2002 Results AREVA Group Anne Lauvergeon Chairman of the Executive - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2002 results areva group
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2002 Results AREVA Group Anne Lauvergeon Chairman of the Executive - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2002 Results AREVA Group Anne Lauvergeon Chairman of the Executive Board Grald Arbola Member of the Executive Board, Chief Financial Officer Thursday, March 27, 2003 2002 Results ahead of objectives Objective Actual 2001 2002 Nuclear


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2002 Results AREVA Group

Anne Lauvergeon

Chairman of the Executive Board

Gérald Arbola

Member of the Executive Board, Chief Financial Officer Thursday, March 27, 2003

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 3

€180M €122M + 48% Growth in Operational Income €-137M €-181M + 44M€ Connectors

  • Reduction in operating

loss before restructuring €649M €417M €3,542M €2,911M 2001

2002

+ 56% + 22% Nuclear

  • Double-digit growth

in operating income 2002-2004

  • Internationalization:

growth in sales revenues Asset disposals M.A.I / Sovakle/ Tour AREVA

2002 Results ahead of objectives

€+240M €-587M Net income - Group share improving

Objective Actual

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 4

*: Cash +investment securities + unrealized gains on investment securities net of tax – debt – interest-bearing customer advances.

Group Financial Highlights

in million euros 2001

2002

∆ Sales Revenues 8,902 8,265

  • 7.2%
  • Op. income before restruc. costs

210 525 +250% Operating income 122 180 +48% Financial income 200 587 Net income (loss) Group share (587) 240 Net economic cash* 705 1,063

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 5

Change in operating income (in millions of euros) 9.9%

6.1% 5.5% 341 417

649

2000 2001 2002

Operating income Operating margin

Nuclear: Operating margin of 9.9%, ahead of objectives

Double-digit growth

  • bjective
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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 6

3,913

3,790

269

440 2001 2002

Capital employed Net Operating Profit After Tax (NOPAT)

* : Operating income after standard tax / average capital employed (see details of calculation in appendix)

Nuclear increases its return on capital employed (ROACE*)

ROACE

11.6%

6.9%

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 7

Connectors: double dip in the telecommunications market

Trend in Connector sales revenues (in millions of euros)

969

997 623 937

1,011 1,633 2000 2001 2002

Other activities Communication Data Consumer

1,966

1,560

  • 20.7%
  • 25.6%

2,644

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 8

Trend in operating income before restructuring (in millions of euros)

  • 181
  • 137

+€44M

  • 60
  • 77
  • 222

41 H1 2001 H2 2001 H1 2002 H2 2002

Connectors: Losses cut each half of fiscal year

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 9

Connectors: Further write-down to goodwill

Business Plan checked with 80 customers worldwide Change model implemented by FCI Impairment test and further write-down to goodwill

  • f €275M in 2002 (vs €730M in 2001)

Net book value of goodwill at 12/31/2002: €380M

Additional restructuring costs

Cost of measures decided upon in 2002: €162M Extraordinary write-down to industrial assets: €107M

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 10

Group income statement

in millions of euros 2001

2002

∆ Sales 8,902 8,265

  • 7.2%

Operating income 122 180 +48% Net financial income 200 587 388 Extraordinary income 319 289 (30) Equity affiliates 102 83 (19) Taxes (120) (220) (100) Goodwill (989) (593) (396) Minority interests (220) (86) 134 Net income, Group share (587) 240 807 Net earnings per share (in euros) (18.6) 6.8

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 11

Group income statement

in millions of euros 2001

2002

∆ Sales 8,902 8,265

  • 7.2%

Operating income 122 180 +48% Net financial income 200 587 388 Extraordinary income 319 289 (30) Equity affiliates 102 83 (19) Taxes (120) (220) (100) Goodwill (989) (593) (396) Minority interests (220) (86) 134 Net income, Group share (587) 240 807 Net earnings per share (in euros) (18.6) 6.8

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 12

in millions of euros 2001

2002

∆ Income from investments and interest expense 30 10 (20) Currency income (loss) (6) 1 7 Gains on sales of securities 92 689 597 Dividends received 60 57 (3) Write-down of securities 28 (47) (75) LT Contract & Decommissioning: (17) (115) (98) Other financial income and expense 15 (8) (23) Net financial income 200 587 367

Net financial income includes large capital gains on sales of securities

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 13

Financial risks

Most long-term contracts are denominated in euros The group has little exposure to fluctuations in the dollar

Long-term contracts are hedged Unhedged portion: primarily connectors,

+/- 10% on the $ +/- €130M on Sales

Minor exposure to the Yen

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 14

Extraordinary items

in millions of euros 2001

2002

Sovaklé sale

  • 77

Sale of Tower in la Défense

  • 216

Dilution gain 303

  • Other

16 (4) Extraordinary items 319 289

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 15

Extraordinary write-down of goodwill

in millions of euros 2001

2002

Amortization charge for the year (200) (153)

  • Ext. write-down on AREVA

(59) (165)

  • Ext. write-down on FCI

(730) (275) Total goodwill charge (989) (593)

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 16

Group Consolidated Balance Sheet

ASSETS

12.31.01 12.31.02 LIABILITIES 12.31.01 12.31.02

  • Intang. assets

2,729 2,047 Shareholders’ equity 4,187 4,020 Tangible assets 5,321 4,647 Undated sub. notes (TSDI) 216 216 Decommissioning assets 9,223 Minority interests 1,004 988 Dedicated portfolio 2,003 2,127 Industrial interests 1,674 1,652 Decommissioning prov 2,759 12,283 Long-term financial assets 1,203 453 AREVA portion 2,759 4,263 Total Fixed assets 12,930 20,149 Other provisions 2,825 2,770

  • Work. cap. requirements

(1,210) (957) Net cash 729 (1,085) Total assets 11,720 19,192 Total liabilities 11,720 19,192

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 17

Announcement on publication

  • f H1 2003 accounts

Dec 31, 2001 €3.5 bn Dec 31, 2002 €4.3 bn Year 2002 Change in accounting methods Change in consolidation scope (new sites, …) H1 2003 Conclude EDF negotiations Finalize review of tender offer

Decommissioning provision (AREVA Group share)

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 18

A financial portfolio dedicated to decommissioning expenses has been made up

Required IRR

5.0% 4.3% 3.9% 3.3% 2.8% 2.3% 5.9% 7.1%

Theoretical portfolio value

€1.6 bn €1.4 bn €1.8 bn €1.9 bn €2.1 bn €2.3 bn €2.5 bn €1.2 bn

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 19

Reconciliation: book cash to net economic cash

1,445 1,052

  • 347

1853

  • 729

705

  • 72

Dedicated funds Interest-bearing advances

Economic cash Net debt

  • bal. sheet

Market equities non-ded. sec. (TIAP) net of taxes

2001

1,085 1,063

  • 382

360

Interest-bearing advances Unrealized gains net of tax

  • Inc. NAV of

TIAP in mark.

  • sec. = 415

Economic cash Net cash

  • bal. sheet

2002

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 20

Change in Group economic cash * (in millions of euros)

*: Cash+investment securities+unrealized gains on marketable securities net of tax– financial debt - remunerated customer advances. This cash position does not include the portfolio dedicated to decommissioning.

705 1,063

2001 2002

  • 262

Dividends 2001

761

  • 141

Financial investments and

  • ther cash

flows of the Group Cash flow from

  • perating activities

Net economic cash up since 2002

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 21

Cash flows generated by nuclear

in millions of euros 2001

2002

∆ EBITDA* 1,359 1,290

  • 69

% of Sales 19.9% 19.6%

  • 0.3 pts

Change in working cap. rqt. 456 (133) (589) Net capital expenditure (879) (370) +509 Operational cash-flow 936 787 (149)

* Operating Income before amortization and provisions, excluding those relative to current assets

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 22

Cash flows generated by Connectors

in millions of euros 2001

2002

EBITDA* (43) (26) +17 Change in work. capital reqt. +147 +88 (59) Net capital expenditure (210) (87) +123 Operational cash flow (106) (25) +81

* Income before amortizations and provisions, other than amortizations and provisions on current assets

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 23

Risk Management

Risk Mapping performed in 2002 Assessment by the audit committee Establishment of an audit plan based on risk mapping

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Nuclear in 2002

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 25

Change in nuclear energy production capacity worldwide (in MWe)

Continued improvement in nuclear plant capacity factors by operators

1989–2002

CAGR Production +38% +2.5% Capacity +16% +1.2%

Sources: AIE/OCDE (1990), Nucleonics Week (1995-2003)

200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340 360 380 400

Utilization of capacity Nominal production capacity

1995 2000 1990

67% 81%

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 26

Production cost of electricity (in Euro / MWh)

* Cost of production excluding subsidies and tax benefits Source: Study for Finnish Parliament

Finnish study shows good competitiveness

  • f nuclear with new reactors

Assumptions

Interest rate = 5.0% Price in November 2001

40 13 10 7.6 13.8 10 8.2 6.5 7.4 7.2 18.4 23.7 5.3 1.5 15.8 17.1 3

Wind* 2200h/yr Wood* Biomass Coal Gas Nuclear Fuel (inc. end of cycle costs for nuclear) Maintenance & oper. Cost of capital

24.1 30.5 32.5 39.6 32.1 50.1

Elspot Price 2002

€26.91/ MWh

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 27

Nuclear has internalized most of its costs and generated few external costs for the environment

Indirect external costs: Impact on climate (CO2) Impact on health Impact on the environment

* Source EXTERNAL study, EC 2001, calculating the indirect costs (impact on climate, health or physical impact) of different source of electricity generating energy

87 51 50 47 28

32 50 31 33 24 55 19 14 4 1

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Coal Wind Gas Biomass Nuclear

Coûts complets en €/MWh*

External costs * Production costs (source: Finnish study)

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 28

Chemicals

Natural uranium

Mines Enrichment Fuel Fabrication with natural uranium Reactors and Services Spent fuel reprocessing Recycling: MOX fuel production

Enriched uranium Storage

  • f final waste

Front-end Reactors and Services Back-end

Uranium recyclable Plutonium

An annual market of more than € 20 billion AREVA is active in the whole cycle

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 29

* Listed companies ** Separative Work Units *** including half purchased from MINATOM (HEU) **** plus the 15% sold to USEC (HEU)

AREVA is the world leader for the entire cycle

2002 Market CAMECO* URENCO USEC*

A R E V A

BNFL WESTINGHOUSE General Electric* OTHER

Conversion / chemicals Enrichment Natural uranium fuel (UO2) Reactors & Services Reprocessing (t. processed) Recycling & MOX

20% 15% 30% *** 20% 25% 25% 35% 20% 60% 90% 5%

(Shot down in 2006) BNFL shareholder

  • f URENCO

25% 20% 35% 15% 20% 25%**** 10% 15% 5% 30% 15% 15% 45%

JNFL in time

10% JNFL in time

66,700 t 62,550 t

37.3 MUTS**

6,700 t 350 GWe 1,850 t 180 t

FRONT END BACK END

Mines / Natural uranium

MINATOM Group

BNFL/SMP a/c 2004

20% 5% 15% 30%

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 30

Front end: operating income maintained high levels

* 2001 has been restated to be comparable to 2002 for the value of energy not included in costs of services delivered and therefore no longer re-invoiced to our clients. Clients now make available the energy needed to perform our services.

in millions of euros 2000 2001

2002

Sales 2,328 2,733 2,560 Adjusted Sales 2,476* 2,560 Operating Income 200 362 333 % of Revenue 8.6 % 13.2 % 13.0 %

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 31

M.O.U signed with Urenco

M.O.U. signed with URENCO

to acquire ultracentrifuge enrichment technology

Steady competition

in the production and marketing of enrichment services

Final agreement

planned in 2004

Replacement of the current

plant in 2010

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 32

Reactors and Services: results improving, even without new reactor sales

in millions of euros 2000 2001

2002

Sales 1,675 1,879 1,931 Operating income 84 45 81 % of sales 5.0% 2.4% 4.2%

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 33

Back end: sharp improvement in profitability

in millions of euros 2000 2001

2002

Sales 2,210 2,213 2,087 Operating income 57 10 235 % of Sales 2.6% 0.5% 11.3%

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 34

Back end: a load plan with good visibility

Assistance contract for startup of Rokkasho

Mura (Japan) reprocessing plant until 2005

German, Swiss, Dutch, Belgian power

companies: Recycling until 2009

EDF:

prices set until 2007, commitment to 2015

34

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 35

Brazil: awaiting confirmation of the start of Angra 3 by the new

Brazilian government

A US market turnaround (+ 4 Gwe by 2010)

Increase in life cycles of plants and capacity factors Power increase at a large number of plants Deliberate nuclear energy policy Congress approves choice of site for spent fuel at Yucca Mountain

Canada: reactors come back on line (+ 4 Gwe by 2010)

110 115 120 125 130

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Source: AREVA

Trend in installed capacities in North America (in GWe)

ALENA & Mercosur

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 36

In 2 years, the size of the group in North America has doubled

2000 sales: €610M 2002 sales: €1,208M

Key events in 2002:

“Alliance” contract with power companies: AEP, PPL, PSEG,

Exelon, TXU-Energy

Decision by DOE to turn all excess military plutonium into

Mox with the DCS consortium (Duke, Cogema, Stone&Webster)

Contract with DOE for defluorination of depleted uranium Contracts to replace reactor vessel heads and steam generators

13 out of 22 contracts for reactor vessel heads won 6 out of 11 contracts won in 2002 for steam generators

Implementation of growth strategy in the United States

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 37

Installed capacity in nuclear reactors (in Gwe)

Sources: AREVA

Asia: programmed increased in capacities

45 5 20 11 23 64

10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Japan China Korea/Taiwan 2002 2017 estimated

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 38

Increase our presence in Asia

Sales growth over the region

2001 sales: €782M 2002 sales: €954M

+22%

Japan

Transfer of technology in Reprocessing-Recycling 2005 In 2002, strengthened presence in Nuclear Measurement and

Logistics

Developments in China

4 reactors built by the group are now operating

Ling Ao 1 was commissioned in 2002 Ling Ao 2 was commissioned early 2003-3 months ahead of

schedule

Recycling technology transfer agreement Xth plan: decision in favor of 4 new reactors

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 39

Progressive withdrawal announced

in Germany, Belgium…

… but production will remain

unchanged over the next ten years

Nuclear production

is expected to continue or grow in Spain, Finland, France and Switzerland Breakdown of primary energy source in European electricity production

Source: AREVA, 1999

Europe: Contrasting political decisions but production almost unchanged

Nuclear 35% Other 2% Hydro 11% Oil 8% Gas 13% Coal 31%

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 40

Consolidate our positions in Europe

Major contracts in 2002

Contract to supply fuel to EDF until 2006 Reprocessing-Recycling contract with German power companies

until 2009

Contracts to supply 48 spent fuel storage and transfer containers

to German and Belgian power companies

Two major projects in 2003

France: decision pending concerning the EPR (European

Pressurized Reactor)

Finland: Submission of Framatome-ANP bids at the end of March

2003, competing with General Electric and Minatom

Position as the leading supplier to the leader electric utilities

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 41

A new reactor commissioned in Russia in 2002 and 9 additional

reactors planned by 2010

“G8 Global Partnership” - Decision at the Evian summit

Construction of a plant similar to the one being planned in the US to turn

plutonium from weapons disarmament into MOX

Improvement in safety and performance of the reactors

in Russia / CIS

Eastern Europe & Russia / CIS

10 + 10 10

Percentage of nuclear in Russian electricity production

Nuclear 15%

Ukraine: pending financing to improve the safety of the K2R4

reactors

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Connectors in 2002

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 43

Military, Aerospace, Industry

€149M vs €162M

Automotive

€531M vs €500M

Electrical Power Interconnect

€200M vs €244M

Communications Data Consumer

€616M vs €986M

Microconnections

€61M vs €63M

2002 vs 2001 Sales

FCI ranks 3rd worldwide, with strong positions in telecommunications and the auto industry

Disposal planned in 2003

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 44

444 480 484 537 600 668 681 697 614 536 426 390 399 413 373 374

1Q99 2Q99 3Q99 4Q99 1Q00 2Q00 3Q00 4Q00 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02

Sales by quarter (in millions of euros)

Further decline in sales due to telecom

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 45

Implementation

  • f the redeployment plan since late 2001

New management team (November 2001) Focus on markets where FCI is leader on a global scale

Sale of MAI business in 2003 (2002 Sales: €149M)

Lower breakeven point

Adaptation and streamlining of industrial capacity:

16 sites announced to be closed since the end of 2001

Reduction in overhead

Transfer of operations to countries with low labor costs,

particularly in Asia

Faster implementation of inter-division synergies (CDC – Auto)

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 46

Change in operating income before restructuring costs (in millions of EUR)

Cost cuts totaled €250M in 2002

+€44M

Reduction in cost of sales Reduction in indirect costs Impact volumes / Mix Impact prices and currency

2001 2002

  • 60

+142 +108

  • 181
  • 147
  • 137
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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 47

Change in connector work force

Reorganization of industrial capacity continues…

* after adjusting for actions initiated in 2002 and the sale of MAI

18%

29%

18% 82%

71%

82% 2000 2001 2002 *

Countries with low production costs Countries with high production costs

15,259

12,402* 14,015

18,457

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 48

Customer service revisited

Increased competitive advantage by service quality:

A simplified product offer and optimized delivery times

using the “Flash Service” program in Europe and “Rat Pac” in the USA

Implementation of “Six Sigma” in the “Total Quality Management”

program in automotive

Installation of a powerful CRM tool for the distribution of electrical

products in the USA

Performance recognized by our customers:

“Best supplier award” from CELESTICA “Supplier of the Year” award for delivery & service from the IMARK group Approval at BMW and new opportunites with FORD

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 49

An emphasis on innovation continued

Patented technology source of competitive

advantage

Development of new products for high-potential

emerging requirements

Support for Pentium 5 micro-processor New generation of airbag connector High-density Flex interconnection for printing Miniature connectors for DVD and mobile phones High-speed connectors for servers

and storage units

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 50

Licensing agreement with Tyco and Molex to

give access to the FCI BGA patented technology for Pentium 4 and communication application

Mutual licensing agreement with Tyco to

develop new generation high-speed connectors

Agreement with Mitsubishi Cable Industry in

Japan to co-develop automotive connectors for Renault/Nissan and Daimler/Chrysler/Mitsubishi

Development of partnerships

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Conclusion

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 52

Nuclear has surpassed objectives

Change in operating income (in millions of euros)

417

2001

555 649

OP In/ Sales 6.1%

2002 2004 2003 Minimum growth 10%

OP In/ Sales 9.9%

2002

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 53

2003 Outlook

Nuclear

Revenues stable excluding acquisitions Build on 2002 level of operating income Strengthen international positions in all business sectors

Connectors

No short-term recovery expected in the telecommunications

market

Continue and intensify industrial streamlining and reorganization Maintain our objective set at the presentation of 2001 earnings:

by the end of 2003, connectors must no longer affect the group’s

  • perational performance
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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 54

Initial Public Offering

Management is preparing the group Establish Financial Communications designed to:

Strengthen links to the financial markets Provide the financial community with information to know

and understand the group’s businesses

Our objective: be ready to complete the market offering

as quickly as possible, at the best price, if our shareholders decide to do so

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 55

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AREVA CAC40

The AREVA share has outperformed the indices since it was created (9/03/2001)

Dividend proposed for 2002 at the Shareholders’ Meeting:

6.20 euros / share and investment certificate Trend in CI price (base 144 at September 3, 2001)

+61%

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SLIDE 56

2002 Results AREVA Group

Anne Lauvergeon

Chairman of the Executive Board

Gérald Arbola

Member of the Executive Board, Chief Financial Officer Thursday, March 27, 2003

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SLIDE 57

Appendices

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 58

ROACE = Net operating income / average capital employed Net operating income = Operating income minus standard tax Standard tax = tax obtained by applying an average rate for all entities

except those eligible for a special rate (Eurodif primarily)

Average capital employed = (capital employed at end of period + capital employed

at beginning of period) / 2

Capital employed = Net tangible and intangible fixed assets including goodwill Minus extraordinary write-down to goodwill Plus working capital requirements, excluding interest-bearing customer advances Minus customer advances on fixed assets and provisions for costs to be incurred

Detailed calculation of ROACE

  • AVER. CAP. EMPL. Net OP Income

ROCE Millions of euros 2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002 Nuclear 3,913 3,790 269 440 6.9% 11.6% Components 2,346 1,887 n/s n/s n/s n/s Other 618 663 n/s n/s n/s n/s Total Group 6,877 6,340 89 138 1.3% 2.2%

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 59

Breakdown of Sales Revenues by Division

2002 sales breakdown: Connectors 2002 sales breakdown: Front-end 2002 sales breakdown: Reactors & Services 2002 sales breakdown: Back-end

Mines 21% Fuel 46% Enrichments 26% Chimicals 7% Services 34% SI 7% Reactors 25% Equipments 12% Technicatome 12% Mechanical 2% Nuclear Measurment 8% Logistics 10 % Clean-up 5 % Engineering 7 % Processing/ Recycling 78 % Communication Data Consumer 39% Automotive 34% Electrical Pow er Interconnect. 13% Military, Aerospace & Industry 10% Microconnection 4%

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 60

Production of nuclear power up 10% between 1995 and 2000

444 reactors installed in 2000 / 50 reactors under construction and ordered 16-17% of world electricity is derived from nuclear power, i.e. 564 Mtoe.

2000 1995 United States 799 714 +12% France 415 377 +10% Japan 309 291 +6% Germany 170 153 +11% Russia 131 100 +31% South Korea 109 67 +63% United Kingdom 86 89

  • 3%

Ukraine 75 71 +6% Canada 73 98

  • 26%

Other countries 283 247 +15% World 2569 2332 +10% TWh produced

Source: TWH Energy Statistics Yearbook ENERDATA December 2001

Spain 62 55 +13% Sweden 57 70

  • 19%

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> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 61

Nuclear will be necessary in the future energy mix

World electricity production (by source)

Source AIE (2000): + 86% between 2000 and 2020 Sources: AIE/OCDE (1972-2000), Nucleonics Week

5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000

1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015 2019

TWh gross

Gas: 18% Gas: 18% Coal: 36% Nuclear: 17% Nuclear: 17% Oil: 9.5% Oil: 9.5% Hydraulic: 18% Hydraulic: 18%

CAGR 71-00: +3.7% CAGR 00-20: +3%

Renewable: 1.5%

slide-62
SLIDE 62

> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 62

1998 Production: 8.6 Gtoe (Giga tons oil equivalent)

The “Living in one world” scenarios of the World Council

  • f Energy projects growth for nuclear power until 2050

2050: “Unlivable World” Production: 12 Gtoe

  • Increase in disparities
  • Heating by 2°C
  • Increase in mortality

2050: “Livable World” Production: 14 Gtoe

  • Decarbonization
  • f energy,
  • Control of transport

2.2 3.4 2 1.3 0.6 3.1 3.8 2.5 1.9 0.7

Replacement of nuclear capacity by 2050

1.5 2.6 3.3 5 1.8

Construction of 3 times the current nuclear capacity by 2050 Nuclear Renewable Gas Oil Coal

in Gtoe (Tons Oil Equivalent)

Or

slide-63
SLIDE 63

> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 63

Public acceptance: Americans are becoming more favorable to nuclear

Sources: Bisconti Research

27 49 66 46

20 30 40 50 60 70

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1998 1999 2000 2001 Feb 02

% Favorable % Opposed

slide-64
SLIDE 64

> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 64

Public acceptance: If all waste can be managed safely, nuclear energy is an option in Europe

Source: Eurobaromètre – European Economic Community - Oct-Nov. 2001

B e l g i u m D e n m a r k G e r m a n y S p a i n F r a n c e I r e l a n d I t a l y L u x e m b

  • u

r g N e t h e r l a n d s A u s t r i a P

  • l

a n d U n i t e d K i n g d

  • m

Agree Don’t agree Don’t know

S w e d e n

20 40 60 80

slide-65
SLIDE 65

> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 65

Mwe installed 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 PWR BWR PHWR

FRA BW SIE

AREVA

W ABB-CE ABB Mitsubishi

BNFL

General Electric Hitachi Toshiba Gydropress VVER AECL

(xx) Number of reactors

(70) (7) (17) (6) (2) (78) (25) (10) (55) (51) (31) (18) (29)

AREVA has installed the largest electric capacity

Source AREVA

slide-66
SLIDE 66

> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 66

Nuclear plants built by AREVA worldwide

slide-67
SLIDE 67

> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 67

140 reactors in the world use AREVA fuel

EUROPE AMERICAS ASIA-PACIFIC SOUTH AFRICA 32 2 2 2 2 58 7 4 1 1 19 2 1 7

slide-68
SLIDE 68

> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 68

Trend in construction of reactors by AREVA in France

slide-69
SLIDE 69

> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 69

Trend in construction of reactors by AREVA abroad

slide-70
SLIDE 70

> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 70

Reactors installed worldwide

2000 1995 United States 104 109

  • 5%

France 59 56 +5% Japan 53 52 +2% Germany 19 20

  • 5%

Russia 29 29 0% South Korea 16 11 +45% United Kingdom 33 35

  • 6%

Ukraine 13 15

  • 13%

Canada 21 21 0% Other 97 90 +8% World 444 438 +1% Number of reactors ∆

slide-71
SLIDE 71

> Presentation of 2002 earnings of the AREVA group – March 27, 2003 71

Source CEA, 2001

446 nuclear plants in operation in 2001