2011 SERTP Input 2011 SERTP Input Assumptions Assumptions 1 2011 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2011 sertp input 2011 sertp input assumptions assumptions
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

2011 SERTP Input 2011 SERTP Input Assumptions Assumptions 1 2011 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2010 SERTP 2011 SERTP Input 2011 SERTP Input Assumptions Assumptions 1 2011 Load Forecast 2011 Load Forecast 2011 Regional Generation 2011 Regional Generation Assumptions Assumptions Dahlberg Conasauga Hancock CC Rocky Mtn Warren Co


slide-1
SLIDE 1

1

2011 SERTP Input 2011 SERTP Input Assumptions Assumptions

2010 SERTP

slide-2
SLIDE 2

2011 Load Forecast 2011 Load Forecast

slide-3
SLIDE 3

2011 Regional Generation 2011 Regional Generation Assumptions Assumptions

Wansley Tenaska SMARR CC Kemper Rocky Mtn Vogtle McDonough West Georgia Farley Dahlberg East Bainbridge Hancock CC SOWEGA Warren Co Bio Central AL McIntosh Harris CC

Existing Generation Future Generation

Warthen CT Washington Co CT Lee Road Franklin CC Conasauga Baconton Moselle Piedmont Bio

slide-4
SLIDE 4

Initial Generation Assumptions for the 2011 Transmission Initial Generation Assumptions for the 2011 Transmission Expansion Planning Process Expansion Planning Process

Year Year Site Site MW MW 2011 2011 GTC GTC Dahlberg CT Dahlberg CT

  • 100

100 East Bainbridge East Bainbridge

  • 72

72 Franklin 2 Franklin 2 625 625 Lindsay Hill CC Lindsay Hill CC 205 205 McDonough 2 Coal McDonough 2 Coal

  • 51

51 Rocky Mountain Rocky Mountain 44 44 Warthen Warthen CT CT 390 390 PS PS McIntosh 4 & 5 McIntosh 4 & 5 448 448 SoCo SoCo Farley 1 Farley 1 Uprate Uprate 35 35 Franklin 2 Franklin 2

  • 625

625 McDonough 2 Coal McDonough 2 Coal

  • 200

200

2010 SERTP 2010 SERTP

Site Site MW MW GTC GTC Dahlberg CT Dahlberg CT

  • 100

100 Franklin 2 Franklin 2 625 625 Lee Road CT Lee Road CT 100 100 McDonough 2 Coal McDonough 2 Coal

  • 51

51 Rocky Mountain Rocky Mountain 44 44 Wansley Wansley CC7 CC7

  • 152

152 Warthen Warthen CT CT 390 390 MEAG MEAG Crisp Co Hydro Crisp Co Hydro

  • 20

20 PS PS McIntosh 4 & 5 McIntosh 4 & 5 448 448 SoCo SoCo Farley 1 Farley 1 Uprate Uprate 35 35 Franklin 2 Franklin 2

  • 625

625 McDonough 2 Coal McDonough 2 Coal

  • 200

200 Year Year Site Site MW MW 2011 2011 GTC GTC Dahlberg CT Dahlberg CT

  • 100

100 East Bainbridge East Bainbridge

  • 72

72 Franklin 2 Franklin 2 625 625 Lindsay Hill CC Lindsay Hill CC 205 205 McDonough 2 Coal McDonough 2 Coal

  • 51

51 Rocky Mountain Rocky Mountain 44 44 Warthen Warthen CT CT 390 390 PS PS McIntosh 4 & 5 McIntosh 4 & 5 448 448 SoCo SoCo Farley 1 Farley 1 Uprate Uprate 35 35 Franklin 2 Franklin 2

  • 625

625 McDonough 2 Coal McDonough 2 Coal

  • 200

200

2010 Assumptions 2010 Assumptions 2011 Assumptions 2011 Assumptions

slide-5
SLIDE 5

Initial Generation Assumptions for the 2011 Transmission Initial Generation Assumptions for the 2011 Transmission Expansion Planning Process Expansion Planning Process

Year Year Site Site MW MW 2012 2012 GTC GTC Fitzgerald Bio Fitzgerald Bio 55 55 McDonough 1 Coal McDonough 1 Coal

  • 49

49 SMEPA SMEPA Moselle Moselle 150 150 SoCo SoCo Conasauga Conasauga

  • 620

620 Farley 2 Farley 2 Uprate Uprate 35 35 McDonough 1 Coal McDonough 1 Coal

  • 202

202 McDonough CC4 McDonough CC4 841 841 McDonough CC5 McDonough CC5 841 841 Piedmont Bio Piedmont Bio 50 50

2010 SERTP 2010 SERTP

Site Site MW MW GTC GTC Fitzgerald Bio Fitzgerald Bio 55 55 McDonough 1 Coal McDonough 1 Coal

  • 49

49 Wansley Wansley CC7 CC7 152 152 SMEPA SMEPA Moselle Moselle 150 150 SoCo SoCo Conasauga Conasauga

  • 620

620 Farley 2 Farley 2 Uprate Uprate 35 35 McDonough 1 Coal McDonough 1 Coal

  • 202

202 McDonough CC4 McDonough CC4 841 841 McDonough CC5 McDonough CC5 841 841 Piedmont Bio Piedmont Bio 50 50

2010 Assumptions 2010 Assumptions 2011 Assumptions 2011 Assumptions

slide-6
SLIDE 6

Initial Generation Assumptions for the 2011 Transmission Initial Generation Assumptions for the 2011 Transmission Expansion Planning Process Expansion Planning Process

2010 SERTP 2010 SERTP

Year Year Site Site MW MW 2013 2013 SoCo SoCo Central Alabama CC Central Alabama CC 885 885 McDonough CC6 McDonough CC6 841 841 Site Site MW MW MEAG MEAG Vogtle Vogtle 1 1 44 44 SoCo SoCo Central Alabama CC Central Alabama CC 885 885 McDonough CC6 McDonough CC6 841 841 Vogtle Vogtle 1 1

  • 44

44 Site Site MW MW GTC GTC Dahlberg CT Dahlberg CT 75 75 SOWEGA SOWEGA 90 90 Warren Co Bio Warren Co Bio 100 100 SoCo SoCo Baconton Baconton CT CT

  • 197

197 Dahlberg CT Dahlberg CT

  • 292

292 Kemper IGCC Kemper IGCC 600 600 Year Year Site Site MW MW 2014 2014 GTC GTC East Bainbridge East Bainbridge 78 78 Lee Road CT Lee Road CT 50 50 SOWEGA SOWEGA 90 90 Warren Co Bio Warren Co Bio 100 100 SoCo SoCo Baconton Baconton CT CT

  • 197

197 Dahlberg CT Dahlberg CT

  • 292

292 Kemper IGCC Kemper IGCC 600 600 Year Year Site Site MW MW 2014 2014 GTC GTC East Bainbridge East Bainbridge 78 78 Lee Road CT Lee Road CT 50 50 SOWEGA SOWEGA 90 90 Warren Co Bio Warren Co Bio 100 100 SoCo SoCo Baconton Baconton CT CT

  • 197

197 Dahlberg CT Dahlberg CT

  • 292

292 Kemper IGCC Kemper IGCC 600 600

2010 Assumptions 2010 Assumptions 2011 Assumptions 2011 Assumptions

slide-7
SLIDE 7

Initial Generation Assumptions for the 2011 Transmission Expansion Planning Process

2010 SERTP 2010 SERTP

Year Year Site Site MW MW 2015 2015 GTC GTC Dahlberg CT Dahlberg CT 300 300 East Bainbridge East Bainbridge

  • 78

78 Lee Road CT Lee Road CT

  • 50

50 SMARR CC SMARR CC 605 605 SOWEGA SOWEGA

  • 90

90 Washington Co CT Washington Co CT 734 734 Site Site MW MW GTC GTC Branch Branch

  • 45

45 Dahlberg CT Dahlberg CT 187 187 Gaston 1&2 Gaston 1&2

  • 52

52 Scherer 3 Scherer 3

  • 62

62 SMARR CC SMARR CC 605 605 SOWEGA SOWEGA

  • 90

90 Washington Co CT Washington Co CT 734 734 Yates Yates

  • 122

122 MEAG MEAG Vogtle Vogtle 2 2 44 44 SoCo SoCo Vogtle Vogtle 2 2

  • 44

44

**Was not a generation assumption in 2014 either

Year Year Site Site MW MW 2015 2015 GTC GTC Dahlberg CT Dahlberg CT 300 300 ** ** East Bainbridge East Bainbridge

  • 78

78 ** ** Lee Road CT Lee Road CT

  • 50

50 SMARR CC SMARR CC 605 605 SOWEGA SOWEGA

  • 90

90 Washington Co CT Washington Co CT 734 734

2010 Assumptions 2010 Assumptions 2011 Assumptions 2011 Assumptions

slide-8
SLIDE 8

Initial Generation Assumptions for the 2011 Transmission Expansion Planning Process

2010 SERTP 2010 SERTP

Year Year Site Site MW MW 2016 2016 Dalton Dalton Vogtle Vogtle 3 3 16 16 GTC GTC Dahlberg CT Dahlberg CT

  • 300

300 Vogtle Vogtle 3 3 330 330 Warthen Warthen CT CT

  • 70

70 MEAG MEAG Vogtle Vogtle 3 3 250 250 SoCo SoCo Vogtle Vogtle 3 3 504 504 Site Site MW MW Dalton Dalton Vogtle Vogtle 3 3 16 16 GTC GTC Dahlberg CT Dahlberg CT 188 188 Vogtle Vogtle 3 3 330 330 Warthen Warthen CT CT

  • 70

70 MEAG MEAG Vogtle Vogtle 3 3 250 250 SoCo SoCo Vogtle Vogtle 3 3 504 504 Year Year Site Site MW MW 2017 2017 Dalton Dalton Vogtle Vogtle 4 4 16 16 GTC GTC Vogtle Vogtle 4 4 330 330 Wansley Wansley CC6 CC6 561 561 MEAG MEAG Vogtle Vogtle 4 4 250 250 SoCo SoCo Vogtle Vogtle 4 4 504 504 Wansley Wansley CC6 CC6

  • 561

561 Site Site MW MW Dalton Dalton Vogtle Vogtle 4 4 16 16 GTC GTC Vogtle Vogtle 4 4 330 330 Wansley Wansley CC6 CC6 561 561 MEAG MEAG Vogtle Vogtle 4 4 250 250 SoCo SoCo Vogtle Vogtle 4 4 504 504 Wansley Wansley CC6 CC6

  • 561

561 Year Year Site Site MW MW 2016 2016 Dalton Dalton Vogtle Vogtle 3 3 16 16 GTC GTC Dahlberg CT Dahlberg CT

  • 300

300 Vogtle Vogtle 3 3 330 330 Warthen Warthen CT CT

  • 70

70 MEAG MEAG Vogtle Vogtle 3 3 250 250 SoCo SoCo Vogtle Vogtle 3 3 504 504

2010 Assumptions 2010 Assumptions 2011 Assumptions 2011 Assumptions

slide-9
SLIDE 9

Initial Generation Assumptions for the 2011 Transmission Expansion Planning Process

2010 SERTP 2010 SERTP

Year Year Site Site MW MW 2018 2018 N/A N/A Year Year Site Site MW MW 2019 2019 PS PS McIntosh 6 McIntosh 6 187 187 SoCo SoCo Hancock CC1 Hancock CC1 840 840 Harris 2 Harris 2

  • 628

628 Year Year Site Site MW MW 2020 2020 SoCo SoCo Hancock CC2 Hancock CC2 840 840 Site Site MW MW N/A N/A Site Site MW MW PS PS McIntosh 6 McIntosh 6 187 187 SoCo SoCo Harris 2 Harris 2

  • 628

628 Site Site MW MW N/A N/A Year Year Site Site MW MW 2019 2019 PS PS McIntosh 6 McIntosh 6 187 187 SoCo SoCo Hancock CC1 Hancock CC1 840 840 Harris 2 Harris 2

  • 628

628 Year Year Site Site MW MW 2020 2020 SoCo SoCo Hancock CC2 Hancock CC2 840 840 Site Site MW MW SoCo SoCo **Hancock CC1 **Hancock CC1 940 940 Year Year Site Site MW MW 2021 2021 N/A N/A

**Delayed from 2019 2010 Assumptions 2010 Assumptions 2011 Assumptions 2011 Assumptions

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Initial Generation Assumptions for the 2011 Transmission Initial Generation Assumptions for the 2011 Transmission Expansion Planning Process Expansion Planning Process

2010 SERTP 2010 SERTP

103 103 Vogtle Vogtle 2015 2015 850 850 Scherer 4 Scherer 4 2011 2011 180 180 Dahlberg Dahlberg 2012 2012 103 103 Vogtle Vogtle 2016 2016 Starting in Starting in Year Year Site Site MW MW 2011 2011 PTP PTP Dahlberg Dahlberg 75 75 2011 2011 Franklin Franklin 535 535 2011 2011 Harris 1 Harris 1 584 584 2011 2011 Hillabee Hillabee 700 700 2011 2011 Lindsay Hill Lindsay Hill 500 500 2011 2011 Scherer 3 Scherer 3 235 235 42 42 Scherer 3 Scherer 3 PTP PTP 2011 2011 – – 2014 2014 164 164 Miller Miller 2011 2011 – – 2014 2014 Year Year Site Site MW MW 2011** 2011** Bowen Bowen 50 50 2011** 2011** Wansley Wansley 155 155 2015** 2015** Miller Miller 103 103

**Point to Point is assumed for the stated year only

PTPs PTPs preserved through the planning horizon preserved through the planning horizon PTPs PTPs ending within the planning horizon ending within the planning horizon

slide-11
SLIDE 11

11

Questions? Questions?

2010 SERTP