Anglo Pacific Group PLC
September 2014Corporate Presentation
Anglo Pacific Group PLC September 2014 Important disclaimer - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Corporate Presentation Anglo Pacific Group PLC September 2014 Important disclaimer Certain statements in this presentation, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements By its nature, this information is subject to
Anglo Pacific Group PLC
September 2014Corporate Presentation
Important disclaimer
Certain statements in this presentation, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements based on certain assumptions and reflect the expectations of Anglo Pacific Group PLC (the “Company”) and views of future events. Forward-looking statements (which include the phrase “forward-looking information” within the meaning of Canadian securities legislation) are provided for the purposes of assisting the reader in understanding the Company’s financial position and results of operations as at and for the periods ended on certain dates, and to present information about management’s current expectations and plans relating to theAnglo Pacific corporate overview
» The only natural resource royalty company listed in London » Dual listing: LSE (Premium Listing) and TSX » Strong existing asset base from which to develop the business » Portfolio includes royalties on six operations that are producing » Diversified commodity exposure across coking coal, ironShareholders (5)
Directors 9.0% Liontrust Investment Partners 6.2% Aberforth Partners 5.6% Schroder Investment Management 4.7% AXA Investment Management 4.7% T.Rowe Price 1.2% Total number of shareholders ~2,500Corporate Information
Ticker APF (LSE), APY (TSX) Share price (1) 161p Market capitalisation (2) £184m Cash (3) £14m Revolving credit facility (undrawn) £9m 2013A Dividend per share 10.2p Dividend yield (4) 6.3% 2 (1) Bloomberg (as at market close on 9 September 2014) (2) Based on ~116.4m ordinary shares outstanding (as at 9 September 2014) (3) Anglo Pacific H1 2014 results announcement (as at 30 June 2014) (4) Based on 2013A dividend and market close on 9 September 2014 (5) Director holdings as disclosed to the Group as of 12 September, 2014. Substantial holdings as per Group notifications of interests of 3% or more in the share capital of the Company as of 6 June, 2014. T.Rowe Price holdings as per RDIR research report dated 4 June 2014Anglo Pacific investment highlights
12-year track record of shareholder dividends
Potential for higher returns vs. precious metal royalty strategies
Focus on bulk materials, base metals and energy – will opportunistically consider other commodities
Overhead costs decoupled from royalty income growth
Strong foundation with existing royalty portfolio
Experienced management opening up new investment opportunities
To create a leading international diversified royalty company
M I S S I O N S T A T E M E N T
3Royalties: Lower risk & lower volatility
Royalty Companies vs. Copper Miners: Margin Change 2011-2013 (1, 2)
(per pound of copper) 4 Copper miner C1 cash cost: $1.27 /lb ( 1) Copper miner cash margin: $2.73 /lb Miner’s change in margin: ~(40%) Royalty Co.’s change in margin: ~(17%) Copper miner C1 cash cost: $1.68 /lb (1) Copper miner cash margin: $1.64 /lb (1) Wood Mackenzie - July 2014, based on Copper Mine Composite Cost Leagues (2) All figures presented for indicative purposes only. Royalty Co. margin assumes constant deductiblesRoyalties: Cash returns & additional upside potential
» Royalty companies can generate cash yields for shareholders – unlike holding ETFs or physical metal » Royalty companies have a relatively low and stable overhead cost base » Potential to participate in commodity price upside » Upside optionality of the royalty model due to increased mine production and mine life / oil & gas field extensions 5 Revenue Growth Via:Anglo Pacific’s Historical Operating Margin
Bringing a diversified commodity royalty portfolio into the mainstream
» Within the metals & mining universe, coal, iron ore and copper accounted for 50%, 19% and 9% of global production (by value) respectively vs. 9% for gold (1) » Bulks and base metals projects are capital intensive and under significant cash constraints due to: » Commodity price softening » Efforts to de-leverage balance sheets » Capex and cost overruns » Royalties and streaming account for a small proportion of overall mining investment: 1.1% in 2012 (2) » “First mover” advantage gives Anglo Pacific the potential to pursue attractive assets and acquire secondary royalties » In addition, Anglo Pacific is currently evaluating oil and gas royalties as well as mining infrastructure royalty opportunities (1) Global production by value during H1 2013. Global Mining Perspective, Arctic Cluster of Raw Materials Conference, IntierraRMG report (September 26, 2013) (2) Three things you need to know about alternative financing in the mining industry, PWC (2013) 6Strategy for growth: Sourcing new royalties
» Alternative forms of financing are increasingly popular vs. equity fundraisings in the current cash constrained commodity sector » Anglo Pacific aims to provide the “last dollar” required for companies to achieve economic production » Providing an alternative form of capital to assist with the financing of asset purchases » Providing capital to refinance onerous debt obligations Financing for growth » Natural resource assets often have existing royalties held by the original founding shareholders who require liquidity solutions (e.g. the Maracás royalty acquisition) » Opportunity to acquire existing royalties at attractive prices Providing liquidity » Disposal for cash of existing royalties held by large miners often preferred in order to enhance the stock market rating of the company Monetising hidden royalty assetsThe company is actively progressing a number of prospective royalty deals
7Anglo Pacific’s approach to royalty acquisitions
Commodity: » Focused on bulk materials, base metals and energy » Opportunistically consider other commodities, as well as royalties on ports and rail infrastructure Asset specific considerations: » Management’s operating track record » Profit margin & position on the industry cost curve » Counterparty risk » Jurisdictional risk » Compliance with the Group’s corporate social responsibility policy Valuation considerations: » Detailed due diligence on mine production profile » Site visits by technical team and independent technical advisors » Production assumptions based on existing mineable reserves, resources conversion assumptions evaluated on case by case basis » Consider other factors such as geology, infrastructure, and permitting which could impact production volumesDisciplined approach to investments
8Key royalty acquisition characteristics
Near-term cash flow generation
Established natural resource jurisdictions
High quality, long-life assets
Production and exploration upside
Strong operational management teams
Portfolio diversification
Accretive to EPS and CFPSMaracás Mine
Recent Maracás royalty acquisition demonstrates key acquisition characteristics
9Royalty portfolio expansion to drive dividend growth
Current Dividend Yield Compares Favourably to Peers
(2013A Dividend Yield) (1) (1) Company dividend yield calculated as 2013 dividend divided by share price as of 9 September 2014. Index yields as of 9 September 2014. Bloomberg, company filingsCommitted to maintaining the dividend per share, with a view to increasing it in the longer term
10Asset Overview
Anglo Pacific Group PLC 11Geographic and commodity exposure across principal royalty assets
Producing royalties Development royalties Early-stage royalties Royalty Commodity Operator Location Royalty type and rate (1,2,3) Producing Kestrel Coking & thermal coal Rio Tinto Australia 7 – 15% GRR El Valle-Boinás / Carlés (‘EVBC’) Gold, copper and silver Orvana Minerals Spain 2.5 – 3% NSR Maracás Vanadium Largo Resources Brazil 2% NSR Four Mile Uranium Quasar Resources Australia 1% NSR Amapá Iron ore Zamin Ferrous Brazil 1% GRR Tucano Iron ore Beadell Resources Brazil 1% GRR Development Salamanca Uranium Berkeley Resources Spain 1% NSR Isua Iron ore London Mining Greenland 1 – 1.4% GRR Early-stage Pilbara Iron ore BHP Billiton Australia 1.5% GRR Ring of Fire Chromite Cliffs Natural Resources Canada 1% NSR Dugbe 1 (4) Gold Hummingbird Resources Liberia 2 – 2.5% NSR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 10 11 9 8 7 5 6 2 4 1 3 12 (1) Please refer to 2013 Annual Report for further detail on the Royalty type and rate for Kestrel, Tucano, EVBC, Isua, and Dugbe 1 (2) GRR – Gross Revenue Royalty (3) NSR – Net Smelter Return (4) Dugbe 1 to become a royalty upon the receipt of a mining licensePrincipal royalty assets royalty portfolio breakdown
66% 11% 8% 5% 5% 3% 3% Australia Brazil Greenland Spain Liberia Canada Other Geographic Exposure 75% 16% 9% Producing Early-stage Development Exposure by Stage of Production 59% 20% 8% 13% Coal Iron Ore Gold Other Commodity Exposure (1) As percentage of net assets as of 30 June 2014 13Kestrel royalty, Rio Tinto, Australia
» A Tier 1 coking and thermal coal mine in Australia operated and majority-owned by Rio Tinto » APG royalty lands cover a portion of Rio Tinto’s licensed mining area » Recently completed a US$2bn capex programme to extend the mine life and increase production capacity (2) » Royalty terms: 7% of value up to A$100/tonne, 12.5% of the value over A$100/tonne and up to A$150/tonne, 15% thereafter (3)Historical Kestrel Royalty Income
(GBP millions) 14Forecast Cost Curve Position (1)
(C1 cash cost, US$/tonne) Kestrel Cumulative production (million tonnes) (1) Wood Mackenzie forecasts as of August 2014. AUD:USD FX assumptions of 1.185. Based on Coal Costs Benchmarking seaborne export metallurgical cost curve 2016. (2) Kestrel US$2bn capex program completion and production commencement announced by Rio Tinto on 12 July 2013 (3) Royalty rate set by the Queensland Government. Anglo Pacific has an effective 50% ownership of this royaltyAnglo Pacific Update
Anglo Pacific Group PLC 15Kestrel information rights
» As announced on August 18, 2014, Anglo Pacific entered into an agreement with Kestrel Coal Pty Ltd, for the provision of certain information in respect of the Kestrel coal mine (1) » Enhanced visibility of expected future production from key royalty » Historical information – to be provided on a quarterly basis » Invoiced payable tonnes (including product mix) » Royalty payable » Split between the public and the private royalty payable » Forecast information » Estimated private royalty payable for the next quarter » Forecast production tonnages, split on a public and private royalty basis, for the next four quartersForecast information provides increased visibility on expected Kestrel royalty income Agreement summary
16 (1) Please refer to endnote (i)Portfolio update: Newly producing royalties
Maracás, Vanadium, Brazil (Largo Resources) (1) » Acquired for US$22 million in cash, up to US$3 million in milestone payments, and 500k warrants in June 2014 (2) » Estimated 29 year mine life (to which royalty area relates) » First production achieved on August 2, 2014 » First shipment of V2O5 made on September 2, 2014 » Largo targeting Phase 1 nameplate capacity of 9,600 tonnes of V2O5 equivalent within 12 months Four Mile, Uranium, South Australia (Alliance Resources) » First production achieved on April 4, 2014 » 685,501 lbs of uranium oxide concentrate produced up and until August 1, 2014 » First sales expected post mid-September 2014 with royalty payments expected to commence shortly thereafter (3) 17 (1) Please refer to endnote (ii) (2) US$1.5 million payable in cash when the Maracás Project reaches, over a calendar quarter, sales of an annualised production rate of 20.9 Mlbs (9,500t) V2O5 equivalent and a further US$1.5 million payable in cash when the Maracás Project reaches, over a calendar quarter, sales of an annualised production rate of 26.5 Mlbs (12,000t) V2O5 equivalent. Each warrant will entitle the holder to acquire one Anglo Pacific ordinary share at a strike price of £2.50 and will be exercisable for 5 years. The warrants will not be admitted to trading on any exchange (3) Please refer to endnote (iii)Non-core asset disposals
Equity portfolio monetisation » £7.0m of realised proceeds from the portfolio of non-core equity investments from December 31, 2013 to June 30, 2014 » Number of listed equity holdings reduced by ~50% » Further non-core equity disposals expected over the coming months » Investments in listed equities valued at £14.9 million as of June 30, 2014 Panorama Coal disposal and retention of royalty » Anthracite coal project located in British Columbia, Canada » Located adjacent to the Groundhog project owned by Atrum Coal NL (ASX:ATU) » Entered into an agreement to sell the Panorama Coal project for: » US$0.5m of cash payable on completion » US$2.0m promissory note payable within 12 months » One million Atrum Coal shares » The Group retained a royalty over the project which will be the greater of 1% gross revenue royalty or US$1 /tonne royalty (1) 18 (1) 1% of gross revenues on a “mine gate” basis or US$1/tonne over any coal mined and sold from the properties sold to Atrum CoalDeal pipeline
Actively pursuing primary and secondary royalties » Pursuing royalty opportunities in bulk materials and base metals » Developing new royalty opportunities in oil and gas and infrastructure » Currently pursuing a number of transformational transactions Focus on acquiring royalties on high quality natural resource assets that will contribute to earnings and dividend growthAnglo Pacific is actively pursuing new royalty opportunities
19Strengthened Board of Directors
» Mike Blyth appointed as the Group’s independent non-executive Chairman in April 2014 » Appointment of Robert Stan as independent non-executive director in February 2014 » 34 years of experience in the natural resource industry » Extensive contacts in the Canadian investment community along with working knowledge of operating coal projects in North America » Appointment of Rachel Rhodes as independent non-executive director in May 2014 » Over fifteen years of experience in the natural resource sector » Member of the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales and the Group’s Audit Committee Chair 20Conclusion
Anglo Pacific Group PLC 21Conclusion
» Attractive dividend yield » Accretive acquisitions to grow net income and dividend progressively » Upside potential in Kestrel royalty income » Market opportunity as conventional funding routes for natural resource producers remain limited » Limited competition from other royalty players
22Appendix
Anglo Pacific Group PLC 23Management team has established track record in natural resources sector
Mark Potter Director and Chief Investment Officer Mark Potter has more than 13 years of experience in special situations investing, private equity and corporate finance advisory. He joined Audley in 2005 and has been primarily responsible for covering all natural resource investments held by the Audley European Opportunities Fund. From 2003 to 2005, Mark Potter was an Associate at Dawnay Day advisingJulian Treger and Mark Potter bring a disciplined approach to royalty investments
Key management supported by wider Anglo Pacific teamJulian Treger & Mark Potter Have Strong Track Record of Creating Value
Other members of the Board of Directors
Rachel Rhodes Non-Executive Director Rachel Rhodes (43) was appointed director in May 2014 and currently chairs the Group’s Audit Committee. She has an MA in Economics from the University of Cambridge and is a member of the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales, having qualified with Coopers and Lybrand in London in 1997. She hasExperienced wider Anglo Pacific team
26 Kevin Flynn Chief Financial Officer Kevin Flynn joined the Group as Chief Financial Officer in January 2012. A Chartered Accountant, having qualified with Deloitte, he has overall responsibility for corporate reporting, cash management and taxation. Prior to joining the Group, he spent several years in finance roles in the London commercial real estate sector, with both FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 companies. Peter Mason General Counsel and Company Secretary Peter Mason joined the Group in October 2010 and was appointed Company Secretary in July 2011. He has a BA in History from the University of Warwick and is a qualified solicitor. He began his career in private practice with Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer LLP, working in London and Tokyo with a focus on M&A. Prior to joining the Group, he worked for the Malaysian oil and gas corporation, PETRONAS, advising on its European production and gas storage businesses. Juan Alvarez Group Mining Analyst Juan Alvarez joined the Group in 2012 as Group Mining Analyst. He has a Bachelors degree in geology from Macquarie University and currently has over twenty years experience in exploration, mining geology, resource estimation and miningEndnotes
Third party information As a royalty holder, the Company often has limited, if any, access to non-public scientific and technical information in respect of the properties underlying its portfolio of royalties, or such information is subject to confidentiality provisions. As such, in preparing this preliminary announcement, the Company has relied upon the public disclosures of the owners & operators of the properties underlying its portfolio of royalties, as available at the date of this presentation. i. This announcement contains information and statements that are based on certain estimates and forecasts that have been provided to the Group by Kestrel Coal Pty Ltd (“KCPL”), the accuracy of which KCPL does not warrant and on which readers may not rely. ii. Largo is listed on the TSX Venture Exchange and reports in accordance with the NI 43-101 standards. First production achieved August 2, 2014, material test work, expected ramp-up, and targeted phase 1 nameplate capacity as per August 5, 2014 Largo Resources Limited press release “Largo achieves first production at Maracás Vanadium Project”. First shipment made on 2 September 2014 as per Largo Resources Limited press release “Largo makes first shipment of vanadium pentoxide”. Estimated mine life (p. 2-1) extracted from NI 43-101 Technical Report dated 4 March 2013 (effective date 4 March 2013). iii. Alliance Resources Limited is listed on the Australian Securities Exchange and reports in accordance with the JORC Code. Production commencement date, total production as of August 1, 2014, and expected date of first sales as per Alliance Resources Limited August 8, 2014 press release “Four Mile Production Status”. Alliance Resources Limited owns 25% of the project, with Quasar Resources Pty Ltd owning the other 75%. 27