Asking the Right Que stions to Make Data Dr ive n De c isions on - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

asking the right que stions to make data dr ive n de c
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Asking the Right Que stions to Make Data Dr ive n De c isions on - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Asking the Right Que stions to Make Data Dr ive n De c isions on Staffing and De ployme nt E xc lusive Pr o vide r o f Public Safe ty T e c hnic al Se r vic e s fo r Inte r natio nal City/ Co unty Manage me nt Asso c iatio n 1 L e o


slide-1
SLIDE 1

1

Asking the Right Que stions to Make Data Dr ive n De c isions on Staffing and De ployme nt

E xc lusive Pr

  • vide r
  • f Public Safe ty T

e c hnic al Se r vic e s fo r Inte r natio nal City/ Co unty Manage me nt Asso c iatio n

slide-2
SLIDE 2

2

L e o na rd Ma ta re se , Dire c to r o f Re se a rc h

Ce nte r fo r Public Safe ty Manage me nt, L L C

L ma ta re se @ c psm.us

  • 716-969-1360
slide-3
SLIDE 3

3

  • Q. Why do you r
  • b banks?

3

slide-4
SLIDE 4

4

“Be c ause that’s whe r e the mone y is.”

– Willie Sutto n

4

slide-5
SLIDE 5

5

T he r e r e ally is a “Sutton’s L aw”:

  • In me dic ine state s that whe n diagnosing, one

should fir st c onside r the obvious;

  • Use d in g (ABC) of manage me nt ac c ounting, the

law stipulate s that ABC should be applie d "whe r e the mone y is," me aning whe r e the highe st c osts ar e inc ur r e d and, thus, the highe st pote ntial of

  • ve r

all c ost r e duc tion is.

5

slide-6
SLIDE 6

6

Ove r vie w

  • T

ypic al Re que st is MORE r e sour c e s PL E ASE !

– L

imite d analyse s of wor kloads, pe r for manc e , and value of MORE ?

  • Aggr

e gate data on total c alls misle ading

  • Pe r

for manc e NOT line ar func tion of total c alls:

– An inc r

e ase of 50% may r e quir e little or no additional r e sour c e s

slide-7
SLIDE 7

7

Polic e Issue s

slide-8
SLIDE 8

8

Polic e Patr

  • l: Re ac tive and Pr
  • ac tive

Data Driven

Policies & Procedures Resource Allocation

Response Time Reduction Targeted Crime Reduction Process Management Continuous Improvement Leverage Resources Flexible and Creative Math Model

Feedback Loop

Citizen Expectation Citizen Complaints Citizen Satisfaction Citizen Fear Community Deterioration

slide-9
SLIDE 9

9

  • Q. What is the r

e c omme nde d

  • ffic e r

s pe r thousand for a jur isdic tion of your size ?

slide-10
SLIDE 10

10

A.

T HE RE IS NO SUCH T HING!

slide-11
SLIDE 11

11

No T wo Jur isdic tions ar e the Same

  • Ge o g ra phy
  • So c ia l – E

c o no mic Co nditio ns

  • Crime Ra te
  • Physic a l Size
  • De nsity
slide-12
SLIDE 12

12

De ployme nt Que stions to Ask

  • Q. Wha t’s the diffe re nc e be twe e n Ca lls F
  • r

Se rvic e (CF S) vs. Workloa d – CF

S is a quantity – a numbe r

– Wor

kload is the c umulative time to handle CF S

  • Q. How ma ny pa trol pe rsonne l a re a c tua lly on

the stre e t? By Se a son, Da y of We e k, Hour of da y?

slide-13
SLIDE 13

13

E xample of CF S vs. Wor kload

  • Bur

glar y – we se nd two offic e r s to handle c all. T he y ar e the r e for 1 hour e ac h.

  • Calls for

Se r vic e = 1

  • Wor

kload = 2 Hour s (2 x 1 hour s)

slide-14
SLIDE 14

14

Re sponse T ime s Que stions

  • Q. Do you know that r

e sponse time is only impor tant

  • n limite d numbe r
  • f high pr

ior ity c alls?

  • Q. Ar

e c alls dispatc he d and r e c or de d by pr ior ity?

  • Q. Is r

e sponse time me asur e d by time of day, day of we e k and se ason?

  • Q. Do the y always c he c k for

bad data?

  • Q. Do the y tr

ac k long r e sponse time s for high pr ior ity c alls and find out why?

slide-15
SLIDE 15

15

Ke y Patr

  • l Que stions
  • Q. Is de ployme nt aligne d with wor

kload var iations by se ason, day of we e k, hour

  • f day?
  • Q. Ar

e same numbe r

  • f patr
  • l units assigne d

ar

  • und the c loc k? – r

ar e ly good ide a

  • Q. Ar

e pr

  • ble m ar

e as suc h as shift c hange ide ntifie d?

  • Q. Do shift star

t time s, sc he dule s & CBAs limit de ployme nt fle xibility and alignme nt?

slide-16
SLIDE 16

16

Polic e - City of 275,000 3 star t time s/ 10- hour

  • ve r

lapping shifts

0200 to 0700 0700 to 1600 1600 to 2100 2100 to 0200 August 2002 29 33 33 62 Januar y 2003 32 34 32 64

Da ily Ave ra g e Ca ll Ra te  August 34% highe r

than Januar y

 Pr

ior ity 1 & 2: 50% mor e c alls pe r hour in August

slide-17
SLIDE 17

17

Misa lig ne d Pa trol F

  • rc e - City of 275,000

3 sta rt- time s/ 10- hour shifts

20 40 60 80 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 Time of Day Patrol Units

Deployed Busy at Calls

slide-18
SLIDE 18

18

Alig ne d Pa trol F

  • rc e – City of 275,000

5 sta rt- time s/ 10- hour shifts

20 40 60 80 100 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 Time of Day Patrol Units

Deployed Busy at Calls

18

slide-19
SLIDE 19

19

T he Polic e F

  • undation

Shift L e ngth E xpe r ime nt

slide-20
SLIDE 20

20

Shift L e ngth E xpe r ime nt

L imitations:

  • Se lf Re porting
  • Not Ra ndom Sa mple – Offic e rs se le c te d

shifts.

  • Offic e rs we re a llowe d to c ha ng e shift in mid

proc e ss.

  • L

imite d to 3 De pa rtme nts

slide-21
SLIDE 21

21

Shift L e ngth E xpe r ime nt

Positive s:

  • E

xc e lle nt bio da ta te sting

slide-22
SLIDE 22

22

10- hour shifts ha ve se lf re porte d a dva nta g e s

  • ve r 8- hour shifts
  • Offic e r

s wor king 10- hour shifts got mor e sle e p pe r night (ove r half an hour ) than those on 8- hour shifts and had a signific antly highe r quality of wor k life (se lf r e por te d).

  • 10- hour

shifts wor ke d the le ast amount of

  • ve r

time of the thr e e gr

  • ups, pote ntially

r e sulting in c ost savings.

slide-23
SLIDE 23

23

T he be ne fits of 10- hour shifts ma y not e xte nd to 12- hour shifts

  • 10- hour

shifts got mor e sle e p than those on 8- hour shifts; not tr ue for 12- hour shifts.

  • 10- hour

shifts had a highe r r e por te d quality of wor k life than those on 8- hour shifts; 12- hour shifts did not.

  • 12- hour

shifts wor ke d a le sse r amount of

  • ve r

time than those on 8- hour shifts; the y still wor ke d mor e than those on 10- hour shifts.

slide-24
SLIDE 24

24

Shift le ngth impac t

  • Shift le ngth did not have a signific ant impac t on

any of our me asur e s of pe r for manc e , safe ty, wor k- family c onflic t or he alth

  • Pe r

for manc e and safe ty me asur e s (inte r pe r sonal inte r ac tions, shooting skills, r isky dr iving be havior s, r e ac tion time , fatigue , and se lf- initiate d de par tme ntal ac tivity) we r e not impac te d by shift le ngth.

  • T

he gr

  • ups did not diffe r

with r e gar d to wor k- family c onflic t.

slide-25
SLIDE 25

25

Dur ing the six- month pe r iod in whic h offic e r s we r e assigne d to the e xpe r ime ntal c onditions, did not de te c t diffe r e nc e s ac r

  • ss gr
  • ups:
  • sic k le a ve ta ke n
  • stre ss e xpe rie nc e d
  • inc re a se d c a rdiova sc ula r proble ms
  • g a strointe stina l proble ms.

Shift le ngth impac t

slide-26
SLIDE 26

26

E ffe c ts of Sc he dule s

  • 10- hour

day is ofte n a pr

  • duc tivity kille r

due to

  • ve r

lap

  • 8- hour

day give s maximum assignme nt fle xibility but c an affe c t c ontinuity of supe r vision and te am e ffor t

  • 12- hour

day with 4 platoons and 42- hour we e k ave r age (36 / 48) may be be st alte r native e spe c ially in smalle r age nc ie s.

slide-27
SLIDE 27

27

12 Hour Sc he dule – 42 Avg. Hour s

Week # SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT 1 Day Team A B B A A B B Nite Team C D D C C D D 2 Day Team B A A B B A A Nite Team D C C D D C C 3 Day Team A B B A A B B Nite Team C D D C C D D 4 Day Team B A A B B A A Nite Team D C C D D C C

slide-28
SLIDE 28

28

12- Hour Sc he dule Be ne fits

  • Sc he dule r

e pe ats e ve r y 4 we e ks.

  • E

ac h te am ge ts F r iday, Satur day and Sunday off e ve r y othe r we e k.

  • T

e ams wor k 36 hour s one we e k and the n 48 hour s the following we e k, ave r aging 42 hour s pe r we e k. T his is within F L SA r e quir e me nts and the e xtr a hour s c an be paid at str aight time .

  • T

he se e xtr a 2 hour s pe r we e k c ontr ibute the e quivale nt of one additional offic e r for e ve r y 21

  • ffic e r

s.

slide-29
SLIDE 29

29

Have you done a De ployme nt vs. Wor kload Analysis?

slide-30
SLIDE 30

30

10- Hour Sc he dule : We e kdays

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 Hours Number of Police Officers PO-Initiated Workloads C/O-Initiated Workloads Total Workloads Deployed Police Officers

  • Avg. C/O Initiated Manhours of Work: 3.2
  • Avg. Total Manhours of Work: 3.8
  • Avg. Police Officers Deployed: 8.1
slide-31
SLIDE 31

31

10- Hour Sc he dule : We e ke nds

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 Hours Number of Police Officers PO-Initiated Workloads C/O-Initiated Workloads Total Workloads Deployed Police Officers

  • Avg. C/O Initiated Manhours of Work: 3.4
  • Avg. Total Manhours of Work: 4.0
  • Avg. Police Officers Deployed: 7.2
slide-32
SLIDE 32

32

How many polic e do we ne e d?

  • Polic y issue drive n by % of non-

c ommitte d (fre e ) time

  • F

unc tion of work sc he dule

  • Wha t the y do with the time is more

importa nt tha n how muc h the y ha ve !

“Offic e r s pe r 1,000 and othe r ur ban myths” by Joe Br ann

slide-33
SLIDE 33

33

How Many Offic e r s?

  • I

n a dditio n to wo rklo a d, re spo nse time s ma y drive sta ffing de c isio ns – pa rtic ula rly in lo w CF S a re a s.

  • “Pre se nc e ” ma y a lso a ffe c t sta ffing

de c isio ns, a g a in in lo w CF S a re a s

slide-34
SLIDE 34

34

Wor kload vs. E ve nts

slide-35
SLIDE 35

35

Rule of 60 – Polic e Alloc ation

  • 60% o f the T
  • ta l Numb e r o f Swo rn

Offic e rs sho uld b e a ssig ne d to Pa tro l

  • No mo re tha n 60% o f a va ila b le ma n-

ho urs sho uld b e de dic a te d to wo rklo a d

slide-36
SLIDE 36

36

22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 60 50 40 30 20 10 Hour Personnel

Ex t ra Pat rol Bas ic Pat rol U nenc um bered Work A dm inis t rat iv e Work Self- I nit iat ed Work O t her- I nit iat ed Work

De ployme nt vs. Wor kload

slide-37
SLIDE 37

37

  • Nor

th Por t, F lor ida

slide-38
SLIDE 38

38

De ployme nt a nd Ma in Workloa d, We e kda ys, Summe r

Hour 23 21 19 17 15 13 11 9 7 5 3 1 20 15 10 5 Personnel

Patrol Directed patrol work Out- of- service work Police- initiated work Other- initiated work

slide-39
SLIDE 39

39

Wor kload Pe r c e ntage by Hour , We e kdays, Summe r

22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 100 80 60 40 20

Hour Percentage

slide-40
SLIDE 40

40

Wor kload vs. De ployme nt – We e kdays, Summe r

Avg . Wo rklo a d: 6.5 o ff / ho ur Avg . % De plo ye d (SI ): 57 pe rc e nt Pe a k SI : 89 pe rc e nt Pe a k SI T ime : 6:15 a .m.

slide-41
SLIDE 41

41

De ployme nt a nd Ma in Workloa d, We e ke nds, Summe r

Hour 23 21 19 17 15 13 11 9 7 5 3 1 20 15 10 5 Personnel

Patrol Directed patrol work Out- of- service work Police- initiated work Other- initiated work

slide-42
SLIDE 42

42

Wor kload Pe r c e ntage by Hour , We e ke nds, Summe r

22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 100 80 60 40 20

Hour Percentage

slide-43
SLIDE 43

43

Wor kload v. De ployme nt – We e ke nds, Summe r

Avg . Wo rklo a d: 5.3 o ff / ho ur Avg . % De plo ye d (SI ): 53 pe rc e nt Pe a k SI : 82 pe rc e nt Pe a k SI T ime : 6:00 p.m.

slide-44
SLIDE 44

44

De ployme nt and Main Wor kload, We e kdays, Winte r

Hour 23 21 19 17 15 13 11 9 7 5 3 1 20 15 10 5 Personnel

Patrol Directed patrol work Out- of- service work Police- initiated work Other- initiated work

slide-45
SLIDE 45

45

Wor kload Pe r c e ntage by Hour , We e kdays, Winte r

22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 100 80 60 40 20

Hour Percentage

slide-46
SLIDE 46

46

Wor kload v. De ployme nt – We e kdays, Winte r

Avg . Wo rklo a d: 6.7 o ff / ho ur Avg . % De plo ye d (SI ): 51 pe rc e nt Pe a k SI : 82 pe rc e nt Pe a k SI T ime : 6:00 a .m.

slide-47
SLIDE 47

47

De ployme nt and Main Wor kload, We e ke nds, Winte r

Hour 23 21 19 17 15 13 11 9 7 5 3 1 20 15 10 5 Personnel

Patrol Directed patrol work Out- of- service work Police- initiated work Other- initiated work

slide-48
SLIDE 48

48

Wor kload Pe r c e ntage by Hour , We e ke nds, Winte r

22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 100 80 60 40 20

Hour Percentage

slide-49
SLIDE 49

49

Wor kload v. De ployme nt – We e ke nds, Winte r

  • Avg . Wo rklo a d:

5.8 o ff / ho ur Avg . % De plo ye d (SI ): 55 pe rc e nt Pe a k SI : 90 pe rc e nt Pe a k SI T ime : 6:00 p.m.

slide-50
SLIDE 50

50

  • F

lint, Mic hig a n

slide-51
SLIDE 51

51

F lint - De ployme nt a nd Ma in Workloa d, We e kda ys, Summe r

Hour 23 21 19 17 15 13 11 9 7 5 3 1 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 Personnel

Added patrol Patrol Out-of-service work Police-initiated work Other-initiated work

slide-52
SLIDE 52

52

F lint - Wor kload Pe r c e ntage by Hour , We e kdays, Summe r

22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 100 80 60 40 20

Hour Percentage

slide-53
SLIDE 53

53

F lint - Workloa d vs. De ployme nt – We e kda ys – Summe r

Avg . Wo rklo a d: 7.3 o ff / ho ur Avg . % De plo ye d (SI ): 67 pe rc e nt Pe a k SI : 110 pe rc e nt Pe a k SI T ime : 6:15 a .m.

slide-54
SLIDE 54

54

F lint - De ployme nt a nd Ma in Workloa d, We e ke nds, Summe r

Hour 23 21 19 17 15 13 11 9 7 5 3 1 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 Personnel

Added patrol Patrol Out-of-service work Police-initiated work Other-initiated work

slide-55
SLIDE 55

55

F lint - Workloa d Pe rc e nta g e by Hour, We e ke nds, Summe r

22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 100 80 60 40 20

Hour Percentage

slide-56
SLIDE 56

56

F lint - Workloa d v. De ployme nt – We e ke nds – Summe r

Avg . Wo rklo a d: 7.1 o ff / ho ur Avg . % De plo ye d (SI ): 69 pe rc e nt Pe a k SI : 103 pe rc e nt Pe a k SI T ime : 6:30 a .m.

slide-57
SLIDE 57

57

We ne e d mor e !

Average Deployed Police Officers VS Workload in Weekend, Aug. 2007 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 Hour Man Hours PO-Initiated Workloads C/O-Initiated Workloads Total Workloads Deployed Police Officers

  • Avg. C/O Initiated Manhours of Work: 0.5
  • Avg. Total Manhours of Work: 0.9
  • Avg. Police Officers Deployed: 3.7
slide-58
SLIDE 58

58

Pe r c e ntage of Patr

  • l T

ime Busy

22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 12 10 8 6 4 2 Hour Work- hours

Total patrol Basic patrol Total work Other- initiated work Police- initiated work

slide-59
SLIDE 59

59

We ne e d L OT S mor e !

slide-60
SLIDE 60

60

Who’s watc hing the stor e ?

22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 10 8 6 4 2

Hour Work- hours

Total patrol Basic patrol Total work Other- initiated work Police- initiated work

slide-61
SLIDE 61

61

A Ce nte r for Public Safe ty Manage me nt White Pape r

  • An analysis of polic e de par

tme nt staffing: How many offic e r s do you r e ally ne e d?

  • A Re vie w of 62 Polic e Age nc ie s Analyze d by the ICMA /

CPSM

  • Ce nte r

for Public Safe ty Manage me nt

slide-62
SLIDE 62

62

Que stions to De te rmine if you ha ve a we ll ma na g e d pa trol forc e

slide-63
SLIDE 63

63

Comple te and Ac c ur ate Re c or ds

  • Ar

e all ac tivity time s r e c or de d inc luding stops & ar r e sts?

  • Ar

e Daily logs r e vie we d by supe r visor s?

  • Doe s F

inal Re c or d r e fle c ts final c all disposition?

  • Do Data on ac tivitie s & e ffe c tive ne ss
  • f Community Or

ie nte d Polic ing ?

slide-64
SLIDE 64

64

Data Analysis

  • Is wor

kload type and var iations r e por te d: daily and se asonally & supe r visor s know this infor mation?

  • Ar

e r e sponse time s r e c or de d by c all pr ior ity & do supe r visor s know this infor mation?

  • Is the r

e a c ompar ative analysis of pe r for manc e ac r

  • ss patr
  • l se c tor

s?

  • Is F

ie ld Inte r r

  • gation (F

I) infor mation r e c or de d pr

  • pe r

ly and r e adily ac c e ssible ?

slide-65
SLIDE 65

65

Ac tive ly Manage d

  • Ar

e vac ation days c ontr

  • lle d?
  • Is multiple unit dispatc hing c ontr
  • lle d?
  • Ar

e unusually long on- sc e ne time s note d?

  • Ar

e unusually long r e sponse time s r e vie we d?

  • Do you have a me aningful false alar

m

  • r

dinanc e and is it e nfor c e d?

  • Do patr
  • l le ve ls var

y ac c or ding to wor kloads by time of day and se ason of ye ar ?

slide-66
SLIDE 66

66

Command & Contr

  • l of F

ie ld Units

  • Ave r

age Numbe r

  • f Re sponding Units

T r a f f i c S u s p i c i

  • u

s I n v e s t i g a t i

  • n

s G e n e r a l C r i m e A r r e s t J u v e n i l e D i r e c t e d p a t r

  • l

A g e n c y A s s i s t T

  • t

a l 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0

Unit s

Police initiated Other initiated

1.6 1.3 2.1 1.5 2.0 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.5 2.2 2.2 2.1 1.6 1.8 1.4

slide-67
SLIDE 67

67

How about te c hnology?

  • Is the r

e a de fe r r e d CF S manage me nt syste m (DPR)?

  • Ar

e the r e AE Ds in patr

  • l units and ar

e polic e simultane ously dispatc he d to c ar diac c alls??

  • Do you have Automatic L

PRs?

  • Is r

e por t wr iting e le c tr

  • nic and c an offic e r

s wr ite r e por ts fr

  • m ve hic le s?
  • Ar

e the r e In- c ar AV syste ms? Body Came r as? How is r e c or d c aptur e d and stor e d?

slide-68
SLIDE 68

68

Ac tive ly Manage d II

  • Is T

ime be twe e n c alls not just r andom patr

  • l?

– Inte llige nc e data suppor

t foc use d patr

  • l & COPS

– Ac tivitie s r

e vie we d r e gular ly

  • Doe s patr
  • l inte r

ac t r e gular ly with de te c tive division and spe c ial ope r ations units e .g. atte nd r

  • ll c alls?
  • Doe s patr
  • l inte r

ac ts with othe r c ity age nc ie s?

  • Ar

e the r e str ate gie s for loc ations with lar ge numbe r s

  • f r

e pe at c alls?

slide-69
SLIDE 69

69

How about c r ime pr e ve ntion?

  • Wha t kind of c rime pre ve ntion prog ra ms

doe s your de pa rtme nt pa rtic ipa te in?

– Re side ntia l a nd c omme rc ia l se c urity? – Auto the ft pre ve ntion? – Pe rsona l sa fe ty? – Bloc k wa tc he rs? – Anything ?

slide-70
SLIDE 70

70

Sig ns of a we ll- ma na g e d inve stig a tive func tion

slide-71
SLIDE 71

71

Ac tive ly Manage d Inve stigations

  • Is the re a c a se ma na g e me nt syste m?
  • Wha t is the c a se loa d?
  • Are c le a ra nc e ra te s re c orde d a nd tra c ke d?

By unit, by inve stig a tor?

  • Wha t kind of inte llig e nc e g a the ring is

c onduc te d?

  • Wha t is the re la tionship be twe e n the

inve stig a tors a nd pa trol offic e rs?

slide-72
SLIDE 72

72

Do You Have High L iability Polic ie s?

  • Use of for

c e ?

  • Ve hic le pur

suits?

  • E

motionally Distur be d pe r sons?

  • Biase d polic ing?
  • E

mploye e Assistanc e Pr

  • gr

ams?

  • Dome stic viole nc e ?
  • Pr

isone r pr

  • c e ssing?
  • Pr
  • pe r

ty pr

  • c e ssing?
  • Pr
  • fe ssional standar

ds inte gr ate d?

slide-73
SLIDE 73

73

Summar y

  • A la wye r’ s sto c k in tra de is his time – sa me

fo r po lic e de pa rtme nts.

  • Wo rklo a d & sc he dule s sho uld drive sta ffing

de c isio ns.

  • % No n c o mmitte d time is a po lic y issue tha t

ultima te ly de te rmine s to ta l sta ffing .

  • Re duc ing “wo rklo a d” b y impro ving

e ffic ie nc ie s (DPR, multiple unit dispa tc hing , e tc .) c a n b e mo re e ffe c tive tha n se e king a dditio na l sta ff.