Q2_2020 Financial Results
9 September 2020
Bangkok Commercial Asset Management Plc.
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Bangkok Commercial Asset Management Plc. Q2_2020 Financial Results - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Bangkok Commercial Asset Management Plc. Q2_2020 Financial Results 9 September 2020 1 Disclaimer You must read the following before continuing . The confidential information following this page, the oral presentation of such information and
Q2_2020 Financial Results
9 September 2020
1
Disclaimer
You must read the following before continuing. The confidential information following this page, the oral presentation of such information and other materials distributed at, or in connection with, the presentation (the "Presentation") is for information purposes only, and does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or the solicitation of an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe for, or any offer to underwrite or otherwise acquire any securities of Bangkok Commercial Asset Management Public Company Limited (the “Company”) or any other securities, nor shall any part of the Presentation or the fact of its distribution or communication form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract, commitment or investment decision in relation thereto in Thailand, Singapore, the United States, China, Japan or any other jurisdiction. This Presentation has been prepared solely for informational use and made available to you on a strictly confidential basis, and may not be taken away, reproduced, referred to publicly or redistributed in whole or in part to any other person. By attending this presentation and/or reading this Presentation, you are agreeing to be bound by the foregoing and below restrictions. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. If you are not the intended recipient of this Presentation, please delete and destroy all copies immediately. This Presentation is confidential, and all contents of this Presentation are to be kept strictly confidential. This Presentation is intended only for the recipients thereof, and may not be copied, reproduced, retransmitted or distributed by a recipient to any other persons in any manner, or used or relied upon by any party for any other purpose. Neither this Presentation nor any of its contents may be disclosed, distributed or used for any other purpose without the prior written consent of the Company. By accepting delivery of this Presentation, you agree that you will promptly return, delete or destroy this Presentation to the Company upon the Company’s request. This Presentation may contain forward-looking statements that may be identified by their use of words like “plans,” “expects,” “will,” “anticipates,” “believes,” “intends,” “depends,” “projects,” “estimates” or other words of similar meaning and that involve risks and uncertainties. All statements that address expectations or projections about the future, including, but not limited to, statements about the strategy for growth, product development, market position, expenditures, and financial results, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on certain assumptions and expectations of future events. The Company does not guarantee that these assumptions and expectations are accurate
believes that such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that such expectations will be met.Past performance does not guarantee or predict future performance. A number of important factors could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement. Representative examples of these factors include (without limitation) general industry and economic conditions, interest rate trends, cost of capital and capital availability, currency exchange rates, competition from other companies, shifts in customer demands, customers and partners, changes in operating expenses including employee wages, benefits and training, governmental and public policy changes and the continued availability of financing in the amounts and the terms necessary to support future business. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are based on the current view of the Company's management on future events.The Company does not assume any responsibility to amend, modify or revise any forward-looking statements, on the basis of any subsequent developments, information or events, or otherwise. The information in this Presentation has been prepared by the Company and has not been independently verified, approved or endorsed by any advisor retained by the Company. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance, in whole or in part, should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information and opinions in this Presentation. It is not intended that these materials provide, and you may not rely on these materials as providing, a complete
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This Presentation also contains certain statistical data and analyses (the “Statistical Information”) which have been prepared in reliance upon information furnished by the Company and/or third party sources for which the Company has either obtained or is in the process of obtaining the necessary consents for use. Numerous assumptions were used in preparing the Statistical Information, which assumptions may or may not appear herein. As such, no assurance can be given as to the Statistical Information’s accuracy, appropriateness or completeness in any particular context, nor as to whether the Statistical Information and/or the assumptions upon which they are based reflect present market conditions or future market performance. Moreover, any information from third party sources contained in this Presentation may not be used or relied upon by any other party, or for any other purpose, and may not, directly or indirectly, be reproduced, disseminated or quoted without the prior written consent of such third
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Section 1 : Q2 Highlights and Outlook Section 2 : Business Overview Section 3 : Financial Performance Section 4 :Appendices
Contents
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Q2 Highlights
Satisfying Cash Collection Amid COVID-19
debtor payment)
Overall Business
programs (As of 21 Aug, 2020)
Restructured NPLs: 150 MB NPAs Installment: 20 MB
Tax Benefits
difference for the period : 222 MB
DTA in relation to NPLs part of “Income from auction sales”-external buyer.
Restructured NPLs: 254 MB NPAs Installment: 53 MB
assets from financial institutions. NPLs: 6,560 MB NPAs: 1,106 MB
delayed decision but gradually improved QoQ
record (10% behind seasonal target)
resulted in ~27% drop QoQ .
Overall positive trend throughout Q3 continuing into Q4
Encouraging Outlook Post-COVID
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Q2 Performance has bottomed-out and expect to recover in 2H Business activities approaching normalized level Partial DTA is likely to be recognized by Year-end 2020 Marketing campaigns launched starting to yield results
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Absolute value of Gross NPL has been growing since 2012 with a stable % gross NPLs to total loans
Absolute value of Gross NPLs has been growing since 2012 Evolution of Commercial Bank NPLs
Sources: IPSOS report, Bank of Thailand 2,277 1,943 784 442 700 591 557 461 426 442 385 364 303 257 247 259 272
333 381 426 440 461 493 504 2,351 2,004 823 459 743 619 570 471 440 453 397 376 313 266 254 266 277 338 386 429 444 465 497 509 42.90% 38.60% 17.70% 10.50% 15.70% 12.90% 10.90% 8.30% 7.50% 7.30% 5.30% 4.80% 3.60% 2.70% 2.30% 2.20% 2.20% 2.60% 2.80% 2.90% 2.90% 2.98% 3.04% 3.08%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1.20 Q2.20 (%) (THB bn) Gross NPLs of branches of foreign banks Gross NPLs of domestically-registered commerical banks % of Gross NPLs to total loans (RHS)
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Outlook
New Distressed Assets Acquisition
Financial Institution
Institutions 1 Institutions 2 Institutions 3 Institutions 4 81.2% 9.6% 7.5% 1.7%
Financial Institution
Institutions 1 100.0%
Direct Purchase 47.9%
SME
52.1%
Housing
100.0%
Vacant land
NPLs acquisition amounts
10,252.6 10,971.3 12,810.4 7,615.4 6,560.0 2017 2018 2019 1H 2019 1H 2020 (THB mn) 5,258.1 5,914.1 8,060.0 4,557.6 3,634.0 269.6 1,117.1 544.0 71.2 1,106.0 5,527.8 7,056.7 8,604.0 4,628.8 4,740.0 2017 2018 2019 1H 2019 1H 2020 (THB mn) From NPLs From financial institutions
NPAs acquisition amounts
(excluding investment in securities)
From NPLs
Note
73.3%1 26.5% 0.2%
BAM total income
70.8% 28.6% 0.6% (FY2017) (FY2018) 65.2% 34.4% 0.4% NPL management NPA management Other 91.9% (FY2019) 1H 2020)
NPLs and NPAs management are the columns of BAM’s business
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NPAs management method: straight sale of assets or asset enhancement, taking into account the expected return and cost of renovation Source of NPAs: conversion from NPLs or direct purchase of NPAs NPAs primarily consists of real estate assets such as commercial and residential properties, vacant land, and hotels NPAs value as of Q2 2020: NPLs management method: debt restructuring or court process Source of NPLs: purchased from financial institutions in Thailand through bilateral negotiations or a bidding process NPLs are mostly collateralized by real estate-related assets which are secured by a first priority mortgage NPLs value as of Q2 2020:
Distressed debt assets (NPLs) management Properties foreclosed (NPAs) management
86,112 195,099 Gross NPLs (at amortized cost) Appraisal value
55.9% discount to the appraised value 40.8% discount to the appraised value
36,386 61,419 Gross NPAs (record at cost) Appraisal value
87.3% 12.3% 0.4%
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Cash Collection : Breakdown
record (excl. significant debtor payment in Q1 2019) but 27.4% drop QoQ from COVID-19.
cases for debt moratorium support, as of Aug 21,2020.
Total cash collected for NPAs
4,356 5,778 5,674 2,660 1,803 1,351 2017 2018 2019 1H 2018 1H 2019 1H 2020 (THB mn)
Total cash collected for NPLs
9,159 10,791 14,059 4,522 3,715 4,542 2017 2018 2019 1H 2018 1H 2019 1H 2020 (THB mn)
Significant Debtor Payment: 5,342 MB
Total Cash Collection
9,159 10,791 14,059 4,522 9,057 4,542 4,356 5,778 5,674 2,660 1,803 1,351 13,516 16,569 19,733 7,182 10,860 5,893 2017 2018 2019 1H 2018 1H 2019 1H 2020 (THB mn) NPL NPA Cash Collection
+51.6% QoQ.
(12.1% of Q2 2020 NPAs-Cash collection).
600 653 Q1 2020 Q2 2020
Properties for sale (NPA)
78.9% 21.0% 0.2% Residential properties Vacant land Commercial properties 9.9 Super Sale, Special discount 9 items Discount Up to 30% 99 items On-top Discount Up to 5 MB 999+ items Free transfer-fee Up to 0.9 MB/ items
EXTRA GIFT CARD up to 100,000 Baht if Transfer within 30 days
Marketing Campaigns starting to yield results
Unit: Items
Q2-Special Price on selected items (47 Units, total 92.3M)
Physical Booths
17.6 24.1 123.0 75.6 FUTURE PARK RANGSIT FASHION ISLAND Pre-book Property Sold
Special Price
Unit: MB
As of Jul 2020 As of Aug 2020
161.9 127.8 37.9 Residential Properties Vacant Land Commercial properties
Unit: MB Note: 1. Sales figure inclusive of On-process sales
116 Units sold, totaling 328 MB1 46 Units Sold, totaling 41.7 MB 10++ Up Coming Physical Booths
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Q2 Q2 Unit: MB 2020 2019 Interest income
Total interest income 2,225 1,352 Bank’s deposit 1 1 Loans purchased of receivables 2,164 1,312 Interest income- part of fully received 132 439 Interest income- part of account receivable 1,277*
755 873 Installment sale receivables 23 36 Others
Expected Credit Losses
Loans purchased of receivables 1,362 2,564 Installment sale receivables & accrued int. recevables 85 137 Advance for expenses on asset acquisition and others 3 3 Gain from debt restructuring of installment sale receivables (74) (120) Total 1,376 2,674 Bad debts and doubtful accounts Loans purchased of receivables (reversal)
Income Statement Highlights
Additional Allowance for ECL Interest Income
same amount as “Int. income-part of account receivables”
from COVID impact (27.4% QoQ) which resulted in lower interest income-part of fully received
“Expected Credit Losses” for the period.
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30 JUNE 31 DEC Unit: MB 2020 2019
Total loans purchased of receivables and accrued interest receivables 1 88,627 83,622 Less Allowance for doubtful accounts
Less Allowance for expected credit losses (11,077)
receivables- net 77,553 77,375 Installment sale receivables and accrued interest receivables 1,768 1,542 Less Deferred gross profit of installment sale receivables (962) (891) Less Allowance for expected credit losses (137)
Installment sale receivables and accrued interest receivables-net 669 649 Deferred tax assets 2 1,459 491 Right-of-use-assets-net 3 22
119,678 115,790
Asset Liabilities Equity 30 JUNE 31 DEC Unit: MB 2020 2019
Accrued interest payables 470 504 Dividend payables
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83,016 78,724
30 JUNE 31 DEC Unit: MB 2020 2019
Share premium 6,044 3,399 Other components of equity 242 (65) Retained earnings Unappropriated 12,593 17,034 Total Equity 36,662 37,066
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Record ”Right-of-use-assets” and “ Lease liabilities” in accordance with TFRS 16 Leases Deferred Tax Assets for the period of 1,459 MB : mostly from the effect from first time adoption of the TFRS9 The beginning balance of allowance for doubtful accounts (in accordance with BOT rules) adjusted by changes in adoption of the TFRS9 and allowance for expected credit losses for the period
Balance Sheet Highlights
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Recent Awards & Accolades
#1 Best Strategic Corporate Social Responsibility #2 Best Senior IR Management Support
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Laying groundwork for IT architecture
Work process alignment and reprocess of key
NPA, Law and accounting
Database for Business Use Database Security
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Projects Strategies
The organization structure of BAM to be used in project management oversight.
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Financial performance : operating profitability
4,501 5,202 6,549 4,001 835 59% 53% 54%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 2017 2018 2019 1H 2019 1H 2020 THB mn Net Profit Net profit margin
Net profit and net profit margin
5,401 6,353 8,974 5,719 5,255 2,181 3,372 3,237 896 740 43 26 25 26 27 7,626 9,751 12,236 6,641 6,022 2017 2018 2019 1H 2019 1H 2020 THB mn NPL NPA Other income
Revenue breakdown
5,537 6,414 9,140 5,719 5,303 3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 2017 2018 2019 1H 2019 1H 2020 THB mn
Interest income
1,244 1,622 1,769 925 1,163 3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 2017 2018 2019 1H 2019 1H 2020 THB mn
Interest expenses
2,520 2,935 3,757 1,587 1,303 3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 2017 2018 2019 1H 2019 1H 2020 THB mn
Other expenses
Financial performance : balance sheet and financial ratio
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72.9 75.4 77.4 77.6 2017 2018 2019 Jun 2020
Loans purchases of receivables and accrued interest receivables (NPL) - net (Billion Baht)
99.9 107.7 115.8 119.7 2017 2018 2019 Jun 2020
Total assets (Billion Baht)
41.1 41.8 37.1 36.7 2017 2018 2019 Jun 2020
Total shareholder’s equity (Billion Baht)
17.7 20.6 23.9 2017 2018 2019 Jun 2020
Properties for sale (NPA) – net (Billion Baht)
27.0
4.7 5.0 5.9 1.5 2017 2018 2019 Jun 2020
ROAA1 (%)
11.0 12.6 17.7 4.5 2017 2018 2019 Jun 2020
ROAE1 (%)
1.43 1.57 2.12 2.26 2017 2018 2019 Jun 2020
Total liability-to-equity ratio (X)
Note: 1Calculate by annualizing the relevant items in the statement of comprehensive income and statement of cash flows for the six-month period ended June 30, 2020.
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6.60 51.32 38.27 45.34 438.92 18.97 350.35 7,869.80 564.78 786.46 33,941.35 1,820.83 1,270.06 232.20 227.73 607.41 56.20 123.55 3,967.70 501.96 456.15 18,243.84 Less than 1 year 1 to less than 2 years 2 to less than 3 years 3 to less than 4 years 4 to less than 5 years 5 to less than 6 years 6 to less than 7 years 7 to less than 8 years 8 to less than 9 years 9 to less than 10 years 10 years and above
Cash collection Acquisition cost
Large cash collections have been generated, and BAM possesses considerable outstanding balances for future cash collection
Distressed debt assets (NPLs) and properties foreclosed from NPLs as of June 30, 2020 (in THB million unless specified)
Note: 1 Outstanding balance for converted properties excluding revaluation of properties foreclosed and allowance, to reflect the actual cost of acquiring the assets
Cash collection equals c.129.33% of the acquisition cost for NPL portfolios acquired >10 years ago
Cash collection equals c.186.04% of the acquisition cost for NPAs directly acquired >10 years ago
134.88 1,088.73 1,867.32 3,217.91 4,709.89 4,859.20 7,595.80 26,972.83 7,668.81 4,549.89 144,091.22 11,764.07 13,209.80 11,527.49 12,876.83 12,782.02 13,568.06 12,114.70 17,747.79 7,312.51 3,555.27 111,417.77 Less than 1 year 1 to less than 2 years 2 to less than 3 years 3 to less than 4 years 4 to less than 5 years 5 to less than 6 years 6 to less than 7 years 7 to less than 8 years 8 to less than 9 years 9 to less than 10 years 10 years and above
Credit for purchase of receivables and converted properties foreclosed:
Cash collection/ acquisition cost (%) 1.15 8.24 35.81 104.87 127.98 Outstanding balance1
11,647 12,587 11,056 6,682 1,685
Properties foreclosed (directly purchased):
Break even Recovery period Preparation, negotiation and restructuring period
24.99 36.85 16.20 62.70 151.98 129.33
10,385 11,119 10,432 8,534 3,214 20,657
Cash collection/ acquisition cost (%) 0.36 4.04 33.75 112.51 172.41 Outstanding balance1
1,575 1,128 41 1,121 91
19.91 72.26 16.48 283.58 198.35 186.04
198 175 264 34 126 1,757
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11.6 11.8 9.2 9.6 7.8 8.4 5.4 4.8 2.1 0.8 14.6 86.2 23.8 23.7 19.8 18.4 17.0 17.3 12.1 19.8 6.4 2.4 34.3 195.1 <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 >10 Total
High appraisal value relative to book value
NPLs and NPAs portfolio – outstanding balance / appraisal value split by year, as of June 30, 2020 Distressed debt assets Properties foreclosed (converted from distressed debt assets)
(THB bn)
Appraisal / outstanding balance coverage % of Outstanding balance of the portfolio
2.4x 100% 3.0x 17% 3.0x 1% 3.0x 2% 4.1x 6% 2.1x 10% 2.2x 9% 1.9x 11% 2.2x 6% 2.1x 11% 2.0x 14% 2.1x 13%
0.1 0.8 1.2 1.5 2.7 2.6 3.1 1.9 1.1 0.9 6.0 21.1 0.1 1.4 2.3 2.6 5.0 4.8 6.0 5.9 2.4 4.0 15.8 44.3 <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 >10 Total
(THB bn) 2.1x 100% 2.6x 29% 4.7x 4% 2.2x 5% 3.1x 9% 1.8x 13% 1.9x 13% 1.7x 7% 2.0x 15% 2.0x 5% 1.7x 4% 1.7x 0%
Properties foreclosed (direct purchased)
1.6 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.1 0.1 1.8 6.4 2.5 2.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.2 1.0 3.9 0.3 0.3 7.4 17.1 <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 >10 Total
Outstanding Balance Appraisal value
(THB bn)
Appraisal / outstanding balance coverage % of Outstanding balance of the portfolio
100% 27% 1% 2% 17% 1% 4% 3% 1% 3% 17% 24%
Appraisal / outstanding balance coverage % of Outstanding balance of the portfolio
2.7x 4.2x 2.8x 2.1x 3.4x 4.0x 2.3x 2.6x 28.6x 2.0x 1.9x 1.6x
Growing assets based Collateral values exceed acquisition cost
collateral
NPLs backed by majority real estate
NPLs breakdown
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Real estate Real estate & other security/collateral Other security/collateral Unsecured 80% 14% 1% 5%
NPLs (gross) by collateral type
79.8 81.7 83.6 83.1 86.1 2017 2018 2019 Jun 2019 Jun 2020 (THB bn)
Distressed debt assets (gross NPLs) NPLs acquisition amounts
10,252.6 10,971.3 12,810.4 7,615.4 6,560.0 2017 2018 2019 1H 2019 1H 2020 (THB mn)
(As of 1H 2020)
Breakdown of NPL portfolio
5% 14% 6% 15% 8% 23% 29% < THB 1 mn THB 1 - 5 mn THB 5 - 10 mn THB 10 - 50 mn THB 50 - 100 mn THB 100 - 500 mn > THB 500 mn
(As of 1H 2020)
Active NPA management
Central and EasternThailand
Majority of assets in Bangkok and Well-diversified type of NPAs
NPAs breakdown
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NPAs outstanding (net) by asset type
23.3% 1.8% 25.9% 48.3% 0.8% Vacant land Hotels Commercial properties Residential properties Movable assets
(As of 1H 2020)
NPAs outstanding (net) by region
43.8% 24.2% 13.2% 9.1% 8.8% 0.8% Bangkok and its vicinity Central and Eastern Thailand Northern Thailand Northeastern Thailand Southern Thailand Moveable properties 23.2 27.0 32.6 30.5 2017 2018 2019 Jun 2019 Jun 2020 (THB bn)
Properties foreclosed (gross NPAs)
5,258.1 5,914.1 8,060.0 4,557.6 3,634.0 269.6 1,117.1 544.0 71.2 1,106.0 5,527.8 7,056.7 8,604.0 4,628.8 4,740.0 2017 2018 2019 1H 2019 1H 2020 (THB mn) From NPLs¹ From financial institutions
NPAs acquisition amounts
(excluding investment in securities)
From NPLs 36.4
(As of 1H 2020)
Purchase of NPLs and NPAs NPLs NPAs (including investment in securities) NPAs management NPAs disposal Cash Court enforcement process Enforcement of collateral via public auction NPAs Cash Pay by cash Pay by debt to equity conversion Debt restructuring
Settlement reached Settlementnot reached Dispute settled Disputenot settled BAM successfully purchases 3rd partypurchases
Sourcing
1
Pay by collateral transfer (NPAs and investment in securities) NPLs management
2 NPAs management 3
Flow chart summary
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