Africa: data, finance, digitalization & localization Mahmoud - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Achieving the SDGs in Africa: data, finance, digitalization & localization Mahmoud Mohieldin Georgetown University @wbg2030 January 23 rd 2019 Senior Vice President worldbank.org/sdgs World Bank Group

Table of f contents I) African Perspectives II) The opportunity of the SDGs III) Supporting the SDG Agenda ✓ Data ✓ Finance ✓ Implementation ❖ Digitalization ❖ Localization

African Perspectives Total countries: 52 Population: 1.3 billion Share of total population: 17.33% China: 1.38 billion India: 1.33 billion GDP per capita (Current prices, U.S. dollars per capita): $1,890 GDP share of world: 2.75% FDI to Africa: $42 billion (Out of total $1.43 trillion) FDI outflow from Africa: $12.1 billion Source: International Monetary Fund, 2018 https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/datasets/WEO/1 3 World Investment Report, UNCTAD, 2018 https://unctad.org/en/PublicationsLibrary/wir2018_en.pdf

Africa GDP compared to China and India 4

Main challenges affecting Africa Poverty Currency Depreciation andDebt ▪ Poverty is falling more slowly in Africa than ▪ The strong US dollar has put pressureon other regions currencies across the region ▪ Absolute number of poor has increased dueto ▪ This has increased inflation and led to higher high population growthrate debt burdens Sluggish Growth Fragility andConflict ▪ Growth continues to strengthen, reaching an ▪ Africa hosts a third ofthe world’s displaced estimated 3.5 percent in 2018, but is still population below potential ▪ The region has seen an increase in non-traditional ▪ Commodity exporters are experiencing the forms of conflict that target civilians sharpest declines in growth CommodityPrices ClimateVulnerability ▪ Africais the lowest carbon emitter but is more ▪ Africa is a net commodities exporter and is vulnerable to climate change than other regions deeply affected by lower commodityprices ▪ Climate change threatens natural capital, physical capital, and humancapital 5 Source: African Economic Outlook 2019, African Development Bank

The SDGs present a major opportunity for transformation MDGs (2000-2015) SDGs (2016-2030) Goals/ Targets/Indicators 8/21/60 17/169/~230 Priority Areas Human Development Holistic: Economic, Social, Environmental Scope Developing Countries Universal Global development agendas serve as a guide for countries to determine their national development path 6

With underachieved MDGs, the SDGs require more work Improvementsinhealth,nutrition,andeducation,butmuchremainstobedonetomeettheMDGsin Africa. ▪ Thecontinent achievedmorethan70percentof theprogress requiredby2015onseveralindicators:prevalenceof undernourishment(83 percent); infantmortalityratio(72 percent);under-5mortalityrate(81 percent);andaccess to safedrinkingwater (78 percent). ▪ Despiteprogress,thecontinentstill lagsbehindotherregionsin reducingextremepovertyandachievinggenderparityin schoolsand access to sanitation. TheSDGsarethenextstepintheglobaleffortstotransformdevelopmentwithamoreambitiousagenda. ▪ T o achieve their promise, SDG srequire major commitments regarding policy and institutional reform as well as delivering on the Addis Ababa Financingfor DevelopmentAgendawhichaimsto convertbillions to trillions,mobilizingnewresourcesfor development,private business and finance inparticular. Global and Africaprogress towardthe MDGs varies Developing countries, weighted bypopulation 100% 100% 100% 100% 89% 90% 83% 80%81% 78% 80% 74%72% Distance to2015 goal, % 65% 70% 62% 60% 59% 60% 51% 50% 40% 33% 33% 30% 16% 20% 10% 0% Extreme poverty Prevalence of Primary completion Ratio ofgirls to Mortality rate, Mortality rate, Maternal mortality Access to safe Access to basic (population below undernourishment rate, total (% of boys in primary and infant (per 1,000 live under-5 (per 1,000) ratio (modeled drinking water (% of sanitation facilities estimate, per population with (% of population 1.25 day, 2005 PPP) (% of population) relevant age group)secondary education births) (%) 100,000 live births) access) with access) Distance to the goal achievedglobally (%) Distance to the goal achieved S S A(%) 7 Source: WDI October 2015 data and Development Economics, World Bank staff calculations.

A frica’ s challenges are at the heart of the WBG priorities and the SDGs Migration and Leveraging Resources Reducing Fragility Displacement for Development Links to WBG Corporate Priorities Impact of Climate Fostering Inclusive Getting Servicesto Change Growth the Vulnerable 8

How are African countries progressing on the SDGs? SDGs 1 and 2 SDGs 6 and 7 45% 100% 88% 39% 87% 90% 40% 80% 35% 33% 68% 70% 30% 63% 60% 25% 52% 22% 50% 20% 17.7% 38% 40% 15% 10.9% 10.7% 30% 10% 20% 5% 10% 0% 0% Poverty headcount Prevalence of Prevalence of stunting ratio - $1.90 undernourishment Basic water Basic sanitation Access to electricity SDG 1 SDG 2 SDG 6 SDG 7 Africa World Africa World 9 Source: Staff calculations from World Bank WDI, 2018

18 African Countries have already presented their SDG implementation plans at the High Level Political Forum Financing 15 10 5 0 Yes Some No Yes Concept No Budget in HLPF Incorp into natl budget Data 8 6 4 2 0 Yes Concept No Yes Some No Integrate SDGs into nat'l monitoring Review of state of data 10 Source: Preliminary staff analysis of 2016-2018 VNR country reports

13 more African countries are presenting VNRs in 2019 Algeria Eritrea Burkina Faso Eswatini Cameroon Ghana Central African Republic South Africa Chad Timor-Leste Congo (Republic of the) Tunisia Cote d’Ivoire 11

Key pillars to support the achievement of the SDGs Implementation: DATA FINANCING Digitalization & Localization Ref: WBG/UN report to Ref: Spring Meetings Ref: UN report on “A the UN CEB on the 2015 Development World that Counts”; Lessons Learned from Committee paper WBG/MDBs/UN MoU on the MDGs; DC Lima on Financing; Addis Data paper on WBG’s role 2015 outcome on SDGs; Disruptive document Tech and the WBG DC 2018 AMs paper. 12

Data is the New Oil 13

Realizing the Data Revolution Seventy-eight of 169 SDG targets describe potentially assessable outcomes for Canada 20 15 10 5 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 Not able to assess Proxy target Canadian national target Quantified SDG target Source: Who and what gets left behind? Assessing Canada’s domestic status on the sustainable development goals, Brookings, 20 17 Source: Japan Ministry of Foreign Affairs 14

Improving Statistical Capacity Statistical Capacity is a nation’s ability to collect, analyze, and disseminate high -quality data about its population and economy. Quality statistics are essential for all stages of evidence-based decision-making, including: • Monitoring social and economic indicators • Allocating political representation and government resources • Guiding private sector investment • Informing the international donor community for program design and policy formulation 15

The Atlas of Sustainable Development Goals – a visual guide to data and development • The Atlas of Sustainable Development Goals presents maps, charts, and stories related to the 17 Sustainable Development Goals. • The Atlas discusses trends, comparisons, and measurement issues using accessible and shareable data visualizations. The data draws on the WDI. For each of the SDGs, relevant indicators have been chosen to illustrate important ideas. 16 1 6

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Financing for Development Landscape 18

Finance will need to come from all sources Big picture of developing countries' total resource receipts FDI Net Inflows (% of GDP) 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Fintech Low & middle income Tax revenues World Middle East & North Africa 19

Embracing the Digital Economy 20

Human Capital Index Source: WDR 2019 Team http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/8162 21 81518818814423/pdf/2019-WDR-Report.pdf

Readiness to Change Index (1 of 2) Source: 2017 Change Readiness Index, KPMG

Readiness to Change Index (2 of 2) Source: 2017 Change Readiness Index, KPMG

Technological Readiness Ranking Offers an assessment of how well prepared countries are for technological change, across three key categories: • Access to the internet • Digital economy infrastructure • Openness to innovation Source: Preparing for Disruption, Technological Readiness Ranking, Economist Intelligence Unit 24 http://www.eiu.com/Handlers/WhitepaperHandler.ashx?fi=Technological_readiness_report.pdf&mode=wp&campaignid=TechReadiness

Growing digital divide: Limited and expensive broadband connectivity is slowing economic transformation in Africa and access to services Average Price of 1GB relative to monthly Income Mobile Broadband Connectivity Status (2017) Color Min. Max. 0 25 25 50 50 75 75 100 100 125 125 150 150 Source: GDDDR analysis, based on ITU and TeleGeography data 25

And yet, these promises will remain unrealized for the 3.5B people still missing out due to lack of connectivity 26