2016 HALF YEAR RESULTS Presentation to Analysts and Investors July - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2016 HALF YEAR RESULTS Presentation to Analysts and Investors July - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2016 HALF YEAR RESULTS Presentation to Analysts and Investors July 2016 1 section page 1 Business and Operating Highlights 3 2 H1 Financial performance 8 3 Outlook & Strategy 19 2 H12016 HIGHLIGHTS Continued growth recorded
2
section page 1 Business and Operating Highlights 3 2 H1 Financial performance 8 3 Outlook & Strategy 19
1.7 million
Customer Base
Card Control
Earnings
N24.3bn
16.65%
Credit Ratings
Alternate Channels
Branch Growth
National License
Improved Service Rating
Giving customers total control of their Payment cards
BBB-(national long term rating) F3 (long term rating) BBB-(stable)
BBB- (short term rating) A3 (long term rating)
ATMs 246 POS 5,359 Branches 142
ISMS ISO certified
H1’2016 HIGHLIGHTS
Continued growth recorded on growing the retail space
3
4
The following changes in the operating environment impacted performance in H1’2016 Global developments continue to have an impact on local economy - Brexit implementation, slowing growth in Asia Implementation of Fiscal policies have impacted on money supply and economic growth Oil Price & Output and Exchange rate stability Regulatory policies and impact on industry growth Reduced disposable income and slowing consumer demand
- Growth in developed economies remains slow; US
numbers however show some resurgence. Brexit fears impacted on Eurozone exchange rates. Political stability has improved outlook.
- Slow pace of implementation of fiscal initiatives and
budget spend impacting on economic growth. GDP has declined in consecutive quarters. Economic activities expected to pick up in 3rd -4th quarter.
- Oil production continues to be affected by disruptions.
However, price has stabilized in recent months. Exchange rate has remained volatile. The new rate regime is still being implemented. Stability expected by end of Q3.
- The Monetary Policy Committee has decided to
increase MPR given the impact
- f
depreciated exchange rate on inflation and consumer prices. Additional requirements on capital adequacy also expected.
- Inflationary pressure has affected disposable income
and this will invariably impact the level of savings. Exchange rate impact has also affected discretionary spending.
Overview of Operating Environment
4
5
Updates on 2016 Commitments
OBJECTIVES TASK
Grow the Franchise
- Grow Deposit volumes within Retail segment of market through campus storms,
prepaid accounts, partnership with telcos on agency and mobile banking
- (Customer Deposit improved 17% (Y-o-Y) from ₦237.43 billion in the previous period
to ₦277.87 billion in H1 2016; however, there was a decline of 2.49% in comparison to ₦284.98 billion in Dec. 2015.)
- Expand branch network in new markets and additional branches in existing
commercial hubs
- Opened new branches in Lagos, PH & Abuja, also opened Lokoja branch
Enhance Asset Quality and Capital
- Improving capital and funding
- Awaiting final SEC clearance for Tier 2 Capital.
- Consistent repayment of existing Tier 2 capital
Improving efficiency
- Improved operational efficiency through better use of technology
- OPEX growth of 2.7% in 2016 below H1 inflation average of circa 9.2%
- Net Interest Margins of 6.71%.
- Cost to income ratio of 89.8% still below target of c. 75%-80%.
Improve Organizational Capability
- Improved service rating across the Bank by iimplementing the Purple Rules (service
delivery) Charter.
- Industry rating improved from 19th to 13th, expected to reach top-10 next year
Deploy alternative channels
- Continued deployment of alternative channels – POS, ATMs and mobile applications
- ATM deployment increased by 17.14%;
- POS increased by 17.78%;
- Number of active cards increased by 26%
5
6
INCOME STATEMENT HIGHLIGHT
GROWTH
16.27%
H1 2016 H1 2015
24.3 20.9 Gross Earnings (₦’bn)
GROWTH
8.33%
H1 2016 H1 2015
1.3 1.2 PBT(₦’bn)
GROWTH
11.11%
H1 2016 H1 2015 1.1
0.99 PAT(₦’bn)
GROWTH
3.42%
H1 2016 H1 2015 12.69 12.27
Operations Income (₦’bn)
INCREASE
2.70%
H1 2016 H1 2015 11.4 11.1
Operations Expense (₦’bn)
INCREASE
37.96%
H1 2016 H1 2015 11.63 8.43 Interest Expense (₦’bn)
DECLINE
135.94%
H1 2016 H1 2015 0.062 (0.171) Impairment (₦’bn)
GROWTH
20.59%
H1 2016 H1 2015 4.1 3.4 Non-interest Income (₦’bn) GROWTH
15.43%
H1 2016 H1 2015 20.2 17.5 Interest Income (₦’bn)
6
7
section page 1 Business and Operating Highlights 3 2 H1 Financial performance 8 3 Outlook & Strategy 19
8
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
H1’2016 H1’2015 2015FY Gross earnings N24.3bn N20.9bn N45.9bn PBT N1.3bn N1.2bn N3.1bn PAT N1.1bn N0.99bn N2.3bn CAR 13.36% 18.90% 15.10% EPS 6K 5k 6k
Financial Highlights
Deposits N277.87bn N237.43bn N284.98bn Loans (net) N172.0bn N134.6bn N185.6bn Interest income N20.2bn N17.5bn N37.1bn Non-interest income N4.1bn N3.4bn N8.7bn Cost-to-income 89.8% 90.4% 88.5% Cost of fund 6.56% 6.28% 5.70% Operating expenses N11.4bn N11.1bn N23.4bn Net interest margin 6.71% 7.72% 5.91% ROAE (annualised) 4.74% 4.51% 5.18% ROAA (annualised) 0.56% 0.55% 0.60% NPL (%) 2.83% 2.90% 2.67% Loan to deposits 61.90% 56.70% 65.13% Coverage ratio (%) 101% 96.37% 109% Liquidity ratio 31.37% 33.20% 33.57%
Revenue Generation Operating Efficiency Margin & Asset Quality
8
9
IMPROVING EARNINGS TREND
9
10
OPERATING EXPENSES
COMMENTS
- Operating expenses grew by 2.61% to N11.39
- billion. This was due to the impact of higher energy
prices and inflation.
- Cost-to-income
declined by 0.74% to 89.77% (H1’2016) compared to 90.44% (H1’2015), as the Bank remained focused on cost management. The deliberate and strategic expansion migration of customers to e-platforms are expected to minimize cost further.
- Net interest margin declined by 13.2% due to
increased cost of funding.
- Cost of fund increased by 4.46% (YoY) to 6.56%
(H1’2016) from 6.28% (H1’2015).
10
Mitigating external headwinds with internal optimisation
11
PROFITABILITY
COMMENTS In H1’2016, the Bank recorded the following;
- Profit before Tax (PBT) increased by 10.26% to N1.29 billion (H1’2016) from
N1.17 billion (H1’2015). The increase resulted in growth from gross earnings, conscious cost management and improvement in fee based income.
- Profit after Tax (PAT) increased by 10.62% to N1.10 billion. Effective tax rate for the periods H1’ 2016 & 2015 was at
15%. We expect subdued growth in earnings, given the present high interest regime.
11
12
DEPOSITS
COMMENTS
As at H1’2016, the Bank recorded the following;
- Deposits grew by 17.0% to N277.87 billion
(H1’2016) from N237.43 billion (H1’2015).
- Growing retail franchise led to an increase in
retail deposits from 19% (H1’2015) to 33% (H1’2016) and making up for lost public sector deposits (TSA). Going forward, the Bank will continue to grow its retail deposits resulting in lower funding cost.
12
13
LOAN GROWTH AND ANALYSIS
Loan analysis H1’2016 BREAKDOWN OF LOANS AND ADVANCES
COMMENT * Capital market activities has been included in “others” (H1’2016), as it accounted for less than 3% of the loan book. * Others comprises of Education, Agriculture, Finance & Insurance, Transportation, Arts & Entertainment, ICT, Water Supply and Sewage Management and Administration. 13 SECTOR H1'2016 (N'bn) 2015FY (N'bn) Oil & Gas 32.15 32.24 General 5.67 3.96 Hotel & Leisure 7.23 5.34 Personal and Professional 15.18 14.96 General Commerce 22.4 17.91 Construction 18.52 10.6 Real Estate Activities 17.16 34.93 Manufacturing 12.06 8.89 Government 10.6 10.07 Power and Energy 8.79 3.34 Professional, Scientific and Technical 8.28 11.5 *Others 14.2 19.74 Capital Market
- 7.67
Total 172.24 181.15
14
NPL by Sectors
- Total NPL was N4.87 billion (H2’2016
from N3.98 billion (H1’2015).
- A significant share of this relates to
legacy loans
COMMENTS NPL (N’mn) 14
Hotel, Leisure and Hospitality 1,060.10 21.79% Retail and Consumer Finance 1,729.63 35.54% Manufacturing 753.76 15.49% General Commerce 635.99 13.07% Power and Energy 192.62 3.96% Oil and Gas 133.14 2.74% Others 360.83 7.42% Total 4,866.07 100.00%
15
Asset Quality
Efficient Risk Management culture evidenced by low NPL ratio
COMMENTS
Despite the challenging economic environment, the Bank recorded the following;
- NPL ratio at 2.83% remains below the regulatory limit (5%) and
industry average (10%; Q1’2016).
- Liquidity ratio is above the regulatory limit of 30% (31.37%;
H1`2016)
- Coverage ratio stood at 139%, ensuring adequate provisioning for
known impairments and losses.
14
16
CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY
COMMENTS
As at H1’2016, the Bank recorded the following;
- CAR was above the regulatory limit of
10% despite the introduction
- f
regulatory changes.
- Liquidity ratio was above the regulatory
limit of 30%. We note that the Bank’s CAR which was reported as 15.10% (2015FY) declined due to regulatory changes by the CBN and came into effect in 2016. However, we remain confident that despite the current macro economic environment, the Bank remains well positioned weather negative shocks.
H1 2016 H1’2015 2015FY Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) 13.36% 18.94% 15.10%
16
17 Risk Management remains at the core of our business model
Impact of decline in Government Revenue on Credit Risk Continuing Challenges in the Oil and Gas Sector Technology related risks and
- perational threats
Exchange Risk and Trade Finance
- pportunities
- Expected decline in industry loan quality amidst global low commodity
prices and with government as the major business driver. However, the Bank is poised to maintain high asset quality through improved efficiency in loan collections and monitoring, as well as lending to highly structured and stable companies with good track record.
- The bank has reined in lending to this challenged sector and existing
loans are given more attention and monitoring to arrest deterioration
- Appropriate controls and regular vulnerability/penetration tests being
conducted on our electronic and alternative payment platforms to protect depositors and the bank against cyber-attacks and consequent operational losses
- Illiquidity and volatility in the foreign exchange market continue to
pose significant threats to trade businesses and other income lines
- Continuous review of our credit risk appetite and tightening of risk
tolerance limits on sectors/borrowers with negative outlooks
- In response to rising inflationary trends, we will continue to insulate
- ur interest margins against any rate shocks via strategic gapping of
rate sensitive assets and liabilities
Managing Risk
Increasing Inflation Rate and Interest Rate Credit Exposures to Sticky Economic Sectors 17
18
KEY PERFORMANCE METRICS
H1'2016 2015FY 2014FY 2013FY 2012FY 2011FY Net Interest Margin (%) 6.71 7.17 8.27 7.01 6.44 6.72 Cost of Funds (%) 6.56 5.65 5.21 5.87 5.42 3.07 Loan to Deposit Ratio (%) 63.02 65.59 57.65 47.02 42.31 40.81 Capital Adequacy Ratio (%) 13.36 15.09 18.22 27.00
- 16.00
- 13.50
Liquidity Ratio (%) 31.37 33.57 32.80 76.61 64.53 64.00 Cost to Income Ratio (%) 89.8 88.50 87.72 95.15 142.56 140.19 Provision for Loan Loss (N'billion) 3.12 3.79 3.98 9.10 10.00 32.00 Non-Performing Loan Ratio (%) 2.83 2.67 2.49 14.20 13.83 52.97 Return on Average Equity (%) 4.74 6.78 7.27 9.13
- 133.58
- 37.65
Cost of Risk (%) 1.80 1.70 2.01 5.98 8.08 35.24
19
19
section page 1 Business and Operating Highlights 3 2 H1 Financial performance 8 3 Outlook & Strategy 19
20
H2’2016 OUTLOOK
GLOBAL ECONOMY DOMESTIC ECONOMY DOMESTIC MARKETS
- Uncertainty to characterize the global economy.
- E.U and Britain try to find a common ground on the “Brexit”
referendum.
- China might post GDP numbers lower than 6.7%.
- Oil prices to remain volatile but low.
- Uncertainty regarding the extent of budget implementation.
- Economy to record increased activity as the government starts spending
- Diversification into the solid minerals space might pose a greater
challenge than expected given the fragile nature of the global economy.
- Inflation rate expected to moderate - long run adjustments to earlier
policy shocks.
- The FX market might be fully liberalised, given the current
inadequacies..
- Equity markets to remain volatile, as investors remain cautious.
- Inflation–adjusted return on money market instruments should
become positive, as inflation rate moderates. 20
21
KEY INITIATIVES
The Bank will continue to focus and grow the retail and commercial segment of its business.
E-BUSINESS SOLUTION digital strategies will continue to be leveraged upon. BRANCH EXPANSION its optimization will be pursued. COST OPTIMIZATION alongside continued process review will be ensured. SERVICE DELIVERY remains at the fore
- f the bank’s
ethos; creating superior customer experience. 21
22
Headlines 2015FY 2016E Comments Customer Deposit Growth 10% 7-10% Deposit growth expected to remain double digits; largely from a realignment
- f volumes from institutional to retail and
commercial sources. Retail penetration – (Personal accounts - share of deposit) 14% 15-20% Improved retail volumes from campus storms, prepaid accounts, partnership with telcos on agency and mobile banking. Loan Growth 25% 5% Slow and cautious loan growth; will pick up in H2, 2016. Growth in Non-Interest Income 10% 15% Increased fee income driven by transaction turnover and retail volumes. Cost-to-Income Ratio 88.5% 88.5% Impact of further process improvements and growth in top line revenue. Net Interest Margin 7.17% 6.5-7.0% Impact of higher cost of funds.
GUIDANCE
22
23
Thank You
23
24
24
25
- Two Independent Directors
- Varied experience from Banking, Industry, Law and other relevant sectors
- Implementing strong governance and risk controls
25
BOARD OF DIRECTORS
26 Aminu Kano, Abuja Lekki-Ajah, Lagos Trans-Amadi, Rivers Awolowo, Lagos Ifo, Ogun Ado-Badore, Lagos Admiralty, Lekki, Lagos
26
NEW BRANCH DEVELOPMENTS
27 Cautionary Note Regarding Forward Looking Statements
- This presentation contains or incorporates by reference “forward-looking statements” regarding the belief or current expectations of
Wema Bank Plc, the Directors and other members of its senior management about the Bank’s businesses and the transactions described in this presentation. Generally, words such as ‘‘could’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘seek’’
- r similar expressions identify forward-looking statements.
- These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. Rather, they are based on current views and
assumptions and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of the Bank and are difficult to predict, that may cause actual results to differ materially from any future results or developments expressed or implied from the forward-looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, regulatory developments, competitive conditions, technological developments and general economic conditions. The Bank assumes no responsibility to update any of the forward looking statements contained in this presentation.
- Any forward-looking statement contained in this presentation, based on past or current trends and/or activities of Wema Bank
should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. No statement in this presentation is intended to be a profit forecast or to imply that the earnings of the Bank for the current year or future years will necessarily match
- r exceed the historical or published earnings of the Bank. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of the
particular statement. Wema Bank expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in Wema Bank’s expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.