Fixed Income Presentation 4Q18 and FY18 Results
Milan, 7 February 2019
4Q18 and FY18 Results Milan, 7 February 2019 Preface - - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Fixed Income Presentation 4Q18 and FY18 Results Milan, 7 February 2019 Preface - Extraordinary positive tax effect for 887m related to IFRS9 First Time Adoption on 4Q18 stated net profit As communicated at UniCredit's 1Q18 presentation (slide
Milan, 7 February 2019
As communicated at UniCredit's 1Q18 presentation (slide 39 Market Presentation), UniCredit took a gross impact of -3.8bn for the first time adoption (FTA) of IFRS9 on 1 January 2018. According to established accounting practices, such impact was taken at equity and had no impact on the Group's P&L. UniCredit SpA did not book any positive tax impact in Italy related to IFRS9 FTA. Following the publication of the recent Italian Budget Law, it has been ruled that such IFRS9 FTA shall become tax deductible over 10 years, rather than to be taken all at once in the first year. Taking into account the relevant accounting treatment, this change will accelerate the booking of the positive tax effects(1) associated to IFRS9 FTA at the current tax rate, as for all Italian banks, of around 33%; for UniCredit this results in a positive effect of +887m(2). As the FTA was recognised at equity, a coherent representation for the related tax impact should have been at equity as well. However, based on the very recent indications received from the relevant Authorities, UniCredit has now recognised such positive tax effect related to IFRS9 FTA through its P&L in 4Q18, generating a positive extraordinary effect equivalent to +887m(2). The application of such accounting treatment has resulted in a stated 4Q18 net profit of 1,727m. Excluding such positive tax effect, the 4Q18 would have recorded a net profit of 840m. In what follows, UniCredit will focus its analysis on the adjusted net profit that does not contain the above mentioned positive one off tax impact, so as to reflect what UniCredit considers the economic performance of the Group in the period. The regulatory capital and dividend implications will be clarified in the following pages.
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Strong balance sheet and excellent markets access
1Q17, +72m in 2Q17, +3m in 3Q17 and +7m in 4Q17), one-off charge booked in Non Core (-80m in 3Q17), impairment of Yapi (-846m in 3Q18) and IFRS9 FTA tax effect (+887m in 4Q18), but net profit and RoTE are not adjusted for large additional provisions for US sanctions in FY18. RoTE calculated at CMD 2016 perimeter, taking into account the capital increase and Pekao and Pioneer disposals as at 1 January 2017 2. MDA buffer vs. fully-loaded requirement as of 1 January 2019 3. Managerial figures under current regulatory assumptions including $3bn senior non-preferred issuance in January 2019 4. Dividend proposed to AGM, 20% payout on stated net profit excluding the net impact from IFRS9 FTA tax effect (+887m in 4Q18). For FY17 0.32 per share equal to 0.7bn was paid. For FY19 payout ratio of 30%
Strong Group FY18 performance notwithstanding macro and one-offs
Core bank performing very well resulting in high profitability
Good commercial dynamics with Transform 2019 well ahead of schedule
UniCredit at a glance 1 2 3 4 5 6 4
Commercial Banking model delivering unique Western, Central and Eastern European network to extensive Retail and Corporate client franchise "One Bank" business model replicated across full network, driving synergies and streamlined operations CIB fully plugged into Commercial Banking, enabling cross-selling and synergies across business lines and countries Low risk profile business model benefiting from diversification and a more stable macro/regulatory environment 26.4 million clients(1) 81% revenues from Commercial Banking(2) Commercial Banks with leadership position(3) in 13(4) out of 14 countries €2.8bn joint CIB-Commercial Banking revenues(5) 51% revenues
#1 and #5 in terms of total assets according to local accounting standards 4. Austria, Bosnia, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey
FY18 based on regional view
5 UniCredit at a glance 1 2 3 4 5 6
Strong local Commercial Banks
Rank by assets in Europe(2) Germany Austria CEE Italy # clients, m(1) 1.6 1.6 8.9 14.3 Revenues by geography(3)
figures available. For Germany, only private banks, for CEE compared to Erste, KBC, Intesa Sanpaolo, OTP, RBI, SocGen (data as of 3Q18 where disclosed: KBC as of 1H18, SocGen as of FY17) 3. Data as
2018 5. Dealogic as of 2 January 2019; period: 1 Jan – 31 Dec 2018 6. Source: www.gfmag.com 7. Source: www.euromoney.com
Loans to corporates in Europe zone, €bn(4) 21% 21% 10% 49% Italy CEE Austria Germany 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
"Go to" bank for European "Mittelstand" Corporates 2 3 1 1 Best-in-class CIB product provider
UniCredit at a glance
Awards
EMEA rankings(5) All Bonds in Euro in Italy and Germany(5) Syndicated Loans in Italy, Germany, Austria, CEE(5) EMEA Bonds in Euro by # of transactions(5)
1 1 1
Service Provider (#1 Global All Services, Products/Payments, Overall Execution). Market Leader #1 in Bosnia Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Hungary, Italy, Romania, Serbia and Turkey(7)
Management in CEE and Western Europe, in Italy and in Austria(6)
Peer 2 UniCredit Peer 1 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5
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20.4 4.9 19.7 19.8
1.5 1.7 3.9 4.7 0.8 3.9 60.0% 56.0% 54.2% 52-53% 103bps 79bps 58bps 55bps 4% 7.1% 8.0% >9% 9.3% 10.1% >10% 10.4% 12.0-12.5% 361 406 77.8 37.9 52.0 14.9 16.0% 7.5% 6.1% 4.7% 12.07% 370 38.2 18.6 7.7% 4.1%
2015
1 2 3 4 5 6
Revenues, €bn Cost/Income Costs, €bn Cost of risk Net profit, €bn RoTE(1) FL CET1 ratio Group gross NPEs, €bn Group gross NPEs ratio RWA, €bn Group Core gross NPEs ratio
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Non Core gross NPEs, €bn
2019 4Q18 FY18
Transform 2019 update
Adjusted net profit(1), €bn
RoTE are not adjusted for large additional provisions for US sanctions in FY18. RoTE calculated at CMD 2016 perimeter, taking into account the capital increase and Pekao and Pioneer disposals as at 1 January 2017
Group Core RoTE(1)
subordination ratio 17.42%, pro-forma(2) 18.13%, buffer of 107bps(2)
down 10.2bn Y/Y and 2.6bn Q/Q, of which 4.4bn(3) disposed in FY18
18.6bn, better than 19bn target. FY19 14.9bn target confirmed
and 881 since December 2015 in Western Europe
STRENGTHEN AND OPTIMISE CAPITAL CET1 ratio guidance confirmed Full TLAC compliance IMPROVE ASSET QUALITY Ongoing de-risking 2021 accelerated Non Core rundown fully
TRANSFORM OPERATING MODEL Transformation well ahead of schedule FY19 cost target 10.4bn
Of which 2.1bn in Non Core 4. Weighted average "NPL" ratio of EBA sample banks is 3.4%. Source: EBA risk dashboard (data as at 3Q18). UniCredit's definition of "NPE" ratio is more conservative than EBA
1 2 3 4 5 6 Transform 2019 update 9
MAXIMISE COMMERCIAL BANK VALUE E2E streamlining Multichannel offer/ customer experience Leading European Debt and Trade Finance house
countries in the 2019 Euromoney's Trade Finance Survey
Loans globally, ranking #2 in EMEA for transactions denominated in EUR(2). Moreover, with almost 350 deals, UniCredit was again the most active player in EMEA for Bonds in EUR, an undisputed leadership since 2012(2), which has been further enhanced thanks to the fully plugged-in business model
Commercial partnerships
Extended product catalogue
underwritten by year-end 2018
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rankings by volume, unless otherwise stated
ADOPT LEAN BUT STEERING CENTRE Group CC streamlining
1 2 3 4 5 6 Transform 2019 update 10
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12% 8% 16% 16% 9% 45% n.m. n.m. n.m. n.m.
RoTE FY18 RoAC(2)
5,473
6,252 1,422 1,591 4,266 4,656 836 1,051 1,050 FY17 4Q18 FY18 4Q17 3Q18
Grou Group p Cor Core adj djusted net et pr prof
notwithstanding large additional provisions for US sanctions
Adjusted net profit(1) by division FY18, m
Pioneer (+48m in 1Q17, +72m in 2Q17, +3m in 3Q17 and +7m in 4Q17), one-off charge booked in Non Core (-80m in 3Q17), impairment of Yapi (-846m in 3Q18) and IFRS9 FTA tax effect (+887m in 4Q18), but net profit and RoTE are not adjusted for large additional provisions for US sanctions in FY18. RoTE calculated at CMD 2016 perimeter, taking into account the capital increase and Pekao and Pioneer disposals as at 1 January 2017 2. Stated FY18 RoAC. FY18 RoACs are: CB Italy 11.0%, CB Germany 4.1% and CIB 8.6%
9.1% 6.9% 9.3% 10.1% 9.3% 1,325 4,656 3,852 369 432 1,726 897 85 CEE CB Austria CB Italy CB Germany CIB Fineco
Group CC Group Core
Non Core Group 1 2 3 4 5 6 4Q18 & FY18 P&L results 12
in 1Q17, +72m in 2Q17, +3m in 3Q17 and +7m in 4Q17), impairment of Yapi (-846m in 3Q18) and IFRS9 FTA tax effect (+887m in 4Q18), but net profit and RoTE are not adjusted for large additional provisions for US sanctions in FY18. RoTE calculated at CMD 2016 perimeter, taking into account the capital increase and Pekao and Pioneer disposals as at 1 January 2017 2. End-of-period accounting volumes excluding repos and intercompany items 3. Managerial figures 4. Weighted average "NPL" ratio of EBA sample banks is 3.4%. Source: EBA risk dashboard (data as at 3Q18). UniCredit's definition of "NPE" ratio is more conservative than EBA
Mai ain dri drivers
driven by strong loan volumes(2) (+7.1% Y/Y) and stabilising loan rates. Fees resilient (+0.8% FY/FY)
cost discipline. FY18 C/I ratio at 53.5%, down 2.9p.p. FY/FY
environment remains supportive
FY19 4.7% target
large additional provisions for US sanctions
Data in m Total revenues 19,872 19,783
4,896 4,814 4,908 +1.9% +0.2%
10,449 10,752 +2.9% 2,610 2,732 2,768 +1.3% +6.1%
6,769 6,822 +0.8% 1,703 1,643 1,684 +2.5%
Operating costs
+5.0%
Gross operating profit 8,654 9,194 +6.2% 2,112 2,252 2,218
+5.1% LLPs
+53.5% +11.9% Net operating profit 6,677 7,496 +12.3% 1,456 1,774 1,485
+2.0% Net profit 6,241 4,696 n.m. 936 204 1,937 n.m. n.m. Adjusted net profit(1) 4,266 4,656 +9.1% 836 1,051 1,050
+25.6% Adjusted RoTE(1) 9.1% 10.1% +1.0p.p. 6.9% 9.3% 9.3%
+2.3p.p. C/I 56.5% 53.5%
56.9% 53.2% 54.8% +1.6p.p.
CoR (bps) 47 38
62 42 64 +21 +2 Gross NPE ratio 5.1% 4.1%
5.1% 4.3% 4.1%
∆ % vs. 4Q17 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 ∆ % vs. 3Q18 FY17 FY18 ∆ % vs. FY17
1 2 3 4 5 6 4Q18 & FY18 P&L results 13
1Q17, +72m in 2Q17, +3m in 3Q17 and +7m in 4Q17), one-off charge booked in Non Core (-80m in 3Q17), impairment of Yapi (-846m in 3Q18) and IFRS9 FTA tax effect (+887m in 4Q18), but net profit and RoTE are not adjusted for large additional provisions for US sanctions in FY18. RoTE calculated at CMD 2016 perimeter, taking into account the capital increase and Pekao and Pioneer disposals as at 1 January 2017 2. Non-recurring capital gains pre-tax in 3Q17: +87m in CIB and +39m in CB Germany. In 4Q17: +28m in CB Germany 3. Income taxes include the net impact from IFRS9 FTA tax effect (+887m in 4Q18), excluding these effect the income taxes would have been +112m in 4Q18 and -408m in FY18
Mai ain dri drivers
fees up 0.9% FY/FY
market environment
(+10.4% FY/FY)
FY/FY thanks to lower HR costs (-7.0% FY/FY) and Non HR costs (-3.5% FY/FY)
including 5bps of models and 3bps of IFRS9 macro scenario negative impact. The overall risk environment remains supportive
provisions for US sanctions
fourth quarter in a decade for the second time running
Data in m Total revenues 19,941 19,723
4,905 4,814 4,856 +0.9%
10,633 10,856 +2.1% 2,646 2,765 2,776 +0.4% +4.9%
6,695 6,756 +0.9% 1,682 1,628 1,659 +1.9%
1,818 1,245
384 277 159
Operating costs
+4.9%
Gross operating profit 8,603 9,025 +4.9% 2,112 2,222 2,138
+1.2% LLPs
+32.5% +10.5% Net operating profit 5,664 6,406 +13.1% 1,277 1,526 1,215
Other charges & provisions
n.m.
+92.1%
+38.8% 14
n.m. Profit (loss) from investments
+58.8%
Profit before taxes 4,148 3,619
830 127 778 n.m.
Income taxes(3)
479 n.m.
998 n.m. n.m. Net profit from discontinued operations 2,251 14
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1 n.m.
Net profit 5,473 3,892 n.m. 801 29 1,727 n.m. n.m. Adjusted net profit(1) 3,578 3,852 +7.7% 701 875 840
+19.9% FY17 FY18 ∆ % vs. FY17 ∆ % vs. 4Q17 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 ∆ % vs. 3Q18
1 2 3 4 5 6 4Q18 & FY18 P&L results 14
Net et Inter Interest, t, m
Net interest margin
1.42%
10,633 10,856 2,646 2,765 2,776 4Q17 FY17 FY18 3Q18 4Q18
+2.1% +4.9% +0.4%
(flat Q/Q)
Average Euribor 3M
1 2 3 4 5 6
Fee Fees an and d com commis issio ions, m
dynamics
and investment fees down (-14.5% Y/Y)
1.41% 1.43%
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2,207 2,436 557 612 623 1,721 1,688 2,767 2,632 706 613 603 Investment
4Q17 FY17 FY18 3Q18
420 Financing
4Q18
434 Transactional 403 6,695 6,756 1,682 1,628 1,659 +0.9%
+1.9%
4Q18 & FY18 P&L results
Dividends(1), m
311 299 92 327 439 125 127
638 4Q17 FY17 FY18 4Q18 3Q18
24 71 49 Other dividend Yapi (at equity)
738 120 149 219
+15.6% +83.0% +46.7%
tax in 3Q17: +87m in CIB and +39m in CB Germany. In 4Q17: +28m in CB Germany 3. Collateral Valuation Adjustment (OIS), Debt/Credit Value Adjustment (DVA/CVA), Fair Value Adjustment and Funding Valuation Adjustment (FVA) 4. TRY sensitivity: 10% depreciation of the TRY has around +1bp net impact (-3bps from capital, +3bps from RWA) on the fully loaded CET1 ratio. Managerial data as at 31 December 2018
market environment and consequently less client activity
equal to -30m in 4Q18 (+26m in 3Q18 and +23m in 4Q17)
current FX as the TRY rally in 4Q18 reversed some of the earlier losses
impact for 10% adverse FX move(4)
underlying the Pekao mandatory convertible
Trading income, m
497 284 1,321 1,175 274
FY17 FY18
70
3Q18 4Q17
110 165
4Q18
Client Driven Others
1,818 1,245 384 277 159
1 2 3 4 5 6 4Q18 & FY18 P&L results 16
FTE FTEs (eop eop)
Bra Branch ches(1) Mai ain dri drivers
schedule:
achieved (14,000)
completed (881 out of 944)
down 226 Y/Y
2.6p.p. FY/FY
Q/Q due to seasonality
than 11.0bn target. FY19 costs confirmed at 10.4bn
11,338 10,698 2,793 2,592 2,718 FY17 FY18 4Q18 4Q17 3Q18
+4.9% C/I 67,864 63,607 62,568 24,089 24,267 24,218 CEE 3Q18 4Q18 4Q17 W.E. 91,952 87,873 86,786
3,127 2,978 2,928 1,690 1,675 1,663 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 CEE W.E. 4,653 4,817 4,591
Q/Q Q/Q
Co Costs, , m
56.9% 54.2% 56.9% 53.8% 56.0%
1 2 3 4 5 6 4Q18 & FY18 P&L results 17
Loan loss provisions, m
Cost of risk
gross NPE Gross NPE ratio
environment remains supportive
macro scenario negative impact
Y/Y. Coverage ratio at 61.0% up 4.6p.p. Y/Y
(8bps in FY18) and IFRS9 macro scenario impact (6bps in FY18)
models impact (11bps in 4Q18)
environment and NPE sales
2Q18 partially offset by models impact (8bps in FY18)
Main drivers
models impact
impact
2,939 2,619 835 696 923 FY17 4Q17 FY18 3Q18 4Q18
+10.5% +32.5% 67bps 58bps 76bps 60bps 79bps 56.3% 60.9% 61.0% 10.3% 8.3% 7.7%
1.Weighted average of EBA sample banks is 3.4%. Source: EBA risk dashboard (data as at 3Q18). UniCredit's definition of "NPE" ratio is more conservative than EBA
1 2 3 4 5 6 4Q18 & FY18 P&L results 18
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Massive reduction of NPE stock
NPE disposal of 17.0bn(1)
Strong underwriting discipline with very good quality of new business Expected Loss (EL), in line with Risk Appetite
Pro-active and decisive de-risking actions for the benefit of all stakeholders
4Q18 market presentation
1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 Asset quality 20
Non performing exposures(1), bn
24.2 20.2 Coverage ratio Gross NPE ratio Coverage ratio Net bad loans Net NPE ratio Net NPE 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
21.1 16.0 4Q17 3Q18 14.9 4Q18
48.3 40.8 38.2
Coverage ratio Net UTP
5.8 3Q18 9.5 4Q17
23.1
6.3 4Q18
21.2 27.8
3Q18 11.0 9.0 4Q17 4Q18 8.5
19.5 16.7 16.2
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10.3% 8.3% 7.7% 4.8% 3.5% 3.2% 56.3% 60.9% 61.0% 65.9% 72.8% 72.6% 43.6% 46.2% 47.3%
Asset quality
22
4Q17 11.1 20.6 7.3 3Q18 4Q18 6.6 26.0 18.6
Coverage ratio Gross NPE ratio Net NPEs 5.0 4Q17 4.0 3Q18 3.6 4Q18 8.9 7.5 6.9
Coverage ratio Net UTP Coverage ratio Net NPE ratio 70.0% 2018 Target 2019 Target 19 14.9 6.1 4Q17 3.3 3Q18 3.0 4Q18 13.0 16.9 11.7
Net bad loans
Non performing exposures(1), bn
57.2% 64.3% 64.3% 78.4% 82.7% 99.9% >57% 100% 100% 44.4% 46.6% 47.6% 64.0% 74.7% 74.2% 89.0% 92.5% 100.0%
Target confirmed
1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 Asset quality
NPEs coverage, % Bad loans cov., % UTP coverage, %
Net Loans, €bn Performing NPE 49.6
2019
0.0 6.7 18.6
3Q16 2021 4Q18
56.3 18.6(1) 14.9
Gross Loans, €bn €bn
Total FINO phase 2 closed in Jan 2018 Mostly corporate Mainly driven by corporate, small business Both single name and portfolios Cash recoveries on workout and UTP Active portfolio management and cost optimisation Dec18-Dec19 Other movements Sep16-Dec18 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 FINO "Back" to Core Repayments Disposals Recoveries Write-offs Other(2)
Actions of Non Core rundown Non Core evolution
Full rundown
Asset quality 23
29.5 6.6 6.4 53.5 64.3 >57 33.3 47.6 >38 60.5 74.2 >63
Rounding differences may occur
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Capital 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
Fully loaded Common Equity Tier 1 ratio, %
4Q18 payment of coupons on AT1 instruments (135m pre tax) and CASHES (31m pre and post tax) 3. In 4Q18 CET1 ratio impact from FVOCI +7bps, o/w +12bps thanks to BTP spread tightening. NB: 3yr BTP asset swap spreads tightened by c.50bps in 4Q18 4. BTP sensitivity: +10bps parallel shift of BTP asset swap spreads has a -3.1bps pre and -2.3bps post tax impact on the fully loaded CET1 ratio as at 31 December 2018 5. In 4Q18 TRY appreciation had a total net impact on CET1 ratio of -1bp, o/w +3.7bps from capital shown in "FX" and -4.5bps from RWA shown in "RWA dynamics" 6. At current BTP spread levels 7. Source: EBA 2018 transparency exercise. For more details on peer comparison see Annex pages 72-74 on 4Q18 market presentation
3Q18 stated Net profit 4Q18(1) 20% dividend accrual & coupons(2) +3bps RWA dynamics(5) FVOCI(3,4), FX(5), DBO reserves Other(1) 12.07% 4Q18 stated +4bps 12.11% +23bps
FVOCI: +7bps FX: +1bp o/w TRY: +4bps DBO: -4bps Regulation, models and procyclicality:
TRY: -5bps IFRS9 FTA DTA +5bps combined initial effect
25
€44.1 bn
CE CET1 tran transitio itional al(1)
2018 Basel 3 phase-in 100%
Absolute amount for CET1 transitional, Tier1 capital transitional and total capital transitional
2018 Basel 3 phase-in 100% 2018 Basel 3 phase-in 100%
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CET1 11.71% AT1 0.94% CET1 11.71% AT1 0.94% CET1 13.94% AT1 1.38% T2 2.87%
12.13% 3Q18 12.17% 4Q18 0.0p.p. 3Q18 4Q18 1.51% 12.13% 13.72% 13.64%
3Q18 2.16% 1.51% 15.97% 12.13% 4Q18 15.80%
CET1 AT1 CET1 AT1 T2
9.19% MDA 4Q18 10.69% MDA 4Q18 12.69% MDA 4Q18
Capital 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
Ti Tier r 1 tran transitio itional al(1) Tota Total l cap capital tal tran transitio ional(1
(1) €44.9 bn €49.7 bn €50.5 bn €57.9 bn €58.5 bn
capital ratio * RWA (FL where available) 3. FL leverage ratio where available. Peers: BBVA, BNP, Commerzbank, CASA, DBK, HSBC, ISP, ING Group, Nordea, Santander, SocGen. FX exchange rate at 30 September 2018 for 3Q18 figures
27 Peer 1 75.8 Peer 2 Peer 6 Peer 3 Peer 7 Peer 4 Peer 5 UniCredit Peer 8 Peer 9 Peer 10 Peer 11 37.2 23.5 24.5 35.4 39.6 40.7 44.2 44.7 47.5 66.9 106.1
Total assets €/bn Total capital(2)
4.00 4.09 4.10 4.12 4.25 4.50 4.90 5.10 5.40 5.60 6.40 Peer 6 Peer 4 4.94 Peer 3 Peer 1 Peer 5 UniCredit Peer 7 Peer 2 Peer 8 Peer 9 Peer 10 Peer 11 Peers Avg. 4.8% 58.3 53.9 29.2 31.7 52.5 49.0 61.5 58.5 61.3 87.6 95.8 153.5 831 677 2,243 493 902 2,234 573 1,304 797 1,604 1,348 1,459
4Q18 3Q18
Capital 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
Fully loaded CET1 capital(1) as of December 18, €bn Fully loaded Basel 3 Leverage ratio(3) as of December 18, %
28 1
2
3
4
5
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CEE Banks (11 CEE countries(1)) Western Europe
TLAC/MREL issuer assuming Single-Point-of-Entry (SPE) Coordinated Group-wide funding and liquidity management to
Diversified by geography and funding sources All Group Legal Entities to become self-funded by progressively minimising intragroup exposures UniCredit Bank AG and UniCredit Bank Austria AG may resume issuance of Senior Preferred bonds onto the whole-sale institutional market, along with covered bonds
Funding & Liquidity 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 29
30 50 107
100% of wholesale funding maturing in 1 year (Managerial figures)
Additional eligible assets available within 12 months(1) Cash and Deposits with Central Banks Unencumbered assets (immediately available)(1)
187 157
€bn
assets eligible within 1 year time. Figures are net of ECB haircut 2. Regulatory figure as of December 2018 3. Managerial figure as of December 2018
30 Funding & Liquidity 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
4Q18 strong liquidity buffer Compliant with key liquidity ratios
Group LCR(2) Group NSFR(3) >100% >100%
Funding & Liquidity
UniCredit SpA 2019 TLAC Funding Plan
CET1 ratio (Trans.)
Tier 2
TLAC Requirement >19.6%
Senior Preferred exemption Senior Non Preferred & Other(3)
Subordination req. >17.1%
bn
20.1-20.6% 17.6-18.1% 12.0-12.5%
AT1
instruments
RWA
406bn 2.5%
18.13%, buffer at 107bps(1). Target buffer 50-100bps
Funding 2019 1.0 2.3 2.5 3.2
1.0 2.3 2.5 0.6 6.5 3.9
TLAC buffer target 50- 100bps
Target FY 2019
CET1 MDA buffer target 200-250bps
2.0% 1.5%
9.0 6.4 Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 31
As of 31st December 2018 ca. 70% (€18.6bn) of the Group Funding Plan was executed
Note: Managerial figures
25 January 2019
14% of Group Funding Plan has already been executed in January(4), in particular:
Non Preferred from UniCredit SpA
Austria AG
32 Funding & Liquidity 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
2018 M/L Term Funding Plan 2019 M/L Term Funding Plan
6.9 4.7 1.5 7.7 5.1 11.4 7.8
27.5 2018 Planned
UniCredit Bank AG 1.0 UniCredit SpA
2018 Actual
UniCredit Bank Austria AG CEE(1)
18.6
UniCredit SpA(2) UniCredit Bank AG UniCredit Bank Austria AG CEE(1,3) 4.5 3.3 11.3 13.0
2019 Planned 32.1 € bn € € bn bn (2)(3)
UniCredit SpA UniCredit Bank AG UniCredit Bank Austria AG CEE
Issuance Ratings SpA BBB/Negative/A2(1) (bbb)(2) Baa1/Stable/P2(1) (ba1)(2) BBB/Negative/F2(1) (bbb)(2)
In Oct18 UC SpA's outlook to negative in line with Italy: Outlook might be revised to stable if UC SpA is likely to withstand hypothetical default of
exposures to Italy, ability to reduce further its NPEs in Italy and issuance of further loss- absorbing instruments as per funding plan. UC SpA is rated 2 notches higher than Italy and has "potential for improvements in the bank's stand-alone (SA) rating". SA rating improvement would benefit SNP, Tier 2 and AT1 rating, while LT deposit and senior debt ratings would be capped from sovereign debt rating". In Oct18, after Italy's downgrade, outlook was revised to 'stable' from 'positive'. " UC SpA "has made good progress in implementing its strategic plan and is in a good position to meet its planned targets ." Regarding asset quality, "the discipline in new
bank's outlook has been aligned with Italian sovereign to 'negative' from 'stable'.
Senior Non Preferred T2 AT1 OBGI (Ital CB)(5) OBGII (Ital CB)(6) BBB- BB+ nr A+ nr Senior Non Preferred T2 AT1 OBGI (Ital CB)(5) OBGII (Ital CB)(6) Baa3 Ba1 nr Aa3 Aa3 Senior Non Preferred T2 AT1 OBGI (Ital CB)(5) OBGII (Ital CB)(6) BBB BBB- B+ AA nr BBB/Negative/A2(1) Baa3/Stable/P3(1) BBB/Negative/F2(1) BBB+/Negative/A2(1) (bbb+)(2) A2(4)/Stable/P1(1) (baa2)(2) BBB+/Negative/F2(1) (bbb+)(2) BBB+/Negative/A2(1) (bbb+)(2) Baa1/Develop(3)/P2(1) (baa3)(2) Not Rated
Funding & Liquidity 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
Issuance Ratings Issuance Ratings
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This Presentation may contain written and oral “forward-looking statements”, which includes all statements that do not relate solely to historical or current facts and which are therefore inherently uncertain. All forward-looking statements rely on a number of assumptions, expectations, projections and provisional data concerning future events and are subject to a number of uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of UniCredit S.p.A. (the “Company”). There are a variety of factors that may cause actual results and performance to be materially different from the explicit or implicit contents of any forward-looking statements and thus, such forward-looking statements are not a reliable indicator of future performance. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable law. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation are provided as at the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. Neither this Presentation nor any part of it nor the fact of its distribution may form the basis of, or be relied on or in connection with, any contract or investment decision. The information, statements and opinions contained in this Presentation are for information purposes only and do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments. None of the securities referred to herein have been, or will be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States or in Australia, Canada or Japan or any other jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be unlawful (the “Other Countries”), and there will be no public offer of any such securities in the United States. This Presentation does not constitute or form a part of any offer or solicitation to purchase or subscribe for securities in the United States or the Other Countries. Pursuant the consolidated law on financial intermediation of 24 February 1998 (article 154-bis, paragraph 2) Stefano Porro, in his capacity as manager responsible for the preparation of the Company’s financial reports declares that the accounting information contained in this Presentation reflects the UniCredit Group’s documented results, financial accounts and accounting records. Neither the Company nor any member of the UniCredit Group nor any of its or their respective representatives, directors or employees accept any liability whatsoever in connection with this Presentation or any of its contents or in relation to any loss arising from its use or from any reliance placed upon it.
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