Agri-food sector, European Economic and Social Committee, Helsinki 7 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Jul 28, 2023 203 likes •274 views

Tuomas FORSBERG Professor of International Relations University of Tampere "The impact of current EU-Russia relations on the Agri-food sector, European Economic and Social Committee, Helsinki 7 July 2015 The historical evolution of the

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Tuomas FORSBERG Professor of International Relations University of Tampere "The impact of current EU-Russia relations on the Agri-food sector“, European Economic and Social Committee, Helsinki 7 July 2015

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The historical evolution of the EU- Russia relations

 Formative period 1992-94

 PCA agreement 1994

 First ”time of troubles” 1995-1999

 Russia’s war in Chechnya

 Putin’s European calling 2000-2003

 ”Four Spaces” 2003

 Disappointments 2004-2007  Medvedev interlude 2008-11

 Modernisation partnership

 Confrontation 2012 ->

 Ukraine crisis and sanctions

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Issues: cooperation and disputes

 Economy

 trade  energy  Trade disputes

 Security

 Frozen conflicts

 Values and legal issus

 Human rights  Visa

 Education and Culture

 Bologna process

 ”Shared Neighbourhood”

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Explaining the current crisis

 Four narratives:

 Russia’s growing authoritarianism  The EU as an expansive empire  The United States caused the conflict  ”Sleepwalking” into the crisis

 Or is it about

 Geopolitics – power relations?  Interests – absense of common interest?  Values – post-modern vs. traditional?  Interaction dynamics: status and identities

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What will happen

 Four scenarios

 Stalemate continues  Modus vivendi - a return to practical cooperation  EU wins (sanctions bite and Russia gives up)  Russia wins (EU disintegrates and gives up)  + War?

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What should be done?

 A grand bargain? Yalta II / Helsinki II  Practical cooperation where possible – a bottom up

approach?

 Containment & damage limitation as long as a real