Annual Meeting April 20, 2017 Note: All financial disclosure in - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Annual Meeting April 20, 2017 Note: All financial disclosure in - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Annual Meeting April 20, 2017 Note: All financial disclosure in this presentation is, unless otherwise noted, in US$ Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements contained herein may constitute forward-looking information (within the meaning of


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SLIDE 1

Note: All financial disclosure in this presentation is, unless otherwise noted, in US$

Annual Meeting

April 20, 2017

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SLIDE 2

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements contained herein may constitute forward-looking information (within the meaning of Canadian securities legislation) and forward-looking statements (within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995). These statements can be identified by expressions of belief, expectation or intention, as well as those statements that are not historical fact. Forward-looking statements are based upon assumptions, estimates, opinions and analysis made by management in light of its experience, current conditions and its expectations of future developments that management believe to be reasonable and relevant, and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Fairfax to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, but are not limited to: a reduction in net earnings if our loss reserves are insufficient; underwriting losses on the risks we insure that are higher or lower than expected; the occurrence of catastrophic events with a frequency or severity exceeding our estimates; changes in market variables, including interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices and credit spreads, which could negatively affect our investment portfolio; the cycles of the insurance market and general economic conditions, which can substantially influence our and our competitors' premium rates and capacity to write new business; insufficient reserves for asbestos, environmental and other latent claims; exposure to credit risk in the event our reinsurers fail to make payments to us under our reinsurance arrangements; exposure to credit risk in the event our insureds, insurance producers or reinsurance intermediaries fail to remit premiums that are owed to us or failure by our insureds to reimburse us for deductibles that are paid by us on their behalf; the timing of claims payments being sooner or the receipt of reinsurance recoverables being later than anticipated by us; the inability of our subsidiaries to maintain financial or claims paying ability ratings; risks associated with implementing our business strategies; risks associated with our use of derivative instruments; the failure of our hedging methods to achieve their desired risk management objective; a decrease in the level of demand for insurance or reinsurance products, or increased competition in the insurance industry; the impact of emerging claim and coverage issues; the failure of any of the loss limitation methods we employ; our inability to access cash of our subsidiaries; our inability to obtain required levels of capital on favourable terms, if at all; the loss of key employees; technological or other change which adversely impacts demand, or the premiums payable, for the insurance coverages we offer; our inability to obtain reinsurance coverage in sufficient amounts, at reasonable prices or on terms that adequately protect us; the passage of legislation subjecting our businesses to additional supervision or regulation, including additional tax regulation, in the United States, Canada or other jurisdictions in which we operate; risks associated with government investigations of, and litigation and negative publicity related to, insurance industry practice or any other conduct; risks associated with political and other developments in foreign jurisdictions in which we operate; risks associated with legal or regulatory proceedings; failures or security breaches of our computer and data processing systems; the influence exercisable by our significant shareholder; adverse fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; our dependence on independent brokers over whom we exercise little control; an impairment in the carrying value of our goodwill and indefinite-lived intangible assets; our failure to realize deferred income tax assets; and assessments and shared market mechanisms which may adversely affect our U.S. insurance subsidiaries. We caution readers not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of their dates. We disclaim any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, change in assumption or opinion or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities laws. Additional risks and uncertainties are described in our most recently issued Annual Report which is available at www.fairfax.ca and in our Supplemental and Base Shelf Prospectus (under “Risk Factors”) filed with the securities regulatory authorities in Canada, which is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com. 2

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SLIDE 3

Guiding Principles

Objectives

  • We expect to compound our mark-to-market book value per share over

the long term by 15% annually by running Fairfax and its subsidiaries for the long term benefit of customers, employees, shareholders and the communities where we operate – at the expense of short term profits if necessary

  • Our focus is long term growth in book value per share and not quarterly
  • earnings. We plan to grow through internal means as well as through

friendly acquisitions

  • We always want to be soundly financed
  • We provide complete disclosure annually to our shareholders

3

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SLIDE 4

Guiding Principles

Structure

  • Our companies are decentralized and run by the presidents except for

performance evaluation, succession planning, acquisitions, financing and investments, which are done by or with Fairfax. Investing will always be conducted based on a long term value-oriented philosophy. Cooperation among companies is encouraged to the benefit of Fairfax in total

  • Complete and open communication between Fairfax and its subsidiaries is

an essential requirement at Fairfax

  • Share ownership and large incentives are encouraged across the Group
  • Fairfax will always be a very small holding company and not an operating

company

4

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SLIDE 5

Guiding Principles

Values

  • Honesty and integrity are essential in all of our relationships and will never

be compromised

  • We are results oriented — not political
  • We are team players — no "egos”. A confrontational style is not
  • appropriate. We value loyalty — to Fairfax and our colleagues
  • We are hard working but not at the expense of our families
  • We always look at opportunities but emphasize downside protection and

look for ways to minimize loss of capital

  • We are entrepreneurial. We encourage calculated risk taking. It is all right

to fail but we should learn from our mistakes

  • We will never bet the company on any project or acquisition
  • We believe in having fun — at work!

5

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SLIDE 6

Success of Our Formula

  • Our combination of disciplined underwriting and long-term value

investing has produced superior returns over a long period

6

Disciplined Underwriting Value Investing

Superior Long-Term Returns

15% long-term book value per share CAGR target – achieved 19% since inception

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SLIDE 7

367 484 25 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 Book Value Fairfax share price (USD) S&P 500 index 2016

Fairfax Value Creation – 31 Years

7

31 Year Compound Annual Growth Rate Fairfax book value per share – 19.4% Fairfax share price (USD) – 18.8% S&P 500 Index – 7.9%

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SLIDE 8

Historic Performance vs. Peer Group

8

Compound Growth in Book Value per Share (5 Years Ended December 31, 2016) (1)

(1) Except for S&P 500 and TSX which are compound index returns excluding dividends

12.8% 12.2% 11.5% 11.5% 7.9% 7.7% 7.7% 7.5% 7.4% 7.0% 6.4% 5.9% 5.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%

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SLIDE 9

Historic Performance vs. Peer Group

9

Compound Growth in Book Value per Share (31 Years: since Fairfax’s inception) (1)

(1) Except for S&P 500 and TSX which are compound index returns excluding dividends

19.4% 16.2% 15.7% 13.9% 12.6% 12.0% 8.7% 7.9% 5.5%

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SLIDE 10

Sources of Net Earnings in 2016

10

(1) Includes: non-insurance operations, runoff operating income, interest expense and corporate overhead & other

($ millions)

Underwriting profit – (combined ratio of 92.5%) $576 Investment income – insurance and reinsurance 463 Operating income 1,039 Other (1) (390) Realized investment gains 563 Pre-tax income including realized investment gains 1,213 Unrealized investment losses (574) Hedging losses (1,193) Pre-tax loss (554) Net loss ($395)

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SLIDE 11

Underwriting Results in 2016

11

Combined Underwriting ratio profit

($ millions)

Northbridge 94.9% 46 Crum & Forster 98.2% 33 Zenith 79.7% 164 Brit 97.9% 29 OdysseyRe 88.7% 235 Fairfax Asia 86.4% 41 Other Insurance and Reinsurance 93.7% 28 Consolidated 92.5% 576

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SLIDE 12

Pre-tax income 2.2 Net earnings $2.0 Net gains (losses) on investments, consisting of: Hedging losses (4.4) Realized and unrealized gains on stocks 2.7 Net loss on stocks (1.7) Net realized and unrealized gains on bonds 2.2 Net loss on CPI-linked derivatives and others (0.5) 0.0

Results Since Fully Hedged in 2010

12

(1) Includes: non-insurance operations, runoff operating income, interest expense and corporate overhead & other

($ billions)

2010-2016 Underwriting profit $1.4 Interest and dividends – insurance and reinsurance 3.0 Operating income 4.4 Other(1) (2.2) Pre-tax income before net gains (losses) on investments 2.2

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SLIDE 13
  • Strategic growth

in attractive markets

  • Group Re
  • Polish Re
  • Advent
  • Fairfax Brasil
  • Colonnade, CEE
  • Bryte, South Africa
  • Gulf Ins., Kuwait (41%)
  • Eurolife, Greece (40%)
  • AIG, CEE and LATAM

$10.2 Billion in Gross Premiums Written (2016(1))

$1.1b $2.0b $0.7b $0.8b

  • Major U.S.

commercial P&C insurer

  • $1.2b Statutory

Surplus

$1.3b

Insurance & Reinsurance Other

  • Global insurer and

reinsurer

  • $4.0b IFRS equity
  • Major Cdn

commercial P&C insurer

  • C$1.4b

Statutory Equity

$2.4b

  • Manager of global

runoff business

  • US / European runoff
  • Leading workers

comp insurer in U.S.

  • $0.6b Statutory

Surplus

  • Significant presence

in Asia

  • Falcon, Hong Kong
  • First Capital, Singapore

(98%)

  • Pacific, Malaysia (85%)
  • AMAG, Indonesia (80%)
  • Fairfirst, Sri Lanka (78%)
  • ICICI Lombard, India (35%)
  • Alltrust, China (15%)
  • Falcon Thailand (41%)
  • BIC, Vietnam (35%)
  • Leading Lloyd’s

market operation

  • $1.1b IFRS equity
  • 73% FFH
  • wnership

$1.9b

(1) Presented on a pro-forma basis to include recent acquisitions of PT Asuransi MAG, Bryte Insurance and AIG’s operations in Latin America and Central and Eastern Europe (expected to close in 2017) Note: Fairfax ownership is 100%, unless otherwise indicated. All surplus and equity related figures are as at December 31, 2016.

13

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SLIDE 14

OdysseyRe Track Record

14

(1) Dividends paid and share buybacks less capital contributions

(US GAAP basis)

1996-2016 Gross premiums written $40 billion Combined ratio 97% Underwriting profit 876 million Interest and dividends 4.2 billion Net gains 2.2 billion Net earnings 4.6 billion Cumulative capital returned(1) 1.6 billion

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SLIDE 15

Northbridge Track Record

15

(1) Dividends paid and share buybacks less capital contributions

(Canadian dollars)

1985-2016 Gross premiums written $31 billion Combined ratio Underwriting profit 38 million 99.8% Interest and dividends 1.9 billion Net gains 1.2 billion Net earnings 2.0 billion Cumulative capital returned(1) 500 million

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SLIDE 16

Crum & Forster Track Record

16

(1) Dividends paid and share buybacks less capital contributions

Interest and dividends 1.5 billion Net gains 2.3 billion Net earnings 1.9 billion Gross premiums written $22 billion Combined ratio Underwriting profit (855) million 105% 1998-2016 Cumulative capital returned(1) 1.6 billion

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SLIDE 17

International Operations

Fairfax Brasil Polish Re Colonnade Brit Eurolife Gulf Bryte ICICI Lombard Fairfirst Alltrust First Capital Pacific AMAG Advent Falcon HK Falcon Thailand BIC

Fairfax's Gross Premiums Written

($ billions)

Share Insurance and Reinsurance Subsidiaries 3.4 2.8 Non-consolidated Insurance Operations 3.8 1.2 Total International Operations 7.2 4.0 Total

17

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SLIDE 18

Runoff

  • RiverStone is one of the premier runoff groups in the world
  • Many successful runoff acquisitions
  • General Fidelity
  • Eagle Star
  • Brit Insurance
  • American Safety
  • Average annual return on acquisitions greater than 25%
  • 408 employees: 270 in the United States and 138 in the United Kingdom
  • Cumulative pre-tax profit of $766 million since 2007

18

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SLIDE 19

Total Float Cost (Benefit)

  • f Float

Total Investments

($ millions) Per Share ($ millions) Per Share

1985 13 $ 2½ (11.6%) 24 $ 5 2016 16,673 722 (4.2%) 28,431 1,231 Compound Growth 20.1% 0.4% 19.6%

Importance of Float

19

(1) Weighted average cost of float since inception

(1)

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SLIDE 20

Recent Acquisitions

20

Key Insurance Acquisitions

December 2015 Eurolife June 2016 Asuransi MAG July 2016 Zurich South Africa (Renamed Bryte Insurance)

  • $269 million
  • $70 million
  • €496 million

October 2016 AIG operations - LATAM and CEE

  • $669 million ($491 million in

Latin America, $178 million in Central and Eastern Europe)

December 2016 AWAC

  • $3.1 billion

Gross Written Premiums(1) Fairfax Ownership 100% 80% 40% 100% 67%

(1) Gross written premiums during 2016, except for AIG operations – LATAM and CEE which is gross written premiums during 2015

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SLIDE 21
  • Allied World brings a world-class specialty insurance and reinsurance

franchise

  • Average combined ratio of 90.7% since inception 15 years ago
  • Return on equity of 12% since inception
  • Reserve redundancy every year – cumulative $2.2 billion since inception
  • Enhances Fairfax’s global insurance franchise and deepens its presence

in the U.S. market

  • Strong presence in Fortune 1000 market, with limited overlap
  • Significantly expands Fairfax’s position in the U.S. Excess & Surplus Lines

market

  • Adds $8.7 billion investment portfolio under Fairfax’s proven investment

expertise

21

Allied World - Compelling Strategic Acquisition

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SLIDE 22

($ billions) Combined % Change

Gross premiums written 10.2 3.1 13.3 30% Investment portfolio 27.4 8.7 35.3 29% Common shareholders' equity 8.5 3.6 10.9 28% Shares outstanding (millions) 23.1 28.0 21%

22

(1) Presented on a pro-forma basis to include recent acquisitions of PT Asuransi MAG, Bryte Insurance and AIG’s operations in Latin America and Central and Eastern Europe (expected to close in 2017)

(1)

Allied World - Attractive Financial Outcome for Fairfax

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SLIDE 23

Argentina 44% Chile 29% Colombia 23% Uruguay 3% Venezuela 1%

  • Accelerates plans for long-term growth in Eastern Europe and significantly

expands Fairfax’s footprint in Latin America

  • Profitable portfolio of business written in Eastern Europe
  • Well established, geographically diverse operations in Latin America
  • Fairfax will support and service AIG’s multinational business

23

Acquisition of AIG Operations - Latin America and Central and Eastern Europe

Poland 38% Czech 21% Hungary 20% Romania 10% Slovakia 5% Bulgaria 6% LATAM - $491 million GWP in 2015 CEE - $178 million GWP in 2015

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SLIDE 24

Investments in India

24

(1) The carrying values of Fairfax India and Thomas Cook India represent their respective carrying values under the equity method of accounting (2) The fair values of Fairfax India and Thomas Cook India are as at April 14, 2017

Carrying Fair 100%

($ millions - at Dec 31, 2016, unless otherwise noted)

Value(1) Value(2) Ownership Fairfax India 451 612 2,027 Thomas Cook India 296 838 1,238 ICICI Lombard 371 878 878 Marketable bonds, stocks and real estate 799 811 811 India Investments 1,918 3,138 4,954

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SLIDE 25

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Thomas Cook India

25

TC acquires Kuoni (HK and India) Purchase Price: $81 TC Ownership: 100% Thomas Cook (TC) Purchase Price: $173 Share Price ₹ 52 Today

Market Value: $838(1) Carrying Value : $296 Share Price ₹ 218(1)

TC acquires Sterling Resorts Purchase Price: $140 Fairfax invests $80 into TC TC Ownership: 100% TC acquires Quess Purchase Price: $47 TC Ownership: 74% Quess IPO – July 2016 Market Cap of $600 TC Ownership: 62%

(1) As at April 14, 2017

($ millions)

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SLIDE 26

Fairfax India

  • Oleo

chemical manufacturer 49% FIH ownership Public

  • Warehousing
  • Collateral

management of agri commodities

  • NBFC
  • 88% FIH
  • wnership
  • Private

Over $1.2 billion investments completed - $230 million available for new investments

$149m

  • India’s 3rd

largest airport

  • Monopoly asset
  • Real estate

assets

  • 38% FIH
  • wnership
  • Private

$386m

  • PVC and

caustic soda producer

  • 30% FIH
  • wnership
  • 7-year

debentures

  • Private

$19m

(1)

(1) Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited holds a 30.2% equity interest and 93.6% voting interest in Fairfax India

$277m

  • NBFC
  • Wealth

management

  • Capital markets

& other

  • 27% FIH
  • wnership
  • 9% FFH
  • wnership
  • Public
  • Aroma

chemical manufacturer

$55m

$300m $27m

  • Indian stock

exchange

  • 1% FIH
  • wnership
  • Private

$30m

  • Container

freight station

  • 51% FIH
  • wnership
  • Private

$74m

26

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SLIDE 27

Fairfax Africa

  • Established Fairfax Africa using the successful template of

Fairfax India

  • Fairfax Africa raised $500 million through an IPO and private

placement – Fairfax Financial is the lead investor

  • Direct access to one of the most attractive regions for

investment in the world

  • Extensive investing experience in Africa and other emerging

markets

  • Disciplined, valued-oriented approach in an attractive structure

for long term investment

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SLIDE 28

Investment Performance

28 Note: Bonds do not include returns from credit default swaps.

Compound Annual Returns 5 Years 10 Years 15 Years Common stocks 6.7% 3.0% 10.0% Common stocks (with equity hedging) (7.3%) 0.4% 7.6% S&P 500 14.7% 6.9% 6.7% Taxable bonds 6.0% 9.6% 10.3% Merrill Lynch U.S. Corporate (1-10 year) bond index 3.8% 4.9% 5.1% As at December 31, 2016

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SLIDE 29

Investment Portfolio

29

Investment Portfolio Well Positioned

Cash/ Short-Term 39% Other Investments 1% Corporate Bonds 8% Municipal Bonds 17% Gov't Bonds 10% Common Stocks 24%

$27.4 billion at December 31, 2016(1)

(1) Net of short sale and derivative obligations; investments in associates at carrying value; excludes Fairfax India portfolio investments

  • Not focused on short term results
  • Capital preservation a priority
  • Cash and short term holdings in excess of

$10 billion to selectively take advantage of

  • pportunities
  • Fixed-income duration reduced through

treasury locks to one year

  • We have not deviated from our long term

value-oriented investment philosophy

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SLIDE 30

Financial Strength

30

Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Borrowings - holding company 3,473 2,599 Borrowings - insurance and reinsurance companies 436 469 Borrowings - non-insurance companies 860 284 Total debt 4,768 3,352 Non-controlling interests 2,000 1,732 Preferred stock 1,336 1,335 Common shareholders' equity 8,485 8,953 Total capitalization 16,588 15,372 Debt as a %

  • f total capital

28.7% 21.8% Holding company cash and investments 1,329 1,276 Net debt 3,438 2,076 Net debt as a %

  • f net total capital

22.5% 14.7%

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SLIDE 31

Investments Not Carried at Market Value

31

(1) The carrying values of Cara, Fairfax India and Thomas Cook India represent their respective carrying values under the equity method of accounting (2) Excludes investments in associates held by Fairfax India

($ millions)

Insurance and reinsurance associates 1,515 941 574 Non-insurance associates(2) 1,441 1,453 (12) Thomas Cook India 691 296 395 Fairfax India 356 290 65 Cara 434 455 (21) 4,436 3,435 1,002 Fair value At December 31, 2016 gain Unrealized Carrying value(1)

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SLIDE 32

CPI-Linked Derivative Contracts

32

($ millions, unless otherwise noted)

Underlying CPI Index United States 5.7 47 287 35 (252) United States - 0.5% floor 7.8 13 40 34 (5) European Union 5.0 44 300 13 (288) United Kingdom 5.9 4 23 1 (22) France 6.1 3 21 1 (20) 5.6 110 670 83 (587) Amount At December 31, 2016 Average Life

(in years)

Notional

($ billions)

Cost Market Value Unrealized Gain (Loss)

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SLIDE 33

Risks U.S. Private and Public Debt as % of GDP

33

Source: Hoisington Investment Management

Through Q4 2016

100% 140% 180% 220% 260% 300% 340% 380% 420% 100% 140% 180% 220% 260% 300% 340% 380% 420% 1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990 2010

Panic Year 2008 Panic Year 1929 Panic Year 1873 1870-2016 avg.=191%

Current total debt = $70 trillion Debt/GDP of 191% would require total debt of $36 trillion

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SLIDE 34

1.00 1.25 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

1918 = 2.0 1946 = 1.2 1997 = 2.2 1.44

  • Avg. 1900 to present = 1.73
  • Avg. 1953 to 1983 = 1.75

Risks U.S. Velocity of Money 1900-2016

34

Source: Hoisington Investment Management

Equation of Exchange: GDP (nominal) = M*V

Through Q4 2016

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SLIDE 35

Risks Long Term U.S. Treasury Rate 1871-2016

35

Source: Hoisington Investment Management

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 1871 1891 1911 1931 1951 1971 1991 2011

  • avg. = 4.2%

Global market Restricted market Global market Interest rate avg. = 2.9% Inflation rate avg. = 1.0% Interest rate avg. = 6% Inflation rate avg. = 3.9% Fall of Berlin Wall Onset of Iron and Bamboo Curtains

annual average

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SLIDE 36

Risks Cyclically Adjusted P/E Ratio – S&P 500

36

Source: Robert J. Shiller

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 1881 1894 1907 1921 1934 1947 1961 1974 1987 2001 2014

CAPE Ratio Above March 2017 June 1901 25

  • Sept. 1929

33

  • Jan. 1966

24

  • Dec. 1999

44

Average at end of recessions = 13.1 Range = 5.3 to 19.3

Average = 16.7 The CAPE Ratio is currently 29x Since 1881, it has been higher only twice. Both episodes ended badly: June - Oct '29 when it peaked at 33x Jan '97 - May '02 when it peaked at 44x Mar 2017 29

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SLIDE 37

Risks U.S. Corporate After-Tax Profits

37

Source: Hoisington Investment Management

Through Q4 2016 ($ billions)

$1,200 $1,300 $1,400 $1,500 $1,600 $1,700 $1,800 $1,200 $1,300 $1,400 $1,500 $1,600 $1,700 $1,800 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16

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SLIDE 38

4 13 7 12 6 9 2 20 3 14 11 10 19 15 22 1 8 5 17 18 16 21

0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

1790 1800 1810 1820 1830 1840 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Average = 3.8%

Pent-Up Demand U.S. Real GDP Growth 1790-2016

38

Source: Hoisington Investment Management

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SLIDE 39

Pent-Up Demand U.S. Housing Starts

39

Source: Bloomberg

U.S. Housing Starts (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate)

Sep '99 1.33M June '07 1.73M Dec '16 0.91M

0.0 M 0.5 M 1.0 M 1.5 M 2.0 M 2.5 M 0.0 M 0.5 M 1.0 M 1.5 M 2.0 M 2.5 M '59 '62 '65 '68 '71 '74 '77 '80 '83 '86 '89 '92 '95 '98 '01 '04 '07 '10 '13 '16

Housing Starts 10 Year Moving Avg. Housing Starts Summary: 1960s 1.39M p.a. 1970s 1.78M 1980s 1.48M 1990s 1.37M 2000s 1.44M 2010s 0.89M '59-'16 1.44M Current 1.23M Over the past decade, the U.S. built 8.2 million fewer houses than it did between 1997-2007

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SLIDE 40

Jun '05 18.0 Sep '09 9.4 Dec '16 18.3 Sep '07 16.7 Dec'16 14.6

4 yr 6 yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 5 M 10 M 15 M 20 M 25 M '76 '78 '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16

US Auto Sales 10 Year Moving Average Median Fleet Age (right axis)

US Auto Sales Summary: 1970s 14.1M p.a. 1980s 13.7M 1990s 14.6M 2000s 15.3M 2010s 15.2M '76-'16 14.7M Current 18.3M

Pent-Up Demand U.S. Auto Sales and Median Fleet Age

40

Source: Bloomberg

U.S. Auto Sales (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate)

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SLIDE 41

Pent-Up Demand U.S. Gross Fixed Capital Formation to GDP

41

Source: OECD Main Economic Indicators

Jun '61 25.2% Mar '79 36.5% Jun '93 23.7% Sep '00 28.6% Sep '06 28.5% Mar '11 19.0% Dec '14 22.3% 60 year average= 27.5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% '55 '58 '61 '64 '67 '70 '73 '76 '79 '82 '85 '88 '91 '94 '97 '00 '03 '06 '09 '12 '15 Gross Fixed Capital Formation / GDP 10 Year Trailing Average

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SLIDE 42
  • 10%

0% 10% 20% 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014

Total Return on Investment Portfolio

42

Average Return on Portfolio 8.3%

199

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SLIDE 43

Next Decade - Building on Fairfax’s Strengths

  • Our guiding principles have remained intact
  • Excellent long term performance
  • Demonstrated strengths
  • Strong operating subsidiaries focused on underwriting profitability

and prudent reserving

  • Conservative investment management providing excellent long

term returns

  • Well positioned for the future
  • Fair and friendly Fairfax culture

43

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SLIDE 44