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Understanding Quality Control: A Process Improvement Perspective Robert L. Schmidt MD, PhD, MBA Lauren N Pearson DO, MPH DISCLOSURE: Robert Schmidt In the past 12 months, I have not had any significant financial interest or other relationship


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Understanding Quality Control:

A Process Improvement Perspective

Robert L. Schmidt MD, PhD, MBA Lauren N Pearson DO, MPH

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DISCLOSURE: Robert Schmidt In the past 12 months, I have not had any significant financial interest or other relationship with the manufacturers of the products or providers of the services that will be discussed in my presentation.

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DISCLOSURE: Lauren Pearson In the past 12 months, I have not had any significant financial interest or other relationship with the manufacturers of the products or providers of the services that will be discussed in my presentation.

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Understanding Quality Control A process improvement perspective

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Inspecting poor quality out Building quality in

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Inspecting poor quality out Building quality in Compliance: Improvement:

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Inspecting poor quality out Building quality in Compliance: Improvement: Immediate perspective Long-term perspective

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What you will learn:

Knowledge Skills Key Concepts Underlying QC Stability Capability Common Cause Variation Assignable Cause Variation Long vs Short Term Variation Controllability How to calculate control limits correctly The improvement cycle How to assess patterns in a control chart Compliance vs Improvement How to tell whether your control plan can detect important errors

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Background and Motivation

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Im Impact of f QC Im Improvement TTE Lab

  • 74.5% Reduction in Troubleshooting Time
  • 43% Reduction Labor Cost
  • 50% Improvement in Turnaround Time
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How did they do it?

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QC- Opportunity for Process Improvement?

  • Compliance versus process

improvement

  • Remove bad quality
  • Reduce variation
  • Reduce costs
  • Toxicology and Trace Elements (TTE)

provides an example at ARUP

  • Reduced costs, increased capacity

Monitor Analytical Performance Drive System-Wide Quality Improvement Prevent Failures

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Three key questions:

  • 1. Stable?
  • 2. Capable?
  • 3. Controllable?
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6 8 10 12 14 20 40 60 80 100 time, t

mean==10, sd==1

Process Behavior Chart

Process behavior chart answers this question: Is this process stable?

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6 8 10 12 14 20 40 60 80 100 time, t

mean==10, sd==1

Process Behavior Chart

Measurement System Result, Y

Why do measurements vary?

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6 8 10 12 14 20 40 60 80 100 time, t

mean==10, sd==1

Process Behavior Chart

Measurement System Result, Y Output Inputs X1 X2 X137

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SLIDE 17 6 8 10 12 14 20 40 60 80 100 time, t

mean==10, sd==1

Process Behavior Chart

Measurement System Result, Y Output Inputs X1 X2 X137

X1 20 40 60 80 100 t X2 20 40 60 80 100 t X137 20 40 60 80 100 t

Input variation Output variation

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  • Multiple inputs combine to produce the final result
  • Temperatures, concentrations, etc.
  • Most are unobserved but usually cause small variation
  • This variation is intrinsic to the process and causes the natural

variation in QC results

  • Best achievable assay performance
  • Exhibits no patterns e.g. shifts or trends
  • Output is random but predictable

Common Cause Variation

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Measurement System Result, Y Output Input

Input variation Output variation

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 x3 20 40 60 80 100 t 12 14 16 18 20 22 y2 20 40 60 80 100 t

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Measurement System Result, Y Output Input

Assignable Cause Variation

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 x3 20 40 60 80 100 t 12 14 16 18 20 22 y2 20 40 60 80 100 t

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Assignable Cause Variation

  • A process becomes unstable and produces results that are unusual or

contain a pattern

  • The output no longer represents common cause variation
  • Input is extrinsic to the process and reflects a change that is outside the

normal operation of the process

  • Change in output can be linked (in theory) to a particular input, or

assignable cause

  • Challenge is to identify that input or cause!
  • When present, the process is not operating as designed and is

unstable

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How do you achieve process control?

  • 1. Identify causes of assignable cause variation
  • 2. Eliminate variation in key inputs (control)

Requires process knowledge Ability to relate output signals to inputs Process Behavior Chart is the key

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Measurement System Result, Y Output Input

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 x3 20 40 60 80 100 t 12 14 16 18 20 22 y2 20 40 60 80 100 t

Process Monitoring Signal Process Knowledge

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6 8 10 12 14 20 40 60 80 100 time, t

mean==10, sd==1

Process Behavior Chart

Common Cause Variation

  • Process is stable
  • No assignable causes
  • No pattern in the data
  • Process is in “statistical control”
  • Basis for control chart

What does a controlled process look like?

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Stability Assessment

Short-term vs Long term Variation

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Control Chart: Basic Tool for Stability Assessment

  • 3
  • 2
  • 1

1 2 x

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Two parameters of interest:

  • 1. Location
  • 2. Dispersion
  • 4
  • 2

2 4

  • 3
  • 2
  • 1

1 2 x

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A B C

Stable process Unstable process: shifts Unstable process: drift

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D E F

Stable mean Unstable variance Unstable mean Unstable variance Unstable mean Unstable variance

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A B C

Variance estimate short long

1 1 1 2.4 1 3.1

Short-term vs long-term variation

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Measuring Short Term Variability

B

Form “rational subgroups”

  • 1. Measure sd for each group
  • 2. Measure range for each group

𝑡𝑒 =

ത 𝑆 𝑒2

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Measuring Short Term Variability

B

Form groups using successive values (moving range)

𝑆𝑗 = |𝑌𝑗 - 𝑌𝑗−1| 𝑡𝑒 =

ത 𝑆 𝑒2

Actual short-term sd = 1.0 Estimated short-term sd 1.06 Long-term sd= 2.4

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SR Ratio=

𝑚𝑝𝑜𝑕 𝑢𝑓𝑠𝑛 𝑤𝑏𝑠𝑗𝑏𝑢𝑗𝑝𝑜 𝑡ℎ𝑝𝑠𝑢 𝑢𝑓𝑠𝑛 𝑤𝑏𝑠𝑗𝑏𝑢𝑗𝑝𝑜

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20 40 60 80 100 120 20 40 60 80 100 120

U/mL

0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 0.12 0.14 0.16 20 40 60 80 100 120

Assay X – in control Assay Y – out of control

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Statistic Assay X Assay Y Number of observations 123 123 mean 69.6 0.072 Average moving range ( ത 𝑆) 16.8 0.021 Short-term (ST) standard deviation (df) 14.9 (76) 0.015 (76) Long-term (LT) standard deviation (df) 15.9 (122) 0.020 (122) Ratio LT/ST 1.07 1.30 F statistic (SR statistic) 1.13 1.69 P value 0.27 0.007

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Which assay can we improve?

NO!

𝑚𝑝𝑜𝑕−𝑢𝑓𝑠𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑝𝑠𝑢−𝑢𝑓𝑠𝑛 ~ 1.0

YES!

𝑚𝑝𝑜𝑕−𝑢𝑓𝑠𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑝𝑠𝑢−𝑢𝑓𝑠𝑛 ~ 1.3

Assay X

.2 .4 .6

  • 4
  • 2

2 4

Assay Y

.2 .4 .6

  • 4
  • 2

2 4

Assay X Assay Y

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5 10 15 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 Ratio of variation, Long-term estimate/Short-term estimate

𝑚𝑝𝑜𝑕−𝑢𝑓𝑠𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑝𝑠𝑢−𝑢𝑓𝑠𝑛 for 95 assays ......

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Control charts should be based on short-term variation!!

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Stability - Key Ideas

  • Variation
  • Assignable Cause
  • Common Cause
  • How to assess stability
  • How to assess potential for improvement
  • How to construct control charts
  • Short term or common cause variation
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Three key questions:

  • 1. Stable?
  • 2. Capable?
  • 3. Controllable?
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7 8 9 10 11 12

Process Capability =

𝑏𝑚𝑚𝑝𝑥𝑏𝑐𝑚𝑓 𝑤𝑏𝑠𝑗𝑏𝑢𝑗𝑝𝑜 𝑏𝑑𝑢𝑣𝑏𝑚 𝑤𝑏𝑠𝑗𝑏𝑢𝑗𝑝𝑜

=

𝑉𝑇𝑀−𝑀𝑇𝑀 σ

Lower Specification Limit Upper Specification Limit Target LSL USL

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5 10 15 20

Process Capability

Target

7 8 9 10 11 12

Not Capable (imprecision) Capable

10 11 12 13 14 15

Not Capable (bias)

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bias TEa

s

Units Unacceptable results

𝐷𝑏𝑞𝑏𝑐𝑗𝑚𝑗𝑢𝑧 = 𝑡𝑗𝑕𝑛𝑏 = 𝑈𝐹𝑏 − 𝑐𝑗𝑏𝑡 𝑡 = 𝑏𝑚𝑚𝑝𝑥𝑏𝑐𝑚𝑓 𝑤𝑏𝑠𝑗𝑏𝑢𝑗𝑝𝑜 𝑏𝑑𝑢𝑣𝑏𝑚 𝑤𝑏𝑠𝑗𝑏𝑗𝑝𝑜

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Capability tells us whether a stable process can perform according to requirements

Capability (sigma) errors > TEa 1 35% 2 16% 3 3.3% 4 0.3% 5 0.01% 6 0.00015%

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Prioritizing Im Improvement Projects: The Capability-Stability Matrix

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The Stability-Capability Matrix The dotted lines represent acceptable levels of stability and capability. Each circle represents an assay (numbered 1 to 6). The size of the circle corresponds to the annual volume of the assay. A B C D

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Stability-Capability Matrix

A B C D

Unstable Stable Capable Not Capable

STABILITY, ST/LT CAPABILITY

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Stability-Capability Matrix

A B C D

Unstable Stable Capable Not Capable

STABILITY, ST/LT CAPABILITY

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Stability-Capability Matrix

A B C D

Unstable Stable Capable Not Capable

STABILITY, ST/LT CAPABILITY

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Stability-Capability Matrix

A B C D

Unstable Stable Capable Not Capable

STABILITY, ST/LT CAPABILITY

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Stability-Capability Matrix

A B C D

Unstable Stable Capable Not Capable

STABILITY, ST/LT CAPABILITY

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Three key questions:

  • 1. Stable?
  • 2. Capable?
  • 3. Controllable?
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bias TEa s ΔS

Unacceptable errors

bias

Result

Σ𝑥

What is the maximum shift we can accept?

Σ𝑑

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Controllability

  • Ability to detect an important shift in the mean
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Big shifts are easier to detect

3 sigma limit

𝑄

𝑔𝑠 = probability of false rejection

No shift Small shift Big shift

𝑄𝑓𝑒 = probability of error detection

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3 sigma limit

Probability of Detection 1.0

Power Curve

Shift Size 0.5 3s

Probability of false rejection

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Perfect Power Curve

Shift Size ΔS

Ped

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Perfect Power Curve

Shift Size ΔS

Ped

Actual Power Curve

Shift Size ΔS

Ped Pfr

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Effect of repeat controls

0.000 0.200 0.400 0.600 0.800 1.000

1 2 3 4 5

Shift size Probability of Detection

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0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1 2 3 4 5

Shift size Probability of Detection

Increasing Variation

Effect of Variation on Power (R =1)

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Levers for statistical power

  • Number of levels
  • Number of repeats
  • Selection of Signal (2 sd, 3 sd, Westgard Rules, CUSUM, EWMA)
  • Process variation
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Δ𝑑𝑠𝑗𝑢

Maximum Unacceptable

bias Σ𝑥𝑡

Can we detect this shift?

TEa

Shift Size ΔS

Ped Pfr

QC Plan 1 QC Plan 2

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Criteria for controllability

you can detect the changes you need to detect

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OPSpec chart

𝑡 𝑈𝐹𝑏

1.0

𝑐𝑗𝑏𝑡 𝑈𝐹𝑏

1.0

1 ∆𝑇𝑓𝑒 + Σ𝑥

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OPSpec chart

Allowable imprecision,

𝑡 𝑈𝐹𝑏

1.0

Allowable bias, 𝑐𝑗𝑏𝑡

𝑈𝐹𝑏

1.0 1.0 Controllable region Line for QC rule (from Power Chart)

A B

Operating point

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OPSpec chart

Allowable imprecision,

𝑡 𝑈𝐹𝑏

1.0

Allowable bias, 𝑐𝑗𝑏𝑡

𝑈𝐹𝑏

1.0 1.0

Rule 1 (QC plan) Rule 2 Rule 3

A B C D

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Key Points:

  • Every QC plan has a controllable region
  • Every testing process has an operating point
  • A QC plan can control a testing process if the operating point is

in the controllable region

  • You can change the operating point
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QC Optimization at ARUP

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Three key questions:

  • 1. Stable?
  • 2. Capable?
  • 3. Controllable?
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Summary

Stable Process Capability (In-control Risk) Controllability (Out-of-control Risk) Power Curve

Size of Shift We Can Detect QC Plan Critical Shift Common Cause Variation Common Cause Variation

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Assay Assessment:

  • stable?
  • capable?
  • controllable?

𝑡 𝑈𝐹𝑏

1.0

𝑐𝑗𝑏𝑡 𝑈𝐹𝑏

1.0

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Measurement System Result, Y Output Input

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 x3 20 40 60 80 100 t 12 14 16 18 20 22 y2 20 40 60 80 100 t

Process Monitoring Signal Process Knowledge

Goal: Process Knowledge and Variance Reduction

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How to reduce long-term variation

(increase stability)

  • Use control charts effectively
  • Quality tools
  • Root cause analysis
  • Correct control limits
  • Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA)
  • Experiments
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Variation is the enemy

  • Hard to detect change
  • Harmful change
  • Beneficial change
  • Reduces process capability
  • Unacceptable results
  • Increases cost
  • Run failures
  • Need expensive control plan
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Im Impact of f QC Im Improvement TTE Lab

  • 74.5% Reduction in Troubleshooting Time
  • 43% Reduction Labor Cost
  • 50% Improvement in Turnaround Time
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Understanding Quality Control

A Process Improvement Perspective

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Wheeler, DJ. Understanding Variation: the key to managing chaos SPC Press, 1993. ISBN-10: 9780945320531

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Montgomery, DC. Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th ed Wiley, 2012 ISBN-10: 9781118146811

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Wheeler DJ, Chambers DS. Understanding Statistical Process Control, 2nd ed. SPC Press, 1992 ISBN-10: 0945320132

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Questions?

Robert.Schmid idt@hsc.utah.edu Lau Lauren.Pearson@aruplab.com

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Other references: Ramirez B, Runger G. Quantitative techniques to evaluate process stability. Qual Eng 2006; 18:53-68. Cruthis EN, Rigdon SE. Comparing Two Estimates of the Variance to determine the Stability of a

  • Process. Qual Eng 1992; 5:67-74

Wooluru Y, Swamy D, Nagesh P. Approaches for Detection of Unstable Processes: A Comparative Study. Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods 2015; 14:17 Boyles RA. Estimating common-cause sigma in the presence of special causes. Journal of Quality Technology 1997; 29:381-395 Schmidt RL, Walker BS, Pearson LN. Quality control limits: Are we setting them too wide? Clin Chim Acta 2018; 486:329-334.