Agenda Agenda Introduction Review of Order Analysis and Allocation - - PDF document

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Agenda Agenda Introduction Review of Order Analysis and Allocation - - PDF document

Access to Excess CAP Access to Excess CAP Water, 2010 & beyond Water, 2010 & beyond Customer/Stakeholder Workshop Customer/Stakeholder Workshop April 29, 2009 April 29, 2009 Agenda Agenda Introduction Review of Order


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Access to Excess CAP Access to Excess CAP Water, 2010 & beyond Water, 2010 & beyond

Customer/Stakeholder Workshop Customer/Stakeholder Workshop April 29, 2009 April 29, 2009

Customer/Stakeholder Workshop, April 29, 2009

Agenda Agenda

Introduction Review of Order Analysis and Allocation Proposals Elements Under Consideration for a Revised S

taff Proposal

Discussion

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Customer/Stakeholder Workshop, April 29, 2009

A A2

2E Status

E Status (as Ken sees it)

(as Ken sees it)

Emerging consensus around multiple pool approach S

upport for AWBA

General acknowledgement of CAGRD needs Desire for self-determination within a Municipal Pool S

peculation concerns remain prominent

Unresolved allocation complexity within Industrial/ Other Desire for simplicity

  • S

imple to explain versus(? ) simple to implement Additional issue from 4/ 22 workshop

  • There are geographic and regulatory impediments to fuller utilization
  • f GS

F capacity that are beyond scope of A2E

Review of Order Analysis and Review of Order Analysis and Allocation Proposals Allocation Proposals

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Customer/Stakeholder Workshop, April 29, 2009

CAGRD 10% Indus 28% SRP 6% Muni 43% Remarket 12% Other 1%

Excess Orders Placed for 2009

(Percent by Volume; excluding AWBA & Ag Pool)

Orders Orders

Customer/Stakeholder Workshop, April 29, 2009

Order Size Order Size

  • 20,000

40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 2 % 8 % 1 4 % 2 % 2 7 % 3 3 % 3 9 % 4 5 % 5 1 % 5 7 % 6 3 % 6 9 % 7 6 % 8 2 % 8 8 % 9 4 % 1 %

Percent of Orders Volume

50%

  • f orders are less than 700 af

90%

are less than 30 kaf

Therefore, on a volume basis, A2E strategies must

focus on managing large orders

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Customer/Stakeholder Workshop, April 29, 2009

Allocation Proposals Allocation Proposals

Customer/Stakeholder Workshop, February 24, 2009

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Hypothetical Hypothetical Implementation Implementation

Fake example #1: Single pool, with access based on

scoring

Highest score: Muni provider, inside CAP service area, reducing

CAGRD reliance through direct delivery

Lowest score: Speculator, with no previous history, earning long-term

storage credits outside of CAP service area

8 3 7 2 1 6 5 4

Customer/Stakeholder Workshop, February 24, 2009

Hypothetical Hypothetical Implementation Implementation

Fake example #2: Three pools, with separate eligibility

requirements

Pool A: Muni providers and CAGRD Pool B: Industrial users storing at GSFs Pool C: Unrestricted

Elements Under Consideration Elements Under Consideration for a Revised Staff Proposal for a Revised Staff Proposal

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[see [see “ “ Excess_Analysis_Tool_4_29_09.xls Excess_Analysis_Tool_4_29_09.xls” ” ] ]

Discussion Discussion

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S end comments & questions to Ken S easholes (kseasholes@ cap-az.com)