Achieving the SDGs in Africa: data, finance, digitalization & localization
@wbg2030 worldbank.org/sdgs Georgetown University January 23rd 2019 Mahmoud Mohieldin Senior Vice President World Bank Group
Africa: data, finance, digitalization & localization Mahmoud - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Achieving the SDGs in Africa: data, finance, digitalization & localization Mahmoud Mohieldin Georgetown University @wbg2030 January 23 rd 2019 Senior Vice President worldbank.org/sdgs World Bank Group Table of f contents I) African
@wbg2030 worldbank.org/sdgs Georgetown University January 23rd 2019 Mahmoud Mohieldin Senior Vice President World Bank Group
I) African Perspectives II) The opportunity of the SDGs III) Supporting the SDG Agenda ✓Data ✓Finance ✓Implementation
❖Digitalization ❖Localization
Total countries: 52 FDI to Africa: $42 billion (Out of total $1.43 trillion) FDI outflow from Africa: $12.1 billion
Source: International Monetary Fund, 2018 https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/datasets/WEO/1 World Investment Report, UNCTAD, 2018 https://unctad.org/en/PublicationsLibrary/wir2018_en.pdf
GDP share of world: 2.75% GDP per capita (Current prices, U.S. dollars per capita): $1,890 Population: 1.3 billion Share of total population: 17.33%
China: 1.38 billion India: 1.33 billion
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CommodityPrices ▪ Africa is a net commodities exporter and is deeply affected by lower commodityprices
Poverty ▪ Poverty is falling more slowly in Africa than
▪ Absolute number of poor has increased dueto high population growthrate Sluggish Growth ▪ Growth continues to strengthen, reaching an estimated 3.5 percent in 2018, but is still below potential ▪ Commodity exporters are experiencing the sharpest declines in growth Currency Depreciation andDebt ▪ The strong US dollar has put pressureon currencies across the region ▪ This has increased inflation and led to higher debt burdens Fragility andConflict ▪ Africa hosts a third ofthe world’s displaced population ▪ The region has seen an increase in non-traditional forms of conflict that target civilians ClimateVulnerability ▪ Africais the lowest carbon emitter but is more vulnerable to climate change than other regions ▪ Climate change threatens natural capital, physical capital, and humancapital Source: African Economic Outlook 2019, African Development Bank
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Global development agendas serve as a guide for countries to determine their national development path
MDGs (2000-2015) SDGs (2016-2030)
Goals/ Targets/Indicators
8/21/60 17/169/~230
Priority Areas
Human Development Holistic: Economic, Social, Environmental
Scope
Developing Countries Universal
Improvementsinhealth,nutrition,andeducation,butmuchremainstobedonetomeettheMDGsin Africa. ▪ Thecontinent achievedmorethan70percentof theprogress requiredby2015onseveralindicators:prevalenceof undernourishment(83 percent); infantmortalityratio(72 percent);under-5mortalityrate(81 percent);andaccess to safedrinkingwater (78 percent). ▪ Despiteprogress,thecontinentstill lagsbehindotherregionsin reducingextremepovertyandachievinggenderparityin schoolsand access to sanitation. TheSDGsarethenextstepintheglobaleffortstotransformdevelopmentwithamoreambitiousagenda. ▪ T
srequire major commitments regarding policy and institutional reform as well as delivering on the Addis Ababa Financingfor DevelopmentAgendawhichaimsto convertbillions to trillions,mobilizingnewresourcesfor development,private business and finance inparticular.
100% 59% 100% 62% 33% 33% 51% 74%72% 80%81% 65% 60% 78% 16%
10% 0% 30% 20% 50% 40% 60% 70% 80% 100%
89%
90%
83%
Extreme poverty Prevalence of Primary completion Ratio ofgirls to Mortality rate, Mortality rate, Maternal mortality Access to safe Access to basic (population below undernourishment rate, total (% of boys in primary and infant (per 1,000 live under-5 (per 1,000) ratio (modeled drinking water (% of sanitation facilities estimate, per population with (% of population 1.25 day, 2005 PPP) (% of population) relevant age group)secondary education births) (%) 100,000 live births) access) with access)
Distance to2015 goal, % Global and Africaprogress towardthe MDGs varies Developing countries, weighted bypopulation
100%
Distance to the goal achievedglobally (%) Distance to the goal achieved S S A(%)
Source: WDI October 2015 data and Development Economics, World Bank staff calculations.
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Impact of Climate Change Fostering Inclusive Growth Getting Servicesto the Vulnerable Reducing Fragility Migration and Displacement Leveraging Resources for Development Links to WBG Corporate Priorities
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63% 38% 52% 88% 68% 87% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Basic water Basic sanitation Access to electricity SDG 6 SDG 7
SDGs 6 and 7
Africa World 39% 17.7% 33% 10.9% 10.7% 22% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
Poverty headcount ratio - $1.90 Prevalence of undernourishment Prevalence of stunting SDG 1 SDG 2
SDGs 1 and 2
Africa World
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Source: Staff calculations from World Bank WDI, 2018
5 10 15 Yes Some No Yes Concept No Budget in HLPF Incorp into natl budget
Financing
2 4 6 8 Yes Concept No Yes Some No Integrate SDGs into nat'l monitoring Review of state of data
Data
Source: Preliminary staff analysis of 2016-2018 VNR country reports
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Algeria Burkina Faso Cameroon Central African Republic Chad Congo (Republic of the) Cote d’Ivoire Eritrea Eswatini Ghana South Africa Timor-Leste Tunisia
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Implementation: Digitalization & Localization DATA FINANCING
Ref: WBG/UN report to the UN CEB on the Lessons Learned from the MDGs; DC Lima paper on WBG’s role
Tech and the WBG DC 2018 AMs paper. Ref: Spring Meetings 2015 Development Committee paper
2015 outcome document Ref: UN report on “A World that Counts”; WBG/MDBs/UN MoU on Data
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Source: Who and what gets left behind? Assessing Canada’s domestic status on the sustainable development goals, Brookings, 2017
5 10 15 20 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17
Seventy-eight of 169 SDG targets describe potentially assessable
Not able to assess Proxy target Canadian national target Quantified SDG target
Source: Japan Ministry of Foreign Affairs
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Statistical Capacity is a nation’s ability to collect, analyze, and disseminate high-quality data about its population and economy. Quality statistics are essential for all stages of evidence-based decision-making, including:
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Big picture of developing countries' total resource receipts Tax revenues
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
FDI Net Inflows (% of GDP)
Low & middle income World Middle East & North Africa
Fintech
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Source: WDR 2019 Team http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/8162 81518818814423/pdf/2019-WDR-Report.pdf 21
Source: 2017 Change Readiness Index, KPMG
Source: 2017 Change Readiness Index, KPMG
Source: Preparing for Disruption, Technological Readiness Ranking, Economist Intelligence Unit http://www.eiu.com/Handlers/WhitepaperHandler.ashx?fi=Technological_readiness_report.pdf&mode=wp&campaignid=TechReadiness 24
Offers an assessment of how well prepared countries are for technological change, across three key categories:
infrastructure
Mobile Broadband Connectivity Status (2017)
Source: GDDDR analysis, based on ITU and TeleGeography data
Color Min. Max. 25 25 50 50 75 75 100 100 125 125 150 150
Average Price of 1GB relative to monthly Income
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And yet, these promises will remain unrealized for the 3.5B people still missing out due to lack of connectivity
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DIGITAL ECONOMY
Smart Agriculture Smart Energy eCommerce Digital Education Digital Health Industry 4.0 Digital Transport Digital Culture
Inclusive Growth Jobs Competitive Economy Efficiency
The scale and speed of disruption is affecting traditional sectors. Changing how we collect, store, access, analyze and present data. Improving production techniques to increase efficiency, affordability, and speed. Transforming how we interact with the world and deliver/ receive services. Digital economies require safeguards to ensure robust job markets, and possible downside risks
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DIGITAL SKILLS AND LITERACY DIGITAL PLATFORMS USAGE
INFRASTRUCTURE DIGITAL FINANCIAL SERVICES DIGITAL ENTREPRENEURSHIP
Indonesia:
A program is being implemented to enhance the capacity of local governments to improve efficiency and effectiveness
Also implemented the PNPM program: community driven development
U.K. Midlands
Successful locally owned businesses help develop local markets, create innovation, success and redistribution in a self- reinforcing cycle
Colombia:
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2004: Official Government Portal launched Four areas of focus:
national datasets Government Services Development Program: Digital services for speed delivery
Education enrollment Utilities Legal services Government services locationsharing
Information on municipalgovernance, complaints & inquiries Needed: virtual decentralization & IT capacity-building at local levels
31 Source: Elmassah & Mohieldin, 2019
Private initiative: MasterCard & IFC, using big data tools, achieved progress in promoting coverage of financial services to the poor in Sub-Saharan Africa
Uses 2 terabytes of BD by mobile network operators Forecast potential users of DFC at local level Uptake of DFS in Ghana increased by 70,000
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Made government data, widely available to the public.
Kenya Open Data Initiative (KODI)
government
innovation & enterprises.
2013: Kenyan ICT Authority established
Portal)
technical assistance with accessing e- government services (Ex. online tax returns)
2015: E- governance initiatives
Source: Elmassah & Mohieldin, 2019
E-government services started in 2005
(Professional education) Government & OECD’s Open Government Project Design and enact reforms using big data with public & civil society
The Big Data Hackathon in 2017 Encourage start-ups, educational institutions, to innovate
Tunisian E-government Society raises awareness
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solutions to help reach the SDGs.
http://www.ideas4action.org/2018-competition/
Watch video of 2016 winners
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Mahmoud Mohieldin Senior VP
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@wbg2030 worldbank.org/sdgs