American Shipping Company ASA Presentation of Q2 2018 23 August - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
American Shipping Company ASA Presentation of Q2 2018 23 August - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
American Shipping Company ASA Presentation of Q2 2018 23 August 2018 Important information Nothing herein shall create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of American Shipping Company ASA ("AMSC" or the
Important information
- Nothing herein shall create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of American
Shipping Company ASA ("AMSC" or the "Company") as of the date of this Company Presentation. This Company Presentation contains forward-looking statements relating to the Company's business, the Company's prospects, potential future performance and demand for the Company's assets, the Jones Act tanker market and other forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes", "expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this Company Presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company
- r cited from third party sources, are solely opinions and forecasts which are subject to risks,
uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development.
Second Quarter 2018 Highlights
- Adjusted net profit of USD 1.6 million*
- Normalized EBITDA** of USD 21.5 million
- No profit share
- DPO of USD 0.9 million
- Declared Q2 dividend of USD 0.08 per share, consistent
with prior guidance
- Ex-dividend date of 29 August 2018 with payment on or about 7th
September 2018
- Classified as a return of paid in capital
- Improved market conditions for Jones Act tankers
- Crude volumes to U.S. Northeast remain strong
- Seasonal reduction in spot activity towards the end of second quarter,
mitigated by continued increased demand for time charter contracts
- Accelerated scrapping and limited supply growth going forward
* Net profit after tax, adjusted for non-recurring items, currency fluctuations, mark-to-market of derivatives and changes to deferred tax ** Includes DPO, reported EBITDA for Q2 18 is USD 20.6 million
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Normalized EBITDA* (USD millions) Normalized EBITDA* per quarter (USD millions)
Stable, Predictable EBITDA
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- Normalized EBITDA* of USD 21.5 million in Q2 18 (USD 22.2 million in Q2 17)
- No profit share in Q2 18 or Q2 17
- DPO of USD 0.9 in Q2 18 (USD 0.9 million in Q2 17)
* Including Profit Share (except 2017 where profit share was 0 for the full year) and DPO. Reported EBITDA for Q2 18 is USD 20.6 million
85 85 85 85 1 3 4 4 6 11 10 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2014 2015 2016 2017 Profit Share DPO Reported EBITDA 21 21 22 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 3 1 3 4 3 1 2 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 Q3 17 1 1 Q2 15 1 Q1 18 1 Q3 15 1 Q4 17 1 Q4 15 Q1 16 1 Q2 16 1 Q3 16 Q4 16 1 Q1 17 1 1 1 Q2 18 1 Q2 17 Profit Share DPO Reported EBITDA
Long-term fixed rate bareboat charters to OSG secures cash flow
Fleet Deployment Overview
5 * All vessels excluding Overseas Tampa which is contracted to June 2025
2017-19 2019 - beyond
BBC BBC BBC BBC BBC BBC BBC BBC BBC BBC Options BBC Options BBC Options BBC Options BBC Options BBC Options BBC Options BBC Options BBC Options BBC Opt. BBC*
Anacortes Boston Houston Long Beach Los Angeles Martinez New York Nikiski Tampa Texas City
Vessel End users
- AMSC’s fleet is on firm BB Charters to OSG until
December 2019* plus evergreen extension
- ptions
- AMSC receives fixed annual bareboat revenue of
USD 88 million + ~50% of the profits generated by OSG under the time charter contracts
- OSG time charters the vessels to oil majors for
U.S domestic trade
Delaware Bay Lightening (Crude) Shuttle tankers from deep water U.S. Gulf to Gulf Coast Refineries (Crude) Crude from Corpus Christi, TX to LOOP (not shown)
Jones Act crude oil & products primary trade routes
A Critical Part of Oil Majors’ Transportation Logistics
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Jones Act Tanker Routes:
Gulf Coast refineries to Florida and East Coast (Clean) Mid-Atlantic to New England (Clean) Alaska and Intra-west coast movements (Clean/Dirty) Cross-Gulf movements (Dirty) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Key US Oilfields Key Pipeline / rail Barges
1 6 4 2 5 3
US GULF BAKKEN EAGLE FORD PERMIAN Corpus Christi
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Patoka, IL
Jones Act tanker fleet deployment by main trades (Tankers and ATBs)
Majority of Fleet carry Clean Products
7 Source: Navigistics’ Wilson Gillette Report, Apr 2018 and AMSC analysis
1 % 3 % 8 % 18 % 46 % 24 %
Idle MSC Chemicals West Coast Clean USG Crude Oil
Seaborne products transport from Gulf Coast to East Coast is rising (Mbbls per month)
Increasing Clean Product Volumes
8 Sources: EIA
10 15 20 25 Jan‐2010 Mar‐2010 May‐2010 Jul‐2010 Sep‐2010 Nov‐2010 Jan‐2011 Mar‐2011 May‐2011 Jul‐2011 Sep‐2011 Nov‐2011 Jan‐2012 Mar‐2012 May‐2012 Jul‐2012 Sep‐2012 Nov‐2012 Jan‐2013 Mar‐2013 May‐2013 Jul‐2013 Sep‐2013 Nov‐2013 Jan‐2014 Mar‐2014 May‐2014 Jul‐2014 Sep‐2014 Nov‐2014 Jan‐2015 Mar‐2015 May‐2015 Jul‐2015 Sep‐2015 Nov‐2015 Jan‐2016 Mar‐2016 May‐2016 Jul‐2016 Sep‐2016 Nov‐2016 Jan‐2017 Mar‐2017 May‐2017 Jul‐2017 Sep‐2017 Nov‐2017 Jan‐2018 Mar‐2018 May‐2018
Mbbl
East Coast (PADD 1) receipts by Tanker and Barge from Gulf (PADD 3)
Intra PADD 3 Crude Oil Moves by Area of Loading, (KBD’s) PADD 3 to PADD 1 Crude Oil Moves by Tanker and Barge (Mbbls per month, 3month rolling averages)
Crude Shipping Volumes Stabilizing Intra Gulf whilst Returning to Peak Levels on East Coast
9 Source: ClipperData March 2018, EIA, Marine Traffic and AMSC analysis
- JA USG loading of 600m bbls per day utilizes
~9 vessels for USG crude trade (assuming 5 days roundtrip)
- Volumes poised to recover
- Volumes in East Coast trade is back to ~5
tankers, up from ~1 tanker during 2017
- Volumes driven by spread in pricing of US oil vs
international alternatives
- WTI Houston vs. Bonny Light
1 2 3 4 Jan‐2013 Mar‐2013 May‐2013 Jul‐2013 Sep‐2013 Nov‐2013 Jan‐2014 Mar‐2014 May‐2014 Jul‐2014 Sep‐2014 Nov‐2014 Jan‐2015 Mar‐2015 May‐2015 Jul‐2015 Sep‐2015 Nov‐2015 Jan‐2016 Mar‐2016 May‐2016 Jul‐2016 Sep‐2016 Nov‐2016 Jan‐2017 Mar‐2017 May‐2017 Jul‐2017 Sep‐2017 Nov‐2017 Jan‐2018 Mar‐2018 May‐2018 Jul‐2018
Mbbl
PADD 3 to PADD 1 Tanker Crude Oil Movements (3 month rolling average)
PADD 3 to PADD 1 Crude Oil Moves by Number of Tanker Liftings Crude Oil Price Spread - WTI Houston vs. Bonny Light
Oil Price Spread - Key Driver for Increase in PADD 3 to PADD 1 Crude Shipping Volumes
10 Source: Argus and Marine Traffic
- Record 9 monthly voyages in Jun 18 and 8 by
late August (in transit or delivered)
- ~ 5 tankers absorbed in activity from U.S. Gulf
up to North East refineries
- Crude loaded in Houston vs. West Africa needs
to be minimum $1.50 cheaper to be competitive for U.S. Eastcoast Refiners
- Spread has been sufficiently wide since
Aug/Sept 2017
‐1.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 Jan 2017 Apr 2017 Jul 2017 Oct 2017 Jan 2018 Apr 2018 Jul 2018 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Candidates for scrapping
Fleet profile by vessel age Considerable fleet growth over the last 3 years, but scrapping likely to bring fleet back to 2015 levels
Limited Remaining Fleet Growth and Scrapping Continues (3x units YTD 2018)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 45 # vessels 50 40 30 35 25 20 15 10 5 1 Scrap/lay up ATBs Tankers AMSC
11 Source: Navigistics’ Wilson Gillette Report Apr 2018, broker reports and AMSC analysis
5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Fleet Scrapping
Actual Projected Kbbls Capacity 2015 levels
Income Statement (unaudited)
*Applicable to common stockholders of the parent company
Figures in USD million (except share and per share information) Q2 2018 Q2 2017
Operating revenues 21.9 21.9 Operating expenses (1.3) (0.6) Operating profit before depreciation - EBITDA 20.6 21.3 Depreciation (8.4) (8.5) Operating profit - EBIT 12.2 12.7 Gain on investments
- Net interest expense
(10.4) (10.3) Unrealized gain/(loss) on interest swaps 0.5 (0.9) Net foreign exchange gain/(loss)
- Profit/(loss) before income tax
2.3 1.6 Income tax expense (0.2)
- Non-cash income tax expense
(0.1) (0.2) Net profit / (loss) for the period * 2.0 1.4 Average number of common shares 60,616,505 60,616,505 Earnings/(loss) per share (USD) 0.03 0.02
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Balance Sheet (unaudited)
Figures in USD millions 30.06.2018 30.06.2017
Vessels 728.8 762.5 Interest-bearing long term receivables (DPO) 27.7 29.7 Other non current assets 16.4 15.3 Derivative financial assets 4.0
- Trade and other receivables
0.2 1.6 Cash held for specified uses 2.8 2.2 Cash and cash equivalents 51.3 51.0 TOTAL ASSETS 831.2 862.3 Total equity 183.0 183.1 Deferred tax liabilities 12.2 19.4 Interest-bearing long term debt 587.2 613.2 Derivative financial liabilities
- 0.3
Interest-bearing short term debt 28.3 28.3 Deferred revenues and other payables 20.5 18.0 TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 831.2 862.3
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Cash position increased during the quarter
CASH DEVELOPMENT IN 2Q 18 (USD millions)
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20.6 4.5 7.1 4.8 48.5
OB Cash
54.1
CB Cash Dividends Amortization Interest EBITDA Other
1.4
Investment Highlights
Highlights Comments
- Increased crude shipments from U.S. Gulf to the U.S. Northeast
- Intra gulf volumes crude stabilizing
- Steady clean trade into Florida
INCREASED DEMAND IN KEY TRADES LIMITED NEW VESSEL ORDERS LEADING MARKET POSITION WITH STABLE CASH FLOWS
- Final MR tanker delivered and one smaller ATBs entering the market in 2018
- Only new orders are 1+1 ATB for delivery in Q2-2020
- Scrapping / lay-up of older tonnage continues
- AMSC has the most cost efficient modern Jones Act tanker fleet
- Stable cash flow from fixed rate bareboat contracts and upside potential from profit
share arrangement
- Committed to returning capital to shareholders through dividends, whilst prudently
managing the balance sheet and maintaining financial flexibility
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