A. R. Siders, J.D., Ph.D. Environmental Fellow Harvard University - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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A. R. Siders, J.D., Ph.D. Environmental Fellow Harvard University - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Challenges and Lessons Learned from U.S. Retreat A. R. Siders, J.D., Ph.D. Environmental Fellow Harvard University Center for the Environment Sustainable Quarterly Climate Adaptation Forum | March 1, 2019 Solutions Lab ADVANCING IN A NEW

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Quarterly Climate Adaptation Forum | March 1, 2019

Sustainable Solutions Lab

Challenges and Lessons Learned from U.S. Retreat

  • A. R. Siders, J.D., Ph.D.

Environmental Fellow Harvard University Center for the Environment

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ADVANCING IN A NEW DIRECTION

A.R. SIDERS, JD, PHD HARVARD UNIVERSITY CENTER FOR THE ENVIRONMENT ARSIDERS@FAS.HARVARD.EDU

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LONG POINT, CAPE COD, 1850S

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Siders (2018); Mach et al. (in prep) FEMA HMGP-Funded Floodplain Property Acquisitions

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MA Buyouts in 1991 1992 1997 1998 2000 2006 2010 2011 2015

FEMA-Funded Floodplain Property Acquisitions

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Buyouts Eminent Domain Condemnation Setbacks Rolling Easements Transfer Development Rights Seawall Bans Road Reclamation Attractive Investment

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Beachapedia

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Center for Coastal Resources Management, Virginia Institute of Marine Science

tinyurl.com/arcgisRetreat

Managedretreat.org UC Davis Managedretreat.us

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A Historical Assessment of Home Buyout Policy: Are We Learning or Just Failing?

  • A. Greer & S. Binder

Housing Policy Debate 2017

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3 WAYS WE COULD DO BETTER

LEARN FROM THE PAST CONSIDER EQUITY CREATE VISION

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LEARN BUT INNOVATE

FUNDING

  • CHARLOTTE, NC– STORMWATER FEE
  • HARRIS COUNTY, TX – FEES
  • DES MOINES, IA – SALES TAX
  • SOUTH CAROLINA – CONSIDERING A STATE FUND
  • CALIFORNIA – ADAPTATION FUND

PARTICIPATION

  • 10% INCENTIVE IF IN HIGH PRIORITY AREA
  • 5% INCENTIVE IF MOVE AS BLOCK
  • RELOCATE AS NEIGHBORHOOD
  • PROPERTY SWITCH (WAPELLO)
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LEARN BUT INNOVATE

MEMORIALS

  • JAPANESE TSUNAMI STONES
  • NETHERLANDS MUSEUM
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EQUITY

Mach et al. (in review)

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“THE TROUBLE WITH MATH”: A STRAIGHT COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS CAN CREATE SOCIALLY INEQUITABLE RESULTS

“SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE” >= 50% PRE-DISASTER VALUE OF HOME SUB DAMAGE MEANS RETREAT OR REBUILD HIGHER/SAFER

Officials more likely to find low-value homes “substantially” damaged Devries & Fraser 2012 Appeals approved “95%” of time without proof: “fly-by-night, chaotic, wild west, get- what-you-want” (New Orleans official)

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“THE TROUBLE WITH MATH”: A STRAIGHT CBA CAN CREATE SOCIALLY INEQUITABLE RESULTS

Most vulnerable neighborhoods in the U.S. are low-income and minority (Mileti 1999)

New Orleans: areas proposed for not rebuilding housed 60- 80% African American population (Logan 2005)

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NOT relocating homes continues history of disproportionate risk “Trapped” populations – unable financially to relocate (Logan 2005)

Ed Schipul, Flickr, Lower 9th Ward 2008

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EQUITY

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VISION

"Retreat, hell! We're not retreating, we're just advancing in a different direction.“

  • General Smith

USMC Gen Oliver P. Smith, commanding the 1st Marine Division during the Battle of Chosin Reservoir, Korea,1950

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HIGH-DENSITY IN LOW-RISK AREAS

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STATE SEASHORE

Tom Giratikanon, Boston Globe, 2009

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MA Beach, R. Schaetzl, MSU Winthrop Beach CGI Model, VFX

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STATE SEASHORE

  • D. Stone, Essex Heritage
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RETREAT ISN’T A GOAL – IT’S A WAY TO ACHIEVE A GOAL SOMETIMES TO ADVANCE IN A NEW DIRECTION YOU HAVE TO TURN BACK

arsiders@fas.harvard.edu sidersadapts@gmail.com