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Analyzing orientation behaviour in animals using Stan JOHN D. KIRWAN With the help of The Lund Vision Group Dan-E Nilsson Jochen Smolka James J. Foster Anna Stckl Ullrika Sahlin Richard McElreath (for Statistical rethinking ) All those


  1. Analyzing orientation behaviour in animals using Stan JOHN D. KIRWAN

  2. With the help of… The Lund Vision Group Dan-E Nilsson Jochen Smolka James J. Foster Anna Stöckl Ullrika Sahlin Richard McElreath (for Statistical rethinking ) All those involved in R , Stan and brms

  3. Directions are everywhere! el Jundi et al. Current Biology 2016

  4. Compass bearings Rachel Muheim et al. PNAS 2016

  5. Time periods

  6. Analysis is unduly rudimentary • Reliance on null hypothesis testing • Assumptions not always met • Less emphasis on effect size, uncertainty

  7. I. How well can millipedes see?

  8. Response to a visual signal by a millipede

  9. Discretize and apply the psychometric function ψ "; α, β, γ, λ = * + 1 − * − . / 0("; α, β) Define threshold by the inflection pt.

  10. Excuse me, sir… ...do you have a moment to talk about Bayes?

  11. Millipedes can resolve a 22º visual signal ! " ~ $ + η 1 − $ − ) η ~ Binomial(n i p i ) logit(p i ) = α + α individual[i] + X i β i λ ~ Beta(8,2) γ ~ Normal(0.2,0.02) β i ~ Normal(0,2) σ ~ t 3 (0,10) α individual[i] ~ t 3 (0,10)

  12. As can velvet worms

  13. II. Do dung beetles orient using polarized light? • Use nocturnal celestial cues to roll their dung ball away in straight course • Sensitive to polarized light cues • Do they use the degree of polarization ? James J. Foster, Lund Vision Group

  14. Tested clustering in experimental arena • Eight treatments: from almost zero to total polarization • Released into centre of cylindrical arena • Compare clustering of tracks James J. Foster, Lund Vision Group

  15. Beetles increasingly orient with more polarization

  16. III. How well do moths track flowers? Which senses are important? At what speed? Night vs. day?

  17. Tracked responses to a robotic flower • Treatments: – Different flower frequency (Hz) – Bright vs. dim light – Antennae condition • Outcome is complex! – ρ and θ on unit circle Stöckl et al. Phil Trans B. (2017)

  18. Differences in flower tracking among moths Gain ( ρ ) Phase ( θ ) Anna L. Stöckl et al. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 2017

  19. Phase change with multiple predictors • Both mean and concentration of phase angles vary • Model both elements of complex outcome?

  20. Summary • Bayesian multilevel modelling facilitates getting the most from directional data • Sensory studies benefit from: – multiple effects incl. random effects – more appropriate models – expressing effect size & uncertainty • Stan/brms makes this possible!

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