 23.3 22.7 22.4 23.5 22.5 22.7 21.5 19.7 19.0 18.8 Dec 2013 Jun 2014 Dec 2014 Jun 2015 Dec 2015 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Total assets (€ bn) RWA (€ bn) 145% 148% 141% 136% 121% 110% 102% 49% 48% 49% 54% 61% 65% 70% Dec 2013 Jun 2014 Dec 2014 Jun 2015 Dec 2015 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Loan to deposit ratio (L/D) Customer deposits as % of total assets
Full repayment of €11,4 bn of ELA 90+ DPD formation reversed; reduction of over €2,5 bn in 9M2016 Improving asset quality and coverage
0.9 1.3 1.4 2.7 5.3 (0.4) 0.1 (0.0) (1.3) (2.6) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H2014 2H2014 1H2015 2H2015 9M2016 48.6% 49.8% 53.2% 52.9% 50.1% 44.0% 42.6% 38.3% 38.7% 40.6% 42.5% 48.1% 52.6% 53.6% Dec 2013 Jun 2014 Dec 2014 Jun 2015 Dec 2015 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 90+DPD ratio 90+DPD provision coverage 15.1% 13.4% 14.4% 13.1% 13.6% 13.8% 10.4% 15.6% 14.0% 14.9% 14.0% 14.4% 14.6% Dec 2013 Jun 2014⁴ Dec 2014 Jun 2015 Dec 2015 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 CET1 ratio (fully loaded) CET1 ratio (transitional) Change in 90+ DPD2 (€ bn)
EBA average L/D5: 121%
2014: (€0,4 bn) 2015: (€1,3 bn) 62,9% 61,9% 61,8% 59,3% 57,8% NPE ratio 11.4 11.1 9.6 8.8 7.4 5.9 3.8 2.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 34% 31% 31% 28% 23% 16% 11% 6% 1% 0% Apr 2013 Jun 2013 Dec 2013 Jun 2014 Dec 2014 Jun 2015 Dec 2015 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Jan 2017 ELA (€ bn) ELA as % of total assets
1
12,5% 12,5% 12,6% 13,0% 13,2% Leverage ratio3 9,4% 8,6%
6
Strategic milestone and way forward
Low levels of liquidity Low levels of research coverage – only covered by HSBC No index inclusion Athens listing no longer suitable given lack of Greek banking
Greater visibility for the Bank and the Cypriot economy Broader shareholder base Further enhance the confidence of all stakeholders in the Group Standard listing is an intermediate step; aim is to achieve premium
listing on the LSE and future inclusion in the FTSE UK index series
Clean structure with higher standards of corporate governance Decoupling from Greece New Irish holding company to become the parent First Trading Date on CSE / LSE on [19] January 2017
Current listing New listing
CSE ATHEX CSE LSE
Potential Tier 2 Transaction
CET1 levels stabilised and opportunity to optimise capital structure with non-CET1 capital issuance Limited issuance needs for Bank of Cyprus and expected to be a rare issuer in the capital markets Normalise funding structure, increase access to capital markets and explore options to create MREL eligible liabilities
Cyprus-London listing – overview
Equity Debt / Capital
7
Cypriot economic recovery faster than expected…
Real GDP growth (%) Contribution to 9M2016 GDP growth in percentage points (total 2,75%)
Source: IMF, Moody’s, Cyprus Statistical Service, Bloomberg, BOC Economic Research Notes: (1) Gross value added (2) IMF Country Report No.13/293, Sep. 2013, Review 1
Broad-based economic growth… …with tourism and professional services as leading contributors …reflected in reduced government bond yields
(8.7%) (3.9%) 1.1% 1.9% 2.3% 2.2% 1.3% 0.3% (3.2%) (6.0%) (1.5%) 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 2.3% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E
Yield (%)
Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Cyprus Portgual Italy Spain Greece Ireland Baa2 Ba1 Ba3 B2 Caa1 C
A3 B1 Baa2 Ba1 Baa2 Caa3
Moody’s credit ratings
Caa3
Credit ratings improving faster than peers…
A3 Aug-16 0.0 0.4 0.3 1.2 0.6 (0.0) (0.5) 0.4 0.3 Agriculture Industry Construction Tourism & trade Professional & admin Information Financial Public, education & health Other 0% 5% 10% 15% Jan 10 Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16 Cyprus 2019 (issued Jun 2014) Cyprus 2022 (issued Apr 2015) Cyprus 2025 (issued Nov 2015) Cyprus 2020 (issued Feb 2010) Dec 16 2.0% 11.4% 86.6% Primary sector Secondary sector Tertiary sector
Distribution of real GVA1 (2015)
Initial projections (IMF)2 Real GDP growth – actual (CySTAT) Real GDP growth – forecast (IMF)
9
…on the back of improving macro fundamentals
Falling unemployment rate Growth in tourism activity
Tourism revenues
1.5 1.9 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.4 8.0% 9.9% 11.5% 11.5% 12.0% 13.0% 13.1% 2009 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016e 2017e € bn % of GDP (5.8%) (4.9%) (0.2%) (0.1%) (0.3%) (0.4%) 79% 102% 107% 108% 107% 104% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016e 2017e Government budget balance (% of GDP) Gross public debt (% of GDP)
Government budget and debt
Stabilising fiscal position Support from key business enablers
Unemployment rate
11.9% 15.9% 16.1% 15.0% 13.0% 11.6% 10.3% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016e 2017e 2018e
Recovering property prices
Residential property price index3 (quarterly yoy change)
1H2016 3,767 4,527 4,952 4,439 5,929 2013 2014 2015 11M'1511M'16
# of registered contract of sales
68 108 100 90 73 2006 2010 2014 Price index3 (rebased to 100 as of 1Q10) 2016 34.4% 31.3% 30.2% 29.5% 29.0% 25.0% 20.0% 12.5% 12.5%
Corporate tax rate (2016)
Double taxation avoidance treaties with c.50 countries
Source: CySTAT, BOC economic research, Eurostat, IMF (World Economic Outlook database), European Commission, CBC, Cyprus Ministry of Interior, OECD (2017), "Corporate Income Tax: Corporate income tax rates", OECD Tax Statistics (database) (DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/7cde787f-en, accessed on 3 Jan 2017) (1) As of 2015 (2) Net of recapitalisation costs (3) CBC Index
2 2
25.3% (5.2%) (9.4%) (1.7%) (20%) (10%) 0% 10% 20% 30% 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 36.4% 38.1% 25.5% Upper secondary Less than Upper secondary Tertiary
Level of education, age 15-641
Cyprus has the highest number of university graduates per capita in the EU after UK and Ireland
10
45 46 Non-life 18.8 12.3 5.3 4.2 1.5 61 55
Gross loans € bn Branch network # branches Deposits € bn
29,5%3
Insurance premiums1 € mn
Source: CBC, company disclosure as of 9M2016 (1) 9M2016 (provisional results) (2) 49,9% owned by the Bank (3) Market shares for insurance premiums as at 30 September 2016 (on provisional results) (4) As of October 2016
Life 13,5%3
2 2
14.2 12.5 1.9 6.0 3.7 123 246 22 55 8 41,1%4 30,1%4 xx%
Market shares
Bank of Cyprus has a privileged position in the Cypriot market…
Hellenic Bank & & 2
38.8% 37.7% 38.5% 39.3% 37.9% 40.0% 40.4% 41.4% 41.1% 41.1% 24.8% 25.3% 25.7% 26.5% 28.2% 28.2% 28.2% 29.0% 30.3% 30.1% Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Jan 2016 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Oct 2016
Loans Deposits Cyprus market share evolution
Positioning BOC vs. market players Market share gains since Mar 2015
9M2016 was €667,2 mn in Cyprus and (£296 mn) €327,6 mn in the UK
Cyprus, new lending is focused
the consumer, SME and corporate sectors
qoq, and by €1,5 bn or 10% in 9M2016 26,6%3 14,1%3
11
44% 22% 23% 11% Corporate SME Retail housing Retail other
Resilient NIM in Cypriot operations
573 537 536 527 530 527 503 386 369 367 366 359 349 332 139 119 104 100 95 91 89
1Q2015 2Q2015 3Q2015 4Q2015 1Q2016 2Q2016 3Q2016
Yield on loans NIM Cost of deposits
Refocus towards Cyprus with balance sheet deleveraging and selective lending to promising sectors
80% 77% 73% 74% 77% 75% 70% 16% 13% 14% 15% 15% 17% 16% 4% 10% 13% 11% 8% 8% 14%
1Q20152Q20153Q20154Q20151Q20162Q20163Q2016
Stable fee income as a % of revenues
(bps)
12
…with an attractive and profitable core Cypriot business…
PPI2 directed at increasing provisions to de-risk the balance sheet faster
Gross loans by geography (€ bn) Gross loans by customer type (Sep 2016): €18,8 bn
Cost to income ratio
22.8 18.8 3.9 1.8 Dec 2013 Sep 2016 Cyprus Other 15% 85% 91% 9% 26,7 20,6 Net interest income Fee and commission income Other income % of total income 628 723 634 496 397 2013 2014 2015 9M2015 9M2016 PPI2 for Cyprus operations (€ mn) 35% 35% 35% 38% 40% 41% 40% 37% 36% 38% 40% 40% 42% 42%
61% 59% 60% 63% 66% 63%
1Q2015 1H2015 9M2015 FY2015 1Q2016 1H2016 9M2016
Cyprus operations Group EU average¹
(1) Based on EBA Risk Dashboard Report, Data as at 30 June 2016 (2) Pre-provisioning income
…and an intention to expand the UK operations
Gross loans and customer deposits Loans by sector as at 30 September 2016
0.67 0.74 0.78 0.83 0.88 0.93 1.01 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 77% 20% 2% 1% Corporate SMEs Consumer credit Housing 0.92 0.93 1.00 1.04 1.08 1.13 1.19 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Gross loans (£ bn) Customer deposits (£ bn) 3.8 5.1 9M2015 9M2016
Profitability
Operating profit (£ mn) Profit before tax (£ mn) 3.6 5.7 9M2015 9M2016 New lending of €296 mn in 9M2016
13
14
Significant asset quality improvement delivered with focus now on completing the task
321 380 329 (85) 265 410 558 96 232 156 402 609 100 64 1,319 1,240 3,319 1,972 20 (247) (164) 386 (325) 136 (143) (649) (668) (1,041) (1,020) (501) 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.9 3.5 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.4 5.0 5.1 5.1 6.5 7.7 11.0 13.0 13.0 12.8 12.6 13.0 12.7 12.8 12.6 12.0 11.3 10.3 9.3 8.8 03-2009 06-2009 09-2009 12-2009 03-2010 06-2010 09-2010 12-2010 03-2011 06-2011 09-2011 12-2011 03-2012 06-2012 09-2012 12-2012 06-2013 09-2013 12-2013 03-2014 06-2014 09-2014 12-2014 03-2015 06-2015 09-2015 12-2015 03-2016 06-2016 09-2016 Quarterly change of 90+ DPD (€ mn) 90+ DPD (€ bn)
1
Slow deterioration Economic crisis Stabilisation Recovery
High correlation between formation of problem loans & economic cycle
(1) Information for 1Q2013 and 2Q2013 is not available as it has not been possible to publish the financial results for the three months ended 31 March 2013 (2) 90+DPD cash coverage ratio (3) NPE cash coverage ratio
Current stock of 90+DPDs and NPEs
̶ Robust strategy ̶ Relentless execution ̶ Economic improvement
11.3 8.8 FY2015 9M2016 50,1% 42,6% 90+DPD ratio 48,1% 53,6% Provision coverage ratio2 90+DPD (€ bn) 14.0 11.9 FY2015 9M2016 61,8% 57,8% NPE ratio 39,0% 39,5% Provision coverage ratio3 NPEs (€ bn) 48,7% 39,2% 90+DPD % of total assets 60,0% 53,2% NPEs % of total assets
15
Highlights so far
57% reduction in corporate 90+DPD
no arrears High performance
SME and retail loans
restructured loans present arrears over 90 days
12,6% improvement in coverage
13 assets sold in foreclosure auctions
c.€900 mn of assets
16 32% drop in 90+DPDs since peak in September 2013
13.0 13.0 12.8 12.6 13.0 12.7 12.8 12.7 12.0 11.3 10.3 9.3 8.8 47.4% 48.6% 48.6% 49.8% 52.5% 53.2% 53.1% 52.9% 52.5% 50.1% 47.1% 44.0% 42.6% Sep 2013 Dec 2013 Mar 2014 Jun 2014 Sep 2014 Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 90+DPD (€ bn) 90+DPD ratio (€2,6 bn) / (23%) 32% drop since peak
NPEs reduced by €2,1 bn (or 15%) in 9M2016
15.0 15.2 14.8 14.2 14.0 13.3 12.5 11.9 62.9% 63.0% 61.9% 62.2% 61.8% 61.0% 59.3% 57.8% Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 NPEs NPE ratio € bn 2,4 Forborne NPEs with no impairments or arrears2 (€ bn) – in pipeline to exit NPEs subject to meeting all exit criteria1 0.3 1.6 0.4 2016 2017 2018 + 2,2 1,9 (€2,1 bn) / (15%) 2,3
(1) Curing period of the NPEs with forbearance measures, but no impairments and no arrears, assuming no re-default (2) Analysis provided on account basis. Accounts will not exit NPE status if not all exit criteria are met
1,5 1,3 NPEs with forbearance measures, no impairments, no arrears
Strong track record of reduction in problem loans
New provisions taken and improvement in asset quality leading to increased coverage levels
Cost of risk3: PPI4 directed at increasing impairment charges to de-risk balance sheet faster
2.4% 1.5% 1.7% 1.6% 4.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 3.6% 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 4.3% 1.4% 1.6% FY2014 1Q2015 1H2015 9M2015 FY2015 1Q2016 1H2016 9M2016 Cost of Risk - Cyprus Cost of Risk - Group
Coverage ratio improvement of 16 p.p1 driven by over €1,6 bn additional cumulative provisions since September 2014
(1) p.p. = percentage points (2) Provisions for impairment of customer loans and gains/(losses) on derecognition of loans and changes in expected cash flows (3) Provisions for impairment of customer loans and gains/(losses) on derecognition of loans and changes in expected cash flows on acquired loans over average gross loans (4) Pre-provisioning income
109 219 110 123 96 630 62 96 109 38% 41% 42% 43% 41% 48% 49% 53% 54% Sep 14 Dec 14 Mar 15 Jun 15 Sep 15 Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16
Quarterly Provisions for impairment of customer loans² (€ mn) 90+ DPD coverage ratio 34% 34% 35% 36% 35% 39% 38% 39% 40% NPEs provision coverage
sequentially improving from Sep 2014 onwards
including tangible collateral, both at a Group level and across segments 17
Comprehensive strategy across segments adopted to tackle problem loans (1/2)
Corporate
geographically spread across Cyprus
SME
3.8 2.1 FY2015 9M2016 90+DPD (€ bn) NPE (€ bn) 4.8 3.5 FY2015 9M2016 1.4 1.0 FY2015 9M2016 90+DPD (€ bn) NPE (€ bn) 1.9 1.6 FY2015 9M2016
Segmental approach Overall approach
teams for each segment
̶ Establishment of Restructuring and Recoveries Division (RRD) in 2014 to restructure and recover bank’s 90+DPD loans ̶ Establishment of Real Estate Management Unit (REMU) in Dec 2015 to manage and monetise portfolios comprised primarily of real estate assets ̶ Improve lending policies and procedures, lending documents, securities / monitoring covenants
18
Tracking progress vs. medium term targets including: ̶ 90+DPD ratio ̶ NPE ratio ̶ 90+DPD and NPE coverage ratios ̶ Redefault rates
19
Comprehensive strategy across segments adopted to tackle problem loans (2/2)
̶ Rigid legal framework with very long execution timelines ̶ Inefficient processes with significant time wasted
̶ Client negotiation and client management teams ̶ Tools to support negotiations and decision making ̶ Training for all bankers on new tools and restructurings ̶ Introduce new teams to specialize on receivership and foreclosure
Recoveries
Foreclosures
5.3 4.9 FY2015 9M2016 90+DPD (€ bn) NPE (€ bn)
clients
solutions via the specialized unit Retail Arrears Management (RAM)
Retail
0.8 0.7 FY2015 9M2016 90+DPD (€ bn) NPE (€ bn) 2.0 1.8 FY2015 9M2016 5.3 4.9 FY2015 9M2016 Deleverage of €0,7 bn
20
Strategy has dramatically lowered new redefaults and increased the pace
90+DPD inflows in Cyprus operations1 (€ bn)
deterioration of the portfolio
capitalisation and trust rebuilt assist asset quality trends
79% of restructured loans have no arrears (Cy)
0.68 0.60 0.34 0.36 0.22 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.14 3Q2014 4Q2014 1Q2015 2Q2015 3Q2015 4Q2015 1Q2016 2Q2016 3Q2016
Average: 0,30
0.42 0.44 0.84 0.69 0.81 1.33 1.50 1.26 0.68 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.3 2.1 1.9 1.1 3Q2014 4Q2014 1Q2015 2Q2015 3Q2015 4Q2015 1Q2016 2Q2016 3Q2016 Restructured loans Write offs & set offs DFAS² 71% 77% 70% 68% 87% 82% 86% 4Q2014 1Q2015 2Q2015 3Q2015 4Q2015 1Q2016 2Q2016
Average: 79% % of restructured loans with no arrears
(1) The improvement in 90+DPD loans is due to the slower formation of new 90+DPD loans across all banking business lines in Cyprus and the continued acceleration in loan restructurings, although the origination of new loans does not match the rate of final repayment of existing loans (2) Debt for asset swaps (3) Average restructured loans excluding write offs & set offs and DFAS (4) Total restructured loans is equal to restructured loans plus write offs & set offs and DFAS for 9M2016
Quarterly evolution of restructured loans4 (€ bn)
Average3: 0,89 FY2015: €3,7 bn 9M2016: €3,4 bn 9M2016: €5,0 bn
Pace is being further enhanced to unlock problematic cases in Recoveries
Introducing additional tools to resolve long outstanding portfolios
Reduction in 9M2016 involved application of more complex solutions, as focus shifts towards tackling the recoveries portfolio A combination of tools is usually used:
instalments
Restructuring tools of short or long term nature
11.5 10.6 10.6 8.2 0.2 (0.9 ) (0.1 ) (0.0) 0.4 (1.2 ) (0.8) (0.8)
Jun 2015 Inflows Restructurings / Collections Write-offs Consensual foreclosures Dec 2015 Inflows Restructurings / Collections Write-offs Consensual foreclosures Sep 2016
Net reduction: c.€0,9 bn Net reduction: c.€2,4 bn
21
Aggressive target setting
Cyprus 18.8 Other 1.8 20.6 BOC Group gross loans (Sep 2016) 90+DPD 8.2 Forborne NPEs 2.9 Contagion² 0.2 Performing restructured 2.0 Performing 5.5 18.8 Cyprus gross loans (Sep 2016) Total NPEs in Cyprus: €11,3 bn
recoveries Forborne NPEs:
measure no impairments and no arrears1: €2,3 bn
measure, no impairments and with arrears less than 90 days: €0,6 bn
̶ Following high volume of restructurings performed in 2016, now is the time to capitalise on the performance of restructured loans
̶ Close monitoring of progress towards targets
experience gained in the past year
Industrialise foreclosure process
sensitive to socio-economic needs and interests
clients to find a consensual solution
distribution lists)
1 2 NPL trade 3
Enhance retail process
4
agreement with a view to improve the Bank’s key ratios and fulfil its long term objectives
segmentation and monitoring
Plans are in place to maintain positive progress
(1) In pipeline to exit NPEs subject to meeting all exit criteria; analysis based on account basis (2) Contagion effect but not restructured
Further enhancements to recoveries 5
the retail and SME cases
resolution
22
85.0% 12.3% 2.7% Cyprus Greece Others 707 250 86 66 196 Land & plots Commercial buildings³ Residential buildings Hotels Other⁴
Real estate sales increasing with REMU
(1) Includes Kermia Hotels Limited where disposal completed in June 2016 (2) Total Stock as at 30 Sep 2016 excludes investment properties and investment properties held for sale (3) Includes manufacturing, industrial and under construction (4) Relates to Greece and Romania (5) Number of properties shown for Cyprus only
Cyprus: €1.1 bn
Property stock analysis (30 Sep 2016)
Group: €1,3 bn 31.5% 10.9% 27.0% 25.5% 5.0% 0.1% Nicosia Larnaca Limassol Paphos Famagusta Other
On-boarded property stock split (carrying value, Sep 2016, € mn)
Cyprus: €1.109 mn Total properties5 (#): 1.459 Greece & Romania
Property sales dynamics in Cyprus for 9M2016
18 2 10 1 5 10 1 3 1 5 23 3 15 3 2 5 1 4 Offers accepted Under negotiation SPA in preparation SPA signed Sold Residential Commercial Land Hotel/Touristic €106,4 mn €10,6 mn €8,8 mn €177,4 mn €51,6 mn
Property stock movement (Group) (€ mn)
542 1,305 894 (110) (21)
Stock as at 01 Jan 16¹ Additions Sales¹ Impairment loss Stock as at 30 Sep 16² 1 2 4 3
Total on-boarded property stock: €1.305 mn 1,050 151 252 6
23
Full repayment of €11,4 bn ELA achieved
(1) Ratio of ELA funding as a % of total assets for December 2016 is based on total assets as at 30 September 2016
Full €11,4 bn ELA repayment achieved, with €3,8 bn reduction during 2016 and early 2017…
11.4 11.1 9.9 9.6 9.5 8.8 7.7 7.4 6.9 5.9 4.9 3.8 3.3 2.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 Apr 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 2013 Mar 2014 Jun 2014 Sep 2014 Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Jan 2017 € bn
1
…reflected in an improving funding profile with continuous reduction in ELA to total assets since March 2014
€3,8 bn 51% 49% 49% 48% 48% 49% 49% 51% 54% 56% 61% 62% 65% 70% 34% 31% 31% 32% 31% 28% 28% 26% 23% 20% 16% 15% 11% 6% 1% 0% Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 2013 Mar 2014 Jun 2014 Sep 2014 Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Jan 2017 Deposits as a % of total assets ELA as a % of total assets
Deposit Growth Proceeds from deleveraging Share capital increase Increased access to ECB Funding Retention of cash profits from operations Access to interbank market
ELA eliminated through:
24
148% 141% 138% 136% 132% 121% 119% 110% 102% 124% 125% 125% 123% 121% 122% 121% Sep 14 Dec 14 Mar 15 Jun 15 Sep 15 Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16
Loans to deposits EU average Loans to deposits ratio Improved by 19 p.p2 since Dec 15
Growing deposit base resulting in improving liquidity and increasing market share
Increasing market share in resident and non-resident deposits
(1) BOC Group’s customer deposits were at €15,6 bn at 9M2016, a 6.1% increase vs. 1H2016 comprised of €831,6 mn in Cypriot resident deposits (a significant proportion of which were government deposits) and €65,1 mn in non-Cypriot resident deposits (2) Percentage Points (3) Based on EBA Risk Dashboard Report, Data as at 30 June 2016
c.10% growth in deposits in 9M2016 and comprises c.70% of total assets with resulting improvement in loans to deposits ratio by 19 p.p2 since December 20151
11.2 11.3 11.6 11.6 12.2 12.7 12.7 13.3 14.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.80 0.56 0.61 0.61 0.01 0.01 13.3 13.2 13.6 13.6 13.6 14.2 14.1 14.8 15.6 Sep 14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16
Cyprus UK Other
25.6% 25.5% 24.6% 24.3% 23.7% 24.1% 24.6% 25.3% 26.1% 27.0% 26.5% 27.2% 28.8% 28.7% 35.2% 32.2% 30.8% 28.4% 27.5% 26.7% 26.9% 26.7% 27.5% 31.1% 32.9% 34.1% 34.6% 34.3% Sep 2013 Dec 2013 Mar 2014 Jun 2014 Sep 2014 Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Oct 2016
Residents Non-residents
3
25
4.50% 1.50% 2.00% 3.75% 2.50% 14,25% Overall Total Capital Requirement CCB2 (CET1) 4.50% 3.75% 2.50%
26
Regulatory view of BoC’s capital requirements
Minimum capital requirement as per SREP5
CET1 Capital Requirement Total Capital Requirement
Pillar 1 Pillar 2R1 CCB (fully phased-in)2
(1) Pillar 2 requirement in the form of CET1 (2) Capital conservation buffer (3) Tier 2 capital (4) Additional Tier 1 capital (5) Since 2015, the Bank has been designated as an Other Systemically Important Institution (O-SII). The Central Bank of Cyprus set the O-SII buffer for the Group at 2%. This buffer will be phased-in gradually, starting from 1 January 2019 at 0.5% and increasing by 0.5% every year thereafter, until being fully implemented (2.0%) on 1 January 2022
10,75% Minimum CET1 Requirement Pillar 2R1 Pillar 1 (CET1) AT1 capital4 T2 capital3 Total Pillar 1
was set at 10,75% and the overall total capital requirement at 14,25%. Both minimum ratios include 2,50% fully phased-in CCB
13.4% 13.4% 14.4% 15.1% 13.1% 13.5% 13.6% 13.8%
Adequately capitalised relative to risk profile, positioning BOC favourably to focus on growing in Cyprus
Source: Company filings (1) Based on EBA Risk Dashboard Report, Data as at 30 June 2016 (2) As per SNL Financial Database, ‘Clean’ Fully Loaded CET1 ratio as 30 June 2016, excludes Deferred Tax Credits, AFS and Danish Compromise Estimated Impact (3) The data used is based on 9M2016 financial results for 17 out of 38 EU Banks, including Bank of Cyprus, the data for the rest of the banks is based on 1H2016 financial results (4) Minimum Requirement for Own Funds and Eligible Liabilities; precise calibration and ultimate designation of the Bank’s MREL liabilities have not yet been finalised
14.0% 13.9% 14.9% 15.6% 14.0% 14.3% 14.4% 14.6% 12.5% 12.4% 12.8% 13.0% 13.6% 13.4% 13.5% Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 CET1 ratio (transitional) Average EU CET1 ratio (transitional)¹
CET1 ratio (transitional) of 14,6% compares favourably vs. EU average of 13,5%...
CET1 ratio (fully loaded)
…and also on a fully loaded basis vs. European peers
‘Clean’ fully loaded CET1 ratio2,3 On the back of evolving capital requirements such as MREL4, BoC continues to consider funding options such as issuing Tier 2 capital to further diversify its capital, subject to market conditions
by 20 bps during 3Q2016 and by 60 bps during 9M2016
13.5% 42% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6 Peer 7 Peer 8 Peer 9 Peer 10 Peer 11 BOC Peer 12 Peer 13 Peer 14 Peer 15 Peer 16 Peer 17 Peer 18 Peer 19 Peer 20 Peer 21 Peer 22 Peer 23 Peer 24 Peer 25 Peer 26 Peer 27 Peer 28 Peer 29 Peer 30 Peer 31 Peer 32 Peer 33 Peer 34 Peer 35 Peer 36 Peer 37 'Clean' Fully Loaded CET1 ratio (LHS) Average 'Clean' Fully Loaded CET1 ratio RWA % Total Assets (RHS) Average (RWA % Total Assets) BOC CET1 FL 13,8% RWA intensity 84%
27
Significant progress on KPIs with a clear strategy to meet Medium term targets
(1) CET 1 capital ratio (transitional) is defined in accordance with the Basel II requirements (2) ELA % assets is calculated as the ELA amount divided by the total assets (3) As of January 2017 (4) Net loans to deposits ratio is calculated as the net loans and advances to customers divided by customer deposits, including deposits held for sale. Net loans are defined as gross loans less accumulated provisions (which is the sum of accumulated provisions for impairment of customer loans, fair value adjustment on initial recognition and provisions for off-balance sheet exposures) (5) 90+DPD ratio means loans past-due for more than 90 days and those that are impaired (impaired loans are those which are not considered fully collectable and for which a provision for impairment has been recognised on (i) an individual basis or (ii) for which incurred losses exist at their initial recognition or (iii) for customers in Debt Recovery) divided by gross customer loans (gross loans are reported before the fair value adjustment on initial recognition relating to loans acquired from Laiki Bank (calculated as the difference between the outstanding contractual amount and the fair value of loans acquired)). (6) Provisioning coverage ratio for 90+DPD is calculated as the sum of accumulated provisions for impairment of customer loans, fair value adjustment on initial recognition and provision for off-balance sheet exposures, divided by 90+DPD (7) IFRS 9 impact, which is effective as from 1 January 2018, has not been taken into account for the purposes of the data. Data is determined based on the current regulatory
including provisions of discontinued operations, net of gain on derecognition of loans and advances to customers and changes in expected cash flows divided by average gross loans (the average balance calculated as the average of the opening balance and the closing balance). The ratios for the six months ended 30 June 2016 and nine months ended 30 September 2016 are annualised (8) Provisions for impairment of customer loans and gains /(losses) on derecognition of loans and changes in expected cash flows on acquired loans over average gross loans.
Category Key performance indicators 2015 Sep 2016 Medium term targets Progress Capital CET1 ratio (transitional)1 14,0% 14,6% >15% On course Funding ELA % assets2 (€ bn) 16%; €3,8 bn 0%; €0 bn3 Fully repay by 2017 Achieved Net loans % deposits4 121% 102% 100%- 120% Achieved Asset quality 90+ DPD ratio5 50,1% 42,6% <30% Focus area 90+ DPD coverage6 48,1% 53,6% >50% Achieved Provisioning charge7 4,3% 1,6%8 <1,0% Stabilising Margins and efficiency Net interest margin9 3,8% 3,5% ~3,00% Stabilising Fee and commission income/ total income10 14,8% 15,6% >20% On course Cost to income ratio11 40,0% 41,7% 40%-45% Achieved Balance sheet Total assets (€ bn) €23,3 bn €22,4 bn >€25 bn Selective growth
Strategic plan of action
consensual foreclosures”
problem loans
strategic non-core capital transactions
Claims ECB framework
funding structure
sectors to fund recovery
lending yields
international business, wealth, and insurance
subsidiary
core business
reduction program
distribution channels and reduce costs
model
adjusted returns
returns
(9) Net interest margin is calculated as the difference between the cost of lending and the interest income generated relative to the amount of interest-earning assets. Interest bearing assets include: cash and balances with central banks, plus placements with banks, plus repos, plus net customer loans and advances, plus investments (excluding equities and mutual funds) and derivatives (10)Net fee and commission income/total income is the fee and commission income divided by total income, excluding gains/(losses) on disposals of non-core assets. Gains on disposal of non-core assets pre-tax was €0, €161.6 million, €54.2 million, €60.9million and €60.9 million for the years ended 31 December 2013, 2014 and 2015 and the six months ended 30 June 2016 and the nine months ended 30 September 2016, respectively (11)Cost-to-income ratio is the staff costs and other operating expenses excluding restructuring costs divided by total income, excluding gains/(losses) on disposals of non-core assets. Restructuring costs amount to €98.3 million, €87.4 million, €43.1 million, €36.2 million and €156.8 million as at 30 September 2016, 30 June 2016, 31 December 2015, 31 December 2014 and 31 December 2013, respectively. Gains on disposal of non-core assets pre-tax was €0, €161.6 million, €54.2 million, €60.9 million and €60.9 million for the years ended 31 December 2013, 2014 and 2015 and the six months ended 30 June 2016 and the nine months ended 30 September 2016, respectively
28
Macro and geo-political factors
Asset quality
exposures
Funding
External challenges – limited influence
Internal challenges – able to mitigate Mitigants
requirements e.g. ‘MREL’1
retention/gathering programme
case of need
2017
capital, subject to market conditions
Litigation
bail-in related litigations among others
pending legal proceedings
geographies
Mitigants
periphery
Main challenges
(1) Minimum Requirement for Own Funds and Eligible Liabilities. (2) Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission
29
Ratios Group 9M2016 Performance
ROAA (annualised)2 0,4% ROTE (annualised)3 2,8% Net Interest Margin 3,51% Cost to income ratio 42% Loans to deposits 102%
Asset Quality
90+ DPD / 90+ DPD ratio €8.768 mn (43%) 90+ DPD coverage 54% Cost of risk (annualised) 1,6%1 Provisions / Gross Loans4 22,8%
Capital
Transitional Common Equity Tier 1 capital 2.736 CET1 ratio (transitional basis) 14,6% Total Shareholders’ Equity / Total Assets 13,7%
(1) Provisions for impairment of customer loans and gains/(losses) on derecognition of loans and changes in expected cash flows (2) ROAA: profit after tax attributable to the owners of the company (€61,627 mn to be annualised) divided by the quarterly average of total assets (€22.750,451 mn) (3) ROTE: profit after tax attributable to the owners of the company (€61,627 mn to be annualised) divided by the total equity (€3.102,664) minus the intangible assets (€142,297 mn) (4) Provisions / gross loans: accumulated provisions before the fair value adjustments (€4.655,921 mn) on initial recognition relating to loans acquired from Laiki Bank plus off- balance sheet provisions (€46,649 mn) divided by gross loans before the fair value adjustment on initial recognition relating to loans acquired from Laiki Bank (€20.595,514 mn)
0.388 0.392 0.393 0.394 0.342 0.348 0.342 0.343 0.374 0.378 0.379 0.380 0.327 0.332 0.327 0.327 Dec-2014 Mar-2015 Jun-2015 Sep-2015 Dec-2015 Mar-2016 Jun-2016 Sep-2016 Book Value per share (€) Tangible Book Value per share (€)
Book value evolution 31
€ mn % change 30.09.16 31.12.15 Cash and balances with Central Banks 12% 1.587 1.423 Loans and advances to banks
1.184 1.314 Debt securities, treasury bills and equity investments1
595 1.009 Net loans and advances to customers
15.939 17.192 Other assets2 34% 3.065 2.284 Non current assets and disposal group held for sale
12 49 Total assets
22.382 23.271 € mn % change 30.09.16 31.12.15 Deposits by banks 53% 371 242 Funding from central banks
1.950 4.453 Repurchase agreements
329 368 Customer deposits 10% 15.643 14.181 Debt securities in issue
1 Other liabilities3 4% 986 944 Non current liabilities and disposal group held for sale
4 Total liabilities
19.279 20.193 Share capital 0% 892 892 Capital reduction reserve and share premium 0% 2.505 2.505 Revaluation and other reserves
241 259 Accumulated losses
(575) (601) Shareholders’ equity 0% 3.063 3.055 Non controlling interests 79% 40 23 Total equity 1% 3.103 3.078 Total liabilities and equity
22.382 23.271
(1) Debt securities, treasury bills and equity investments include investments of €193 mn (Dec 2015: €588 mn) and investments pledged as collateral of €402 mn (Dec 2015: €421 mn) (2) Other assets include derivative financial assets, life insurance business assets attributable to policyholders, prepayments, accrued income and other assets, stock of property, investment properties, property and equipment, intangible assets, investment in associates and joint ventures and deferred tax assets (3) Other liabilities include derivative financial liabilities, insurance liabilities, accruals, deferred income and other liabilities, debt securities in issue and deferred tax liabilities
32
€ mn 9M2016 9M2015 yoy % 3Q2016 2Q2016 qoq % 1Q2016
Total income 717 786
235 238
244 Total expenses (299) (296) 1% (97) (103)
(99) Profit before provisions and impairments1 418 490
138 135 2% 145 Provisions for impairment of customer loans net of gains/(losses) on loan derecognition and changes in expected cash flows (267) (329)
(109) (96) 14% (62) Impairments of other financial and non financial assets (34) (37)
(12) (14)
(8) Share of profit from associates and joint ventures 3 3
1 1 96% 1 Profit before tax, restructuring costs, discontinued operations and net profit on disposal of non-core asset 120 127
18 26
76 Tax (16) (18)
(4) (4) 0% (8) (Loss)/profit attributable to non-controlling interests (3) 6
2 (5)
(1) Profit after tax and before restructuring costs, discontinued operations and net profit on disposal of non-core asset 101 115
16 17
67 Advisory, VEP and other restructuring costs2 (98) (27) 267% (11) (70)
(17) Loss from disposal groups held for sale/discontinued operations
59 23 154% 59
62 73
5 6
50 Net interest margin 3,51% 3,82%
3,35% 3,55%
3,63% Return on tangible equity (annualised) 2,8% 2,9%
0,7% 0,8%
6,7% Return on Average Assets (annualised) 0,4% 0,4%
0,1%
Cost-to-Income ratio 42% 38% +4 p.p 41% 43%
40%
(1) Profit before provisions and impairments, gains/(losses) on derecognition and changes on expected cash flows, advisory, VEP and other restructuring costs, gains/losses from disposal of non core assets and discontinued operations (2) Advisory, VEP and other restructuring costs comprise mainly: 1) fees of external advisors in relation to: (i) disposal of operations (ii) customer loan restructuring activities which are not part of the effective interest rate and (iii) the contemplated listing on the London stock exchange and 2) voluntary exit plan cost. (3) Debt for Asset swaps (4) Income statement shown is based on the results press release rather than the prospectus
Key Highlights QoQ change
to 3,59% for 1H2016 reflecting the reduction in customer loan balance primarily as a result of the elevated loan restructuring activity, including DFAs3
lower NII
primarily driven by the 7% decrease in staff costs reflecting the effect of the voluntary exit plan (VEP) completed in 2Q2016
for 3Q2016, up by 2%, a net result of the lower NII, the higher gains of financial instruments and the lower staff costs.
non-financial assets for 3Q2016 totalled €12 mn, compared to €14 mn for 2Q2016, including impairment losses
stock
properties in Cyprus, Greece and in Romania.
33
€ mn Consumer Banking SME Banking Corporate Banking International Banking Wealth & Brokerage & Asset Management RRD REMU Insurance Other Total Cyprus Net interest income
187 48 60 46 6 160 (9)
491
Net fee & commission income
34 6 7 38 2 9
14 107
Other income1
3 1 5 3 (2) 35 21 66
Total income
224 54 68 89 11 169 (11) 32 28 664
Total expenses2
(87) (9) (8) (19) (3) (25) (7) (10) (99) (267)
Profit/(loss) before provisions and impairments
137 45 60 70 8 144 (18) 22 (71) 397
Provisions for impairment of customer loans net of gains/(losses) on derecognition
expected cash flows
32 (14) 20 (263)
(226)
Impairment of other financial and non financial assets
(25)
Share of profits from associates
3
Profit/(loss) before tax
169 31 80 70 8 (119) (28) 22 (84) 149
Tax
(18) (4) (10) (8) (1) 17 4 (2) 8 (14)
Profit attributable to non controlling interest
(4)
Profit/(loss) after tax and before one off items
151 27 70 62 7 (102) (24) 20 (80) 131
(1) Other income in column “Other” excludes the gain on disposal of shares in Visa Europe Limited amounting to €58,3 mn (2) Excluding restructuring costs
34
Overseas non-core exposures (€ mn) The non-core overseas exposures at 30 September 2016 were as follows: Greece: Net exposure comprised: a. Net
sheet exposures (excluding foreclosed properties) totalling €12 mn; b. 636 foreclosed properties with a book value of €161 mn; c.
d. lending exposures to Greek entities in the normal course of business in Cyprus of €80 mn, and lending exposures in Cyprus with collaterals in Greece of €145 mn. Romania: Overall net exposure of €221 mn Serbia: Overall net exposure of €42 mn, in line with the previous quarter Russia: Remaining net exposure (on and off balance sheet) in Russia remained unchanged at €45 mn during 3Q2016 in line with the previous quarter. As part of the Group’s strategy of focusing on its core businesses and markets, the Group decided to close the operations of Bank of Cyprus Channel Islands Ltd (BOC CI) and to relocate its business to other Group locations.
(1) Lending exposures to Greek entities in the normal course of business in Cyprus and lending exposures in Cyprus with collaterals in Greece
155 120 114 119 45 45 368 354 312 274 262 221 54 54 54 54 42 42 199 192 173 168 164 161 56 49 22 16 13 12 133 132 131 122 119 115 140 139 151 158 225 225 1,105 1,040 957 911 870 821 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Russia: Net exposure Romania: Net exposure Serbia Greece Foreclosed Properties Greece net on balance sheet exposure Greece net off balance sheet exposure Greece other¹ 528 512 477 464 521 513
35
8.66 8.09 7.79 7.85 8.07 8.42 8.76 8.94 9.01 9.40 10.06 4.05 3.59 3.46 3.47 3.57 3.21 3.40 3.75 3.68 3.91 4.15 1.24 1.25 1.29 1.30 1.36 1.39 1.45 1.49 1.43 1.43 1.43
1.02 0.87 0.79 0.55 0.61 0.61 0.01 0.01
14.97 13.80 13.33 13.17 13.61 13,63 13.61 14.18 14.13 14.75 15.64 Dec-13 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16
Cyprus non-IBS Cyprus IBS UK Other countries
Total (€ bn)
(1) IBS - Division servicing exclusively international activity companies registered in Cyprus and abroad and non-residents (2) Other countries: Russia (until June 2015), Romania, and Ukraine (until March 2014).
Deposits by geography
30 September 2016 (%)
64.3% 26.5% 9.1% 0,1%
Cyprus - non IBS Cyprus - IBS UK Other countries
Total Cyprus 90,8%
1 2
10.55 9.13 8.53 7.88 8.16 8.14 7.97 8.16 8.15 8.31 8.93 0.93 0.95 0.84 0.96 0.97 1.02 1.01 1.03 1.01 1.04 1.01 3.49 3.72 3.96 4.33 4.48 4.47 4.63 4.99 4.97 5.40 5.70
14.97 13,80 13.33 13.17 13.61 13.63 13.61 14.18 14.13 14.75 15.64 Dec-13 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar -16 Jun-16 Sep-16
Time deposits Savings accounts Current & demand accounts
Total (€ bn)
Deposits by type of deposits 30 September 2016 (%)
57.1 % 6.5% 36.4%
Time deposits Savings acc ount Current and demand account
1 2
36
21.20 21.32 21.19 20.98 20.66 19.98 19.27 18.77 0.91 1.03 1.13 1.14 1.21 1.17 1.18 1.23 1.66 1.74 1.61 0.75 0.72 0.70 0.63 0.60
23.77 24.09 23.93 22.86 22.59 21.85 21.08 20.60 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16
Other countries UK Cyprus
1
Total (€ bn)
(1) Other countries: Russia, Greece and Romania
Gross loans by geography
91,1% 6.0% 2,9%
Cyprus UK Other countries 1
11.83 12.10 12.03 11.56 11.42 10.77 10.13 9.78 5.09 5.02 4.99 4.75 4.68 4.65 4.55 4.47 4.41 4.43 4.39 4.35 4.31 4.28 4.27 4.24
2.44 2.54 2.52 2.20 2.18 2.16 2.13 2.11 23.77 24.09 23.93 22.86 22.59 21.85 21.08 20.60 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16
Retail other Retail Housing SMEs Corporate
(€ bn) Total
47,5% 21.7% 20.6% 10.2%
Corporate SME Retail Housing Retail Other
30 September 2016 (%) 30 September 2016 (%) Gross loans by customer type
37
(€ mn) Sept-16 Jun - 16 Mar-16 Dec-15 Sept-15
19.607 20.040 20.719 21.385 21.597 Fair value on Initial recognition 989 1.043 1.130 1.207 1.266
20.596 21.083 21.849 22.592 22.863
10.897 10.879 10.551 10.443 9.925
2.488 2.607 2.901 3.049 3.611 Up to 30 DPD 587 574 623 469 585 31-90 DPD 344 361 386 351 355 91-180 DPD 146 121 133 144 200 181-365 DPD 144 175 183 259 374 Over 1 year DPD 1.267 1.376 1.576 1.826 2.097
7.211 7.597 8.397 9.100 9.327 With no arrears 514 647 860 876 848 Up to 30 DPD 22 25 36 78 66 31-90 DPD 52 41 57 24 60 91-180 DPD 15 95 49 65 152 181-365 DPD 106 123 157 310 464 Over 1 year DPD 6.502 6.666 7.238 7.747 7.737 (90+ DPD)1 8.768 9.269 10.289 11.329 11.998 90+ DPD ratio (90 + DPD / Gross Loans) 42,6% 44,0% 47,1% 50,1% 52,5% Accumulated provisions (including fair value adjustment on initial recognition2 ) 4.703 4.875 5.076 5.445 4.933 Gross loans provision coverage 22,8% 23,1% 23,2% 24,1% 21,6% 90+ DPD provision coverage 53,6% 52,6% 49,3% 48,1% 41,1%
(1) Loans in arrears for more than 90 days (90+ DPD) are defined as loans past-due for more than 90 days and those that are impaired (impaired loans are those which are not considered fully collectable and for which a provision for impairment has been recognised on an individual basis or for which incurred losses exist at their initial recognition or customers in Debt Recovery). (2) Including the fair value adjustment on initial recognition (difference between the outstanding contractual amount and the fair value of loans acquired from Laiki Bank) and provisions for off-balance sheet exposures.
+ + + + =
38
90+ DPD by business line (€ bn)
1.31 1.23 0.95 0.88 0.84 0.67 0.59 0.58 0.56 0.41 0.35 0.32 0.31 0.26 0.63 0.59 0.54 0.48 0.45 0.43 0.43 0.56 0.53 0.37 0.33 0.31 0.28 0.28 2.41 2.43 2.38 2.00 1.65 1.26 1.12 1.26 1.20 1.10 0.97 0.60 0.44 0.41 1.12 1.10 1.12 1.02 0.94 0.84 0.74 2.20 2.24 2.31 2.40 2.23 2.13 2.04 2.72 2.77 2.82 2.90 2.95 2.91 2.90 12.79 12.65 12.00 11.33 10.29 9.27 8.77
Mar 15 Jun 15 Sep 15 Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep-16
Corporate SMEs Housing Consumer Credit RRD-Major Corporations RRD- Corporates RRD-SMEs RRD-Recoveries corporates RRD-Recoveries SMEs & Retail
(1) As part of the restructuring of the Group, management is currently monitoring the loan portfolio of the Group using new business line definitions. An important component
39
90+ DPD ratios by business line Gross loans by business line (€ bn)
27% 26% 15% 30% 61% 75% 80% 100% 100% 22% 22% 14% 25% 58% 80% 79% 100% 100% 21% 20% 13% 23% 53% 69% 74% 100% 100% 20% 18% 12% 22% 37% 60% 70% 100% 100% 16% 18% 12% 21% 32% 50% 64% 100% 100% 14% 15% 12% 20% 37% 48% 58% 100% 100%
Corporate SMEs Housing Consumer Credit RRD-Mid Corporates RRD-Major Corporations RRD-SMEs RRD-Recoveries corporates RRD-Recoveries SMEs and Retail
30.06.15 30.09.15 31.12.15 31.03.16 30.06.16 30.09.16
4.53 2.20 3.85 1.83 2.01 3.36 1.39 2.20 2.71 4.59 2.14 3.80 1.80 1.97 3.22 1.38 2.24 2.77 4.38 1.83 3.75 1.48 1.90 2.98 1.41 2.31 2.83 4.29 1.78 3.68 1.43 1.81 2.91 1.38 2.40 2.91 4.15 1.77 3.62 1.40 1.62 2.76 1.35 2.23 2.94 4.10 1.74 3.61 1.38 1.37 2.53 1.30 2.13 2.92 4.31 1.71 3.58 1.36 1.09 2.34 1.26 2.04 2.91
Corporate SMEs Housing Consumer Credit RRD-Mid Corporates RRD-Major Corporations RRD-SMEs RRD-Recoveries corporates RRD-Recoveries SMEs and Retail
31.03.15 30.06.15 30.09.15 31.12.15 31.03.16 30.06.16 30.09.16 % of total
(1) As part of the restructuring of the Group, management is currently monitoring the loan portfolio of the Group using new business line definitions. An important component
21% 8% 18% 5% 10% 6%
7% 11% 14%
40
90+ DPD ratios by economic activity
48% 54% 57% 80% 48% 38% 57% 64% 49% 54% 59% 79% 48% 36% 62% 57% 48% 54% 46% 76% 47% 36% 57% 56% 44% 49% 38% 68% 46% 35% 54% 58% 42% 50% 34% 65% 39% 35% 49% 56% 39% 46% 34% 63% 37% 35% 46% 57%
30.06.15 30.09.15 31.12.15 31.03.16 30.06.16 30.09.16
Gross loans by economic activity (€ bn)
Trade Manufacturing Hotels & Restaurants Construction Real estate Private Individuals Professional & other services Other sectors
2.48 0.91 1.57 4.04 3.17 7.92 1.89 2.09 2.50 0.92 1.64 4.19 3.20 7.86 2.07 1.55 2.38 0.85 1.62 4.14 3.38 7.41 1.84 1.24 2.36 0.83 1.57 4.07 3.42 7.33 1.79 1.21 2.26 0.82 1.47 3.92 3.32 7.25 1.64 1.17 2.23 0.80 1.45 3.43 3.33 7.17 1.55 1.12 2.19 0.71 1.42 3.22 3.30 7.11 1.48 1.17
31.03.15 30.06.15 30.09.15 31.12.15 31.03.16 31.06.16 30.09.16
Trade Manufacturing Hotels & Restaurants Construction Real estate Private Individuals Professional & other services Other sectors
16%
11%
34% 7% 6%
% of total
16% 7%
3%
41
13.75 13.86 13.59 13.49 13.26 12.64 11.87 11.31 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.06 1.10 1.20 1.12 0.65 0.64 0.63 0.57 0.53 14.96 15.17 14.81 14.22 13,97 13.33 12.49 11.90 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16
Other countries UK Cyprus
1
Total (€ bn)
(1) Other countries: Russia (until June 2015) and Romania
NPEs by geography
95,1% 0,5% 4.4%
Cyprus UK Other countries1
46.6% 26.3% 16.2% 10.9%
Corporate SME Retail Housing Retail Other
30 September 2016 (%) 30 September 2016 (%) NPEs by customer type
8.17 8.18 7.75 7.37 7.19 6.61 5.98 5.54 3.53 3.57 3.60 3.51 3.44 3.38 3.25 3.14 1.82 1.93 1.95 1.98 1.97 1.97 1.93 1.92 1.45 1.49 1.51 1.36 1.37 1.37 1.33 1.30
14.96 15.17 14.81 14.22 13.97 13,33 12.49 11.90 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16
Retail Other Retail Housing SMEs Corporate
Total (€ bn)
42
Legislative reforms helping in a number of important areas…
Laws
Tax incentives
Other reforms
The toolkit to support debt restructuring is now largely in place… …delivering a number
for the Bank Incentivises faster consensual solutions Reduced time to execute non consensual solution Reduces cost of restructurings Provides greater
Supports and incentivises faster cash collection Improved quality and regulation of insolvency practitioners
(1) Capital Gains Tax
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Non-Performing Exposures (NPEs) –as per the EBA definition: In 2014 the European Banking Authority (EBA) published its reporting standards on forbearance and non-performing exposures (NPEs). According to the EBA standards, a loan is considered a non-performing exposure if: i. the debtor is assessed as unlikely to pay its credit obligations in full without the realisation of the collateral, regardless of the existence of any past due amount or of the number of days past due, for example in case of a write off, a legal action against the borrower, or bankruptcy ii. the exposures are impaired i.e. in cases where there is a specific provision, or
v. there are performing forborne exposures under probation that present more than 30 days past due within the probation period. The exit criteria of NPE forborne are the following: 1. The extension of forbearance measures does not lead to the recognition of impairment or default 2. One year has passed since the forbearance measures were extended 3. There is not, following the forbearance measures, any past due amount or concerns regarding the full repayment of the exposure according to the post forbearance conditions. 90+DPD: Loans in arrears for more than 90 days (90+ DPD) are defined as loans past-due for more than 90 days and those that are impaired (impaired loans are those which are not considered fully collectable and for which a provision for impairment has been recognised on an individual basis or for which incurred losses exist at their initial recognition or customers in Debt Recovery).
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Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared for information and background purposes only. It is confidential and neither it nor any part of it may be reproduced (electronically or otherwise) or redistributed, passed on, or the contents otherwise divulged, directly or indirectly, to any other person (excluding the recipient's professional advisers) or published in whole or in part for any purpose without the prior written consent of the Bank of Cyprus Public Company Ltd (the "Bank"). This presentation does not purport to be all-inclusive or to contain all of the information that a person considering the purchase of any securities of the Bank may require to make a full analysis of the matters referred to herein. Certain statements, beliefs and opinions in this presentation are forward-looking. Such statements can be generally identified by the use of terms such as “believes”, “expects”, “may”, “will”, “should”, “would”, “could”, “plans”, “anticipates” and comparable terms and the negatives of such terms. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties and assumptions about the Group that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by such forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. We have based these forward-looking statements on our current expectations and projections about future events. Any statements regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which are based on facts known to and/ or assumptions made by the Group only as of the date of this presentation. The Bank's ability to achieve its projected results depends on many factors which are outside management's control. Actual results may differ materially from those contained or implied in the forward-looking statements. We assume no obligation to update such forward-looking statements or to update the reasons that actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements. This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any security in the United States, or any other jurisdiction. The delivery of this presentation shall under no circumstances imply that there has been no change in the affairs of the Group or that the information set forth herein is complete or correct as of any date. This presentation shall not be used in connection with any investment decision regarding any of our securities, which should only be made based on expressly authorised materials from us identified as such, nor in connection with any decision whether or how to vote on any matter submitted to our
Act”), or under the applicable securities laws of any other jurisdiction.
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