Investor Presentation
February 2011
African Barrick Gold Investor Presentation 2010 Prelims - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
African Barrick Gold Investor Presentation 2010 Prelims Presentation February 2011 Disclaimer Important Notice This presentation has been provided to you for information purposes only. It does not constitute an offer, solicitation, invitation
February 2011
Disclaimer
Important Notice This presentation has been provided to you for information purposes only. It does not constitute an offer, solicitation, invitation or inducement to purchase, subscribe or otherwise acquire or to sell or otherwise dispose of any securities of African Barrick Gold plc ("ABG") or engage in any investment activity in connection with the capital of ABG in any jurisdiction. The information
decision whatsoever in connection with ABG. The information and opinions contained in this presentation are provided as of the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. ABG explicitly disclaims any responsibility, obligation or undertaking to update or revise any information contained in this presentation after its date, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. No reliance may be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information or opinions contained in this presentation or on its completeness and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents. Certain information, statements, beliefs and opinions in this presentation are forward looking. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts. These statements include, without limitation, financial projections and estimates and their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations with respect to future production,
"believes," "intends," "estimates" and other similar expressions. All forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors. Although ABG’s management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, investors are cautioned that forward-looking information and statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, many of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the control of ABG, that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied or projected by, forward-looking information and statements contained in this presentation. Factors that could cause or contribute to differences between the actual results, performance and achievements of ABG include, but are not limited to, political, economic and business conditions, industry trends, competition, fluctuations in the spot and forward price of gold or certain other commodity prices, changes in regulation, currency fluctuations (including the US dollar, South African rand and Tanzanian shilling exchange rates), ABG’s ability to successfully integrate future acquisitions, to recover its reserves or develop new reserves, including its ability to convert its resources into reserves and its mineral potential into resources
business of mineral exploration, development, mining and production. Accordingly, investors should not place reliance on forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. Any forward-looking statements in this presentation speak only as of the date of this presentation and only reflect information available at the time of preparation. Subject to the requirements of the Disclosure and Transparency Rules and the Listing Rules or applicable law, ABG explicitly disclaims any obligation or undertaking publicly to update or revise any forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. No statements made in this presentation regarding expectations of future profits are profit forecasts or estimates, and no statements made in this presentation should be interpreted to mean that ABG’s profits or earnings per share for any future period will necessarily match or exceed the historical published profits or earnings per share of ABG or any other level. You are reminded that you have received this presentation subject to the disclaimer and important notices contained herein and on the basis that you are a person to whom this presentation may be lawfully made and delivered in accordance with the laws of the jurisdiction in which you are located. You may not and are not authorised to: (i) reproduce or publish this presentation; or (ii) distribute, disclose or pass on this presentation to any other person, in whole or in part, by any medium or in any form, whether electronically or otherwise. ANY FORWARDING, DISTRIBUTION OR REPRODUCTION OF THIS PRESENTATION IN WHOLE OR IN PART IS UNAUTHORISED. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS NOTICE MAY RESULT IN A VIOLATION OF APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS.
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Overview of ABG
land holdings
stages of development
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Location of assets
A major gold producer with significant growth optionality
Dar es Salaam Buzwagi Bulyanhulu North Mara Tulawaka
Mining operations
Strategy Underpinned by Solid Fundamentals
Focussed strategy …
… from a position of strength
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Growth targets from a position of strength with an existing project portfolio
Financial Highlights to 31 December 2010
year-on-year
78% year-on-year
share
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Record financial performance demonstrating gold price leverage
Year ended 31 Dec ember % change Y-o-Y $’000s (Unaudited) 2010 2009 Revenue 975,021 711,182 37% Cost of sales (589,039) (487,027) 21% Gross profit 385,982 224,155 72% Corporate administration (35,436) (37,759)
Exploration costs (14,861) (8,871) 68% Other charges (26,033) (21,419) 22% Profit before net finance costs 309,652 156,106 98% Net finance expense (575) (5,701)
Net profit before taxation 309,077 150,405 105% Taxation expense (86,471) (84,388) 2% Net profit attributable to equity shareholders 218,103 58,577 272% EPS (cents) 53.2 14.3 272% DPS (cents) 5.3 n/a n/a
Further Progress in 2011
– Continued improvement in health and safety indicators – Growth in existing production base – Production and cost efficiencies to mitigate industry cost pressures – Further progress on growth projects – Organic expansion of resource base – Pursue value enhancing acquisition opportunities – Build on improvement in community relations achieved in 2010
– Attributable group production of 700,000 – 760,000 ounces – Cash cost per ounce sold of $590 - $650 (cash operating cost per ounce of $545 - $605) – Sustaining capital budget of $140m, $24m expansion projects, $73m deferred stripping costs – Exploration budget of $55m, including $26m capitalised spend
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Short, medium and long term growth to drive shareholder value creation
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Operational Highlights to 31 December 2010
year-on-year
– Operational improvement initiatives on track – Planned monthly production reached in December
commissioning and lower grades year-on-year
Koz growth in resource base
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Strong platform with further growth potential at all operations
Year ended 31 December % change Y-o-Y 2010 2009 Operating results Tonnes mined (kt) 40,016 36,781 9% Ore tonnes processed (kt) 7,706 6,546 18% Recovery rate (percent) 86.1% 87.0%
Average grade (grams per ton) 3.3 3.9
Attributable gold production (koz) 701 716
Attributable gold sold (koz) 724 684 6% Average realised gold price ($/oz) 1,240 974 27% Copper production (‘000 pounds) 7,958 6,788 17% Total cash costs per ounce sold 569 533 7%
Operational Details – Bulyanhulu
year
– Cash costs per ounce down 17% – Cash costs per tonne milled down 14%
the year
improvements and operating efficiencies
Year ended 31 December (Reviewed) 2010 2009 Underground ore tonnes hoisted (ktpa) 958 967 Ore milled (ktpa) 954 959 Head grade (g/t) 9.2 8.7 Mill recovery (%) 92.2% 92.1% Ounces produced (oz) 260 249 Ounces sold (oz) 262 255 Cash costs/ounces sold ($/oz) Cash costs/tonne milled ($/t) 539 148 651 173 Capital expenditure ($’000s) 80,539 59,583
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Key operating statistics
Operational Details – North Mara
expected processing of low grade stockpiles
plant optimization and ore feed blend
led to 7% reduction in cash costs
Gokona pit
plant and tailings storage facility
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Key operating statistics
Year ended 31 December (Reviewed) 2010 2009 Tonnes mined (ktpa) 20,106 15,888 Ore tonnes mined (ktpa) 2,624 4,933 Ore milled (ktpa) 2,860 2,605 Head grade (g/t) 2.8 3.2 Mill recovery (%) 82.9% 79.7% Ounces produced (oz) 213 212 Ounces sold (oz) 219 209 Cash costs/ounces sold ($/oz) Cash costs/tonne milled ($/t) 472 36 508 41 Capital expenditure ($’000s) 91,442 46,114
Operational Details – Buzwagi
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Key operating statistics
Year ended 31 December (Reviewed) 2010 2009 Tonnes mined (ktpa) 18,848 19,843 Ore tonnes mined (ktpa) 4,285 5,034 Ore milled (ktpa) 3,553 2,671 Head grade (g/t) 2.0 2.5 Mill recovery (%) 81.0% 87.4% Ounces produced (oz) 186 189 Ounces sold (oz) 198 154 Cash costs/ounces sold ($/oz) Cash costs/tonne milled ($/t) 685 38 422 24 Capital expenditure ($’000s) 29,781 109,298
when the mine started operations in Q2
led to delays in production ramp up and impacted process plant performance
further impacted production in late Q3 and Q4
– New GM and senior team in place – Additional investment in process plant and mining fleet – Pit scheduling revised, including drill and blast and grade control programmes – Additional security measures
Operational Details – Tulawaka
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Key operating statistics
Reflected as 70% Year ended 31 December (Reviewed) 2010 2009 Underground ore tonnes hoisted (ktpa) 103 83 Ore milled (ktpa) 340 312 Head grade (g/t) 4.1 7.0 Mill recovery (%) 93.2% 94.1% Ounces produced (oz) 42 66 Ounces sold (oz) 45 65 Cash costs/ounces sold ($/oz) Cash costs/tonne milled ($/t) 709 93 413 87 Capital expenditure ($’000s) (100%) 15,513 7,884
down from 66 Koz in 2009 due to mine equipment availability and grade
grade
compared to prior year period, both from underground as well as from the low grade stockpiles processed
base and fuel, labour and maintenance costs
put in place
reserves and extend mine life successful with initial extension to second quarter 2012
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Exploration and Project Development Pipeline
Project Timelines
Project 2010 2011 2012 2013
Tulawaka Extensions Golden Ridge Gokona / Nyabigena UG Bulyanhulu Upper East Nyanzaga – Tusker / Kilimani
Drilling & Resource Definition Scoping Studies Feasibility Studies Project Execution Production 15
Tulawaka Underground Extension Programme
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100m
20000 20100 20200 20300 20400 20500 20600 20700 20800 850 850 900 900 950 950 1000 1000 1050 1050 1100 1100 1150 1200 1200
West East
TUGD00291 1.0m @ 35.1g/t TUGD00282 2.5m @ 9.48g/t TUGD00303 1.0m @ 4.31g/t TUGD00287 0.5m @ 10.1g/t TUGD00257 1.0m @ 7.19g/t TUGD00280 0.5m @ 11.2g/t TUGD00260 3.2m @ 125.7g/t D0436 1.4m @ 54.1g/t D0436 4.6m @ 7.39g/t TUDD067 4.0m @ 133g/t TUGD00115 1.0m @ 12.4g/t TUGD00056 2.5m @ 9.69g/t DO459 8.3m @ 6.75g/t TUGD000193 4.1m @ 5.63g/t TUGD00072 3.6m @ 14.78g/t TD00091 1.5m @ 11.58g/t TUGD000198 2.4m @ 6.55g/t TUGD000188 2.5m @ 6.22g/t TUGD00061 2.9m @ 14.6g/t TUGD00044 2.0m @ 3.62g/t
Surface
MINED OUT PIT
2010 – Q4 Intersections 2010 – PRE Q4 Intersections Reserve Mined Stope
Level 10
ZONE 150 ZONE 250 ZONE 400 ZONE 550 MAGAZINE ZONE ZONE 800
TUGD00283 2.3m @ 5.04g/t D0455 1.6m @ 62.95g/t
Golden Ridge Project
completed
for feasibility study completed
continue
mineral resource
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North Mara – Gokona-Nyabigena Underground Project
Gokona-Nyabigena underground project
completion during H1 2011
announced during Q4 2010
extend mine life
complete with assays results positive for extending the strike and depth of underground lodes
scout drilling continues to target new satellite and stand-alone gold deposits
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! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! 12300 12300 12500 12500 12700 12700 12900 12900 13100 13100 13300 13300 13500 500 500 600 600 700 700 800 800 900 900 1000 1000 1100 1100 1200 1200 1300 1300 1400 1400 GKD180W6 23m @ 8.61g/t GKD092W 16m @ 7.05g/t GKD214W2 17m @ 12.11g/t GKD160 16m @ 11.9g/t 40 - 60 20 - 40 <20 60 – 80 >80 Au_grammeter200m Stage 2 Pit Proposed Stage 3 Pit
Assays Pending DD Complete Fault
Legend
Abandoned
Gokona Fault Gokona West Fault GKD169 30m @ 8.00g/t incl 4m @ 42.6g/t GKD239 13m @ 6.71g/t incl 1m @ 74.3g/t GKD240 NSR GKD242 13m @ 2.72g/t incl 6m @ 4.35g/t GKD243 12m @ 7.56g/t GKD244 GKD245 3m @ 6.02g/t & 7m @ 4.22g/t GKD246 GKD247W1 4m @ 8.78g/t & 7m @ 14.6g/tBulyanhulu Upper East Zone
Upper East Zone
and action plan formulated
existing decline underway
and work commenced with completion targeted during the first half of 2011
feasibility study completion and work starting shortly after Existing 1.8km decline
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Nyanzaga Project
2010
Kilimani resource areas continued
Tusker prospect, closer to surface and also potential for higher grades at depth
scheduled for later in 2011 with feasibility study commencing by year end 2011
and geochemical anomalies for further stand-alone and satellite deposits commenced late in Q4 2010
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Revenue and Margins
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Revenue and Production
266 445 446 529 975 290 426 356 345 701 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 H1 2009 H2 2009 H1 2010 H2 2010 FY 2010 Revenue ($m) Production (koz)
Price and Margin
– 6% increase in ounces sold – 27% increase in average realized prices
gold prices – Margin per ounce produced of $671 versus $441 in 2009 – Represented a 52% increase over 2009
to $55/t from $57/t
527 537 529 609 569 376 486 626 712 671 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 H1 2009 H2 2009 H1 2010 H2 2010 FY2010 Cash cost ($/oz)
Cash Cost Reconciliation & Direct Mining Expenses Breakdown
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533 5 48 18 17 3 35 11 569 4 21 10 22 400 450 500 550 600 Cash cost per
Equity adjustments - 2009 Sales ounces Co-product Revenue Labour Energy Consumables Contracted Services Maintenance G&A Royalties / Refining Charges Equity adjustments - 2010 Cash cost per
$ per ounce
Direct mining expenses 2009 ($418.3m) Direct mining expenses 2010 ($437.4m)
Labour, 1 39.6 Energy & fuel, 81 .4 Consumables, 82.8 M aintenance, 64.4 Contractors, 81 .9 G&A, 72.3 Capitalised direct costs, -85.0 Labour, 1 26.5 Energy & fuel, 62.8 Consumables, 86.5 M aintenance, 57.3 Contractors, 59.8 G&A, 68.7 Capitalised direct costs, -43.2
EBITDA, Net Income and Dividend
in reported EBITDA
and full year dividend of 5.3 cents per share
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EBITDA EPS and DPS
Reviewed ($’000s) Full Year ended 31 December 2010 2009 Attributable Net Profit 218,103 58,577 Plus non-controlling interests net profit 4,503 7,440 Plus income tax expense 86,471 84,388 Plus depreciation and amortisation 109,515 93,350 Plus finance expense 1,777 6,062 Less finance income (1,202) (361) EBITDA 419,167 249,456 Margin 43.0% 35.1% Reviewed ($’000s) Full Year ended 31 December 2010 2009 Attributable net profit 218,103 58,577 Earnings per share (cents) 53.2 14.3 Dividends per share (cents) 5.3 n/a
EBITDA Reconciliation
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249 22 148 15 2 1 6 9 427 2 419 10 6 7 5 13 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 EBITDA – 2009 Buzwagi EBITDA Volume Price Co-product Revenue Labour Energy Consumables Contracted Services Maintenance G&A Royalties / Refining Charges Operational EBITDA Corp admin Exploration & Other EBITDA – 2010 $m
Cash Flow
Cash Flow Generation
quality of our production base
in 2010
strengthening the growth profile of ABG
acquisitions such as that of Tusker Gold Limited
26 Full Year ended 31 December $’000s (Reviewed) 2010 2009 Cash flow from Operating activities 345,141 193,961 Cash used in investing activities (275,555)* (248,448) Cash provided by financing activities 261,978 71,041 Increase (decrease) in cash 331,564 16,555 Foreign exchange difference on cash (278) (136) Opening cash balance 69,726 53,307 Closing cash balance 401,012 69,726
* Includes $63.1 million from acquisition of Tusker Gold Limited
Capex Progression – 2009-2013
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Conclusion
to see the positive effects of operating initiatives taken, and successful mine life extension atTulawaka
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Position of strength to continue growing the business
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ABG Senior Management Team
31 Greg Hawkins, Chief Executive Officer
Greg Hawkins is the Chief Executive Officer of the ABG Group. He was previously employed by Barrick where he served as Chief Financial Officer of the Australia Pacific Business Unit from June 2006 onwards. From 1999 to 2006, Greg served in finance management roles for Barrick Australia/Africa, and for Homestake Mining before its acquisition by Barrick. He previously held roles as the Finance Manager for Normandy Mining and as an Audit Manager for Deloitte.
Kevin Jennings, Chief Financial Officer
Kevin Jennings is the Chief Financial Officer of the ABG Group. He was previously employed by Barrick where he served as Vice- President of Corporate Development. Kevin has held a variety of senior management positions in the mining industry over the last ten years, including Director Business Optimisation at Xstrata plc, Director Strategic Business Analysis at Falconbridge Ltd, and CFO at American Racing Equipment Inc, a wholly owned subsidiary of Falconbridge.
Marco Zolezzi, Chief Operating Officer
Marco Zolezzi is Chief Operating Officer of the ABG Group. Prior to this, he was Director of Technical Services for Barrick’s Australia Pacific Region since 2006. Marco has held a number of senior project roles in the industry including five years with Newcrest Mining as General Manager of the Telfer Mine and 13 years with WMC Resources in a number of senior operational and technical roles. He has over 30 years of experience in complex open pit and underground operations in Australia and South Africa with a variety of
Andrew Wray, Head of Corporate Development and Investor Relations
Andrew Wray is the Head of Corporate Development and Investor Relations for the ABG Group. He was previously employed by JP Morgan Cazenove in the Corporate Finance Team. Andrew has over 10 years of experience in advising a range of mining and other companies in their capital-raising activities and in other strategic objectives. Prior to joining JP Morgan, he worked for the Kuwait Investment Office in London, dealing with their portfolio of investments in Spain.
Peter Spora, Vice President - Exploration Peter Spora is the Vice President, Exploration of the ABG Group. He was previously employed by Barrick where he served as Principal Geologist Africa from 2006 to 2008 and Exploration Manager Africa from 2008. Peter has over 15 years of experience as a geologist in Australia and Africa. He is currently the Chairman of the Exploration Committee of the Tanzanian Chamber of Minerals and Energy, and is a member of the Society of Economic Geologists.