Alaska Alaska (Chukchi, Beaufort, Cook Inlet & North (Chukchi, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Alaska Alaska (Chukchi, Beaufort, Cook Inlet & North (Chukchi, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Alaska Alaska (Chukchi, Beaufort, Cook Inlet & North (Chukchi, Beaufort, Cook Inlet & North Aleutian) Aleutian) OCS Workshop OCS Workshop January 16, 2008 January 16, 2008 Rance Wall Rance Wall Regional Supervisor, Regional


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SLIDE 1

Alaska Alaska (Chukchi, Beaufort, Cook Inlet & North (Chukchi, Beaufort, Cook Inlet & North Aleutian) Aleutian)

OCS Workshop OCS Workshop January 16, 2008 January 16, 2008 Rance Wall Rance Wall Regional Supervisor, Regional Supervisor, Resource Evaluation Alaska Resource Evaluation Alaska U.S. Minerals Management Service U.S. Minerals Management Service

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SLIDE 2

Oil and Gas Leasing, Oil and Gas Leasing, Regulation, Monitoring, Regulation, Monitoring, Inspections Inspections

  • Sand, gravel, gold, and

Sand, gravel, gold, and

  • ther minerals,
  • ther minerals,
  • New

New >> Energy from wind, >> Energy from wind, currents, waves currents, waves MMS: An Ocean, Energy, MMS: An Ocean, Energy, & Mineral Agency & Mineral Agency

  • Environmental

Environmental & Technical & Technical Research Research

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SLIDE 3
  • Upcoming lease

sales

  • Exploration and

development

  • Issues
  • Research
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SLIDE 4

Trans-Alaska Pipeline Daily Throughput

1977-2006

0.000 0.500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2.500

1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2004 2006

Million Barrels per day 2006: 759,081 BOPD

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SLIDE 5
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SLIDE 6

Alaska 2007-12 OCS Program

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SLIDE 7

Alaska Sales 2007-2012 Program

Arctic Chukchi Sea

  • Sale 193 (2008)
  • Sale 212 (2010)
  • Sale 221 (2012)

Beaufort Sea

  • Sale 209 (2009)
  • Sale 217 (2011)

Bering Sea /Gulf of Alaska North Aleutian Basin

  • Sale 214 (2011)

Cook Inlet (if interest)

  • Sale 211 (2009)
  • Sale 219 (2011)
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SLIDE 8

Alaska Oil and Gas Estimates

Undiscovered Technically Recoverable

OCS Planning Area Oil and Gas Estimates

95% Mean 5% Beaufort Sea Oil (bbo) 0.4 8.2 23.2 Gas (tcf) 0.7 27.7 72.2 Chukchi Sea Oil (bbo) 2.3 15.4 40.1 Gas (tcf) 10.3 76.8 209.5 North Aleutian Basin Oil (bbo) 0.02 0.75 2.5 Gas (tcf) 0.4 8.6 22.3 Cook Inlet Oil (bbo) 0.06 1.0 2.9 Gas (tcf) 0.03 1.2 3.5

MMS 2006 National Assessment

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SLIDE 9
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SLIDE 10
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SLIDE 11

North Aleutian Basin Sale 214 In 2011

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SLIDE 12

Gas-Prone (73% Gas) Plays

(Tertiary Source)

Oil-Prone (77% Oil) Plays

(Mesozoic Source)

Becharof Lake Ugashik Lakes Iliamna Lake Kuka L. Lake Brooks N a k n e k L a k e Bear Lake

BRUIN BAY FAULT

M a g m a t i c M e s

  • z
  • i

c B a s e m e n t S e d i m e n t a r y M e s

  • z
  • i

c B a s e m e n t

164° 162° 160° 158° 156° 58° 56°

A L A S K A P E N I N S U L A ST . GEORGE BASIN NORTH ALEUTIAN BASIN A M A K BASI N B L ACK H ILL S UP LI F T

Bristol Bay Pacific Ocean

ALASKA

NORTH ALEUTIAN BASIN OCS PLANNING AREA

Sherwood\....\NAB-Oil Prone vs Gas Prone.cdr

50 MILES

Leased Blocks (1988, Sale 92, $95.4 MM, 23 Leases) Leased Blocks (2005, AK State, $1.3 MM, 37 Leases) Well, Plugged and Abandoned Gas-Prone Plays with Tertiary-Age

  • Sources. Plays 1, 2, & 6, 8.293 Tcf Gas,

559 Mmb Oil, Gas/Oil = 73/27 Energy- Equivalent Oil-Prone Plays with Possible Mesozoic-Age Sources. Plays 3 & 5, 0.329 Tcf Gas, 193 Mmb Oil, Gas/Oil = 23/77 Energy-Equivalent Uplift or Structural Arch

EXPLANATION

Great Basins 2 Great Basins 1 Becharof Lake 1 Bear Creek 1 Wide Bay 1 Grammar 1 Finnegan 1 Alaska 1 Lee 1 Koniag 1 Painter Creek 1 Ugashik 1 Port Heiden 1 Sandy River 1 North Aleutian Shelf COST 1 Big River 1 David River 1, 1A Hoodoo Lake 1 Hoodoo Lake 2 Canoe Bay 1 Cathedral River 1 Bertha 1 Monkshood 1

  • St. George

COST 2

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SLIDE 13

2-D Seismic Data: 64,700 Line-Miles

CDP SEISMIC DATA GRID (TWO-DIMENSIONAL)

Sherwood\....\Fig03-NorthAleutianSeismicGrid.cdr

Bristol Bay Alaska Peninsula

NORTH ALEUTIAN SHELF COST 1 WELL

25 50 75 100 miles Sale 92 (1988)

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SLIDE 14

Cook Inlet

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Seismic Data in Cook Inlet

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Current Alaska OCS Activities

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SLIDE 17

Source: State of Alaska

Cook Inlet Cook Inlet Cosmopolitan Unit Cosmopolitan Unit

extended reach delineation well (State/federal)

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SLIDE 18

Arctic Exploration Arctic Exploration

  • Seismic surveys

Seismic surveys

– – 2006 & 2007 summer 2006 & 2007 summer Chukchi/Beaufort Chukchi/Beaufort – – Ice hinders surveys Ice hinders surveys – – 2006 2006 – – Late start in 2007 (IHA) Late start in 2007 (IHA)

  • Exploration drilling

Exploration drilling Beaufort Sea Beaufort Sea

– – Shell Shell – – Sivulliq, Sivulliq, “ “open water

  • pen water”

” – – Lawsuit Lawsuit – – Floating vessels Floating vessels – – Past: ice or gravel islands Past: ice or gravel islands

  • winter

winter

– – Floaters Floaters – – Ice management Ice management

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SLIDE 19

Northstar

Arctic Offshore Development/Production Arctic Offshore Development/Production Past Past Northstar (BF) Northstar (BF)

producing (State/federal) buried pipeline buried pipeline

  • Near Future

Near Future Liberty (BF) Liberty (BF)

– – Development Plan in Development Plan in review review – – ultra extended reach ultra extended reach

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SLIDE 20

Technology Technology Changes Changes

  • Platforms

Platforms

  • Pollution

Pollution Prevention Prevention

  • Safety Systems

Safety Systems

  • Human Factors

Human Factors

  • Pipelines

Pipelines

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SLIDE 21

Norway’s Barents Sea

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SLIDE 22

Sharing the Shelf

  • The people onshore

– Subsistence – Overload of projects – Cultural Stress – Economy – New tax base?

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SLIDE 23

Sharing the Shelf

  • Marine fauna

– Protected species

  • Whales
  • Seals
  • Polar bears
  • Birds

– Fish and fisheries – Noise in the ocean – Climate change effects

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SLIDE 24

Sharing the Shelf

  • Coordination - permitting

– State of Alaska – Boroughs – Tribes – Villages

  • Federal Agencies
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SLIDE 25

Sharing the Shelf

  • Opening of the Arctic Ocean

– Shipping

  • Arctic Marine Shipping

Assessment

– Other users

  • Law of the Sea

– Who owns the Arctic Ocean? – Setting the boundaries

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SLIDE 26

MMS Research

Environmental Studies Technology Assessment and Research

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SLIDE 27

Environmental Research Planning

  • Physical Oceanography
  • Subsistence
  • Sociology
  • Economics
  • Marine Mammals
  • Fish
  • Birds
  • Fate and Effects of Discharges
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SLIDE 28

Partnerships (present and future information sources)

  • ARLIS

ARLIS – – Alaska Resources Alaska Resources Library and Information Services Library and Information Services – – www.arlis.org www.arlis.org

  • Coastal Marine Institute

Coastal Marine Institute

– – University of Alaska University of Alaska

– – http://www.sfos.uaf.edu/cmi/ http://www.sfos.uaf.edu/cmi/

  • AOOS

AOOS – – Alaska Ocean Observing Alaska Ocean Observing System System – – www.aoos.org www.aoos.org

  • NSSI

NSSI – – North Slope Science North Slope Science Initiative Initiative

– – www.northslope.org www.northslope.org – – DOI, State of Alaska, North Slope DOI, State of Alaska, North Slope Borough, et al Borough, et al

NSSI

And many more

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SLIDE 29

MMS ALASKA ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES ONGOING PROGRAM FY 2007

Multidisciplinary

  • Continuation of Arctic Nearshore Impact Monitoring in Development

Area (cANIMIDA) (Beaufort Sea – Northstar/Liberty areas)

  • Chukchi Sea Offshore Monitoring in Drilling Area (COMIDA):

Phase I – Workshop

– Held November 1 – 3

  • North Aleutian Basin Information Status and Research Planning

Meeting

– Held November 28 – 30

  • MMS-University of Alaska Fairbanks-State of Alaska Coastal Marine

Institute Management

  • Beaufort Sea and North Slope Pipeline GIS Database
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SLIDE 30

Protected Species

  • Bowhead Feeding Variability in the Western AK Beaufort Sea:

  • A. Satellite Tracking of Bowhead Whales

  • B. Feeding Observations

  • C. Oceanographic Measurements & Analysis
  • Aerial Photography of Bowhead Whales to Estimate the Size of the Bering-

Chukchi-Beaufort Population

  • Monitoring the Distribution of Arctic Whales
  • Protocol to Deflect Migrating Bowhead Whales Away from an Oil Spill
  • Analysis of Covariance of Human Activities and Sea Ice in Relation to Fall

Migration of Bowhead Whales

  • Assessing Reproduction and Body Condition of the Ringed Seal Near

Sachs Harbour, Northwest Territory, Canada, through a Harvest-based Sampling Program

  • King and Common Eider Migrations Past Point Barrow
  • Population Structure of Common Eiders Nesting on Coastal Barrier Islands

Adjacent to Oil Facilities in the Beaufort Sea

  • Premigratory Movements and Physiology of Shorebirds Staging on Beaufort

Littoral Zone

  • Radio Frequency Identification Tags for Grizzly and Polar Bear Research
  • Population and Sources of Recruitment in Polar Bears
  • Movements and Habitat Use of Harbor Seals in Cook Inlet
  • Distribution and Abundance of Harbor Seals in Cook Inlet
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SLIDE 31

Biology

  • Beaufort Sea Marine Fish Monitoring: Pilot

Survey and Test of Hypotheses

  • Review and Monitoring Ambient Artificial Light

Intensity in the OCS and the Potential for Effects

  • n Resident Fauna
  • Analysis of Variation in Abundance of Arctic

Cisco in the Colville River

  • Evaluating a Potential Relict Arctic Invertebrate

and Algal Community on the West Side of Cook Inlet

  • Foraging Ecology of Common Ravens on

Alaska's Coastal Plain and Relationship to O&G Development

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SLIDE 32

Physical Oceanography

  • Feasibility and Study Design for Boundary Oceanography of the Beaufort

Sea

  • Beaufort Sea Mesoscale Meteorology
  • Mapping Sea Ice Overflood Using Remote Sensing from Smith Bay to

Camden Bay

  • Idealized Process Model Studies of Circulation in the Landfast Ice Zone of

the Alaskan Beaufort Sea.

  • Synthesis and Collection of Meteorological Data in the Nearshore Beaufort

Sea: Extension

  • Alaska Sea Ice Atlas
  • Physical Measurements and Seasonal Boundary Conditions in Cook Inlet,

Alaska

  • Water and Ice Dynamics in Cook Inlet
  • High-Resolution Numerical Modeling of Near-Surface Weather Conditions
  • ver Alaska'a Cook Inlet and Shelikof Strait
  • Simulation of Landfast Sea Ice Along the Alaska Coast
  • Beaufort Sea Nearshore Currents
  • Sea Ice Modeling for Nearshore Beaufort and Chukchi Seas
  • Surface Circulation Radar Mapping in Alaskan Coastal Waters: Field Study

Beaufort Sea and Cook Inlet

  • Exchange Between Elson Lagoon & the Nearshore Beaufort Sea & Its Role

in the Aggregation of Zooplankton

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SLIDE 33

Fate and Effects

  • Assessment of the Direction and Rate of Alongshore

Transport of Sand and Gravel In Petroleum Development Region of the North Slope of Alaska

  • Empirical Weathering Properties of Oil in Snow and Ice
  • Updates to the Fault Tree Approach to Oil Spill

Occurrence Estimators for the Beaufort and Chukchi Sea

  • Sea-Ice-Ocean-Oilspill Modeling System (SIOMS) for the

Nearshore Beaufort and Chukchi Seas:Improvement & Parameterization (Phase II)

  • Synthesis of Time Interval changes in Trace Metals &

Hydrocarbons in Nearshore Sediments of the AK Beaufort Sea: A Statistical Analysis

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SLIDE 34

Social and Economic

  • Researching Technical Dialogue with Alaskan Coastal

Communities: Analysis of the Social, Cultural, Linguistic, and Institutional

  • Parameters of Public/Agency Communication Patterns
  • Quantitative Description of Potential Impacts of OCS Activities on

Bowhead Whale Hunting and Subsistence Activities in the Beaufort

  • Sea
  • Subsistence Mapping of Nuiqsut, Kaktovik and Barrow: Past and

Present Comparison

  • Publication of a Book/Synthesis on the Socioeconomic Effects of Oil

& Gas Industry Activity on the Alaskan OCS

  • Social and Economic Assessment of Major Oil Spill Litigation

Settlement for the Alaska OCS Region

  • Study of Sharing Networks to Access the Vulnerabilities of Local

Communities to O&G Development Impacts in Arctic Alaska

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SLIDE 35

Chukchi Sea Planned Studies

COMIDA

– Distribution and Relative Abundance of Marine Mammals – Chemical and Hydrocarbon Monitoring – Impact Monitoring of Offshore Subsistence Hunting – Benthic Monitoring

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SLIDE 36

Ongoing/In Procurement

  • Right Whales

– MMS-NMFS, started this summer

  • Oceanographic Circulation modeling

Studies Proposed for FY 2008

  • Subsistence Study for North Aleutian Basin,

Phase I

  • Juvenile and Maturing Salmon Use of the North

Aleutian Basin Lease Area

  • Spatial and Temporal Mapping of Nearshore

Juvenile Fish and Settling Crab

North Aleutian Basin (Bristol Bay) Ongoing/Planned studies

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SLIDE 37

NAB – Background Fisheries and Subsistence

  • Commercial, recreational, and subsistence

fisheries

  • Bering Sea supports the world’s largest food-

fishery.

  • Most commercial fish species in the Bering Sea

pass through or near the Sale area and substantial portions of harvest are taken there.

  • Dutch Harbor processes a peak of 70 million lbs

per week - ½ total US annual catch and is the largest seafood port in the world.

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SLIDE 38

Environmental Studies Environmental Studies-

  • Ongoing about

Ongoing about Sea Ice Sea Ice

  • Mapping over

Mapping over-

  • flooding of the

flooding of the landfast landfast ice zone. ice zone.

  • Mapping surface currents in the Beaufort Sea.

Mapping surface currents in the Beaufort Sea. www.salmonproject.org www.salmonproject.org

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SLIDE 39

Recent Recent Environmental Studies Environmental Studies-

  • Completed

Completed

Mapping Ice Conditions in the Beaufort and Chukchi Mapping Ice Conditions in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas Seas Lead systems dynamics Lead systems dynamics

Landfast Ice

  • 10
  • 20
  • 30
  • 40
  • 5
  • 90
  • 8
  • 7
  • 60
  • 110
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  • 130
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4

  • 150
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6

  • 170
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  • 1100
  • 1200
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  • 1500
  • 2000
  • 2500
  • 3000
  • 3500
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  • 40
  • 60
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  • 90
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  • 10
  • 20
  • 30
  • 4
  • 50
  • 90
  • 60
  • 8
  • 70
  • 110
  • 100
  • 1

2

  • 130
  • 1

4

  • 150
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  • 200
  • 3
  • 400
  • 5
  • 600
  • 700
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  • 9
  • 1

1

  • 1000
  • 1

2

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5

  • 2000
  • 2500
  • 3000
  • 3500
  • 60
  • 5
  • 90
  • 50
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  • 90
  • 100
  • 500

Before Mid-Winter Break-Out Events of the Landfast Ice After

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SLIDE 40

Technology Assessment and Research Program

  • Oil Spill Research
  • Safety and

Engineering

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SLIDE 41

Arctic Offshore Technology Assessment of Exploration and Arctic Offshore Technology Assessment of Exploration and Production Options for Cold Regions of the US Outer Production Options for Cold Regions of the US Outer Continental Shelf Continental Shelf

Objective: Objective:

  • Conduct a technology assessment for US OCS oil and gas operation

Conduct a technology assessment for US OCS oil and gas operations s in cold regions in cold regions

  • to determine what may be technically feasible in ice

to determine what may be technically feasible in ice-

  • covered and open

covered and open water conditions. water conditions.

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SLIDE 42

Sea Spray Icing of Drilling and Production Sea Spray Icing of Drilling and Production Platforms Platforms

Objective: to develop methods for quantifying the

  • ccurrence and severity of sea spray icing on oil

exploration and drill rigs in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas.

  • By May 2008, algorithms will provide the ability to

process weather data to determine sea spray icing severity on offshore structures

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SLIDE 43

Assessment of Superstructure Ice Protection As Assessment of Superstructure Ice Protection As Applied to Offshore Oil Operations Safety Applied to Offshore Oil Operations Safety

Objective: to assess potential methods for improving safety on Objective: to assess potential methods for improving safety on drilling and production vessels and platforms operating in the drilling and production vessels and platforms operating in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas and experiencing superstructure icing Chukchi and Beaufort Seas and experiencing superstructure icing by May 2008. by May 2008.

  • Identify ice protection technologies and evaluate their

Identify ice protection technologies and evaluate their effectiveness for enhancing operational safety. effectiveness for enhancing operational safety.

  • Assess the potential safety improvements following application o

Assess the potential safety improvements following application of f these technologies to operations in the marine icing environment these technologies to operations in the marine icing environment. .

  • Identify research needs and make recommendations

Identify research needs and make recommendations for development of new technologies icing. for development of new technologies icing.

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SLIDE 44

Design Options for Offshore Pipelines in the US Design Options for Offshore Pipelines in the US Beaufort and Chukchi Seas Beaufort and Chukchi Seas

Objective: to provide design options for Pipelines with Arctic hazards such as strudel scour, upheaval buckling, and ice gouging

  • Design options include evaluation of pipeline

configuration, material selection, design parameters,

  • perating conditions, application of strain-based and

design methods.

  • Design issues include construction, operations, integrity

management, maintenance and intervention.

C-CORE

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SLIDE 45

Seabed Scour and Buried Seabed Scour and Buried-

  • Pipeline Deformation

Pipeline Deformation due to Ice Ridges due to Ice Ridges

Objective: Objective: to study factors affecting soil and pipeline to study factors affecting soil and pipeline deformation below scouring ice ridges in the Arctic deformation below scouring ice ridges in the Arctic

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SLIDE 46

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Oil Spill Oil Spill Research and Research and Exercises Exercises

MMS OHMSETT Facility MMS OHMSETT Facility

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SLIDE 47

International Oil in Ice Workshop 2007 International Oil in Ice Workshop 2007

Objective: To discuss recent advances in the cleanup of oil spills in ice and cold climates and to guide future R&D in areas of common interest Registration is now open through WWW.SLROSS.COM

  • October 10-12 -- Marriott Hotel in Anchorage, AK
  • Workshop funders

– Minerals Management Service – Alaska Clean Seas – Alaska Department of Environmental Conservation – Cook Inlet Spill Prevention and Response – Prince William Sound Oil Spill Recovery Institute – U.S. Coast Guard.

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SLIDE 48

Objective: plan an experimental oil spill in pack ice

  • ffshore Eastern Canada in 2007/2008 to test current

technology

  • Partnering with the Department of Fisheries and Oceans

Canada - Center for Offshore Oil and Gas Environmental Research and the Canadian Coast Guard.

Planning Support for an Experimental Oil Spill in Pack Ice

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SLIDE 49

Detection of Oil on and Under Ice Detection of Oil on and Under Ice

Objective: to assess the technical feasibility and cost of developing and incorporating airborne oil detection systems in future field trials with oil and ice.

Co-funded by MMS, Alaska Clean Seas Alaska Department of Environmental Conservation

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SLIDE 50

http://www.mms.gov http://www.mms.gov /alaska/ /alaska/ http://www.mms.gov/