1
2019 earnings presentation February 21, 2020 1 Forward-looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2019 earnings presentation February 21, 2020 1 Forward-looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2019 earnings presentation February 21, 2020 1 Forward-looking statements From time to time Home Capital Group Inc. (the Company) makes written and verbal forward-looking statements. These are included in the Annual Report, periodic reports to
2
From time to time Home Capital Group Inc. (the Company) makes written and verbal forward-looking statements. These are included in the Annual Report, periodic reports to shareholders, regulatory filings, press releases, Company presentations and other Company communications. Forward-looking statements are made in connection with business objectives and targets, Company strategies, operations, anticipated financial results and the outlook for the Company, its industry, and the Canadian economy. These statements regarding expected future performance are “financial outlooks” within the meaning of National Instrument 51-102. Please see the risk factors, which are set forth in detail in the Risk Management section of the 2019 Annual and Fourth Quarter Report, as well as the Company’s other publicly filed information, which is available on the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval (SEDAR) at www.sedar.com, for the material factors that could cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from these statements. These risk factors are material risk factors a reader should consider, and include credit risk, liquidity and funding risk, structural interest rate risk, operational risk, investment risk, strategic risk, reputational risk, compliance risk and capital adequacy risk along with additional risk factors that may affect future results. Forward-looking statements can be found in the Report to the Shareholders and the Outlook section in the 2019 Annual and Fourth Quarter Report. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words such as “will,” “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “should,” “estimate,” “plan,” “forecast,” “may,” and “could” or other similar expressions. By their very nature, these statements require the Company to make assumptions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainty, general and specific, which may cause actual results to differ materially from the expectations expressed in the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, global capital market activity, changes in government monetary and economic policies, changes in interest rates, inflation levels and general economic conditions, legislative and regulatory developments, competition and technological change. The preceding list is not exhaustive of possible factors. These and other factors should be considered carefully and readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. The Company presents forward-looking statements to assist shareholders in understanding the Company’s assumptions and expectations about the future that are relevant in management’s setting of performance goals, strategic priorities and outlook. The Company presents its outlook to assist shareholders in understanding management’s expectations on how the future will impact the financial performance of the Company. These forward-looking statements may not be appropriate for
- ther purposes. The Company does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements, whether written or verbal, that may be made from time to time by it or
- n its behalf, except as required by securities laws.
Forward-looking statements
3
Overview
Yousry Bissada, CEO
4
Helping Canadians build their financial future
Broker partners Mortgage customers Oaken depositors Employees
5
2019: A year of growth and innovation
Continued value creation through strategic return
- f capital
Deposit growth through our Oaken channel Successful launch of first cross- border RMBS Launch of Ignite Program and first deliverables Growth in
- riginations
and loans under administration
6
Financial results
Brad Kotush, CFO
7
Q4 highlights
$26.43 $29.33 $20.00 $22.00 $24.00 $26.00 $28.00 $30.00 Q4 2018 Q4 2019 Book value per share 62.1 57.3 50.0 52.0 54.0 56.0 58.0 60.0 62.0 64.0 Q4 2018 Q4 2019 Shares outstanding at year-end (millions)
1 See definition of Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Diluted Earnings per Share in
the Company’s 2019 Annual and Fourth Quarter Consolidated Financial Report.
$35.8 $37.2 $41.2 $30.0 $32.0 $34.0 $36.0 $38.0 $40.0 $42.0 Q4 2018 Q4 2019 Q4 2019 Adjusted¹ Net income - millions $0.46 $0.65 $0.72 $- $0.20 $0.40 $0.60 $0.80 Q4 2018 Q4 2019 Q4 2019 Adjusted¹ Earnings per share
8
Q4 earnings per share increase driven by net interest income growth and share repurchases
0.46 0.17 0.25 (0.05) (0.17) (0.01) 0.65 0.07 0.72
Q4 2018 EPS Share repurchases Net interest income Non-interest income Non-interest expense Other Q4 2019 EPS
- Adj. for Ignite Program
Adjusted Q4 2019 EPS
$0.00 $0.10 $0.20 $0.30 $0.40 $0.50 $0.60 $0.70 $0.80 $0.90 $1.00
9
Summary of adjustments related to Home Trust’s Ignite Program
Q4 2019 Q3 2019
Reported Adjustment for Ignite Program Adjusted1 Reported Adjustment for Ignite Program Adjusted1
Net income (millions) $37.23 $3.92 $41.15 $39.02 $2.93 $41.95
Reported Adjustment for Ignite Program Adjusted1 Reported Adjustment for Ignite Program Adjusted1
Earnings per share $0.65 $0.07 $0.72 $0.67 $0.05 $0.72 Efficiency ratio (TEB) 55.6% (4.3%) 51.3% 51.3% (3.5%) 47.8% Return on equity (annualized) 9.0% 0.9% 9.9% 9.5% 0.7% 10.2%
Resulting from changes in estimated useful life of legacy IT investment and implementation expenses
1 See definition of Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Earnings per Share, Adjusted Efficiency Ratio and Adjusted
Return on Shareholders’ Equity under Non-GAAP Measures in the Company’s 2019 Annual and Fourth Quarter Consolidated Financial Report.
10
Single-family residential originations for 2019
$3,757.7 $4,179.9 $237.4 $197.4 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 $4,000 $4,500 $5,000 2018 2019
Millions
Classic single-family Accelerator single-family
$1,112.1 $1,120.5 $48.0 $86.3 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 Q4 2018 Q4 2019
Millions
Classic single-family Accelerator single-family
Quarterly Full year
+11.2% +0.8%
11
Loan growth
$16.3 $16.5 $16.7 $17.0 $17.2
$14.0 $14.5 $15.0 $15.5 $16.0 $16.5 $17.0 $17.5 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019
Total loan portfolio (billions)
+5.5% y/y
12
Continuing improvement in net interest margin
2.02% 1.91% 2.03% 1.99% 2.01% 2.09% 2.22% 2.31% 1.85% 1.90% 1.95% 2.00% 2.05% 2.10% 2.15% 2.20% 2.25% 2.30% 2.35% Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019
Net interest margin (TEB1)
1 Net interest margin is a measure of profitability of assets. Net interest margin (TEB) is calculated by taking net interest income, on a taxable equivalent
basis, divided by the average total assets.
Higher yields on most asset classes Benefit of favourable asset mix
13
Oaken deposits continue to grow with focus on GICs
Oaken now accounts for 24.6% of deposits with majority in the form of term deposits
$10.2 $10.6 $10.4 $10.2 $10.2 $2.7 $2.9 $3.1 $3.3 $3.4 $12.9 $13.5 $13.5 $13.5 $13.6
$- $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 $12.0 $14.0 $16.0 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019
Broker and Oaken deposits in $billions
Broker Oaken Total
$2.8 $0.6 $3.4
$0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5 Q4 2019
Oaken deposits by product in $billions
GICs Savings accounts Total 16.4% 83.6%
14
Update on RMBS
Ø First transaction has been well-received by the market Ø Credit, maturity and prepayment experience in line with initial estimates Ø Announcement of new RMBS issuer is positive for market development Ø We plan to be a serial issuer of RMBS going forward
15
High Beacon scores and low average loan to value measurements
Credit quality of our single-family residential mortgage book is evidence of our sustainable risk culture
70.9% 61.5%
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% New uninsured single-family residential mortgages originated in Q4 All uninsured single-family residential mortgages
Weighted average loan to value
696 704 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Classic originations during Q4 Total Classic portfolio
Weighted-average Beacon score
16
Net non-performing loans and NPL allowance
Results in 2018 and 2019 are reported under IFRS 9 and results in 2017 are reported under IAS 39 which may limit comparability to prior periods.
25.2%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0%
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019
NPL Allowance as a Percentage of Gross NPL 0.44% 0.31% 0.00% 0.05% 0.10% 0.15% 0.20% 0.25% 0.30% 0.35% 0.40% 0.45% 0.50% Q 1 2 1 6 Q 2 2 1 6 Q 3 2 1 6 Q 4 2 1 6 Q 1 2 1 7 Q 2 2 1 7 Q 3 2 1 7 Q 4 2 1 7 Q 1 2 1 8 Q 2 2 1 8 Q 3 2 1 8 Q 4 2 1 8 Q 1 2 1 9 Q 2 2 1 9 Q 3 2 1 9 Q 4 2 1 9 Net Non-Performing Loans as a % of Gross Loans Net Non-Performing Single-Family Residential Loans as a % of Gross Single-Family Residential Loans
17
- Provisions for credit
losses of 0.09% of gross loans on an annualized basis
- Net write-offs of 0.04%
- f gross loans on an
annualized basis
- Single-family
residential mortgage net write-offs remain low at 0.01% in the quarter and 0.02% for the year
Stable provisions for credit losses and write-offs
Results in 2018 and 2019 are reported under IFRS 9 and results in 2017 are reported under IAS 39 which may limit comparability to prior periods.
0.09% 0.04%
- 0.15%
- 0.10%
- 0.05%
0.00% 0.05% 0.10% 0.15% 0.20% Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Provisions (annualized) as a % of gross loans Net write-offs (annualized) as a % of gross loans
18
Liquidity risk management Liquid assets and near-term maturities
Aggregate available liquidity of $1.87 billion at the end of Q4 including $500 million undrawn credit facility Near-term loan maturities exceed deposit maturities
$1,376 $1,288 $1,358 $1,323 $1,341 $1,366 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% 9.00% $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019
Millions
Liquid assets at carrying value As % of Total assets $2.6 $8.1 $2.7 $0.7 $14.1 $1.7 $4.7 $4.6 $1.9 $12.9 $0.0 $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 $12.0 $14.0 $16.0 0-3 months 3-12 months 1-3 years Over 3 years Total
Billions
Non-Securitized Contractual Loan Maturities Contractual Fixed Term Deposit Maturities
19
Capital and leverage metrics1
Opportunity for strategic capital deployment in line with internal risk model Leverage is within internal risk limits and well above regulatory requirements
7.00% 17.64% REGULATORY MINIMUM ACTUAL
1 Ratios are based on Home Trust Company’s consolidated financial
position.
Basel III Common Equity Tier 1 at Q4 2019 Leverage ratio at Q4 2019 3.00% 7.07%
REGULATORY MINIMUM ACTUAL
20
Returning capital to shareholders
2018
Substantial Issuer Bid (SIB) completed with 18.2 million shares repurchased at $16.50 per share
2019
Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) completed with 4.8 million shares repurchased at average cost per share of $19.85
2020
Substantial Issuer Bid (SIB) completed with 4.4 million shares repurchased at $34.15 per share
2020
Normal Course Issuer Bid launched for up to 5.3 million shares $300 million $94 million $150 million
21
Questions?
22
Q4 Financial highlights
Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2018 Sequential change Year-over-year change
Originations (millions)
$1,619.9 $1,545.4 $1,614.2 4.8% 0.4%
Revenue (millions)
$123.8 $116.6 $108.4 6.1% 14.2%
Net interest margin (TEB)
2.31% 2.22% 1.99% 9 bps 32 bps
Provisions as % of Gross Loans (annualized)
0.09% 0.09% 0.10% 0 bps (1) bps
Efficiency ratio (TEB) – reported
55.6% 51.3% 51.3% 430 bps 430 bps
Efficiency ratio (TEB) – adjusted1
51.3% 47.8% 51.3% 350 bps 0 bps
Net income (millions) – reported
$37.2 $39.0 $35.8 (4.6%) 4.0%
Net income (millions) – adjusted1
$41.2 $42.0 $35.8 (1.9%) 14.9%
Earnings per share – reported
$0.65 $0.67 $0.46 (3.0%) 41.3%
Earnings per share – adjusted1
$0.72 $0.72 $0.46 0% 56.5%
Return on equity (annualized) – reported
9.0% 9.5% 8.1% (50) bps 90 bps
Return on equity (annualized) – adjusted1
9.9% 10.2% 8.1% (30) bps 180 bps
1 See definition of Adjusted Efficiency Ratio, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Earnings per Share and Adjusted Return on Shareholders’ Equity under Non-GAAP Measures in the Company’s 2019 Annual and Fourth Quarter Consolidated Financial Report.
23
2019 Financial highlights
2019 2018 Year-over-year change
Originations (millions)
$5,658.0 $5,439.4 4.0%
Revenue (millions)
$455.5 $418.9 8.8%
Net interest margin (TEB)
2.16% 1.99% 17 bps
Provisions as % of Gross Loans
0.12% 0.13% (1) bps
Efficiency ratio (TEB) – reported
54.9% 52.0% 290 bps
Efficiency ratio (TEB) – adjusted1
51.3% 52.0% (70) bps
Net income (millions) – reported
$136.0 $132.6 2.6%
Net income (millions) – adjusted1
$148.0 $132.6 11.6%
Earnings per share – reported
$2.29 $1.66 38.0%
Earnings per share – adjusted1
$2.49 $1.66 50.0%
Return on equity (annualized) – reported
8.2% 7.7% 50 bps
Return on equity (annualized) – adjusted1
8.9% 7.7% 120 bps
1 See definition of Adjusted Efficiency Ratio, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Earnings per Share and Adjusted Return on Shareholders’ Equity under Non-GAAP Measures in the Company’s 2019 Annual and Fourth Quarter Consolidated Financial Report.
24
2019 Financial highlights
Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2018 Sequential change Year-over-year change Total loan portfolio (billions) $17.15 $16.99 $16.26 0.9% 5.5% Loans under administration (billions) $22.96 $22.97 $22.93 (0.1%) 0.1% Assets under administration (billions) $24.79 $24.78 $24.68 0.1% 0.5% Net non-performing loans as %
- f gross loans
0.44% 0.49% 0.47% (5) bps (3) bps CET1 ratio1 17.64% 19.67% 18.94% (203) bps (130) bps Book value per share $29.33 $28.64 $26.43 2.4% 11.0% Shares outstanding (millions) 57.3 57.3 62.1 (0.0) (4.7)
1CET1 ratio relates to the Company’s operating subsidiary, Home Trust Company