Attractive vocational education and training: What really matters?
Cathy Stasz, Sue Guthrie and Craig Holmes Cedefop Workshop 9th October 2012
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Attractive vocational education and training: What really matters? - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Attractive vocational education and training: What really matters? Cathy Stasz, Sue Guthrie and Craig Holmes Cedefop Workshop 9 th October 2012 1/75 DRAFT - NOT FOR WIDER DISTRIBUTION Outline of the workshop Session 1: Introduction to the
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– To what extent are these drivers specific to the IVET system (endogenous), external to the IVET system, (exogenous)? Can they be influenced by policy (policy levers)?
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Endogenous drivers of IVET
IVET System characteristics:
counselling
IVET outcomes Communication of IVET outcomes Attractiveness of IVET
to general upper secondary education
Policy levers: IVET system
pathways and programmes
qualifications frameworks
partners
Policy levers: Communication
changes and their implications
(Family, schools, internet and social networks)
provided by IVET (competitions, awards, etc.) IVET System characteristics:
IVET providers and programmes delivery
Exogenous supply drivers of attractiveness:
family, teachers
pathways
pathway
at earlier levels, stereotypes)
Exogenous demand drivers of attractiveness:
specific qualifications)
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Data Sources Description Country studies Desk research plus key informant interviews 27 EU member states, plus Norway, Iceland, Switzerland, Australia, and South Korea Case studies Desk research plus key informant interviews 10 policy initiatives in 6 countries: Germany, Finland, Ireland, Czech Republic, Denmark, Spain Survey Adaptation of Eurobarometer items Web-based; directed at guidance counselors, teachers, employers; limited sample (N=126) Quantitative data European Labour Force Survey (2000- 2011; Eurobarometer (2011, 2004); Continual vocational training survey (2005); National statistics (UOE); European Social Survey (2010)
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0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% Austria Netherlands Denmark Luxembourg Ireland Germany Norway Cyprus Sweden Portugal UK Hungary Malta Slovenia Belgium Romania EU27 Czech Republic France Latvia Finland Spain Estonia Italy Greece Lithuania Bulgaria Poland Slovakia Unemployment rate and change 2010 2007 2000
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0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% Germany South Korea Lichtenstein Greece Slovenia Italy Finland Malta Austria Latvia Portugal Netherlands Estonia EU27 Denmark Lithuania Hungary Romania Switzerland Czech Republic Cyprus Bulgaria Australia France Poland Sweden UK Belgium Slovakia Spain Iceland Ireland Luxembourg Norway % change, 2000-10 Country Old age dependency ratio Size of 18-24 population
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0% 2% 4% 6% Luxembourg Cyprus Switzerland United Kingdom Malta Norway Liechtenstein Denmark Iceland Spain Sweden Netherlands Belgium Austria Ireland Italy Greece Slovenia Germany France Finland Hungary Portugal Czech Republic Slovakia Estonia Poland Lithuania Latvia Bulgaria % migration rate Immigration rate Emigration rate Net immigration rate
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AT BE CY CZ DK FI FR DE EL HU IE IT LU NL NO PL PT SK SI ES SE CH UK 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% Relative skill of 15-24 year old immigrant population, 2008 Immigration rate, 15-24 year olds, 2008
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0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% Technicians and associate professionals Clerical support workers Service and sales workers Craft and related trades workers Plant and machine
assemblers Change in employment share, % Occupation major group 2000-2007 2007-2011 2000-2011
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EU27 BE BG CZ DK DE EE IE EL ES FR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK IS NO CH 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Proportion of technician workers at ISCED level 3-4 Employment share of technician occupations
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EU27 BE BG CZ DK DE EE IE EL ES FR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK IS NO CH 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Proportion of service workers with ISCED 3-4 qualifications Total employment share
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0.00% 0.50% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% Belgium Cyprus Estonia Malta Finland South Korea Iceland UK France Latvia Sweden Austria Italy Denmark Netherlands Hungary Slovenia Norway Germany Ireland Poland Bulgaria Czech Republic Portugal Luxembourg Slovakia Lithuania Australia Spain Lichtenstein ISCED 3-4 (type unknown) ISCED 3-4 vocational and prevocational ISCED 3-4 general
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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Czech Republic Slovakia Lithuania Poland Estonia Latvia Slovenia Germany Switzerland Finland Austria Sweden UK Hungary Bulgaria Norway Cyprus Luxembourg Romania Ireland EU27 Denmark France Netherlands Belgium Iceland Greece Italy Spain Portugal Malta Share of working age population ISCED 5-6 ISCED 3-4
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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Austria Belgium Slovakia Finland Czech Republic Netherlands Romania Switzerland Slovenia Luxembourg Italy Sweden Malta Australia Norway Germany Poland Bulgaria EU27 Denmark France Spain Estonia Latvia Portugal Iceland Greece Lithuania UK Ireland South Korea Hungary Cyprus Participation rate in vocational programmes, % all programmes at ISCED 3-4
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0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% Romania Liechtenstein Austria Slovakia Belgium Netherlands France Finland Slovenia Sweden Poland Italy Luxembourg Hungary Greece Iceland Estonia Bulgaria Norway Denmark Portugal Latvia Malta Lithuania Cyprus Ireland Graduation rate Level 4 Level 3
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AT BE CY DK FI DE EL HU IE IT LV LT LU MT NL PL PT RO SK SI ES SE IS LI NO
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% Graduation rate, general programmes Graduation rate, vocational programmes
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0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Slovenia Norway Poland Czech Republic Slovakia Austria Denmark Lithuania Switzerland Finland Sweden Germany Hungary France Estonia Ireland Belgium Greece Latvia Luxembourg Netherlands EU27 UK Cyprus Bulgaria Italy Romania Iceland Spain Portugal Malta Early school leaver rate 2004 2011
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BE BG CH CY CZ DE DK EE ES FI FR UK EL HU IE NL NO PO PT SE SL SK 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 Earnings ratio: university vs. IVET Earnings ratio: IVET vs. lower secondary
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AT BE BG CY CZ DK EE FI FR DE EL HU IE IT LV LT LU MT NL PL PT RO SK SI ES SE UK NO CH 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% Employment rate ratio: ISCED 5-6 compared to ISCED 3-4 Participation rate in ISCED 3-4 vocational programmes
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0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Malta Finland Austria Bulgaria Germany Portugal Italy Ireland Cyprus Greece Denmark Estonia Romania Czech Republic UK Spain Slovakia Poland Lithuania Luxembourg Sweden France Latvia Belgium Hungary Netherlands Slovenia
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percentage recommending general education and the percentage recommending vocational education)
attainment more likely to recommend general education
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% France Hungary Finland Netherlands Bulgaria Austria Greece Cyprus Czech Republic Portugal Italy Latvia Slovenia Spain Germany UK Estonia Luxembourg Slovakia Poland Belgium Malta Romania Denmark Sweden Ireland Lithuania
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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Austria Belgium Slovakia Finland Czech… Netherlands Romania Switzerland Slovenia Luxembourg Italy Sweden Malta Australia Norway Germany Poland Bulgaria EU27 average Denmark France Spain Estonia Latvia Portugal Iceland Greece Lithuania UK Ireland South Korea Hungary Cyprus 2006 2010
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AT BE BG CY CZ DK EE FI FR DE EL HU IE IT LV LT LU MT NL PL PT RO SK SI ES SE UK EU27
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Relatvie esteem indicator (2011) Image of vocational education (2011)
AT BE BG CY CZ DK EE FI FR DE EL HU IE IT LV LT LU MT NL PL PT RO SK SI ES SE UK EU-27 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Image of vocational education (2011)
Participation (2010)
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AT BE BG CY CZ DK EE FI FR DE HU IE IT LV LT LU MT NL PL PT RO SK SI ES SE UK EU27
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0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Relative esteem indicator Participation rate
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0% 20% 40% 60% France Hungary Finland Netherlands Bulgaria Austria Greece Cyprus Czech Republic Portugal Italy Latvia Slovenia Spain Germany UK Estonia Luxembourg Slovakia Poland Belgium Malta Romania Denmark Sweden Ireland Lithuania 2004 2011
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Participation (2010) Relative esteem (2011) Relative esteem (2004) Spend on ISCED 3-4 vocational/prevocational education as a percentage of GDP (2008)
Yes, positive (0.862) X Yes, positive (0.469)
Unemployment rate
Yes, negative (- 0.403) X X
Youth unemployment
X X X
Proportion working as technicians and associate professionals
Yes, positive X X
Change in proportion working in craft and related trades and clerical support
Yes, positive X X
Change in proportion working as plant and machine operators, and assemblers
Yes, negative X X
Change in proportion working in service and sales
X Yes, positive X
Old age dependency ratio
X X Yes, positive (0.458)
Size of youth population
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0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
TV Internet/social networks Newspapers Radio Events Exhibitions, fairs Schools Family Friends Experience in summer/part-time job
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Family Teachers Guidance counsellors Friends Internet/social networks Events Newspapers Part-time job Television Exhibitions or fairs Radio Work experience Hobbies/interests Other Teachers and Trainers Guidance counsellors Sources of information used. Source: Eurobarometer 369 (2011) Most important influence on decision making. Source: Project survey
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AT BE BG CY CZ DK EE FI FR DE HE HU IE IT LV LT LU MT NL PL PT RO SK SI ES SE UK EU27
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Change in participation between 2006 and 2010 Change in relative esteem between 2004 and 2011
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High Esteem Countries (N=7) Low Esteem Countries (N=6) Improvements to guidance and counselling Reducing drop-out rates Skills competitions Introduce IVET at lower secondary or at younger age International/transnational mobility Adjust IVET curriculum to meet changes in the labour market Initiate structural changes to improve collaboration across stakeholders
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High participation (N=7) Low participation (N=7) Reduce drop-out rate Recognition of prior learning Improve infrastructure of VET schools
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skills, competence, preparation for working life; contributes to degree studies
and compare own training with national/international benchmarks; enhances reputation as responsible employer
instructional methods; creates connections between school and work
information; develop internal operations, internationalisation, business partnerships
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