Trupanion Investor Presentation November 2016 Legal Disclaimers - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

trupanion investor presentation
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Trupanion Investor Presentation November 2016 Legal Disclaimers - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Trupanion Investor Presentation November 2016 Legal Disclaimers This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 relating


slide-1
SLIDE 1

Trupanion Investor Presentation

November 2016

slide-2
SLIDE 2

2

Legal Disclaimers

This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 relating to, among other things, expectations, plans, prospects and financial results for Trupanion, including, but not limited to, its expectations regarding its ability to execute its business plans and financial objectives and its future operating results and expenditures. These forward-looking statements are based upon the current expectations and beliefs of Trupanion’s management as of the date of this press release, and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking

  • statements. All forward-looking statements made in this press release are based on information available to Trupanion as of

the date hereof, and Trupanion has no obligation to update these forward-looking statements. In particular, the following factors, among others, could cause results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements: the ability to achieve or maintain profitability and/or appropriate levels of cash flow in future periods; the accuracy of assumptions used in determining appropriate member acquisition expenditures; the severity and frequency of claims; the ability to maintain high retention rates; the accuracy of assumptions used in pricing medical plan subscriptions and the ability to accurately estimate the impact of new products or offerings on claims frequency; actual claims expense exceeding estimates; regulatory and other constraints on the ability to institute, or the decision to otherwise delay, pricing modifications in response to changes in actual or estimated claims expense; the effectiveness and statutory or regulatory compliance of our Territory Partner model and of our Territory Partners, veterinarians and other third parties in recommending medical plan subscriptions to potential members; the ability to increase the number of Territory Partners and active hospitals; compliance by us and those referring us members with laws and regulations that apply to our business, including the sale of a pet medical plan; fluctuations in the Canadian currency exchange rate; the ability to protect our proprietary and member information; the ability to maintain our culture and team; the ability to maintain the requisite amount of risk-based capital; the ability to protect and enforce Trupanion’s intellectual property rights; third-party claims including litigation and regulatory actions; and the ability to recognize benefits from investments in new solutions and enhancements to Trupanion’s technology platform and website. For a detailed discussion of these and other cautionary statements, please refer to the risk factors discussed in filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including but not limited to, Trupanion’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015 and any subsequently filed reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K. All documents are available through the SEC’s Electronic Data Gathering Analysis and Retrieval system at www.sec.gov or the Investor Relations section of Trupanion’s website at http://investors.trupanion.com. In addition to U.S. GAAP financials, this presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP measures are in addition to, not a substitute for or superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the corresponding GAAP measures is provided on our Investor Relations website.

slide-3
SLIDE 3

3

Our Mission

Our mission is to help the pets we all love receive the best veterinary care

slide-4
SLIDE 4

4

Trupanion at a Glance

  • Pure-play focused on simple, fair and high-value

medical insurance for pets

  • Comprehensive, lifelong coverage for dogs and

cats, including hereditary and congenital conditions (i.e., the most likely conditions to occur)

  • Pet owners are free to choose any veterinarian,

emergency care, or specialty hospital

  • 90% of covered veterinary costs as invoiced, with

no payout limits

  • Individual pets are not penalized for needing

treatment or getting older

  • Veterinarians can be paid directly, and nearly

instantaneously with Trupanion Express™ Driving Category Growth

36

Consecutive Quarters of 25%+ Revenue Growth

98.61%

Average Monthly Retention 2

Strong Member Loyalty

50%

Total Revenue 5-year CAGR 1

1 As of 12/31/15. 2 For the 12-month period ended 9/30/2016. Average monthly retention is calculated as the monthly retention rate of enrolled pets for each applicable period averaged over the 12 months prior to the period end date.

slide-5
SLIDE 5

5

Compelling Value Proposition For Both Pet Owners & Veterinarians

  • Comprehensive coverage that gives

pet owners flexibility in choice of care

  • Provides peace of mind
  • Eliminates financial uncertainty and

reduces financial burden

  • Pays veterinarian invoices quickly &

seamlessly

  • Ability to practice at the highest level
  • Freedom to be the most effective

advocate for the pet

  • Increased revenue growth & pet

economics For Pet Owners

For Veterinarians

Trupanion unites pet owners & veterinarians to provide the best care for the pets they love

slide-6
SLIDE 6

6

Predictable High Growth Subscription Model

$3.1 $4.4 $5.3 $6.3 $7.6 $8.8 $9.9 $10.7$12.0$13.2 $14.5 $15.9 $17.8 $19.8 $22.1 $24.0 $25.6 $28.1 $30.3 $31.9 $33.3 $35.6 $37.9 $40.2 $42.7 $45.8 $48.4

$0 $10.0 $20.0 $30.0 $40.0 $50.0 $60.0 Q1 '10 Q2 '10 Q3 '10 Q4 '10 Q1 '11 Q2 '11 Q3 '11 Q4 '11 Q1 '12 Q2 '12 Q3 '12 Q4 '12 Q1 '13 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 Q4 '14 Q1 '15 Q2 '15 Q3 '15 Q4 '15 Q1 '16 Q2 '16 Q3 '16

Total Revenue by New vs. Existing Pets (dollars, in millions)

Existing Pets New Pets

slide-7
SLIDE 7

7 $29 $30 $32 $34 $36 $39 $41 $43 $46 $48 $51 $53 $56 $58 $60 $63 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E

  • Total pet spend in U.S.

estimated at $63 billion in 2016

  • High growth through

recessionary periods

  • Veterinarian industry spend

has grown at the same rate (a 5% CAGR since 2001, totaling $15 billion in 2015) Total U.S. Pet Industry Spend 1

U.S. Pet Owners Spend Generously

  • n Their Pets

($ in billions)

1 Source: APPA US Pet Industry Spending Figures & Future Outlook

slide-8
SLIDE 8

8 1% ~2% 5% 5% 8% 14% 25% 40%

The Market for Medical Insurance for Pets is Underpenetrated in North America

1 American Pet Products Association, National Pet Owners Survey, 2015 – 2016. 2 Ipso Reid on behalf of the Canadian Animal Health Institute, CAHI Estimate of Canadian Dog and Cat Population Survey, 2014. 3 Packaged Facts, a division of Market Research Group, LLC, Pet Insurance in North America, 5th Edition, October 2013. 4 Munich RE, How to Unlock the Potential of Pet Health?, May 2013. 5 Represents our monthly adjusted revenue per pet for the three month period ended September 30, 2016.

Massive Underpenetrated Market

1,2,3,4

177 Million Pets in U.S. & Canada $1.0 $2.4 $4.8 $7.2 $23.9 1.0% 2.5% 5.0% 7.5% 25.0%

% of Pets with Insurance:

United States and Canada are significantly underpenetrated when compared to many other developed countries

Potential Market Size by Penetration Rate

Pets in the U.S. and Canada 177M Illustrative Monthly Adjusted Revenue Pet Pet(5) Penetration in the UK $48.37 25% Total Addressable Market $23.9B

($ in billions)

slide-9
SLIDE 9

9

  • 16 million cats & dogs
  • 4,200 vet hospitals
  • 25% market penetration
  • First offered: 1970

United Kingdom United States

  • 164 million cats & dogs
  • 30,000 vet hospitals
  • 1% market penetration
  • First offered: 1982

U.K. Product (the Trupanion approach)  Sourced primarily from veterinary referrals; appealed to new customers with vet-issued trial certificates  Provided broad coverage  Generated high satisfaction rates with pet

  • wners and veterinarians

Legacy U.S. Product (an insurance-minded approach) х Sourced primarily direct to consumer х Provided limited coverage, excluding the conditions most likely to occur х Imposed pricing caps and fee schedules х Generated low satisfaction rates with pet owners and veterinarians

Penetration Driven by Product Value Proposition

Trupanion’s product offering aligns with the U.K. value proposition and marketing strategy

slide-10
SLIDE 10

10

Attractive Trupanion Adoption & Economics in Relatively Established Markets

  • Region of Western Canada (entered 2003)
  • Territory Partner presence for >10 years
  • Human population of ~2.7 million
  • Cats & dogs population of ~1.3 million
  • >18,000 Trupanion enrolled pets1
  • High penetration rates:

− 2/3rd active hospital base1,2 − Quotes generated each month equal to ~25% of estimated number of pets acquired2 − ~5% of new pets enrolling with TRUP each month1

  • Accelerated growth:

− Annual pet growth > 20%3 − Annual revenue growth > 30%3

  • Attractive economics:

− LVP to PAC > 5:11 Regional Case Study Analysis

Trupanion issued first policy in Canada in 2000 and first policy in the U.S. in 2008

1 For the period ended June 30, 2015. 2 Defined as a hospital that has had a pet enrolled over the three previous months 3 For the annual period ended December 31, 2014.

The above numbers are as of Q2 2015. For competitive reasons, we are not providing ongoing disclosure of this cohort.

slide-11
SLIDE 11

11

Barriers Against Competition

Superior Value Proposition for Pet Owners Established Deep Veterinarian Relationships Data Driven Advantage Proprietary Platform Enhanced by Trupanion Express™

1 2 3 4

slide-12
SLIDE 12

12

Superior Value Proposition for Pet Owners

1

Key Categories Better Providers Legacy U.S. Providers Coverage

  • Full coverage excl. pre-

existing conditions

  • Pays 90% of actual vet bill
  • Full coverage excl. pre-

existing conditions

  • Pays 70-100% of actual

vet bill

  • Limited coverage excludes

congenital, hereditary & pre-existing conditions

  • Reimbursement based on

fee schedules & price caps Pricing

  • No fee increases for

treatment

  • Cost adjusts with cost of

care for that specific pet sub-category

  • Pet owner may apply any

deductible ($0-$1,000) to customize pricing

  • 1.2M pricing categories
  • Increases for age of pet

and cost of care

  • Few deductible options
  • Increases for age of pet,

prior claims and/or cost of care

  • Few deductible options

Direct Payment vs. Pet Owner Reimbursement

  • Trupanion Express™

enables instantaneous, paper-free claims and direct payment of invoices at treatment

  • Traditional

reimbursement model

  • Traditional reimbursement

model

slide-13
SLIDE 13

13

Established Deep Veterinary Relationships

Territory Partner and Veterinary Footprint 1…

  • Territory Partners represent long-term investment

in veterinary relationships

  • Over 80 Territory Partners

– Each cover on average ~250 veterinary hospitals – Over 86,000 vet hospital visits in 2015

  • Un-replicated within market
  • Over 7,600 veterinary hospitals

actively recommend Trupanion with long-term target of 20,000 2

2

..Drives Efficient Pet Acquisition Model

  • Multi-faceted approach to driving sales

leads across channels Pet Acquisition Channels 1 7% 59% 13%

Veterinary Leads Online Leads Point of Sale, All Other

21%

Add a Pet, Friend

Existing Members New Members

Over 80% of leads from referral sources that are not directly compensated

1 As of December 31, 2015 2 Defined as a hospital that has had a pet enrolled over the three previous months

slide-14
SLIDE 14

14

Expected Claim per Pet per Month Other

  • 1.2 million pricing categories
  • Over 10 million medical plan months
  • Over 1.5 million claims received
  • Breed, postal code and age among

the pricing categories used to measure risk

Extensive data amassed over 15 years provides significant competitive advantages

Illustrative Pricing Examples

3 Data Driven Advantage

1 All data as of December 31, 2015

Comprehensive data helps us understand the risk of each pet and add a 30% margin

$24.56 $37.01 $52.51 $58.89 $10.52 $15.86 $22.50 $25.24 $35.08 $52.88 $75.01 $84.13 Cat Dog English Bulldog English Bulldog in NY

slide-15
SLIDE 15

15

  • Business model designed to eliminate frictional

costs: – Own only N.A. insurance company focused on medical care for pets – In-house actuaries, claims & contact center for quality control and speed – Dedicated national Territory Partner network – No brand licensing fees – Proprietary underwriting technology 50% 70% 20% 30% 30%

Illustrative Legacy Model Trupanion Model Profits Before Other Costs Frictional Costs Fully-loaded Claim Payout

4

Proprietary Platform Enhanced by Trupanion Express™

~20% in frictional cost Strategic choice to provide customer structural benefit by paying ~20% more on claims

Proprietary Platform Provides Cost Advantage Value Proposition Enhanced by Trupanion Express™

  • Eliminates paperwork and uncertainty of

coverage – Customers avoid having to pay out of pocket – Veterinarians streamline billing process and eliminate credit card fees – Trupanion enhances data connectivity with veterinarians

  • Un-replicated in the market

Trupanion Express™ Illustrative Comparison of Cost Structure

slide-16
SLIDE 16

16

Our Mission Driven Model Resonates with Third Parties

“I had the opportunity to meet with a broad cross section of Trupanion’s people in Seattle… What I experienced was a group of people who are confident, ambitious, energized and, above all, purpose driven.” – Robert Vinall, RV Capital, quote from his annual investor letter “In Trupanion’s case, it is easy to underestimate how important trust will be in shaping the Industry… trust must be continuously earned by being deserved…which is expressed as a mission-driven culture.” – Josh Tarasoff, Greenlea Lane Capital Partners, quote from his annual investor letter

slide-17
SLIDE 17

Financial Review

slide-18
SLIDE 18

18

Compelling Financial Model

  • High growth business capturing underpenetrated market
  • Monthly subscription model with recurring and visible revenues
  • Strong lifetime value and proven customer unit economics
  • Attractive long-term margin profile
slide-19
SLIDE 19

19 31 57 89 127 182 232 292 334 277

$19 $37 $56 $77 $104 $133 $34 $45 $7 $12 $14 $4 $3 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 9/30/15 9/30/16 Subscription Revenue Other Revenue

$38 $48

Member-Centric Approach Driving Growth

Total Enrolled Pets 1 Total Revenue 2

(in thousands)

21% YOY Growth 28% YOY Growth

$19 $37 $56 $84 $116 $147

($ in millions)

1 Cumulative as of December 30th for each respective year from 2010 to 2015, and the three months ended September 30, 2015 and 2016 2 Includes subscription business segment and other business segment. Other business segment primarily includes revenue from plans not marketed directly to consumers

slide-20
SLIDE 20

20

($120)

  • $200
  • $100

$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 ($120) ($150) ($100) ($50) $0 $50 $100 $150 Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7

Annual Cash Flow from Illustrative Member 1 Cumulative Cash Flow from Illustrative Member 1

Q3 2016 5.2X LVP to PAC

2, 3

LVP

PAC

Near Term Investment Drives Long Term Cash Flows

Breakeven in ~15 months

1 Based on lifetime value of a pet and average pet acquisition cost as of September 30, 2016 in subscription business segment. 2 Lifetime value of a pet (LVP) is calculated in part based on gross profit from our subscription business segment for the 12 months prior to the period end date excluding stock-based compensation expense related to cost of revenue from our subscription business segment, sign-up fee revenue and the change in deferred revenue between periods, multiplied by the implied average subscriber life in months. 3 Pet acquisition cost (PAC) is calculated as net acquisition cost divided by the total number of new subscription pets enrolled in that period. Net acquisition cost, a non-GAAP financial measure, is calculated in a reporting period as sales and marketing expenses, excluding stock-based compensation, offset by sign-up fee revenue and other business segment sales and marketing expenses.

Marketing costs are expensed up front while revenue is realized over the life of the member

slide-21
SLIDE 21

21

Attractive Long Term Margin Profile

1 In 2015, the fixed expenses were comprised of 9% G&A, 4% Core IT and 2% related to our Direct Pay Initiative. In 2014, the fixed expenses were comprised of 10% G&A, 4% Core IT and 3% related to our Direct Pay Initiative.

% of Revenue 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Long-Term Target Revenues 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Cost of goods 67% 68% 67% 69% 70% 72% 71% 71% 70% Variable expenses 11% 12% 14% 14% 12% 11% 11% 12% 10% Fixed expenses (1) 13% 15% 14% 17% 15% 11% 10% 9% 5% Adjusted operating margin 8.5% 5.3% 5.1% 0.7% 2.4% 6.3% 8.6% 8.4% 15% Acquisition cost 13% 12% 10% 10% 10% 9% 7% 8% Adjusted EBITDA

  • 5%
  • 7%
  • 5%
  • 9%
  • 8%
  • 2%

1% 1% Net loss

  • 11%
  • 12%
  • 10%
  • 18%
  • 12%
  • 6%
  • 2%
  • 3%

Free cash flow (in thousands) (732) $ (3,598) $ (2,496) $ (16,434) $ (15,319) $ (1,951) $ 1,121 $ 852 $

slide-22
SLIDE 22

Thank You