2015 Half-Yearly Results 20 August 2015 Forward looking statements - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2015 Half-Yearly Results 20 August 2015 Forward looking statements - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2015 Half-Yearly Results 20 August 2015 Forward looking statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are
Forward looking statements
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.
August 2015 | P1
Agenda
Introduction UK Sea Lion Exploration Finance Outlook Tony Durrant Stuart Wheaton Neil Hawkings Robin Allan / Dean Griffin Richard Rose Tony Durrant
August 2015 | P2
2015 1H performance
Above budget and guidance year-to-date driven by 94%
- perating efficiency
Operating cash flow of $513 million Production of 60.4 kboepd Opex per barrel reduction Net debt stable Covenant flexibility Solan and Catcher milestones achieved Resource additions Increased cash flows: strong production, lower costs and hedging benefits (which continue into 2H and 2016) Many initiatives on-going; <$14/boe opex Reduction in net debt to $2,093 million, despite investments in Solan and Catcher Renegotiated terms; vote of confidence by banks and bondholders On track for Q4 first oil from Solan and 2017 from Catcher Discoveries at Zebedee and Isobel Deep; resource additions at Anoa Refocusing the exploration portfolio Low cost acreage additions in Brazil and Mexico
August 2015 | P3
UK
Stuart Wheaton UK Business Unit Manager
UK – underlying growth
2015 1H
- Averaged 16.9 kboepd
- Improved operating efficiency
- Opex $29/bbl, down 17% (1H 2014:
$35/bbl) – Sale of high cost Scott area – Active cost management and G&A cuts
- Sanctioned projects will see Premier’s
UK production rise to c. 50 kboepd
- $3.3 bn of UK tax losses and allowances
Catcher Balmoral Area Solan Wytch Farm Kyle Huntington 89%
- perating
efficiency
Key projects Equity interest First
- il/gas
Operator Reserves YE14 (gross) Balmoral Area
- c. 80%
Various Premier 7 mmboe Catcher 50% 2017 Premier 96 mmboe Huntington 40% 2013 E.On 16 mmboe Kyle 40% 2001 CNR 5 mmboe Solan 100% 2015 Premier 44 mmboe Wytch Farm 30% 1979 Perenco 47 mmboe
August 2015 | P5
Solan – long term vision
- Reserves upside potential
- Infill drilling opportunities; near
field exploration
- Nearby accumulations; potential
3rd party business over Solan hub facility
- Consider farm down of equity
post first oil
Cash generative $26/bbl opex (LOF) No tax
25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 2020 Solan oil production rate (stb/d)
August 2015 | P6
Potential ullage?
Solan – 2015 1H highlights
- P1/ W1 tied in; P2 drilling
- Improved offshore productivity
- Removed partner funding concerns
- Reduced balance sheet exposure
- Cash spend to end July $1.65 billion
On track for Q4 first oil
August 2015 | P7
Solan – facilities update
2015 1H Sep - Oct Nov - Dec
Siem Spearfish 60 men; 180-280 hrs/day Regalia flotel 135-150 men; 600-800 hrs/day Superior flotel 200-220 men; 1,000 hrs/day Habitation 20 men; 100-120 hrs/day Complete construction works; commissioning of accommodation Commissioning of safety, accommodation, & production systems, power generation & utilities Tanker Offloading trials
Jul - Aug
Bibby DSV SOST & P1/W1 tied in Ocean Valiant P2 spudded Victory 250 men; 800-1,000 hrs/day Completion of over-side work & commissioning of emergency power systems Bibby DSV Complete commissioning
- f subsea infrastructure
- Ocean Valiant
W2 to spud Commissioning of production systems Commissioning of production systems
First oil
56,000 direct hrs to first oil August 2015 | P8
Solan – drilling and subsea
P1 and W1
- Completed and tied-in
- P1 encountered 1,855 feet of sands
- 10-15 kbopd
- First oil Q4 2015
P2 and W2
- P2 nearing completion
- 3,000 feet of sands targeted
- W2 to spud in September
Field
- Ramp up to 25 kbopd once both
producer/injector pairs on-stream Subsea
- Tank tied in
- Commissioning to complete in September
Top Solan sand depth map P2 cross-section
250m 500m
Pressure data suggests good connectivity
W1 P1 W2 P2
Solan seal Current bit position Solan pay sands
P2 on prognosis
August 2015 | P9
August 2015| P10
Catcher area
Reservoir upside Near field tie-backs Exploration upside No tax
Catcher 5P, 2I Varadero 4P, 3I Burgman 5P, 3I
Catcher execution phase progressing
August 2015 | P11
- 96 mmboe (50 per cent, operator)
- $1.6 bn (gross budget to first oil)
- Post ramp up, peak production of c. 50 kbopd
Carnaby discovery Formal concept select Burgman and Varadero discoveries Acquired acreage as part of Oilexco Catcher discovery FPSO and SURF HUC DECC approval Increased interest to 50% following EnCore acquisition
2009-2011 2012 2013 2016 2015 2014 2017 2018
Near field exploration
First
- il
FPSO and SURF fabrication commenced SURF installation Development drilling
Catcher – FPSO
1H Highlights
- Turret and mooring system progressing
– Mating cone module fabricated and delivered
- Hull fabrication on-going in Japan and Korea
- Topsides fabrication underway in ProFab,
Dynamac and Asia Offshore yards
August 2015 | P12
Catcher – subsea
- 2 templates installed
(Catcher 1 & Burgman 1)
- PLEM installed
- 60 km gas export
pipeline lay completed
- Fabrication of remaining
templates completed
- Fabrication of towheads
well-advanced
- First steel cut on mid-
water arches
- Fabrication of bundles to
start in H2
- Fabrication of risers and
jumpers to commence in 2016
August 2015 | P13
Catcher – drilling
September 2014 | P14
CCI2 CCP3 CTP1 CTI1
Template 1
1H Highlights
- Ensco 100 rig on hire since July
- Pilot hole completed
- Batch drilling of 30” & 20”
sections of first 4 wells completed
- Operations on schedule and
within budget – Drilling ahead at CTI1
22 wells (14P, 8WI) Six 4-slot templates 2 phases of drilling
- n each field
August 2015 | P14
Catcher – CTI1 progress
- Operations on schedule and budget
- Reservoir on prognosis; ‘injectite wing’ and
main reservoir found within 7 feet of pre- drill forecast
- Setting production casing and will drill
ahead reservoir section seeking ~250 feet net pay in ~600 feet gross interval
Catcher Discovery wells
Tay reservoir Cromarty reservoir August 2015 | P15
1.5km to nearest offset well Reservoir encountered on depth
CTI1
Sea Lion
Neil Hawkings SE Asia & Falkland Islands Director
De-risking the Sea Lion development
August 2015 | P17
- Phase 1a reservoir is fully
appraised, subsurface plan is robust
- FPSO and SURF is well
understood, conceptual design is now mature
- Key project execution
contractors are to be selected ahead of FEED
- Financing plans progressing well
- Upside in the area has increased
and become better defined
- Stakeholder discussions
continuing
Exploration
Robin Allan – N. Sea and Expl’n Director Dean Griffin – Head of Exploration
Exploration – re-shaping the portfolio
Balance of wells targeting Mature verses Emerging plays
2012 2015
North Sea and SE Asia Falklands, Brazil and Mexico
11
Growth in emerging basins with material
- pportunities
Rationalisation in mature areas
- Focusing on under-explored, emerging
plays in proven hydrocarbon provinces – Entry into Brazil and follow-on farm in to Block 661, Ceará Basin – Successful entry into Mexico with award of Blocks 2 & 7
- Minimising up-front capex
commitments
- Current industry conditions favour low
cost acreage acquisition
- Exiting acreage in traditional, more
mature areas (save for near-field exploration) – Significant disposal proceeds and reduced well commitments – Improved materiality of discoveries
- Net unrisked prospective resource of
>1 bn boe
100% Emerging 100% Mature
2015 well campaign 2012 well campaign
17 51
August 2015 | P19
2015 North Falklands Basin campaign
2015 1H highlights
- Zebedee oil & gas discovery (36% op interest)
– adds c. 50 mmbbls to Phase 2
- Isobel Deep oil discovery (36% op interest)
– de-risks the Isobel/Elaine fan complex (un- risked Pmean resource of 400 mmbbls) – opens up potential Phase 3 development
Two discoveries from two wells
2015 2H look ahead
- Jayne East (36% op interest)
– would add resource to Phase 2
- Chatham (40% op interest)
– would add resource to Phase 1b Beyond 2015
- Additional exploration/appraisal prospects
identified for drilling in 2017/2018
Chatham
Pmean
47 mmbbls
50
mmbls
Zebedee
Southern exploration leads Phase 2 prospects PL032 prospects
Jayne East
Pmean
39 mmbbls
Aim
- Demonstrate exploitation potential of F2
- Explore upside potential of F3
Isobel / Elaine
Pmean
400 mmbbls
August 2015 | P20
Jayne East and Isobel Deep
Full stack amplitude at F3G horizon
- Jayne East targets northern end of F3 fan sequence and
shallower F2 horizons
- Further drilling at Isobel / Elaine complex to confirm
significant resource potential of southern F3 fan system (unrisked Pmean 400 mmbbls)
North Falkland Graben
Isobel / Elaine Re-drill Isobel Deep Jayne East Zebedee Jayne East Isobel Deep Isobel / Elaine
August 2015 | P21
10Km
Brazil – high quality address
- Limited drilling in the deeper
water parts of the northern Brazil basins
- Recent significant discoveries in
the Ceará, Potiguar and Sergipe Basins
- Success of West African Transform
Margin (WATM) not yet fully tested in Brazilian basin equivalents
- Regional play work to identify
sweet spots within high graded basins with proven active petroleum systems
Source IHS/Petroview WATM Basins Jubilee – 771 MMboe Baobab – 356 MMboe Enyenra – 200 MMboe Keta-Togo-Benin Basin Ojo oil discovery Douala Basin Rio Muni Basin Ceiba – 264 MMboe Okume – 107 MMboe Offshore Potiguar Basin Pitu discovery Ceará Basin Pecem & 1-CES-161 Barreirinhas Basin 1-MAS-036 gas discovery? Para-Maranhao Basin Harpia discovery? Foz do Amazonas Basin Pernambuco Paraíba Basin Sergipe-Alagoas Basin Sergipe discoveries (x5) 795 MMboe total
August 2015 | P22
Brazil Ceará Basin – expanding acreage footprint
Pecem discovery
- Flowed light oil
to surface when tested in 2014
- De-risks key
play elements Outline of new 3D survey being acquired 3Q15 Cretaceous sand channel systems
Brazil Focus Basin
- Strong analogies with West
African Tano basin discoveries
- Proven light oil petroleum
system
- Multiple play types
- Attracted supermajors to
make significant operational commitments Opportunity
- Dominant position in basin
- Low cost farm-in to 661
- 3 wells drilling late 2017/18
- Premier coordinating rig-
share
Mean gross unrisked resource > 2 bn bbls
August 2015 | P23
Mexico – low cost entry
Strong partnership Proven but under-explored hydrocarbon basin Low cost entry
August 2015 | P24
Block 2
- Primary target – 100 mmbbls
- 3 follow on prospects of c. 80-100 mmbbls each
Block 7
- Primary target – 130 mmbbls
- 4 follow on prospects of
- c. 40-150 mmbbls each
Block 2
Salt stock
Closure
Miocene Depth Structure Map – Poblano Prospect
Low cost entry to high quality acreage
- Awarded 10% in Blocks 2 & 7,
shallow water Sureste Basin
- Option to increase interest to
25% prior to drilling
- Numerous leads in established
and emerging plays
- Fully carried to first well on each
block
Finance
Richard Rose Finance Director
Strong cash flows in 2015 1H
6 months to 30 June 2015 6 months to 30 June 2014 Working Interest production (kboepd) 60.4 64.9 Entitlement production (kboepd) 55.7 59.7 Realised oil price (US$/bbl) - post hedge 83.7 107.9 Realised gas price (US$/mcf) - post hedge 7.2 9.1 $m $m Cash flow from operations 570 609 Taxation (57) (110) Operating cash flow 513 499 Capital expenditure (518) (506) Disposals 83
- Finance and other charges, net
(49) (49) Dividends
- (44)
Share buy back
- (33)
Net cash in (out) flow 29 (236) Capital expenditure ($m) Comprises $49m from the Block A Aceh sale and ~$34m positive adjustment from Scott area disposal Liquids hedging
1H 2015 2H 2015 2016 Barrels hedged 2.7 m 2.85 m 3.5 m Average price ($/bbl) $103 $92 $69 2015 1H FY 2015 E Exploration $115 $240 Development $403 $900 Total $518 $1,140
August 2015 | P26
Significantly reduced costs
August 2015 | P27
30% reduction in opex
- Sale of Scott area
- Renegotiation of contracts
- Operating efficiencies
- Lower insurance & fuel costs
- Reduced headcount
- Contractor rate cuts
500 1000 1500
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Committed capex ($m)
P&D Capex Exploration
100 200 300 400 500
FY 2014 (actual) 2015 initial budget (Oct 14) 2015 final budget (Feb 15) 2015 forecast (Aug 15)
Opex ($m)
50 100 150 200 250 300 350
FY 2014 (actual) 2015 initial budget (Oct 14) 2015 final budget (Feb 15) 2015 forecast (Aug 15)
Gross G&A ($m)
2015 1H: $14/bbl opex Significantly reduced capex commitments from 2016
Forecast Actual Forecast Actual
6 months to 30 June 2015 $m 6 months to 30 June 2014 $m Sales and other operating revenues 577 885 Cost of sales (684) (646) Gross profit/(loss) (107) 239 Exploration/New Business (52) (50) General and administration costs (8) (13) Disposals
- (84)
Operating profit/(loss) (167) 92 Financial items (48) (41) Profit/(loss) before taxation (215) 51 Tax credit/(charge) (160) 122 Profit/(loss) after taxation (375) 173
Income statement
Operating costs ($/boe) * excludes insurance receipts of $4.7m Cost of sales breakdown
2015 1H 2014 1H UK $28.8 $34.9 Indonesia $8.9 $10.1 Pakistan $3.2 $2.7 Vietnam $10.1* $15.5 Group $13.7 $18.5
Profit before tax and impairments 171 195
August 2015 | P28
250 500 750
Operating costs Stock underlift Royalties DD&A Impair- ment Cost of sales Non-cash items
$3.3 bn of UK tax losses and allowances
Liquidity and balance sheet position
At 30 June 2015 $m At 31 Dec 2014 $m Cash 372 292 Bank debt (1,482) (1,230) Bonds (753) (955) Convertibles1 (230) (229) Net debt position (2,093) (2,122) Covenant headroom $417 $700 Gearing2 59% 53% Cash and undrawn facilities 1,446 1,940
1 Maturity value of US$245 million 2 Net debt/net debt plus equity
Average debt costs of 4.7% (fixed) and 2.2% (floating) Net debt/ EBITDAX
Old covenants Amended covenants
August 2015 | P29
307 362 1238 558 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020- 2024
Drawn debt maturities ($m)
1 2 3 4 5 2015 1H 2015 FY 2016 1H 2016 FY 2017 1H 2017 FY
Summary
Tony Durrant CEO
20 19 17 14 16 5 10 15 20
2013 2014 2015 budget 2015 1H 2015 forecast
Outlook
August 2015 | P31 500 1000 1500
2014 2015F 2016 2017 2018 2019 P&D Capex Exploration
- Growing production profile
– Intense focus on execution – Reducing level of spend
2.
- Robust, low cost production
generates good cash flow
1.
- Free cash flow will be
directed at debt reduction
3.
Illustrative capital allocation @ $60/bbl
P&D committed capex Cash available for debt reduction Exploration commitments
Committed capex $m Opex ($/boe)