Analyst & Investor Meeting
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
March 13, 2018
Analyst & Investor Meeting Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania March 13, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Analyst & Investor Meeting Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania March 13, 2018 Cautionary Language Risk Factors. This presentation, including the oral statements made in connection herewith, contains forward-looking statements, estimates and projections
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
March 13, 2018
Cautionary Language
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Risk Factors. This presentation, including the oral statements made in connection herewith, contains forward-looking statements, estimates and projections within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Statements that are not historical are forward-looking and may include our operational and strategic plans; estimates of gas reserves and resources; projected timing and rates of return of future investments; and projections and estimates of future production, revenues, income and capital spending. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those statements, estimates and projections. Investors should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements as a prediction of future actual results. The forward-looking statements in this presentation speak only as of the date of this presentation; we disclaim any obligation to update the statements, and we caution you not to relyAgenda
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Strategic Overview
Nick DeIuliis, Chief Executive Officer
Operations
Tim Dugan, Chief Operating Officer Andrea Passman, VP – Development
Marketing
Chad Griffith, VP – Marketing
Finance
Don Rush Chuck Hardoby, VP – Finance
Questions & Answers Business Development
Don Rush, Chief Financial Officer
Nick DeIuliis
154-Year Legacy is a Competitive Advantage
5 1980 2000 1860 1960 2008 2010 2014 2017 2018
The vast interwoven nature of the CNX acreage holdings has resulted in non-
well data from more than 800 Marcellus and Utica wells dating back to 1968
The Dominion assets CNX acquired in 2010 trace their roots to the late 1800s and John D. Rockefeller’s Standard Oil Company, which formed Consolidated Natural Gas Industrialist Andrew Mellon financed the consolidation of the coal estate throughout Appalachia leading to the founding of Consolidation Coal Company
Greater than the Sum of the Parts
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Set in motion more than a decade ago, CNX emerged as a premier standalone E&P company on November 29, 2017 The separation of the businesses allows CNX to efficiently deploy its capital allocation strategy
Asset Base Creates Compelling Value Creation Opportunity
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Large Contiguous Acreage Position 531,000 / 652,000 95.5% 18.6 Highly Productive Asset Base 1,116 MMcfe/d 20% 75% Leading Economic Profile $1.01-$1.11 /Mcfe 32% 3.3x
Net Marcellus Acres / Net Utica Acres(1) % Operated Reserves to Production (years) 2017 Average Net Production 5-Year Production CAGR Half-Cycle Portfolio IRR 2018E Total Cash Production and Gathering Costs 2017 EBITDAX Margin 2017 Recycle Ratio
7.6 Tcfe 3.7 Bcfe/1000’ 2.5x
Proved Reserves Current Deep Dry Utica Performance Targeted Leverage Ratio by YE2018
(1) See appendix slide 102 for complete acreage breakdown by region.The CNX Strategy is to Grow NAV/Share via Capital Allocation
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Strategy is reinforced by management philosophy, company values, incentive plans, and ownership
Key drivers of the strategy:
Methodical execution driving IRR and EBITDAX growth Basin disruption through stacked pay development Top-tier balance sheet Opportunistic share count reduction CNXM 15% distribution growth stability and drop inventory
$0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 2018E 2022E $ in millions Low High
Methodical Execution Driving IRR and EBITDAX Growth
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Expected Five-Year Plan Portfolio Economics
Note: See appendix for full and half cycle economic assumptions. (1) Based on midpoint of financial guidance.Drill Bit Investment Driving EBITDAX Growth
38% 75% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Full Cycle Half Cycle IRR (%)Stacked Pay Development Will Disrupt the Appalachian Basin
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CNX has a non-replicable asset base allowing for stacked pay development
Stacked pay drives superior IRRs through economies of scale and greater flexibility ▪ Reduces capital ▪ Reduces cycle times ▪ Reduces LOE ▪ Reduces gathering and processing fees ▪ Seismic across acreage hold that de-risks drilling, completion, and production ▪ Increases utilization and efficiencies ▪ Extends growth opportunity
Note: Assumes six Marcellus laterals at 9,500’ and six Utica laterals at 8,500’. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 IRR (%) NPV ($ in millions) Gas PriceStacked Pay Pad Economics Example
Unstacked NPV Stacked NPV Unstacked IRR % Stacked IRR %Stacked pay provides 30% increase to total field NPV
Top Tier Balance Sheet Strength Drives Capital Optionality
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IRR ANALYSIS DRILL BIT BOLT-ON ACQUISITIONS SHARE COUNT REDUCTION STEADY STATE 2.5X LEVERAGE RATIO ROBUST HEDGE BOOK & FT STRATEGY DISCRETIONARY CASH FLOW ASSET MONETIZATIONS BALANCE SHEET CAPACITY
Leverage Ratio Capacity Allows for Share Count Reduction
12 Potential to reduce float ~40% by YE2022 under status quo plan
Growing EBITDAX Creates Natural Capacity within 2.5x Leverage Ratio Available Capacity Reinvested in Share Count Reduction
(1)Cumulative available capacity of ~$3 billion 2018-2022
Steady State Leverage Ratio: 2.5x
~$70/share
capacity(1) ~$30/share(1)
CNXM 15% Distribution Growth De-Risked
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Expected CNXM Distributions to CNX 2017-2022E
$28 $42 $60 $80 $103 $130 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 $ in millions LP Distribution to CNX (as Declared) GP & IDR Distribution (as Declared) (1) (1) 2017 GP IDR at 50% ownership.CNXM Distributable Cash Flows by Source 2017-2022E
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E $ in millions PDPs pre-S/P Drop Shirley-Penns MVC McQuay Activity Commitments Activity Above MVC & Commitments Total DistributionsCompensation Plan Reinforces Strategy
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Short-Term Incentive Compensation Program Long-Term Incentive Program (PSUs) 2016 2017 50% Relative TSR (S&P 500) 50% Absolute Stock Price Free Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Adjusted EBITDA/Share Company-wide short-term incentive plan Governed by 2.5x leverage ratio target Encourages return of capital to shareholders CEO compensation 90% at-risk (STIC, RSUs, and PSUs)
Compensation plans motivate management to execute on:
▪ Methodical operational execution ▪ Balance sheet discipline ▪ Basin disruption through stacked pay development ▪ CNXM growth stability and upside
▪ Share count reduction
2018 & Beyond
Importance of Both Numerator and Denominator in NAV/Share
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SHARES OUTSTANDING
DRIVEN BY OPERATIONAL EXECUTION DIFFERENTIATED ASSET BASE GROWING RESERVES VALUE PRUDENT ASSET MONETIZATION OPTIMIZED VALUE OF MLP
Share count reduction can be the best capital allocation decision if it passes through the NAV and IRR filters =
NAV/Share Accretion & Recognition
BALANCE SHEET & HEDGE BOOK
Tim Dugan Andrea Passman
Unique Stacked Acreage Portfolio Sets the Stage
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531,000
Total Net Marcellus Acres
582
Net Undeveloped Marcellus Locations in SWPA
652,000
Total Net Utica Acres
~90%
Total Company HBP
~89%
Total Company Average NRI
669
Net Undeveloped Utica Locations in SWPA Vast multi-formation acreage position built over 150+ years Premier gathering infrastructure and midstream MLP Monetization opportunities outside core development plan Modeling, delineation, and innovative solutions driven by decades of data Cutting edge strategic intelligence through extensive acreage position Multi-basin experience delivered by personnel and joint ventures ASSET BASE HIGHLIGHTS SKILL SET
Type Curve Guidance Areas Refined For Modeling Accuracy
(1) See http://investors.cnx.com/events-and-presentations/events/2018.18
▪ Type curve (TC) guidance areas refined to present more accurate characteristics of acreage
and OH Dry & Wet) to now eight (SWPA: Central & Greater, WV: SHR/PENS & East, CPA: South & North, and OH: Dry & Wet)
Marcellus and Utica compared to prior divisions
▪ New type curve assumptions include:
adjustment for dry Utica sale in Jefferson County
three year plan (SWPA Central, WV SHR/PENS, and OH Dry) ▪ Available electronic type curve data allows for detailed modeling of the CNX production profile(1)
Capital Efficiency Continues to Improve
Note: Bars represent single well-level economics, which includes total D&C capital employed.19
▪ NAV growth driven by
stacked pay ▪ Increased EURs from model-driven spacing, completion design, and managed pressure drawdown ▪ Service cost inflation in 2017 offset by increased EURs Capital Efficiency (Mcfe/$)
1.83 Mcfe/$ 2.78 Mcfe/$ 2.78 Mcfe/$ 2.84 Mcfe/$
Avg BTAX IRR 25% Avg BTAX IRR 52% Avg BTAX IRR 57% Avg BTAX IRR 85%EUR Increases Driven by Modeling and Optimization
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Modeling Maximizes NAV ▪ 85% increase in proppant loading from pre-2016 to 2018E ▪ Subsurface communication mitigation implemented ▪ Lateral spacing optimization ▪ Managed pressure drawdown ▪ Cluster diversion technology ▪ Min/max stress optimization ▪ 3-D seismic guided drill plans ▪ Core area delineation
1.7 2.7 2.9 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 <2016 2016-2017 2018E EUR (Bcfe/1000') 1.4 2.6 3.3 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 <2016 2016-2017 2018E EUR (Bcfe/1000')
Marcellus EURs Utica EURs
PDP Performance Drives Low Maintenance Capital
PDP Base Decline % Maintenance Capital
(1) For illustrative purposes; assumes annual production of 507 Bcfe (1.39 Bcfe/d exit rate), average EBITDAX of $800 million and interest expense of $100 million. (2) December 2017 net daily average.▪ Average maintenance capital of ~$325 million per year to hold exit rate flat at 1.39 Bcfe/d(2) ▪ Expected exit-to-exit base decline rate of 32% in FY2018, compared to FY2017
(1)Possible Cumulative FCF of ~$1.4 billion 2019E-2022E
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0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022<20% in Q2 2019 <10% in Q2 2021
2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022EDrilling Days Declining Steadily in Every Region
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Total Marcellus – Average Drilling Days per Well Ohio Wet Utica – Average Drilling Days per Well Ohio Dry Utica – Average Drilling Days per Well CPA Utica – Average Drilling Days per Well
5 10 15 20 25 30 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E Drilling Days 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E Drilling Days 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E Drilling Days 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2015 2016 2017 2018E Drilling Days
Completion Cycle Times Driving Capital Efficiency
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Total Portfolio Completions Cycle Times Marcellus Completions Cycle Times
1 2 3 4 5 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E Average Days/1,0000 ft 1 2 3 4 5 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E Average Days/1,0000 ft24
DEVELOPMENT PLAN
Shift to SWPA and Stacked Pay: Surplus Core Marcellus Inventory
Stacked Pay Factory up and running
20%
Production CAGR 2017-2022E(1)
TILs 46 TILs 55 TILs 7350 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 Entering 2018 2018 2019 2020 Year End 2020 TIL Locations
▪ As CNX returns focus to the core SWPA region, the company is expected to consume only a fraction of existing CNXM DevCo I Marcellus locations in the near term
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(1) Based on the midpoint of guidance. Net SWPA Central Marcellus Inventory 391 Net SWPA Central Marcellus Inventory 217Stacked Pay Creates Substantial Uplift Beyond Longer Laterals
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▪ Stacked pay PV10 is 4.4x unstacked pay PV10(1) ▪ Longer lateral PV10 is 1.9x shorter lateral PV10(1) ▪ Stacked pay is a more influential economic driver than only focusing on lateral length; CNX combines both value drivers in development ▪ Extending laterals delays turn-in-line, while stacked pays can be added at a later date optimizing IRR and EBITDAX
Note: Example based on Richhill SWPA Marcellus and Utica development employing wet/dry blending strategy foregoing processing costs. (1) Based on $2.00 gas price. 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 $0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 IRR (%) PV10 ($ in thousands) Gas Price Unstacked 9500' Unstacked 12000' Stacked 9500' Stacked 12000' Unstacked 9500' ROR Stacked 9500' RORUnstacked 9500' Unstacked 12000' Stacked 9500' Stacked 12000' LOE ($/Mcf) 0.10 0.10 0.05 0.05 Gathering rate ($/Mcf) 1.13 1.13 0.46 0.46 CAPEX ($ in millions) 8.4 9.8 8.3 9.7
Technological Advances Driving Tangible Results
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EARTH MODEL DATA ACQUISTION DESIGN OPTIMIZATION STACKED PAY FACTORY PORTFOLIO NAV OPTIMIZATION ▪ Fully integrated subsurface model ▪ Neural net drives productivity indicators ▪ Core, logs, seismic ▪ Third party data ▪ Delineation ▪ Testing ▪ Reservoir and frac modeling ▪ Managed pressure drawdown via rate transient analysis ▪ Machine learning ▪ System modeling ▪ Linear programming ▪ Big data analysis
►Ensures highest NPV combination
balancing risk
►Managed pressure drawdown improves EUR by 20%
►Designs are
wells vs. 13
►Improves field NPV by 30%
►Seismic de-risks SWPA stacked pay development and improves NAV by $60 million
►Drove understanding of three Utica areas
Three Utica Areas Require Distinct Development Plans
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OHIO UTICA ▪ Manufacturing play ▪ 3.2 Bcf/1,000’ ▪ 80’ of pay ▪ Low fracture intensity ▪ Optimized 10,500’ laterals ▪ 10,500’ TVD CPA UTICA ▪ Stacked pay play within the Utica and Point Pleasant ▪ 3.5+ Bcf/1,000’ ▪ 300’ of pay in Utica, Point Pleasant and Lexington ▪ 13,200’ TVD SWPA UTICA ▪ Stacked pay factory with Marcellus ▪ 3.2 Bcf/1,000’ ▪ 80’ of pay ▪ Intermittently fractured ▪ 12,000 TVD
MARCHAND 3M GAUT 4I GH 9 SWITZ FIELD RHL 11The Utica is a Precision Play
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Understanding reservoir characteristics in combination with facies drives productivity
OHIO (SWITZ) SWPA (RHL11E) CPA (Marchand3M)
Ohio Utica Model Drove SWPA and CPA Success
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The model drove early success and eliminated the need for trial and error testing ▪ Ohio Utica is the analogue model for rapid SWPA and CPA Utica optimization ▪ Optimization of variable sand loading up to 3,000 lbs/ft within variable inter-lateral spacing up to 1,500’ ▪ Tail-in ceramic proppant ▪ Landing point defined by area
to maximize both drilling efficiency and well productivity
Legacy Base Optimized Fracture Conductivity (md-ft)
SWPA Utica: Very Strong Early Results from Richhill 11E
(1) Measured perforation to perforation. (2) As of 3/8/2018. Turned in line 2/17/2018, excludes first four days of flowback/clean up. (3) Normalized for lateral length to align with 6,200’ RHL11E (target capital lateral length in SWPA Utica is 8,500 ft.31
Drilled through series of natural fracture clusters, which were identified in 3D seismic analysis ▪ Required more drilling days than the expected run rate, which elevated drilling costs
natural fracture clusters Other additional costs related to completion design testing drove the RHL11E well to exceed target capital costs, but there is clear line of sight to the projected $14.3 million
RHL11E Summary
Lateral length(1) 6,200 Total capital less science $21 million Average flowing pressure 8,445 psig Average production(2) 22.1 MMcf/d Target flowing production @ flat first 12 months 18 MMcf/d
Richhill 11E SWPA Utica well currently flowing above 3.2 Bcfe/1000’ type curve Most Recent SWPA Utica Well
SWPA Utica Requires Engineered Design
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▪ Success is consistently hitting repeatable results by:
statistics
▪ Target well cost in SWPA Utica: $14.3 million
Point PleasantOnondaga
SWPA Region Overview: Greater and Central
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▪ Core focus area for future development ▪ Stacked pay approach for increased returns
SWPA Central Marcellus Utica
Undeveloped Net Locations 391 438 EUR (Bcfe/1000’)(1) 2.8 3.2 Total NRI 87% 89% Total PDPs 182 1 Net Current Production (Bcfe/d) 0.412 0.004
SWPA Greater Marcellus Utica
Undeveloped Net Locations 191 231 EUR (Bcf/1000’)(1) 2.7 3.0 Total NRI 91% 91% Total PDPs 12
0.082
ACAA development drives SWPA Greater, with two pads completed to date
Morris Field Richhill Field Wadestown
Note: See appendix slide 104 for peer capital efficiency comparison. (1) See appendix slides 108 and 109 for complete modeling assumptions and type curve.SWPA Central: Focus of Activity in Three-Year Plan
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▪ Average EUR/1,000’ increased 77% from legacy Morris wells(1)
design
along with the mechanical diversion testing program
▪ Morris pads being designed for future stacked pay development ▪ Morris wells expected to make up more than 65% of 2018E SWPA Marcellus TIL activity
11 46 55 73
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E TILs
SWPA Marcellus TILs: 2017 vs. Three-Year Plan ▪ SWPA Marcellus comprises a much larger portion of the three- year plan than in 2017
the increase
▪ ~80% of three-year plan activity located in SWPA Central Marcellus/Utica Morris Production – Legacy vs. Now
(1) Legacy Morris comprised of 21 wells TIL March 2012-June 2013; Morris 30 pad comprised of 5 wells TIL mid-2017.Blending Strategy Helps Drive DevCo I Stacked Pay Economics
Note: Defined as Dry Utica 1010-1040 BTU; Dry Marcellus 1060-1110 BTU; Damp Marcellus 1110-1150; Wet Marcellus 1150+ BTU .35
Requires Processing Does Not Require Processing
BTU Content 1110 1150 1100 1040 1010 1200 1070 Dry Tariff Line Wet Marcellus Gas Damp Marcellus Gas Dry Utica/Marcellus Gas
Damp acreage requires processing to meet BTU specifications
Blended Gas = Damp Marcellus + Dry Utica/Marcellus
▪ Avoids processing cost of $0.55-0.60/Dth ▪ Meets BTU tariff
Two Pipe Gathering System Creates Flexibility in DevCo I
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Standard Gathering System
Industry Standard One-Pipe System CNX DevCo I Two-Pipe System
High Pressure Pipe Low Pressure Pipe
New Pad
(High Pressure)
Compression / Dehydration
As new high pressure wells are TIL, higher pressure gas supplants older low pressure wells choking back total production Planned compressor stations will create flexibility to customize pressures in specific gathering lines and
the project matures The low pressure pipe provides the option to continue producing existing wells rather than interrupt production when new higher pressure wells are brought online During stacked pay development, Marcellus and Utica wells can be brought
independently ▪ Most Marcellus producers lack the ability to rapidly bring on production as the single pipe systems stay near full capacity Existing Pad
(Low Pressure)
CHOKED Existing Pad
(Low Pressure)
New Stacked Pay Pad
(High Pressure and Low Pressure)
Richhill (RHL): Stacked Pay Development
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RHL Development Case Study ▪ 30% NPV uplift due to stacked pay development ▪ CAPEX, OPEX, and cycle time savings from shared infrastructure increase returns on both formations ▪ CNX’s blending strategy provides significant uplift on top of the advantages of CAPEX, OPEX, and cycle time reduction Marcellus Utica Stacked Well Count 96 144 240 Capex ($ in millions) $816 $1,944 $2,700 NPV ($ in millions) $497 $809 $1,616 BTAX IRR 48% 49% 59% ▪ Premier stacked pay field in SWPA Central
(MAJ6 and MAJ10) will be developed to blend wet Marcellus
complete, with the second corridor being blended with Utica
CPA Dry Utica Update: Aikens 5J and 5M
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Aikens Wells EURs at 3.7 Bcf/1000’ ▪ Located in Westmoreland County, PA (CPA South region); two wells offsetting successful Gaut 4IH well ▪ Average capital per well: approximately $15 million ▪ Currently performing above CPA Utica 3.5 Bcf/1000’ EUR with an average lateral length of ~7,000’(1)
Bcf through first 77 days ▪ Wells averaged 23 MMcf/d during first 77 days of production with average flowing pressure of 8,419 psig
▪ Executing managed pressure drawdown ▪ Aikens 5J: validating Gaut 4IH results by replicating completion design and achieving similar results ▪ Aikens 5M: testing higher proppant loading and model driven ceramic selection
best well in the basin to date Aikens 5J Aikens 5M
(1) Measured in lateral feet from perforation to perforation; average drilled length of 7,500’. 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Rate (Mcf/d) Days Aikens 5M Actual (Mcf/d) 3.5 Bcf/1000' Type Curve 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Rate (Mcf/d) Days Aikens 5J Actual (Mcf/d) 3.5 Bcf/1000' Type CurveUTICA
Stacked Utica with Utica in CPA
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▪ Utica, Point Pleasant and Lexington are all gas bearing contributing zones with a total thickness of nearly 300’
core and logs ▪ Potential to multiply Utica locations within CPA by stacking multiple wellbores in the 300’ section to maximize recovery from the pay zone ▪ Simultaneous development
maximize recovery through pressure shadowing and eliminate future infill drilling
POINT PLEASANTLEXINGTON
2018 Stacked Pay Baseline $30.0 $10.9 $6.4 $2.9 $0.4 $0.8 2018 Stacked Pay Baseline Lateral Length Increase Technology Utilization Mineral Purchase Optimization Data Analytics LOE Efficiencies
“Perfect Pad” to Create Stacked Pay Benchmark in 2019
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12 Marcellus wells drilled
Process
Dry month construction Subsurface Marcellus well heads Marcellus completions 8 Utica wells drilled Utica completions 3D seismic drives well bore optimization Marcellus wells turned in line
M M M M M M M M M M M M U U U U U U U U
Utica wells turned in line
Low Pressure LineCellar technology construction allows for subsurface well heads for faster return Two pipe system creates flexibility to produce high pressure and low pressure wells simultaneously
High Pressure Line High Pressure Line Low Pressure LineM M M M M M M M M M M M Prior Days Target Days 120 90 122 97 142 78 124 102 119 57
Optimal inter-lateral spacing: Marcellus 750 ft, Utica 1200-1500 ft Combined NPV Gains from Marcellus & Utica in SWPA Perfect Pad Incremental NPV
31% Reduction 35% Reduction
($ in millions)Central PA Overview: North and South
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▪ Gaut & Aikens wells have proved area for Utica development ▪ Potential to stack Marcellus with Utica ▪ Continue to explore opportunities to expand gathering infrastructure
CPA South Marcellus Utica
Undeveloped Net Locations 634 513 EUR (Bcf/1000’)(1) 1.8 3.5 Total NRI 87% 87% Total PDPs 47 3 Net Current Production (Bcfe/d) 0.034 0.046
CPA North Marcellus Utica
Undeveloped Net Locations 615 498 EUR (Bcf/1000’)(1) 1.5 3.5 Total NRI 86% 86% Total PDPs 9
0.005
Currently delineating Utica to define Northern boundary driven from earth model
(1) See appendix slides 112 and 113 for complete modeling assumptions and type curve.Development Areas in Three-Year Plan
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CPA South ▪ Utica SWPA Central ▪ Marcellus and Utica SHR/PENS ▪ Marcellus OH Dry ▪ Utica
Three-Year Drill Schedule and Estimated Reserves Growth
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Rig 1 Rig 2 Rig 3 Rig 4 Rig 5 Rig 6 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020 2019 2018TD Count 2018 2019 2020 Total SWPA Marcellus 62 60 71 193 SWPA Utica 3 19 27 49 WV Marcellus 5 10 15 30 CPA Utica 4 9 13 OH Utica 8 8 Total 82 89 122 293
Reserve Growth and Estimates 2015-2022E
10,000 12,000 14,500 5,643 6,251 7,582 8,500 10,000 12,500 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E BcfeRig Schedule 2018E-2020E
(1) Based on midpoint.Low High
Three-Year Development Plan
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(1) 50% working interest. (2) Non-D&C capital for 2018E-2020E includes between $200-$300 million in each year associated with land, midstream, and water infrastructure.2018E 2019E 2020E
($ in millions) TD FRAC TIL Capex TD FRAC TIL Capex TD FRAC TIL Capex SWPA Central Marcellus 62 48 46 60 52 55 71 78 73 Utica 3 1 1 19 14 14 27 28 28 WV Shirley-Penns Marcellus 5 5 5 10 10 7 15 11 11 Utica
Utica 4 4 2
3 9 5 3 OH Dry Utica 8 10 15
5
82 73 74 $790-$915 89 77 79 $1,010-$1,150 122 122 115 $1,200-$1,380
(2) (2) (2)Greene County, PA Dry Utica: Richhill 11E TIL Feb. 2018 14 SWPA Central dry Utica wells 28 SWPA Central dry Utica wells Indiana County, PA Dry Utica: Marchand 3M TIL set for Q3 2018 3 CPA deep dry Utica wells
Notable Wells
Don Rush
Track Record of Success: History of Monetizing Assets
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▪ Annual average of ~$600 million in asset monetization from 2014-2017 ▪ $414 million in assets sold in 2017 ▪ 2018 effort continues
$265 million in proceeds
$85 million in cash plus $190 million in liabilities related to gas well plugging (asset retirement
Future opportunities include: ▪ Non-core upstream assets ▪ Drops to CNX Midstream ▪ CNXM LP Units and IDRs ▪ Shale acres not in near-term development plan
$0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 $4,000 $4,500
$ in millionsAsset Sale Totals by Year
Dry powder of ~$4 billion in drop down and other non-core asset sales from 2019-2022 provides substantial upside to current plan
SOG Sale Drives Continued Reduction in Legacy Liabilities
(1) Excludes wells located in the Murray and CONSOL Energy development area.47
Conventional Shallow Oil and Gas (SOG) assets sold in West Virginia and Pennsylvania, including CBM(1) ▪ Agreement signed mid-February
▪ 11,000 wells ▪ Cash proceeds of $85 million ▪ Buyer assumed plugging and abandonment liabilities of $190 million
▪ Associated annual production of ~20 Bcfe ▪ Associated EBITDA with transaction of ~$14 million in 2018E due to partial year sale; typical SOG EBITDA between $15-$20 million per year; in addition, reduces annual cash servicing cost by $5 million SOG Wells Included in Sale
Virginia Coalbed Methane (CBM): Upstream
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Low Risk Proven IRR
▪ ~270,000 contiguous acres, 100% WI ▪ 88% HBP, 87.5% NRI ▪ ~4,000 PDPs at 165 MMcf/d ▪ 2017 EBITDA of ~$100 million
Future Potential
▪ 4,300 potential undeveloped CBM locations ▪ 1,532 Bcf Net CBM Resource Potential ▪ Lexington & Conasauga shows with a strong supporting analog ▪ 391 potential laterals at 10k ft length
200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 EUR (Mcf) CapEx ($)Virginia CBM – Capital Efficiency
CapEx EUROhio Utica Joint Venture Overview
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Low Risk, Mature Development
▪ 65% fee ownership, 46.5% avg. NRI (93% gross JV NRI) ▪ 31 gross operated JV wells (Noble County) ▪ 65 gross non-op JV wells, 47 non-op gross 3rd party wells ▪ ~85 MMcfe/d net production (~170 MMcfe/d net to JV production) ▪ 72% gas, 26% NGL, 2% condensate Future Potential ▪ ~39,000 net core acres, 50% WI, (79,000 gross JV acres) ▪ 315 locations remaining(1) ▪ 3.95 Tcfe estimated total resource (7.9 Tcfe net to JV) Strategic Options ▪ Sell the JV asset ▪ Divide assets to obtain 100% WI with JV partner ▪ Drill the assets per the governing agreements 14,000 gross acres 29,000 gross acres 36,000 gross acres
(1) Excludes stranded acreage.50
CNX MIDSTREAM
ASSET AND OPPORTUNITY
De-Risked CNX Midstream Growth Driving CNX Upside
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Ability to sustain 15% CNXM distribution growth is projected without additional asset drops
Coverage Ratio(1)
1.25x 1.56x 1.44x 1.31x 1.21x
(1) Assumes Shirley-Pennsboro drop effective as of 4/1/2018. (2) Represents activity at an illustrative 140 well development level.CNXM Distributable Cash Flows by Source 2017-2022E
(2)Drop Inventory Drives Meaningful Upside to CNXM 15% Growth
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Completed Year-To-Date
▪ Shirley-Pennsboro system: February 2018
forma 2018 EBITDA for CNXM growing to $40-$50 million in 2020E
CNX Retained Undropped EBITDA including Potential Drop Candidates 2017 vs. 2020E
Potential Candidates 2018E-2020E
CONVEY Water Business Existing DevCos Primarily Wadestown in DevCo III CPA Utica Gathering System Cardinal States Gathering System
$- $50 $100 $150 $200 2017 2017PF for S/P Drop 2020E $ in millions Retained Undropped EBITDA Potential
CONVEY: CNX’s Water Business
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Annual Volume of Water Moved Projected Water Infrastructure: YE2018
PA WV OH Total Cumulative Water System CapEx ($ millions) $219 $94 $17 $330 Water Pipelines (miles) 189 79 33 301 Water Storage Facilities (MMBbl) 1.2 0.6 0.3 2.1 Total Water Moved (MMBbl) 33 4 8 45
Wadestown SWPA Buildout
CONVEY: Major Projects
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Wadestown Development
▪ ~$65 million - 5 year CapEx spend ▪ NPV ~ $165 million, IRR ~ 120% ▪ Initial water infrastructure buildout ▪ 38 miles of new water infrastructure ▪ Eliminates seasonal water variability ▪ Uninterruptable water capacity for single completion crew 54
SWPA Water Build Out
▪ ~$155 million – 5 year CapEx spend ▪ NPV ~ $120 million, IRR ~ 80% ▪ 24 miles of new water infrastructure ▪ Uninterruptable water capacity capable of supplying two completion crews
$- $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E
CONVEY: Drives High Distribution Growth Rate
(1) EBITDA assumes water costs above, but subject to change based on final set rates. With exception of third-party sales, CONVEY EBITDA is eliminated in CNX financial statements. Rates are determined based on 50% margin for fresh, 40% margin on reuse, and 30% margin on disposal (example costs below recent peer comparisons). (2) Water operating costs are based on historical averages in region and do not include infrastructure expenses.55
~$55 million water EBITDA at proposed rates in 2018(1)
▪ Driven by margin on CNX fresh, reuse, and disposal rates ▪ Final rates to be determined at time of drop ▪ Produced water accounts for 18% of 2018 proposed EBITDA
Over 100 miles of new water infrastructure to begin in 2018
▪ Ohio River to SWPA fresh water supply line ▪ Richhill and Majorsville infrastructure ▪ Wadestown development infrastructure
Fixed rates promote efficiencies for water operations
▪ CONVEY will continue to drive down costs to increase margins ▪ CNXM will benefit from cash flow stability
Steady Water EBITDA Growth(1)
Assumed Water Operating Costs ($/Bbl)(2)
PA WV OH Fresh $0.95 $0.91 $1.62 Reuse $3.48 $4.78 $5.82 Disposal $8.12 $5.89 $7.11
Infrastructure supply upgrade complete
Drop Down Inventory: Wadestown
56
Wadestown: Five-Year Investment Outlook ▪ Greenfield Marcellus and Utica dedication in DevCo III ▪ Wadestown metering and regulation Facility
▪ Pipelines: 39 miles Expected Midstream Capital and EBITDA 2018E-2020E
$0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E $ in millions CapEx EBITDAWadestown: Proposed Pipeline Buildout
Drop Down Inventory: Central PA Midstream Buildout
57
Central PA Utica: Five-Year Investment Outlook
▪ Currently undedicated to any midstream company ▪ Recent dry Utica well results proving commercial viability ▪ Opportunity to be first-mover midstream company to provide regional solution
Expected CPA Utica Throughput 2018E-2022E
Virginia Coalbed Methane: Midstream (Cardinal States Gathering)
58
Best-in-Class and Location ▪ Interconnects TransCanada TCO pipeline to premium Enbridge ETNG pipeline system ▪ “As is” 40% of the 250 MMcf/d capacity available to gather 3rd party gas and provide significant revenue source ▪ Provides premium market outlet for CNX and 3rd party producers and shippers. Average basis differential of +$0.60/MMBtu Organic Value Creation Opportunity ▪ Premier drop opportunity into CNX Midstream ▪ Upsize throughput capacity from 250 to 385 MMcf/d with relatively minimal capital expenditure. Convert into a FERC regulated system to transport TCO shale gas to southern markets
being reviewed
which will then file a certificate application to become an interstate pipeline subject to FERC jurisdiction
CNX Midstream Ownership Valuation
(1) See detailed IDR Model in appendix slide 100. (2) Reflects recent market comparisons. (3) Unit price as of market close on 3/8/2018. (4) 2020E unit price calculated using expected market yield of 6.0% on FY2020E distributions. (5) 2018E retained EBITDA pro forma for Shirley-Pennsboro drop. (6) Based on pro forma year-to-date share count of 219.8 million on 3/8/2018.59
CNX Midstream drives value through four main avenues ▪ IDR cash distributions ▪ Ownership of LP units ▪ Retained EBITDA ▪ Future drop downs CNXM Represents Significant Growth for CNX in both IDRs and Retained EBITDA
CNX Midstream Value to CNX ($ in millions, except per share data) 2018E 2020E IDRs Cash Flow(1) 12.7 $ 40.8 $ Multiple(2) 60.0x 30.0x Value 761 $ 1,223 $ LP Units Unit Price(3) 18.20 $ 30.19 $ Current Yield 7.5% 6.0% Units Held 21.69 21.69 Value 395 $ 655 $ Pro Rata EBITDA Contribution Retained EBITDA(5) 10 $ 200 $ Market Multiple 8.0x 8.0x Value 80 $ 1,600 $ Total Potential Value 1,240 $ 3,480 $ Value per CNX Share(6) 5.60 $ 15.80 $
$1,240 $3,480 $- $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 $4,000 2018E 2020E $ in millions IDRs LP Units Pro Rata Retained EBITDA Contribution
(4)Chad Griffith
MARKET VIEW
▪ Current forward market ▪ Supply/demand balance ▪ Growing demand and exports ▪ Volatility is king
Marketing Overview
61
FIRM TRANSPORTATION
▪ Selective FT commitments
synthetic FT ▪ Fraction of the FT obligations compared to peers ▪ Low FT average demand costs
MMBtu
HEDGE STRATEGY
▪ Foundation that enables the execution of the company’s strategy ▪ Differentiates CNX and provides competitive advantage ▪ “Total” hedge: matching basis to NYMEX ▪ Programmatic – dollar cost averaging ▪ Hedge volumes in alignment with capital investment
Firm Transportation Strategy
62
▪ CNX realizes average NYMEX differentials with 1/8th of the average “take-or-pay” FT obligation of peers ▪ CNX instead uses a strategic mix of FT, IT, basis hedging, gathering system optionality, and capacity releases
Note: Peers include AR, CHK, COG, EQT, GPOR, RRC, and SWN. (1) Project costs obtained from FERC filings; Spreads calculated using futures versus TETCO M2 pricing. (2) TG&P obligations and price differentials from SEC filings and other company reports (Q3 2017). $(2.00) $(1.50) $(1.00) $(0.50) $- $0.0 $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 $12.0 $14.0 $16.0 $18.0 $20.0 CNX Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6 Peer 7Transportation, Gathering, & Processing Commitments and Differentials(2)
FT, Gathering, and Processing Obligations Gas Price Diff. to NYMEX Peer Average Gas Price Diff to NYMEXThree-Filter Test for Taking on New FT
1 2 3
Do we need it to get it to a liquid market? Does it get us to a better market at a positive net back? Does it help us manage the volatility of the markets we’re in?
$0.000 $0.200 $0.400 $0.600 $0.800 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022Project Examples: Future Spreads vs. Demand Charges(1)
Project A Spread Project B Spread Project A Tariff Project B TariffLiquidity of In-Basin Markets Negates Need for FT
(1) Based on midpoint of guided range. (2) Based on recent results. Approximately 80% of CNX production nominated to FT.63
Average Daily Production and Takeaway 2018E-2020E (Bcf/d) 2018E 2019E 2020E CNX Gas Production(1) 1.3 1.5 1.8 Less: Estimated Production Sold Directly into Basin (M2)(2) not requiring FT 0.3 0.3 0.4 Gas Production Sold via FT 1.0 1.2 1.4 Current FT Capacity 1.2 1.5 1.4
It is no longer essential to have in-basin FT capacity to sell gas due to the liquidity of the in-basin markets ▪ Gas can be reliably sold on M2 without taking on unnecessary and expensive FT commitments ▪ CNX expects to continue selling gas into M2 in line with historical proportional averages as seen below
as it stands, as seen below
Peer Firm Transportation Benchmarking
64
Total FT and Processing Commitments
$2.1 $2.7 $5.6 $10.8 $12.2 $18.7 $21.7 Peer 1 CNX Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6(FT Commitments + 2018E Adjusted Net Debt) / 2018E EBITDAX(1)(2)(3)(4) (FT Commitments + 2018E Adjusted Net Debt) / Adjusted EV(1)(2)(3)
Note: Peers include AR, COG, EQT, GPOR, RRC, and SWN. FT and processing commitments are off-balance sheet. (1) CNX commitments as of 12/31/2017. Peer group commitments as of 9/30/2017. (2) CNX debt as of 12/31/2017. Peer group debt as of 9/30/2017. (3) Adjusted for remaining 2017E and 2018E outspend and present value of hedges. Outspend calculated as EBITDAX – capex – interest. (4) CNX 2018E EBITDAX per company projections. Peer group 2018E EBITDAX per FactSet consensus estimates as of 2/13/2018.Total FT Commitments + 2018E Adjusted Net Debt(1)(2)(3)
Differentiated Firm Transportation Portfolio
65
ETNG TCO Pool Michcon
ELAWLA M3 M2
000s MMBtu/dDominion South
Note: Not all production requires reserved capacity. For example, certain “receipt point” sales are sold into gathering systems requiring no interstate FT, certain M2 and M3 sales use capacity held by others, and some production is transported under IT arrangements.Cost ($/Dth)
(000s Dth/d)
2018E 2018E
DOM South 345 ETNG 201 TCO Pool 475 Michcon 162 TETCO ELA 30 TETCO WLA 50 TETCO M3 100 TETCO M2 125 1,488 $0.29
Unutilized FT (reported in “Other Operating Expense”)
▪
Approximately 370,000 MMBtu/d in unused FT on Dominion South and TCO
where unutilized FT resides
▪
Forecasted for 2018E at approximately $36 million
million per year
▪
Contracts expire in 2021 and 2022
▪
TCO Pool includes: 200,000 MMBtu/d on TCO’s Mountaineer XPress project and 50,000 MMBtu/d of capacity on TCO’s Leach XPress project in connection with the Marcellus JV dissolution
Natural Gas Basis Risk and Financial Reporting Clarity
66
▪ Historical basis derived by first of month settle prices indicates extreme volatility over the past two years
stretch(1)
$(2.50) $(2.00) $(1.50) $(1.00) $(0.50) $-Historical Basis Volatility
TETCO M2 Basis Dominion South BasisFully-hedged volumes provide revenue certainty and de-risks capital expenditures
▪ CNX hedges basis in addition to NYMEX ▪ Peers primarily only hedge NYMEX, which is a partial hedge
Basis hedging and hedge reporting example
▪ October NYMEX settles @ $3.30 & M2 Basis settles @ ($1.10); M2 price of $2.20 Hedge Reporting Example CNX Company A NYMEX Hedge $3.00 $3.00 Basis Hedge ($0.50) None Henry Hub Settle $3.30 $3.30 M2 Basis Settle ($1.10) ($1.10) NYMEX Hedge Payout ($0.30) ($0.30) M2 Basis Hedge Payout +$0.60 n/a Physical Gas Sale Price +$2.20 +$2.20 Actual Realized Sale Price $2.50 $1.90 ▪ CNX would report fully-hedged price of $2.50 and receive $2.50 ▪ Company A would report hedged price of $3.00, but receive only $1.90
(1) IFERC First of Month pricing.Power Plants and LNG Driving Demand Growth
(1) SNL (2) EIA67
14.7 Bcf/d incremental demand from gas fuel type power plants by 2025
▪ CNX acreage in the center of the largest growth market, PJM
An additional 14.6 Bcf/d is proposed
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Bcf/dIncreased Gas Demand from Planned Power Plants
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20252 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
1Q2018 3Q2018 1Q2019 3Q2019 1Q2020 3Q2020 1Q2021 3Q2021 1Q2022 3Q2022Bcf/d
LNG Expected Growth 2018-2022
In-Service Exports to Mexico 2018 2019 2020 2021 202213.9 Bcf/d LNG Export capacity by 2022
▪ An additional 11.6 Bcf/d is proposed without a target in-service date (1)
Natural gas exports to Mexico via pipeline increased to 4.2 Bcf/d in 2017(2)
NE Expansion Projects Remove Export Bottleneck
68
Projected 18.7 Bcf/d basin takeaway capacity expected by 2019 ▪ Expected NE market takeaway projects to increase capacity by 12.2 Bcf/d in 2018 and an additional 6.5 Bcf/d in 2019 (1)
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Bcf/dPipeline Expansion Project Takeaway Capacity
Supply Header Project Atlantic Coast Pipeline WB Xpress Mountaineer Xpress PennEast Nexus Project Atlantic Sunrise Rover Phase 2 Leach Xpress Other (1) Company analysis.Supply/Demand Fundamentals
(1) EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook.69
Basin Demand Expected to Increase ▪ Roughly 6 GW of natural-gas fired power plant capacity in Pennsylvania in 2018 (1) ▪ 20 GW capacity in 2018 across US ▪ Percentage of electricity generation from natural gas expected to increase to 33.1% in 2018 from 31.7% in 2017 (1)
Regional Basis Narrows as Takeaway Capacity and Demand Increase
$0.00 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 $3.50 $4.00 $4.50Henry Hub and Dominion South Pricing (Historical First of Month and Forward Strip)
Henry Hub Dominion S▪ 2018 gas consumption expected to increase 3.5 Bcf/d to 77.5 Bcf/d and increase an additional 2.2 Bcf/d in 2019(1)
▪ Net exports expected to increase 1.9 Bcf/d in 2018 and an additional 2.3 Bcf/d in 2019 (1)
3.0 Bcf/d in 2018 and ramp up to 5.5 Bcf/d by end of 2019 (1)
expected to continue on same trajectory (1)
since 1957 (1) ▪ 2017 storage dropped 6% below the five year average and is expected to be roughly 6% below five year average by end of 2019 (1) ▪ 2017 production of 73.5 Bcf/d remained flat relative to 2016 levels, but an increase of 6.9 Bcf/d is expected for 2018 (1)
Liquids and Processing Summary
▪ CNXM and other wet gathering systems provide optionality for CNX wet production ▪ Optionality provides many benefits, including:
▪ NGLs are generally marketed by processing companies – more efficient to outsource ▪ NGL pricing guidance based on contracts in place, NGL forward market, CNX view of supply/demand/transportation fundamentals, and certain hedging programs of processing companies ▪ $13 million in unutilized processing commitments forecasted for 2018E
ACAA Richhill MarkWest Majorsville Noble County Utica Blue Racer Berne Blue Racer Natrium Shirley/Penns MarkWest Mobley Dominion HastingsContracted Processing Capacity
MarkWest Blue Racer Dominion
365 MMcf/d
70
Don Rush Chuck Hardoby
Corporate Values Guide Decision Making
72
CORPORATE VALUES RESPONSIBILITY OWNERSHIP EXCELLENCE
CNX ASSET BASE AND KNOWLEDGE SET
NAV/SHARE FOCUS DISCIPLINED CAPITAL ALLOCATION STRATEGY ALIGNMENT OF STAKEHOLDER INTERESTS
FIVE YEAR EBITDAX CAGR(1)
(1) 2017-2022E based on midpoint of financial guidance.$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 $1,800 $2,000 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E
$ in millionsLow High
Strategy Resulting In Substantial EBITDAX Growth
73
Expected EBITDAX 2018E-2022E(1)
(1) Based on midpoint of financial guidance. Base plan assumes no additional drops or asset sales.Balance Sheet Capacity and Dry Powder Upside through 2022E
74
Dry powder of ~$4 billion through 2022E consists of potential drop proceeds, tax refunds, CNXM LP/GP monetization, and non-core asset sales
~$5 billion
$- $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000 Drop Candidates Retained EBITDA @ 8x Multiple YE2017 Alternative Minimum Tax Refund CNXM LP Unit/IDR Monetization Non-Core Asset Sales Total Dry Powder + B/S Capacity @ 2.5x Leverage Ratio
$ in millionsBalance sheet capacity at a steady 2.5x leverage ratio comprises another ~$3 billion in available capital
Dry Powder ~$4 billion Balance Sheet Capacity ~$3 billion
Marketing: Natural Gas Hedging and Basis Protection
75
▪ Systematically layering in hedges out to 2022 to protect margins on proved developed production and a portion of PUDs (capex) ▪ Locking-in revenue and de- risking capital decisions by matching NYMEX and basis hedge volumes ▪ Protecting from in-basin blowout through regional basis hedges ▪ Approximately 81% of total 2018E gas volumes hedged(3)
(1) Hedge positions as of 2/20/2018. Q1 2018 and 2018 exclude 6.4 Bcf and 13.9 Bcf of physical basis sales not matched with NYMEX hedges. (2) Includes the impact of NYMEX and basis-only hedges as well as physical sales agreements. (3) Based on midpoint of total gas production guidance of 450-475 Bcf in 2018E. (2)Hedge Volumes and Pricing Q1 2018 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 NYMEX Hedges Volumes (Bcf) 88.4 358.6 321.0 215.0 172.6 153.4 Average Prices ($/Mcf) $3.14 $3.14 $3.02 $3.09 $3.00 $3.05 Physical Fixed Price Sales Volumes (Bcf) 4.3 17.3 12.9 11.0 21.4 13.8 Average Prices ($/Mcf) $2.61 $2.61 $2.49 $2.44 $2.45 $2.54 Total Volumes Hedged (Bcf)(1) 92.7 375.9 333.9 226.0 194.0 167.2 NYMEX + Basis (fully-covered volumes)(2) Volumes (Bcf) 92.7 375.9 290.6 182.0 181.9 94.9 Average Prices ($/Mcf) $2.76 $2.76 $2.69 $2.76 $2.53 $2.48 NYMEX Hedges Exposed to Basis Volumes (Bcf)
44.0 12.1 72.3 Average Prices ($/Mcf)
$3.09 $3.00 $3.05 Total Volumes Hedged (Bcf)(1) 92.7 375.9 333.9 226.0 194.0 167.2
Financial Guidance: 2018E-2020E
76
2018E 2019E 2020E
Revenue and Other Operating Income E&P Consolidated E&P Consolidated E&P Consolidated Production Volumes: Natural Gas (Bcf) 450-475 505-575 610-700 NGLs (MBbls) 7,500-7,700 6,800-7,400 6,800-7,400 Oil (MBbls) 15-20 15-20 15-20 Condensate (MBbls) 590-610 430-480 420-480 Total Production (Bcfe) 500-525 550-630 650-750 % Liquids 9%-10% 8%-9% 6%-7% Natural Gas Basis Differential to NYMEX ($/Mcf) ($0.30)-($0.40) ($0.35)-($0.45) ($0.40)-($0.50) NGL Realized Price ($/Bbl) $23.00-$24.00 $22.00-$23.00 $20.00-$21.00 Condensate Realized Price % of WTI 70% 70% 70% Oil Realized Price % of WTI 100% 100% 100% Realized Hedging Gain/(Loss) ($ in millions) (1) $85-$90 $30-$40 $30-$40 Other Operating Income (3rd party water income and resold FT) ($ in millions) $15-$20 $15-$20 $15-$20 CNXM 3rd Party Gathering Revenue $80-$85 $65-$70 $60-$65 Costs Average per unit operating expenses ($/Mcfe): Lease Operating Expense $0.15-$0.18 $0.11-$0.13 $0.11-$0.12 Production, Ad Valorem, and Other Fees $0.06-$0.08 $0.05-$0.06 $0.07-$0.08 Transportation, Gathering and Compression $0.80-$0.85 $0.60-$0.65 $0.90-$0.97 $0.60-$0.65 $0.85-$0.95 $0.50-$0.60 Total Cash Production and Gathering Costs $1.01-$1.11 $0.81-$0.91 $1.06-$1.16 $0.76-$0.84 $1.03-$1.15 $0.68-$0.80 ($ in millions) Selling, General, and Administrative Costs(2) $85-$95 $95-$110 $85-$100 $100-$115 $85-$100 $100-$115 Exploration Expense $10-$15 $5-$10 $5-$10 Other Operating Expense (unutilized FT and processing, idle rig fees, and other misc.) $65-$70 $55-$60 $50-$55 Other Non-Operating Expense $15-$20 $10-$15 $10-$15 Total Capital Expenditures $790-$915 $875-$1,005 $1,010-$1,150 $1,335-$1,525 $1,200-$1,380 $1,275-$1,465 CNXM EBITDA Attributable to CNX $60-$65 $85-$95 $145-$165 EBITDAX $825-$850 $840-$1,000 $1,040-$1,200 CNX Resources is unable to provide a reconciliation of projected Adjusted EBITDAX to projected operating income, the most comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP, due to the unknown effect, timing, and potential significance of certain income statement items. (1) Refer to Appendix on hedging gain/(loss) assumptions. Forward pricing date as of 2/16/2018. Anticipated hedging activity is not included in projections. (2) Excludes stock-based compensation.Financial Guidance: E&P 2018E
77 Transportation, gathering and compression costs expected to decline $0.15-$0.20 year-over-year primarily due to increased contribution of lower cost dry Utica volumes in Monroe County, OH Unutilized FT and Processing Fees: $50 million Idle Rig Fees: $5 million Basis calculated on 2018 market mix. Hedge gain/(loss) calculated on NYMEX and financial basis hedges
2018E
Revenue and Other Operating Income E&P Production Volumes: Natural Gas (Bcf) 450-475 NGLs (MBbls) 7,500-7,700 Oil (MBbls) 15-20 Condensate (MBbls) 590-610 Total Production (Bcfe) 500-525 % Liquids 9%-10% Natural Gas Basis Differential to NYMEX ($/Mcf) ($0.30)-($0.40) NGL Realized Price ($/Bbl) $23.00-$24.00 Condensate Realized Price % of WTI 70% Oil Realized Price % of WTI 100% Realized Hedging Gain/(Loss) ($ in millions) (1) $85-$90 Other Operating Income (3rd party water income and resold FT) ($ in millions) $15-$20 CNXM 3rd Party Gathering Revenue Costs Average per unit operating expenses ($/Mcfe): Lease Operating Expense $0.15-$0.18 Production, Ad Valorem, and Other Fees $0.06-$0.08 Transportation, Gathering and Compression $0.80-$0.85 Total Cash Production and Gathering Costs $1.01-$1.11 ($ in millions) Selling, General, and Administrative Costs(2) $85-$95 Exploration Expense $10-$15 Other Operating Expense (unutilized FT and processing, idle rig fees, and other misc.) $65-$70 Other Non-Operating Expense $15-$20 Total Capital Expenditures $790-$915 CNXM EBITDA Attributable to CNX $60-$65 EBITDAX $825-$850 Note: Base plan assumes NYMEX as of 2/16/2017 of $2.78 per MMBtu + weighted average basis of ($0.36) per MMBtu. CNX Resources is unable to provide a reconciliation of projected Adjusted EBITDAX to projected operating income, the most comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP, due to the unknown effect, timing, and potential significance of certain income statement items. (1) Refer to Appendix on hedging gain/(loss) assumptions. Forward pricing date as of 2/16/2018. No future hedging in forecast. (2) Excludes stock-based compensation.Royalty income, right of way sales, interest income and ‘other’ all netted against bank fees, other corporate expense, and other land rental expense
Financial Guidance: 2018E E&P Revenue Buildup
78
Note: See appendix for assumptions. Base plan assumes NYMEX as of 2/16/2018 of $2.78 per MMBtu + weighted average basis of ($0.36) per MMBtu.2018E Revenue Volumes Realized Price Revenue
($ in millions)Natural Gas 462.5 Bcf $2.55 /Mcf $1,180 NGLs 7,600.0 MBbls $23.50 /Bbl $179 Condensate 602.5 MBbls $42.00 /Bbl $25 Oil 17.5 MBbls $60.00 /Bbl $1 Realized Hedging Gain/(Loss) $87 Total 512.0 Bcfe $2.87 /Mcfe $1,471 Average Daily 1,410.0 MMcfe/d Purchased Gas Sales $58 Other Operating Income Water Income (3rd party sales) $8 Gathering Income (resold unutilized FT) $9 Total Revenue and Operating Income $1,545
Financial Guidance: 2018E Natural Gas Marketing Mix and Basis
Northeast Pipeline Projects Southeast Pipeline Projects
Note: Forward market prices are as of 2/16/2018. ETNG/Cascade Creek TZ5 2018E Gas: 11% CY18 Basis: $0.34 TCO Pool 2018E Gas: 10% CY18 Basis: ($0.26) TETCO ELA & WLA 2018E Gas: 5% CY18 Basis: ($0.09)Dawn Pipeline Projects Gulf Market Pipelines
Michcon 2018E Gas: 6% CY18 Basis: ($0.21) DOM South 2018E Gas: 10% CY18 Basis: ($0.67) TETCO M2 2018E Gas: 52% CY18 Basis: ($0.67) TETCO M3 2018E Gas: 6% CY18 Basis: $0.23Percentages include physical sales
Volumes 2018E CY 2018 (000 MMBtu) Gas Sold (%) Basis DOM South 45,074 9% ($0.67) ETNG/Cascade Creek TZ5 9,097 2% $0.34 TCO Pool 46,899 10% ($0.26) TETCO ELA & WLA 6,112 1% ($0.09) TETCO M3 29,235 6% $0.23 TETCO M2 209,567 43% ($0.67) Michcon 28,315 6% ($0.21) Physical basis sales 112,945 23% $0.02 Total (000 MMBtu) 487,244 100% ($0.36) Total (MMcf) 463,000 NYMEX $2.78 Weighted Average Basis (Not considering hedging) ($0.36) 2018E Average Realized Price (per MMBtu) $2.42 Conversion Factor (MMBtu/Mcf) 1.054 2018E Average Realized Price (per Mcf) $2.55 BTU Uplift $0.13 Market 79
Financial Guidance: 2018E NGL Barrel Composition and Pricing
Approximately $200 million in revenue 2018E
▪ 2018E liquids sold:
▪ 2018E: 9-10% total production expected to be liquids ▪ Total expected price for NGLs in 2018E of $23-$24/Bbl ▪ Total weighted average price of liquids in 2017 was $25.53/Bbl ▪ Contractual obligations to recover ethane (INEOS)
than selling it as a natural gas equivalent
Ethane 48% Propane 30% I-Butane 5% N-Butane 9% Natural gasoline 8%
Low High Midpoint
NGL $23.00 $24.00 $23.50 Condensate (% of WTI) 70% Oil (% of WTI) 100%
Weighted Average NGL ($/Bbl) “NGL Barrel” Composition
80
Financial Guidance: 2018E Natural Gas Hedging Gain/Loss Projections
81
Note: Forward market prices are as of 2/16/2018. Hedged volumes and prices are as of 2/20/2018. Anticipated hedging activity is not included in projections. See Appendix for Q1 2018, 2019, and 2020 hedging gain/loss projections. (1) January and February are settled prices.▪ In addition to NYMEX and basis financial hedges, CNX has physical fixed basis sales and physical fixed price sales with customers ▪ CY 2018 physical fixed basis sales: 89.6 Bcf ▪ CY 2018 physical fixed price sales: 17.3 Bcf ▪ Physical sales provide additional basis hedge
Financial Guidance: 2018E E&P EBITDAX Buildup
82
Note: Based on midpoint of production and financial guidance range. Base plan assumes NYMEX as of 2/16/2018 of $2.78 per MMBtu + weighted average basis of ($0.36) per MMBtu. $0.15-$0.18 / Mcfe $0.06-$0.08 / Mcfe $0.80-$0.85 / Mcfe $85-$95 million $65-$70 million $50-$60 million $15-$20 million CNXM EBITDA Attributable to CNX $60-$65 millionE&P EBITDAX + Attributable CNXM EBITDA $825-$850 million
Realized Hedging Gain/(Loss) Natural Gas And Liquids RevenueFinancial Guidance: 2018E CNXM EBITDA Attributable to CNX
83
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 Total Revenue (100% of CNXM) Operating Expense General & Administrative EBITDA EBITDA Attributable to CNX $ in millions
Non-Controlling Interest
$60-$65 million
84
CAPITAL ALLOCATION
OPTIONALITY DRIVING VALUE
Capital Allocation Optionality Drives NAV/Share
85
▪ In late 2015, committed to strengthening the balance sheet through focusing on NAV/share
▪ Transitioned from a defensive posture to an offensive strategy as the strong balance sheet sets the platform for growth
January 2016
Capital Allocation Driven
Buchanan Mine Sale Balance Sheet Stabilization Marcellus JV Dissolution Non-Core Asset Divestitures Asset Optimization & Production Growth Coal Spin-Off Share Repurchases CONE GP Acquisition Debt RepurchasesBalance sheet strength and financial flexibility allow CNX to choose its path forward via strategic capital allocation
86
Drill bit Share count reduction Bolt-on acquisitions Balance sheet
Target Leverage Ratio Provides Capital Allocation Optionality
IRR ANALYSIS
Capital Allocation Optionality: Drill Bit IRR Opportunities
(1) See appendix slide 115 for full detailed assumptions for both half and full cycle economics. (2) Excludes sunk capex primarily applicable to OH. (3) Includes net CNXM gathering rates.87
Summary Assumptions ▪ Gas pricing: $2.50/MMBtu ▪ NGL pricing: $25/Bbl ▪ CND pricing: $45/Bbl Full Cycle Assumptions(1) ▪ Capital Expenditures(2):
infrastructure and land ▪ Operating Expenses:
general & administrative and production taxes Half Cycle Assumptions(1) ▪ Capital Expenditures(2):
▪ Operating Expenses:
production taxes
Transaction Volume
38% 73% 36% 67% 138% 300% 25% 36% 38% 75% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% Full Cycle Half Cycle Full Cycle Half Cycle Full Cycle Half Cycle Full Cycle Half Cycle Full Cycle Half Cycle SWPA CPA OH WV CNX Weighted Average IRRPortfolio IRR Summary: Five Year Plan Five-Year Plan Capital Allocation by Region
SWPA 82% CPA 10% OH 2% WV 6%
100 150 200 250 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E $- $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000 $9,000 $10,000 Shares Outstanding (millions) Market Cap ($ in millions) Market Cap Shares Outstanding - Including Drop Proceeds Shares Outstanding - No Additional Sales/Drops
Capital Allocation Optionality: Share Buybacks
88
Share Reduction 230.1 million 223.8 million
Additional 90+ million share reduction(2)
Q3 2017 End Year-End 2017 2018E-2022E Buyback Potential As of:
S/O:
219.8 million
As of 3/6/2018
Potential share count reduction of ~60% by year-end 2022 including additional drop proceeds
▪ Prior to spin:
repurchased shares have appreciated 36% compared to recent market prices(3) ▪ Since spin:
price of $13.95 appreciated 28% compared to recent market prices(3) ▪ Approximately $300 million remaining on share repurchase authorization for 2018 ▪ CNX refused to issue equity during the downturn when most of its peers did
the benefit of the discipline compounded by the share repurchases happening now
(1) Stock repurchase price assumes static year-forward EV/EBITDAX multiple of 5.9x on guided adjusted EBITDAX and net debt levels. Market cap estimate includes deployment of ~$1.8 billion related to potential drop proceeds and tax refunds.. (2) Not including deployment of ~$1.8 billion of potential drop proceeds and tax refunds. (3) Shares repurchased as of market close 3/8/2018. Return calculation based on CNX and CEIX closing prices on 3/8/2018.~$110/share with drop proceeds(1)
$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E
Annual Cash Servicing Costs ($ in millions) Long-Term Liabilities ($ in millions)
Long-Term Liabilities Total Annual Cash Servicing Cost
Rehabilitated Balance Sheet Sets New Beginning
89
Long-term liabilities now <$60 million with annual cash servicing costs of <$5 million
Long-Term Liabilities Reduced by More than $4 Billion Over last Six Years
2018E hedge book and production ramp sets clear path to
<2.5x net debt / EBITDAX
Capital Allocation: Balance Sheet
90
Total Debt YE 2017 YE 2018E Balance Sheet Highlights(1) Cash Net Debt Leverage Ratio(2)(4) – LQA Leverage Ratio(3) - TTM
$2,232 $1,980 $509 $25 $1,723 $1,960 2.5x
2.4x
(1) Debt balances exclude portions attributable to CNXM. (2) Based on midpoint of financial guidance. (3) Based on guided EBITDAX for next twelve month period and current period net debt. (4) Last quarter annualized demonstrates EBITDA ramp in Q42017 impact on leverage ratio. Not shown for YE 2018E as CNX does not give quarterly guidance.CNX EBITDAX Less Sensitive to Commodity Swings
$- $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $- $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 $3.50 $3.00 $2.75 $2.50 $2.25 EBITDAX Sensitivity ($ in millions) Henry Hub Henry Hub EBITDAEach $0.25 decline in HH price yields only a $35 million decline in 2018E EBITDAX
2018E EBITDAX at $2.85 per MMBtu HHTotal Liquidity
$1,770 $1,700
$ in millions
Leverage Ratio(2)(3) – NTM
2.1x 2.1x
Tax Reform and NOLs Create Tailwind
Note: Deferred tax liability table from 2017 10-K p. 92.91
▪ Tax reform law states that Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT) amounts can be refunded at 50% in first year
subsequent years
▪ Following the spin transaction, CNX retained the corporate tax attributes
(NOLs) with a cash value of about $95 million
taxable income
years ▪ Additional NOLs projected with sale of SOG that are likely to further delay cash tax obligation ▪ Intangible drilling costs (IDCs) will be 100% deductible in year one or can be amortized over five years
minimize cash tax burden for many years
December 31, 2017 2016 Deferred Tax Assets: Alternative minimum tax $ 188,080 $ 219,872 Net operating loss - State 107,756 74,310 Net operating loss - Federal 99,524 144,450 Foreign tax credit 44,402 39,850 Gas well closing 16,648 20,512 Salary retirement 9,404 16,928 Capital lease 2,020 3,210 Gas derivatives — 72,105 Other 33,697 48,961 Total Deferred Tax Assets 501,531 640,198 Valuation Allowance (136,576) (282,778) Net Deferred Tax Assets 364,955 357,420 Deferred Tax Liabilities: Property, plant and equipment (385,366) (450,695) Gas derivatives (15,248) — Advance gas royalties (3,648) (5,824) Equity Partnerships (1,251) (2,237) Other (3,815) (3,760) Total Deferred Tax Liabilities (409,328) (462,516) Net Deferred Tax Liability $ (44,373) $ (105,096)
Finance Summary: 2014-2018+
92
Company Transformation and Balance Sheet Repair
Share Repurchases Begin Drilling Program Expanded
2017 2014- 2017
Growing EBITDAX Balance Sheet Optionality
Continued Share Repurchases Bolt-On Acquisitions Drill Bit
2018+
Growing NAV/Share
Ongoing Hedge Program Locking in Revenue and Returns IRR Analysis
CNX is Designed and Managed Differently
93
Strategy is reinforced by management philosophy, company values, incentive plans, and ownership
What about CNX’s distinctive strategy drives value?
Growing IRRs based on steady and reliable execution Early movers on stacked pay development Target 2.5x leverage ratio and balance sheet optionality Continued commitment to share count reduction CNXM growth opportunity beyond de-risked15%
94
Stacked Pay: Pad Level Benefits
96
▪ SWPA Central stacked pay development of Utica and Marcellus yields the highest NAV/share ▪ Pay zone specific drilling & completion assignment reduces capital and increase efficiencies ▪ Pay zone development timing flexibility ▪ Increased pad utilization & efficiency
high value stacked pay development
▪ Value loss mitigation utilizing refined development strategy
interruption ▪ Reduces surface footprint of development by ~1000 acres
Stacked Pay: What are the Main Advantages?
97
(1) Assumes six Marcellus laterals at 9,500’ and six Utica laterals at 8,500’.Marcellus Utica Unstacked Stacked Unstacked Stacked LOE ($/Mcf) 0.10 0.05 0.04 0.04
0.96 0.38 0.37 0.24 CapEx ($ in millions) 8.4 8.3 14.6 14.3
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 IRR (%) NPV ($ in millions) Gas PriceStacked Pay Pad Economics Example
Unstacked NPV Stacked NPV Unstacked IRR % Stacked IRR %▪ Reduces capital
▪ Reduces cycle times
▪ Reduces LOE
▪ Reduces gathering fees
▪ 3D seismic de-risks & optimizes D&C across all pay zones
$2.00 $2.50 $3.00
Stacked Pay: Gas Blending Driving NAV/Share
98
▪ Midstream pipeline tariffs require Marcellus gas above 1110 BTU be processed ▪ Processing damp gas between 1100-1150 BTU range is NPV destructive ▪ Solution: Develop dry Utica concurrent to damp Marcellus and blend to avoid processing
efficiency
with CNXM
Unstacked Stacked Delta Well Count 240 240
$2,761 $2,700 ($61) NPV ($ in millions) $1,306 $1,616 +$310 BTAX IRR 48.4% 59.4% +11.0%
20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 1110 1120 1130 1140 1150 Lateral Length (ft) Marcellus BTULateral Feet to Blend by BTU to Equal 1100
Utica Lateral Length Marcellus Lateral LengthStacked Pay: Marcellus/Utica vs. Marcellus/Upper Devonian
99
▪ Stacked Pay with Marcellus and Utica yields a higher NPV than stacking Marcellus with Upper Devonian wells ▪ Stacking wet gas Marcellus wells with dry gas Utica wells gives the optionality to blend or process the gas depending on NGL market conditions ▪ An Upper Devonian well yields ~60% of the production of a Marcellus well for similar capital Stacked Pay
CNX Marcellus/Utica Stack Company A Marcellus/Upper Devonian Stack
LL 9500'/8500' 12000'/15000' EUR/Ft 2.8 / 3.2 2.4 / 1.5 LOE ($/Mcf) 0.10 0.10 CapEx ($ in millions) 8.3/14.1 11.0/10.8 Gathering Rate ($/Mcf) 0.46 0.46
Normalized NPV (NPV/Foot)
CNX Marcellus/Utica Stack Company A Marcellus/Upper Devonian StackDetailed IDR Model: Assuming 15% Distribution Growth
100
Note: Distribution targets found on page 79 of CNX Midstream 2017 10-K. GP + Floor Ceiling LP ShareIDR ShareIDR Share Minimum Quarterly Distribution (MQD) 0.212500 98% 2% 0% First Target Distribution 0.212500 0.244375 98% 2% 0% Second Target Distribution 0.244375 0.265625 85% 15% 13% Third Target Distribution 0.265625 0.318750 75% 25% 23% Thereafter 0.318750 50% 50% 48% Total LP Units 21.7 million 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 Distribution Per LP Unit 0.2450 0.2540 0.2630 0.2724 0.2821 0.2921 0.3025 0.3133 0.3245 0.3360 0.3480 0.3604 0.3732 0.3865 0.4003 0.4145 0.4293 0.4446 0.4604 0.4768 0.4938 0.5114 0.5296 0.5484 0.5680 0.5882 0.6091 0.6308 Distribution Growth % 3.7% 3.5% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% LP Take by Tier Minimum Quarterly Distribution (MQD) 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 0.2125 First Target Distribution 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 0.0319 Second Target Distribution 0.0006 0.0096 0.0186 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 0.0213 Third Target Distribution 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0068 0.0165 0.0265 0.0369 0.0477 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 0.0531 Thereafter 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0057 0.0173 0.0292 0.0416 0.0545 0.0678 0.0815 0.0958 0.1105 0.1258 0.1417 0.1581 0.1750 0.1926 0.2108 0.2297 0.2492 0.2694 0.2904 0.3121 Total 0.2450 0.2540 0.2630 0.2724 0.2821 0.2921 0.3025 0.3133 0.3245 0.3360 0.3480 0.3604 0.3732 0.3865 0.4003 0.4145 0.4293 0.4446 0.4604 0.4768 0.4938 0.5114 0.5296 0.5484 0.5680 0.5882 0.6091 0.6308 GP Take by Tier Minimum Quarterly Distribution (MQD) 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 0.0043 Tier 1 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 0.0007 Tier 2 0.0001 0.0017 0.0033 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 0.0038 Tier 3 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0023 0.0055 0.0088 0.0123 0.0159 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 0.0177 Tier 4 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0057 0.0173 0.0292 0.0416 0.0545 0.0678 0.0815 0.0958 0.1105 0.1258 0.1417 0.1581 0.1750 0.1926 0.2108 0.2297 0.2492 0.2694 0.2904 0.3121 Total 0.0051 0.0067 0.0083 0.0110 0.0142 0.0176 0.0210 0.0246 0.0322 0.0437 0.0557 0.0681 0.0809 0.0942 0.1080 0.1222 0.1370 0.1523 0.1681 0.1845 0.2015 0.2191 0.2373 0.2561 0.2757 0.2959 0.3168 0.3385 Total Distributions 0.2501 0.2607 0.2713 0.2834 0.2963 0.3097 0.3236 0.3380 0.3567 0.3798 0.4037 0.4285 0.4541 0.4807 0.5083 0.5368 0.5663 0.5969 0.6285 0.6613 0.6953 0.7304 0.7669 0.8046 0.8436 0.8841 0.9260 0.9694 GP Take 2.0% 2.6% 3.1% 3.9% 4.8% 5.7% 6.5% 7.3% 9.0% 11.5% 13.8% 15.9% 17.8% 19.6% 21.2% 22.8% 24.2% 25.5% 26.7% 27.9% 29.0% 30.0% 30.9% 31.8% 32.7% 33.5% 34.2% 34.9% LP Take 98.0% 97.4% 96.9% 96.1% 95.2% 94.3% 93.5% 92.7% 91.0% 88.5% 86.2% 84.1% 82.2% 80.4% 78.8% 77.2% 75.8% 74.5% 73.3% 72.1% 71.0% 70.0% 69.1% 68.2% 67.3% 66.5% 65.8% 65.1% LP Units O/S 58.34 58.34 58.34 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 63.53 GP + IDR Distributions ($MM) 0.30 0.39 0.48 0.70 0.90 1.12 1.34 1.57 2.04 2.78 3.54 4.33 5.14 5.98 6.86 7.76 8.70 9.67 10.68 11.72 12.80 13.92 15.07 16.27 17.51 18.80 20.13 21.51 Annual GP+IDR Distribution ($MM) $1.87 $4.92 $12.69 $25.75 $40.78 $58.06 $77.94 Annual LP Distribution ($MM) $29.71 $34.17 $39.30 $45.20 $52.00 Total Distributions to CNX $42.39 $59.92 $80.08 $103.27 $129.94Guidance: Natural Gas Hedging – Gain/Loss Projections
101
Note: Forward market prices are as of 2/16/2018. Hedged volumes and prices are as of 2/20/2018. Anticipated hedging activity is not included in projections. (1) January and February are settled prices. (1) (1) Q1 2018 CY2018 Hedged Volumes Hedged Forward Forecasted Gain/(Loss) Hedged Volumes Hedged Forward Forecasted Gain/(Loss) (000 MMBtu) Price Market ($/MMBtu) ($ in 000's) (000 MMBtu) Price Market ($/MMBtu) ($ in 000's) ($/MMBtu) NYMEX 93,150 $2.98 $2.98 ($0.00) ($274) 377,775 $2.98 $2.78 $0.20 $74,668 Basis: DOM South (DOM) 8,100 ($0.61) ($0.57) ($0.04) ($351) 30,100 ($0.60) ($0.67) $0.07 $2,030 ETNG Cascade Creek TZ5 $0.00 $1.10 $0.00 $0 $0.00 $0.45 $0.00 $0 ETNG Mainline $0.00 $0.55 $0.00 $0 $0.00 $0.23 $0.00 $0 Chicago $0.00 $0.28 $0.00 $0 $0.00 ($0.12) $0.00 $0 TCO Pool (TCO) 9,000 ($0.27) ($0.25) ($0.02) ($164) 36,500 ($0.27) ($0.26) ($0.01) ($239) Michcon (NMC) 3,600 ($0.03) ($0.11) $0.08 $282 14,448 ($0.03) ($0.21) $0.18 $2,609 TETCO ELA (TEB) 1,350 ($0.09) ($0.09) ($0.00) ($2) 5,475 ($0.09) ($0.09) $0.00 $27 TETCO WLA (TWB) $0.00 ($0.06) $0.06 $0 $0.00 ($0.08) $0.00 $0 TETCO M3 (TMT) 6,145 $0.09 $2.33 ($2.24) ($13,762) 19,895 ($0.05) $0.23 ($0.28) ($5,547) TETCO M2 (BM2) 47,925 ($0.60) ($0.52) ($0.08) ($3,827) 191,613 ($0.60) ($0.67) $0.07 $13,173 Total Financial basis 76,120 ($17,824) 298,030 $12,053 Total Projected Gain/(Loss) ($18,098) $86,721 CY2019 CY2020 Hedged Volumes Hedged Forward Forecasted Gain/(Loss) Hedged Volumes Hedged Forward Forecasted Gain/(Loss) (000 MMBtu) Price Market ($/MMBtu) ($ in 000's) (000 MMBtu) Price Market ($/MMBtu) ($ in 000's) ($/MMBtu) NYMEX 341,275 $2.84 $2.76 $0.09 $29,256 231,495 $2.87 $2.77 $0.10 $22,455 Basis: DOM South (DOM) 32,850 ($0.58) ($0.59) $0.00 $71 16,470 ($0.59) ($0.60) $0.01 $105 ETNG Cascade Creek TZ5 $0.00 $0.45 $0.00 $0 $0.00 $0.45 $0.00 $0 ETNG Mainline $0.00 $0.23 $0.00 $0 $0.00 $0.23 $0.00 $0 Chicago $0.00 ($0.27) $0.00 $0 $0.00 ($0.20) $0.00 $0 TCO Pool (TCO) 43,800 ($0.33) ($0.37) $0.04 $1,911 32,940 ($0.35) ($0.43) $0.08 $2,530 Michcon (NMC) 20,683 ($0.13) ($0.31) $0.18 $3,622 24,553 ($0.13) ($0.25) $0.13 $3,075 TETCO ELA (TEB) 7,300 ($0.09) ($0.09) $0.00 $0 7,320 ($0.09) ($0.08) ($0.01) ($49) TETCO WLA (TWB) 7,300 ($0.08) ($0.09) $0.01 $61 7,320 ($0.08) ($0.09) $0.00 $32 TETCO M3 (TMT) 4,563 $0.07 $0.03 $0.04 $187 $0.00 ($0.02) $0.00 $0 TETCO M2 (BM2) 83,950 ($0.59) ($0.59) ($0.01) ($431) 42,090 ($0.58) ($0.61) $0.03 $1,297 Total Financial basis 200,445 $5,421 130,693 $6,990 Total Projected Gain/(Loss) $34,676 $29,444Asset Portfolio Overview
102
Marcellus Utica
SWPA WV CPA OH Total SWPA WV CPA OH Total
Total Net Acres 117,000 95,000 303,000 16,000 531,000 157,000 135,000 235,000 125,000 652,000 Net Developed Acres 21,600 5,900 6,100 200 33,800 100 400 20,000 20,500 Net Undeveloped Locations 582 190 1,249 102 2,123 669 511 1,011 161 2,394 PDP 194 42 56 1 293 1 3 114 118 2017 Exit Rate (Bcfe/d) 0.494 0.178 0.039 0.711 0.004 0.046 0.399 0.449 Note: 2017 Exit Rate is the average production per day for the month of DecemberVirginia CBM ▪ ~270,000 contiguous acres, 100% WI ▪ 88% HBP, 87.5% NRI ▪ ~4,000 PDPs at 165 MMcf/d
Shirley-Pennsboro Wells
Shirley-Pennsboro: Asset and Development Overview
(1) Assumes ethane extraction for forecasts and type curves. (2) CNX operated wells, legacy JV construction and drilling capital included in capital efficiency.103
▪ CNX’s future development represents a 47% increase in capital efficiency (Mcfe/$) compared to legacy wells
legacy JV wells ▪ Reduced capital driven by operational excellence:
period
▪ The Shirley-Pennsboro field contains 50+ future wells that will be part of the core development plan ▪ Expected to add $22-$24 million of pro forma 2018 EBITDA for CNXM growing to $40-$50 million in 2020E
Shirley-Pennsboro – Capital Efficiency
Legacy JV CNX(2) CNX Future DevelopmentSystem Operating Area
1.90 Mcfe/$ 2.33 Mcfe/$ 2.79 Mcfe/$Shirley Pennsboro
Leading Capital Efficiency in SWPA Marcellus
Note: Peer data from company filings.104
SWPA Capital Efficiency
Company EUR (Bcf/1000’) Well Capital Lateral Length Total EUR Capital Efficiency (Mcfe/$) CNX 2.8 $8,300,000 9,500 26.79 3.23 Peer 1 2.4 $9,050,000 9,500 22.80 2.52
Peer 1WV Region Overview: Shirley-Pennsboro and East
105
▪ Strong well results from enhanced completion techniques ▪ High BTU area that supplies liquids to portfolio
WV Shirley-Penns Marcellus Utica
Undeveloped Net Locations 85 77 EUR (Bcfe/1000’) 3.0 2.8 Total NRI 85% 87% Total PDPs 42
0.178
Marcellus Utica
Undeveloped Net Locations 105 434 EUR (Bcfe/1000’) 2.4 2.8 Total NRI 90% 88% Total PDPs
Utica delineation can unlock tremendous value based
Asset Region 4: Ohio Overview
106
▪ Joint Venture with Hess
OH Wet Marcellus Utica
Undeveloped Net Locations
EUR (Bcfe/1000’)
Total NRI
Total PDPs
31 (CNX) Net Current Production (Bcfe/d)
OH Dry Marcellus Utica
Undeveloped Net Locations 100 26 EUR (Bcf/1000’)
Total NRI 85% 85% Total PDPs 1 24 Net Current Production (Bcfe/d)
▪ Fueling current growth with four pads remaining ▪ Increased type curves and returns driven by wider spacing ▪ OH Dry Utica Locations decreased due to Jefferson County sale in Q1 2017, increased spacing assumptions, and increased activity in 2017
Peer Benchmarking: Ohio Region - Dry
Note: Peer data from company filings.107 Company EUR (Bcf/1000’) Well Capital Lateral Length Total EUR (BCF) Capital Efficiency (Mcfe/$)
CNX 3.2 $10,500,000 9,000 28.71 2.73 Peer 1 2.2 $9,056,250 9,000 19.80 2.19 Peer 2 2.6 $9,990,000 9,000 23.40 2.34 Peer 3 2.1 $10,832,000 9,000 18.90 1.75
Ohio Dry Utica Capital Efficiency
Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3SWPA Central Modeling Inputs and Economics
108
Gross EUR (bcfe) 26.8 Inlet BTU 1075 Outlet BTU N/A WI / NRI (%) 100% / 87% Net Locations ~391 Wells Online (12/31/17) 182Reserves Detail Interest / Net Locations
IP (MMcf/d) (3 mo. flat) 15.9 Decline 57% B-factor 1.5 EUR/1000' (Bcfe) 2.8 Lateral Length 9500' Wells Per Pad 6 NGL Yield (Bbl/MMcf)Reserves Detail Interest / Net Locations
IP (MMcf/d) (11 mo. flat) 17.9 Decline 60% B-factor 1.2 EUR/1000' (Bcfe) 3.2 Lateral Length 8,500' Wells Per Pad 6 Well Capital ($MM) $14.3 CNXM Sponsor Capital ($MM) $0.58 Fixed Cost ($/mo./well) $500 LOE ($/Mcf) $0.04 Net Gathering ($/Mcf) $0.16Assumptions Price 9,500' $2.00 45% $2.50 75% $3.00 113% BTAX IRR% Price 8,500' $2.00 37% $2.50 64% $3.00 95% BTAX IRR%
100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 12 24 36 48 Gas Production (Mcf/m) Months After TILSWPA Central Marcellus Type Curve (2.8 Bcf/1000')
9500' LL 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 12 24 36 48 Gas Production (Mcf/m) Months After TILSWPA Central Utica Type Curve (3.2 Bcf/1000')
8500' LL (1) Assuming 9,500 ft lateral @ 750 ft inter-lateral spacing (2) Assuming 8,500 ft lateral @ 1,200 ft inter-lateral spacing (3) Escalation not applied to gas pricing, capex, and LOE (4) Escalation of 2.5%/year applied to gathering and compressor fees per contract (5) Tier I Net Comp. fee of $0.040 applied after 1 year (Marcellus) (18 mo. for Utica) & Tier II (Marcellus only) additional fee of $0.040 applied after 3 years (6) Assuming NGL & CND pricing at $25/bbl & $45/bbl (7) See NGL and CND assumptions on type curve data file located at http://investors.cnx.com/events-and-presentations/events/2018. Note: NRI excludes potential amendments to existing leases and adverse or third party acreage within drilling units.SWPA Central Marcellus Type Curve (2.8 Bcf/1000’) SWPA Central Utica Type Curve (3.2 Bcf/1000’)
SWPA Greater Modeling Inputs and Economics
109
Gross EUR (bcfe) 25.8 Inlet BTU 1144 Outlet BTU 1081 WI / NRI (%) 100% / 91% Net Locations ~191 Wells Online (12/31/17) 12Reserves Detail Interest / Net Locations
IP (MMcf/d) (3 mo. flat) 11.8 Decline 52% B-factor 1.59 EUR/1000' (Bcfe) 2.7 Lateral Length 9500' Wells Per Pad 6 NGL Yield (Bbl/MMcf) 23.6 CND Yield (Bbl/MMcf)Reserves Detail Interest / Net Locations
IP (MMcf/d)(7 mo. @7.5% exp de.) 18.1 Decline 61% B-factor 1.2 EUR/1000' (Bcfe) 3.0 Lateral Length 8,500' Wells Per Pad 6 Well Capital ($MM) $14.3 CNXM Sponsor Capital ($MM)Assumptions Price 9,500' $2.00 26% $2.50 47% $3.00 72% BTAX IRR% Price 8,500' $2.00 33% $2.50 59% $3.00 91% BTAX IRR%
100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 12 24 36 48 Gas Production (Mcf/m) Months After TILSWPA Greater Marcellus Type Curve (2.7 Bcfe/1000')
9500' LL 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 12 24 36 48 Gas Production (Mcf/m) Months After TILSWPA Greater Utica Type Curve (3.0 Bcf/1000')
8500' LL (1) Assuming 9,500 ft lateral @ 750 ft inter-lateral spacing (2) Assuming 8,500 ft lateral @ 1,200 ft inter-lateral spacing (3) Escalation not applied to gas pricing, capex, and LOE (4) Escalation of 2.5%/year applied to gathering fees per contract (5) Assuming NGL & CND pricing at $25/bbl & $45/bbl (6) See NGL and CND assumptions on type curve data file located at http://investors.cnx.com/events-and-presentations/events/2018. Note: NRI excludes potential amendments to existing leases and adverse or third party acreage within drilling units.SWPA Greater Marcellus Type Curve (2.7 Bcfe/1000’) SWPA Greater Utica Type Curve (3.0 Bcf/1000’)
WV SHR/PENS Modeling Inputs and Economics
110
Gross EUR (bcfe) 22.2 Inlet BTU 1260 Outlet BTU 1126 WI / NRI (%) 100% / 85% Net Locations ~85 Wells Online (12/31/17) 42Reserves Detail Interest / Net Locations
IP (MMcf/d) 14.5 Decline 69% B-factor 1.65 EUR/1000' (Bcfe) 2.8 Lateral Length 8,000' Wells Per Pad 6 NGL Yield (Bbl/MMcf) 62.6 CND Yield (Bbl/MMcf) 25-7 Well Capital ($MM) $7.9 CNXM Sponsor Capital ($MM)Assumptions
Gross EUR (bcfe) 19.7 Inlet BTU 1030 Outlet BTU N/A WI / NRI (%) 100% / 87% Net Locations ~77 Wells Online (12/31/17)Reserves Detail Interest / Net Locations
IP (MMcf/d)(10 mo. @25% exp de.) 17.8 Decline 63% B-factor 1.2 EUR/1000' (Bcfe) 2.8 Lateral Length 7,000' Wells Per Pad 6 Well Capital ($MM) $14.4 CNXM Sponsor Capital ($MM)Assumptions Price 8,000' $2.00 29% $2.50 46% $3.00 65% BTAX IRR% Price 7,000' $2.00 14% $2.50 30% $3.00 50% BTAX IRR%
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 12 24 36 48 NGL/CND Production (BBL/month) Gas Production (Mcf/m Months After TILWV SHR/PENS Marcellus Type Curve (2.8 Bcfe/1000')
Gas NGL CND 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 12 24 36 48 Gas Production (Mcf/m) Months After TILWV SHR/PENS Utica Type Curve (2.8 Bcf/1000')
7000' LL (1) Assuming 8,000 ft lateral @ 750 ft inter-lateral spacing (2) Assuming 7,000 ft lateral @ 1,200 ft inter-lateral spacing (3) Escalation not applied to gas pricing, capex, and LOE (4) Escalation of 2.5%/year applied to gathering fees per contract (5) Assuming NGL & CND pricing at $25/bbl & $45/bbl (6) See NGL and CND assumptions on type curve data file located at http://investors.cnx.com/events-and-presentations/events/2018. Note: NRI excludes potential amendments to existing leases and adverse or third party acreage within drilling units.WV SHR/PENS Marcellus Type Curve (2.8 Bcfe/1000’) WV SHR/PENS Utica Type Curve (2.8 Bcf/1000’)
WV East Modeling Inputs and Economics
111
Gross EUR (bcfe) 19.4 Inlet BTU 1230 Outlet BTU 1113 WI / NRI (%) 100% / 90% Net Locations ~105 Wells Online (12/31/17)Reserves Detail Interest / Net Locations
IP (MMcf/d) 13.5 Decline 69% B-factor 1.65 EUR/1000' (Bcfe) 2.5 Lateral Length 8,000' Wells Per Pad 6 NGL Yield (Bbl/MMcf) 54 CND Yield (Bbl/MMcf) 7-2 Well Capital ($MM) $7.9 CNXM Sponsor Capital ($MM)Assumptions
Gross EUR (bcfe) 19.7 Inlet BTU 1030 Outlet BTU N/A WI / NRI (%) 100% / 88% Net Locations ~434 Wells Online (12/31/17)Reserves Detail Interest / Net Locations
IP (MMcf/d)(10 mo. @25% exp de.) 17.8 Decline 63% B-factor 1.2 EUR/1000' (Bcfe) 2.8 Lateral Length 7,000' Wells Per Pad 6 Well Capital ($MM) $14.4 CNXM Sponsor Capital ($MM)Assumptions Price 8,000' $2.00 18% $2.50 30% $3.00 46% BTAX IRR% Price 7,000' $2.00 15% $2.50 31% $3.00 52% BTAX IRR%
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 12 24 36 48 NGL/CND Production (BBL/month) Gas Production (Mcf/m) Months After TILWV East Marcellus Type Curve (2.5 Bcfe/1000')
Gas NGL CND 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 12 24 36 48 Gas Production (Mcf/m) Months After TILWV East Utica Type Curve (2.8 Bcf/1000')
7000' LL (1) Assuming 8,000 ft lateral @ 750 ft inter-lateral spacing (2) Assuming 7,000 ft lateral @ 1,200 ft inter-lateral spacing (3) Escalation not applied to gas pricing, capex, and LOE (4) Escalation of 2.5%/year applied to gathering fees per contract (5) Assuming NGL & CND pricing at $25/bbl & $45/bbl (6) See NGL and CND assumptions on type curve data file located at file located at http://investors.cnx.com/events-and-presentations/events/2018. Note: NRI excludes potential amendments to existing leases and adverse or third party acreage within drilling units.WV East Marcellus Type Curve (2.5 Bcfe/1000’) WV East Utica Type Curve (2.8 Bcf/1000’)
CPA South Modeling Inputs and Economics
112
Gross EUR (bcfe) 16.1 Inlet BTU 1040 Outlet BTU N/A WI / NRI (%) 100% / 87% Net Locations ~634 Wells Online (12/31/17) 47Reserves Detail Interest / Net Locations
IP (MMcf/d) 13.6 Decline 69% B-factor 1.65 EUR/1000' (Bcfe) 1.8 Lateral Length 9,000' Wells Per Pad 6 NGL Yield (Bbl/MMcf)Reserves Detail Interest / Net Locations
IP (MMcf/d)(14 mo. flat) 21.5 Decline 74% B-factor 1.2 EUR/1000' (Bcfe) 3.5 Lateral Length 7,000' Wells Per Pad 4 Well Capital ($MM) $13.1 CNXM Sponsor Capital ($MM)Assumptions Price 9,000' $2.00 18% $2.50 33% $3.00 50% BTAX IRR% Price 7,000' $2.00 58% $2.50 104% $3.00 157% BTAX IRR%
100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 12 24 36 48 Gas Production (Mcf/m) Months After TILCPA South Marcellus Type Curve (1.8 Bcf/1000')
9000' LL 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 12 24 36 48 Gas Production (Mcf/m) Months After TILCPA South Utica Type Curve (3.5 Bcf/1000')
7000' LL (1) Assuming 9,000 ft lateral @ 750 ft inter-lateral spacing (2) Assuming 7,000 ft lateral @ 1,200 ft inter-lateral spacing (3) Escalation not applied to gas pricing, capex, and LOE (4) Escalation of 2.5%/year applied to gathering fees per contract Note: NRI excludes potential amendments to existing leases and adverse or third party acreage within drilling units.CPA South Marcellus Type Curve (1.8 Bcf/1000’) CPA South Utica Type Curve (3.5 Bcf/1000’)
CPA North Modeling Inputs and Economics
113
Gross EUR (bcfe) 13.1 Inlet BTU 1012 Outlet BTU N/A WI / NRI (%) 100% / 86% Net Locations ~615 Wells Online (12/31/17) 9Reserves Detail Interest / Net Locations
IP (MMcf/d) 11.1 Decline 69% B-factor 1.65 EUR/1000' (Bcfe) 1.5 Lateral Length 9,000' Wells Per Pad 6 NGL Yield (Bbl/MMcf)Reserves Detail Interest / Net Locations
IP (MMcf/d)(14 mo. flat) 21.5 Decline 74% B-factor 1.2 EUR/1000' (Bcfe) 3.5 Lateral Length 7,000' Wells Per Pad 4 Well Capital ($MM) $13.1 CNXM Sponsor Capital ($MM)Assumptions Price 9,000' $2.00 10% $2.50 19% $3.00 31% BTAX IRR% Price 7,000' $2.00 56% $2.50 100% $3.00 151% BTAX IRR%
100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 12 24 36 48 Gas Production (Mcf/m) Months After TILCPA North Marcellus Type Curve (1.5 Bcf/1000')
9000' LL 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 12 24 36 48 Gas Production (Mcf/m) Months After TILCPA North Utica Type Curve (3.5 Bcf/1000')
7000' LL (1) Assuming 9,000 ft lateral @ 750 ft inter-lateral spacing (2) Assuming 7,000 ft lateral @ 1,200 ft inter-lateral spacing (3) Escalation not applied to gas pricing, capex, and LOE (4) Escalation of 2.5%/year applied to gathering fees per contract Note: NRI excludes potential amendments to existing leases and adverse or third party acreage within drilling units.CPA North Utica Type Curve (3.5 Bcf/1000’) CPA North Marcellus Type Curve (1.5 Bcf/1000’)
Ohio Modeling Inputs and Economics
114
Gross EUR (bcfe) 17.1 Inlet BTU 1170 Outlet BTU1098
WI / NRI (%) 50% / 42% Net Locations ~135 Wells Online (12/31/17) 90Reserves Detail Interest / Net Locations
IP (MMcf/d) 11.9 Decline 62% B-factor 1.38 EUR/1000' (Bcfe) 2.1 Lateral Length 8,000' Wells Per Pad 4 NGL Yield (Bbl/MMcf) 36.8 CND Yield (Bbl/MMcf) 14-3 Well Capital ($MM) $8.0 CNXM Sponsor Capital ($MM)Assumptions
Gross EUR (bcfe) 28.8 Inlet BTU 1030 Outlet BTU N/A WI / NRI (%) 100% / 85% Net Locations ~26 Wells Online (12/31/17) 24Reserves Detail Interest / Net Locations
IP (MMcf/d)(10 mo. @25% exp. de.) 22.5 Decline 60% B-factor 1.37 EUR/1000' (Bcfe) 3.2 Lateral Length 9,000' Wells Per Pad 4 Well Capital ($MM) $10.5 CNXM Sponsor Capital ($MM)Assumptions Price 8,000' $2.00 19% $2.50 33% $3.00 50% BTAX IRR% Price 9,000' $2.00 74% $2.50 126% $3.00 189% BTAX IRR%
10,000 20,000 30,000 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 12 24 36 48 NGL/CND Production (BBL/month) Gas Production (Mcf/m) Months After TILOH Wet Type Curve (2.1 Bcfe/1000')
Gas NGL CND 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 12 24 36 48 Gas Production (Mcf/m) Months After TILOH Dry Utica Type Curve (3.2 Bcf/1000')
9000' LL (1) Assuming 8,000 ft lateral @ 750 ft inter-lateral spacing (2) Assuming 9,000 ft lateral @ 1,350 ft inter-lateral spacing (3) Escalation not applied to gas pricing, capex, and LOE Note: NRI excludes potential amendments to existing leases and adverse or third party acreage within drilling units.OH Wet Utica Type Curve (2.1 Bcfe/1000’) OH Dry Utica Type Curve (3.2 Bcf/1000’)
Half Cycle and Full Cycle Modeling Assumptions
115
Assumption Half Cycle Full Cycle Half Cycle Gas Price - $/MMBtu $2.50 Flat $2.50 Flat See Regional Detail NGL Price - $/Bbl $25.00 Flat $25.00 Flat See Regional Detail Condensate Price - $/Bbl $45.00 Flat $45.00 Flat See Regional Detail Hedging Excluded Excluded Excluded Working Interest See Regional Detail See Regional Detail See Regional Detail Net Revenue Interest See Regional Detail See Regional Detail See Regional Detail Well Capital See Regional Detail See Regional Detail See Regional Detail Midstream See Regional Detail See Regional Detail See Regional Detail Water Infrastructure Excluded $525,000 Per Well Excluded Land Excluded $700,000 Per Well Excluded Fixed Cost ($/mo./well) See Regional Detail See Regional Detail See Regional Detail LOE $/Mcf See Regional Detail See Regional Detail See Regional Detail Net Gathering ($/Mcf) - Adjusted for CNXM See Regional Detail See Regional Detail See Regional Detail NGL OpEx ($/Bbl) See Regional Detail See Regional Detail See Regional Detail CND OpEx ($/Bbl) See Regional Detail See Regional Detail See Regional Detail Utilized Firm Transportation Excluded $0.19/Mcf 5 yr weighted Avg. Excluded General and Administrative Costs Excluded $975,000 Per Well Excluded Production Taxes (Severance & Ad Valorem, PA Impact Fee) Applied Per State Applied Per State Applied Per State Ownership Operating Expense CapEx Per Well Portfolio Single Well Realized PricingCNX Midstream Partners Governance
116
Public
41.9mm Common Units CNX Midstream GP LLC The “General Partner” Incentive Distribution Rights CNX Gathering LLC 100% NYSE: CNX 64.6% LP Interest 2% GP Interest Anchor Systems(Development Co. 1)
Growth Systems(Development Co. 2)
Additional Systems(Development Co. 3)
33.4% LP Interest 100% 5% GP Interest 5% GP Interest 95% LP Interest NYSE: CNXM 100%Post-Spin Company Names and Stock Trading Symbols
117
Effective November 28, 2017, the company known as CONSOL Energy Inc. (NYSE: CNX) separated its gas business (GasCo or RemainCo) and its coal business (CoalCo or SpinCo) into two independent, publicly traded companies by means of a separation
▪ The gas business, CNX Resources Corporation (RemainCo, GasCo or CNX), continues to be listed on the NYSE, retaining the ticker symbol "CNX". Information regarding CNX and its natural gas business is available at www.cnx.com. ▪ Following the closing of CNX’s purchase of Noble Energy’s 50% interest in CNX Gathering LLC, which occurred on January 3, 2018, the master limited partnership that was named CONE Midstream Partners, LP has changed its name to CNX Midstream Partners LP and now trades under a new ticker symbol: “CNXM”. CNX indirectly owns 100% of the general partnership interests of CNX Midstream Partners LP as well as all of its incentive distribution rights. Information regarding CNX Midstream Partners LP is available at www.cnxmidstream.com. ▪ The coal business, CONSOL Energy Inc. (SpinCo, CoalCo or CONSOL), is listed on the NYSE under the ticker symbol: "CEIX". CoalCo owns, operates and develops coal assets, including the Pennsylvania Mining Complex, the Baltimore Marine Terminal, and approximately one billion tons of greenfield coal reserves. Information regarding the new CONSOL Energy and its coal business is available at www.consolenergy.com. ▪ The master limited partnership that was named CNX Coal Resources LP (NYSE: CNXC) has changed its name to CONSOL Coal Resources LP and trades on the NYSE under a new ticker symbol: "CCR". CONSOL owns 100% of the general partner of CONSOL Coal Resources LP (representing a 1.7% general partner interest), as well as all of the incentive distribution rights and the common and subordinated interests in CNX Coal Resources LP that were owned by CNX prior to the spin-off. Information regarding CONSOL Coal Resources LP is available at www.ccrlp.com.