Fixed Income Presentation 1Q19 Results
Milan, 9 May 2019
1Q19 Results Milan, 9 May 2019 Agenda UniCredit at a glance 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Fixed Income Presentation 1Q19 Results Milan, 9 May 2019 Agenda UniCredit at a glance 1 Transform 2019 update 2 1Q19 P&L results 3 Asset quality 4 Capital 5 Funding & Liquidity 6 2 UniCredit successfully concluded first of a
Milan, 9 May 2019
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The placement is the first step in a comprehensive set of financial measures, to prepare for the wider 2020-2023 business strategy to be presented later this year. Specifically:
assets, including those already executed (e.g. real estate in 1Q19, 17% of Fineco in 2Q19)
European peers on a relative basis
Core runoff fully on track
different potential macroeconomic scenarios Details of these measures, as well as the accompanying new business strategy for 2020-2023, will be presented at the UniCredit Capital Markets Day on 3 December 2019 in London As stated in its press release on 8 May 2019, UniCredit announced that it had sold 17% of Fineco's issued share capital to institutional investors for gross proceeds of 1,014m. Fineco will be deconsolidated and the placement will lead to an increase in the Group's CET1 ratio of +21bps in 2Q19. The remaining stake of c. 18% will be classified as a financial asset
UniCredit at a glance 1 2 3 4 5 6
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Record quarterly results benefitting from exceptional items(1)
(1) Disposal of real estate assets (+258m net impact in 1Q19) and release of provisions from US sanctions settlement (+320m net impact in 1Q19). (2) Group and Group Core adjusted net profit and RoTE exclude IFRS9 FTA tax effect (+887m in 4Q18) and disposal of real estate (+258m net impact in 1Q19). (3) Managerial figures under current regulatory assumptions.
Strong execution of Transform 2019 delivering consistent and reliable results
Strong capital position and successful execution of mitigation actions
UniCredit at a glance 1 2 3 4 5 6
Commercial Banking model delivering unique Western, Central and Eastern European network to extensive Retail and Corporate client franchise "One Bank" business model replicated across full network, driving synergies and streamlined operations CIB fully plugged into Commercial Banking, enabling cross-selling and synergies across business lines and countries Low risk profile business model benefiting from diversification and a more stable macro/regulatory environment 26.5 million clients(1) 80% revenues from Commercial Banking(2) Commercial Banks with leadership position(3) in 13(4) out of 14 countries €0.7bn joint CIB-Commercial Banking revenues(5) 51% revenues
(1) Data as of 1Q19 includes 100% clients in Yapi. (2) Business division revenues as of 1Q19: CB Italy, CB Germany, CB Austria, CEE and Fineco. (3) Data as of 4Q18 (3Q18 per Bosnia and Herzegovina), ranking between #1 and #5 in terms of total assets according to local accounting standards. (4) Austria, Bosnia, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey. (5) Data as of March 2019 include revenues from GTB, ECM, DCM, M&A, Markets products from Commercial Banking clients and structured finance products from Corporate clients. (6) Data as of 1Q19 based on regional view.
5 UniCredit at a glance 1 2 3 4 5 6
Strong local Commercial Banks
Rank by assets in Europe(2) Germany Austria CEE Italy # clients, m(1) 1.6 1.6 8.9 14.4 Revenues by geography(3)
(1) Data as of 1Q19 includes 100% clients on Yapi. (2) Data as of 4Q18 based on available public data. For Germany, only private banks, for CEE compared to Erste, KBC, Intesa Sanpaolo, OTP, RBI, SocGen. UC data incl. Turkey pro quota. (3) Data as of 1Q19 based on regional view. (4) Data as of 1Q19 based on available public data, where available (otherwise as of 4Q18); peers include: BNP, Deutsche Bank, Santander, HSBC, ISP, Société Générale. FX exchange rate at 31 March 2019. (5) Dealogic as of beginning of April 2019; period: 1 Jan – 31 Mar 2019. (6) Source: www.euromoney.com. (7) Source: Global Finance: www.gfmag.com.
Loans to corporates in Europe zone, €bn(4) 21% 21% 9% 49% Italy CEE Austria Germany 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
"Go to" bank for European "Mittelstand" Corporates 2 3 1 1
UniCredit at a glance UniCredit at a glance
Best-in-class CIB product provider Awards
EMEA rankings(5) All Bonds in Euro in Italy and Germany(5) Syndicated Loans in Italy, Germany and Austria(5) EMEA Bonds in Euro by # of transactions(5)
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Euromoney Trade Finance survey 20196: #1 across 28 categories, eg.:
nine CEE countries Global Finance 20197:
Herzegovina and Croatia
Collections in CEE
Peer 2 UniCredit Peer 1 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6
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2015
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Revenues, €bn Cost/Income Costs, €bn Cost of risk Net profit, €bn RoTE(1) FL CET1 ratio Group gross NPEs, €bn Group gross NPEs ratio RWA, €bn Group Core gross NPEs ratio
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Non Core gross NPEs, €bn
2019 4Q18 1Q19
Transform 2019 update
Adjusted net profit(1), €bn
(1) Group and Group Core adjusted net profit and RoTE exclude IFRS9 FTA tax effect (+887m in 4Q18) and disposal of real estate (+258m net impact in 1Q19).
Group Core RoTE(1)
20.4 4.9 5.0 19.8
1.5 1.7 1.4 4.7 0.8 1.1 60.0% 55.9% 52.8% 52-53% 103bps 79bps 40bps 55bps 4% 7.1% 9.4% >9% 9.2% 11.3% >10% 10.4% 12.07% 12.25% 12.0-12.5% 361 370 372 406 77.8 38.2 37.6 37.9 52.0 18.5 17.7 14.9 16.0% 7.7% 7.6% 7.5% 6.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.7%
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upper end of target range of 200-250bps
which +7bps successfully closed in 1Q19
18.41%(2), buffer at 134bps(2). TLAC subordinated funding plan for FY19 de facto done
7.0bn Y/Y and 0.6bn Q/Q
target
with 20 branches closed in 1Q19 and 901 since December 2015
STRENGTHEN AND OPTIMISE CAPITAL FY19 CET1 ratio guidance confirmed TLAC subordinated funding plan de facto done IMPROVE ASSET QUALITY Ongoing de-risking 2021 Non Core runoff fully on track TRANSFORM OPERATING MODEL Transformation well ahead of schedule FY19 costs confirmed
(1) Assuming BTP spreads remain at current levels. (2) Managerial figures under current regulatory assumptions. (3) Weighted average "NPL" ratio of EBA sample banks is 3.2%. Source: EBA risk dashboard (data as at 4Q18). UniCredit's definition of "NPE" ratio is more conservative than EBA. Comparable "NPL" ratio for UniCredit at 1Q19 would be 3.6%.
1 2 3 4 5 6 Transform 2019 update
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MAXIMISE COMMERCIAL BANK VALUE Multichannel offer/ customer experience Leading European Debt and Trade Finance house
5% 1Q18) and #1 in Italy, Germany and Austria(5)
in EUR", an undisputed leadership since 2011(6), thanks to the fully plugged-in business model of CIB
2019 target; remote sales(3) increased further by +11.1p.p. Y/Y, reaching 31.8% of total bank sales(4)
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(1) Including Yapi at 100%. Ratio defined as number of retail mobile users as percentage of active customers. (2) Includes cash withdrawals, cash deposits and transfers. (3) Transactions concluded through ATM, online, mobile or contact centre. (4) Percentage of remote sales calculated on total bank products that have a direct selling process. (5) Source: Dealogic, as at 3 April 2019. Period: 1 January – 31 March 2019; rankings by volume, unless otherwise stated. (6) Source: Dealogic UniCredit’s #1 position in the cumulative time period 1 January 2011 – 31 December 2018 (with more than 2,600 deals in total).
which was paid on 25 April 2019
ADOPT LEAN BUT STEERING CENTRE Group CC streamlining CIB – Commercial Bank synergies
UniCredit as sole financial advisor to HERMOS Group
Support for real economy
Italian SMEs, with emphasis on female entrepreneurship, innovation and climate projects
patient minority growth capital for Italian SMEs
1 2 3 4 5 6 Transform 2019 update
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13% 32% 9% 14% 19% 39% n.m. n.m. n.m. n.m.
RoTE
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1Q19 RoAC(2)
5,473
6,252 1,422 1,591 1,249 1,049 1,318 1Q19 1Q18 4Q18 +5.5% +25.7%
Grou Group p Cor Core adj djusted net et pr prof
Adjusted net profit(1) by division 1Q19, m
(1) Group and Group Core adjusted net profit and RoTE exclude IFRS9 FTA tax effect (+887m in 4Q18) and disposal of real estate (+258m net impact in 1Q19). (2) Stated 1Q19 RoAC. Normalised for non-recurring items, 1Q19 RoACs are: CB Italy 11.3%, CB Germany 6.2%, CB Austria 3.8% and CIB 12.3%.
395 1,318 1,129 113 391 493
CIB CB Germany CB Italy CEE 67 CB Austria 22 Fineco Group CC Group Core
Group Non Core 10.5% 9.2% 11.3%
+370m stated
1 2 3 4 5 6 1Q19 P&L results
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(1) Group and Group Core adjusted net profit and RoTE exclude IFRS9 FTA tax effect (+887m in 4Q18) and disposal of real estate (+258m net impact in 1Q19). (2) Adjusted for release of a tax provision in net interest in 4Q18 (+20m) in CB Germany and days effect (+56m). (3) Managerial figures. (4) Weighted average "NPL" ratio of EBA sample banks is 3.2%. Source: EBA risk dashboard (data as at 4Q18). UniCredit's definition of "NPE" ratio is more conservative than EBA. Comparable "NPL" ratio for UniCredit at 1Q19 would be 3.6%.
Mai ain dri drivers
and rates were offset by higher funding costs, investment portfolio and treasury
environment remains supportive
4.7% target
Data in m Total revenues 5,110 4,900 4,971 +1.5%
2,597 2,766 2,646
+1.9%
1,756 1,679 1,670
501 171 450 n.m.
Operating costs
Gross operating profit 2,415 2,216 2,383 +7.5%
LLPs
Net operating profit 2,044 1,483 2,018 +36.1%
Net profit 1,249 1,936 1,576
+26.2% Adjusted net profit(1) 1,249 1,049 1,318 +25.7% +5.5% Adjusted RoTE(1) 10.5% 9.2% 11.3% +2.0p.p. +0.8p.p. C/I 52.7% 54.8% 52.1%
CoR (bps) 35 64 31
Gross NPE ratio 4.9% 4.1% 4.1% +3bps
1Q18 ∆ % vs.1Q18 4Q18 1Q19 ∆ % vs.4Q18
1 2 3 4 5 6 1Q19 P&L results
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(1) Group and Group Core adjusted net profit and RoTE exclude IFRS9 FTA tax effect (+887m in 4Q18) and disposal of real estate (+258m net impact in 1Q19). (2) Adjusted for release of a tax provision in net interest in 4Q18 (+20m) in CB Germany and days effect (+60m). (3) 1Q19 net impact of release of provisions for US sanctions +320m, as there was a connected impact of -164m in the tax line. (4) 1Q19 net impact of disposal of real estate +258m, as there was a connected impact of -107m in the tax line.
Mai ain dri drivers
funding costs, investment portfolio and treasury
(-3.5% Y/Y) and Non HR costs (-5.2% Y/Y)
1Q19, including 0bps of models
provisions for US sanctions(3) and -538m systemic charges, as more than half of the FY19 systemic charges are booked in 1Q19
quarter in a decade for the second time running
Data in m Total revenues 5,105 4,850 4,952 +2.1%
2,630 2,774 2,649
+0.7%
1,747 1,657 1,655
478 159 448 n.m.
Operating costs
Gross operating profit 2,376 2,138 2,338 +9.4%
LLPs
Net operating profit 1,880 1,215 1,871 +53.9%
Other charges & provisions
n.m. +15.7% Profit (loss) from investments 17
394 n.m. n.m. Profit before taxes 1,389 778 2,047 n.m. +47.4% Income taxes
998
n.m. n.m. Net profit from discontinued
1 1 +79.9% n.m. Net profit 1,112 1,727 1,387
+24.7% Adjusted net profit(1) 1,112 840 1,129 +34.3% +1.5% 1Q18 ∆ % vs.4Q18 ∆ % vs.1Q18 4Q18 1Q19
1 2 3 4 5 6 1Q19 P&L results
Net et Inter Interest, t, m
Net interest margin
1.46%
2,630 2,774 2,649 1Q18 4Q18 1Q19
+0.7%
(+1bp Q/Q)
Average Euribor 3M
Fee Fees an and d com commis issio ions, m
investment portfolio and treasury
1.42% 1.39%
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603 625 615 427 429 414 717 603 625
1Q19 1Q18
Investment
4Q18
Financing Transactional 1,747 1,657 1,655
1 2 3 4 5 6 1Q19 P&L results
Dividends(2), m
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100 92 76 90 127 94 1Q18 219 189 Yapi (at equity) 4Q18 Other dividends 1Q19 170
underlying client activity despite negative XVA(3)
equal to -103m in 1Q19 (-28m in 4Q18 and +70m in 1Q18)
around 350m
current FX due to depreciation of the Turkish Lira (TRY)
impact for 10% adverse FX move(4)
Trading income, m
85 162 132 393 316 1Q18 Other trading
4Q18 1Q19 Client Driven 478 159 448
+181.3%
(1) Non-recurring net trading gains from participations in 1Q18 (+39m) in CIB. (2) Include dividends and equity investments. Yapi is valued by the equity method and contributes to the dividend line of the Group P&L based on managerial view. (3) Valuation adjustments (XVA) include: Collateral Valuation Adjustment (OIS), Debt/Credit Value Adjustment (DVA/CVA), Fair Value Adjustment and Funding Valuation Adjustment (FVA). (4) TRY sensitivity: 10% depreciation of the TRY has around +1bp net impact (-3bps from capital, +3bps from RWA) on the fully loaded CET1 ratio. Managerial data as at 31 March 2019.
1 2 3 4 5 6 1Q19 P&L results
FTE FTEs (eop eop)
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(1) Branch figures consistent with CMD 2016 perimeter.
Bra Branch ches(1) Mai ain dri drivers
plan:
target achieved (14,000)
completed (901 out of 944)
down 200 Y/Y
4.2% Y/Y thanks to continued strong focus on cost discipline
2,728 2,712 2,614 4Q18 1Q18 1Q19
C/I 66,334 62,568 62,027 24,031 24,218 24,204 4Q18 1Q18 W.E. 1Q19 CEE 90,365 86,786 86,232
3,077 2,928 2,908 1,682 1,663 1,651 1Q18 4Q18 1Q19 CEE W.E. 4,759 4,591 4,559
Q/Q Q/Q
Co Costs, , m
53.4% 55.9% 52.8%
1 2 3 4 5 6 1Q19 P&L results
Loan loss provisions, m
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Cost of risk
gross NPE Gross NPE ratio
including 0bps of models. FY19 55bps CoR target confirmed, o/w 4bps due to model impact
Coverage ratio at 61.8%, up 1.5p.p. Y/Y
be primarily in 4Q19
normalise in FY19. FY19 CoR will be below 16bps target
FY19 CoR will be below 102bps target
Main drivers
model impact
496 923 468 4Q18 1Q18 1Q19
(1) Weighted average "NPL" ratio of EBA sample banks is 3.2%. Source: EBA risk dashboard (data as at 4Q18). UniCredit's definition of "NPE" ratio is more conservative than EBA. Comparable "NPL" ratio for UniCredit at 1Q19 would be 3.6%.
45bps 79bps 40bps 60.3% 61.0% 61.8% 9.5% 7.7% 7.6%
model impact
1 2 3 4 5 6 1Q19 P&L results
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Non performing exposures(1), bn
24.2 20.2 Coverage ratio Gross NPE ratio Coverage ratio Net bad loans Net NPE ratio Net NPE 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
1Q19 17.7 1Q18 4Q18 14.9 14.4
44.6 38.2 37.6
Coverage ratio Net UTP
5.8 6.8 1Q18 1Q19 4Q18 5.8
21.2 25.2 21.4
+1.0% 10.3 1Q18 8.5 4Q18 7.9 1Q19
18.3 16.2 15.3
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9.5% 7.7% 7.6% 4.0% 3.2% 3.0% 60.3% 61.0% 61.8% 73.0% 72.6% 72.8% 44.1% 47.3% 48.2%
Asset quality
(1) Gross NPEs including gross bad loans, gross unlikely to pay and gross past due.
(1) Gross NPEs including gross bad loans, gross unlikely to pay and gross past due. Gross past due at 32m in 1Q19 (-16.5% Q/Q and -75.4% Y/Y).
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8.5 6.1 1Q18 6.6 18.5 4Q18 1Q19 22.9 17.7
Coverage ratio Gross NPE ratio Net NPEs 1Q19 3.1 4.6 1Q18 4Q18 3.6 8.3 6.8 6.3
Coverage ratio Net UTP Coverage ratio Net NPE ratio 14.9 2019 Target 11.6 4Q18 3.8 1Q18 3.0 2.9 1Q19 14.5 11.5
Net bad loans
Non performing exposures(1), bn
>57% 100% 100% 89.7% 100.0% 100.0% 77.8% 99.9% 99.9% 62.9% 64.3% 65.8% 73.6% 74.2% 74.7% 44.5% 47.7% 49.7% 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 Asset quality
NPEs coverage, % Bad loans cov., % UTP coverage, % Net Loans, €bn Performing NPE
2019
6.7 17.7
2021
49.6
3Q16
17.7 14.9 0.0
1Q19
56.3
Gross Loans, €bn €bn
Total FINO phase 2 closed in Jan 2018 Mostly corporate Mainly driven by corporate, small business Both single name and portfolios Cash recoveries on workout and UTP Active portfolios' management and cost optimization
(1)
Mar19-Dec19 Other movements (i.e. Debt to Equity) Sep16-Mar19 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 FINO "Back" to Core Repayments Disposals Recoveries Write-offs Other
Actions of Non Core rundown Non Core evolution
Full rundown
Asset quality 22
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29.5 6.1 6.4 53.5 65.8 >57 33.3 49.7 >38 60.5 74.7 >63
(1) 11.1bn bad loans, 3.6bn UTP and 0.2bn Past Due. Rounding differences may occur.
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Capital
Fully loaded Common Equity Tier 1 ratio, %
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(1) Payment of coupons on AT1 instruments (34m pre tax in 1Q19, 372m expected for FY19) and CASHES (31m pre and post tax in 1Q19, 125m expected for FY19). Dividends accrued on adjusted net profit. (2) In 1Q19 CET1 ratio impact from FVOCI -1bp, o/w +1bp thanks to BTP. (3) BTP sensitivity: +10bps parallel shift of BTP asset swap spreads has a -2.9bps pre and -2.1bps post tax impact on the fully loaded CET1 ratio as at 31 March 2019. (4) In 1Q19 TRY depreciation had a total net impact almost neutral on CET1 ratio, o/w -1bp from capital shown in "FX" and +2bps from RWA shown in "RWA dynamics". (5) DBO sensitivity: 10bps decrease in discount rate has a -4bps pre and -3bps post tax impact on the fully loaded CET1 ratio as at 31 March 2019. (6) Assuming BTP spreads remain at current levels.
expected in 2Q19, above 12%
Net profit 1Q19 4Q18 stated 30% dividend accrual & coupons(1)
12.25% FVOCI(2,3), FX(4), DBO(5) reserves RWA dynamics Other 1Q19 stated 12.07% +37bps
+5bps
FVOCI: -1bp FX: +4bps o/w TRY: -1bp DBO: -11bps Regulation, models and procyclicality:
TRY: +2bps
1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
€44.9 bn
CE CET1 tran transitio itional al
2018 Basel 3 phase-in 100%(1)
(1) Phase-in of net liability related to Defined Benefit Obligation at 80% in 2018. Absolute amount for CET1 transitional, Tier1 capital transitional and total capital transitional.
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CET1 11.71% AT1 0.94% CET1 11.71% AT1 0.94% CET1 13.94% AT1 1.38% T2 2.87%
1Q19 4Q18 12.13% 12.25% +0.1p.p. 13.64% 4Q18 1.67% 13.93% 12.25% 1Q19 +0.3p.p. 1.67% 4Q18 2.43% 1Q19 12.25% 15.80% 16.36% +0.6p.p.
CET1 AT1 CET1 AT1 T2
10.07% MDA 1Q19 11.57% MDA 1Q19 13.57% MDA 1Q19
Capital 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
Ti Tier r 1 tran transitio itional al Tota Total l cap capital tal tran transitio ional
€45.6 bn €50.5 bn €51.8 bn €58.5 bn €60.8 bn
2018 Basel 3 phase-in 100%(1) 2018 Basel 3 phase-in 100%(1)
(1) FL CET1 capital where available or calculated as FL CET1 ratio * RWA (FL where available). (2) Transitional Total Capital for UniCredit. Fully loaded Total Capital where available or calculated as Total Capital ratio * RWA (FL where available). (3) FL leverage ratio where available. Peers: BBVA, BNP, Commerzbank, CASA, DBK, HSBC, ISP, ING Group, Nordea, Santander, SocGen. FX exchange rate at 31 March 2019.
26 Peer 3 Peer 1 UniCredit Peer 9 Peer 2 Peer 4 Peer 6 Peer 5 Peer 7 Peer 8 Peer 10 Peer 11 23.2 23.8 35.4 37.2 41.0 42.9 45.6 45.9 47.7 68.2 77.9 112.1
Total assets €/bn Total capital(2)
3.89 4.00 4.20 4.23 4.40 4.80 4.90 4.96 5.10 5.40 5.50 6.40 Peer 5 Peer 1 Peer 7 Peer 2 UniCredit Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 6 Peer 8 Peer 9 Peer 10 Peer 11 Peers Avg. 4.8% 60.8 100.8 59.4 28.8 52.7 158.5 31.8 53.8 48.9 64.0 61.6 90.0 462 590 1,506 1,624 691 1,364 788 848 905 1,437 2,284 2,370
1Q19 4Q18
Capital 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
Fully loaded CET1 capital(1) as of March 2019, €bn Fully loaded Basel 3 Leverage ratio(3) as of March 2019, %
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(1) Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Serbia and Turkey.
CEE Banks (11 CEE countries(1)) Western Europe
UniCredit S.p.A. operates as the Group Holding as well as the Italian operating bank and is the TLAC/MREL issuer assuming Single-Point-of-Entry (SPE) Coordinated Group-wide funding and liquidity management to
Diversified by geography and funding sources All Group Legal Entities to become self-funded by progressively minimising intragroup exposures UniCredit Bank AG and UniCredit Bank Austria AG may resume issuance of Senior Preferred bonds into the wholesale institutional market
Funding & Liquidity 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 28
14 58 123
100% of wholesale funding maturing in 1 year (Managerial figures)
Additional eligible assets available within 12 months(1) Cash and Deposits with Central Banks Unencumbered assets (immediately available)(1)
195 181
€bn
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1Q19 strong liquidity buffer
Funding & Liquidity 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
Compliant with key liquidity ratios
Group LCR(2) Group NSFR(3) >100% >100%
(1) Unencumbered assets are represented by all the assets immediately available to be used with Central Banks. Additional eligible assets (available within 12 months) consist of all the other assets eligible within 1 year time. Figures are net of ECB haircut. (2) Regulatory figure as of March 2019. (3) Managerial figure based on Basilea III assumption as of March 2019.
UniCredit SpA 2019 TLAC Funding Plan
CET1 ratio (Trans.)
Tier 2
TLAC Requirement >19.6%
Senior Preferred exemption Senior Non Preferred & Other(2)
Subordination req. >17.1%
€/bn
20.1-20.6% 17.6-18.1% 12.0-12.5%
AT1
(1) As at 2 May 2019. (2) Non computable portion of subordinated instruments. (3) Managerial figures under current regulatory assumptions.
RWA
406bn 2.5%
134bps(3). Target buffer 50-100bps
Plan 2019 1.0 2.3 2.5 3.2
0.2 2.5 0.6 6.5 0.8
TLAC buffer target 50- 100bps
Target FY 2019
CET1 MDA buffer target 200-250bps
2.0% 1.5%
9.0 3.3 Total
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Funding & Liquidity 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
Funding & Liquidity 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6
As of 31st March 2019 ca. 42% (€13.4bn) of the Group Funding Plan was executed
Note: Managerial figures.
42% of Group Funding Plan was executed in Q1 2019, in particular:
UniCredit SpA
subsequent tap bringing the total amount to €1bn
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2019 M/L Term Funding Plan by bank
1.5 (46%) 11.3 13.0 UniCredit Spa 3.3 2.8 (25%) 4.5
2019 Planned
7.5 (58%) 1.5 (35%)
2019 Actual
UniCredit Bank AG Bank Austria CEE
32.1 13.4
UniCredit Spa UniCredit Bank AG Bank Austria CEE
€ bn € bn
UniCredit SpA CEE UniCredit Bank AG Bank Austria
(42%)
Funding & Liquidity
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BBB/Negative/A2(1) Baa3/Stable/P3(1) BBB/Negative/F2(1) Senior Non Preferred T2 AT1 OBGI/OBGII (Ital CB)(5), (6) BBB/Negative/A2(1) (bbb)(2) Baa1/Stable/P2(1) (ba1)(2) BBB/Negative/F2(1) (bbb)(2) BBB- BB+ n.r. AA-/n.r. Baa3 Ba1 n.r. Aa3/Aa3 BBB BBB- B+ AA/n.r.
In Oct18 UniCredit S.p.A.’s outlook to negative in
line with Italy: Outlook might be revised to stable if UniCredit S.p.A. is likely to withstand hypothetical default of Italy. This could stem from, its declining direct exposures to Italy, ability to reduce further its NPEs in Italy and issuance of further loss-absorbing instruments as per funding plan
UniCredit S.p.A. is rated 2 notches higher than
further progress in reducing stock of NPL's and improving profitability on a sustainable basis meeting its 2019 targets. This would benefit the rating of SNP, Tier 2 and AT1 rating. In Oct 18, after Italy’s downgrade, outlook was revised to ‘stable’ from ‘positive’
UniCredit S.p.A. execution of the bank’s Transform
2019 plan has been good to date and where feasible has accelerated declared targets (e.g. NPL and FTE reductions, branch closures). Regarding asset quality, the discipline in new origination has strengthened. In Sep 18 the bank’s outlook has been aligned with Italian sovereign at ‘negative’ (previously ‘stable’) BBB+/Negative/A2(1) (bbb+)(2) A2(4)/Stable/P1(1) (baa2)(2) BBB+/Negative/F2(1) (bbb+)(2) BBB+/Negative/A2(1) (bbb+)(2) Baa1/Develop(3)/P2(1) (baa3)(2) Not rated
(1) Order: Long-Term Sr Unsecured Debt Rating / Outlook or Watch-Review / Short-Term Rating. (2) Stand-Alone Rating. (3) Outlook 'Developing' due to changes in the liability structure and uncertainty of the bank's future issuance activity, while deposit outlook 'positive'. (4) Deposit and Senior-Senior rating shown, while Junior Senior Debt at 'Baa3'. (5) Soft Bullet. (6) Conditional Pass Through.
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This Presentation may contain written and oral “forward-looking statements”, which includes all statements that do not relate solely to historical or current facts and which are therefore inherently uncertain. All forward-looking statements rely on a number of assumptions, expectations, projections and provisional data concerning future events and are subject to a number of uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of UniCredit S.p.A. (the “Company”). There are a variety of factors that may cause actual results and performance to be materially different from the explicit or implicit contents of any forward-looking statements and thus, such forward-looking statements are not a reliable indicator of future performance. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable law. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation are provided as at the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. Neither this Presentation nor any part of it nor the fact of its distribution may form the basis of, or be relied on or in connection with, any contract or investment decision. The information, statements and opinions contained in this Presentation are for information purposes only and do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments. None of the securities referred to herein have been, or will be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States or in Australia, Canada or Japan or any other jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be unlawful (the “Other Countries”), and there will be no public offer of any such securities in the United States. This Presentation does not constitute or form a part of any offer or solicitation to purchase or subscribe for securities in the United States or the Other Countries. Pursuant the consolidated law on financial intermediation of 24 February 1998 (article 154-bis, paragraph 2) Stefano Porro, in his capacity as manager responsible for the preparation of the Company’s financial reports declares that the accounting information contained in this Presentation reflects the UniCredit Group’s documented results, financial accounts and accounting records. This Presentation has been prepared on a voluntary basis since the financial disclosure additional to the half-year and annual ones is no longer compulsory pursuant to law 25/2016 in application of Directive 2013/50/EU, in order to grant continuity with the previous quarterly presentations. The UniCredit Group is therefore not bound to prepare similar presentations in the future, unless where provided by law. Neither the Company nor any member of the UniCredit Group nor any of its or their respective representatives, directors or employees accept any liability whatsoever in connection with this Presentation or any of its contents or in relation to any loss arising from its use or from any reliance placed upon it.
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