Year End Results Presentation
For 12 months ended 30 September 2013
www.lifehealthcare.co.za
Year End Results Presentation For 12 months ended 30 September 2013 - - PDF document
Year End Results Presentation For 12 months ended 30 September 2013 www.lifehealthcare.co.za Agenda Group Group p Financial Financial Future Future Review Review Review Review Guidance Guidance Michael Flemming Michael Flemming
Year End Results Presentation
For 12 months ended 30 September 2013
www.lifehealthcare.co.za
Michael Flemming Pieter van der Westhuizen Michael Flemming Michael Flemming CEO Pieter van der Westhuizen CFO Michael Flemming CEO
2
PPD l h 2 7% – PPD volume growth 2.7% – Additional beds 95 – Good pipeline of beds for next 3 years
Growth
71.7%
28.1%
31 days
Efficiency
Sustainability
3
PPDs
2 100 2 200 PPDs 3 8% PPD 1 900 2 000 2 100
2.7% 6.1% 5 4%
3.8% PPD growth in H2 1 600 1 700 1 800
4.0% 5.4% 2.5%
1 400 1 500 1 600 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Bed growth
101 148 475 234 292 95
growth
4
Beds
Category New beds 2013 WIP beds Approved beds * Applications pending Capacity expansion at existing facilities 75 231 374 364 New facilities
150 338
*Approved : received Health department licence approval
and are in the process of obtaining Municipal approvals before commencing building
B d b d th t t k d t f ith t d d
5
Beds
Category New beds 2013 WIP beds Approved beds * Applications pending Capacity expansion at existing facilities 75 231 374 364 New facilities
150 338 NLB - Mental Health / 20 35 432 Acute Rehabilitation 20
432
*Approved : received Health department licence approval
and are in the process of obtaining Municipal approvals b f i b ildi before commencing building
6
Beds
Category New beds 2013 WIP beds Approved beds * Applications pending Capacity expansion at existing facilities 75 231 374 364 New facilities
150 338 Mental Health / 20 35 432 Acute Rehabilitation 20
432 Total 95 325 559 1 134
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Other
42 stations chronic stations added : 42 stations
122 stations
to 180 stations
361 444 350 400 450 500
CAGR : 37.2% R’000m
172 216 150 200 250 300 350 50 100 150 2010 2011 2012 2013
NLB Revenue
8
Other
gy providing both chemotherapy & radiosurgery
new R46m Novalis Radiosurgery machine g y which provides non-invasive shaped beam radiosurgery
the radiosurgery unit will open in Q1 2014
Affordable Maternity Product
maternity product O 50 ll d
2 additional facilities
9
Healthcare Services
(potential to add 40 paediatric beds)
831.0 636.0 674.0 748.0
600 800 CAGR : 9,3% R’000m 200 400 200 2010 2011 2012 2013 HCS Revenue
10
2010 2011 2012 2013
Bed Growth
Bed Operational beds Operational beds Unit Bed Capacity beds Sept 2013 beds Sept 2012
Existing Hospitals 1 080 1 040 1 014 New Hospitals: Shalimar Bagh 288 150 78 Mohali 204 141 95 Bathinda 205 56 83 Dehradun 201 89 48 Total new 898 436 304 C bi d t t l 1 943 1 476 1 318 Combined total 1 943 1 476 1,318
467 beds still to become operational
11
p
Occupancy
Bed Operational beds Operational beds Occupancy Occupancy at Unit Bed Capacity beds Sept 2013 beds Sept 2012 Occupancy Q2 2014 at 30 Sept 2013
Existing Hospitals 1 080 1 040 1 014 79.1% 85% New Hospitals: Shalimar Bagh 288 150 78 84.2% 100% Mohali 204 141 95 72.8% 80% Bathinda 205 56 83 56.6% 55% Dehradun 201 89 48 73.8% 73% Total new 898 436 304 74.7% 82% C bi d t t l 1 943 1 476 1 318 77 8% 84% Combined total 1 943 1 476 1,318 77.8% 84%
12
Ebitda Margin
g g p
28 30
%
28.1% 26 28 24.7% 26.0% 26.6% 22 24 20 2010 2011 2012 2013
13
Case Mix Impact
6%
Asthma
Incidence of Chronic Diseases of Lifestyle Amongst LHC Admissions
4% 5%
Asthma Coronary Artery Disease Diabetes Mellitus Type 2 Hyperlipidaemia
3% 4%
Diabetes Mellitus Type 1 Cardiac Failure Epilepsy H poth roidism
1% 2%
Hypothyroidism Dysrhytmias Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Chronic Renal Disease
0% 1% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Rheumatoid Arthritis HIV
to LHC facilities has doubled from 16% in 2003 to 33% in 2012
14
Effective use of assets
71.0 71.2 71.7 72
%
H2 occupancy: 74.3% 69.5 68 70 74.3% 64 66 2010 2011 2012 2013 9 24 2013: Bed Occupancy Split 13 21 2012: Bed Occupancy Split 27 40 24 13 24 42 21
< 60% 60 - 69% 70 - 79% 80%+
40 42
80%
Beds above 70% occupancy: 63% Beds above 70% occupancy: 64%
15
Administrative - Working capital management
55 54 54
55 60capital management
49 51 49
45 5031 days (2012: 30)
34 36
4029 days (2012: 29 days)
25.8 24 6 25.5 34 33 31 30 31
30 3525 days (2012: 25 days)
23.7 24.3 24.6 24.3
20 252008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Rigorous processes in place to ensure continuity of supply
008 009 0 0 0 3 Stock cover DSO Days payables outstanding
16
Programs
17.3
15 20 Rand depreciation
%
Cost of Sales inflation: 2.2%
5.9 2.2
5 10 Rand CPI LHC COS Rand depreciation CPI LHC COS Inflation
Fi i l b fit h d ith di l h
depreciation Inflation
Central Laundry
cost savings
17
Programs
Focus on driving standardisation, reduction in administrative costs & economies
technology the hospitals will benefit from a paperless real time billing process
14001 environmental certification
ti t A d ti f 3 illi k f CO i i t d t generation systems. A reduction of over 3 million kg of CO2 emissions to date
designed according to the new specifications - anticipate the hospital being 20% more efficient
18
Quality - Measuring clinical outcomes
Measure Outcome Sept 2013 Outcome Sept 2012 Standard Patient incident rate 3.24 3.80 Per 1,000 PPDs VAP (Ventilator Associated Pneumonias) 2.69 4.02 Per 1,000 VAP days SSI (S i l Sit I f ti ) 0 74 0 97 P 1 000 th t (Surgical Site Infections) 0.74 0.97 Per 1,000 theatre cases CLABSI (Central Line Associated Blood Stream Infections) 0.83 1.11 Per 1,000 central line days ) y CAUTI (Catheter-related Urinary Tract Infections) 0.57 0.68 Per 1,000 catheter days FIM/FAM Score 1.14 1.00 > 0.9
19
Regulatory environment
To date the final terms of reference have not been released by the CC. Expect early December 2013
all major stakeholders
co e t e e t e dust y, c ud g t e pub c secto a d
t e
doctor and insurance sectors
i th t t l i ffi i i f th i d t d k d ti t
remove them
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Skills development Category Description
Specialist training
Nurse training
Set up nursing academy in Delhi in conjunction with MHC. Focus on specialised nursing – critical care and theatre nurses.
Pharmacist training
in collaboration with NMMU
Management training
accredited UK based Institute of Leadership and Management (ILM) for accredited UK-based Institute of Leadership and Management (ILM) for Front Line Management
21
Pi t d W th i Pieter van der Westhuizen CFO
www.lifehealthcare.co.za
22
Revenue Growth Excellent normalised Strong cash generation Increased dividend Growth EPS growth generation dividend +17 4% +17 4% +17 4% +8 3% +8 3% +8 3% +12 2% +12 2% +12 2% To To To
Revenue +8 3% to R11 843m
+17.4% +17.4% +17.4% +8.3% +8.3% +8.3% +12.2% +12.2% +12.2% To 126 cps To 126 cps To 126 cps
Revenue +8.3% to R11 843m Operating profit +16.0% to R2 948m Profit before tax +17.5% to R2 833m EPS + 17.9% to 169.7 cents HEPS +20.6% to 169.7 cents Normalised EPS +17.4% to 162.1 cents Dividend +20.0% to 126.0 cps
Normalised earnings exclude non-trading related items such as profit/loss on disposal of businesses and PPE, impairment of intangibles and ti t f d l /d fi it
23
retirement fund surpluses/deficits.
Sept 2013 Sept 2012 %
R 11 843 10 937 8 3% Revenue 11 843 10 937 8.3% Normalised Ebitda 3 332 2 907 14.6% Normalised Ebitda margin 28.1% 26.6% g
2.7% increase in PPDs (3.8% increase in H2)
N li d Ebitd i
24
Medical / Surgical split Acute: Medical / Surgical split
52 54 56 46 48 50 40 42 44 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Surgical Medical
S f
25
Medical / Surgical split Acute: Medical / Surgical split Group: Medical / Surgical split
52 54 56 52 54 56 46 48 50 46 48 50 40 42 44 40 42 44 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Surgical Medical 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Surgical Medical
f
26
Revenue Normalised Ebitda
444
12000 14000 Hospital HCS NLB
2 907 3 332
3 200 3 600
CAGR : 15.3% CAGR : 10.5%
R’000 m R’000 m
636 674 748 831 172 216 361
8000 10000 12000
2 173 2548
2 000 2 400 2 800
7978 8922 9828 10568
2000 4000 6000 400 800 1 200 1 600
C
2010 2011 2012 2013 400 2010 2011 2012 2013
Hospital revenue includes other revenue
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Revenue breakdown 2010 2013
24.7% 2.7% 1.3% 8.9% 28.1% 10 2% 3.2% 1.1% 8.4% 12.1% 10.2% 16.7% 33 3% 15.7% 33.6% 33.3%
Normalised EBITDA Employee benefits expense COS Surgical COS Ethicals Occupational expenses Repairs and maintenance Other
Sept 2013 Sept 2012 % REVENUE 11 843 10 937 8.3% Normalised Ebitda 3 332 2 907 14.6% Normalised Ebitda margin 28 1% 26 6% Normalised Ebitda margin 28.1% 26.6% Operating profit 2 948 2 542 16.0% Associates 65 85 Attributable earnings 1 761 1 496 17.7%
JMH
Attributable earnings is defined as earnings attributable to ordinary shareholders
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Attributable earnings is defined as earnings attributable to ordinary shareholders
Sept 2013 Sept 2012 % EPS 169.7 143.9 17.9%
0.4 (0 4) (2.5) (0 7)
(0.4) (0.7) HEPS 169.7 140.7 20.6%
(6 0) (2 6) Retirement funds (6.0) (2.6)
(1.6)
162.1 138.1 17.4% Normalised EPS – excl. impact of MHC 170.1 144.2 18.0%
not form part of the EPS & HEPS calc lation If applied to 2013 EPS & HEPS
not form part of the EPS & HEPS calculation. If applied to 2013, EPS & HEPS would both be 163.7 cps respectively.
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Normalised EPS
138.1 162.1 160.0 180.0 CAGR: 20.5% 92 7 119.3 138.1 100 0 120.0 140.0 92.7 60.0 80.0 100.0 20.0 40.0
2011 2012 2013
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Segmental review
Sept 2013 Sept 2012 % REVENUE 11 843 10 937 8.3% Hospital division 11 010 10 185 8.1% Healthcare services 831 748 11.1% Healthcare services 831 748 11.1% Other 2 4
Good overall performance from HCS despite slightly softer H2
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Segmental review
Sept 2013 Sept 2012 % REVENUE 11 843 10 937 8.3% Hospital division 11 010 10 185 8.1% Healthcare services 831 748 11.1% Healthcare services 831 748 11.1% Other 2 4 Operating profit before amortisation, profit on disposals and impairment of intangible assets 2 982 2 598 14.8% Hospital division 2 694 2 242 20.2% Healthcare services 167 121 38.0% Other 121 235 (48.5)%
Operating profit in H2
Impairment charge in Life Esidimeni of R20m in 2012.
Streamlining of property structures and internal rentals
33
Other: Streamlining of property structures and internal rentals
Revenue Growth
350 350 Rs in Cr Rs in Cr 270 290 310 330 270 290 310 330 190 210 230 250 190 210 230 250 150 170 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Total 150 170 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Existing New
Revenue (Rs.Crore) H1 14 H1 13 % Q2 14 Q2 13 %
Revenue – Existing hospitals 528 484 9.1% 271 242 12.0% Revenue Existing hospitals 528 484 9.1% 271 242 12.0% Revenue – New hospitals 139 52 167.3% 78 32 143.8% Revenue Total 667 536 24.4% 349 274 27.4% Financial year end: March
34
Financial year end: March
Ebitda Growth
40 40 Rs in Cr Rs in Cr 20 30 10 20 30 10
Ebitd (R C ) H1 14 H1 13 % Q2 14 Q2 13 %
Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Total
Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Existing New
Ebitda (Rs.Crore) H1 14 H1 13 % Q2 14 Q2 13 %
Ebitda – Existing hospitals 58 48 17.2% 33 18 83.3% Ebitda – New hospitals (9) (23) 156% (1) (13) 1200% Ebitd T t l 47 25 88 0% 32 5 540% Ebitda - Total 47 25 88.0% 32 5 540% Ebitda margin – Existing hospitals 11.0% 9.9% 12.2% 7.4% Ebitda margin – Total hospitals 7.0% 4.7% 9.2% 1.8% Financial year end: March
35
Financial year end: March
120% 4 000 R 000m 103% 101% 105% 103% 100% 120% 3 000 3 500 4 000 60% 80% 2 000 2 500 3 000 2 233 2 562 3 042 3 414 40% 60% 1 000 1 500 2 000 0% 20% 500 1 000 % 2010 2011 2012 2013 Cash generated from operations Cash generated as % of normalised EBITDA
36
13% 14% 1 600 R 000m 13% 12% 14% 1 200 1 400 1 600 9% 8% 7% 8% 10% 800 1 000 1 200 813 780 1 433 829 4% 6% 400 600 800 813 780 0% 2% 200 400 % 2010 2011 2012 2013 Capex as a % of revenue
37
Capex
1000 R 000m 650 600 800 1000
105 111 488 650 200 400 600 Property for Life Peglerae extension
188 157 105 111 200 2012 2013
under Capex Capex Upgrades expansion Capex Maintenance Repairs & Maintenance
Excludes Capex spent on acquisitions
38
Assets
Sept 2013 Sept 2012 Movement NON-CURRENT ASSETS 8 343 7 771 572 PPE 4 518 4 010 508 Intangibles 2 084 2 181 (97) g ( ) Other 1 741 1 580 161 Current assets (excl cash) 1 327 1 239 88 Current assets (excl. cash) 1 327 1 239 88 Cash 300 246 54 Total assets 9 970 9 256 714
made to maintain current shareholding
39
Equity and liabilities
Sept 2013 Sept 2012 Movement TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY 5 607 4 878 729 Non-current liabilities 2 150 2 445 (295) Interest bearing borrowings 1 657 1 929 (272) g g ( ) Other non-current liabilities 493 516 (23) Current liabilities 2 213 1 933 280 Total equity and liabilities 9 970 9 256 714 Total equity and liabilities 9 970 9 256 714 Net debt (as per covenants) 2 115 2 205 (90) N t d bt t li d Ebitd ( t 3 ) 0 63 0 73 Net debt to normalised Ebitda (covenant 3 x) 0.63 0.73
preference shares p
40
Distributions Cents/share Rand % of Normalised EBITDA Cover* Interim 2012 45 R469 million 34.2% 1.47 Final 2012 60 R625 million 40.7% 1.34 Total 2012 105 R1 094 million 37.6% 1.39 Interim 2013 54 R563 million 36.4% 1.39 Final 2013 72 R750 million 42.1% 1.32 Total 2013 126 R1 313 million 39.4% 1.35
41
* Cover calculated on normalised EPS excluding amortisation
Dividends
39 4 45.0 2.00 162 1 180 Cents
%
34.7 37.6 39.4 30 0 35.0 40.0 1.40 1.60 1.80 119.3 138.1 162.1 120 140 160 1.92 1 50 1 39 24.9 20.0 25.0 30.0 0.80 1.00 1.20 92.7 85 105 126 80 100 120 1.50 1.39 1.35 5.0 10.0 15.0 0.20 0.40 0.60 52 20 40 60 0.0 0.00 2010 2011 2012 2013 Cover % Ebitda 2010 2011 2012 2013 Normalised EPS DPS
1.35 times
39.4%
20.5%
34.3%
N li d EPS l di ti ti
42
Normalised EPS excluding amortisation
Future Guidance
Mi h l Fl i Michael Flemming CEO
www.lifehealthcare.co.za
43
Time is right
1. Excellent Management team E i
44
Executive 16 years service
CEO Operational Management (3) Enabling Management (4) Support Management (4)
Finance and Admin Procurement Legal HR Company Secretarial Clinical Directorate Nursing and Pharmacy Strategy, Business Development, Funder Management & 2 Hospital Execs 1 Healthcare Services Exec Company Secretarial Information Management Management & Health Policy
Hospital Exec Inland Hospital Exec Coast HCS Exec Rms 17 years service RM WC RM KZN RM PE RM EL RM N RM C RM E RM W 750 beds 555 beds 1 403 beds 751 beds 1 482 beds 1 316 beds 784 beds 1 238 beds Life Occupational Health Life Esidimeni
45
Time is right
2. Primed for growth h it l b d
» Renal dialysis » Affordable maternity
46
Registered beds 2013
MP Beds 2013: 419 Botswana Total Beds 2013: 8 279 NW B d 2013 354 GTN Beds 2013: 132 Beds 2013: 354 GTN Beds 2013:3 617 KZN Beds 2013:1 403 FS Beds 2013: 298 WC B d 2013 750 EC Beds 2013: 298 Beds 2013: 750 EC Beds 2013:1 306
WIP beds 2013
MP Beds 2013: 419 WIP: 20 Botswana Total Beds 2013: 8 279 WIP: 325 T t l 8 604 NW B d 2013 354 GTN Beds 2013: 132 Total: 8 604 Beds 2013: 354 GTN Beds 2013:3 617 WIP: 106 KZN Beds 2013:1 403 WIP: 132 FS Beds 2013: 298 WC B d 2013 750 EC WIP: 132 Beds 2013: 298 WIP: 16 Beds 2013: 750 WIP: 12 EC Beds 2013:1 306 WIP: 39
Approved beds
MP Beds 2013: 419 WIP: 20 Botswana Total Beds 2013: 8 279 WIP: 325 A d 559 NW B d 2013 354 Approved: 95 GTN Beds 2013: 132 Approved: 559 Total: 9 163 Beds 2013: 354 Approved: 59 GTN Beds 2013: 3 617 WIP: 106 Approved: 23 KZN Beds 2013:1 403 WIP: 132 FS Beds 2013: 298 WC B d 2013 750 EC WIP: 132 Approved: 107 Beds 2013: 298 WIP: 16 Beds 2013: 750 WIP: 12 Approved: 235 EC Beds 2013:1 306 WIP: 39 Approved: 40
Licence Pending beds – 50%
MP Beds 2013: 419 WIP: 20 Botswana Total Beds 2013: 8 279 WIP: 325 A d 559 NW B d 2013 354 Approved: 95 Pending: 75 Total: 609 GTN Beds 2013: 132 Approved: 559 Pending: 567 Total: 9 730 Beds 2013: 354 Approved: 59 Pending: 23 Total: 436 GTN Beds 2013: 3 617 WIP: 106 Approved: 23 Pending: 209 KZN Beds 2013:1 403 WIP: 132 FS Beds 2013: 298 Total: 3 935 NC Pending: 75 WC B d 2013 750 EC WIP: 132 Approved: 107 Pending: 37 Total 1 679 Beds 2013: 298 WIP: 16 Total: 314 Beds 2013: 750 WIP: 12 Approved: 235 Pending: 10 Total: 1 004 EC Beds 2013:1 306 WIP: 39 Approved: 40 Pending: 138 T t l 1 524 Total: 1 524
Time is right
2. Primed for growth I t ti l
» India
q y g
» Africa
» Eastern Europe
51
Time is right
3. Culture of continuous efficiency improvement C t t f
y g y pp
» Blood gas
52
Time is right
4. Sustainability focus W ld l lit t t
» Measurement, reporting & benchmarking of clinical outcomes » Continually reviewing outcome measures
D t h h ldi d l
» Doctors hold a non-controlling interest in 54% of registered beds
» R78m 6 year specialist training investment » 920 nurses in training » 87 pharmacist assistants in training
53
Time is right
5. History of performance
3000 3500 Normalised Ebitda 12 000 14 000 Revenue Growth CAGR: CAGR: 1500 2000 2500 6 000 8 000 10 000 12.9% 19.4% 500 1000
4 000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Normalised Ebitda
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Revenue
54
Interim Results Presentation
For 12 months ended 30 September 2013
www.lifehealthcare.co.za
60 % 50 60 40 20 30 10 SA N America UK Europe Rest Sep-13 Mar-13 Sep 13 Mar 13
56
AMI Acute myocardial infarction HEPS Headline earnings per share AMS Antimicrobial stewardship ICU Intensive care unit Approved Received Health department licence approval. Have not commenced building MHQ 14 Mental Healthcare questionnaire 14 ARM Alternative reimbursement model NHI National Health Insurance CAUTI Catheter-related urinary tract infections Normalised Ebitda Earnings before interest, depreciation and amortisation (defined as
impairment of goodwill as well as excluding profit/loss on disposal
CC Competition Commission NPS Net promoter score CLABSI Central line associated bloodstream infections LOH Life Occupational Healthcare COE Centre of excellence PPD Paid patient day COID Compensation for occupational injuries and diseases PROMS Patient reported outcomes measures DSO Days sales outstanding SSI Surgical site infections EBITDA Earnings before interest, depreciation and amortisation STC Secondary tax on companies FIM/FAM Functional Independence measure Functional assessment measure VAP Ventilator associated pneumonia HAI Health associated infections WIP Work in progress
57
p g
History
Phase Time Period Event
C ti 1983 Af i d A d 4 h it l Creation 1983
Phase 1 growth 1985 - 1998
mental health nit mental health unit
Opened 1st acute rehabilitation unit
Listing 1999
to Afrox Healthcare Ltd Started management of Lifecare (now Life Esidimeni)
Phase 2 growth 2000 - 2004
Acquisition of Amahosp group (4 hospitals)
58
History
Phase Time Period Event
D li ti d 2005 2009 D li t d Af H lth De-listing and phase 3 growth 2005 - 2009
B ilt Lif F
f G Re-listing and phase 4 growth 2010 -
O d Lif Gl i Lif St J h d Lif P t i
mental health units
A i d 26% h i M H lth I tit t (MHC)
59
Growth in members
Medical scheme lives
000 8 500 9 000 000 7 000 7 500 8 000 6 000 6 500 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Comment
Source: Council of Medical Schemes
St o g g o t co e ed es s ce 00
and Boncap
60
Source: Council of Medical Schemes
Middle class lives
000 7 500 8 000 8 500 9 000 000 5 500 6 000 6 500 7 000 7 500 4 000 4 500 5 000 5 500 2004 2008 2012
Comment
Source: UCT Unilever Institute of Strategic Marketing
dd e c ass de ed as a adu t g a
t co e bet ee 6,000 and R50,000 per month
61
Source: UCT Unilever Institute of Strategic Marketing
Earnings breakdown of members
Individual taxpayers using medical expenses deduction in 2009
R0 and less, 2.1% R1 to R2,500pm, 2.2% R2,501 to R5,000pm, 5.9% R33,334 to R441,667pm, R41,668 to R62,500pm, 3.5% R62,501 and over, 2.4% , , p , R5,001 to R7,500pm, 11.2% R25,001 to R33,333pm, 7.1% 33,33 to ,66 p , 3.6% R7,501 to R10,000pm, 14.2% R16,668 to R25,000pm, 15.3% R10,001 to R12,500pm, 15.1% R12,50` to R16,667pm, 17.3% Source: IMSA Policy brief 21
Comment
62
Little over half of all members using tax deduction earn under R12,500 per month
Worldwide
63
Global Burden of Disease Report - WHO
South Africa
Germany
Diseases as % of total burden
Brazil Ghana Indonesia USA UK Germany
Nearly 40% share of HIV/AIDS in total disease burden (very high even for developing countries)
major causes of death
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% South Africa
HIV/Aids Other Communicable Non-communicable Injuries
g g population
disease such as heart disease, cancer and diabetes
Source: Econex calculations from WHO 2009 data
40 000 50 000 0 of the
burden, even compared with developing countries
Burden of disease vs. other countries
Developing markets Developed markets
10 000 20 000 30 000 S G C S C G DALY's/100,000 populatio
countries
continue to grow despite strong government funding for treatment & prevention programmes
SA Ghana Indonesia Thailand Brazil Colombia Tunisia USA UK Canada Germany
sick people who are also sicker than those in other countries
Source: Econex calculations from WHO 2009 data
On average South Africa’s disease burden is 2x larger than in developing countries and 4x larger than in developed countries
64
than in developed countries
Growth in Chronic, Cancer, HIV/AIDS
The burden of CDL Chronic Diseases, Cancer and HIV/AIDS in South Africa, 1985 to 2025
65
Source: IMSA
Ageing
13.9% in 2005)
g g y p g p p g average for patients under 50
South African population by age South African population by age
74+ 70–74 63–73 60–64 53–63
10.4 m 6.7 m
53 63 50–54 43–53 40–44 33–43 30–34 25–33 20 24
7.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 7.0
20–24 15–23 10–14 5–13 0–4
2005A 2030E
Source: UN Population Division.
TOTAL: 48.1 m 54.7 m
Inexorable demographic trends: Ageing population and growing share of pensionable citizens are helping drive demand for hospital services
66
helping drive demand for hospital services