Trying to Quantify Uncertainty Professor David Spiegelhalter Winton - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Trying to Quantify Uncertainty Professor David Spiegelhalter Winton - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Oct 15, 2022 277 likes •867 views

Department of Statistics public lecture Trying to Quantify Uncertainty Professor David Spiegelhalter Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, University of Cambridge and senior scientist, MRC Biostatistics Unit Professor Anthony

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Department of Statistics public lecture

Trying to Quantify Uncertainty

Professor David Spiegelhalter

Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, University of Cambridge and senior scientist, MRC Biostatistics Unit

Professor Anthony Atkinson

Chair, LSE

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www.understandinguncertainty.org

‘Professor Risk’ on Youtube

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  • 3. Model

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inadequacies

Unavoidable unpredictability ‘Indeterminacy’ Limited information Limited knowledge ‘Ignorance’

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Department of Statistics public lecture

Trying to Quantify Uncertainty

Professor David Spiegelhalter

Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, University of Cambridge and senior scientist, MRC Biostatistics Unit

Professor Anthony Atkinson

Chair, LSE