SLIDE 1
Abstract Session D1: Lipkin Award Finalist Session Moderators: Eugene C. Rich, MD and William M. Tierney, MD
STATIN PRESCRIBING FOR PRIMARY PREVENTION: WHAT MIGHT THE 2013 ACC/AHA GUIDELINES ACHIEVE? Harb Harb1; Michael B. Rothberg1; Brian Wells2; Bo Hu2. 1Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH; 2Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH. (Tracking ID #1937737) BACKGROUND: The Adult Treatment Panel III guidelines for cholesterol testing and treatment in primary prevention were based
- n cardiovascular risk factors and LDL cholesterol targets. In contrast, the new American College of Cardiology/American Heart
Association (ACC/AHA) 2013 guideline focuses exclusively on cardiovascular risk, with statins recommended for all patients with a 10-year risk of >7.5% using a new population-based risk calculator. One concern is that the ACC/AHA guidelines may lead to initiation of statin therapy for more patients, including many who would have been considered to be lower risk by the earlier criteria. In contrast, the previous focus on LDL may have led to overprescribing for patients with high LDLs and low risk, or underprescribing for those with low LDLs but high risk. The objective of this study is to quantify the potential change in statin prescribing patterns using the ACC/AHA guidelines compared to current practice for patients without CHD equivalents. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cross sectional study of patients aged between 30 to 75 years old who received a first
- utpatient primary care visit at the Cleveland Clinic between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2012. Patients with incomplete data,
contraindications to lipid lowering medications (history of statin induced rhabdomyolysis, myositis or myopathy, transaminitis, statin allergy); lipid-lowering agent(s) prescribed at their first encounter (implying that they were already taking lipid lowering therapy); and patients with CHD or CHD equivalents (CVD, PVD, Diabetes) were excluded. For each patient we collected the following information from the time of their first lipid panel: age, sex, and race; as well as total, HDL and LDL cholesterol, smoking status, systolic blood pressure and whether they were treated with an antihypertensive medication. Patients were then stratified according to 10-year cardiovascular risk into 3 groups—low (<5%), intermediate (5-15%) and high (15%)—based on the Framingham equation. We then compared the number of patients in each stratum who actually received statins to the number in that same stratum that would be recommended to receive statins based on the ACC/AHA guidelines (i.e. those with a 10-year risk of >7.5% based on the new risk calculator). We then calculated the number of cardiac events prevented over 10 years under current practice to those that could have been prevented by following the ACC/AHA guidelines using the formula: E=N * R * RRR where E is the number of events prevented, N is the number of patients taking statins, R is the average Framingham risk of the patients taking statins, and RRR is the relative risk reduction related to statin use. We estimated the risk reduction to be 27%, based on a Cochrane Review of statins for primary prevention. RESULTS: Of 98,136 patients who had an initial visit (with LDL measured) during the study period, 85,079 (87%) patients met inclusion criteria. Of these, 41,376 (49%) were low risk, 30,135 (36%) intermediate risk, and 12,768 (15%) high risk based on their Framingham risk scores. Mean patient age was 48 years, 42% were male, 79% were white, 37% were smokers and 27% were taking medication for hypertension. The comparison of statin use appears in the Table. The total number of patients treated with statins under current practice was 13,896; 31% of these were high risk and 22% were low risk. Under the ACC/AHA guidelines, 17,294 patients would qualify for treatment; 70% would be high risk and 1.4% low risk. Assuming that statins reduce the risk of a major cardiac event by 27%, then the total number of events currently being prevented is 510 per 10 years, with NNT= 27. Under ACC/AHA criteria the number of events prevented would be 1034, with NNT=17. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to current practice, following the ACC/AHA guidelines would increase the total number of patients on
- statins. However, it would decrease use among low and intermediate risk patients, while markedly increasing use among high risk