SLIDE 13 13
What is the natural rate of mutation? What is the natural rate of mutation?
Indirect methods:
1. Pairwise, or along a phylogeny. 1. Pairwise approach has lower power than using a known phylogeny 2. Unknown phylogeny has estimation errors 2. Define (assume) which sites are neutral 3. Choose a model and correct for multiple substitutions
Problems:
1. Errors with assumptions, models, tree. 2. Conversion of results to per generation units of time
What is the natural rate of mutation? What is the natural rate of mutation?
- In case 1, simply counting the number of changes as inferred under parsimony
might work, but the divergence (branch lengths) must be low.
- In case 2, the divergence is so large (branch lengths so long) that there are at least
two sources of error: (i) the uncertainty of the ancestral reconstruction; and (ii) how many substitutions actually occurred along a branch.
- In case 2, model based methods that provide a correction for multiple substitutions
at one site along a branch will provide better estimates of the rate.
ACG TAC TAA ACG TAT TAA ACG TAT TAA
C T
ACG TAC TAA ACG TAT TAA ACG TAT TAA
C T
? → A → G → T ? C → A → G → C ? Case 1 Case 2
Rooted phylogenies and ‘ancestral character-state reconstruction” can be used to indirectly infer the number and direction of substitutions.
Ancestral character states
Indirect methods: