2018 RESULTS 3 April 2019 General & Disclaimer Except as the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2018 RESULTS 3 April 2019 General & Disclaimer Except as the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2018 RESULTS 3 April 2019 General & Disclaimer Except as the context otherwise indicates, Neptune or Neptune Energy, Group, we, us, and our, refers to the group of companies comprising Neptune Energy Group
Except as the context otherwise indicates, “Neptune” or “Neptune Energy”, “Group”, “we,” “us,” and “our,” refers to the group of companies comprising Neptune Energy Group Midco Limited (the Company) and its consolidated subsidiaries and equity accounted investments. “EPI” refers to the business of ENGIE E&P International S.A. (now renamed Neptune Energy International S.A.) and its direct or indirect subsidiaries. This presentation includes the results of the acquired EPI business consolidated since 15 February 2018, which is the acquisition date as that is when Neptune acquired control over EPI. Equivalent data for Neptune for the corresponding reporting period ended 31 December 2017, starting when the Company was incorporated on 22 March 2017, are generally not informative, as the Company had minimal activity at the time, principally comprising only minor administration expenses. Therefore, in respect of certain measures, including production, EBITDAX and capital expenditure, we have provided additional approximate pro forma information relating to the acquired EPI business, to enable a comparison of the results for the full 12 months ended 31 December 2018 (including the period prior to our acquisition on 15 February) with those for the 12 months ended 31 December 2017. In this presentation, unless otherwise indicated, our production, reserves and resources figures are presented on a basis including our ownership share of volumes of companies that we account for under the equity accounting method, in particular, for the interest held in the Touat project in Algeria through a joint venture company. The discussion in this presentation includes forward looking statements which, although based on assumptions that we consider reasonable, are subject to risks and uncertainties which could cause actual events or conditions to materially differ from those expressed or implied by the forward looking statements. While these forward-looking statements are based on our internal expectations, estimates, projections, assumptions and beliefs as at the date of such statements or information, including, among other things, assumptions with respect to production, future capital expenditures and cash flow, we caution you that the assumptions used in the preparation of such information may prove to be incorrect and no assurance can be given that our expectations, or the assumptions underlying these expectations, will prove to be correct. Any forward-looking statements that we make in this presentation speak only as of the date of such statement or the date of this presentation. Unless otherwise indicated, all production figures are presented on a net entitlement basis. Where gross amounts are indicated, they are presented on a total basis—i.e., the actual interest of the relevant license holder in the relevant fields and license areas without deduction for the economic interest of our commercial partners, taxes or royalty interests or otherwise. This presentation presents certain production and reserves related information on an “equivalency” basis. Our conversion of oil and gas data into barrels of oil equivalent may differ from that data used by other companies. This presentation contains non-GAAP and non-IFRS measures and ratios that are not required by, or presented in accordance with, any generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) or IFRS. These non-IFRS and non-GAAP measures and ratios may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies and have limitations as analytical tools and should not be considered in isolation
- r as a substitute for analysis of our operating results as reported under IFRS or GAAP. Non-IFRS and non-GAAP measures and ratios are not measurements of our performance or liquidity under IFRS or
GAAP and should not be considered as alternatives to operating profit or profit from continuing operations or any other performance measures derived in accordance with IFRS or GAAP or as alternatives to cash flow from operating, investing or financing activities.
General & Disclaimer
2
Introduction
Sam Laidlaw – Executive Chairman
3
Understanding our results
4
- This presentation includes the results of Neptune Energy from 15 February 2018 to 31 December
- 2018. This reflects the period from when Neptune acquired control over EPI. From 28th September
2018, the results of VNG Norge are also consolidated.
- In respect of certain measures, including production, EBITDAX, capex and realised prices, we have
provided additional approximate pro forma information relating to the acquired EPI business. This enables a comparison of the results for the full 12 months ended 31 December 2018 with those for the 12 months ended 31 December 2017. Results from VNG Norge are included in the pro forma information from 28th September 2018.
Strong financial and operating results for 2018
5
Demonstrating track record
Production
+3%(1) 159 kboepd(1)
2017(1)
154 kboepd
Opex(6)
- 3%
$10.2/boe(3)
2017(1)
$10.5/boe
EBITDAX
+38%(5) $2,056m(1)
2017(1)
$1,485m
2P reserves
+15% 638 mmboe(7)
2017(4)
555 mmboe
HSE
- 2.27
TRIR(8) 2.60
2017(2)
4.87
- 1. 12 month pro forma
- 2. 12 month rolling average as of January 2018
- 3. Relates to the post acquisition period only, from 15 February 2018 to 31 December 2018
- 4. Engie E&P estimate as at 31 December 2017
- 5. Calculated on a pro forma basis
- 6. Opex includes royalties
- 7. Proven and probable reserves as at 31 December 2018
- 8. Total Recordable Injury Rate (TRIR) is defined as the number of recordable injuries per 1 million hours worked. It is calculated on a 12 month rolling average as follows:
TRIR = (fatalities + lost work day cases + restricted work day case + medical treatment cases)
𝑂𝑣𝑛𝑐𝑓𝑠 𝑝𝑔 ℎ𝑝𝑣𝑠𝑡 𝑥𝑝𝑠𝑙𝑓𝑒
x 1,000,000
Focused on organic growth and project delivery in 2019
- 2P reserves increased by 15% to
638mmboe
- Production replacement ratio of 244%
- Organic growth of 79mmboe
achieved through positive operational progress in the UK and Norway
- VNG and Seagull acquisitions added
59mmboe
6
Significant investment in growth
- Investment to increase across the
portfolio in 2019; Development capex
- f c.$700 million
- Disciplined approach to capital
allocation
- Seven exploration wells planned
- Organic and inorganic growth
- pportunities continuously being
evaluated
- Touat commissioning underway,
first gas out by end of H1 2019
- Duva/Gjøa P1 and Seagull projects
sanctioned since year end; both on stream by 2021
- Development projects progressing
- n target – five key projects due to
start up between 2019 and 2021
- >90 kboepd of net working interest
production now in development
2P Reserves Growth Increased Investment Project Progress
Operations Update
Jim House - CEO
7
Norway 37% UK 19% Netherlands 34% Germany 11%
Production performance improving
Strong operatorship capabilities
- 1. Pro forma production for the 12 months to 31 December 2018
- Neptune average production of 159.1 kboepd in 2018, up 3.1% YoY on a
pro forma basis
- Full year of production from Jangkrik added 13.4 kboepd
- Strong performance from key assets in Norway mitigated natural declines
- Natural declines in the Netherlands reflect low past investment
- Production guidance of 155-160 kboepd for the full year 2019; ending the year at
a higher rate
8
Pro forma production waterfall 52% of net production is operated Net operated production by country
Operated 52% Non-operated 48% 2018A: 159kboepd(1) 2018A: 83kboepd(1)
kboepd
Efficiency improving at key assets
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Neptune 2018: 88% Neptune 2017: 81% 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
Norway Netherlands UK Germany
Geographical diversity at scale
9
EUROPE NORTH AFRICA ASIA PACIFIC
Norway United Kingdom Germany Netherlands Algeria Egypt Australia Indonesia
Operations update
Delivering operational improvements across our asset base
- 1. Production for this period relates to the post acquisition period only, from 15 February 2018 to 31 December 2018.
- 2. Opex excludes royalties. German opex including royalties is $26/boe
Norway Netherlands UK Asia Pacific Germany North Africa
- Production average of 21.3 kboepd(1) in 2018,
benefitting from a full year from Jangkrik, in Indonesia
- Opex $12/boe
- Significant resource upside identified
- High impact exploration well planned for 2019
- Production average of 4.3 kboepd(1) in 2018
ahead of plan in Egypt
- Significant growth in H2 2019 with the addition
- f volumes from Touat, in Algeria
- Active workover programme planned in Egypt,
following positive results in 2018
- Opex $10/boe
- Resilient production average of 13.0 kboepd(1) in
2018 reflecting good production management
- Disappointing drilling results from Römerberg field
- Opex $22/boe(2), but lower than forecast; targeting
10% reduction in 2019
- Organisational restructuring underway
- Rhine Valley exploration upside to be tested in 2019
- VNG Norge acquired and successfully integrated
- A very strong year for earnings and reserves
replacement ~500% achieved
- Production averaged 77.8 kboepd(1); good
performance from Gjøa, Gudrun and Fram
- Low cost operations with opex of $7/boe
- Significant growth in investment planned in 2019,
with multiple developments underway; Duva/Gjøa P1 sanctioned post year end
- Production averaged 28.3 kboepd(1) in 2018
- Opex below plan at $12/boe
- Organisational and management changes to
improve production and cost performance in 2019
- Focus on extending life of existing assets and high
value incremental projects
- The Netherlands remains a relatively mature area
for exploration
- Production average of 17.1 kboepd(1) in 2018 hit by
unplanned downtime in H2 2018
- Cygnus production currently constrained by third
party infrastructure limitations
- Opex substantially reduced to $7/boe
- Apache CNS acquisition; Seagull project
sanctioned
10 Production 48% Production 17% Production 13% Production 8% Production 3% Production 11%
Growth projects
Strong pipeline of developments
High level of development activity
- Five material projects to be in development by Q2 2019,
‒ Four operated by Neptune – Touat, Duva (Cara)/Gjøa P1, Fenja, Seagull ‒ Non-operated Njord redevelopment
- Projects contribute >90 kboepd of production
- Touat onstream by mid-2019 and extending our production profile
- Additional development activity to backfill Snøhvit LNG facility,
with Snøhvit Nord due to start up in 2019 and Askeladd in 2020
- Infill drilling on Fram underway, with three new wells on stream in
Q4 2019
- Development capex spending for 2019 at c.$700 million
11
Duva/Gjøa P1
30% WI 16 kboepd net
Touat
35% WI 26 kboepd net(1)
Seagull
35% WI 17 kboepd net
Fenja
30% WI 13 kboepd net
Njord
22.5% WI 22 kboepd net
Additional 90 kboepd
- 1. Touat net production is stated on a working interest basis. We report actual production on an entitlement basis.
Country 2019 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Norway Netherlands UK Germany North Africa Asia Pacific
Increasing spend on exploration
- Seven wells drilled in 2018, leading to three
discoveries
- We announced the successful Sigrun well
in Norway (Neptune 25% WI) in August
- Seven exploration wells planned in 2019
- The Darach (Neptune 30% WI) and
Isabella (Neptune 50% WI) wells to be drilled in the UK
- The Schwegenheim well (Neptune 50%
WI) is important for understanding the exploration potential of the Rhine Valley
- The Geng North well (Neptune 12.5% WI)
is targeting a material gas prospect in Indonesia
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Key part of growth strategy 2019 firm exploration programme Highlights
$125 million exploration spend in 2019
Material reserves upgrade
Strong organic and inorganic production replacement
- 1. Neptune previously reported an ERC estimate of proved and probable reserves at 31 December 2017 of 542 mmboe. We now report management estimates according to SPE methodology, which have independently been audited by ERC.
- 2. Reserves estimates exclude contingent resources
2018 proved and probable reserves (2P) progression(1)
13
Neptune achieved a
244%
production replacement ratio
500% 500%
production replacement ratio in Norway
11 years
reserves life, from 9.6 years previously
mmboe
Financial Results
Armand Lumens - CFO
14
- 1. EBITDAX comprises net income for the period before income tax expense, financial expenses, financial income, non-recurring acquisition-related expenses mark-to-market adjustments on commodity contracts, exploration expense and depreciation and amortisation
- 2. Free cash flow defined as operating cash flow before acquisition expenses and net of development and exploration capex, investment in equity accounted entities and net interest paid
Revenues $2,538 million
- Neptune production of 50.9 mmboe; 12 month pro
forma production of 58.1 mmboe
- Average unhedged oil and gas realisations of
$69.6/bbl and $7.9/mcf
- Gas weighted portfolio and hedging helped our
performance during weaker Q4 pricing environment
Post tax operating Cash flow $1,156 million FCF(2) $600 million
- Strong cash flow generation
- Good coverage of investment and financing costs
- Flexibility for future investment in organic and
inorganic growth opportunities
Operating costs $521 million
- Operating costs under control
- Opex of $10.2/boe
- Further cost saving opportunities identified
Total capex $461 million
- Development capex of $441 million
- Higher investment in Q4 following VNG Norge
acquisition
FY 2018 EBITDAX(1) $1,884 million FY 2018 EBITDA $1,795 million
- Strong earnings result in 2018
- Depreciation and amortisation expense of $656
million, representing $12.9/boe
Net debt to EBITDA : 0.89x EBITDAX : 0.84x
- Financial ratios well within desired levels
‒ Shareholder agreement: <1.5x net debt to EBITDA ‒ RBL requirement: <3.5x net debt to EBITDAX
- >$1.1 bn of available liquidity
Pre-tax profit $906 million
- Adj. Net income
$324 million
- Net income of $262 million excluding acquisition-
related expenses of $62.9 million
- 71% effective tax rate in the period
Dividend $380 million
- Initial dividend paid in December 2018
- Future dividends to reflect cash flow generation,
investment requirements and outlook
15
Financial highlights
Key metrics ahead of forecast
Strong earnings performance
16
Summary of key financials
2018 Total revenues 2,538 Operating costs (521) DD&A (656) Exploration expense (89) G&A (132) Other (91) Operating profit 1,049 Net financial items (143) Profit before tax 906 Tax (645) Reported net income 262 Adjusted net income(1) 324 EBITDA 1,795 EBITDAX 1,884
Consolidated income statement ($m) Commentary EBITDAX Net income
- Revenues of $2,538 million on strong
production performance and realised oil and gas prices
- Operating costs per barrel down to
$10.2 /boe
- Depreciation and amortisation expense
- f $12.9 /boe
- Exploration expense of $89 million reflects
higher than normal seismic acquisition and $7.7 million for unsuccessful exploration written off
- EBITDAX of $1,884 million excludes
exploration expense
- Pro forma EBITDAX for 2018 was $2,056
million, compared with $1,485 million for the same period of 2017
- Effective tax rate of 71%
- Underlying tax rate of 67%
$m $m
Source: Company information
1 Net income adjusted for $62.9 million of acquisition expenses
906 262 324
- 645
63 200 400 600 800 1000
Pre-tax profit Tax Post-tax profit Acquisition expenses Adjusted net income
Strong cash flow generation
- Operating cash flows of $1,156 million
- Cash taxes of $535 million
- Cash capex before acquisitions of $461
million includes:
− Development capex $441 million − Exploration capex of $20 million
- Pro-forma(1) capex of $644 million
compared to $779 million in 2017
− Lower capex in 2018 due to start-up of Jangkrik in 2017 and project re-phasing and deferrals in 2018
- Acquisitions in 2018 include:
− EPI − VNG Norge − Seagull/Isabella
- Initial dividend of $380 million paid in
December 2018
17
Summary of key financials
Source: Company information
1 For the 12 months ending 31 December 2017 and 2018, respectively, including capex incurred prior to the completion of the EPI acquisition
2018 EBITDA 1,795 Cash taxes (535) Change in WC and other items (104) Cash flows from operations 1,156 Exploration (20) Capex (441) Asset acquisitions (70) Business combinations (3,547) Other (4) Cash flows from investment (4,082) Change in debt 1,682 Change in equity 1,977 Interest paid (150) Dividends (380) Cash flows from financing 3,130 Net change in cash 204 Cash at end of period 197 FCF 600
200 400 600 800 1000 2017 2018
Consolidated cash flow statement ($m) Commentary Operating cash flow Pro forma Capex
$m $m
400 800 1200 1600 2000
EBITDA Cash taxes Change in WC Operating cash flow
Robust balance sheet
18
Summary of key financials
Source: Company information
- 1. Book value of total debt
- 2. Includes dividend announced in Q3 2018 and paid in Q4
2018 PPE and intangibles 4,682 Investments in JVs 541 Other 507 Non-current assets 5,730 Trade receivables 643 Cash 197 Other 181 Current assets 1,021 Total assets 6,751 Equity 1,687 Long-term debt 1,788 Provisions 1,675 Other 709 Non-current liabilities 4,172 Trade payables 95 Taxes payable 188 Other 609 Current liabilities 892 Total liabilities 5,064 Net assets 1,687 RBL, $1,000m Senior notes, $550m Touat PF, $200m VLN B, $107m
Consolidated balance sheet ($m) Commentary Debt breakdown Net debt to EBITDAX
- Net debt at the end of the period of
$1,591 million
- Total debt(1) of $1,788 million
− $1 billion drawn under Reserve Base Lending facility − $550 million Senior Notes − $107 million Vendor Loan Note − $200 million project financing facility for Touat, which is payable from net revenues of the project
- Available liquidity of $1,161 million
− Cash at end of the period of $197 million − $964 million undrawn headroom under RBL
- No debt repayments within next five years
- 68% debt portfolio was fixed rate at
year end
- Net debt to EBITDAX of 0.84x
- Net debt to EBITDA of 0.89x
$m $m 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 H1 2018 Q3 2018 (3) YE 2018
(2)
Financial position
Ample headroom
US$ mm
1,000 550 200 107 69 1,788 197 1,591 964 197 1,161 1,219(1) 476 144 600
- 500
1,000 1,500 2,000
Drawn RBL Senior Notes Touat Project Finance VLN B Debt Issuance Costs Total Debt Cash Net Debt Undrawn RBL Cash Headroom Operating CF Investing CF Finance costs Free CF surplus 19
Source: Company information
- 1. Operating cash flows of $1,156.4 million before acquisition expenses of $62.9 million
Increasing realised commodity prices in 2018
20
Pro forma realised oil and gas prices stronger YoY (excluding hedging)
Realised Gas Price ($/mmbtu) Realised LNG Price ($/mmbtu) Realised Oil Price ($/bbl)
56.0 70.0 2017 2018 6.4 8.1 2017 2018 6.1 7.5 2017 2018
57.1 59.5 5.6 5.9 5.7
5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 6.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 2019 2020 2021 Oil ($/bbl) Gas ($/mmbtu)
Hedging
- Novated hedge book from ENGIE at acquisition (MtM
$53.8 million liability). Historically based on swaps
- Continued to add hedges, using mainly option collar
structures
- Hedge book comprises mostly swaps for legacy 2018
hedges and option collars for future years
- RBL Facility Agreement minimum commodity hedging
requirement, on 3-year rolling basis of forward looking post-tax production
− 50% for first year − 30% for second year − 15% for third year
- Currently hedged above RBL requirements at 54% for
year 1 and 47% for year 2 Conservative risk management
- 1. Oil price hedges include hedges of realisations for gas production sold as LNG and pricing in relation to oil prices
- 2. Post-tax hedge ratios adjust for different tax rates on physical sales and hedge gains and losses, which mean that effective post tax hedges can be achieved through hedging contracts for volumes which may be significantly
less than anticipated sales
Hedging update 2018 YE Aggregate Post-Tax Hedge Ratios 2018 YE Weighted Average Swap & Put prices (1,2)
21
47% 21% 0% 56% 40% 13%
2019 2020 2021 Oil Gas
Low cost portfolio
- Neptune opex of $10.2/boe in 2018, down ~10%
from 2017
- Cost savings driven by organisational and management
changes implemented in 2018 – changing the culture across our operations
- At $7/boe Norway and the UK are our lowest cost regions,
accounting for nearly 60% of Group production
- 92% of our production has an operating cost of $12/boe
- r lower
22
Developing a cost conscious culture
Opex ($/boe)
Neptune operating costs 2018 highlights Looking ahead
- Opex expected to remain at similar per boe level in 2019
- Targeting a 10% reduction in opex in Germany
- Implementing measures to control costs
Cumulative Group production 5 10 15 20 25 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% UK Norway Asia Pacific Netherlands Germany North Africa
North Africa
Investment in growth
- Capex of $461 million(1) in 2018, acquisition of VNG added $39 million of
capex
- Development capex of $441 million
- High levels of capex in Norway driven by growth projects
- Limited investment in the Netherlands
- Exploration spending of $110 million, including $82 million for G&G
expensed, $8 million for exploration written off and $20 million of capex
Capex to ramp up to support growth projects
23
2018 Capex Investment in 2019 to increase substantially
- 1. Relates to the post acquisition period only, from 15 February 2018 to 31 December 2018.
- Development capex of c.$700 million in 2019
- Increases seen across the portfolio
- Investment remains weighted towards Norway
- Significant increase in investment in the Netherlands
- Exploration spending to increase to $125 million
464 700 110 125
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
2017 2018
Development Exploration
Development and exploration investment
$m
Summary
Sam Laidlaw – Executive Chairman
24
Neptune investment proposition
25
Significant cash flow generation, strong balance sheet and disciplined capital allocation Gas weighted portfolio, well-positioned in gas markets and contributing to the energy transition Long-life and low-cost production profile Geographic diversity at scale
Q&A
26
Executive management team
Experienced leadership
27
SAM LAIDLAW
Executive Chairman
Previous experience 30+yrs with Centrica, Chevron, Amerada Hess, Enterprise Oil
JIM HOUSE
CEO
Previous experience 25+ years with Apache, Amoco
ARMAND LUMENS
CFO
Previous experience Louis Dreyfus, 20yrs with Shell
BRUCE WEBB
VP Operations
Previous experience DNO, 23yrs with BP
MARK RICHARDSON
VP Projects
Previous experience Apache, BP
GRO HAATVEDT
VP Exploration & Development
Previous experience 30yrs oil & gas industry experience with Aker BP, Equinor
ANDREA GUERRA
VP Reservoir Engineering
Previous experience 18+yrs with Apache
DAVID HEMMINGS
VP Business Development
Previous experience 20+yrs oil & gas experience with Rothschild
JULIAN REGAN- MEARS
Director of Corporate Affairs
Previous experience Centrica, De Beers Group
AMANDA CHILCOTT
Group HR Director
Previous experience 20+yrs with Ford, BP, Aggreko
HARALD KNOEBL
General Secretary
Previous experience 20+yrs with Engie
KAVEH POURTEYMOUR
Chief Information Officer
Previous experience Seadrill, BP and BOC Edwards
www.neptuneenergy.com