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Weighted dependency graphs Valentin Fray Institut fr Mathematik, Universitt Zrich Final conference of the MADACA project Domaine de Chals, June 20th June 24th 2016 V. Fray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 201606 1


  1. Weighted dependency graphs Valentin Féray Institut für Mathematik, Universität Zürich Final conference of the MADACA project Domaine de Chalès, June 20th – June 24th 2016 V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 1 / 26

  2. Central limit theorems Theorem If Y 1 , Y 2 , . . . are independent identically distributed variables with finite variance, and X n = � n i = 1 Y i , then d X n − E ( X n ) → N ( 0 , 1 ) . (CLT) √ Var X n V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 2 / 26

  3. Central limit theorems Theorem If Y 1 , Y 2 , . . . are independent identically distributed variables with finite variance, and X n = � n i = 1 Y i , then d X n − E ( X n ) → N ( 0 , 1 ) . (CLT) √ Var X n Relax identical distribution hypothesis − → Lindeberg condition. V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 2 / 26

  4. Central limit theorems Theorem If Y 1 , Y 2 , . . . are independent identically distributed variables with finite variance, and X n = � n i = 1 Y i , then d X n − E ( X n ) → N ( 0 , 1 ) . (CLT) √ Var X n Relax identical distribution hypothesis − → Lindeberg condition. Relax independence hypothesis: leads to CLT for Markov chains, martingales, mixing sequences, exchangeable pairs, determinantal point processes, dependency graphs, . . . V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 2 / 26

  5. Central limit theorems Theorem If Y 1 , Y 2 , . . . are independent identically distributed variables with finite variance, and X n = � n i = 1 Y i , then d X n − E ( X n ) → N ( 0 , 1 ) . (CLT) √ Var X n Relax identical distribution hypothesis − → Lindeberg condition. Relax independence hypothesis: leads to CLT for Markov chains, martingales, mixing sequences, exchangeable pairs, determinantal point processes, dependency graphs, . . . Goal of the talk: give an extension of dependency graphs that has a wide range of application. V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 2 / 26

  6. Dependency graphs Dependency graphs (Petrovskaya/Leontovich, Janson, Baldi/Rinott, Mikhailov, 80’s) V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 3 / 26

  7. Dependency graphs A problem in random graphs 2 3 1 Erdős-Rényi model of random graphs G ( n , p ) : G has n vertices labelled 1,. . . , n ; 4 8 each edge { i , j } is taken independently with probability p ; 5 7 6 Example : n = 8 , p = 1 / 2 V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 4 / 26

  8. Dependency graphs A problem in random graphs 2 3 1 Erdős-Rényi model of random graphs G ( n , p ) : G has n vertices labelled 1,. . . , n ; 4 8 each edge { i , j } is taken independently with probability p ; 5 7 6 Example : n = 8 , p = 1 / 2 Question Fix p ∈ ( 0 ; 1 ) . Does the number of triangles T n satisfy a CLT? V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 4 / 26

  9. Dependency graphs A problem in random graphs 2 3 1 Erdős-Rényi model of random graphs G ( n , p ) : G has n vertices labelled 1,. . . , n ; 4 8 each edge { i , j } is taken independently with probability p ; 5 7 6 Example : n = 8 , p = 1 / 2 Question Fix p ∈ ( 0 ; 1 ) . Does the number of triangles T n satisfy a CLT? � � 1 if G contains the triangle ∆ ; T n = Y ∆ , where Y ∆ ( G ) = 0 otherwise. ∆= { i , j , k }⊂ [ n ] T n is a sum of mostly independent variables. V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 4 / 26

  10. Dependency graphs Dependency graphs Definition (Petrovskaya and Leontovich, 1982, Janson, 1988) A graph L with vertex set A is a dependency graph for the family { Y α , α ∈ A } if if A 1 and A 2 are disconnected subsets in L , then { Y α , α ∈ A 1 } and { Y α , α ∈ A 2 } are independent. Roughly: there is an edge between pairs of dependent random variables. V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 5 / 26

  11. Dependency graphs Dependency graphs Definition (Petrovskaya and Leontovich, 1982, Janson, 1988) A graph L with vertex set A is a dependency graph for the family { Y α , α ∈ A } if if A 1 and A 2 are disconnected subsets in L , then { Y α , α ∈ A 1 } and { Y α , α ∈ A 2 } are independent. Roughly: there is an edge between pairs of dependent random variables. Example � [ n ] � Consider G = G ( n , p ) . Let A = { ∆ ∈ } (set of potential triangles) and 3 { ∆ 1 , ∆ 2 } ∈ E L iff ∆ 1 and ∆ 2 share an edge in G . � [ n ] � Then L is a dependency graph for the family { Y ∆ , ∆ ∈ } . 3 V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 5 / 26

  12. Dependency graphs Dependency graphs Definition (Petrovskaya and Leontovich, 1982, Janson, 1988) A graph L with vertex set A is a dependency graph for the family { Y α , α ∈ A } if if A 1 and A 2 are disconnected subsets in L , then { Y α , α ∈ A 1 } and { Y α , α ∈ A 2 } are independent. Roughly: there is an edge between pairs of dependent random variables. ✞ ☎ Note: L has degree O ( n ) Example ✝ ✆ � [ n ] � Consider G = G ( n , p ) . Let A = { ∆ ∈ } (set of potential triangles) and 3 { ∆ 1 , ∆ 2 } ∈ E L iff ∆ 1 and ∆ 2 share an edge in G . � [ n ] � Then L is a dependency graph for the family { Y ∆ , ∆ ∈ } . 3 V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 5 / 26

  13. Dependency graphs Janson’s normality criterion Setting: for each n , { Y n , i , 1 ≤ i ≤ N n } is a family of bounded random variables; | Y n , i | < M a.s. we have a dependency graph L n with maximal degree ∆ n − 1. we set X n = � N n i = 1 Y n , i and σ 2 n = Var ( X n ) . V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 6 / 26

  14. Dependency graphs Janson’s normality criterion Setting: for each n , { Y n , i , 1 ≤ i ≤ N n } is a family of bounded random variables; | Y n , i | < M a.s. we have a dependency graph L n with maximal degree ∆ n − 1. we set X n = � N n i = 1 Y n , i and σ 2 n = Var ( X n ) . Theorem (Janson, 1988) � � 1 / s ∆ n N n σ n → 0 for some integer s . Then X n satisfies a CLT. Assume that ∆ n V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 6 / 26

  15. Dependency graphs Janson’s normality criterion Setting: for each n , { Y n , i , 1 ≤ i ≤ N n } is a family of bounded random variables; | Y n , i | < M a.s. we have a dependency graph L n with maximal degree ∆ n − 1. we set X n = � N n i = 1 Y n , i and σ 2 n = Var ( X n ) . Theorem (Janson, 1988) � � 1 / s ∆ n N n σ n → 0 for some integer s . Then X n satisfies a CLT. Assume that ∆ n � n � , ∆ n = O ( n ) , while σ n ≍ n 2 . (for fixed p ) For triangles, N n = 3 Corollary Fix p in ( 0 , 1 ) . Then T n satisfies a CLT. (also true for p n → 0 with np n → ∞ ; originally proved by Rucinski, 1988). V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 6 / 26

  16. Dependency graphs Applications of dependency graphs to CLT results mathematical modelization of cell populations (Petrovskaya, Leontovich, 82); subgraph counts in random graphs (Janson, Baldi, Rinott, Penrose, 88, 89, 95, 03); Geometric probability (Avram, Bertsimas, Penrose, Yukich, Bárány, Vu, 93, 05 , 07); pattern occurrences in random permutations (Bóna, Janson, Hitchenko, Nakamura, Zeilberger, 07, 09, 14). m -dependence (Hoeffding, Robbins, 53, . . . ; now widely used in statistics) is a special case. (Some of these applications use variants of Janson’s normality criterion, which are more technical to state and omitted here. . . ) V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 7 / 26

  17. Dependency graphs Not an application of dependency graphs Random graph G ( n , M ) : 2 G has n vertices labelled 1,. . . , n ; 3 1 The edge-set of G is taken uniformly 4 8 among all possible edge-sets of cardinality M . 5 7 Example with n = 8 and M = 14 6 V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 8 / 26

  18. Dependency graphs Not an application of dependency graphs Random graph G ( n , M ) : 2 G has n vertices labelled 1,. . . , n ; 3 1 The edge-set of G is taken uniformly 4 8 among all possible edge-sets of cardinality M . 5 7 Example with n = 8 and M = 14 6 � n � If p = M / , each edge appears with probability p , but no independence 2 any more! V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 8 / 26

  19. Dependency graphs Not an application of dependency graphs Random graph G ( n , M ) : 2 G has n vertices labelled 1,. . . , n ; 3 1 The edge-set of G is taken uniformly 4 8 among all possible edge-sets of cardinality M . 5 7 Example with n = 8 and M = 14 6 � n � If p = M / , each edge appears with probability p , but no independence 2 any more! Question � n � Fix p ∈ ( 0 ; 1 ) and M = p . Does the number of triangles T n in 2 G ( n , M n ) satisfy a CLT? V. Féray (UZH) Weighted dependency graphs Macada, 2016–06 8 / 26

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