Analyst Meeting 1Q07 23 April 2007 Disclaimer: This presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

analyst meeting 1q07
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Analyst Meeting 1Q07 23 April 2007 Disclaimer: This presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Analyst Meeting 1Q07 23 April 2007 Disclaimer: This presentation material may contain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results


slide-1
SLIDE 1

Analyst Meeting 1Q07

23 April 2007

Disclaimer: This presentation material may contain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ from those in the forward looking statements as a result of various factors. TISCO Bank accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use

  • f this document of its content.
slide-2
SLIDE 2

2

1Q07 Financial Highlights

(34.6) (16.5) (31.0) 37.6 (24.9) (12.6) (33.8) (4.6) 68.7 25.5

% YOY

318 (214) 537 284 253 (899) 502 649 (849) 1,498

4Q06

11.9 (34.8) (7.7) (134.3) 134.8 (26.2) (0.4) 16.5 9.4 12.5

% QOQ

356 (139) 495 (98) 593 (664) 500 756 (929) 1,686

1Q07

544 (167) 718 (71) 789 (759) 755 793 (551) 1,344

1Q06

(2,899) (1,464) Interest expense 1,545 (633) 2,202 222 1,980 (3,048) 2,222 2,806 5,705

2006

2,267 PPOP (2,893) Operating expense 2,057 Non-interest income 3,103 Net interest income 4,567 Interest income 186 Provisions 2,453 Pre-tax profit 1,791 Net profit (635) Income tax

2005 (Million Baht) Major drivers:

  • HP loan growth of

8.2% YTD despite slowdown auto car sale

  • Slightly declined cost
  • f fund
  • Continued banking fee

income growth

  • Lower operating

expenses due to changing of accounting method on commission fee expenses to be deferred and amortized

  • ver the period
  • No impact from IAS 39
  • n provision

Drawback from:

  • Higher interest rate environment compared to 1Q06
  • Lower trading gain in 1Q07 compared to 1Q06
  • Lower brokerage fee due to unfavorable stock market
  • Full corporate tax rate

1Q07 2006 2005

47.8 2.7 12.0 1.9 1.87 49.9 3.2 11.5 1.5 0.42 2.21 Diluted EPS (Baht) 44.3 Cost-to-income (%) 4.1 Interest spread (%) 14.0 ROAE (%) 2.5 ROAA (%)

slide-3
SLIDE 3

3

Revenue Structure

Propriet ary Trading 10% Invest ment Banking 0% Asset Management Fee 6% Brokerage Fee 10% Banking Fee 16% Int erbank & MM - net 4% Wholesales Loans - net 9% Ret ail Loans - net 45%

NI I : Fee I ncome was 60% : 40%

slide-4
SLIDE 4

4

Non Interest Income

(33.8)

(64.1) (100.0) 9.9 270.4 (1.1) (37.4)

% YoY 502

57 195 1 79 170

4Q06 (0.4)

73.1 0.0 2.3 529.7 (1.9) (29.7)

% QoQ 755

274 28 182 1 78 191

1Q06

28 SAM

500

99 200 5 77 120

1Q07 100.0

19.7 40.0 0.9 15.4 23.9

Breakdown (% )

455 Trading Income

2,222

786 9 295 649

2006

Investment Banking Fee Banking Business Asset Management Fee

Total

Brokerage Fee

(Million Baht)

  • Continued growth from banking fee income
  • Improved investment banking business
  • No fee income from SAM project
  • No special trading gain as in 1Q06
  • Start bancassurance business
slide-5
SLIDE 5

5

Operating Expenses

44.3% 47.8% 49.9%

2005 2006 1Q07

(26.2)

60.1 (0.9) (71.5) (2.6) (6.1) (26.3)

% QoQ (12.6)

(10.2) 25.2 (48.7) 82.3 5.1 (10.0)

% YoY 100.0

22.0 0.3 10.5 4.9 16.9 44.7

Breakdown (% ) 899

91 2 244 34 120 408

4Q06 664

146 2 70 33 112 301

1Q07 759

162 2 135 18 107 334

1Q06 3,048

542 8 728 102 452 1,216

2006

Other expenses Directors’ remuneration Fees and service expenses Taxes and duties Premises and equipment expenses

Operating Expenses

Personnel expenses

(Million Baht)

Cost to I ncome Ratio

OPEX decrease mainly due to Fees and Service Expenses and personnel expenses

slide-6
SLIDE 6

6

Asset Mix Liabilities Mix

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2006 1Q07

Other assets Interbank & MM & Repo Investment Other Retail Loans Hire Purchase Corporate Loans

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2006 1Q07

Other Liabilities L-T Borrowings Interbank Deposits*

92%

8.5 56 58,851 64 54,245 Hire Purchase

100

7 2 1 5 (3) 7 17

% 84,781

5,799 1,718 1,024 4,393 (2,794) 5,823 14,574

2006

206.5 3 3,139 Interbank & MM 773.1 14 15,000 Repo Securities

105,091

6,058 4324 (2,808) 6,072 14,453

1Q07 100

6 4 (3) 6 14

% 24.0 Total Assets

4.5 Other assets (1.6) Investment 0.5 Allowance 4.3 Other Retail Loans (0.8) Corporate Loans

% YTD (Million Baht) 100

5 3 92

% 12,682 72,099

3,292 362 2,157 66,288

2006 13,022 92,069

3,472 3,993 3,044 81,560

1Q07 100

4 4 3 89

% 2.7 Total Equity 27.7 Total Liabilities

5.0 Other Liabilities 1,003.9 L-T Borrowings 41.1 Interbank & MM 23.0 Deposits*

% YTD (Million Baht) 84,781 72,099 105,091

* Deposits include short term borrowing

89% 92,069 14% 56% 17% 64%

Loans & Deposits

17% 3%

slide-7
SLIDE 7

7

81.0 3,449

938 263 998 1,250

2006 4.6

20.9 13.1 1.8 8.6

% NPL 4.5 3,574 TOTAL NPL

12.6 251 Retail-Housing

78.6

942 1,051 1,330

1Q07

19.0 1.8 9.2

% NPL

Other NPL

Coverage Ratio (% )

Retail-Hire Purchase Corporate

NPL By I ndustry (Million Baht)

2,794 2,808 3,449 3,574 2006 1Q07

NPL Allowance NPLs & Allowance (Million Baht)

Coverage Ratio & NPL

slide-8
SLIDE 8

8

  • Duration gap narrowed to 0.67 year

primarily resulted from the expansion of deposits and local borrowings.

  • Assets duration decreased as the

expansion of long-term hire purchase loans is offset by increase in short-term liquid assets.

  • Liabilities duration increased owing to

an increase in long-term borrowings. Meanwhile, the average days to maturity

  • f deposits and local borrowings

increased from 146 to 190 days.

1.30 1.18 0.40 0.51 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40

  • Dec. 06
  • Mar. 07

Assets Liabilities

Interest Rate Risk

Current Profile

slide-9
SLIDE 9

9

(Remark: Penetration rate was accounted for only new car sales.) I ndustry New Car Sales & TI SCO Penetration Rate 703 682 82 193 154 165 170 7.0% 9.1% 10.1% 12.7% 18.1% 5.4% 7.7%

2005 2006 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 Jan- Feb07 Total Car Sales Penetration Rate

Hire Purchase Business

(Thousand Units)

Motorcycle 5% Subsidiaries 2% Bank Branches 57% Head Office 36%

1Q07 Hire Purchase Breakdown

slide-10
SLIDE 10

10

Brokerage Business

982 1,053 1,168 786 16,454 16,281 20,916 11,800

2005 2006 1Q06 1Q07

TISCO turnover Market turnover Average Daily Turnover*

(Million Baht)

27% 37% 40% 23% 23% 26% 50% 40% 34% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2005 2006 1Q07 Retail Investors Local Institution Foreign Institution

Customer Breakdown

*Source: www.sse.set

(Million Baht)

(27.5)%YTD (25.4)%YTD

Market TISCO

240,503 255,847 73,591 48,749 3.0% 3.2% 3.3% 2.8% 2005 2006 1Q06 1Q07

Brokerage Value Market Share

Brokerage Value & Market Share

slide-11
SLIDE 11

11 82.1 84.7 88.9 62% 62% 62% 29% 29% 25% 9% 9% 13% 20 40 60 80 2005 2006 Mar 2007 Provident Fund Private Fund Mutual Fund

(Billion Baht) 6.5 5.4 14.7 13.7 14.6 16.6 1.4 0.7 5.3 8 th 13.7 2 nd 17.0 2 nd 0.7 17 th

4 8 12 16 2005 2006 Feb 2007

TISCO Market Share Provident Fund Private Fund Mutual Fund

1,574 1,630 1,260 24% 25% 28% 11% 9% 9% 61% 66% 67% 500 1,000 1,500 2005 2006 Feb 2007

Provident Fund Private Fund Mutual Fund

Market NAV Asset Under Management

(Billion Baht) 5.0% YTD 4.2% YTD 4.9% YTD Total Private Fund Provident Fund (Billion Baht)

Market Share (% )

Asset Management Business

slide-12
SLIDE 12

12

Investor Relations

TI SCO Bank Public Company Limited

48/2 TISCO Tower, North Sathorn Road Silom, Bangrak, Bangkok 10500

  • Tel. + 66-2-633-6868
  • Fax. + 66-2-633-6818

Email: I R@tisco.co.th Website: www.tisco.co.th