Understanding Quality Control:
A Process Improvement Perspective
Robert L. Schmidt MD, PhD, MBA Lauren N Pearson DO, MPH
Understanding Quality Control: A Process Improvement Perspective - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Understanding Quality Control: A Process Improvement Perspective Robert L. Schmidt MD, PhD, MBA Lauren N Pearson DO, MPH DISCLOSURE: Robert Schmidt In the past 12 months, I have not had any significant financial interest or other relationship
A Process Improvement Perspective
Robert L. Schmidt MD, PhD, MBA Lauren N Pearson DO, MPH
Knowledge Skills Key Concepts Underlying QC Stability Capability Common Cause Variation Assignable Cause Variation Long vs Short Term Variation Controllability How to calculate control limits correctly The improvement cycle How to assess patterns in a control chart Compliance vs Improvement How to tell whether your control plan can detect important errors
improvement
provides an example at ARUP
Monitor Analytical Performance Drive System-Wide Quality Improvement Prevent Failures
6 8 10 12 14 20 40 60 80 100 time, t
mean==10, sd==1
Process Behavior Chart
Process behavior chart answers this question: Is this process stable?
6 8 10 12 14 20 40 60 80 100 time, t
mean==10, sd==1
Process Behavior Chart
Measurement System Result, Y
Why do measurements vary?
6 8 10 12 14 20 40 60 80 100 time, t
mean==10, sd==1
Process Behavior Chart
Measurement System Result, Y Output Inputs X1 X2 X137
mean==10, sd==1
Process Behavior Chart
Measurement System Result, Y Output Inputs X1 X2 X137
X1 20 40 60 80 100 t X2 20 40 60 80 100 t X137 20 40 60 80 100 tvariation in QC results
Common Cause Variation
Measurement System Result, Y Output Input
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 x3 20 40 60 80 100 t 12 14 16 18 20 22 y2 20 40 60 80 100 t
Measurement System Result, Y Output Input
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 x3 20 40 60 80 100 t 12 14 16 18 20 22 y2 20 40 60 80 100 t
contain a pattern
normal operation of the process
assignable cause
unstable
Measurement System Result, Y Output Input
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 x3 20 40 60 80 100 t 12 14 16 18 20 22 y2 20 40 60 80 100 tProcess Monitoring Signal Process Knowledge
6 8 10 12 14 20 40 60 80 100 time, t
mean==10, sd==1
Process Behavior Chart
Common Cause Variation
What does a controlled process look like?
Short-term vs Long term Variation
1 2 x
2 4
1 2 x
A B C
Stable process Unstable process: shifts Unstable process: drift
D E F
Stable mean Unstable variance Unstable mean Unstable variance Unstable mean Unstable variance
A B C
Variance estimate short long
1 1 1 2.4 1 3.1
Short-term vs long-term variation
B
Form “rational subgroups”
𝑡𝑒 =
ത 𝑆 𝑒2
B
Form groups using successive values (moving range)
𝑆𝑗 = |𝑌𝑗 - 𝑌𝑗−1| 𝑡𝑒 =
ത 𝑆 𝑒2
Actual short-term sd = 1.0 Estimated short-term sd 1.06 Long-term sd= 2.4
20 40 60 80 100 120 20 40 60 80 100 120
U/mL
0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 0.12 0.14 0.16 20 40 60 80 100 120
Assay X – in control Assay Y – out of control
Statistic Assay X Assay Y Number of observations 123 123 mean 69.6 0.072 Average moving range ( ത 𝑆) 16.8 0.021 Short-term (ST) standard deviation (df) 14.9 (76) 0.015 (76) Long-term (LT) standard deviation (df) 15.9 (122) 0.020 (122) Ratio LT/ST 1.07 1.30 F statistic (SR statistic) 1.13 1.69 P value 0.27 0.007
NO!
𝑚𝑝𝑜−𝑢𝑓𝑠𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑝𝑠𝑢−𝑢𝑓𝑠𝑛 ~ 1.0
YES!
𝑚𝑝𝑜−𝑢𝑓𝑠𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑝𝑠𝑢−𝑢𝑓𝑠𝑛 ~ 1.3
Assay X
.2 .4 .6
2 4
Assay Y
.2 .4 .6
2 4
Assay X Assay Y
5 10 15 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 Ratio of variation, Long-term estimate/Short-term estimate
𝑚𝑝𝑜−𝑢𝑓𝑠𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑝𝑠𝑢−𝑢𝑓𝑠𝑛 for 95 assays ......
7 8 9 10 11 12
𝑏𝑚𝑚𝑝𝑥𝑏𝑐𝑚𝑓 𝑤𝑏𝑠𝑗𝑏𝑢𝑗𝑝𝑜 𝑏𝑑𝑢𝑣𝑏𝑚 𝑤𝑏𝑠𝑗𝑏𝑢𝑗𝑝𝑜
𝑉𝑇𝑀−𝑀𝑇𝑀 σ
Lower Specification Limit Upper Specification Limit Target LSL USL
5 10 15 20
Target
7 8 9 10 11 12
Not Capable (imprecision) Capable
10 11 12 13 14 15
Not Capable (bias)
bias TEa
s
Units Unacceptable results
𝐷𝑏𝑞𝑏𝑐𝑗𝑚𝑗𝑢𝑧 = 𝑡𝑗𝑛𝑏 = 𝑈𝐹𝑏 − 𝑐𝑗𝑏𝑡 𝑡 = 𝑏𝑚𝑚𝑝𝑥𝑏𝑐𝑚𝑓 𝑤𝑏𝑠𝑗𝑏𝑢𝑗𝑝𝑜 𝑏𝑑𝑢𝑣𝑏𝑚 𝑤𝑏𝑠𝑗𝑏𝑗𝑝𝑜
Capability (sigma) errors > TEa 1 35% 2 16% 3 3.3% 4 0.3% 5 0.01% 6 0.00015%
The Stability-Capability Matrix The dotted lines represent acceptable levels of stability and capability. Each circle represents an assay (numbered 1 to 6). The size of the circle corresponds to the annual volume of the assay. A B C D
Stability-Capability Matrix
A B C D
Unstable Stable Capable Not Capable
Stability-Capability Matrix
A B C D
Unstable Stable Capable Not Capable
Stability-Capability Matrix
A B C D
Unstable Stable Capable Not Capable
Stability-Capability Matrix
A B C D
Unstable Stable Capable Not Capable
Stability-Capability Matrix
A B C D
Unstable Stable Capable Not Capable
bias TEa s ΔS
Unacceptable errors
bias
Result
Σ𝑥
Σ𝑑
3 sigma limit
𝑔𝑠 = probability of false rejection
No shift Small shift Big shift
3 sigma limit
Probability of Detection 1.0
Power Curve
Shift Size 0.5 3s
Probability of false rejection
Shift Size ΔS
Shift Size ΔS
Shift Size ΔS
Effect of repeat controls
0.000 0.200 0.400 0.600 0.800 1.000
1 2 3 4 5
Shift size Probability of Detection
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1 2 3 4 5
Shift size Probability of Detection
Increasing Variation
Effect of Variation on Power (R =1)
Δ𝑑𝑠𝑗𝑢
Maximum Unacceptable
bias Σ𝑥𝑡
TEa
Shift Size ΔS
QC Plan 1 QC Plan 2
you can detect the changes you need to detect
𝑡 𝑈𝐹𝑏
1.0
𝑐𝑗𝑏𝑡 𝑈𝐹𝑏
1.0
1 ∆𝑇𝑓𝑒 + Σ𝑥
Allowable imprecision,
𝑡 𝑈𝐹𝑏
1.0
Allowable bias, 𝑐𝑗𝑏𝑡
𝑈𝐹𝑏
1.0 1.0 Controllable region Line for QC rule (from Power Chart)
A B
Operating point
Allowable imprecision,
𝑡 𝑈𝐹𝑏
1.0
Allowable bias, 𝑐𝑗𝑏𝑡
𝑈𝐹𝑏
1.0 1.0
Rule 1 (QC plan) Rule 2 Rule 3
A B C D
Stable Process Capability (In-control Risk) Controllability (Out-of-control Risk) Power Curve
Size of Shift We Can Detect QC Plan Critical Shift Common Cause Variation Common Cause Variation
𝑡 𝑈𝐹𝑏
1.0
𝑐𝑗𝑏𝑡 𝑈𝐹𝑏
1.0
Measurement System Result, Y Output Input
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 x3 20 40 60 80 100 t 12 14 16 18 20 22 y2 20 40 60 80 100 tProcess Monitoring Signal Process Knowledge
Wheeler, DJ. Understanding Variation: the key to managing chaos SPC Press, 1993. ISBN-10: 9780945320531
Montgomery, DC. Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th ed Wiley, 2012 ISBN-10: 9781118146811
Wheeler DJ, Chambers DS. Understanding Statistical Process Control, 2nd ed. SPC Press, 1992 ISBN-10: 0945320132
Robert.Schmid idt@hsc.utah.edu Lau Lauren.Pearson@aruplab.com
Other references: Ramirez B, Runger G. Quantitative techniques to evaluate process stability. Qual Eng 2006; 18:53-68. Cruthis EN, Rigdon SE. Comparing Two Estimates of the Variance to determine the Stability of a
Wooluru Y, Swamy D, Nagesh P. Approaches for Detection of Unstable Processes: A Comparative Study. Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods 2015; 14:17 Boyles RA. Estimating common-cause sigma in the presence of special causes. Journal of Quality Technology 1997; 29:381-395 Schmidt RL, Walker BS, Pearson LN. Quality control limits: Are we setting them too wide? Clin Chim Acta 2018; 486:329-334.