ACES: Abrupt changes in ecosystem services and wellbeing in Mozambican woodlands? PIs: Drs Genevieve Patenaude & Casey Ryan (U. of Edinburgh) Co-Is: • Dr Isilda Nhantumbo , International Institute for Environment and Development • Prof Natasha Ribeiro , Universidade Eduardo Mondlane • Dr Janet Fisher , University of Exeter + University of Zimbabwe National Institute for Space Research, Brazil Lund University Centre for Sustainability Studies Universidade Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
What will we do? • First assessment of how • Goal : Pro-poor land use changing land cover policy and practice in the woodlands of relates to wellbeing in Mozambique, built on an Africa’s dominant understanding of the ecosystem importance of ecosystem • New knowledge services integrated into land use policy & practice in Mozambique and beyond Universidade Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
Why do we need this new knowledge? White, 1983 • Extensive woodlands, high rates of poverty • Woodland ES are crucial for livelihoods and to mitigate impacts of poverty, particularly for Woodlands the poor • But changing, and we don’t understand the impacts: Universidade Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
1. Conversion to small scale agriculture & degraded to meet energy needs 1-3% per year i,ii Universidade Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
2. new: expansion of commercial agriculture ?% per year Universidade Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
Why do we need this new knowledge? • Extensive woodlands, 1. Converted to small high rates of poverty scale agriculture and degraded to meet • Woodland ES are crucial energy needs for livelihoods and to mitigate impacts of 2. Expansion of “ The critical role miombo [woodland plays] in mitigating poverty, particularly for commercial agriculture the poor the impacts of poverty, [means] the impacts of • Agric. improvements are deforestation and degradation need to be more fully • But changing, and we seen as main route to incorporated into development planning don’t understand the development, but ” - World Bank, 2008 iii impacts: implications for ES, esp for the poorest unknown Universidade Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
Timely Mozambique • Renewed focus on agric for political process bulletin development, REDD, “land grabbing” Issue 48 – 22 February 2011 Editor: Joseph Hanlon (j.hanlon@open.ac.uk) Material may be freely reprinted. Please cite the Bulletin . _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________ donors & investors Published by CIP and AWEPA • Land moves up the DFID - £6.5 M in commercial agric in political agenda central Mz ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Carbon traders want access to • 1/3 of Mozambique under REDD+ DFID “high deforesters” programme / – but MICOA says no NORAD’s £2M Testing REDD project • Private sector: ProSavanna (5 M ha) • V active current debate in Mozambique • Mozambique still has policy choices about its woodlands Universidade Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
Key scientific advances • 1. ESPA conceptual framework ➟ research tool (with stakeholders at 3 scales) Universidade Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
Key scientific advances 1. ESPA conceptual framework ➟ research tool (with stakeholders at 3 scales) Universidade Fisher et al 2013a, b Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
Key scientific advances 1. ESPA conceptual framework ➟ research tool (with stakeholders at 3 scales) 2. First assessment of the range of adaptive response to land cover change in African woodlands 3. New SES data allows identification of thresholds and abrupt change 4. Analysis of ES in commodity chains & impacts on the poorest - help to reframe “land grab” debate 5. Stakeholder-created scenarios that link land use, ES & poverty - examine consequences of policy choice Universidade Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
Research with Impact ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� �������������������������������������������������������������� 2010 2030 • Communities of Practice exist around pro- poor land use (IIED, CTV facilitated), we will “nurture” these and build capacity to make them more effective • Most effectively done by iv : • The co-creation and sharing of new evidence (regular outputs from start) • SEPTEMBER 2012 A budget to strengthen sci-policy Deep REDD+: lessons OVERVIEW IIED Natural Resources Group from a South–South– Project name: capacity (proj. partner CTV) South-South REDD: a Brazil Mozambique initiative North collaboration Project leader: Isilda Nhantumbo and Duncan Macqueen Time frame: Brazil and Mozambique join forces to learn about 2009–2012 Cost: fighting deforestation and forest degradation. £970,000 • Objective: Active engagement from week 1 • Facilitation by the IIED Impact Fellow (document approach) Universidade Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
Key challenges • Engagement of stakeholders Already engaged by project partners: LUPA & MICAIA (local and provincial level), CTV and T -REDD (provincial and national). Build on IIED coordinated networks • Logistical difficulties of data collection Pilot, prioritisation in WP1, existing links to communities and agric. enterprises • Formation of communities of practice that outlive the project Presence of Impact Fellow, build on national REDD consultations, no shortage of interest Universidade Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
Leadership and Mgmt UoEd UEM Advisory Committee UoEx IIED Chair: Patenaude UoZim INPE Lund Macqueen (22) Prof Sitoe (24) Ometto (14) Prof Rounsevell (20) Staff Prof Olsson (30) Prof Grundy (22) Fieldwork Travel Prof Meir (20) (Years experience) Impact Cons. + Data Mentor, agree milestones, assess performance quarterly 0 0.5 1 1.5 WP leaders Budget (£M) 2 post 2 post 3 post 2 post Impact docs docs docs docs fellow Research Woodland Commercial Impact Systems framework loss agric analysis & scenarios Universidade Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
Outcomes • First assessment of how • Timely contribution to land cover change and evidence-based land use wellbeing are related in policy and investments in Mz Africa’s dominant ecosystem and region • Put ESPA conceptual • Evidence contributed to framework into practice very active debate, with strong CSOs, and • Application of a range of progressive land legislation methods (belief networks, • Increase ESPA capacity in structural equation modelling, scenarios) to Mozambique & reinvigorate ESPA issues UoZim’s work in this area Universidade Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
Outcomes • First assessment of how • Timely contribution to land cover change and evidence-based land use wellbeing are related in policy and investments in Mz Africa’s dominant ecosystem and region • Put ESPA conceptual • Evidence contributed to framework into practice very active debate, with strong CSOs, and • Application of a range of progressive land legislation methods (belief networks, • Increase ESPA capacity in structural equation modelling, scenarios) to Mozambique & reinvigorate ESPA issues UoZim’s work in this area Thanks! Luis Artur, Romana Bandeira, Natasha Ribeiro, Almeida Sitoe (UEM) Nicholas Berry, Patrick Meir, Marc Metzger, Genevieve Patenaude, James Paterson, Mark Rounsevell, Casey Ryan (U Edinburgh) Janet Fisher (U Exeter); Isla Grundy (U Zimbabwe); Duncan Macqueen, Isilda Nhantumbo Universidade (IIED); Lennart Olsson (Lund); Jean Ometto, Patricia Pinho (INPE) Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
Thursday, July 4, 2013
Overview of Approach Pro-poor land use, cognisant of ES Impact Stronger communities of communities of practice practice statistical analysis Integration WP4: systems (SEM etc); Belief WP5: scenarios analysis and upscaling networks hh, land cover Data collection WP2: woodland loss WP3: commercial agric & and ecosystem service & wellbeing wellbeing assessments Stakeholders at Research design local, provincial WP1: Framework for data collection and analysis and national scale. Beliefs formalised with BBNs ESPA Conceptual Stakeholder engagement in Foundations Framework pro-poor land use policy Fisher et al, 2013a,b IIED & proj. partners Universidade Eduardo Mondlane Thursday, July 4, 2013
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