Abertis Overview Presentation
April 2016
Abertis Overview Presentation April 2016 Who are We? Our Strategy - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Abertis Overview Presentation April 2016 Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year Annex Who are we? Outlook for Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation this Year Our story Abertis is the leading international group of
April 2016
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
Who are we? Our story
Abertis is the leading international group of toll-road operators. We manage thousands of kilometers of high quality, high capacity roads around the world. Our top priority is the safety of our drivers. We are continually investing in technology and smart engineering to make sure our customers have a smooth experience using our roads: safe, comfortable, fast and convenient. We have grown by being good partners to governments: we are committed to the long term, and we deliver a high quality product. Our profits come from operating the roads, not from speculating on public
We bring together financial capability and industrial expertise: we have the capacity for large-scale financing, and we have the know-how to manage infrastructure. We want to be part of the solution to public problems associated with increasing road travel, such as congestion and climate change. As the global leader in our sector, we aim to set standards for the industry. Nobody is better placed than Abertis to set the pace on quality and innovation.
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Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
Who are We? Company Highlights
…and a reference in the satellite industry
Presence in Europe and Latin America 7 satellites 57% of Hispasat Assets in 12 countries ~7,600 km under management 30 fully consolidated concessions Electronic Tolling Technology services worldwide
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Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
A Rock-Solid Company
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Who are we? Company Highlights
€26Bn assets under management €2.2Bn cash and equivalents €12.6Bn net debt (4.7X EBITDA) BBB/BBB+ rating (S&P/Fitch)
€4.4Bn of revenues in 2015 (+5% L-f-L) €2.7Bn of EBITDA in 2015 (+5% L-f-L) €3.2Bn of discretionary FCF in 2015(+8% L-f-L)
Toll Roads 94% Hispasat 6% Spain 34% France 38% Brazil 13% Chile 6% Telecom and Others 9%
By Business By Market
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
Our Strategy Key Pillars
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DPS increase and bonus shares 10% CAGR 2015-2017
Current portfolio and M&A Contract Amendments Acquisitions with capital discipline
Industrial Model to capture opex and capex savings €400MnTarget cash savings
Intensify sector focalization A pure toll road
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
Cellnex IPO
Value crystallization above expectations ~€2.7Bn capital gains
Airports full exit (MBJ: €177Mn)
Attractive sale IRRs
Consolidating Our International Leadership in Toll Roads
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Our Strategy Focus
5 non-synergic business units Presence in 8 countries (toll roads) Non-controlling stakes 47% of EBITDA outside Spain 2 business units Presence in 12 countries (toll roads) Controlling shareholder of the main
66% of EBITDA outside Spain
Latest developments towards becoming a pure toll road operator
In 2011 Abertis initiated a strategic plan focused on toll roads
Acquisitions Disposals (airports, car parks, logistics, non core stakes)
Puerto Rico towers towers towers
towers
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
Our Strategy Efficiencies
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Efficiency Plan I 2011-2014
Yearly cash savings
2015E 2016E 2017E
Target up to €400Mn cumulative cash savings Efficiency Plan II 2015-2017 Initial Target €570Mn cumulative cash savings Final outcome €741Mn cumulative cash savings
2nd efficiency plan Liability management programs
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
Our Strategy “Golden Rules” for any project
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Group’s best practices Industrial fees to Abertis Core investments with professional minority investors
IRR 250-450 bps over Ke (risk-adjusted) Sustainable capital structures by project
Sustainable dividend policy
Corporate Investment Grade rating Non-recourse debt by project
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
MAIN PROJECTS IMPACTS
Full control and consolidation of Chilean assets
(2016)
Plan de Relance
extensions
Túnels de Barcelona i Cadí
Incremental investments (projects improvements) in the current capex plan Arteris buy-out (pending)
Federal concessions tariff increases higher than inflation (average of 19% increase for 2016)
strategies
No Competition, Knowledge of the Asset, Relationship with Grantor, High Cash Flow Visibility
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Our Strategy Growth – Capex in Existing Asset Base
Latest developments
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
Competitive Processes, Bilateral Agreements, Brownfield or Yellowfield, Only Toll Roads
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Strategy Growth – M&A
Generates efficiencies and synergies T akes advantage of knowledge of the country Includes primary and secondary markets Apply industrial know-how Export best practices Increase geographic diversification A proven track record Focus in brownfield projects in countries with solid legal framework
Existing Markets New Markets
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
Value Oriented Shareholder Remuneration
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Our Strategy Shareholder Remuneration
Share buy-back:Tender offer achieved to buy 6.5% capital. 8.25% treasury stock (Post-Tender Offer)
0.69 0.73 0.76
€Mn DPS
10% CAGR 2015-2017 (€2.1Bn dividends for the period)
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
Value Creation How We Do It
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Tangible results:
Arteris, Chilean assets and Puerto Rico
Industrial Model Financial discipline
Central, Plan de Relance)
(Chicago Skyway, Indiana Toll Road, QML) Investments
assets
Relationship with grantors
Financial strength
Long term and focus
environment (Arteris capex and minorities buy-out)
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
expertise (free-flow, ETC, manual, ticketing)
mechanisms
electronic auctions
approved credit lines
Know-how and Expertise Built over 50 Years This Model Differentiates Us
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Value Creation Our business model
Revenues Opex Capex Financials Partnerships
Tariffs Traffic
management
Management
via online auction
(industrial and financial)
infrastructure sector
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
Abertis Continues to Add more Backlog than the One it Loses Through Time
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Value Creation Investments EBITDA Replacement and Portfolio Extension
2011 Portfolio Duration Time Investments 2015 Portfolio Duration
19 yrs 19 yrs
+ 4 yrs
+ ~3Bn of organic expansion capex A shortening concession life? 2015 duration = 2011 duration!
Toll Roads Portfolio Duration (based on proportional EBITDA backlog) 2011-2016 main toll road investments
Investments have fully offset 4 years
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
Strong Track Record Managing Partnerships Value Creation Partners Other consortium partners in projects
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GS Infrastructure Partners (GSIP)
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
Discretionary Free Cash Flow Yield ~12% Value Creation Financial Strength
2011 2015
Net Debt EBITDA
4.7x
4.4x 4.7x 5.8x
Liquidity
€5.8Bn
€2.2Bn consolidated cash €3.5Bn undrawn Group credit lines
S&P Rating changed to
Positive
Outlook
Rating S&P BBB (Positive outlook) Rating Fitch BBB+ (Stable outlook) Net Debt Total: ~€12.6Bn at HoldCo:
~€3.7Bn
Discretionary Free Cash Flow: Post tax, finance and maintenance capex
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Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
2015 Discretionary CF 2016 Discretionary CF Efficiencies Traffic Tax rates LM s Autopista Central Capex compensation
2015 Abertis Today Upsides
2016 Discretionary CF 2015 Recurrent Discretionary CF
Tunels New assets
Significant Value Creation Potential There is Upside
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Value Creation Discretionary Cash Flow & Upsides
Upsides post 2016
cases
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
Smart Growth in the Existing Asset Base
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Value Creation Acquisition of Autopista Central Example
Chile’s premium toll road asset:
Highest ADT in the country 2031 expiration 61 km crossing the center of Santiago Free-flow and dynamic tolling
Attractive equity IRR: ~13% local
(Acquisition price: €948Mn for 50% of Equity) Conservative traffic assumptions No synergies priced-in
Impact on Abertis:
~€220Mn Revenues ~€160Mn in EBITDA Net Debt: Price paid + ~€400Mn net debt consolidated
Upside from implementation of best-in-class industrial know-how (synergies and efficiencies)
Abertis Autopistas Chile 141 km 2024 92 km 2036 116 km 2026 229 km 2022 133 km 2019 61 km 2031 Abertis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Abertis Chilean assets (length and maturity)
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
We Deliver Our Commitments: There is Only Upside!
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2016 Outlook From a strong 2015 to a promising 2016
Positive traffic performance A year of significant non-recurrent effects Record net profit of €1,880Mn Solid L-f-L growth Derisked balance sheet Good progress on Strategic Plan
Strong 2015 results Promising 2016 outlook
Continued traffic recovery Clear cash flow upsides not priced in today’s share value Value-creating investment commitments Attractive and tangible growth pipeline with financial discipline
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
2016 Outlook Traffic Assumptions
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ADT: +1.5% ADT: +3.5% ADT: -2.5% ADT: 0.0% ADT: +1.8% ADT: +4.0%
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
2016 Outlook Key Expectations at Current Perimeter & FX
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Driven by solid traffic growth and tariff increases New efficiency programs begin to show Investing for growth
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year
M&A Pipeline 2016 Outlook Growth
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xx%
Capex program for 2016
Western Europe Italy (A4 exclusivity agreement) 2 Projects under study Americas 3 projects under study Potential new capex on existing asset base: >€2bn (visibility within the next 2 years)
Brazil (PIL) – potential tariff increases Chile (extensions) Puerto Rico (extensions)
Satellites AG-1, Amazonas 5 and Hispasat 1F Others
~€1,000Mn
Growth within the Existing Asset Base
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year Annex
Spain
#1 Operator 1,559 Km Direct Management EBITDA 2015: €0.9Bn Stake: 100%
France
#3 Operator 1,761 Km Direct Management EBITDA 2015: €1Bn Stake: 52.5%
Annex: Toll Roads Overview Europe
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year Annex
Brazil
#1 Operator (in Km) 3,250Km Direct Management 9 concessions fully consolidated EBITDA 2015: €0.35Bn 51% of Participes en Brasil (69% of Arteris)
Chile
#1 Operator 771 Km Direct Management 6 concessions fully consolidated in 2016 EBITDA 2015: €0.2Bn Stake: 100%
Annex: Toll Roads Overview Brazil & Chile
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year Annex
€ MN 2015* 2014** L-F-L*** Revenues 4,378 4,453 +5% Redundancies Operating Expenses
EBITDA Comparable EBITDA 2,692 2,807 2,909 2,672 +5% Depreciation Amortization of revalued assets (PPA) Provisions
EBIT
1,746 +12% Cost of debt Other financial results Share of profit of associates
44 21 Profit before taxes
1,042 Income tax Minorities Discontinued operations (mainly Cellnex) 2 378 2,721
119 Net Profit 1,880 655 +7%
Annex: 2015 Results Income Statement
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* The 2015 figures are net from the AP-7 traffic guarantee impacts while during 2014 AP-7 contributed €198Mn to revenues ** Restated without Cellnex and following the 2015 accounting criteria *** For details on the L-f-L reconciliation please refer to the Annex
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year Annex
Annex: Results 2015 Cash Flow Statement
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CF (€ MN) 2015 2014 CHG
2,692 2,909
Financial Result Income tax expense
2 1,679
3,257 1,717 +90% Operating capex
3,162 1,592 +99% Dividends Payments to minorities
2,463 860 Expansion capex – organic
1,652 47
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year Annex
Annex: Results 2015 Balance Sheet
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BALANCE (€ MN) 2015 2014 CHG Non-current assets 22,114 23.777
Current assets 3,625 3.647
Assets held for sale 316
25,739 27,470
Shareholder’s equity 5,349 5,993
Non-current liabilities 17,253 18,552
Current liabilities 3,137 3,079 1.9% Liabilities held for sale 116
25,739 27,740
Who are We? Our Strategy Value Creation Outlook for this Year Annex
Annex Abertis’ Shareholding Structure
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Criteria Caixa (22.7%)
Grupo Villar Mir (16.1%)
Total Free Float (61.2%)
Current Structure
Free Float (52.7%) Criteria Caixa (24.1%) Grupo Villar Mir (16.1%)
Previous Structure (Sep 15)
CVC (7.1%) Blackrock Inc (3.0%)
Free Float - Other (50.1%) Capital Group (5.1%) Lazard Asset Management (3.0%)