Andrew Moss NUL18.11.08
Investor and Analyst Event, Wednesday 6th May 2009
UK Life, Driving value through excellence
UK Life, Driving value through excellence Investor and Analyst Event, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
UK Life, Driving value through excellence Investor and Analyst Event, Wednesday 6 th May 2009 Andrew Moss NUL18.11.08 Disclaimer This presentation may include oral and written forward-looking statements with respect to certain of Avivas
Andrew Moss NUL18.11.08
Investor and Analyst Event, Wednesday 6th May 2009
UK Life, Driving value through excellence
Andrew Moss NUL18.11.08
Disclaimer
This presentation may include oral and written “forward-looking statements” with respect to certain
performance and results. These forward-looking statements sometimes use words such as ‘anticipate’, ‘target’, ‘expect’, ‘estimate’, ‘intend’, ‘plan’, ‘goal’, ‘believe’ or other words of similar
relate to future events and circumstances which may be beyond Aviva’s control, including, among
as fluctuations in interest rates and exchange rates, the policies and actions of regulatory authorities, the impact of competition, the possible effects of inflation or deflation, the timing impact and other uncertainties relating to acquisitions by the Aviva Group and relating to other future acquisitions or combinations within relevant industries, the impact of tax and other legislation and regulations in the jurisdictions in which Aviva and its affiliates operate, as well as the other risks and uncertainties set forth in our 2008 Annual Report to Shareholders. As a result, Aviva’s actual future financial condition, performance and results may differ materially from the plans, goals and expectations set forth in Aviva’s forward-looking statements, and persons receiving this presentation should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Aviva undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements made in this presentation
presentation are current only as of the date on which such statements are made.
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Today
UK Life, well positioned to drive further value
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Agenda
Mark Hodges, Chief Executive Officer
John Lister, Finance Director
Toby Strauss, Chief Operating Officer
UK Life Management Team
Mark Hodges, Chief Executive Officer
David Barral, Marketing Director Questions & answers Lunch
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An experienced and proven team
Mark Hodges
Chief Executive Officer
Toby Strauss
Chief Operating Officer
Ian Butterworth
Chief Information Officer
Graham Boffey
Distribution Director, Corporate & Consumer
Angela Seymour Jackson
Distribution Director, Intermediaries & Partners
David Barral
Marketing Director
Rita Agati
HR Director
John Lister
Finance Director
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UK Life within Aviva
On all measures, UK Life is a key component of the Group result
Source: 2008 data for new business sales (PVNBP), IFRS and MCEV operating profit and 31 December 2008 life and related business embedded value.
Life New Business Sales MCEV Life Operating Profit Embedded Value
Rest of Group 67% UK Life 33% Rest of Group 65% UK Life 35% Rest of Group 67% UK Life 33% Rest of Group 68% UK Life 32%
IFRS Life Operating Profit
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One Aviva
UK Life, fundamental to delivering One Aviva, twice the value
Purpose Prosperity & peace of mind Vision One Aviva, twice the value
portfolio
Management
rigorously
reach
2010
2012 at the latest
Aviva Investors
UK
Market leadership
model
Europe
Scale, growth, capital
mix, growth & margin
returns
IFRS EPS by 2012
Asia Pacific
Scale, growth
model
Strategic priorities Targets
UK Life Market leadership
Drive up profitability Generate capital Operational excellence Competitive advantage
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Agenda
Mark Hodges, Chief Executive Officer
John Lister, Finance Director
Toby Strauss, Chief Operating Officer
UK Life Management Team
Mark Hodges, Chief Executive Officer
David Barral, Marketing Director Questions & answers Lunch
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Driving up profitability
14.0% 10.6% New business IRR 3.5% 2.9% Life & Pensions margin1,2 £40m £140m Cost overrun
+/-
£751m £382m IFRS operating profit £883m £589m EV operating profit £679m £372m Existing Business operating return £11,669m £9,185m Life & Pensions sales (PVNBP)1
2008 2005
+27% +60bp +83% +50% +97%
2005 shown on an EEV basis, 2008 on a MCEV basis. 1Data shown on an EEV basis. 2Margin pre cost of capital and taxation, 2008 margin unaudited, published MCEV margin 1.7%.
71% Significant progress on delivering the One Aviva, twice the value agenda +340bp
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Widening the income and expense ‘jaws’
margin
driving out inefficiencies and reducing operating expenses
variable cost base Expense over-run eliminated in 2009
Life & Pensions Sales and Operating Expenses Growth
Life & Pension sales calculated on an EEV basis for comparative basis. Operating Expenses L&P Sales
5% 15% 25% 35% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
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Driving up profitability
14.0% 10.6% New business IRR 3.5% 2.9% Life & Pensions margin1,2 £40m £140m Cost overrun
+/-
£751m £382m IFRS operating profit £883m £589m EV operating profit £679m £372m Existing Business operating return £11,669m £9,185m Life & Pensions sales (PVNBP)1
2008 2005
+27% +60bp +83% +50% +97%
2005 shown on an EEV basis, 2008 on a MCEV basis. 1Data shown on an EEV basis. 2Margin pre cost of capital and taxation, 2008 margin unaudited, published MCEV margin 1.7%.
71% Significant progress on delivering the One Aviva, twice the value agenda +340bp
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Generating capital
+/- £704m £365m Free surplus generation 2.5% 5.3% Strain % of L&P sales (PVNBP)(2) £293m £488m New business capital strain(1) 2008 2005
+93% Delivering value to group
(1) New business strain includes initial capital strain and changes in required capital. (2) Life & Pensions sales calculated on an EEV basis for comparative basis.
£500m dividend paid over the last three years
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Delivering operational excellence
9,200 12,500 UK headcount 4 star 1 star Distributor service rating +/- 68% 49% Employee morale score 75% 60% Value on scale platforms 68% 38% Customer recommendation score 4 20 Core admin systems 1,485 1,032 Policies per headcount 2009 Q1 2005 +44% +15pps +19pps
+3 +30pps We have transformed our operating model
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We have delivered our promises
UK Life is in excellent shape
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Hot topics
Trading through the recession Brand re-launch Commercial mortgages Re-attribution of the inherited estate
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Trading through the recession – our progress
Thriving in challenging markets
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 PVNBP £m Pension Bonds & other Annuities Protection 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 %
Quarterly Market Share Quarterly Sales
Quarterly sales (PVNBP) calculated on an MCEV basis. Market share based on ABI data.
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Trading through the recession – our focus
– Rigorous hurdle rates – e.g. bulk purchase annuities – Re-pricing – group personal pensions, protection and annuities – Commission reduction – bonds and pensions – Withdraw unprofitable products – Inflation Protected Guarantee bond
– Customer portal – Adviser portal – Pensions tracker – Customer data e.g. Protection postcode rating Focus on profitable growth
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Commercial mortgage portfolio
A portfolio to support profitable growth in our annuity business
Commercial Mortgage Portfolio Growth 1992-2008 £bn
2 4 6 8 10 12 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Commercial UK NHS Healthcare Annuity Book (RH Scale)
£bn
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A high quality portfolio
£857m Annual rental income £650m Annual interest income 6,110 Number of tenants 15 yrs Average remaining loan term 12.5 yrs Average lease term 3,473 Number of properties 536 Number of borrowers 31 Mar 2009 Portfolio Data
Cautiously constructed portfolio
Remaining UK commercial loans £8.6bn NHS Healthcare £2.5bn Gov’t Tenants £0.3bn Total UK commercial mortgage portfolio £11.4bn Commercial property portfolio £8.9bn
31 Mar 2009
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A well constructed and highly diversified portfolio
12% 6% 24% 8% 50% 15% 35% 3% 47% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Industrial Leisure Office Other Retail % of Portfolio
Portfolio well diversified geographically, by sector, borrower and tenant
21% 5% 14% 26% 25% 6% 3% 37% 8% 10% 22% 15% 6% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% London East Anglia Midlands South North Scotland Wales % of Portfolio
Portfolio by Sector (compared to industry benchmark) Portfolio by Region (compared to industry benchmark)
UK commercial property loans portfolio as at 31 March 2009
UK Life Benchmark
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Portfolio developed on sound lending principles
Strong interest service cover, low vacancy rates and interest arrears
4.8% 4.1% 3.7% 3.8% Vacancy rates £2.2m £0.2m £0.1m £0.1m Interest arrears 0.01% 76% 1.29 30 Dec 2007 0.25% 0.02% 0.01% Interest arrears 105% 103% 81% Average loan to value 1.31 1.30 1.28 Interest service cover 31 Mar 2009 31 Dec 2008 30 Jun 2008
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Commercial mortgages summary
A high quality commercial mortgage portfolio
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Inherited estate reattribution – customer perspective
A deal that flexes the incentive payment to the size of the estate
(1) Based on estate value of £1.2bn and 80% take-up
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Inherited estate reattribution – shareholder perspective
A good deal for shareholders
– Revalued at the average of 1 June, 1 July and 1 August
– Payment in Q4 – UK Life actions to contribute a further £200m
– Assets backing the estate (£1.5bn at 31.12.08)* – Assets and Liabilities backing the cost of guarantees (£3bn at 31.12.08)*
* Based on 100% policyholder take-up
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Inherited estate reattribution – shareholder perspective
Significant capital and return benefits
– Provides £600m of new business capital strain funded from reattributed estate in first 5 years – 3 year cash payback – One off £156 million MCEV profit – One off £58 million IFRS profit – Ongoing IFRS profit c£50m per annum
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Inherited estate reattribution – shareholder perspective
A good deal for shareholders with significant upside potential Significant potential upside:
£20m
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Maximising the re-brand opportunity
Intensive activity provides a real opportunity to re-position UK Life
months
(c$6.1bn, Brand Finance global 500 report April 2009)
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Agenda
Mark Hodges, Chief Executive Officer
John Lister, Finance Director
Toby Strauss, Chief Operating Officer
UK Life Management Team
Mark Hodges, Chief Executive Officer
David Barral, Marketing Director Questions & answers Lunch
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Purpose Prosperity & peace of mind Vision One Aviva, twice the valueUK Life, Driving Value Through Excellence
Drive up profitability
improvements
UK Life Market leadership Drive up profitability
Generate capital Operational excellence Competitive advantage
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Driving up profitability
14.0% 10.6% New business IRR 3.5% 2.9% Life & Pensions margin1,2 £40m £140m Cost overrun
+/-
£751m £382m IFRS operating profit £883m £589m EV operating profit £679m £372m Existing Business operating return £11,669m £9,185m Life & Pensions sales (PVNBP)1
2008 2005
+27% +60bp +83% +50% +97%
2005 shown on an EEV basis, 2008 on a MCEV basis. 1Data shown on an EEV basis. 2Margin pre cost of capital and taxation, 2008 margin unaudited, published MCEV margin 1.7%.
71% +340bp Significant progress on delivering the One Aviva, twice the value agenda
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2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Annuities P rotection P ension Bonds
Sustaining our market share….
benefiting from: – Launch of Simplified Life proposition in 2006 – Income Drawdown launch 2007 – Flight to quality Q3/Q4 2008 – Growth in bulk purchase annuity business with 39 schemes won in 2008
(1) Excluding all BPAs: Aviva UK Life share of BPA market 9%, Market share and position based on FY08 ABI returns
Richer mix and overweight in risk business
Market share
Overall market share
14% 16% 10% 9% Market Share 2008
(1)
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… while enhancing returns …
PVNBP grew by 27% by: – Reducing individual pension, group pension and bonds commissions – Greater proportion of bond commission fund-based versus initial commission for IFAs – Growth of fee-based Employee Benefit Consultant business
despite volume growth by – Customer service efficiencies, – e-Commerce and – Improved mix
Significantly leveraging pricing, commission and expenses
2005 – 2008 New Business Margin Improvement % PVNBP
0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 2005 2006 2007 2008 Margin % Commission Paid % NB Expenses %
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…and moving our mix towards higher margin risk products
Driving profitability, driving value
– Innovative pricing using rating factors and – Compelling BPA proposition to 50 EBCs
mortgage market – Excellent growth of Simplified Life product
leading e-Commerce
schemes in Q4 2008, £788m PVNBP
changes
Group life business moved from protection to GP in 2008 for comparative growth purposes
PVNBP share of 2008 portfolio
Bonds, 28% Corporate & Group Pensions, 21 % Annuities, 21 % Individual pensions, 1 8% Protection, 9% Other, 4%
1
+49% 2005 – 2008 Sales Growth (33)% +53% +41% +26% (19)%
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Our focus on annuities is delivering benefits
underwriting profit
New business margin shown on an EEV basis.
2.8% 6.1% Capital strain % 67 96 Capital strain £m 8 12 Payback (years) 16.7% 9.5% IRR 9.1% 5.2% Margin +/- 2008 2005 New Business +3.9pps +7.2pps 4 yrs
IRR benefits from improved pricing, lower expenses and capital efficiency
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Our focus on protection is delivering benefits
5.1% 12.5% Capital strain % 58 153 Capital strain £m 4 6 Payback (years) 23.5% 16.5% IRR 7.8% 9.2% Margin +/- 2008 2005 New Business +7.0pps 2 yrs
New business margin shown on an EEV basis.
IRR benefits from improved pricing, lower expenses and capital efficiency
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Key actions to improve margins in pensions
– GPP 3% reduction in initial commission, 0.05% increase in FOC charge Q4 08 – IPP single premium commission reduced by 0.5% to 6.0% Q1 09
3.2% 4.9% Capital strain % 146 148 Capital strain £m 9 12 Payback (years) 12.4% 8.2% IRR 1.6% 1.2% Margin +/- 2008 2005 New Business +0.4pps +4.2pps 3 yrs
New business margin shown on an EEV basis.
IRR benefits from improved pricing, lower expenses and capital efficiency
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Key action in place to improve margins in bonds
New business margin shown on an EEV basis.
0.8% 2.9% Capital strain % 26 77 Capital strain £m 14 9 Payback (years) 7.7% 9.7% IRR 0.1% 0.8% Margin +/- 2008 2005 New Business 66% 2.1pps
5 yrs
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Key action in place to improve margins in bonds
Bonds PVNBP 2005 - 2008
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 PVNBP Unit Linked Unitised With Profits Offshore Other
Continuing participation in this market dependent on favourable returns
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Generating superior returns through channel mix
Bubble size represents 2008 sales calculated on a PVNBP basis (EEV)
Corporate B Soc Retail IFA 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
50 100 150 200
Channel growth % Channel margin %
Increased focus on corporate channel
proposition
target accounts Excellent RBS JV growth
market share
RBS JV
Life & Pensions New Business Channel and Margin Growth 2005-08
High growth in richer margin channels
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Driving value from sizeable back-book
absolute returns
in 2009
existing customer generates 3 times as much value as attracting a new customer
In-Force Operating Profits 2005-2008
Expected Experience 679
ROEV 4.9% ROEV 7.1%
Rigorous focus on eliminating experience variances
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2005 2005 2008 2008 372
£m
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With profit fund persistency
WP Persistency
– With profit pensions, bonds, low cost endowment exits – MVR removal in 2006 saw increase in level
– 1% lapse results in £20m additional IFRS profit
With profit persistency is better than our allowances
10 20 30 2005 2006 2007 2008
£m
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Growing IFRS operating earnings
(1) Share of historic pension scheme deficit funding borne by shareholders charged to with-profit fund DAC write down following increases to lapse assumptions
distribution will benefit 2009 & 2010
driven by: – £225m of expense saving initiatives (£200m delivered) – Lower new business strain – Higher annual management charges and WP bonus as markets rose
enhance future earnings
124
751 723 629 382 Reported for the year
149
One-off items: 627 556 435 382 Underlying business profitability 2008 £m 2007 £m 2006 £m 2005 £m
Sustainable drivers of IFRS growth in plan
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Purpose Prosperity & peace of mind Vision One Aviva, twice the valueUK Life, Driving Value Through Excellence
Generating capital
UK Life Market leadership
Drive up profitability
Generate capital
Operational excellence Competitive advantage
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Generating capital
+/- £704m £365m Free surplus generation 2.5% 5.3% Strain % of L&P sales (PVNBP)2 £293m £488m New business capital strain1 2008 2005
+93% Delivering value to group
1 New business strain includes initial capital strain and changes in required capital.2 Life & Pensions sales calculated on an EEV basis for comparative basis.
£500m dividend paid over the last three years
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Actively managing the capital position
With Profit funds
– Changing asset mix – Reducing bonus rates Non Profit funds
Maintaining and managing our credit risk exposure
Experts at managing capital risks
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UK Life, a strong capital position
Note: NUL&P shareholder fund included in NUL&P NP section Capital Position by Fund 31 December 2008 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 CGNU CULAC NUL&P WP NUA NUL&P NP
£m
Shareholder fund Long-term fund Required capital
Well capitalised and managed funds, in excess of required capital
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2827
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000
2005 Existing book surplus Capital transactions One off benefits New business strain Dividends to Group Other 2008
£m
UK Life driving up net worth
Net worth Surplus Generation
– Existing book surplus of £1.6bn – Capital transactions releasing VIF of £0.8bn – One off benefits from PS06/14 of £0.3bn – Exceptional market falls £0.3m
– New business strain of £0.7bn – Dividends to group of £0.5bn
In tough financial markets, increasing capital strength while growing the business
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With-profit business well capitalised
surpluses
reattribution Strong capital position
Realistic Excess Capital in With Profit Funds 2005-2008 (Pillar 1 Peak 2)
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 CGNU CULAC NUL&P £m
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Driving up profitability and generating capital
Driving value through financial and capital excellence
pricing and commission action
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Agenda
Mark Hodges, Chief Executive Officer
John Lister, Finance Director
Toby Strauss, Chief Operating Officer
UK Life Management Team
Mark Hodges, Chief Executive Officer
David Barral, Marketing Director Questions & answers Lunch
51
Purpose Prosperity & peace of mind Vision One Aviva, twice the valueUK Life, Driving Value Through Excellence
Operational excellence
UK Life Market leadership
Drive up profitability Generate capital
Operational excellence
Competitive advantage
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The start of the journey
2005 Offshoring and outsourcing A strategic opportunity to drive value Simplification Service RBS Joint Venture Culture and leadership Retention
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98% In-house
Offshoring and outsourcing
Customer Operations 2005 Customer Operations 2009
Increased flexibility and efficiency of operations
36% Outsourced 18%
46% In-house 98% In-house
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Simplification
2005 2009
System decommissioning ‘Fix’ or migrate strategy 20 core admin systems 4 admin systems Simplified operating environment 550 systems Closed over 300 systems 12,500 UK headcount 9,200 UK headcount Site rationalisation eCommerce & self-serve Limited eComm 7 million policies
Mandatory change £9m Mandatory change £4m
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Site rationalisation
Life Customer Operations 2005 Footprint Life Customer Operations 2009 Footprint
Bristol Eastleigh Glasgow Sheffield Southampton Newcastle Norwich Stevenage York Bristol Eastleigh Norwich Sheffield York
Reduction in fixed costs; nine key sites to five
Bangalore Pune Chennai Bangalore
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Simplification
Driving efficiency into the business
1,032 1,069 1,148 1,485 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 2006 2007 2008 2009 Policies
Scale Operations In-force Policies per Headcount Managing 44% more policies per head in 2009
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RBS Joint Venture
market share
Investment products
consultants
RDR Driving growth in strategic distribution channels
Long-term Savings sales (PVNBP £m)
Life & Pensions sales (PVNBP) calculated on an EEV basis.
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2005 2006 2007 2008
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Service
1 Financial Advisor awards 2005
Service Promises for all products £6m invested in our Communications 61% reduction in complaints Listening to 56k customers & 17k distributors
4 Financial Advisor awards Operating model driving service improvements across the board
85% distributor interactions ‘One & Done’
Q1 2009
Distributor satisfaction Customer satisfaction Customers recommend us Distributors recommend us Distributor satisfaction Customer satisfaction Customers recommend us Distributors recommend us
57% 57% 38% 41% 86% 77% 68% 76%
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Retention
30 experts retaining 11,000 customers 3,000 customers without advisers receiving financial advice 55,000 customers retained this year within BAU Specialist team of retention experts Transactional customer service No financial advice on existing products No proactive retention 500 accounts engaged
Zero engagement Active distributor management Trained financial advisors Retention training ‘in the line’
2005 2009 Focused strategy driving retention activity across the business
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Culture and leadership
Investment in leadership, capability and engagement
Talking Talent 7,900 employees Leadership Capability 63% new Directors CII accredited Service Academy 3,000 graduates Bonuses aligned to IFRS profit Brand Engagement £2.6m investment in our people 2005 2009
Employee Engagement
49% 68%
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Customer Driven Design
Removing waste, improving efficiency IPP New Business Processing Reduction from an average of 39 days to 14 days
Nov 08 Dec 08 Jan 09 Feb 09 Mar 09 Apr09
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Customer Driven Design
Removing waste, improving efficiency GPP Valuations Processing Reduction from an average of 52 days to 3 days
Dec 08 Jan 09 Feb 09 Mar 09 Apr09
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Operational excellence: The journey does not stop here
Customer Portal On-line Pensions Adviser Portal
Significant investment in eCommerce
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Operational excellence: The journey does not stop here
Customer Portal
Significant investment in eCommerce
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Operational excellence: The journey does not stop here
Adviser Portal
Significant investment in eCommerce
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Operational excellence: The journey does not stop here
On-line Pensions
Significant investment in eCommerce
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Expectations
Operational Leverage eCommerce Brand and People Customer-driven design
The business is now engineered to deliver sustainable operational effectiveness
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Agenda
Mark Hodges, Chief Executive Officer
John Lister, Finance Director
Toby Strauss, Chief Operating Officer
UK Life Management Team
Mark Hodges, Chief Executive Officer
David Barral, Marketing Director Questions & answers Lunch
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Innovation Demonstrations
Unlocking Value from Customer Data On-line Pensions Adviser Portal Customer Portal
Clive Bolton, Director of Annuity Business Pricing and Retention Brian Bussell, Director of Marketing, Pensions Billy Burnside, Head of Distribution, E-business Chris Abrathat, Head of Marketing, E-commerce
Andrew Moss NUL18.11.08
Investor and Analyst Event, Wednesday 6th May 2009
UK Life, Driving value through excellence